Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the New York Mets. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.
All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. That can be found here.
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Consuegra would be above Valdez on the main list on tools and long-term physical projection but he missed all of 2019 with a torn ACL. McIntosh was a multi-sport high schooler committed to Vanderbilt who the Mets got done on Day Three of the 2019 draft. He’s toolsy, but raw. Espino is a contact-oriented shortstop who lacks bat control when he takes big hacks, and bat speed when he’s under control. Polanco was a DSL All-Star; he’s a little more compact but twitchy. Both will need to have contact-driven offensive profiles since they lack power projection. Colina is a loose teenage arm up to 93 with positive spin axis traits. Garcia is the oldest player in this cluster at 19.8 (McIntosh and Espino are the youngest at 18.6) and sits 90-93 with above-average spin.
Santos, 21, has been up to 96 but the breaking ball is still a work in progress. He’s a relief-only sort. Nunez is older (23) but also up to 96 with nearly pure backspin. He had a 15% swinging strike rate on his heater last year, but it was at lower levels. Dibrell and James are spot starter types.
This group is a bit thinner at the top because of Pete Alonso’s graduation and the Marcus Stroman trade (and, of course, there’s no Jarred Kelenic or Justin Dunn), but a tier of teenagers (mostly arms) in the lower levels of the system have emerged to make it deeper.
Both recent agents-turned-GM, the Mets’ Brodie Van Wagenen and ex-Diamondback Dave Stewart, were a little cavalier with dealing away prospects early during their tenures. If you care about surplus value, then the Robinson Canó deal was instant highway robbery for Seattle. If you don’t, it’s probably starting to look that way. But the Keon Broxton trade, in which the Mets surrendered three prospects for a player who was DFA’d by Baltimore less than a year later, was another, almost immediate example.
Decision-makers deserve time to adjust the same way players do. The Mets beefed up the analytics department last year. We’re still waiting to see if they start scouting the lowest levels of the minors, but if their goal is to compete right now, then they’re not likely to acquire that type of player anyway. How the international department sustains its recent level of excellence in the absence of departed Chris Becerra will be a key to continuing to stock a system that looks better than we anticipated when we began sourcing.