2020 ZiPS Projections: Miami Marlins

After having typically appeared in the hallowed pages of Baseball Think Factory, Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections have now been released at FanGraphs for eight years. The exercise continues this offseason. Below are the projections for the Miami Marlins.

Batters

I’ll share the good news first: The Marlins won’t have a good offense, but there are fewer gaping holes now than there were in 2019, when the team was able to outscore the Detroit Tigers, but couldn’t say the same of anyone else. (The team with the third-fewest runs, the San Francisco Giants, scored nearly half a run more per game than Miami did.) A lot of the team’s worst offensive performances — Curtis Granderson and Martín Prado combined for more than 600 plate appearances for some odd reason, hitting .183/.281/.356 and .233/.265/.294, respectively — are being replaced by players the Marlins brought in this winter. In Marlins terms, adding Corey Dickerson, Jesús Aguilar , Matt Joyce, Brandon Kintzler, and Francisco Cervelli constitutes a veritable orgy of spending. Along with players like Matt Kemp and Sean Rodríguez, who are signed to minor league deals, all of these guys are veterans, known quantities with few surprises.

That’s the bad news. Miami did improve their offense, but not by enough for it to actually matter in any real way. I don’t typically encourage teams to stand pat in the face of a bad roster, but all of these “improvements” are essentially dead ends. Very few of these players, if any, will be around for more than a year or two, and even fewer of them have real upside remaining. Risk is the best friend of a rebuilding team; certainty is the currency of the contender. The Marlins needed to upgrade their offensive talent, but it ought to have been with more Nomar Mazara types. I’m skeptical Mazara will ever have that breakout, but if he does, the White Sox are in a position to score massively, as the Blue Jays did with Jose Bautista.

The worst offensive projection in the starting lineup goes to Lewis Brinson, of whom ZiPS has officially been skeptical for more than a year now. Playing him is still the right move — see what I said above about risk — but he’s got to show significant progress in some aspect of offense if he doesn’t want to get swept away by the next wave of prospects. (That prospect probably won’t be Magneuris Sierra.)

Pitchers

The Marlins didn’t show the same lust for cheap veteran additions with their pitching, likely because this is a much more interesting bunch. ZiPS doesn’t see any of the starters as an obvious candidate to breakout, but it generally likes most of them to be in that league average, 96-100 ERA+ starter range.

ZiPS still isn’t quite sure what to make of Sandy Alcantara, whose strikeout rate didn’t match his velocity, even with his command improved from what it was in the minors. His projection is more serviceable than exciting, but the Marlins will take serviceable at this point. ZiPS is more optimistic about Caleb Smith and Pablo López; both are projected to improve from their 2019 lines.

And the Marlins have a highly interesting/entertaining bullpen, even with the loss of Nick Anderson and Tayron Guerrero, a pitcher who both throws 99 and has no idea where 99% of his pitches are going. It’s a fastball/slider feast in Miami, with only the White Sox pen throwing harder than the Marlins did in 2019; no team threw more sliders. ZiPS sees Jeff Brigham as a breakout candidate and Jose Urena as thriving in a full-time relief role. Ryne Stanek is a fun and versatile arm who I hope the Marlins don’t simply typecast in an eighth-inning role.

Prospects

ZiPS is ready for Sixto, and I don’t mean Lezcano. Sixto Sanchez conquered the Southern League last summer and though he has stuff that should be ringing up more minor league batters, he’s been young for his levels. The computer likes Sanchez’s long-term upside and thinks he’d actually be fine if he pitched in the majors right now, though I’d prefer the Marlins take the long view and iron out his flaws. The prize in the J.T. Realmuto trade, there’s little chance he doesn’t get a full slate of chances.

Jazz Chisholm is a 70 name, even if he’s not a 70 prospect. Chisholm is unlikely to ever be a star given some of the holes in his game, namely the Conan the Barbarian approach at the plate. He swings hard, often, and inaccurately, but ZiPS is tantalized by his power upside to such an extent that it has his peak “true” slugging percentages in the .470 to .480 range, which is quite nice from a shortstop. Problem is, it also comes with projected batting averages in the low .200s and on-base percentages under .300. It may come down to just how his glove plays in the majors; I don’t think the tradeoffs for the power are likely to be worth it if he has to move very far down the defensive spectrum. Zac Gallen is the better player, but I think the Marlins were right to seek a riskier player with an interesting ceiling.

Braxton Garrett had a promising return from Tommy John surgery, enough to make him relevant to the projections pretty quickly. ZiPS now sees him as a fourth starter with upside. Fastball/changeup lefty Alex Vesia is a relief prospect who ZiPS is highly interested in. His fastball’s not in Stanek territory, but neither is he Kyle Hendricks, and he struck out more than 13 batters a game at multiple levels in 2019, putting him on ZiPS’s radar. The system thinks he ought to be in the bullpen right now.

One pedantic note for 2020: for the WAR graphic, I’m using FanGraphs’ depth charts playing time, not the playing time ZiPS spits out, so there will be occasional differences in WAR totals.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Jonathan Villar B 29 3B 634 569 82 148 25 3 17 57 57 157 41 11
Brian Anderson R 27 RF 586 517 70 135 30 3 17 68 51 128 5 2
Miguel Rojas R 31 SS 505 465 50 125 23 1 7 45 28 58 7 4
Corey Dickerson L 31 LF 473 443 53 121 30 3 15 57 25 94 3 2
Jon Berti R 30 3B 362 323 46 78 12 3 7 29 30 80 22 6
Isan Díaz L 24 2B 540 481 68 114 21 3 14 63 55 136 7 3
Jesús Aguilar R 30 1B 420 368 50 91 16 0 17 63 43 97 0 0
Garrett Cooper R 29 1B 412 375 46 98 18 1 12 47 30 95 0 1
Christian Lopes R 27 2B 506 449 55 106 24 2 10 42 45 105 12 5
Matt Joyce L 35 RF 311 262 41 63 13 0 10 28 46 64 1 1
Jorge Alfaro R 27 C 451 419 42 100 16 1 14 48 20 155 3 2
Francisco Cervelli R 34 C 284 240 28 55 9 1 6 29 32 68 2 1
Eddy Alvarez B 30 3B 379 336 41 78 15 2 7 33 33 85 8 4
Ryan Lavarnway R 32 C 262 232 27 52 11 0 7 24 23 58 0 1
Chad Wallach R 28 C 200 177 20 38 8 0 5 17 18 58 0 0
Sean Rodríguez R 35 3B 198 170 25 32 5 1 7 19 22 69 1 1
Deven Marrero R 29 SS 389 355 41 74 14 1 7 31 28 103 7 2
Monte Harrison R 24 CF 451 408 50 86 14 2 12 40 33 162 22 5
Lewin Diaz L 23 1B 496 464 52 108 23 3 18 52 23 106 0 1
Jazz Chisholm L 22 SS 491 444 55 89 12 6 17 51 39 182 13 5
Martín Prado R 36 1B 288 268 27 68 13 0 2 22 17 43 1 1
Brian Navarreto R 25 C 300 279 25 55 10 0 5 20 11 64 0 0
Lewis Brinson R 26 CF 525 481 51 102 19 5 13 53 33 156 11 4
Jesus Sanchez L 22 RF 504 467 52 109 20 2 12 49 30 116 5 4
Julian Leon R 24 C 269 231 26 38 8 0 6 20 28 106 0 1
Isaac Galloway R 30 LF 300 279 34 62 11 1 9 29 15 87 13 5
Wilkin Castillo B 36 C 187 175 15 36 7 1 3 14 9 30 2 1
Nick Fortes R 23 C 298 267 25 54 10 2 3 22 22 55 1 1
Curtis Granderson L 39 LF 333 291 43 61 15 1 10 31 38 88 0 2
Adrian Nieto B 30 C 178 162 15 31 5 1 2 12 13 52 1 0
Gosuke Katoh L 25 2B 428 381 43 80 16 2 7 29 42 127 9 5
Matt Kemp R 35 LF 417 388 44 99 18 0 17 56 24 97 0 0
Matt Snyder L 30 1B 155 141 14 30 7 0 4 13 9 39 1 1
Harold Ramirez R 25 LF 552 515 59 132 25 3 10 53 25 108 5 3
Billy Fleming R 27 2B 286 260 28 58 12 1 5 23 20 71 1 1
Brian Miller L 24 LF 510 473 46 115 20 4 1 31 30 92 22 10
Jose Devers L 20 SS 330 307 28 69 8 3 0 17 16 59 8 4
Magneuris Sierra L 24 CF 583 550 55 131 17 8 4 38 26 109 25 11
Bryson Brigman R 25 SS 491 448 42 97 13 2 2 26 33 94 7 6
Demetrius Sims R 24 SS 386 343 35 63 13 2 5 25 28 133 7 9
Joe Dunand R 24 SS 531 482 47 98 20 1 8 41 31 146 1 1
Stone Garrett R 24 LF 431 410 37 87 17 3 9 38 15 139 10 5
Lazaro Alonso L 25 1B 441 389 42 78 15 0 8 34 49 149 1 1
Riley Mahan L 24 2B 478 440 40 85 17 2 7 36 26 167 3 1
Anfernee Seymour B 25 RF 396 366 34 77 13 3 2 24 21 126 16 10

Batters – Advanced
Player BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP RC/27 Def WAR No. 1 Comp
Jonathan Villar .260 .329 .404 99 .144 .332 5.2 2 2.7 Felipe Lopez
Brian Anderson .261 .341 .429 109 .168 .317 5.4 7 2.7 Mike Lum
Miguel Rojas .269 .316 .368 86 .099 .295 4.3 7 1.9 Jack Wilson
Corey Dickerson .273 .313 .456 106 .183 .317 5.3 3 1.5 Hubie Brooks
Jon Berti .241 .319 .362 86 .121 .301 4.4 5 1.4 Trent Durrington
Isan Díaz .237 .318 .380 90 .143 .302 4.3 -1 1.3 Jose Castillo
Jesús Aguilar .247 .326 .429 104 .182 .291 5.0 2 1.2 Damon Minor
Garrett Cooper .261 .320 .411 98 .149 .321 4.8 1 0.7 Matt LeCroy
Christian Lopes .236 .312 .365 84 .129 .287 4.1 -2 0.7 Bobby Morris
Matt Joyce .240 .354 .405 107 .164 .282 5.0 -3 0.7 Chris Chambliss
Jorge Alfaro .239 .288 .382 81 .143 .344 3.9 -2 0.7 Tony Pena
Francisco Cervelli .229 .339 .350 89 .121 .295 4.2 -4 0.6 Bob Stinson
Eddy Alvarez .232 .305 .351 79 .119 .291 3.8 2 0.6 Kevin Stocker
Ryan Lavarnway .224 .303 .362 81 .138 .269 3.7 0 0.5 Keith McDonald
Chad Wallach .215 .296 .345 75 .130 .289 3.5 0 0.3 Jeff Ontiveros
Sean Rodríguez .188 .291 .353 75 .165 .266 3.4 2 0.3 Dave McKay
Deven Marrero .208 .267 .313 58 .104 .273 2.9 6 0.3 Erick Monzon
Monte Harrison .211 .282 .343 70 .132 .316 3.6 0 0.2 Damon Mashore
Lewin Diaz .233 .272 .412 83 .179 .265 3.9 5 0.1 Kevin Reimer
Jazz Chisholm .200 .271 .369 73 .169 .294 3.4 -3 0.1 Benji Gil
Martín Prado .254 .299 .325 71 .071 .296 3.5 4 -0.2 Larry Biittner
Brian Navarreto .197 .236 .287 42 .090 .238 2.3 7 -0.2 Jeff Winchester
Lewis Brinson .212 .273 .353 69 .141 .285 3.4 0 -0.2 Victor Mendez
Jesus Sanchez .233 .282 .362 74 .128 .286 3.5 4 -0.2 Chad Mottola
Julian Leon .165 .269 .277 50 .113 .269 2.3 2 -0.3 Nicholas Derba
Isaac Galloway .222 .268 .366 71 .143 .290 3.5 1 -0.3 Nate Murphy
Wilkin Castillo .206 .249 .309 51 .103 .232 2.6 1 -0.3 Tony Pena
Nick Fortes .202 .272 .288 54 .086 .244 2.6 1 -0.3 Walt McKeel
Curtis Granderson .210 .306 .371 84 .162 .264 3.7 -4 -0.4 Greg Vaughn
Adrian Nieto .191 .254 .272 44 .080 .269 2.4 0 -0.4 Chris Tremie
Gosuke Katoh .210 .291 .318 67 .108 .296 3.1 -2 -0.4 Mike Neal
Matt Kemp .255 .295 .433 95 .178 .299 4.6 -10 -0.5 Walt Dropo
Matt Snyder .213 .277 .348 69 .135 .265 3.2 -2 -0.6 Jeremy Ware
Harold Ramirez .256 .299 .375 83 .118 .307 4.1 -5 -0.6 Victor Mata
Billy Fleming .223 .283 .335 68 .112 .288 3.3 -5 -0.7 Frank Kremblas
Brian Miller .243 .291 .309 65 .066 .300 3.3 4 -0.8 Darwin Pennye
Jose Devers .225 .274 .270 50 .046 .278 2.6 -1 -0.9 Mike Gallego
Magneuris Sierra .238 .276 .320 62 .082 .291 3.2 -2 -0.9 Josh Anderson
Bryson Brigman .217 .277 .268 50 .051 .270 2.4 1 -1.0 Mike Terhune
Demetrius Sims .184 .264 .277 48 .093 .283 2.1 1 -1.0 Brandon Chaves
Joe Dunand .203 .262 .299 53 .095 .274 2.6 -1 -1.1 Sergio Santos
Stone Garrett .212 .248 .334 57 .122 .298 2.8 4 -1.1 Mark Charbonnet
Lazaro Alonso .201 .293 .301 63 .100 .302 2.9 -5 -1.8 Chris Duncan
Riley Mahan .193 .246 .289 46 .095 .293 2.4 -2 -1.9 Chris Shaddy
Anfernee Seymour .210 .256 .279 46 .068 .315 2.3 -2 -2.2 Kevin Wiggins

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO FIP
Sandy Alcantara R 24 9 10 4.45 33 33 194.3 188 96 23 86 152 4.62
Pablo López R 24 8 8 4.10 26 26 127.3 126 58 16 36 111 4.15
Caleb Smith L 28 9 9 4.19 27 25 135.3 119 63 19 55 147 4.16
Trevor Rogers L 22 8 8 4.31 24 24 129.3 127 62 16 51 107 4.50
Daniel Castano L 25 7 8 4.50 30 15 128.0 135 64 17 43 94 4.63
Sixto Sanchez R 21 6 7 4.40 19 19 100.3 103 49 15 27 80 4.52
Jordan Yamamoto R 24 7 9 4.64 25 25 126.0 114 65 18 59 124 4.66
Braxton Garrett L 22 6 7 4.54 22 22 105.0 101 53 14 50 98 4.65
Sterling Sharp R 25 6 7 4.57 20 20 100.3 109 51 11 36 67 4.53
Alex Vesia L 24 5 4 3.47 36 0 59.7 50 23 6 24 71 3.52
Kolton Mahoney R 28 5 6 4.58 29 12 96.3 101 49 12 36 74 4.57
Edward Cabrera R 22 6 8 4.77 21 21 94.3 91 50 13 53 92 4.90
Elieser Hernandez R 25 5 6 4.79 30 21 112.7 109 60 21 41 119 4.77
Josh A. Smith R 32 5 5 4.57 28 11 84.7 87 43 13 27 72 4.57
Ryne Stanek R 28 2 2 3.84 64 0 72.7 62 31 9 33 86 3.83
Joe Gunkel R 28 5 7 4.84 23 16 96.7 109 52 17 17 62 4.87
Robert Dugger R 24 9 12 5.04 28 28 148.3 154 83 26 57 122 5.17
Brian Moran L 31 3 3 3.86 48 1 58.3 51 25 7 27 68 4.00
Dustin Beggs R 27 6 8 4.92 23 20 108.0 118 59 17 35 78 4.92
Brandon Kintzler R 35 3 3 3.78 58 0 52.3 51 22 5 14 40 3.87
Drew Steckenrider R 29 2 2 3.80 50 0 47.3 40 20 6 21 57 3.88
Jeff Brigham R 28 3 3 3.86 51 0 56.0 50 24 6 25 57 4.04
Nick Neidert R 23 6 8 4.98 19 19 94.0 99 52 16 36 79 5.02
McKenzie Mills L 24 4 6 4.85 29 13 94.7 99 51 12 44 71 4.88
Pat Venditte S 35 4 4 3.96 36 1 50.0 44 22 6 22 53 4.12
Jose Urena R 28 3 3 4.02 64 0 65.0 62 29 8 20 54 4.23
Cody Poteet R 25 6 8 5.12 23 23 121.3 134 69 18 46 77 5.15
Dylan Lee L 25 4 4 4.07 50 0 59.7 57 27 5 29 51 4.22
Tommy Eveld R 26 5 4 3.99 44 0 47.3 43 21 5 20 48 3.92
Yimi García R 29 2 2 4.24 56 0 51.0 49 24 10 10 53 4.47
Stephen Tarpley L 27 4 4 4.62 37 5 64.3 62 33 8 35 64 4.63
Tyler Stevens R 24 4 4 4.20 45 0 64.3 61 30 9 25 63 4.35
Aaron Northcraft R 30 4 5 4.90 29 9 71.7 72 39 11 33 62 4.99
Vincenzo Aiello R 25 4 4 4.20 39 0 49.3 45 23 5 26 49 4.27
Brett Graves R 27 4 5 4.76 36 6 70.0 70 37 9 35 59 4.84
José Quijada L 24 3 3 4.26 55 0 61.3 51 29 7 40 77 4.31
Josh Roeder R 27 3 4 5.11 24 10 75.7 84 43 12 29 48 5.28
Adam Conley L 30 5 5 4.41 65 0 65.3 66 32 9 24 56 4.54
Ryan Cook R 33 1 2 4.61 30 0 27.3 26 14 3 15 27 4.50
Jordan Milbrath R 28 3 3 4.65 37 1 62.0 60 32 7 36 55 4.81
C.J. Carter R 23 3 3 4.62 36 0 50.7 48 26 5 30 47 4.56
Jarlin García L 27 3 5 4.95 53 5 72.7 74 40 12 28 56 5.07
Chad Smith R 25 3 3 4.87 36 0 40.7 38 22 4 29 40 4.85
Alejandro Mateo R 26 3 5 5.09 38 3 63.7 65 36 9 34 56 5.05
Jorge Guzman R 24 6 10 5.71 24 23 110.3 109 70 17 81 96 5.84

Pitchers – Advanced
Player K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ ERA- WAR No. 1 Comp
Sandy Alcantara 7.0 4.0 1.1 10.1% 17.9% .284 94 107 1.9 Blue Moon Odom
Pablo López 7.8 2.5 1.1 6.6% 20.4% .296 102 98 1.7 Larry Christenson
Caleb Smith 9.8 3.7 1.3 9.5% 25.5% .286 99 101 1.6 Trevor Wilson
Trevor Rogers 7.4 3.5 1.1 9.0% 19.0% .291 97 104 1.4 Jim O’Toole
Daniel Castano 6.6 3.0 1.2 7.7% 16.8% .296 93 108 1.0 Chuck Stobbs
Sixto Sanchez 7.2 2.4 1.3 6.3% 18.6% .292 95 106 1.0 Larry Dierker
Jordan Yamamoto 8.9 4.2 1.3 10.7% 22.5% .282 90 111 0.9 Scott Holman
Braxton Garrett 8.4 4.3 1.2 10.8% 21.1% .293 92 109 0.9 Paul Maholm
Sterling Sharp 6.0 3.2 1.0 8.1% 15.1% .302 91 110 0.8 Joe Coleman
Alex Vesia 10.7 3.6 0.9 9.5% 28.1% .297 120 83 0.7 Jaime Cerda
Kolton Mahoney 6.9 3.4 1.1 8.5% 17.4% .300 91 110 0.6 Jim McDonald
Edward Cabrera 8.8 5.1 1.2 12.4% 21.5% .297 87 115 0.6 Dick Ruthven
Elieser Hernandez 9.5 3.3 1.7 8.4% 24.4% .293 87 115 0.6 Shawn Boskie
Josh A. Smith 7.7 2.9 1.4 7.4% 19.7% .296 91 110 0.5 Tim Harikkala
Ryne Stanek 10.7 4.1 1.1 10.6% 27.7% .293 108 92 0.5 Hector Carrasco
Joe Gunkel 5.8 1.6 1.6 4.1% 15.0% .295 86 116 0.5 John Doherty
Robert Dugger 7.4 3.5 1.6 8.7% 18.6% .291 83 121 0.5 Kyle Hartshorn
Brian Moran 10.5 4.2 1.1 10.7% 26.9% .299 108 93 0.5 Tippy Martinez
Dustin Beggs 6.5 2.9 1.4 7.4% 16.4% .298 85 118 0.5 Steve Finch
Brandon Kintzler 6.9 2.4 0.9 6.3% 18.1% .289 110 91 0.4 Clay Carroll
Drew Steckenrider 10.8 4.0 1.1 10.4% 28.2% .293 110 91 0.4 Ken Ryan
Jeff Brigham 9.2 4.0 1.0 10.3% 23.6% .291 108 93 0.4 John Riedling
Nick Neidert 7.6 3.4 1.5 8.7% 19.0% .297 84 120 0.3 Shawn Hill
McKenzie Mills 6.8 4.2 1.1 10.4% 16.7% .297 86 116 0.3 Chris Short
Pat Venditte 9.5 4.0 1.1 10.2% 24.5% .288 105 95 0.3 Moe Drabowsky
Jose Urena 7.5 2.8 1.1 7.2% 19.6% .284 104 96 0.3 Cecil Upshaw
Cody Poteet 5.7 3.4 1.3 8.5% 14.2% .295 81 123 0.3 Michael Macdonald
Dylan Lee 7.7 4.4 0.8 10.9% 19.2% .295 102 98 0.2 Marcelino Lopez
Tommy Eveld 9.1 3.8 1.0 9.8% 23.5% .295 104 96 0.2 Jerry Reed
Yimi García 9.4 1.8 1.8 4.7% 24.9% .287 98 102 0.1 Lance Carter
Stephen Tarpley 9.0 4.9 1.1 12.1% 22.1% .302 90 111 0.2 Todd Rizzo
Tyler Stevens 8.8 3.5 1.3 9.0% 22.7% .292 99 101 0.2 Brandon League
Aaron Northcraft 7.8 4.1 1.4 10.3% 19.4% .292 85 118 0.1 John Montague
Vincenzo Aiello 8.9 4.7 0.9 11.9% 22.4% .294 99 101 0.1 Joe Hudson
Brett Graves 7.6 4.5 1.2 11.1% 18.8% .295 88 114 0.1 Barry Hertzler
José Quijada 11.3 5.9 1.0 14.5% 28.0% .299 98 102 0.1 Grant Jackson
Josh Roeder 5.7 3.4 1.4 8.6% 14.2% .294 81 123 0.0 Bob Purkey
Adam Conley 7.7 3.3 1.2 8.4% 19.6% .297 94 106 0.0 Dave Tomlin
Ryan Cook 8.9 4.9 1.0 12.2% 22.0% .303 90 111 -0.1 Moe Burtschy
Jordan Milbrath 8.0 5.2 1.0 12.8% 19.5% .294 90 112 -0.1 Horacio Pina
C.J. Carter 8.3 5.3 0.9 13.1% 20.5% .299 90 111 -0.1 David Aardsma
Jarlin García 6.9 3.5 1.5 8.8% 17.7% .284 84 119 -0.2 Rich Folkers
Chad Smith 8.9 6.4 0.9 15.3% 21.2% .301 86 117 -0.2 Dave Cole
Alejandro Mateo 7.9 4.8 1.3 11.8% 19.4% .301 82 122 -0.3 Barry Hertzler
Jorge Guzman 7.8 6.6 1.4 15.6% 18.5% .288 73 137 -0.5 Dennis Lamp

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned, players who will miss 2020 due to injury, and players who were released in 2019. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in June to form a ska-cowpunk Luxembourgian bubblegum pop-death metal band, he’s still listed here intentionally.

Both hitters and pitchers are ranked by projected zWAR — which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those which appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

ZiPS is agnostic about future playing time by design. For more information about ZiPS, please refer to this article.

We hoped you liked reading 2020 ZiPS Projections: Miami Marlins by Dan Szymborski!

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Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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tobacco4snack
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tobacco4snack

Baseball

EonADS
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EonADS

Baseball?

Syndergaardengnomes
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Syndergaardengnomes

Actually, I agreed with you yesterday, on the Cubs ZIPS thread. However, looking at the Marlins, I’m not sure this qualifies as baseball…