2024 MLB Draft Combine Standouts: Hitters

The two of us were part of the FanGraphs contingent in Phoenix for the 2024 MLB Draft Combine last week. The first half of the week consisted of showcase events like batting practice, infield and outfield drills, and a game featuring many of the high schoolers in attendance. The back half of the week consisted of athletic and biometric testing, including the 30-yard dash.
Below are scouting notes for some of our favorite hitters from the event. Major League Baseball distributes a list of the top performers in several of the athletic tests to the media, but doesn’t share complete data. Eric recorded the electronic 30-yard times by hand as they unfolded; at the very bottom of the post is a complete list of those times, save for the couple he missed while he was schmoozing, eating, etc. (Update: Arnold Abernathy’s time has been added) We’ll have a post highlighting Combine pitchers, as well as a draft ranking update, to follow. The players aren’t listed in any particular order; our initials appear at the end of the blurbs we wrote.
Kellon Lindsey, CF, Hardee Senior HS (FL) – Florida commit
Lindsey ran the fastest 30-yard dash at the Combine in his two attempts, at an ice cold 3.53 and 3.55 seconds; it looked like he teleported from one end of the stanchions to the other. Tennessee commit Arnold Abernathy, Clemson’s Will Taylor and West Virginia commit Griffin Burkholder had the next fastest couple of times at right around 3.6 flat, and a few kids ran in the mid 3.6s, but nobody was close to Lindsey, whose infield workout suggests he’ll likely move from shortstop to center field in pro ball.
Don’t be surprised if you hear Lindsey compared to Trea Turner during the next month or so. Like Turner, Lindsey is a skinny speedster with defensive questions and a swing that needs to involve his entire body to generate thump. His BP in Phoenix was impressive and he’s much more physical than Turner was as a high schooler. Lindsey takes a comfortable hack, with bodily connectivity from head to toe. He’s short to the ball with his top hand driving contact, and he showed he could move the barrel around to make consistently flush contact during his session. Because Lindsey didn’t play a ton of showcase ball, the sample of reliable data we have access to is relatively small, meaning there’s substantial variability in projecting his hit tool, especially how he’ll handle breaking balls. But Lindsey thrived in the Combine’s showcase setting and could easily be someone’s multi-million dollar man if they believe he’ll hit. – EL
Aiden Harris, 3B, PDG Academy (VA) – Virginia commit
Harris is a 17-year-old from Virginia who showed some of the easiest plus raw power of the event. It’s a simple stride and rhythmic hand load with significant bat speed through the zone. Harris’ definitely looks to be an operation that is slugging oriented, and while it’s hard to get a great grasp during BP, there didn’t seem to be a lot of adjustability in the bat path. A 17-year-old who shows the type of power Harris did is definitely of note, though his swing-and-miss track record in high school is concerning. – TI
Chase Harlan, 3B, Central Bucks HS East (PA) – Clemson commit
Harlan is a Pennsylvania high schooler with a loose, fluid right-handed stroke, and he really knows how to rotate. Nearly everything he hit had backspin and was elevated with authority. He got into multiple balls to the pull side when he was really letting it eat, and he undoubtedly already has above-average raw power in his game. It’s a very efficient and repeatable swing that produced one of the best prep BP rounds of the event. There’s also obvious room for projection on the frame. Harlan hit four balls 108 mph or above during BP. He entered the spring with hit tool question marks that he wasn’t necessarily able to put to rest playing in PA. Because he’s a corner bat, teams may ask him to go to school to prove he can get to his power in games. – TI
PJ Morlando, 1B/OF, Summerville HS (SC) – South Carolina commit
Insert a Lil Jon GIF here, because I can’t hear you over Morlando’s BP. He had one of the most impressive power displays of any player in Phoenix regardless of demographic, depositing baseballs halfway up the right field bleacher seats with ease. It’s reasonable to see hit tool risk here, but Morlando’s high school bat-to-ball track record is much better than high school power bats who got $1 million – $1.75 million last year (George Wolkow and Eric Bitonti), so we’d project his bonus to be north of that. – EL
Eddie Rynders, SS, Wisconsin Lutheran HS – Kent State commit
Rynders’ bat path is geared for elevating without him selling out to create loft. He consistently gets extended out front on contact, which allows him to really get into his juice to the pull side. It isn’t a high-effort operation, but it isn’t light on intent either. He generates leverage with an abbreviated leg kick and utilizes his lower half to produce above-average power to the pull side. I’ve seen Rynders in game environments several times over the past couple of years in the Midwest and walk away higher on his swing each time I see him. – TI
Tyler Bell, SS, Lincoln-Way East HS (IL) – Kentucky commit
Perhaps our favorite all-around player from the Combine, Bell is a switch-hitter who showed authoritative, rhythmic swings from both sides of the plate, with his right-handed hacks producing more raw power. He drove the ball into both gaps during his left-handed rounds, with occasional over-the-wall pull-side pop. His right-handed rounds were heavy on hard, elevated contact, and he showed above-average raw power overall while hitting right-handed. Both strokes are compact, and he showed feel for manipulating the barrel in the zone. Bell also had one of the better infield sessions of the high school prospects. He’s had trouble hitting spin in games. – TI
Arnold “Jay” Abernathy, SS, North Cobb HS (GA) and Manuelle Marin, SS, ESB Academy (FL) – Tennessee commits
Abernathy gets the most out of his smaller frame by taking a substantial move forward in the box. He’s strong for his size and a rather explosive rotational athlete. His swing’s a little long, but that’s more acceptable for a hitter his size. He has the tools of a dynamic college leadoff man, and there are teams that give high school outfielders like this $500,000 or so in the draft.
Marin is rail thin, but has an aesthetically pleasing swing and controls the barrel pretty well for someone who would desperately need to put on strength to compete in pro ball. More than they are draft prospects for 2024 (I could see someone taking a mid-six figure shot on Abernathy), these two are talented guys to watch at Tennessee, especially Marin, who might break out with a few months on an SEC strength and conditioning program. – EL
Kale Fountain, 3B, Norris HS (NE) – LSU commit
Fountain is a prep bat from Nebraska who has a very loose swing from start to finish. He has a very simple pick-it-up, put-it-down trigger and only needs a short, easy hand load to generate above-average pull-side power. He maximizes the rotational phase of his swing, which contributes to him generating above-average raw power to the pull side. Fountain has been one of the premier prep bats in the Central Plains the last two years and also had one of the most projectable frames at the Combine. – TI
Myles Bailey, 1B, Lincoln HS (FL) – Florida State commit
Bailey shows impressive bat speed and a very steep path through the zone, which enables him to consistently elevate with authority. It has a look similar to Freddie Freeman’s swing, but Bailey doesn’t track the baseball with that kind of precision. He sets up and loads with his hands away from his body, and utilizes his lower half especially well. His already strong frame doesn’t have big projection, but there’s obvious upside here as a power-oriented offensive profile. – TI
Jared Jones, 1B, Louisiana State
Jones is a strong, mature-framed college bat with a rhythmic, high back-elbow hand load who scattered plus power to all fields during his rounds. It’s a loose swing that doesn’t force loft while having plenty of it. Jones has a simple, repeatable stride and utilizes his strong lower half well throughout his swing. There’s notable length in his swing, which will likely continue to result in pronounced swing-and-miss, but there’s certainly eye-catching power potential here. – TI
Jackson Strong, OF, Canisius University
Strong spent the last three years at Canisius University in New York, but will transfer to Kentucky next year if he returns to the amateur ranks. He has a lean, medium frame, and he hits out of an upright stance with a leg lift stride. His high back-elbow load creates natural loft in his path, which stays in the zone for a long time, and he has feel for manipulating the barrel. All of his over-the-wall power came to the pull side, and while it wasn’t the loudest raw at the event, Strong produced some of the most consistently authoritative contact in attendance. He swing is sweeter looking than it is explosive. – TI
Joseph Sullivan, OF, South Alabama
Sullivan showed some of the biggest power at the Combine, hitting several pull-side homers in excess of 110 mph, including two of the six hardest-hit balls in play at the entire event. He’s tightly wound and stiff in the hips but has uncommoon power for a lefty bat. He’s likely to come off the board in the middle of Day Two of the draft. – EL
Tytus Cissell, SS, Francis Charles HS (MO) – Missouri commit
Cissell is a tightly wound switch-hitting shortstop who blew up some of the lower body explosion testing at the Combine. He ran a 3.65 second 30-yard dash (a top 10 time at this year’s event), had the biggest vertical jump (32 inches with use of his hands), and was among the event leaders in ground forces generated when adjusted for the athlete’s size. He also had an impressive BP, showing a smooth stroke from both sides and hitting with surprising power for such a skinny guy. We know Cissell has had trouble hitting in actual games and consider him a toolsy dev project. – EL
| Player | School | Time |
|---|---|---|
| Kellon Lindsey | Hardee HS | 3.53 |
| Arnold Abernathy | North Cobb HS | 3.59 |
| Griffin Burkholder | Freedom HS | 3.60 |
| Tyson Lewis | Millard West HS | 3.60 |
| Will Taylor | Clemson | 3.61 |
| Andrew Patrick | Wright State | 3.62 |
| Sam Petersen | Iowa | 3.64 |
| Luke Dickerson | Morris Knolls HS | 3.65 |
| Tytus Cissell | Francis Howell HS | 3.65 |
| Cody Schrier | UCLA | 3.65 |
| Tytus Cissell | Howell HS | 3.65 |
| Kyle Walker | Grambling State | 3.65 |
| Ty Southisiene | Basic HS | 3.66 |
| Mike Sirota | Northeastern | 3.66 |
| Joseph Sullivan | South Alabama | 3.67 |
| Myles Smith | UC Irvine | 3.67 |
| Sawyer Strosnider | Brock HS | 3.68 |
| Sawyer Farr | W.E. Boswell HS | 3.68 |
| Donovan Jordan | Summer Creek HS | 3.69 |
| Jackson Strong | Canisius | 3.69 |
| JD Dix | Whitefish Bay HS | 3.70 |
| Khadim Diaw | Loyola Marymount | 3.70 |
| Cam Bufford | Grambling St | 3.70 |
| Josh Pyne | Indiana | 3.72 |
| Trey Snyder | Liberty North HS | 3.73 |
| Kaiden Lopez | Oviedo HS | 3.73 |
| James Nunnallee | Lightridge HS | 3.74 |
| Michael Torres | Doral Academy | 3.74 |
| PJ Morlando | Summerville HS | 3.74 |
| Noah Franco | IMG Academy | 3.75 |
| Eddie Rynders | Wisconsin Lutheran | 3.76 |
| Gabe Fraser | Orange Lutheran | 3.76 |
| Logan De Groot | Santa Margarita | 3.77 |
| Josh Evans | Peachtree Ridge HS | 3.78 |
| Nathan Flewelling | Notre Dame HS | 3.78 |
| Bryce Boettcher | Oregon | 3.81 |
| Sawyer Black | Wesleyan Christian | 3.81 |
| Myles Bailey | Lincoln HS | 3.81 |
| Jackson Hotchkiss | Battle Ground HS | 3.82 |
| Fenwick Trimble | James Madison | 3.83 |
| Burke-Lee Mabeus | Bishop Gorman | 3.83 |
| Ryan Stafford | Cal Poly | 3.84 |
| Dalton Wentz | Amhert County HS | 3.86 |
| Levi Clark | Walton HS | 3.86 |
| Kale Fountain | Norris HS | 3.86 |
| Will Turner | South Alabama | 3.87 |
| Carter Johnson | Oxford HS | 3.87 |
| Jakob Christian | San Diego | 3.87 |
| Adrian Areizaga | Leadership Christian Academy | 3.89 |
| Ronny Cruz | Miami Christian | 3.90 |
| Tague Davis | Malvern Prep | 3.93 |
| Jacob Walsh | Oregon | 3.95 |
| Sam Richardson | Lewisburg HS | 3.95 |
| Rustan Rigden | Metter HS | 3.95 |
| Coen Niclai | Service HS | 3.95 |
| Aiden Harris | PDG Academy | 3.97 |
| Anderson French | Red Land HS | 3.99 |
>recorded the electronic 30-yard times by hand
That sports leagues, which spend $100s of millions for talent acquisition, have collectively decided to use the least accurate method for the fundamental question of speed baffles the mind.
Also, that they call it “30 yard” instead of “90 foot” is amusing to me
“Major League Baseball distributes a list of the top performers in several of the athletic tests to the media, but doesn’t share complete data. ”
Next sentence says Eric did it by hand. So MLB has its own system and data but they do not share them with the public. Eric did what he could to capture the data the only way he could. It is surprising that they don’t share complete data considering how the NFL combine is covered. The MLB has tried to drum up interest in the combine and draft but eventually missed the part that a lot of the coverage of the NFL combine is data.
I assumed they meant the times were displayed and Eric wrote them down.
This is correct. At The Athletic Melissa Lockhard had Combine notes and included a tweet with video of Lindsey running. The time was displayed on the video display above the field.
MLB so badly wants to be the NFL. Mostly they want to be publicly funded for private profit like that league and most everything else in the freest, bravest place under the best and realest system ever. The more Data (all hail) the easier it is to see that Actually nobody is good, is overpaidz, and so our overlords should keep the monopoly money
Absolutely love articles like these. Thanks Eric and Travis! Great work as always
I hate to complain, since the work that is done here at Fangraphs is very interesting and entertaining, but I am a paying member (since the very first day) so I guess one complaint every once in a while should be okay. Fangraphs put 30 people on the MLB draft Board like 9 months ago and it has not seemingly been updated since. I feel as though if no updates will be made during the spring and summer, then putting that list up is counterproductive. It’s woefully out of date (Charlie Condon cannot in any universe not be a top-5 prospect and he’s at #24). I would humbly request that if a list like this is going to just sit there, just make it an article, which has a timestamp, so nobody looks like an idiot referencing totally out-of-date rankings.
I forgot that draft board was there. Your suggestion makes sense. At the very least, maybe they should note when the next update is coming. The draft if only a few weeks off.
I love the Fangraphs prospect coverage and will support it no matter what. But this is one example of a larger issue–there should be more releases and updates, even if each one is not as comprehensive.
The prospects coverage is very high-quality, but the way it is released needs to be restructured. This is definitely a case of Eric letting the perfect be the enemy of the good. There is something to be said for releasing a list in February, even if it doesn’t have comprehensive coverage of everyone in the complex leagues, and then updating it at the end of Spring Training. And not writing up players with FVs of less than 40 (or even 40+, or 45).
Alternatively: Maybe you can have a goal of having a Top 300 prospects list (approximately everyone who is FV45 and up) by the start of spring training? You could roll it out with the FV45s first, then FV45+’s after that, FV50s, etc like with the trade rankings pieces. And then you can release the team-specific lists after that?
This whole thing about having this being a set of rolling updates is great in theory, but realistically if you’re going to rolling updates you can’t do it by team like this. And getting it done early means that you can spend more attention on the draft.
Well said and I’ll add only this. The system and cadence they established worked very well…when staffed with two full time prospect writers. When it was EL and Kiley and EL and KG, there were roughly three team lists that would roll out every two weeks. That’s a pretty good clip of prospect lists, especially given the amount of information in those lists.
But that ain’t gonna work with one full time guy. It probably makes sense to employ some of your suggestions OR come up with a stripped down system/plan if a prospect staffer leaves.
Honestly after seeing Condon I think 24 is a reasonable grade for him. UGA’s stadium aint traveling to the pros
It’s not really the point to focus on one player but if you’d like to bet on professional, MLB evaluators agreeing with you and not every other list/mock draft available, I’ve got venmo and I’ve been looking to buy a new driver.
He plays half his game on the road, right? The most pessimistic viewpoint I can think of would have him in something like a six-way tie for fourth in the draft. Behind Bazzana and Jac and Chase Burns but at the same level as Braden Montgomery and others.
You got to remember that just because he has bust risk doesn’t mean he should be lower on draft boards. They all have bust risk!
(I personally think Condon is a co-number-one with Bazzana)
Sounds like I hope the Reds draft Condon
Unless the Reds really like Chase Burns or Bazzana (although the latter would only be relevant if he doesn’t get picked first) Condon seems like an obvious choice to me. And everyone who has filed a mock draft over the last couple of months.
I thought I was the low guy on Condon because he piled up a lot of these stats against bad non-conference opponents early. Okay, so maybe he played in a small stadium for half his games (I have no idea if that is true or not) and is unlikely to stick at third base or center field. But he showed enough athleticism to stick in right field for sure, had more walks than strikeouts, batted .433, and hit thirty-seven homers in three-hundred-something plate appearances. I’m increasingly convinced that as good as Bazzana and Jac and Chase Burns are, that anyone who plays in the SEC and puts up numbers like this is at least a 55. He’s probably not Aaron Judge or Giancarlo Stanton, but the bat reminds me of guys like Jorge Soler (on the low end) and JD Martinez (on the high end).