Author Archive

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 3/14/16

11:53
Q-Ball: How does one pronounce “Szymborski”? zim-BOAR-ski?

11:53
Dan Szymborski: Hey guys! Starting a bit early because I have to go strictly at 1 for an ESPN fantasy chat.

11:53
Dan Szymborski: Err fantasy mock draft

11:53
Dan Szymborski: there is no chat.

11:53
Bork: Any spring training performances catch your eye yet? Bad or good.

11:54
Dan Szymborski: Giolito curveball broke my laptop.

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FanGraphs Audio: Michael Baumann on College Baseball

Episode 638
Michael Baumann wrote formerly for Grantland and writes currently for Baseball Prospectus, Today’s Knuckleball, and D1 Baseball. In this edition of the program, he patiently answers simpleminded questions concerning the collegiate game — and, more specifically, examines Louisville’s Corey Ray, Vanderbilt’s Jeren Kendall, and South Carolina freshman pitcher Adam Hill.

This edition of the program is sponsored by Draft, the first truly mobile fantasy sports app. Compete directly against idiot host Carson Cistulli by clicking here.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 46 min play time.)

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The Top College Players by (Maybe) Predictive Stats

On multiple occasions last year, the author published a statistical report designed to serve as a mostly responsible shorthand for people who, like the author, possess more enthusiasm for collegiate baseball than expert knowledge of it. Those reports integrated concepts central to much of the analysis found at FanGraphs — regarding sample size and regression, for example — to provide something not unlike a “true talent” leaderboard for hitters and pitchers in select conferences.

Two weeks ago, I published the first such report for the 2016 college campaign; last week, the second one. What follows represents the third installment of a possibly infinite series.

As in the original edition of this same thing, what I’ve done here is to utilize principles introduced by Chris Mitchell on forecasting future major-league performance with minor-league stats.

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FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron Analyzes His Vast Ignorance

Episode 637
Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) the guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio, during which edition he examines Jhonny Peralta‘s injury and what it means for the Cardinals; Brett Anderson’s injury and what it means for the Dodgers; and, finally, the Royals’ penchant for outperforming their BaseRuns record and what it means for the Royals.

This edition of the program is sponsored by Draft, the first truly mobile fantasy sports app. Compete directly against idiot host Carson Cistulli by clicking here.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 41 min play time.)

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 3/7/16

12:02
Dan Szymborski: There’s a chat for us. Somewhere a chat for us.

12:02
Dan Szymborski: Loud and crude and open air, wait for us, somewhere.

12:03
Dan Szymborski: Noontime in U.S. FanGraphs a time for us. Time together with time to spare, time to yell, time to glare. Today!

12:03
daneyko: Carlos Rodon is ready to become an All-Star ?

12:03
Dan Szymborski: Maybe not this year, but I’d be surprised if he never had an All-Star type season.

12:06
Zonk: Unless your first name happens to be “Avisail”, it’s hard not to like the A-Jax signing for the White Sox. What say you?

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FanGraphs Audio: Good Friend of the Program, Jeff Sullivan

Episode 636
Jeff Sullivan is a senior editor at FanGraphs. He’s also the adult male friend on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

This edition of the program is sponsored by Draft, the first truly mobile fantasy sports app. Compete directly against idiot host Carson Cistulli by clicking here.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 23 min play time.)

Read the rest of this entry »


The Top College Players by (Maybe) Predictive Stats

On multiple occasions last year, the author published a statistical report designed to serve as a mostly responsible shorthand for people who, like the author, possess more enthusiasm for collegiate baseball than expert knowledge of it. Those reports integrated concepts central to much of the analysis found at FanGraphs — regarding sample size and regression, for example — to provide something not unlike a “true talent” leaderboard for hitters and pitchers in select conferences.

Last week, I published the first such report for the 2016 college campaign. What follows represents the second one.

As in the original edition of this same thing, what I’ve done here is to utilize principles introduced by Chris Mitchell on forecasting future major-league performance with minor-league stats.

Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs Audio: Dave Cameron on Getting That Money

Episode 635
Dave Cameron is both (a) the managing editor of FanGraphs and (b) the guest on this particular edition of FanGraphs Audio, during which edition he discusses how players with zero to three years of service time (like Gerrit Cole) or players who rejected a qualifying offer (like Dexter Fowler and Howie Kendrick) — how players like that can take steps towards getting their money.

This edition of the program is sponsored by Draft, the first truly mobile fantasy sports app. Compete directly against idiot host Carson Cistulli by clicking here.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 36 min play time.)

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 2/29/16

11:59
Dan Szymborski: We get signal.

11:59
Dan Szymborski: Main screen turn on.

11:59
Rick: ZiPS projection for wRC+ is on the individual player pages, but not on the mass spreadsheet or compiled projections page. Is there any way to fix this?

12:00
Dan Szymborski: No, because I don’t calculate wRC+

12:00
Outta my way, Gyorkass: I saw on the Brewers ZiPS page that O. Arcia is projected to be a +2 WAR player. Is that all in the defense? He’s hit well, but nothing above AA ball.

12:00
Dan Szymborski: A 20-year-old hitting like that in AA isn’t something to poo-poo.

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The Best of FanGraphs: February 22-26, 2016

Each week, we publish north of 100 posts on our various blogs. With this post, we hope to highlight 10 to 15 of them. You can read more on it here. The links below are color coded — green for FanGraphs, brown for RotoGraphs, dark red for The Hardball Times, orange for TechGraphs and blue for Community Research.

MONDAY
2016 New Pitch Tracker by Jason Collette
The data appear to suggest that, more often than not, the introduction of a new pitch leads to more success.

Grading the Offseasons for All 30 Teams by Dave Cameron
For the sake of authenticity, Cameron handwrote the first draft of this post all in red pen.

How to Search Your Favorite Baseball Sites with Launchy by David Temple
Temple examines a product marketed as a “keystroke launcher” — a phrase which, when uttered in German, will get you kicked out of the schnitzel house.

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