A.J. Hinch Successfully Plays Bullpen Minesweeper, Tigers Advance to ALDS

The Detroit Tigers continue to ride their wave of jubilation into October.
The most surprising playoff team beat the Houston Astros 5–2 in Game 2 of the best-of-three Wild Card round on Wednesday to advance to the American League Division Series. Manager A.J. Hinch successfully navigated a bullpen game that included only two turbulent innings. Tyler Holton, who threw just two pitches in Detroit’s Game 1 victory, acted as a left-handed opener to ensure the hard-hitting heart of Houston’s order (Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez) would be forced to take an at-bat against a lefty.
After a clean first from Holton, sinkerballer Brenan Hanifee entered the game and narrowly escaped a scoreless second inning that featured two heart-stopping foul balls off the bat of Jason Heyward, either of which would’ve been a one- or two-run double with two outs. Hanifee gave the Tigers five outs, wrapping up his day against Jose Altuve before another lefty, this time Brant Hurter, entered to face Tucker and Alvarez. Hinch’s shrewd matchups and the Tigers’ pitching staff held Tucker hitless in the series.
Every bullpen game comes with a sort of Russian Roulette-ish risk that any one of the pitchers might have a bad day and cough up the game on their own. Hurter, who had a microscopic 3% walk rate in his 45 big league innings this year, looked for a minute like he might be that guy. He surrendered four baserunners and four hard-hit balls across 1 2/3 innings, exiting when Houston’s lineup turned over to Altuve with one out and two runners on in the bottom of the fifth.
At that moment, Hinch called on high-leverage reliever Beau Brieske, who closed Tuesday’s Game 1, to face Altuve and the heavy-hitting part of the Astros order. After getting both Altuve and Tucker out to escape extreme danger in the fifth, Brieske became the pitcher of record in the next half inning when Parker Meadows broke the scoreless tie with a solo home run off of Hunter Brown, who had been dealing to that point. Brown’s pitch to Meadows wasn’t bad; it was so far inside that most hitters would’ve at best been jammed by it, but somehow Meadows tucked his hands in, steered it fair, and doinked it off the right field foul pole.
Parker Meadows doinks one off the foul pole!@Tigers lead! #Postseason pic.twitter.com/JQh3XumoZa
— MLB (@MLB) October 2, 2024
This was the lone blemish in an otherwise stellar day for Brown, who allowed just four baserunners and struck out nine across 5 2/3 innings. Brieske, who as a former soft-tossing starter turned fire-breathing reliever looks like he might be a Liam Hendriks sequel of sorts, navigated the rest of the top half of Houston’s order in the bottom of the sixth.
Then for a couple innings all hell broke loose. Hinch called upon 22-year-old Jackson Jobe, one of baseball’s best pitching prospects, to work the bottom of the seventh. Jobe, who entered the game with four innings of Major League experience, nearly had a nuclear meltdown as he plunked Victor Caratini, narrowly avoided a pitch clock violation, couldn’t hear the PitchCom through the Houstonian crowd noise, and allowed consecutive singles to Jeremy Peña and Mauricio Dubón to load the bases. Astros manager Joe Espada then pulled his bench’s power-hitting lever by pinch hitting Jon Singleton for Chas McCormick with the bags full and nobody out. After Singleton took a very healthy rip at an early-count pitch, which he fouled back, he hit a well-struck grounder to a diving Spencer Torkelson whose on-target, one-hop throw to the plate was bobbled by the usually sure-handed catcher Jake Rogers.
SINGLETON TIES IT UP WITH A RBI SINGLE! 0 OUTS, BASES LOADED FOR THE ASTROS IN THE BOTTOM OF THE 7TH!
— TheSportsChronicle (@ATSportssss) October 2, 2024
Not only had the Astros scored, but the Tigers had failed to notch an out, and suddenly the top of Houston’s order was due to hit with the bases still juiced. Altuve hit a fairly shallow fly ball into foul territory along the right field line, where Matt Vierling caught it. The right fielder seemed surprised that Peña made an aggressive attempt to score, and his rather lackadaisical throw home was barely too late to snare Peña. Houston took a 2–1 lead.
The @Astros take the lead in the 7th! #Postseason pic.twitter.com/NpQepFzbKO
— MLB (@MLB) October 2, 2024
With the Tigers seemingly flailing and Tucker and Alvarez due up, Hinch removed Jobe (who seemed miffed at Vierling’s effort on the prior play as he left the field) in favor of sinker/slider lefty Sean Guenther, who got Tucker to ground into an inning-ending double play to keep the Tigers within single-swing striking distance.
To say the Tigers responded to the lead change in the eighth would be an understatement. Houston bullpen fixture Ryan Pressly came in to relieve Bryan Abreu, who bussed Brown’s table in the sixth and worked an easy seventh. Pressly quickly surrendered two singles, threw a wild pitch that allowed the tying run to score, and then walked Colt Keith. Espada then pulled the ripcord on Pressly and inserted closer Josh Hader. Hader walked Torkelson to load the bases and then Andy Ibáñez — pinch-hitting for Zach McKinstry — cleared them with a three-run double hooked into the left field corner.
Andy Ibanez CLEARS THE BASES
Astros 6 outs away from elimination ?
(via @MLB) pic.twitter.com/c3fZ95Jx5R
— Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) October 2, 2024
The Tigers were back on top, 5–2, and they didn’t look back. Guenther worked the eighth and Will Vest, who ripped the sleeves off the bottom of Houston’s lineup across 1 2/3 dominant innings in Game 1, shut the door in the ninth to send the Tigers to the ALDS.

This postseason series win is the Tigers’ first since 2013, when the team was managed by Hall of Famer Jim Leyland and a carton of cigarettes. They have two off days before Saturday’s Game 1 tilt with the division rival Guardians in Cleveland. Right-hander Tanner Bibee, who has a 4.50 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP across 22 innings in his four starts against the Tigers this year, will start for the Guardians. Reese Olson, who was rostered for the Wild Card series but did not pitch, is the presumptive Game 1 starter for Detroit.
Houston’s season ends earlier than it has in any year since 2016, the last time the team failed to make the playoffs. The Astros had advanced to the ALCS in each of the past seven seasons, a borderline dynastic stretch for the franchise. Through that perspective, getting knocked out by the Tigers in the Wild Card Series is a major disappointment. However, at a certain point earlier this year, it would have been considered a miracle for this team to make the postseason at all. The Astros got here despite a glacial start to their season and several key injuries to their pitching staff. Those injuries may impact next year, too, as the timing of Cristian Javier’s and Luis Garcia’s Tommy John surgeries have them on pace for a mid- to late-season return rather than in early 2025.
Additionally, third baseman Alex Bregman, who was Houston’s best player in these two playoff games, hits free agency this offseason. With several highly paid Astros coming off the books (most notably Justin Verlander who didn’t pitch enough for his $40 million option to vest), the team has room to sign Bregman. That said, Tucker and Framber Valdez are both entering their third year of arbitration, and their futures with the club might be impacted by what happens with Bregman. Whatever happens, the Astros may not look the same for too much longer.
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
The Tigers honestly had no right winning this game but that’s kind of been the last 6 weeks for them, so I will gladly take it. Welcome to the ALCDALDS.
Didnt feel that way to me. Tigers generated more base runners and didn’t make any errors.
Agree it was dicey after Jobe’s fluky inning. Had a ball in pit of my stomach but optimistic they would pull it out…conditioned by the last two months! And, sure enough, they were more resilient once again.
Astros $34 million AAV of Pressly and Hader imploded. Didn’t feel fluky to me like the Astro’s runs prior half inning but rather the result of some hard fought at bats.
But might be my Olde English D bias there.
Heck of a game though and I’ll take it either way!
A team threw a bullpen game in game 2 of a playoff series and won, after 3 days without a meaningful game prior to game 1. Even just a few years ago, I would have assumed that team was getting bounced ASAP.
O brave new world that has such pitchers in’t.
Have you noticed how Cleveland made it in?
Detroit at least has a traditional ace in Skubal.
MLB 2024: as starters get shorter and shorter starts and quicker hooks even when ahead somebody has to fill the gap.
Over/under on pitchers going 7?
One? Two?
That is going to be one interesting series.
Mike King threw 7 shutout in Game 1.
Burnes went 8
King went 7
Skubal and Severino went 6 each.
Skubal and Ragans would almost certainly have gone 7 if they hadn’t gotten tweak injuries, too. Kind of revisionist to ignore that.
So, three in 8 games.
In a three-game series with 2-3 off days guaranteed.
Next up, a five game series. And 2 seven game series.
Even Kluber was gassed.
Why is it so hard to admit when you’re wrong?
3 in 8 games isn’t bad. I suspect you’re misremembering just how often pitchers went long back in the good old days. We’re not talking about a lazy July series against a few last place teams. This is the playoffs.
Good kitties.
Man was Michael Kay sounding giddy late in the game and I bet Cashman and Hal Steinbrenner had tears of joy and were purchasing Andy Ibanez jerseys. The Astros I thought were the only AL team that could beat Yankees this year. Kyle Tucker is a great, great player but man has he had some ugly numbers lately in October his double play was killer today. Scott Harris, Chris Fetter and AJ Hinch have done great work and the Tigers are fun to watch and should be for years.
“The Astros I thought were the only AL team that could beat Yankees this year. “
Yankees went 13-6 against the 3 remaining AL playoff teams. The team that played them best was the Tigers. The Yankees won the series 4-2, but the Tigers shut down the Yankees offense, only allowing 17 runs across the 6 games. The problem is the Tigers only scored 13 runs.
Of course, 3 of those were back in May when NYY swept Detroit..Detroit is VERY different since then.
I’m not sure that matters now. They are 0-0 now – playoffs are just a different beast.
It wouldn’t even begin to matter until the Tigers and Yanks advance out of the next round.
I am definitely picking the Yankees to win against the Royals but let’s be clear, the Yankees and their fans shouldn’t be celebrating anything that might happen in the ALCS before they get through the ALDS. The Yankees have a couple of superstars and the Royals lineup is not good. But the Yankees’ lineup is short, the Royals’ starters are good, and the Royals’ bullpen has stabilized with Bubic and Erceg. Many, many weirder things have happened than the Royals upsetting the Yankees in a best-of-five series.
2 off days in a 5 game series means the bullpens can pitch the majority of ALDS innings. Runs may be difficult
Making the leverage and stress higher.
The deeper the team goes, the harder it gets on the staff.
Different times from even 2016.
Probably but they will do it anyway
Put them in the trash can
Couple thoughts:
I didn’t think Jobe pitched that bad. The HBP was bad, but, the 2nd hit was more of a bloop & the 3rd hit was a infield single that McKinstry bobbled. If he comes up with that &/or Tork doesn’t bounce his throw, Houston may have come away with no runs.
Been thinking all year that Houston’s high $$ bullpen has underperformed & it showed up yesterday. I’m sure they were expecting dominance when they brought in Hader to go along with Pressley & Abreu, but,it was a tightrope all year with Hader especially- 8 losses, 12 HR, 3.80 ERA. Pressley had a down year, too.
The combined salary for EVERY PLAYER the Tigers played yesterday is less than $16M (& they used 7 pitchers & 2 PH)..Josh Hader makes $19M per year.
#baseball.
MLB Network running with the “let’s dunk on Fangraphs” graphic showing the Tigers with a 1 in 1000 chance of making the ALDS on August 1st.
“So you’re saying there’s a chance”
You know when a team is 8.5 GB with three teams ahead of them (the Astros and Mariners were tied for the West, so only one of them counts for this purpose) on August 1, I feel comfortable only giving them a 0.5% chance of even making the playoffs.
They needed:
That feels like a 1 in 200 type scenario to me.
Tangent: only 4 teams in the AL (DET, HOU, NYY, SEA) were over .500 after Aug 1 (and the O’s were exactly .500); that really helps when trying to leapfrog into the WC from where they started.
This is going to be a fun ALDS. Outside of Skubal, neither team has a truly dominant SP. Both teams have elite bullpens using different methods. Both teams put a lot of stock in their defense. Both teams have a similar lineup construction. Both teams are extremely young. Neither team was expected to seriously contend this season.
The Tigers have the slight SP edge thanks to Skuby(-doo), the Guardians have the slight bullpen edge. The Guards have the edge in batting, but not by a lot (and Kerry Carpenter is Scary Carpenter). Very similar defensive value. The only really lopsided area is speed, where the Guards whoop the Tigers.
There is just no way I would have ever predicted that the Tigers would do this to the Astros, who I thought were probably the best team in the playoffs on the AL side. But I’m also very excited to see it. Seeing the Astros win the last couple of years was only enjoyable because I like Dusty Baker, now they’re back to being another team where it’s fun to watch them lose.
The Tigers were underperforming their BaseRuns record for the first half of the season pretty substantially. Even after their ridiculous hot streak they’re still at zero. Nice to see that even out for a team that deserved some good luck to balance the bad.
I feel like the discussion is underweight on the possibility that the Tigers (or Hinch and his colleagues) are doing something really significant and lasting here. We’ve discussed for years the transition toward more relief innings and the occasional guy who pitches better in relief. But the Tigers seem to be coaxing great performance out of a lot of unheralded guys, which could be coaching but also could be related to their model. I recall seeing some pretty big deltas between xFIP and xERA for some of these guys, but eventually the sample size gets big enough that it’s credible. The benefits are obvious- eliminating platoons early, more concentration of the toughest innings and most leveraged innings in the best pitchers, maybe even fewer injuries .. etc. Is there a 10% chance that in 10 years lots of teams do variants of this? And of course, I recognize that the Rays did similar, but that was often couched as development, ie they get a new pitcher and change his pitch mix or move him along the rubber etc.
Agree and Hinch is aggressive on the position player side of the ball. Not afraid to get that platoon advantage in the 4th or 5th inning. Runs are as important early as they are late.
The way he rotates pitchers and position players in and out is something you are unlikely to do with a team of high priced players or primadonnas. Need a young team that’s bought in.
It’s fun to see a couple of leaders in the motor city who shake things up with their calling of game like Hinch and Dan Campbell.
That description of Jobe’s inning feels a bit misleading. He started off with a pitch that grazed a jersey. Then he got blooped to (near) death. Bloop single, bunt hit, routine ground ball which only was a problem because infield was in. Then a soft pop up foul which turned into a sac fly. It wasn’t a great outing, but he was more unlucky than bad.
P.S. love the mine sweeper analogy…it is how it feels!