Archive for 2013

Q&A: Jake Peavy, Red Sox Pitcher

Jake Peavy has had a rollercoaster career. The 32-year-old righthander won the National League Cy Young award in 2007 while pitching for the San Diego Padres. A three-time all-star, he twice led the NL in ERA and strikeouts. He has also suffered a career-threatening injury. In parts of five seasons with the Chicago White Sox, he failed to put up the numbers he did in San Diego.

Last night, he did what the Red Sox had in mind when they acquired him at the non-waiver trade deadline: He made a quality start in a postseason game. Peavy talked about the evolution of his career — including mechanical changes related to the injury — late in the regular season. Read the rest of this entry »


MGL’s New Blog

MGL (Mitchel Licthman), the man behind UZR and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball, has a new spot where he’ll be sharing his baseball research and game strategy analysis.

Head over to baseballsolutions.org to read his playoff analysis and more!

From the site’s about page:

As the sole author of this site, I take full responsibility for everything in it . Feel free to comment, if comments be allowed; however, if I don’t like your comment for any reason, I will delete it. I am also quite grumpy, so if you don’t like surly, pettish, fractious, and sometimes downright churlish banter, this may not be the blog for you. However, if you like to read about occasionally interesting baseball analysis, this is definitely the site for you.


Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Nate McLouth

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Nate McLouth.

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A Minor Review of 2013: Cardinals

There is always a bit of a lull between the end of the minor league playoffs in September and the start of the annual top prospects lists in early November. Because of that gap, I’m breathing new life into an old feature that I wrote for the site in FanGraphs’ infancy back in 2008 and 2009.

The series ‘A Minor Review of 2013’ will look back on some of the major happenings in each MLB organization since the beginning of April as a primer for the upcoming FanGraphs Top 10+5 prospects lists. This series will run throughout September and October. I hope you enjoy the series and are eagerly anticipating the start of ‘Prospect List Season.’

The player listed in the sleeper section was featured in a pre-season series that looked at one fringe prospect in each organization that was expected to take a big step forward during 2013, chosen by myself, a scout or a front office talent evaluator.

The Graduate: Shelby Miller, RHP: Pick a rookie, any rookie. The Cardinals may have received more impact from the minor leagues than any other club in 2013. Miller produced the second highest strikeout rate (8.78 K/9) of any rookie pitcher with at least 130 innings pitched, behind only Jose Fernandez of Miami. After some inconsistent results in the minors, the Texas native is once again looking like a future top-of-the-rotation talent.

The Riser: James Ramsey, OF: Ramsey was a tough player to rank in the offseason because the third-party scouting reports weren’t as kind to him as the opinions I received directly out of the Cardinals organization. I finally settled on a home for the outfielder at the 11th spot of the Cardinals Top 15 prospects list. He went on to play at three levels in 2013 and finished the season in Triple-A. Ramsey showed unexpected power with 16 home runs and posted an OPS of .814.

The Tumbler: Carson Kelly, 3B: When I spoke to a talent evaluator last winter, he said Kelly might have the highest ceiling of any player taken by the Cardinals in the 2012 amateur draft. The 19-year-old third baseman opened 2013 in low-A ball but posted a .590 OPS in 43 games to earn a trip back to short-season ball where he regrouped. That same talent evaluator compared Kelly’s offensive potential to the Giants’ starting catcher Buster Posey, which is fitting considering the Cardinals decided to move the second-year pro behind the plate after the ’13 season.

The 2013 Draft Pick: Steven Farinaro, RHP: The right-hander was considered a tough sign due to his commitment to UCLA, as well as the mixed opinions on his future (starter or reliever). Only three other players (The first three picks) received a larger bonus in the Cardinals’ draft class than Farinaro’s $750,000 — even though he was selected way down in the 11th round. He had a rude introduction to pro ball when he posted a 6.29 ERA in 10 games (six starts).

The Sleeper: Tony (Anthony) Bryant, OF: This was a huge miss. Bryant’s raw potential caught the attention of a talent evaluator I spoke with in the winter. However, before the end of spring training, the young outfielder was handed his release papers and failed to appear in an official game in 2013 despite later catching on the with Washington Nationals.


Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: David DeJesus

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: David DeJesus.

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Michael Wacha Thinks Throwing Inside is Stupid

Note: I don’t actually know if Michael Wacha thinks that. The headline is hyperbolic in nature, designed to convey the ideas from the article in a way that make you want to read said article. Michael Wacha might think pitching inside is really smart. I haven’t asked him. I doubt it, though.

Yesterday, with his team facing elimination, Michael Wacha shut down the Pirates. Not just in a good October performance kind of way, but in a you-can’t-hit-this-so-stop-trying kind of way. He took a no-hitter into the eighth inning, and left having only allowed Pedro Alvarez to deposit one into the seats. For the day, he allowed a BABIP of .000, and it didn’t look like great defense being played behind him. It was just Michael Wacha dominating a pretty solid offense.

But perhaps the most amazing part is he did it with half the strike zone. The outer half, specifically. Michael Wacha decided that he simply didn’t have any interest in throwing to the inner half of the plate, and if the Pirates were going to hit him, they were going to have to do it by getting extension and driving a ball the other way.

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FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Analyzes All LDSes, Again

Episode 386
Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) the guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio — during which edition he analyzes every League Division Series that exists, if not for the first time.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 22 min play time.)

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Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 10/8/13

9:01
Jeff Sullivan: Wow, a live chat! Can’t remember the last time I did one of these!

9:01
Jeff Sullivan: In today’s live chat, we’ll just re-live yesterday’s five-hour Red Sox/Rays marathon. We begin in the top of the first…

9:02
Comment From Mr. Hand
You’re late, Mr. Spicoli, stop wasting MY time!

9:02
Jeff Sullivan: One a god damned minute!

9:03
Jeff Sullivan: Typos!

9:03
Comment From tylersnotes
to whom do i register my disappointment in the lack of articles about pitcher pace in yesterday’s sox/rays game?

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Juan Uribe The Unlikely Postseason Hero, Again

The Dodgers beat the Braves in Game 4 of the NLDS Monday night to clinch the series and move on to the LCS against either the Cardinals or the Pirates. The outcome of the game didn’t hinge on Clayton Kershaw‘s start on only three days rest, although for a while it looked like it would. The outcome of the game didn’t hinge on the Braves’ sending Freddy Garcia to the mound to try and save their season, although for a while it looked like it would. The outcome of the game didn’t hinge on Adrian Gonzalez‘s poor defense at first base or Freddie Freeman’s phenomenal defense there, although for a while it looked like it would.

Sure, those events played a role. They set the stage for the late-inning heroics that always seem to come from unexpected places in the postseason. Last night, in Los Angeles, the hero was Juan Uribe and his towering two-run home run into the left field bullpen that sent Dodger Stadium into a frenzy in the bottom of the 8th inning and sent the Braves home to Atlanta in defeat. A year ago, that moment would have been impossible to imagine.

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Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Nelson Cruz

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.

Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.

In this edition: Nelson Cruz.

Read the rest of this entry »