Albert Pujols Grounded Into History
History was made on August 4. Technically, history was made again on August 13, and it was made again last night. It could be made again today, and it could be made further in any and every game hence. This is new history — expanding and developing history. It’s history without any limit. God only knows where the tally will stop. There is ever so much baseball to play.
Yet the moment of greatest significance occurred on August 4. Nearly two weeks ago, the Angels played a game against the A’s, with Troy Scribner starting opposite Jharel Cotton. It was a game I doubt that you watched, and it was an 8.5-inning game that somehow lasted more than three and a half hours. As the Angels batted in the bottom of the first, Mike Trout came up with one down and picked up an infield single on a grounder to short. That brought to the plate Albert Pujols, and Cotton gave Pujols a first pitch that he liked. Pujols saw the pitch, and he swung at it. His swing still basically looks the same as it ever has. Pujols swung, and he even made contact. Another grounder to short. The result of this one was different.
One pitch, two outs. Trout was eliminated easily, and somehow Pujols was eliminated even more easily still. This is the major leagues, and even the most talented defenders can look rushed. Double plays tend to have to happen in a hurry, and it’s not like the Pujols grounder was particularly well-struck. But watch as Jed Lowrie makes the turn. It’s smooth, but almost…hesitant. Lowrie takes his time. He calmly steps off second base, and practically lobs the ball to first. It’s the calmest double play you might see in a month. The A’s acted with little urgency because there was little reason for them to be urgent.
The inning so ended. On the A’s television broadcast, they noted the event and moved on. On the Angels television broadcast, it was all much the same. Perfectly ordinary, nothing out of the routine. The broadcasts went to commercial. There was no acknowledgment of the greater significance. Maybe there was later in the game, I don’t know. But as history happened, no one seemed to notice.
Here’s a miniaturized screenshot from Albert Pujols’ Baseball Reference page. You’ll notice, near the bottom, a tiny splash of gold. Gold denotes an all-time leader in a given statistic.
I shrunk the image on purpose, so as not to immediately give it away. But then, you’re smart, and I kind of telegraphed it. You know what the gold there is marking. You’re a step or two ahead of me. So let’s abolish any remaining mystery and get right to the point:
Albert Pujols has hit into 353 career double plays. The double play against Oakland on August 4 was career double play number 351. That’s when Pujols broke a first-place tie. That’s when he assumed sole possession. He’s hit into more double plays since, and that’s only inflated his record. Albert Pujols has become the all-time double-play leader.
If you just think about it quickly, it makes sense why Pujols now might be a double-play machine. He’s possibly baseball’s very slowest runner, and he’s a right-handed batter who pulls the overwhelming majority of his grounders. Pujols has also aged to the point where his body routinely betrays him, and he just can’t give what he used to. It’s not an accident that Pujols hasn’t posted a BABIP of .280 in five years. That’s not bad luck. That’s an indication that Pujols has been easy to throw out. Sometimes he’s been easy to throw out on the back end of a DP.
If you examine Pujols’ career, you can see that he’s always been somewhat double-play prone. However, unsurprisingly, the issue has become more pronounced as the years have rolled by.
Over Pujols’ career, the league-average double-play rate has been just under 11%. Pujols’ overall average has been just over 14%. That’s not a fluke, and so that tells you something real about what Pujols has been. But really, this post isn’t being written as an excuse to be critical. Because there’s more to this, as you might’ve already deduced. It seems like a bad thing to be the all-time leader in double plays. Indeed, I’m sure Pujols wishes it weren’t so. But it’s a bad fact implying good facts. Quietly, Pujols’ record is further evidence of how great his career has been.
Just to knock out one idea — Pujols’ double-play rate, per opportunity, has been 14.1%. That’s high, but it’s far from the highest. Here are the highest rates on record, given a minimum of 1,000 opportunities.
| Player | GDP% |
|---|---|
| Billy Butler | 19.0% |
| Yunel Escobar | 18.7% |
| Yadier Molina | 17.2% |
| George Scott | 17.1% |
| Tony Pena | 17.0% |
| Julio Franco | 16.5% |
| Lou Piniella | 16.3% |
| Ray Knight | 16.1% |
| Howie Kendrick | 16.0% |
| Paul Konerko | 15.9% |
Pujols is short of Butler by almost five percentage points. He’s short of teammate Escobar by almost the same. Those guys have been the real double-play kings, and one shouldn’t ignore the meaning of rate statistics. Pujols is the leader in a counting statistic. You have to do a lot right to manage to do so much wrong.
Pujols made his major-league debut in 2001, and, since 2001, no other player has made more plate appearances. Ichiro’s behind by almost 400. And in 22.8% of those plate appearances, Pujols has come up in a double-play opportunity. Only Ryan Klesko has posted a higher rate since 2001, at 22.9%. It’s a difference of a tenth of a percentage point. Pujols is in second, and it’s not a difficult number to understand. Why has Pujols inherited so many double-play opportunities? Because his managers have wanted him to bat with runners on base. For the most part, it’s worked out wonderfully — Pujols has been one of the very greatest run producers of all time. There’s been this one negative side effect to his brilliance.
Of course, Pujols isn’t so good now. It’s a reality that’s unlikely to go away, and it’s going to make the situation challenging. You should never let the end of a career change your perception of the peak. It’ll be easier to remember Albert Pujols for *Albert Pujols* when he’s no longer making so many outs, but maybe the strongest note here considers the players Pujols has recently passed on the list of double-play leaders. In fifth place is Carl Yastrzemski. In fourth is Hank Aaron. In third is Ivan Rodriguez, and in second is Cal Ripken. It was Ripken’s record that Pujols surpassed a week and a half ago. All those players are in the Hall of Fame, and Pujols will eventually join them.
There’s nothing complicated about this. You probably didn’t even need me to lay things out as I did. You all probably already understood what it takes to amass so many career double plays. It seems obvious, now, to talk about it. But, I guess, what’s the harm? Might as well make two things perfectly clear. One, Albert Pujols has hit into more double plays than anyone, ever. And two, that’s a compliment disguised as a criticism.
Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.



There’s a saying that it takes a really good pitcher to lose 20 games in a year. Yep, bad counting stats, either per year or in a career, means that the rest of what you did was so good they let you accumulate that counting stat.
Cy Young is the all time record holder in losses, hits allowed, and earned runs allowed (and also in a lot of good things).
And Babe Ruth is the most overrated pitcher ever.
With a career K-BB% of 0.6.
He was an average pitcher, at best. His regular season FIP- backs that up (100).
Everyone looks at his 0.87 postseason ERA (and scoreless streak) and crowns him.
His postseason FIP- was 120! His K-BB% was -1.7. Negative 1.7. This is during the dead-ball era. He struck out 8! batters of the 116 he faced. He walked 10 of em’.
Not even the greatest contact manager ever, could dominate like his ERA suggest, with 98/116 TBF, putting the ball in play. Over 93% of his success (ERA) was reliant on his teammates (including the +10 free baserunners).
He had a career era+ of 122 and FIP of 2.81.
Why the heck are going on about 3 games in the postseason? Sounds like a vendetta.
Are you presenting the ERA+ of 122 as a counterpoint?
I’m going on about his postseason “success”, as a question about why his WS stats (as a pitcher) are always presented during an WS game.
Counting stats meant you were healthy, more than they meant productive. (who were they going to replace you with, Kit?)
Should there be a qualifying limit? Yes. Being available is an ability.
We have come a long way since pitching meant pitching the whole game, though. Who knew pitchers are more effective the less a batter see’s them?
EDIT: +11 free baserunners (93.9%)
Last I checked, ERA+ wasn’t a counting stat.
I’d love to hear why/how Babe Ruth struck fear into opposing batters.
I acknowledge that this isn’t the specific platform to do so, but Jeff’s chat isn’t till’ Friday (hence why I couldn’t wait till’ then).
I wasn’t aware Ruth was in the Hall of Fame for his pitching. But if your point is Ruth was a terrible pitcher…
I don’t look at the 0.87 postseason ERA, I mostly look at all the dingers.
Since 2002 (the first year we have the stat) Pujols is actually only 7th-worst in wGDP (runs below average due to GIDP). Billy Butler is the worst, in almost half as many plate appearances.
You really have to set the table when you’re preparing for Country Breakfast.
Albert Pujols makes me very sad now. He can’t hit, he can’t run, and he can’t field. I’m going to go cry…
If you’re sad now, the next four years are going to be brutal.
So at what point do the Angels bite the bullet and move him down in the order? I don’t know what Pujols’ reaction would be — I’d think he’d be gracious about it, and not have it affect his production (such as it is), but what do I know. And I get that just out of deference to him and spinning it to the fanbase they’d rather wait until the offseason. But they’re kind-of-sort-of in the hunt for the wildcard (along with 40% of the entire AL) and they can’t afford to be giving away so many outs with runners aboard, can they?
I mean, now that he’s got the record, what are they waiting for?
They’re waiting for the RBIs to stop. When that happens, they’ll move him. He still has a positive WPA!
Forget moving down — it’s time to release him. He is actively killing the Angels at this point. A replacement-level player would be a big upgrade over him. Acquiring any of a number of players who have passed through waivers would really help the Angels. We all loved watching peak Albert, but it’s time to move on.
I’ve been wondering the same thing – at what point do they DFA Pujols? I know it won’t happen, and I expect him to rebound next year. The question is: rebound . . . . .to what? League average? A DH who can’t play the field any more, is a league average hitter and can’t run at all? Even if it’s better than this year, that’s still 0 WAR at best.
(Aside: just pulled up the DH leaderboard and good lord is DH a wasteland this year. Beltran, Trumbo, Morales, Napoli, VMart, Pujols, none of them are even league average hitters. Literally half the AL is running negative WAR at DH with 3 others barely above zero.)
It was kind of sad in a way to watch him chase 600 HR knowing he’s now officially a “shell” of his former self. It’s going to be even sadder next year to see him limp his way to 3,000 hits knowing he would not even be in the league if not for his contract.
Now I know what I was missing last week: articles by Jeff Sullivan.
Pujols has also put the ball in play a ton over his career. His K rate right now is 16.1%, which is his highest by far. His next highest is 12.4.
Future Hall of Famer with tons of PAs, with tons of guys on base, with tons of non-strikeouts is going to equal tons of double plays no matter what.
It’s not just that he puts the ball in play, it’s that he hits the ball hard (at least he did), which makes it easier to turn a double play when hit in the range of one of the infielders.
But yeah, it’s impressive that even with his struggles this season, he’s only on pace for exactly 100 strikeouts, which would be a career high for him.
Pujols is #2 all time in intentional walks, and he only trails the #1 guy (Bonds) by a mere 381. At the rate he’s accumulated free passes with the Angels, expect to see “Albert Pujols Walked Into History” some time around the year 2052.
And since the Angels don’t show any sign of DFA’ing the guy, you can expect him to put some distance between him and the next guy.
But they won’t. He’ll get 3K hits, and keep putting up negative WAR, and hopefully nobody forgets how insanely dominant he was. If he retired before this season, he’d be a Top 5 1B of all time easily (higher, depending on how you classify Stan Musial and what you think of Jeff Bagwell). He probably still is, but I just hope people outside of St. Louis don’t forget it.
Check the trail end of Pete Rose’s career to see what playing for stats looks like.
As a Cardinal fan, I see similarly unrushed double plays turned on a regular basis, sometimes even triple plays.
Since this is Fangraphs, I feel like the headline should have been Mike Trout Is On Base So Often He Allows Pujols to Set All-Time Double-Play Record.
Speaking of washed up guys who used to play in Anaheim, let’s pour one out for Jered Weaver who announced his retirement today. It’s really hard to keep going with an 83 MPH fastball.
Pujols runs like I do when someone stops their car to let me cross the road in front of them.
It’s sad. Coming into this year, Pujols was one of 32 players all time with over 100 career bWAR. That’s now down to 99.5 with his -1.7 bWAR this year. While it used to be tantalizing to think about where his career total would end up assuming a normal decline, now it’s downright frightening to think of how low it could get. Can he get back to 95? *shudders*
And, since this is FanGraphs, I’d be remiss to not point out that Trout is currently sitting at 250 all time, with only 12 active players ahead of him, 4 of whom (Hamels, Kinsler, Suzuki, and Sabathia…maybe Utley) he should pass next year.
Also career wRC+ dropped below 150.
He probably HAS to go for another year, just to get to the 3000 hit/2000 RBI thresholds. He probably wants to keep his career average above .300 and to have more walks than strikeouts in his career, though, so he does have incentive to retire once he reaches those milestones.
That’s a lot of money to walk away from. I suppose he and the team could rework the personal services part of the contract, but he has $87M coming for 2019-2021.
When you’ve made hundreds of millions, sometimes that money becomes less important than how your numbers appear on history books. I mean, he’s making it in there regardless, but I would guess that keeping those numbers, especially the batting average number, would be important for a player in his position.
And heck, if he only offers to give up $20M on the contract, that’s 20M that the Angels won’t have to pay for a player who might never be replacement level again.
This is nonsense, walking away for $90 million impacts you family’s long term future. I doubt he will give two craps about his final numbers when he lands in Cooperstown and his family is set for generations.
Jesus, how many generations of your family are you planning to set up for when you’ve already made $229 million in playing salary alone? What’s that $90 million going to impact, the number of Ferraris that Pujols’ great-great-great-grandson can have?
I’m not saying that $90 million isn’t an enormous sum to walk away from no matter how you slice it, but his family should be set for generations anyway.
I love it when fans say a player should walk away from million dollar paydays. It’s just about the stupidest thing I can imagine.
I can’t believe that idiot Bill Gates gives away billions of dollars. It’s just about the stupidest thing I can imagine.
People are most obsessed about what they don’t have. Just because you’re obsessed about those millions doesn’t mean a multi-millionaire is equally obsessed about them.
Aside from that, it’s also more important not to continue to look like a complete embarrassment out there for too long when everyone knows you just don’t have it anymore.
The Angels will almost certainly keep playing him next year. Based on his Fangraphs’ Depth Chart projections, next season he’s set to reach 3000 hits (75 left), pass Sosa/Thome/Griffey in HR’s (22 left), and reach 2000 RBI (111 left). At that point, he’d still easily be above a .300 average and have more BB’s than K’s.
At the end of the season, the Angels could release him as part of a rebuild. Pujols, who would have no more achievable milestones to reach, could announce his retirement and take a front office role with the Angels. Everyone wins.
Well, he could get to 700 or maybe even 715 HRs if he plays out the full length of his contract.
They’re gonna let him get to three thousand hits, and then he’s going to make them release him. No way he walks away from that unless he’s broken like Prince Fielder.
The Angels should put CJ Cron or Calhoun in the 4 spot. Both guys have a better wRC+ than Pujols. Albert has had a great career but they aren’t helping themselves make a playoff push by batting Pujols 4th at a sub 80 wRC+ for the season.
Even worse, they’re batting him third (while Trout bats second). He has to be the worst current #3 hitter in baseball, at least now that Dejong has solidified that lineup spot for the Cardinals.
You forgot to mention the fact that hitting into a lot of double plays is also an indication of making a lot of hard contact. After all, it’s much harder to “turn two” on a softly hit grounder. If course, it’s not as much of an indicator these days with him hobbling down the line on his lame foot, but it does partially explain why he also hit into a lot of double plays earlier in his career.