Top 36 Prospects: Philadelphia Phillies

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Philadelphia Phillies. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

**Editor’s Note: Sixto Sanchez and Will Stewart were removed from this list on 2/7/19 when they were traded to Miami for J.T. Realmuto.**

All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. That can be found here.

Phillies Top Prospects
Rk Name Age Highest Level Position ETA FV
1 Adonis Medina 22.1 A+ RHP 2020 55
2 Alec Bohm 22.5 A- 3B 2021 50
3 Spencer Howard 22.5 A RHP 2020 50
4 Luis Garcia 18.3 R SS 2023 45+
5 Adam Haseley 22.8 AA CF 2019 45+
6 JoJo Romero 22.4 AA LHP 2019 45
7 Enyel De Los Santos 23.1 MLB RHP 2019 45
8 Simon Muzziotti 20.1 A+ CF 2022 45
9 Francisco Morales 19.3 A- RHP 2022 45
10 Mickey Moniak 20.7 A+ CF 2021 40+
11 Mauricio Llovera 22.8 A+ RHP 2019 40+
12 Ranger Suarez 23.4 MLB LHP 2019 40
13 Rafael Marchan 20.0 A- C 2022 40
14 Daniel Brito 21.0 A+ 2B 2021 40
15 Nick Maton 22.0 A SS 2021 40
16 Arquimedes Gamboa 21.4 A+ SS 2019 40
17 Jhailyn Ortiz 20.2 A 1B 2021 40
18 Starlyn Castillo 16.4 R RHP 2024 40
19 Rodolfo Duran 21.0 A C 2021 40
20 Edgar Garcia 22.3 AAA RHP 2019 40
21 Kevin Gowdy 21.2 R RHP 2021 40
22 Kyle Young 21.2 A LHP 2021 35+
23 Kyle Dohy 22.4 AA LHP 2020 35+
24 Jonathan Guzman 19.3 A+ SS 2022 35+
25 Jake Holmes 20.6 A- 3B 2022 35+
26 Zach Warren 22.7 A LHP 2020 35+
27 Victor Santos 18.6 R RHP 2023 35+
28 Raul Rivas 22.3 A+ SS 2021 35+
29 Bailey Falter 21.8 A+ LHP 2021 35+
30 Dominic Pipkin 19.3 R RHP 2023 35+
31 David Parkinson 23.1 A+ LHP 2020 35+
32 Manuel Silva 20.1 A- LHP 2022 35+
33 Alejandro Requena 22.2 A+ RHP 2020 35+
34 Ethan Lindow 20.3 A- LHP 2022 35+
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55 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 22.1 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr R / R FV 55
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
55/60 50/60 50/60 40/50 92-95 / 97

Medina is right there with Sanchez in the Phillies system when it comes to upside. He shows three plus pitches at times and may be a better athlete than Sanchez, so the elements of frontline starter potential are here. Medina works in the mid-90’s early in games with plus life and at his best, he’ll pair it with a changeup with similar action and a slider that can play even better than 60 when ideally used and located. Like most young power arms, Medina’s command and velocity degrade in the middle innings as his focus and intensity wane and fatigue starts to set in. More advanced hitters can lay off his lively stuff when it’s more area-type control than MLB-level pitch execution. Scouts like Medina’s makeup, coachability, and athleticism (most prefer him to Sanchez in this regard) and expect him to continue to improve in these areas.

50 FV Prospects

2. Alec Bohm, 3B
Drafted: 1st Round, 2018 from Wichita State (PHI)
Age 22.5 Height 6′ 5″ Weight 240 Bat / Thr R / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 65/70 40/60 50/40 40/50 60/60

Bohm was under the scouting radar until a breakout campaign on Cape Cod, during which both he and teammate Greyson Jenista (a second round pick by the Braves) emerged as top tier bats in the 2018 draft. During the spring, Bohm steadily worked his way up from the late first round to the third overall pick by hitting more than scouts expected a long-limbed power threat to hit. Bohm pulls this off by keeping his arms tucked in during his swing and having a flatter plane; as a result he’s both quicker into the zone and in the zone longer than most power hitters. Ideally, hitters with Bohm’s plus-plus power have more loft in their swing plane and extend their arms to generate the most power, with Kris Bryant an example of a hitter with a similar frame and this more power-focused approach. We’re projecting Bohm as a 50 bat with 60 game power and split the difference a bit–he could go even more extreme for power at the expense of contact–but there are a number of ways this offensive skillset could turn out, particularly with new and more progressive hitting instruction this year for the Phillies. Bohm’s defense also could go a few different ways, depending how much weight he adds to his lean frame and how his lateral quickness ages. Defensively, Bohm looks major league average at times and clearly below average at others, but he’ll get plenty of chances to make things work at third base.

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2017 from Cal Poly (PHI)
Age 22.5 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr R / R FV 50
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
60/60 50/55 50/55 55/60 40/45 92-98 / 100

Teams were understandably late to identify Howard as an upper crust draft prospect. He redshirted, then only threw 36 innings the following spring as a redshirt freshman and began his draft year in the bullpen, a relative unknown. He moved to the rotation in March and crosscheckers started showing up to see him much later than is typical for a first look at a second round talent. In 2018, his first full season as a member of the rotation, Howard thrived and late in the year his stuff took off. After two dominant months to close his regular season, Howard threw a no hitter in the Sally League playoffs. During that stretch, he was sitting 94-98 for much of his starts and flashing three good secondary pitches, the best of which is a disappearing, low-80s changeup. Howard can also freeze hitters with a mid-70s curveball and use it to get ahead, and his mid-80s slider has enough length to miss bats away from righties. Though he has below average fastball command, Howard’s ability to throw his breaking balls for strikes significantly improves his chances of starting. His inning count in 2018 (112) was about the same as it was if you combine his college and pro workload from 2017, and it’s fair to assume that even if Philly wants to him to throw more innings, an innings cap might impede a 2019 debut, even if Howard’s stuff is ready. He has considerable upside if he can retain his stuff while carrying a 160-plus inning burden.

45+ FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 18.3 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr S / R FV 45+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/55 40/50 20/40 55/55 50/55 60/60

Garcia signed for the fifth highest bonus in the 2017 July 2nd class, among a few already-elite prospects like Rookie of the Year Shohei Ohtani, Rays shortstop Wander Franco, Diamondbacks outfielder Kristian Robinson and Mets shortstop Ronny Mauricio. Garcia could be next in line to jump into the 50 FV tier during the 2019 season, building on a solid pro debut in 2018, where he improved his already-impressive tool profile. To clarify any confusion, it’s worth noting that there is another, very similar middle infield prospect with the Nationals of the same name who was also born in the same year. The Phillies’ Garcia has an above average hit tool to go with above average speed, defense, and arm strength at shortstop, so it won’t be a long journey to turn into a regular if he can maintain those current tools. He’s played just 43 official minor league games and has an unsustainably-high .418 BABIP, but the performance also supports the standout skillset. Some scouts argue there isn’t a plus tool here other than arm strength, so you can’t stuff Garcia too high until he’s done a little more in official games, but he’s already among the top 200 prospects or so in baseball. Some see sneaky potential average raw power down the road, which Garcia could mostly get to in games if he ends up being the plus hitter that some are projecting, though some scouts see 45 hit and 40 power, given the limited pro looks they’ve had. It’s also worth noting that Garcia has become close friends with Alec Bohm; the pair could team up to form half of the infield of the future in Philadelphia. Garcia will definitely be one to watch closely in 2019 as there’s some in-season ceiling to his potential ranking, particularly if he can perform the way the Nationals’ Luis Garcia did this past year; that Garcia reached High-A at age 18.

Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Virginia (PHI)
Age 22.8 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 195 Bat / Thr R / R FV 45+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/55 55/55 40/45 55/55 45/45 45/45

Haseley was an intriguing two-way talent with a big price tag and decent tools out of an Orlando-area high school. In college, stood out playing both ways for the Cavaliers, emerging in his draft year as an elite hitter. He’d still pitched his whole career, so some scouts saw further offensive potential beyond Haseley’s dominating draft year due to an exclusive pro focus on hitting, excellent exit velocities, and a quirky, flat-planed swing that could be streamlined in pro ball. He’s made some subtle changes to his swing but he’s still mostly the same player he was in his draft year at Virginia. Haseley is fringy to average for most scouts in center field. His pitcher arm strength doesn’t translate to the outfield, but he would be an above average left fielder if he can’t stick in center. Like a few hitters in this system, a loft or approach change could shift the offensive profile a bit for Haseley, but he seems capable of a roughly 100 wRC+ (read: major league average at the plate), which is a solid regular if he can be average in center field. That may not be super exciting, but high probability, close-to-the-majors 2-3 WAR position players are incredibly valuable in today’s game.

45 FV Prospects

6. JoJo Romero, LHP
Drafted: 4th Round, 2016 from Yavapai JC (AZ) (PHI)
Age 22.4 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 190 Bat / Thr L / L FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Cutter Command Sits/Tops
45/45 50/55 50/55 45/50 45/55 89-92 / 95

After a year of sitting 90-94, Romero’s fastball velocity fluctuated pretty significantly both start-to-start and within individual games, often resting in the upper-80s like it did while he was in college. But he was also up to 95 at times, even reaching back for that kind of heat late in his starts. Some of the drop in velocity may have been artificial, a result of Romero working more on sinking and cutting his fastball rather than just throwing it hard. He’s a plus on-mound athlete who we anticipate will be a sinker/changeup No. 4 or 5 starter relatively soon. His season ended in mid-July due to an oblique strain.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Dominican Republic (SEA)
Age 23.1 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr R / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/50 45/45 50/50 55/60 45/50 92-96 / 98

De Los Santos was acquired from San Diego in the 2017 one-for-one deal for Freddy Galvis and reached the majors in 2018. He throws hard, has a good changeup, and makes good situational use of two pedestrian breaking balls. De Los Santos’ fastball plays down a little bit because he’s a short-striding, lower arm slot guy who doesn’t get down the mound all that well. He probably won’t blow hitters away as often as others who throw in the mid-90s do, but he still has a playable fastball. We think he’s a near-ready No. 4 or 5 starter.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Venezuela null
Age 20.1 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 175 Bat / Thr L / L FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/60 40/45 20/40 60/60 45/55 55/55

It’s been two and a half years since the Red Sox bonus packaging scandal of 2016, and Muzziotti has emerged as the best of the collection of prospects who were granted free agency in its aftermath. Muzziotti shares traits with many tweener/fourth outfielder prospects — he’s small-framed and lacks raw power — but what separates him is the verve in his hands and his promising feel for contact. A plus bat on a good defensive center fielder (or elite corner defender) plays every day, and Muzziotti makes a visual case for that kind of projection. He also struck out in just 13% of his full-season at-bats last year, which is impressive for a 19-year-old. Ender Inciarte and Brett Gardner are two examples of far right tail outcomes for players of this ilk.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2016 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 19.3 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr R / R FV 45
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command Sits/Tops
55/60 50/60 30/45 30/45 90-95 / 96

Morales is comparable to the high school pitching prospects who are selected at the back of the first or in the early second round. Like most well-regarded teenage arms, Morales throws in the mid-90s, flashes impact breaking stuff (he’ll snap off the occasional plus-plus slider), and is athletic enough for proponents to project in the areas where he is currently deficient. His long, deep, plunging arm action is quite violent and he has walked 12% of hitters he’s faced during his career, so there’s considerable relief risk here, but it’s not uncommon for teenage arms with this kind of stuff to struggle with strike throwing for a while. Morales’ stuff is good enough that, even if he turns into a crass, imprecise strike-thrower, it gives him a sizable margin for error within the hitting zone. He’ll also have to develop a better changeup. There’s mid-rotation upside here if that stuff comes, but it’s more likely Morales will be a dominant bullpen piece or inefficient backend starter.

40+ FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from La Costa Canyon HS (CA) (PHI)
Age 20.7 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr L / R FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 40/50 30/45 55/55 45/50 50/50

Moniak got onto scouts’ radar as a prep underclassman and was a classic projection hitter, showing plus speed and defense with a smooth stroke and projection to his frame. As the draft neared and he entered pro ball, Moniak added strength and lost a step (though he can still be an average center fielder) but struggled to make offensive adjustments. In the second half of 2018, Moniak turned the corner and stopped rolling over on pitches away; he also chose better pitches he could drive. He was also very young for the Hi-A Florida State League, which is notoriously pitcher friendly. In 2019, Moniak will start the season as a 20-year-old in Double-A Reading, which is notoriously hitter-friendly, and sources indicate he’s bulked up since the season ended. This, in combination with a more progressive, loft-oriented hitting coordinator, could make now a buy-low opportunity on Moniak, even if his numbers will be artificially inflated at Reading. There’s still a chance for a solid regular here, with fringe-to-average offense and defense in center field, and his age vs. level masks his ability a bit, but we’d like to see what changes are made in 2019 before totally buying in.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 22.8 Height 5′ 11″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40+
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Splitter Command Sits/Tops
60/60 50/55 55/60 45/50 93-96 / 98

Llovera had a bit of a breakthrough in 2018, teaching himself a splitter that flashes plus in the second half when he wasn’t happy with how his breaking ball was coming out of his hand. One pro scout we spoke with saw Llovera once early, when he was into the upper-90’s with a plus-flashing breaking ball, then saw him later with the same heater and the plus-flashing splitter, only this time, he wasn’t throwing the breaking ball much. That scout said if all three elements were together at once, it would be something like Kelvin Herrera (who was a 55 or 60 PV/FV at his peak). There’s some obvious risk that Llovera’s stuff plays below it’s peak 2018 showings, that his command is a bit below average, and that his size limits him to multi-inning relief, in which case he’s more of a 40 or 45 FV reliever who dazzles at times. He probably isn’t a 180 inning starter, but Llovera will be one to watch early in 2019 to see what sort of stuff he’s showing. He could be the next Phillies Latin power arm to be moved to relief who then shoots to the big leagues after Seranthony Dominguez, Edubray Ramos and Victor Arano. We like the makeup and ability to make adjustments, so expect his grade to be higher in 2019 if he continues doing what he did in 2018.

40 FV Prospects

12. Ranger Suarez, LHP
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2011 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 23.4 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 180 Bat / Thr L / L FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/50 50/55 45/50 50/55 45/55 89-93 / 95

Suarez is in the mix with Enyel De Los Santos, Drew Anderson, and Cole Irvin for the No. 5 starter job, and while Suarez is the second-best prospect of that bunch, the decision is likely to come down more to March performance and a short-term outlook on being able to navigate a big league lineup. At his best in short stints, Suarez works 92-95 and has hit 97 mph, but usually works a tick or two below that as a starter. When the arm speed is at it’s best, Suarez’s fastball has extra life and his curveball, changeup, and slider all flash above average at times. As a starter, Suarez is more average to a touch above across the board and is an innings-eating backend type, but there’s much less room for error and pitchers like this can find themselves on waivers when things get out of whack. Either version has big league value, but Suarez’s best role may be a multi-inning relief type with four pitches, and he may get a chance to do just that in 2019 at the big league level.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 20.0 Height 5′ 9″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr S / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/50 40/45 20/40 45/40 40/55 55/55

Marchan is an athletic, catch-and-throw guy with bat control and gap power. He hit .301 in the Penn League as a 19-year-old and now has three straight years of strikeout rates well below league average. He struggles to squeeze good breaking balls but is otherwise a promising receiver and ball blocker. So long as Marchan’s little frame can withstand the physical grind of the position, he could be a well-rounded every day catcher.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 21.0 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 155 Bat / Thr L / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/60 40/50 30/45 55/55 40/55 45/50

So unpolished is Brito that the Phillies omitted him from 40-man protection in November and he went unpicked in the Rule 5 draft. The quality of his at-bats remains inconsistent and he has yet to have a strong full-season statistical campaign. But he’s an above-average athlete with middle infield actions, a good frame, and very attractive left-handed swing. Solely on hand talent and defensive profile, we think Brito has considerable upside, but there’s a chance he’s just always a frustrating guess hitter. Brito will be the age of most college juniors next year and he’s already had a taste of Hi-A. Were he a junior at an SEC school, he’d be the kind of talent that goes in the second round if he turns a corner during the spring and performs, and in the fourth round if he doesn’t.

15. Nick Maton, SS
Drafted: 7th Round, 2017 from Lincoln Land JC (IL) (PHI)
Age 22.0 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 165 Bat / Thr L / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 45/45 30/40 55/55 50/55 60/60

Maton’s older brother Phil is a big league reliever for the Padres but Nick was below the radar as an amateur prospect. He was a 40th rounder from high school who went undrafted his first year at a junior college, then was a 7th rounder in his second year. Nick has done nothing but perform since entering pro ball and scouts have noticed, hanging average or better grades on four of his tools, with power still lagging behind a bit. The likely upside here is a good utility player, but the gap between that and a low-end regular is usually a good swing or approach adjustment. Maton doesn’t have the prettiest swing in the world, but a new hitting coordinator may be able to tease a bit more out of what has already been working so far.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 21.4 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 175 Bat / Thr S / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 40/40 20/30 60/60 50/60 60/60

Gamboa is a plus runner and thrower along with being a flashy defender who shows plus ability but needs to be a little more consistent with his execution. Offensively, there’s much less to get excited about; there isn’t much raw power, with even less in games (due in part to his contact-oriented mechanics), and his pitch selection comes and goes, as seen especially in a down 2018 season. Due to his glove, he was added to the 40-man roster and now there’s less chance his offense will get time to breathe, as he’ll be burning options and may be needed for emergency duty in the big leagues. Odds are Gamboa becomes a utility guy; he’s still young enough to be more, but it isn’t looking likely.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 20.2 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 240 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/45 70/80 30/60 30/20 40/45 60/60

Ortiz is a prospect of extremes: he signed for $4 million at age 16, and had 70 raw power as a 15-year-old (some scouts call it an 80 now) when he weighed around 250 lbs. (some scouts went higher on that number, as well). He’s a surprisingly good athlete and underway runner for his size, but there’s an obvious risk that he’s a bad-body right-right first baseman, which may be the worst hitter profile for a prospect in today’s game.

18. Starlyn Castillo, RHP
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2018 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 16.4 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 210 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
60/65 40/50 40/50 30/45 92-96 / 97

Castillo was one of the top pitchers in the 2018 July 2nd market, receiving the second-highest bonus and ranking third in the class for us when he signed. He has a strong, mature and somewhat maxed-out frame, though some similar pitchers have changed their body composition in pro ball and found more velocity and consistency. Castillo was up to 97 mph as a 15-year-old at the highly-scouted MLB international event in February in the Dominican Republic, and has touched higher in private settings. There’s still a long way to go, but currently Castillo has rare arm strength, good athleticism, and a good delivery without much else. When projecting someone this young, you can see off-speed pitches that flash average becoming crisper with maturity, and below average command turning into average command, and all of a sudden, you have an average or better MLB starter. Given his precocious skills, this is not completely unwarranted projection, but it’s mostly just that at this point, beyond the velocity.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 21.0 Height 5′ 8″ Weight 181 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/45 50/50 35/45 40/30 45/55 55/55

Duran is an athletic, workmanlike catcher with plus raw arm strength. He receives well, is mobile, and will show you pop times in the low 1.9s when his footwork is correct. So short are Duran’s swing and levers that it’s tough to beat him with velocity. He can muscle up and pull just about everything, and he was able to yank out 18 homers in 2018. That’s probably not sustainable, but the defense, athleticism, and contagious effort level make him a high probability backup.

20. Edgar Garcia, RHP
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 22.3 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 180 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Command Sits/Tops
60/60 55/60 40/45 92-95 / 97

Garcia had been yo-yo’d back and forth between the bullpen and the rotation during each of the previous two seasons, but was left to air it out in relief for all of 2018 and broke out, striking out 72 hitters in 64 innings and reaching Triple-A. He’s a classic two-pitch, single-inning reliever. Garcia sits 93-96 at times, 91-94 at others, and has a power mid-80s slider. The slider has bat-missing movement away from righties but just kind of tumbles when Garcia tries to throw it for a strike. He doesn’t have a great way of attacking lefties, which is part of why his usage may be limited.

21. Kevin Gowdy, RHP
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2016 from Santa Barbara HS (CA) (PHI)
Age 21.2 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr R / R FV 40
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command Sits/Tops
50/60 50/60 40/50 45/55 89-92 / 94

The pitches Gowdy threw on the final day of Philly’s 2018 fall instructional league were his first in more than two years due to an unfortunately-timed Tommy John and subsequent rehabilitation. He topped out at 92. In high school, Gowdy had No. 4 starter stuff. At his best, he’d sit 90-94 with pinpoint glove-side command of an above-average slider. He was in the 2016 draft’s crowded late-first and early-second round prep pitching picture, a group that hasn’t yet seen anyone emerge as several have required UCL reconstruction. Gowdy probably moves into the 40+ FV tier if his velocity and breaking ball are back in the spring, but he’s clearly behind the developmental curve for a 21-year-old.

35+ FV Prospects

22. Kyle Young, LHP
Drafted: 22th Round, 2016 from St. Dominic HS (NY) (PHI)
Age 21.2 Height 6′ 10″ Weight 205 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+

Purely on stuff, Young belongs in the bottom section of this list. His fastball lives in the upper-80s, sometimes 86-88, and he has a curveball and changeup that each project to average. But Young’s size makes him an uncomfortable at-bat, especially for left-handed hitters, and he has the tools to deal with righties when he’s locating, as he often is. In essence, this is a No. 6 starter pitchability lefty with extreme size, and we think the size impacts his stuff in a positive way. There’s no modern precedent for a pitcher like Young. 14-year veteran righty Chris Young has a similar build but was a superior athlete, and Kyle and Chris differ mechanically and stylistically so much that they’re not really comparable past their frames.

23. Kyle Dohy, LHP
Drafted: 16th Round, 2017 from Citrus JC (CA) (PHI)
Age 22.4 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 188 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+

Dohy entered pro ball with limited pedigree as a 17th rounder from a smaller SoCal junior college and walked a batter per inning in his pro debut. 2018 was a different story, as Dohy breezed through both A-ball levels, then finally ran into some trouble in Double-A as more advanced hitters didn’t just chase every pitch he threw out of the zone. Dohy will go back to Double-A at age 22 for 2019 and needs to dial in his command and approach to find a happy medium, but there’s some ceiling here if he does. Dohy gets into the mid-90’s from the left side, his slider and changeup both flash above average at times, and he has excellent extension. There’s reason to believe his command will always be below average, and his reasonable upside is a middle reliever, but it’s early enough in his prospect lifecycle to think there could be more.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 19.3 Height 6′ 0″ Weight 156 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+

Guzman proponents acknowledge he’s unlikely to do any offensive damage whatsoever, but they think he’s slick enough at shortstop to eventually play a low-end everyday role there. A small-framed 6-feet tall, Guzman has a low-impact swing path and below-average bat speed, but he’s an acrobatic infield athlete with good range and arm strength. He projects as an above-average defensive shortstop who plays a utility infield role.

25. Jake Holmes, 3B
Drafted: 11th Round, 2017 from Pinnacle HS (AZ) (PHI)
Age 20.6 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 185 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+

Plus-running infielders with some power aren’t readily available, which made Holmes’ acquisition an 11th round coup at $500,000. His frame and limited lateral agility made him likely to move off of shortstop, and Holmes is already seeing most of his playing time at third base. In possession of notable physical tools at age 20, but with relatively raw feel to hit, we have Holmes valued the way we would a good junior college prospect, and think he’s an interesting developmental flier.

26. Zach Warren, LHP
Drafted: 14th Round, 2017 from Tennessee (PHI)
Age 22.7 Height 6′ 5″ Weight 200 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+

Warren’s breaking ball has a tough-to-square angle and a rare ability to miss bats within the strike zone. He struck out 44% of hitters he faced in 2018. His velocity has ticked up a bit since college and now rests in the 91-94 range, and also forces hitters to reckon with a weird angle. The combination of deception and the breaking ball are probably enough to make Warren a dominant lefty specialist, but if his fastball also plays against righties he could be more.

27. Victor Santos, RHP
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2016 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 18.6 Height 6′ 1″ Weight 191 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+

Santos is pretty singular in the context of low-level pro ball but actually shares traits with a cluster of recent high school pitching prospects who unexpectedly grew into premium stuff. Just 17 when the season started, Santos dominated older GCL hitters for two months. He walked just four batters in eleven starts and struck out more than a batter per inning despite often sitting just 88-92. If he develops velocity, Santos could be very good very quickly because he can do everything else. He has a plus-flashing split-action changeup and can locate an average slider. His fastball moves, and he can run it back onto his gloveside corner or just off the plate to his arm side. But it’s hard to say if Santos will grow into more fastball because his frame is already maxed out. The scouting reports of rising high school seniors Jesus Luzardo and Forrest Whitley read an awful lot like that before each of them altered their training and conditioning, and experienced a huge jump in velocity. Whether Santos is a candidate for ‘reverse projection’ in this way is hard to say, but it’s fair to assume some growth on the fastball through sheer physical maturity. If Santos retains his command at greater velocities, he’s going to move quickly and could be a monster. If the velo doesn’t come, he’ll have to keep proving year after year that he can gets guys out with 40 velo.

28. Raul Rivas, SS
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela (PHI)
Age 22.3 Height 5′ 10″ Weight 160 Bat / Thr S / R FV 35+

Rivas is an athletic switch-hitter who plays good defense all over the field. He has gap-to-gap pop and runs pretty well. Rivas has never performed statistically, but he has several rosterable traits and might grow into more competent offensive ability late, as is sometimes the case with switch-hitters.

29. Bailey Falter, LHP
Drafted: 5th Round, 2015 from Chino Hills HS (CA) (PHI)
Age 21.8 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 175 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+

Falter doesn’t throw hard–he sits 88-91 with a pretty straight fastball–but he’s big and gets excellent extension down the mound, adding over two ticks of perceived velocity to his heater. He also knows how to operate up in the zone with his fastball, with good enough command to do it on the corners, and pair it with a big-breaking curveball, mixing in some changeups to keep hitters honest. There’s a chance for a unique backend starter, especially if the velocity comes a little more, but it’s more likely Falter becomes a spot starter or long reliever given the limited margin for error with which he operates.

Drafted: 9th Round, 2018 from Pinole Valley HS (CA) (PHI)
Age 19.3 Height 6′ 4″ Weight 170 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+

Pipkin is a frame/athleticism developmental project who signed for $800,000 as a ninth rounder. He has a prototypical frame and fluid delivery. He was up to 96 the summer before his senior year but topped out at 94 in pro ball. His feel for spin is just okay, and it’s more likely that a plus fastball and a changeup eventually drive his profile.

31. David Parkinson, LHP
Drafted: 12th Round, 2017 from Ole Miss (PHI)
Age 23.1 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 210 Bat / Thr R / L FV 35+

Parkinson signed as an over slot 12th rounder ($250,000) in 2017 and in his first full pro season was the 2018 minor league ERA leader and the Phillies’ Minor League Pitcher of the Year. Big-conference college arms are supposed to carve up Low-A, but Parkinson was especially dominant. He struck out 141 and walked just 35 in 124 innings, most of which came at Lakewood. He has plus command of average stuff, with the changeup flashing above, and the stuff plays up against lefties because of Parkinson’s lower arm slot. There’s significant risk that upper-level hitters tee off on his fastball, but Parkinson might do enough other stuff to offset the lack of velo and pitch at the back of a rotation. If the latter happens, Parkinson should materialize as viable big league depth pretty quickly.

32. Manuel Silva, LHP
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic (PHI)
Age 20.1 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 145 Bat / Thr L / L FV 35+

A twiggy, projectable lefty, Silva struck out a batter per inning in the New York-Penn League at age 19. He’s flexible and loose, currently sitting 87-93 with a four and two-seamer that Silva complements with a slurvy breaking ball and immature changeup. Much of Silva’s future depends on how much velocity comes as he matures. Realistically, he ends up with a bevy of average pitches and pitches toward the back of a rotation.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Venezuela (COL)
Age 22.2 Height 6′ 2″ Weight 210 Bat / Thr R / R FV 35+

Requena was acquired from Colorado in 2017 as one third of the Phillies’ return for Pat Neshek, along with Jose Gomez and J.D. Hammer, both 35 FV type prospects. Requena is just a touch above that level, despite being a somewhat generic right-handed depth starter. Requena has three average-to-slightly-above pitches that can flash 55 at moments due to his feel for pitching. It isn’t swing-and-miss stuff, and is probably more middle reliever or spot starter than rotation stalwart given pitcher attrition, but he has plus makeup, knows how to pitch, and should be in Double-A next year.

34. Ethan Lindow, LHP
Drafted: 5th Round, 2017 from Locust Grove HS (GA) (PHI)
Age 20.3 Height 6′ 3″ Weight 180 Bat / Thr R / L FV 35+

Lindow signed for $500,000 (late third, early fourth round money) as a fifth round high schooler in 2017. He has a four-pitch mix headlined by a slider/cutter and his 88-92mph fastball plays up because it approaches hitters at a tough angle. He’ll likely make his full-season debut in 2019 and projects as a No. 5 starter.

Other Prospects of Note

Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.

Catching Depth
Deivi Grullon, C
Juan Aparicio, C
Logan O’Hoppe, C
Abrahan Gutierrez, C
Edgar Cabral, C

Grullon has elite arm strength and hit 21 homers at Double-A last year. The power output was likely caricatured by Reading’s ballpark and Grullon is a slow-twitch, immobile defender, and a 20 runner with below average bat speed and is probably more of a third/inventory catcher than a true backup despite the hose and pull pop. Aparicio has a well-rounded collection of tools (5 bat, 45 raw, can catch, 45 arm) but at age 18, is a hefty 5-foot-8, 210, and it’s going to be tough to keep that frame in check. Gutierrez is similar. O’Hoppe was a nice late-round flier, an athletic, projectable catcher from the northeast with the physical tools to hit and catcher’s intangibles. He turns 19 in February and is probably going to take a while to develop. Cabral gets some Henry Blanco comps because he’s similarly built and is a tough guy with a 7 arm, but to say Cabral will have a 16-year career that starts in his late-20s is probably excessive. He profiles as a third catcher.

Young Lottery Tickets
Logan Simmons, SS
Leonel Aponte, RHP
Carlos De La Cruz, OF
Keudy Bocio, CF
Brayan Gonzalez, INF
Joalbert Angulo, LHP
Jhordany Mezquita, LHP

Simmons signed for $750,000 as a 2018 sixth rounder. He’s super toolsy but sushi raw and may never hit. Aponte, 19, has a projectable frame (6-foot-4, 150) and can spin a breaking ball (2650 rpm) but he’s a below-average athlete and only sits 86-90 right now. De La Cruz has a power forward build at 6-foot-8 and is an extreme power projection long shot. Bocio has plus bat speed and a lean, projectable frame but he’s an extreme free swinger. Gonzalez was sent to the NYPL at 18 and struggled, striking out in 40% of his PA’s. Visually he remains advanced on both sides, tracking pitches well and playing polished defense. He projects as a utility type. Angulo is a lanky, low-slot teenage projection arm. The Phillies wanted to sign Mezquita as an international amateur but he moved away from the U.S. and to the Dominican too late to qualify, so the Phillies stashed him in Hazelton, PA, where he didn’t play high school baseball, and drafted him in the 2017 eighth round. He sits 88-91 and has an average curveball.

Upper-Level Pitching Depth
Drew Anderson, RHP
Connor Seabold, RHP
Cole Irvin, LHP
J.D. Hammer, RHP
Thomas Eshelman, RHP
Colton Eastman, RHP

Anderson was off and on the DL a bunch in 2016, his first year back from Tommy John, but his stuff blossomed anyway and he was a surprise 40-man add that November. The Phillies have continued to develop him as a starter and he’ll likely compete for the rotation’s fifth spot in the spring. He has a four-pitch mix, and can spin a solid breaking ball. He’s a No. 5 or 6 starter type, like everyone in this group, except for Hammer who is a mid-90s/changeup relief prospect who was hurt for most of 2018. Seabold is a true 40 for those who think he has plus command of an average fastball and slider. Irvin is a soft-tossing lefty whose changeup has improved in pro ball. He dumps a ton of curveballs in for strikes and might be Tommy Milone. Eshelman and Eastman are similar pitchability righties.

Bat-only Types
Matt Vierling, OF
Dylan Cozens, OF
Austin Listi, OF
Ben Pelletier, OF

All of these guys need to hit a ton to profile because of where they are on the defensive spectrum. Vierling was the club’s 2018 fifth rounder out of Notre Dame. He hit well at Lakewood after signing and is a fairly athletic prospect who spent his early college career as a two-way player. He has some strength-driven power but probably needs a swing change to get to it in games. Cozens is the toolsiest player of this group and has elite power/size/athletic ability, but he’s also plateaued at Triple-A and has red flag contact rates. Listi has some strong underlying indicators (he hits the ball in the air and had strong peripherals at Hi-A last year) but he’s 25, very old for the levels at which he has competed, and looked out of place in the AFL from a tools standpoint. Pelletier is only 20 and has promising hitter’s hands, but imbalanced footwork. If that gets cleaned up, he might break out as he’s performed for two straight years despite these issues.

Pitching Curiosities
Ramon Rosso, RHP
Josh Tols, LHP
Damon Jones, LHP
Jose Taveras, RHP

Rosso is a low slot cutter/breaking ball righty who struck more than a batter per inning over a season split between Low and Hi-A. He sits in the upper-80s and his stuff doesn’t appear to merit the results he’s already gotten, so we might be underrating him. Tols is 29 and has a work of art, 69 mph curveball that spins at 3050 rpm. He’s physically and mechanically similar to Timmy Collins but doesn’t throw nearly as hard. Jones is a big-bodied, 24-year-old lefty whose fastball plays above it’s velo due to deception and extension. He has an average curveball. Taveras’ velocity was way down last year, but he’s a similar extension/deception arm whose stuff is good in short stints before hitters can adjust.

System Overview

The new Phillies regime has been around long enough that it’s now fair to attempt to identify talent acquisition trends. Perhaps mostly notable so far is how the club has targeted upside in the middle rounds, often scooping up $500,000 – $1 million prep prospects in the fifth to 11th rounds. The player development arm of the organization is transitioning to the philosophy du jour, as the org has brought on adventurous, contemporary thinkers like Driveline Baseball’s Jason Ochart, who will oversee hitting instruction. Several of the prospects in this system would benefit from well-executed swing alterations (especially Haseley and Bohm, and perhaps Moniak), arguably making the new player development infrastructure the focal point of the organization’s growth now that the big league team is good again.

Despite having graduated or traded five 45 FV or better prospects in the last year, the Phillies have a respectable group of high-end talent largely thanks to the emergence of several additions from 2017. Paired with high-upside players like Bohm and Garcia is an awful lot of interesting depth, specifically from Venezuela, which is notable because political and social unrest in the country have made it dangerous and difficult to eat and obtain medicine there, let alone find baseball players.

There are fourteen Venezuelans on this list if we include those in the Others of Note section, which is a much greater number than any other organization we’ve audited so far. The Phillies have several Venezuelan people in influential front office positions and are one of the few teams to still operate an academy there at a time when the U.S. government and MLB have advised citizens and team employees to avoid the country or reconsider travel there.

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4 years ago

A few thoughts…

-What stands out to me the most is the high floors. There are a lot of guys here who look like low-end regulars (Haseley, Moniak, Marchan, Maton, Duran) and high-probability 4/5 starters (de los Santos, Romero, Stewart)–but who seem pretty likely to hit those due to high floors. Even the guys with some upside potential have high floors–Bohm, Garcia, Medina, Howard, Llovera–have pretty stable profiles, even for those guys in low levels. It’s an underrated system, and at the minimum, should mean Philly shouldn’t need to be caught in situations where they have to overpay in FA for anyone other than a star. And they have enough of these guys that I wouldn’t be surprised if they got some above-average regulars out of the bunch too.

-Lottery Tickets! Look at that 35+ section.

-With all the young guys in the system, this is going to be a team that’s going to struggle to protect everyone in the Rule 5 in a couple of years.

-I think both Marchan and Duran sound like really interesting prospects, and I would be all over them if the Phillies wanted to trade with me.

-Dylan Cozens is essentially what we thought the worst-case scenario for Aaron Judge was. You just can’t make a living striking out 40% of the time.

-I think Kyle Young is gonna be a blast, and I look forward to him pitching at the back half of a rotation throwing 86 MPH.

-Bad-bodied R/R 1st basemen never pan out, do they? Just ask the Phillies! (but obviously Ortiz doesn’t have anything like Hoskins’ track record)

4 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I spoke to a member of the scouting department at the beginning of the summer about Kyle Young and he was really excited about his length and delivery. He gave him a slight comp to Randy Johnson with obvious differences and said if he can figure it all out he can be really nasty. I’m curious and excited to see if he can develop into a meaningful big league piece.

4 years ago
Reply to  roblender

“Imagine Randy Johnson, except he’s a junkballer instead of the most overpowered power pitcher in your lifetime.”

(apologies to Nolan Ryan)

Ruben Amaro Jr.
4 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

You can never have enough talent that’s 35+ !

Art Fay
4 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I think you are right about the floors being high because you have to squint to see one super high ceiling in any of these 36 prospects. I’m not sure why the Phillies get credit for being some rebuilt, ready-to-compete juggernaut. A few nice players at MLB with OKAY control left but the cupboards are bare in the minors. I wouldn’t sign a big contract with this team for all the money in the world because nothing about this team and farm screams “winning” whatsoever. Super overrated.

4 years ago
Reply to  Art Fay

“This is one of the most talented pitching prospects on Earth.”

“Medina is right there with Sanchez in the Phillies system when it comes to upside. ”

No squinting required.