Yogi Berra Was Certifiably Clutch

Yogi Berra’s playing career ended well before my time. He was a superstar of an earlier generation, and though he never left the public eye, I certainly don’t know him any better than any of you do. So much of his stardom was due to his character, and to receive revealing anecdotes, we have to turn to the storytellers. Others are better equipped to talk about Berra’s personality. Others are better equipped to talk about their interactions with him, about all the things he said, about his graciousness and about his legacy. Berra, like all of them, was more than a baseball player. Berra was a person like few of them, and to fully understand him is to spend most of the time thinking about what he was off the field.

But of all the functions of statistics, one of them is to allow us to connect to the bygone eras. Stories provide information about the type of person Berra was. Statistics provide information about the type of player Berra was. Berra played before I knew what was going on. He played before most of you knew what was going on. We never got to watch him, outside of a few old video clips, but by digging into the data, we have a means by which to appreciate how talented he was, and how unlikely his story turned out to be. Berra did have one of those rare larger-than-life personalities, and that’s what made him more than just a great baseball player. Yet he was an unquestionably great baseball player, and as it turns out, he was also unquestionably clutch.

It doesn’t take long to see what made Berra so good. The man could hit. He wasn’t always the best hitter on his own team, but he finished his career with a 124 wRC+. For the sake of perspective, Jorge Posada finished at 123. Scott Rolen finished at 122. That’s already outstanding, but Berra, over the course of his career, developed a reputation for clutch performance. Now, a lot of players develop a reputation for clutch performance. In that way, Berra isn’t unusual, as it typically only takes a few big hits to get the label to stick. But Berra’s numbers go beyond the ordinary. It was fact, not reputation, as we can get from the helpful Clutch statistic. Clutch is a measure of timing, and here are the highest position-player Clutch scores for as long as we have a record:

Highest Career Clutch Scores, Hitters
Player Clutch
Nellie Fox 12.8
Tony Taylor 10.3
Tony Gwynn 9.9
Pete Rose 9.5
Sandy Alomar 8.1
Yogi Berra 7.9
Bill Buckner 7.8
Pee Wee Reese 7.6
Tommy Davis 7.5
Billy Williams 7.4
SOURCE: Baseball-Reference Play Index

That’s Berra, in sixth place, standing as a player who elevated his game in more important situations. That’s not everyone’s definition of clutch, but it’s a perfectly good one, and this is preferable to the alternative. He was a career .285 hitter, with an .830 OPS, but in situations considered high leverage, he batted .308, with an OPS of .892. He was successful with the game late and close. He was successful with runners on. Berra, simply, turned out to be more valuable than his surface numbers would suggest, because he got more of his hits when they mattered. To, of course, say nothing about Berra’s performances in the playoffs, where he couldn’t stop winning the World Series.

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Just putting runs created over a common denominator, Berra ranks 210th all-time among hitters. But if you switch to RE24 — including some context — he jumps to 83rd, moving up 127 spots. That’s a nerdy way to re-assert that Berra excelled in pressure situations. This isn’t the sort of thing we usually talk about, because it’s usually nothing, but then Berra played for an awful long time.

Clutch aside, Berra as a hitter was defined by his ability to make contact and by his ability to hit for power. This plot covers what we’ll call the Yogi Berra Era, spanning from post-war to right before the mound was lowered. On the x-axis, strikeout rate, and on the y-axis, home-run rate.

berra-home-runs-strikeouts

There’s Berra, almost by himself. By these measures, the most similar hitter was Joe DiMaggio. The era was quite a bit different from the era we’ve been through more recently, but over the course of his career, Berra struck out less than half as often as the league average, and he homered twice as often as the league average. So Vladimir Guerrero becomes an unlikely comparison, although he couldn’t quite match either standard. Guerrero and Berra, obviously, were conspicuously different players, but in terms of their swing habits and power, they were cut from the same cloth.

And this is all about Berra as a hitter, completely leaving out that he spent the bulk of his career behind the plate, where he threw out nearly half of all attempted base-stealers. You don’t need to refer to WAR to understand that a great hitter has more value when he’s also a great regular catcher. Berra is remembered as maybe the greatest catcher in the history of the sport, and there’s just this one other thing — since Berra debuted, no catcher has been listed with a smaller height. Berra is, officially, the smallest catcher to have ever played a thousand games, which makes his story all the more improbable. Prior to the beginning of his career, Berra was met with some skeptics, who didn’t think he’d be big-league material. The same biases to some extent still exist today. Berra emerged not just as a good and small player, but as a power-hitting small catcher with innumerable leadership traits. The odds were long against him, but Berra overcame every single hurdle.

There are so many different ways and reasons to remember Yogi Berra. On the field, he was improbably excellent, durable and powerful and aggressive and clutch. Off the field, he was beloved universally, incomparably, all that somehow overshadowing a legitimate Hall-of-Fame career. It only follows, then, that Yogi Berra was also a Hall-of-Fame person, but I’m pretty sure that’s not a thing that exists. In every way imaginable, Berra’s life was one of the greatest. His greatest gift to the world was staying as long as he did.





Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

47 Comments
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Westside guy
10 years ago

Wow. That was a truly excellent piece of writing – thank you, Jeff.

Phillies113
10 years ago

It ain’t over til it’s over.

RIP Yogi Berra

tz
10 years ago

Power/contact combo reminds me a lot of Beltre.

Another guy worth admiration from old-schoolers and saber folks alike.

Cool Lester Smooth
10 years ago

Wow, per B-Ref (since FG doesn’t have RE24 data before 1974), Johnny Bench’s RE24 was 70 runs below his RAA, and Berra’s was 30 points above. By RE24, then, they had nearly identical career WARs of 67.

K-Man
10 years ago

RIP Yogi. In your honor I shall mention one of my favorite stats ever:
In 1950, Berra had 28 home runs and 12 strike outs

28 home runs. 12 strike outs.

Well-Beered Englishman
10 years ago
Reply to  K-Man

Wow. That is incredible.

According to my cursory, possibly ignorant search of the single-season qualifying-hitter leaderboards, the most recent player to finish with more home runs than strikeouts was George Brett. In 1980.

AJS
10 years ago

Barry Bonds pulled it off in 2004 as well.

He and Brett are the only two since 1956, although between 1946 and 1956 it was accomplished 18 times (by 8 players).

Cool Lester Smooth
10 years ago
Reply to  AJS

Joltin’ Joe had more HRs than strikeouts, for his career, until his final season.

Captain Tenneal
10 years ago
Reply to  AJS

And that time period doesn’t even include Tommy Holmes, he of the 28 HR and 9 strikeouts. Do you know how many times he struck out? Nine times, Mrs. Bueller.

tz
10 years ago
Reply to  AJS

So did Lou Boudreau in 1948 – 18 HR and 98 walks but just 9 strikeouts.

Even his WAR (10.9) was higher than his strikeout total, making him the only player in baseball history to have a double-digit offensive WAR and a single-digit strikeout total in the same season.

(Not bad for a guy who was also managing his team to a WS championship.)

http://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=1001234&position=SS

Andy
10 years ago
Reply to  K-Man

Having more HR than Ks is very difficult today, but not unthinkable. You know what is unthinkable? More triples than Ks. But one year Stan the Man had eighteen triples and sixteen Ks.

Definitely a different era. Would like to see some FG analysis of why Ks were so much lower then. Is there a connection between that and lower BABIP? Albert Pujols is quietly having one of the lowest BABIP in major league history, and all of the players with comparably low values over as large a set of PA did it 30 or more years ago.

Andy
10 years ago
Reply to  Andy

Pujols is doing this, and HR aside having a horrible season at the plate, while still having one of the lowest K rates in the game.

dl80Member since 2026
10 years ago
Reply to  Andy

I would think the lower K rates come down to three things:

1) Batters saw strikeouts as shameful and did everything they could to avoid striking out: choke up on the bat, swing at anything close, wait until the last possible second for any kind of contact at all, etc. I think sabermetrics has shown that this isn’t always the most rational plan.

2) Pitchers didn’t throw as hard and didn’t have the variety of breaking balls. In one series now you might easily see two- and four-seam fastballs, cutters, changeups, splitters, curveballs, sliders, forkballs (well maybe not many of these anymore). And multiple different kinds and angles of each pitch.

3) Specialized bullpens. You rarely get to see the same pitcher more than 3 times in one game anymore. So you don’t get to time him and start winning the guessing game. Just as you think you’ve got it figured out, WHAM!, here’s a flamethrowing reliever with a 99 mph fastball and a 90 mph slider.

Max G
10 years ago
Reply to  K-Man

This has always been one of my favorite stats as well. Yes players struck out a lot less in 1950 than they do now, but even within that era, the 28HR/12K season was still something extraordinary to behold for all the reasons eloquently expressed in this article. Yogi had 656 plate appearances that year and struck out 12 times. !!!!! Say that out loud a couple of times. What an unbelievable season.

To put it into further perspective, 23-year old Hall-of-Famer Duke Snider had a great season that year, hitting .321 with 31 HR and he struck out 79 times. Snider hit only 3 more HR than Yogi but struck out more than 6 times as frequently.

Somehow Scooter Rizzuto won the MVP that year, but hit only 7 HR and had 39 Ks. He did score 125 runs, though. But that’s a story for another time.

On a side note, I live in Montclair, NJ, the town that Yogi has called home for more than the past 60 years. He has his own museum here, and was known to often randomly show up at the museum, showing folks various memorabilia and answering any questions they had about baseball. He was still doing that up until he was around 85 and began to have some health issues. He was very well-liked and enjoyed life and appreciated people. It feels weird to be saying, “was” when talking about him.

Yogi was and will continue to be a legend in many ways that transcend baseball.

Paul G.
10 years ago
Reply to  Max G

Phil Rizzuto’s MVP in 1950 is not that much of a surprise. By modern metrics he deserved it.

fWAR: 6.9. Tied for the best in the league with Al Rosen.

bWAR: 6.7. Tied for second best with Larry Doby. #1 is Ned Garver (8.2), a pitcher who went 13-18 for a really bad team.

I will miss Yogi.

Not that anyone uses it anymore, but by Win Shares he was the MVP too.

Youppi!
10 years ago

Nice piece. Monsieur Vlad was good at baseball and so few people saw him either in those Le Stade days.

isavage30
10 years ago

poor Bill Buckner, spent his whole career being clutch I guess, and then one play being really not clutch.

acommenter
10 years ago
Reply to  isavage30

At least he redeemed himself on that episode of Curb.

Sandy Hawkins
10 years ago

Great writing, as always.

Metsfan
10 years ago

Two amazing factoids I read today:

Harper already has more strikeouts in his career than Yogi had in 19 years.

And Yogi caught both games of a doubleheader 117 times during his career.

This points out what a generational difference there is between baseball today and 40-50 years ago.

RIP, Yogi

David K
10 years ago
Reply to  Metsfan

I think Harper also probably made more money in one season than Yogi did in his entire career — I’m too lazy to look this up.

DSC
10 years ago

Yah, players who do that well like Vlad usually go under-appreciated. Yogi got to play in media center so that helped his standing a lot of course. RIP.

tz
10 years ago
Reply to  DSC

Playing in a media center for a dynasty team did help Yogi get into the national spotlight.

His relatability and wit made him an icon. That’s why you get more folks reminiscing about Yogi than Reggie, who had even more of the media spotlight but was the polar opposite as a person.

Marco Scutaro
10 years ago

Interestingly, I learned that Yogi was known as a “bad ball hitter,” making the Vlad comp more accurate than one would guess.

a eskpert
10 years ago
Reply to  Marco Scutaro

My Grandpa always described him as the best bad ball hitter.

John C.
10 years ago
Reply to  a eskpert

I remember a quote from Berra about being a “bad ball” hitter. His response: “they all looked good to me.”

RIP Yogi. One of a kind.

Michigan & Trumbull
10 years ago

Wonderful job of summarizing an amazing ballplayer. Unlike the vast majority of folks here , i suspect , I saw him play- Late in close games we opposing team fans would count the outs to see if we could avoid seeing Berra or at least have him lead off an inning.

Andy
10 years ago

He even played a key role in one of his few (and for other reasons, one of the most famous) Yankee WS losses. In Game 7 in 1955, he hit that curling drive to left that Sandy Amoros just managed to reach. Had it fallen, the Yankees might have won that game, and series, and the Dodgers would still have been looking for their first WS championship.

michael caswell
10 years ago

His greatest accomplishment was surviving D Day. They played for the love of the game those days; most working during the off season. Yogi one of the greatest ball players ever. Those Yankees teams were great. There will never be another reign of domination in baseball like the 60’s as today they play for 90 percent money and 10 percent fame. Humble? How could he not be after D Day.

Pirates Hurdles
10 years ago

Not to diminish his service at all, but wasn’t he on a gun boat for D-Day, not on the beach? Still, an amazing life well lived.

John C.
10 years ago

He was on an LCSS (Landing Craft, Support, Small) – with morbid humor known to militaries the world over, crews dubbed them “Landing Craft, Suicide Squad” because they operated in close to the landing zone.

Berra’s service on D-Day had him operating well within range of the shore batteries, but his service as part of Operation Dragoon two months later was much more hazardous. During Dragoon Berra was grazed by a bullet from a Nazi machine gun and received a Purple Heart.

Peter R
10 years ago

That was a great article. Thanks Jeff.

carter
10 years ago

Also really appreciate this article, Jeff. Thanks for doing.

james wilson
10 years ago

Curious that no one makes the connection between Berra and Stengel. Both disguised intuition and great intelligence within mangled English. Berra learned from the master. When Stengel was fired after the 1960 season as he turned 70 the Yankees privately admitted that was the reason. Stengel responded that he wound never make that mistake again.

a eskpert
10 years ago
Reply to  james wilson

The best baseball quote ever is Casey Stengel’s “That boy couldn’t hit the ground if he fell out of an airplane.”

BigMax
10 years ago
Reply to  james wilson

If only we had transcripts of the conversations between them…

Sonic The Hedgehog
10 years ago

Growing up, I always wanted to have as many rings as Yogi Berra.

RIP.

Jackie T.
10 years ago

Last week we toured the Yogi Berra Museum and Learning Center… While ushering us between exhibits, Yogi passed a poster-sized photo of Robinson stealing home that day, Sept. 28, 1955. He gave it a quick glance, gestured with his thumb and muttered, “Yer out.” Then he kept walking.

“He does that almost every time he passes that picture,” whispered Kaplan.

John C.
10 years ago
Reply to  Jackie T.

Now he and Jackie can take up their argument again.

Andy
10 years ago

The thing about clutch, would not one expect by chance a few players to be outliers? Let’s suppose, in line with current thinking, that no player is reliably or predictably clutch, but on average, hits the same in low and high leverage situations. If you run a simulation with thousands of players, won’t a few crop up with clutch scores like that for their careers?

John Myhill
10 years ago
Reply to  Andy

Yes, this is an important point. What is needed is a p-value test to determine the chance of an individual outlier producing the observed behavior due to chance. For example, if a test is done on 1,000 players and only one of them produces a result of p<.001, but none produce a more significant result, or 10 produce a result of p<.01 but none produce a more significant result, then we can't conclude anything about the real significance of these outliers. Just like if we toss 128 coins 7 times each, there is an overwhelming likelihood that one of them will come up heads all 7 times, but that does not imply that that particular coin is biased towards heads.

Michigan & Trumbull
10 years ago
Reply to  Andy

Statistically sound thinking, a better question is – can we identify in advance someone who will be clutch next year ? . the 1950’s answer was “yes, it’s Yogi” , the modern answer is ” no , it’s random” the data is consistent with both hypotheses. In drug testing they are trying to disprove the null hypothesis that the drug has no effect — Likewise , we cannot use the data to disprove the hypothesis that “clutch” is not a repeatable skill – there will always be outliers. Equally , you cannot disprove the hypthesis “yogi was clutch ” with the same dat

The Economist Espresso
10 years ago

“You should always go to other people’s funerals, otherwise they won’t come to yours.” — Yogi Berra

WilsonOnHouse
10 years ago

Yogi believed in express reincarnation? Who knew!

a eskpert
10 years ago

I think we’ll soon observe that he must have gone to a fuck-ton of funerals.

Hurtlocker
10 years ago

Excellent article! RIP Yogi.
WOW, MVP votes 15 years in a row, won three times and was in the top 5 three other times. I’m pretty sure everyone knew how good he was when he was playing.

Richard Chester
10 years ago

Greatest differentials between HR and SO in a season (for more HR than SO): Tommy Holmes, 19 in 1945; Lou Gehrig, 18 in 1934; Joe DiMaggio, 17 in 1941; Yogi Berra, 16 in 1950