Top 42 Prospects: Milwaukee Brewers
Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Milwaukee Brewers. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. As there was no minor league season in 2020, there are some instances where no new information was gleaned about a player. Players whose write-ups have not been meaningfully altered begin by telling you so. As always, I’ve leaned more heavily on sources from outside of a given org than those within for reasons of objectivity. Because outside scouts were not allowed at the alternate sites, I’ve primarily focused on data from there, and the context of that data, in my opinion, reduces how meaningful it is. Lastly, in an effort to more clearly indicate relievers’ anticipated roles, you’ll see two reliever designations, both on my lists and on The Board: MIRP, or multi-inning relief pitcher, and SIRP, or single-inning relief pitcher.
For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed, you can click here. For further explanation of Future Value’s merits and drawbacks, read Future Value.
All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aaron Ashby | 23.1 | AAA | MIRP | 2022 | 50 |
| 2 | Garrett Mitchell | 22.8 | A+ | CF | 2022 | 45+ |
| 3 | Jeferson Quero | 18.7 | R | C | 2024 | 45 |
| 4 | Ethan Small | 24.4 | AAA | SP | 2021 | 45 |
| 5 | Brice Turang | 21.6 | AA | SS | 2023 | 45 |
| 6 | Reese Olson | 21.9 | A+ | SP | 2022 | 45 |
| 7 | Jackson Chourio | 17.3 | R | CF | 2025 | 45 |
| 8 | Mario Feliciano | 22.6 | MLB | C | 2022 | 45 |
| 9 | Abner Uribe | 21.0 | A | SIRP | 2023 | 45 |
| 10 | Korry Howell | 22.8 | A+ | CF | 2022 | 45 |
| 11 | Zavier Warren | 22.5 | A | C | 2024 | 40+ |
| 12 | Joe Gray Jr. | 21.3 | A | RF | 2023 | 40+ |
| 13 | Hedbert Perez | 18.2 | R | LF | 2024 | 40+ |
| 14 | David Hamilton | 23.8 | A+ | SS | 2023 | 40+ |
| 15 | Freddy Zamora | 22.7 | A | SS | 2024 | 40+ |
| 16 | Antoine Kelly | 21.6 | A | SIRP | 2023 | 40+ |
| 17 | Tristen Lutz | 22.9 | AA | RF | 2022 | 40+ |
| 18 | Max Lazar | 22.1 | A | SP | 2022 | 40+ |
| 19 | Eduardo Garcia | 19.0 | R | SS | 2024 | 40+ |
| 20 | Dylan File | 25.1 | AA | SP | 2022 | 40 |
| 21 | Eduarqui Fernandez | 19.6 | R | RF | 2023 | 40 |
| 22 | Victor Castaneda | 22.8 | AAA | MIRP | 2021 | 40 |
| 23 | Payton Henry | 24.0 | AAA | C | 2022 | 40 |
| 24 | Carlos Rodriguez | 20.6 | A+ | CF | 2022 | 40 |
| 25 | Bowden Francis | 25.2 | AAA | SP | 2021 | 40 |
| 26 | Joey Wiemer | 22.4 | A | RF | 2024 | 40 |
| 27 | Justin Topa | 30.3 | MLB | SIRP | 2021 | 40 |
| 28 | Felix Valerio | 20.5 | A | 2B | 2023 | 40 |
| 29 | Hayden Cantrelle | 22.6 | A+ | 2B | 2024 | 40 |
| 30 | Alec Bettinger | 26.0 | MLB | SP | 2020 | 35+ |
| 31 | Thomas Dillard | 23.8 | A+ | 1B | 2022 | 35+ |
| 32 | Hendry Mendez | 17.7 | R | LF | 2025 | 35+ |
| 33 | Angel Perdomo | 27.2 | MLB | SIRP | 2020 | 35+ |
| 34 | Je’Von Ward | 21.7 | A+ | RF | 2023 | 35+ |
| 35 | Alexis Ramirez | 21.9 | R | SIRP | 2023 | 35+ |
| 36 | Braden Webb | 26.2 | AA | SIRP | 2020 | 35+ |
| 37 | Micah Bello | 20.9 | A | CF | 2022 | 35+ |
| 38 | Cam Robinson | 21.8 | AA | SIRP | 2022 | 35+ |
| 39 | Evan Reifert | 22.1 | A+ | SIRP | 2024 | 35+ |
| 40 | Nick Bennett | 23.8 | AA | MIRP | 2023 | 35+ |
| 41 | David Fry | 25.6 | AA | C | 2022 | 35+ |
| 42 | Clayton Andrews | 24.5 | AAA | SIRP | 2021 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Recent International Signees
Luis Medina, OF
Gregory Barrios, RHP
Jesus Parra, 3B
Medina has an interesting swing: he takes a big leg kick but lands very upright, whereas most kickers have very flexible front sides. While he has fairly advanced feel for contact, most international scouts thought he was a tweener. He’s filled out some and now has a corner look. Barrios is a very athletic righty on the smaller side. He just signed in January and his stuff is currently below average, but he’s a promising athlete. Parra is a stocky infielder with an advanced bat.
Young Sleeper Arms
Juan Geraldo, RHP
Lun Zhao, RHP
Harold Chirino, RHP
Kelvin Bender, LHP
Geraldo was acquired from Philadelphia in 2020. He’s struggled to throw strikes out of the bullpen but he’s a 19-year-old sitting 92-94 with three viable pitches. Zhao had TJ late in 2019. He was up to 93 and flashed a plus-plus curveball (he averages 3,000 rpm) in 2018. Chirino missed all of 2018 with injury, then came back in ’19 throwing really hard (92-95, up to 97). He’s 23. Bender is an athletic, small high school lefty who shows good touch and feel in the bullpen but struggles to throw strikes in games. He’s an interesting athletic projection follow with a good changeup.
Potential Bench Types
Corey Ray, CF
Antonio Pinero, SS
Daniel Castillo, 2B
Ray was once my top-ranked draft prospect and there was a stretch in pro ball when he looked fantastic. But his swing is bottom-hand dominant, and he can’t catch velo at the top of the zone. His speed and raw power may enable a bench or part-time role in a rebuilding org. Pinero, 22 and currently on the 60-day IL, is a plus defender while Castillo, 20, is a collection of 40s with physical projection remaining.
Big Frames with Power
Ernesto Martinez, 1B
LG Castillo, LF
Cam Devanney, 3B
Chad McClanahan, 1B/3B
Martinez has a perfect baseball frame and elite, majestic raw power, and he also has one of the weirder, most dysfunctional swings in the minors. Castillo came to camp looking more lithe and has always had big power. His swing was also more athletic and he’s a good one to follow in 2021. Devanney is older but also has a great frame and big raw thump. McClanahan was a big bonus high schooler who has fallen down the defensive spectrum into the 1B/3B range.
Arm Strength
Lucas Erceg, RHP
Edinson Mejia, RHP
Erceg was once a top 100 prospect as an infielder but his swing and approach didn’t work against upper-level pitching. A two-way player as an amateur, he’s up to 98 on the mound. Mejia also has mid-90s heat but no idea where it’s going right now.
Sneaky Fastballs
Justin Bullock, RHP
Joey Matulovich, RHP
Justin Jarvis, RHP
Bullock has had the tiniest velo bump but it’s enough to put him more in the 92-93 range, and that’s made a difference. Matulovich has a backspinning four-seamer that misses bats and Jarvis is in the same generic area that Bowden Francis and Dylan File were once in. He’s a little more velo away from being really interesting.
System Overview
The Brewers didn’t have a sexy 2020 draft, instead taking a bunch of good value college players, and a couple of them really impressed scouts this spring, namely Wiemer and Warren. The velo gains of many older arms in the org are an indication to stay on the generic, four-pitch guys who sit about 90 just in case they eventually add a little something extra and become relevant. It’s perhaps more important to identify when the older guys are breaking out because there’s a narrow window of time between when those guys pop and when they’re in the big leagues. There’s a larger window to properly identify younger breakout guys.
My international sources are a little less apt to scout in Venezuela, and that might be contributing to my underrating some of the players in this system. I didn’t have as much background with Quero, Chourio, or Hedbert when they were amateurs, and it took a lot of in-person looks to properly slot them. It’s notable that this org is so active there.
Fastball carry and angle still rule the day in this org, with the Houston front office DNA obviously driving their player acquisition patterns. The Brewers also seem more likely to target players with either superlative contact rates or big top-end exit velocities more than they would like to take someone who has a generic blend of both.
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
Any hope for Larry Ernesto? He did not make the list.
Thanks to Eric and Captain Pabst’s Ghost.
The Three Stooges didn’t work when “Joe” replaced “Curly”.
KG replacing Kiley is like….
Top 42 Prospects: Milwaukee Brewers;
AKA: The assassination of Hedbert Perez by the coward Eric Longenhagen
A lot of guys on this list scare me because they are just totally missing one tool (usually command or hit, sometimes field) so I think I’m more down on this system overall. I don’t think Korry Howell is Monte Harrison but when you are getting tools that grade out that badly there’s a decent chance the whole profile collapses.
But Turang’s grades and writeup seem much better than the overall grade. Turang is very much in the “Erick Aybar zone”. If you can field shortstop at an average level and hit at an average level you’re generally in the 3-4 win area, and this looks very much like that type of player. To a lesser extent, Mitchell is like this too; he’s (I think) a year older and at a lower level but people underestimate the value of guys who can make contact and play a hard to fill position.
What about Cooper Hummel?
Warren was a whole lot of fun to watch at Central Michigan
Hoping the rest of the industry is more correct than you when it comes to Hedbert 🙂
Wondering if you had a chance to see Yujanyer Herrera at any point? Recent international signee who has been in the 90-93 range and maybe a bit higher with a pretty good looking changeup from what I’ve seen.
Also curious if Jake Cousins and/or Miguel Sanchez were close to getting a Topa type inclusion on this list?
Hm, I don’t know why but I thought this org had a lot more resources down on the farm. This looks much weaker than I thought.
FYI BA had their farm system ranked 28th in February
This is way better than I would have expected–a lot of 45’s based on the tools. There’s not a lot of track record here, partly because so many of their guys are young guys who haven’t been brought stateside and/or who lost a whole season to the pandemic, but also because there are a lot of guys where the path to the majors runs through improving one tool a lot rather than a bunch of tools a little.
Brewers have won the 7th most games in MLB since 2018, pretty crazy considering their payroll & what seems like perpetually poorly rated prospects.
With half a roster or so of long term assets already in place (Narvaez, Hiura, Wong, Adames, Urias, Yelich, Woodruff, Burnes, Peralta, Houser, Hader, Williams, Suter) there aren’t a plethora of gaping holes in need of immediate filling.
They’ve done a near complete 180 in pitching development since Stearns & company arrived. With some intriguing early season results on the position player side there is hope that maybe they’re figuring things out on the hitting side too.
Then you’ve got an increased investment in Latin America which is just starting to see some hombres trickling over stateside plus a top ten draft pool coming up?
Fun time to be a Brewers fan.
their pitching development is incredible. Thought they were gonna take a step back when Derek Johnson left, but lol that was foolish
Well the reason why their prospects are rated so poorly now is because almost all the highly rated prospects are now those good players majors you list (or are bad players on the Marlins). And I think you might be a little generous about not having major holes that need filling–the corner infield looks like it could use some serious upgrades.
If anything, I think this team needs to be pretty aggressive at the deadline this year. They are in a fantastic position to the win the division and they need to be thinking about what kinds of upgrades they need to hang with a full-strength Dodgers in a 7-game series. While Eric’s not totally crazy about this specific case, some of these guys like Joe Gray look awesome and also look like they are a ways away, and Narvaez improving so dramatically at catcher means that Feliciano is blocked. There are some obvious moves here for a team that is very likely to get to a longer series.
Isan Diaz and Brinson have to be the record for lowest WAR from a trade package right? Often big time players are traded for prospects that don’t work out, but Brinson and Diaz have combined for an incredible -4.9 WAR
Monte Harrison certainly would have been on your list too if it wasn’t so painfully obvious he couldn’t hit anything. 20-grade hit tool.
The pandemic here is leading to a situation which is definitely not unique to the Brewers, but is probably a bit more obvious here: There are a lot of guys who have been on these lists for a while and who are going to need Rule 5 protection in 2021 and 2022 but where you don’t have a ton of information on. In 2021, we’re looking at 40-man roster spots for Reese Olson, Korry Howell, and Max Lazar and they’re only in High-A, and guys like Eduardo Garcia and Edarqui Fernandez are still in rookie ball will need to be protected in 2022. The Brewers are fairly well equipped to absorb these decisions because they’ve drafted a lot of fast-moving guys lately but it’s going to be weird. Remember, active rosters are now larger than they were in the past and they’re going to be limiting the number of pitchers going forward. Rule 5 position player picks are going to be at an all-time high.
As a Mets fan it’s tough to see Valerio breaking out this year in another uniform, but absolutely was worth it for the memories Keon Broxton gave us during his 30 or so at-bats with the team. Sometimes you just gotta go for it!
Very clever of them to move Warren to catcher, he was one of my very favorite NCAA league prospects last year