Cooper Hjerpe is catching up for lost time in the Arizona Fall League. St. Louis’ first-round pick (22nd overall) in 2022, the 22-year-old southpaw was out of action from late May to early September due to an elbow issue and ended up tossing just 41 innings. He was effective when healthy. Throwing from what my colleague Eric Longenhagen has called “a funky low-slot delivery,” Hjerpe fanned 51 batters, allowed 26 hits and posted a 3.51 ERA with High-A Peoria.

The Oregon State University product’s AFL stint with the Scottsdale Scorpions included a two-batter appearance in Sunday night’s Fall Stars game. Entering in the eighth inning, Hjerpe retired fellow former first-rounders Max Muncy and Jace Jung, the latter on a swinging strike. I caught up to the deceptive lefty after the game to ask about his pitch metrics and approach on the mound.

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David Laurila: We should start with a health update. What was the procedure you had this summer, and how is your elbow now?

Cooper Hjerpe: “I had what’s called arthroscopy surgery. A microscope went in there and took out bodies of cartilage. There were two pieces of cartilage at the front and the back of the elbow; they took them out and shaved what they came off of. It wasn’t like reconstruction surgery or anything like that. Everything is back to normal.”

Laurila: You throw from a low slot and approach angle, so I’m interested in what you can tell me about your pitch metrics.

Hjerpe: “The heater has changed a little bit. I don’t know if it’s the balls or what, but right now it has been like 10 vertical and 18 horizontal. The slider is anywhere from zero to negative-four vertical, with 14 to 16 HB [horizontal break]. The changeup is anywhere from positive-two to negative-three vertical, and negative-19 horizontal. The cutter, which I’m still working on, is 10 to 13 vert and around zero horizontal.” Read the rest of this entry »

Ben Rice led all New York Yankees minor leaguers with a 183 wRC+ this past season. Given the degree to which he’s flown under most prospect radar, it wouldn’t be unreasonable for you to read those words and ask, “Who the heck is Ben Rice?“

Here is a snapshot answer to that question:

A 24-year-old left-handed-hitting catcher, Rice grew up in Massachusetts and went on to attend Dartmouth College, from where the Yankees selected him in the 12th round of the 2021 draft. His first full professional season was solid but not especially notable; in 68 games with Low-A Tampa, he logged an .810 OPS and went deep nine times. This year was particularly notable. Playing at three levels — the majority of his games were at Double-A Somerset — he slashed .324/.434/.615 with 20 home runs in 332 plate appearances.

My own knowledge of Rice was admittedly next to nil prior to talking him in Portland, Maine in early September. Somerset broadcaster Steven Cusumano suggested Rice as a deserving interview subject, and as circumstances would have it, that conversation came moments later. Outside of having been told that the backstop had been tearing up the Eastern League — I later saw that his OPS was north of 1.000 — I basically went in blind.

I asked the erstwhile psychology major about his breakout. More specifically, why was he was enjoying such a boffo season with the bat? Read the rest of this entry »

Luke Little was an afterthought when our 2023 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects list came out in early July. Pitching for Double-A Tennessee at the time, the now–23-year-old southpaw garnered no more than an honorable mention on a list that ran 52 players deep. His stock has since risen markedly. By season’s end, he had earned a big league cup of coffee and thrown 6.2 scoreless innings over seven appearances. Featuring a high-octane heater and a sweeper delivered from a low arm slot, he fanned a dozen batters and allowed just five hits.

His numbers across three levels of the minor leagues were every bit as impressive. Over 36 appearances, all but four as a reliever, the 2020 fourth-round pick out of San Jacinto College had 105 strikeouts and surrendered 40 hits in 63.2 innings. He’s an imposing figure on the mound: The Charlotte, North Carolina native stands 6-foot-8 and weighs 270 pounds.

Little discussed his repertoire and delivery prior to a late-September game at Wrigley Field.

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David Laurila: Who are you on the mound? For instance, do you identify as a power pitcher?

Luke Little: “I like to think I’m a power pitcher. Obviously, I throw hard. At the same time, I like to think that I have good offspeed pitches. I’ve been really comfortable with my slider, and I’ve also got a good feel for my splitter now, although I haven’t thrown it too much.”

Laurila: How hard are you throwing?

Little: “Last night [September 19 against the Pirates], I sat 97 [mph] with my fastball, and my slider was 81–82. I was up to 99 with my fastball at the beginning of the year, [which is] the hardest I’ve ever thrown, when I was a starter [with High-A South Bend].” Read the rest of this entry »

Shintaro Fujinami has a good understanding of how NPB compares to MLB. Prior to signing with the Oakland Athletics in January (and subsequently being traded to the Baltimore Orioles in July), the 29-year-old right-hander spent 10 seasons with the Hanshin Tigers. Along the way he faced many of Japan’s top hitters, with Central League stalwarts such as Munetaka Murakami and Kazuma Okamoto among the standouts. The latter was the first name Fujinami mentioned when I asked which of his former position-player opponents would best perform stateside.

“I think that Okamoto, the third baseman for the Tokyo Yomiuri Giants, would be pretty good here,” replied Fujinama, who went 7-8 with a 7.18 ERA over 79 relief innings in his first MLB season. “He’s a power hitter in Japan, although a power hitter there isn’t the same as here. Power hitters in Japan won’t hit 40 home runs over here like Shohei Ohtani does. But he would do well.”

A 27-year-old right-handed hitter, Okamoto slugged an NPB-best 41 home runs this year while slashing .278/.374/.585. He’s gone deep at least 30 times in each of the last six seasons, a span that includes a .274 batting average and 108 strikeouts annually. Despite the not-low K totals, Fujinami believes that Okamoto possesses the bat-to-ball skills to handle MLB pitching. Moreover, he doesn’t feel that high heaters would bedevil the Yomiuri slugger.

“He has good contact-ability, and he’s also good at hitting fastballs,” Fujinami told me during our September conversation. “The fastball velocity here is higher than it is in Japan, but I feel that Okamoto could make an adjustment to that if he came here. I think that Okamoto can hit a fastball at the top of the zone better than Murakami. If I had to pick one to bring here to the states, I would pick Okamoto.” Read the rest of this entry »

Nick Pivetta had an intriguing and largely successful season. A starter to begin the year, the veteran right-hander was shifted to Boston’s bullpen in mid-May, only to return to the rotation a few months later and finish strong. Save for a smattering of rocky outings — mostly in the early going — he was actually solid throughout. All told, the 30-year-old Victoria, British Columbia native logged a 4.04 ERA and a 3.98 FIP over 142-and-two-thirds innings, the second-highest innings mark on the club.

He was often overpowering. Opposing hitters had a .207 BA and a .221 xBA versus his array of offerings, while his 31.2% strikeout rate ranked in the 93rd percentile among big league hurlers per Baseball Savant. An in-season addition to the Red Sox righty’s repertoire was especially effective: Pivetta posted a 44.4% whiff rate and allowed just a .114 BA and a .127 xBA on his sweeper.

Pivetta, who ended up making 16 starts and 22 relief appearances on the season, discussed his 2023 performance on the final week of September.

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David Laurila: How would you assess your season as a whole?

Nick Pivetta: “I’d say it was good. I mean, I think I’ve handled the situation well. I’ve gone out and given my best effort — I’ve competed and put everything on the line for the organization — and that’s all I really focus on. I’m always making sure that I’m doing the best I can for the team.” Read the rest of this entry »

Chad Dallas emerged as one of the top under-the-radar pitching prospects in the Toronto Blue Jays organization this season. Tossing a system leading 123-and-third innings between High-A Vancouver and Double-A New Hampshire — 18 of his 23 starts came at the higher of the two levels — the 23-year-old right-hander went 9-3 with a 3.65 ERA and a 4.08 FIP. Featuring a spin-to-win five-pitch mix, he fanned 144 batters (also the most in the system) and allowed just 98 hits.

Dallas, Toronto’s fourth round pick in 2021 out of the University of Tennessee, discussed his breaker-heavy arsenal and approach when the New Hampshire Fisher Cats visited Portland, Maine earlier this summer.

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David Laurila: What is your repertoire and M.O. on the mound?

Chad Dallas: “I throw a four-seam, a slider, a curveball, an occasional changeup, and I recently added a cutter. I spin the ball a lot. I don’t attack a whole bunch of people with the fastball. I like to attack with my offspeed, sort of a pitch backwards kind of deal. Some teams know that, so there are also games where they start sitting soft and I mostly attack them with the heater and the cutter. Either way, I’m out there trying to throw as many strikes as possible.” Read the rest of this entry »

If you’re not a Mariners fan — or even if you are — there is a pretty decent chance you don’t know that Gabe Speier, along with Toronto’s Tim Mayza, made the most appearances among junior-circuit southpaws during the regular season. And not only did Speier come out of the Seattle bullpen 69 times, he performed admirably far more often than not. The 28-year-old nephew of former big-league infielder Chris Speier logged a 3.79 ERA and a 3.35 FIP with 64 strikeouts and just 48 hits allowed in 54-and-two-thirds innings.

This isn’t his first appearance in Sunday Notes. Back in August 2015, I quoted the then-20-year-old shortly after he’d been traded from the Boston Red Sox to the Detroit Tigers as part of the Rick Porcello–Yoenis Cespedes deal. I asked the itinerant hurler — the Mariners are his sixth organization — how he’d describe his path from late-round draft pick to reliable big-league reliever.

“It’s been crazy,” replied Speier., whom Boston took in the 19th round of the 2013 draft out of Goleta, California’s Dos Pueblos High School. “My path has included being traded many times, but I wouldn’t change it for the world. I’ve made a lot of friends in every organization I’ve been in, and I’ve learned a lot from many different coaches. Seattle was another fresh start for me, and I feel like I’m a good spot here.”

Speier came into into the season having made 41 big-league appearances, all with the Kansas City Royals from 2019-2022. He put up decent numbers in that four-year span— a 3.83 ERA and a 4.23 FIP over 40 innings — but that was while shuttling between KC and Triple-A Omaha. By and large, the 5-11 lefty was a 4-A reliever without a firm foothold in MLB relevancy.

When we spoke this summer, I asked Speier what’s behind his newfound success.

“A lot of it is them telling me my stuff is big-league stuff and that I just need to throw it in the zone,” was his reply. “I know that’s Pitching 101, but while it was always in the back of my mind that I needed to get ahead of hitters, and stay ahead, the Mariners put it in the forefront of my mind. That’s been the main goal since I got here. It’s kind of become my main identity, that I’m going to pound the zone.”

The numbers show that he did just that. Speier issued just 1.81 walks per nine innings, fourth lowest among relievers who threw at least 50 innings. And he wasn’t exactly tossing cookies over the middle. His 10.54 strikeouts per nine innings were higher than the three pitchers who finished in front of him for walk rate.

Throwing strikes is obviously a big part of Pitching 101 — it always has been, and always will be — but at the same time, this is 2023 and the Mariners are an analytically-inclined organization. One would expect that they had more ideas up their proverbial sleeves when they brought Speier on board. According to the November 2022 waiver-wire acquisition, that’s not necessarily true.

“I had never been with an organization where the analytics were a main part, so I was kind of expecting them to be like, ‘Oh, if you change your grip here you can get more movement,’ or whatever,” said Speier. “But that wasn’t the case. They basically just told me that my stuff was already good, so I just needed to throw it in the zone. The way I’m going about that is by creating a bigger target instead of trying to be perfect. There is location involved — I’m not trying to just throw it down the middle — but instead of picking corners, I’m kind of picking thirds.”

He’s also been pitching effectively in the big leagues. As recently as a year ago, he wasn’t sure another opportunity to do so was in the cards.

“I got sent down last [June] and really struggled in Triple-A,” said Speier, whose numbers with Omaha included an ugly 14.51 ERA over 30 appearances. “I didn’t know if I was going to make it back to the big leagues. Thankfully the Mariners picked me up and gave me a shot. Like I said, it’s kind of been a crazy path.”

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RANDOM HITTER-PITCHER MATCHUPS

Hank Aaron went 5 for 6 against Carroll Sembera.

Carroll Hardy went 8 for 18 against Joe Nuxhall.

Corbin Carroll is 6 for 11 against Yu Darvish.

Jamey Carroll went 6 for 10 against Will Smith.

Baby Doll Jacobson went 6 for 10 against Ownie Carroll.

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Asked in late August about pennant races, Dusty Baker said that while he watches the scoreboard and roots for certain teams, what happens in other games is beyond your control — all you can do is try to play good consistent baseball and see who comes out on top. In the same sit-down with reporters, the 74-year-old veteran of 26 managerial seasons brought up how he’d been in pennant races as a young manager. I asked him if he approaches things any differently now.

“No,” replied Baker, whose Houston Astros went on to capture the AL West title on the final day of the season and are now on the doorstep of the World Series. “It’s the same. A race is a race. Anybody ever ran a race, anybody ever ran track, [knows] a race is a race. You just do what you can do. As a young manager, like I said, my first year [1993 with the San Francisco Giants] was exciting. You’re extremely tired in a race like this, emotionally tired. You’re just hoping to find the most energy, the most consistent energy… I like a good fight.”

Following up, I asked Baker if the excitement is any different now that he’s experienced it so many times over the years. His answer was classic Dusty.

“Nah,” said Baker, who won a World Series as an outfielder with the Los Angeles Dodgers in 1981, and [finally] his first as a manager with the Astros last year. “I like to win. I’m spoiled by winning. It’s no different now than when I was a kid. That’s why I asked to be traded from the Braves as a young player: I was tired of losing. It was the same way when I was playing Cowboys and Indians. I wanted to be the Native Americans, because I was tired of watching TV and seeing the Indians lose all the time. I’m serious.”

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A quiz:

Who holds the record for most home runs by a player who spent his entire big-league career with only one team?

The answer can be found below.

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NEWS NOTES

Jin Wong, who has been with the organization for two-plus decades, most recently as an VP of Baseball Administration/Assistant GM, is reportedly leaving the Kansas City Royals. Wong has served multiple roles since coming to KC in 2020.

Mike McCarthy won’t be returning to the Oakland Athletics coaching staff next season. The 35-year-old, analytically-inclined instructor — interviewed about his craft here at FanGraphs in August 2022 — was the club’s bullpen coach this past season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have promoted Blake Butera to Senior Director of Player Development. The 31-year-old Boston College product has been a minor-league player, coach, manager, and assistant field coordinator in the organization.

Jeff Peterek, a right-handed pitcher whose big-league career comprised seven appearances for the Milwaukee Brewers in 1989, died last weekend at age 60. The Michigan City, Indiana native went 0-2 with a 4.02 ERA.

Bob Priddy, who pitched for six big-league teams from 1962-1971, died in late September at age 83 (per Baseball Player Passings). A right-hander who posted a 4.00 ERA over 536 innings, he recorded nine of his 24 wins, and 12 of his 18 saves, with the Atlanta Braves.

Pete Ladd, a right-handed reliever who logged 17 wins and 39 saves while playing for six big-league teams from 1979-1986, died earlier this week at age 67. The Portland, Maine native had 25 of his saves with the Milwaukee Brewers in 1983. He made one appearance in the 1982 World Series.

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The answer to the quiz is Mike Schmidt, who hit 548 home runs while playing exclusively with the Philadelphia Phillies. Mickey Mantle (536 with the New York Yankees) and Ted Williams (521 with the Boston Red Sox) have the next highest one-team-only totals.

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Which former manager is more worthy of the Hall of Fame, Jim Leyland or Lou Piniella? I posed that question in a Twitter poll a few days ago, and the result wasn’t nearly as close as I’d expected it to be. More on that in a moment.

Both are the on the recently-announced, eight-person, 2024 Contemporary Baseball Era Committee Managers/Executives/Umpires ballot, which my colleague Jay Jaffe broke down earlier this week. There are two other managers on the ballot as well, but while Cito Gaston and Davey Johnson are likewise solid candidates, Leyland and Piniella having the most managerial wins among the foursome made them a logical poll matchup. Counting the postseason, those totals are Piniella 1,858, Leyland 1,813, Johnson 1,397, Gaston 912.

More than raw win totals matter when assessing a managerial career, and it bears noting that Gaston has two World Series championships on his resume (and was the first Black manager to win a Fall Classic) while the others have just one. Again, both he and Johnson are likewise strong candidates.

As for the poll, Leyland received a hefty 74.9% percent of the votes cast, while Piniella garnered just 25.1%. What that might mean when the official votes are tabulated on December 3 during the Winter Meetings is anyone’s guess.

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FOREIGN AFFAIRS

The Hanshin Tigers will face the Orix Buffaloes in NPB’s championship series, which begins next weekend. The Tigers, which had the Central League’s best record, beat the Hiroshima Carp to advance. The Buffaloes, which boasted the Pacific League’s best record and will be looking to defend their title, beat the Chiba Lotte Marines.

Kazuma Okamoto led NPB players in home runs this year with 41. The 27-year-old Yomiuri Giants third baseman/first baseman slashed .278/.374/.585.

The NC Dinos defeated the Doosan Bears 14-9 in the KBO’s wildcard game. Ho-cheol Seo went 3-for-4 with a home run and six RBIs for the winners, who go on to face SSG Landers in the next round beginning today.

Si-hwan Roh led KBO players in home runs this year with 31. The 22-year-old Hanwha Eagles third baseman slashed .298/.388/.541.

Samad Taylor has nine hits in 29 at-bats for the Mexican Pacific Winter League’s Yaquis de Obregon. The 25-year-old infielder/outfielder made his MLB debut with the Kansas City Royals in June and logged a dozen hits in 60 at-bats.

Derrick Loop has made three scoreless relief appearances for Charros de Jalisco. The oldest pitcher in the Mexican Pacific Winter League at age 39, the southpaw is in his 18th professional season, including six in affiliated ball stateside. Loop led Sunday Notes on October 16, 2016.

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Bobby Scales joined the Detroit Tigers radio team as a part-time analyst this past season, working alongside esteemed play-by-play voice Dan Dickerson for a selection of road games. Before entering the broadcast booth, the 40-year-old University of Michigan product played professionally for 14 seasons — including parts of two with the Chicago Cubs — and he also spent time in the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim’s front office. It was during his tenure as the team’s director of player of development that he gave an opportunity to an independent-league pitcher who two years earlier had gone un-drafted out of Ohio State University.

“We needed pitching really bad at the lower levels;” Scales said of the 2013 signing. “I had an intern named Andrew Mack — I think he’s with the Red Sox now — and I asked him to put together a spreadsheet of guys who were leading indie ball in all of these different categories. From there we saw that Drew Rucinski was punching everybody out, so we started asking, ‘How is he doing it?’ We had a rudimentary scouting stuff in place for indie ball when I was with the Angels, the reports were good, and I saw a little bit of tape.

“He was with the Rockford Aviators,” continued Scales. “I talked to his manager, and from there I pulled the trigger. I signed Rucinski on a Tuesday, he flew out on Wednesday and did a little knock-the-rust-off touch and feel when he got on the ground, and then we started him on Friday. This was in A-ball with Inland Empire. He punched out seven or eight, and from there he just kept getting better.”

The following year, Rucinski was promoted to Double-A Arkansas where he went 10-6 with a 3.15 ERA in 26 starts. In July of that season, Scales got a call from Jerry Dipoto, who was the Angels’ GM at the time. The big-league club needed another arm in the bullpen, and what could he give him on Rucinski? A few days later, the righty out of indie ball made his MLB debut.

Nine years later, Rucinski’s resume includes 45 big-league games, 159 more in the minors, and (from 2019-2022) another 121 with the KBO’s NC Dinos. He made four starts this year with the Oakland Athletics before undergoing season-ending back surgery in July.

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FARM NOTES

Chase Petty had a 1.72 ERA and a 2.32 FIP between High-A Dayton and Double-A Chattanooga. The 20-year-old right-hander in the Cincinnati Reds organization logged 66 strikeouts and allowed 63 hits in 68 innings. His FIP was the lowest among minor-league pitchers who threw at least 60 innings.

Enniel Cortez went 4-1 with a 1.58 ERA and a 2.64 FIP in the Dominican Summer League. The 17-year-old right-hander in the Milwaukee Brewers organization had 49 strikeouts and walked just five batters in 45-and-two-thirds innings. Cortez was signed out of Tola, Nicaragua in January.

James Triantos is 22-for-51 with three doubles, four triples, and two home runs for the Arizona Fall League’s Mesa Solar Sox. A second-round pick in 2021 out of Vienna, Virginia’s James Madison High School, the 20-year-old infielder in the Chicago Cubs system slashed .285/.363/.390 at High-A Sound Bend this season.

Carson Williams is 14-for-48 with two doubles for the Arizona Fall League’s Peoria Javelinas. Drafted 28th-overall by the Tampa Bay Rays out of San Diego’s Torrey Pines High School. the 20-year-old shortstop slashed .254/.351/.506 with 23 home runs for High-A Bowling Green.

Braden Nett has 16 strikeouts, and has allowed six hits and two runs in 13 innings, with the Javelinas. Signed as a non-drafted free agent by the San Diego Padres in 2022, the 21-year-old Troy, Missouri native had a 4.46 ERA over 40-and-a-third innings this year between the Arizona Complex League and Low-A Lake Elsinore.

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LINKS YOU’LL LIKE

At NW Baseball History, Amanda Lane Cumming wrote about how baseball games lasting too long is an opinion that dates back more than a century.

Trevor May lambasted understandably-abhorred Oakland A’s owner John Fisher while announcing his retirement earlier this week. Michael Nowels has the story at The Mercury News.

A Washington DC intersection is set to be renamed for Mamie “Peanut” Jackson, a two-way player with the Indianapolis Clowns who was the first female pitcher in the Negro Leagues. Stacy Jackson has the story at Black Enterprise.

MLB.com’s Mandy Bell had some pointed questions for Cleveland Guardians front office decision-makers Chris Antonetti and Mike Chernoff.

The Athletic’s Brittany Ghiroli wrote about how Kim Ng was a reluctant trailblazer, and why her Miami Marlins exit makes her even more impressive (subscription required).

The Fielding Bible has a sortable leaderboard for Defensive Runs Saved.

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RANDOM FACTS AND STATS

George Frazier made three relief appearances for the New York Yankees against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1981 World Series and was charged with a loss in all three, including the Game 5 clincher. The title was LA’s first since 1965 when they beat the Minnesota Twins in seven games, a Series in which every winning pitcher hurled a complete game.

Stan Musial had 24 hits, 25 walks, and one strikeout in 103 plate appearances against the Brooklyn Dodgers in 1944.

Jigger Statz recorded 4,093 professional hits in a career that spanned the 1919-1942 seasons. Born Arnold John Statz in Waukegan, Illinois, the outfielder logged 536 hits with the Chicago Cubs, 179 with the Brooklyn Robins, 22 with the New York Giants, and 3,356 with the Pacific Coast League’s Los Angeles Angels.

Minnie Minoso slashed .339/.405/.539 with 40 doubles, 10 triples, and 20 home runs for the Pacific Coast League’s San Diego Padres in 1950. The PCL played a 200-game season that year with the Padres finishing 114-86, four games behind the pennant-winning Oakland Oaks. The San Francisco Seals finished 100-100.

Barry Bonds slashed .359/.526/.821 with 22 home runs in 255 career plate appearances versus the Milwaukee Brewers.

The San Francisco Giants traded Bobby Bonds to the New York Yankees in exchange for Bobby Murcer on today’s in 1974. Bonds, who was subsequently traded five more times in as many years, had 32 home runs and a 151 wRC+ in his lone season with the Yankees. Murcer hit 34 home runs with a 126 wRC+ over his two seasons with the Giants.

The Oakland Athletics beat the Cincinnati Reds 3-2 in Game 7 of the World Series on today’s date in 1972. Gene Tenace, who homered four times in the series, had a run-scoring single in the first inning and a go-ahead RBI double in the sixth inning.

On today’s date in 2011, Albert Pujols homered three times to lead the St. Louis Cardinals to a 16-7 win over the Texas Rangers in Game 3 of the World Series. Each of the bombs came from the sixth inning on.

Players born on today’s date include Wilbur Wood, a knuckleballer who averaged 22 wins and 348 innings pitched with the Chicago White Sox from 1971-1974. The Cambridge, Massachusetts-born southpaw had averaged 80 appearances, 11 wins, and 17 saves working out of the ChiSox bullpen the previous three seasons.

Also born on today’s date was Chick Lathers, an infielder who saw action in 70 games for the Detroit Tigers between the 1910 and 1911 seasons. A native of Dearborn, Michigan, Charles Ten Eyck Lathers recorded the first of his 29 big-league hits off of White Sox Hall of Fame right-hander “Big Ed” Walsh.

Clarke Schmidt had mixed results in his first season as a big league starter. The 27-year-old New York Yankees right-hander took the mound 33 times (including once as a reliever) and won nine of 18 decisions while logging a 4.64 ERA and a 4.42 FIP. Working primarily in five- and six-inning stints — 21 of his outings were between 5.0 and 6.2 innings — he allowed 169 hits and fanned 149 batters over 159 frames.

A new pitch played prominently in what is now a well-balanced repertoire. Schmidt added a cutter this year, and while it wasn’t his best offering results-wise — that honor goes to his curveball — it was his most used. All told, his usage breakdown was 28.1% cutters, 27.4% slider/sweepers, 23.9% sinkers, 19.1% curveballs, and 1.5% changeups.

Thirteen months ago, I sat down with Schmidt to discuss his sweeping slider, a pitch that was referred to in the subsequently published piece as a “baby whirly.” This past September, I circled back to hear about his cutter — and I had something else in mind as well. With the definition of “sweeper” increasingly becoming a matter of debate, I wanted to know how he currently labels the most horizontal of his offerings.

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David Laurila: What is the story behind your cutter?

Clarke Schmidt: “The reason they wanted me to add the cutter was lefties. The idea was that I could throw a fastball to lefties and be able to induce either A) weak contact or B) a swing-and-miss. That was the real reason, and then once I started throwing it we realized that my arm action was built even more for a cutter than they thought. The metrics on my cutter are really good. Analytically it became one of my best pitches, which is why they were like, ‘Why don’t we up the usage of this?’ Read the rest of this entry »

Ryan Noda was a 22-year-old Toronto Blue Jays prospect coming off his first full professional season when he led Sunday Notes on December 15, 2018. Drafted in the 15th round out of the University of Cincinnati a year earlier, Noda had logged 20 home runs and a .421 OBP with then-Low-A Lansing, prompting me to compare him to former Bearcat Kevin Youkilis. With the caveat “I’m not close to being in his class,” he told me that he modeled his game after Joey Votto.

Five years and two organizations later, Noda is now a big-leaguer himself. Selected by the Oakland Athletics out of the Los Angeles Dodgers system in last winter’s Rule 5 draft, the left-handed-hitting first baseman proceeded to put up solid numbers with MLB’s worst-performing club. In 495 plate appearances, Noda logged a team-best .364 OBP and slugged 16 home runs with a 123 wRC+.

“I don’t mind those two comps at all,” Noda replied when I reminded him of our bygone conversation. “I certainly wouldn’t mind having either of their careers, either.”

It’s probably safe to say that Noda won’t go on to match, or even approximate, what Votto has accomplished over his storied career. Channeling Youkilis, who was 27 years old — Noda’s current age — when he established himself as a big-league regular could be another story. The erstwhile corner infielder averaged 20 home runs with a .385 OBP and a 127 wRC+ in his seven-season prime.

Stylistically speaking — Youkilis being a righty aside — would he comp himself more to one than the other?

“Not really,” said Noda. “But I do take both of them into account with how I go about hitting. I’m trying to get a pitch to drive and from there hopefully driving it. In this game, patience is important — and not just at the plate. It’s a long season, and if you can stick to what you do best, even when you’re going bad, you can be successful.”

Noda and I were at Fenway Park when he spoke those words, which brought to mind yet another comp. I asked him how familiar he is with 23-year-old Red Sox rookie Triston Casas.

“Not too much,” Noda responded. “I know he’s a good ballplayer and that he can swing it well. It will be interesting to see him play over the years and watch how similar we maybe are. But again, I don’t know too much about him.”

Casas had a 13.9% walk rate to go with 24 home runs and 129 wRC+ in 502 plate appearances this season. Noda had a 15.6% walk rate to go with his aforementioned 16 home runs and 123 wRC+ over 495 plate appearances. With the caveat that Casas is three years younger and has a first-round pedigree — Boston drafted him 26th-overall in 2018 — there are definitely some similarities. If Casas goes on to meet expectations, Noda wouldn’t mind having his career either.

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RANDOM HITTER-PITCHER MATCHUPS

Bryce Harper is 20 for 49 against Julio Teheran.

Brian Harper went 18 for 44 against Dave Stewart.

Tommy Harper went 21 for 56 against Dave McNally.

Terry Harper went 11 for 18 against Bruce Ruffin.

George Harper went 32 for 71 against Grover Cleveland Alexander.

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Left on the cutting-room floor from Thursday’s interview with former Seattle Mariners scouting director Tom McNamara were his reflections on the club’s fourth-round pick in the 2012 draft. With the 131st-overall selection, Seattle took a third baseman whose collegiate career comprised all of 51 games and 229 plate appearances.

“We needed a senior, because we’d spent money,” McNamara told me. “Patrick Kivlehan was a safety on the Rutgers football team. He played both baseball and football. The amazing story about Kivlehan is that he didn’t play college baseball for his first three years. I remember flying in and talking to the coach at Rutgers. I asked him, ‘How did he make the team?’ He said, ‘He asked if he could try out for the team. I told him we had a spot, but he was probably never going to play.’ Well, what happened is that Rutgers’ third baseman tore a hamstring and Kivlehan ended up playing third base and almost winning the Triple Crown in the Big East. We took him in the fourth round and he got to the big leagues. He played with Arizona and Cincinnati, and I think San Diego.”

The Mariners traded Kivlehan to the Texas Rangers in December 2015 as part of a five-player deal, reacquired him six months later in exchange for Justin De Fratus, then released him in early August. The Padres picked him up, and Kivlehan made his MLB debut a few weeks later. He went to log a 84 wRC+ over 250 plate appearances in what was ultimately a modest big-league career.

The player taken one pick after Kivlehan has had a notable career that took awhile to get off the ground. The Baltimore Orioles selected Christian Walker 132nd overall out of the University of South Carolina, only to place him on waivers five years later after 31 nondescript big-league plate appearances. Then came a four-week rollercoaster that eventually landed the slugging first baseman in his current home. The Atlanta Braves and Cincinnati Reds both claimed, but then waived, Walker before the Arizona Diamondbacks inked him to a contract on the eve of the 2017 season. The rest is history. Hitting in the middle of the D-Backs lineup, Walker has 69 home runs and a 122 wRC+ over the past two seasons.

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A quiz:

Which pitcher holds the Pittsburgh Pirates franchise record for strikeouts in a single season? (A hint: he also has the franchise’s second-highest single-season strikeout total.)

The answer can be found below.

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NEWS NOTES

Brad Ciolek, who has been serving as Baltimore’s director of draft operations, is leaving the organization and will be joining the Washington Nationals. Ciolek has overseen the last five Orioles drafts, which include the selections of Gunnar Henderson, Jackson Holliday, Heston Kjerstad, and Adley Rutschman,

Toronto Blue Jays coach Luis Rivera has decided to retire. The 59-year-old former big-league infielder had coached and managed in the Jays system since 2010.

Casey Cox, who pitched for the Washington Senators/Texas Rangers from 1966-1972, and then briefly for the New York Yankees, died earlier this month at age 82 (per Baseball Player Passings). The right-hander’s best season came in 1969 when he went 12-7 with a 2.78 ERA.

SABR’s Larry Dierker chapter will hold a dual in-person/Zoom meeting tomorrow (Monday October 16) beginning at 7pm with former Astros announcer Bill Brown the guest speaker. More information can be found here.

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The answer to the quiz is Bob Veale, with 276 strikeouts in 1965. A year earlier, the hard-throwing southpaw logged an NL-best 250 strikeouts, the second-highest total in Pirates franchise history.

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The Houston Astros advancing to their seventh consecutive LCS ranks right up there with the 1990s Atlanta Braves and multiple decades of New York Yankees American League supremacy. The grownup sons of the expansion Colt .45s are eight wins away from a third World Series title since 2017.

The Brooklyn Dodgers deserve some love here. Shortly before being relocated to Los Angeles in 1958, “Dem Bums” reached the World Series five times from 1949-1956. and their win totals in the three years they fell just short were 89, 97, and 92 (in what was then a 154-game-schedule). The winningest of those not-quite seasons was famously painful — Bobby Thomson’s Shot Heard ‘Round the World capping a four-run bottom of the ninth inning for the New York Giants. Four years after that soul-crushing 1951 defeat, Brooklyn won its only World Series by beating the Yankees in seven games. Johnny Podres was on the mound for the 2-0 clincher, while Gil Hodges drove in both runs.

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FOREIGN AFFAIRS

NPB’s postseason got underway on Saturday with the Chiba Lotte Marines beating the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks 8-2. Twenty-one-year-old wunderkind Roki Sasaki threw three scoreless innings for the winning side, while 2018 Atlanta Braves first-round pick Carter Stewart was tagged with the loss.

NPB’s other first-stage contest saw the Hiroshima Carp edge past the Yokohama DeNA BayStars 3-2 in 11 innings with a pair of former MLB pitchers getting the decisions. Nik Turley was credited with the win, while J.B. Wendelken was tagged with the loss. Game 2 of each best-of-five, first-stage matchups are today.

Update: Hiroshima defeated DeNA 4-2 and will go on to play the Central League champion Hanshin Tigers in the next round. SoftBank beat Chiba Lotte 3-1, setting up a deciding Game 3 to determine who goes up against the Pacific League champion Orix Buffaloes.

Yuki Matsui, who will reportedly be exercising his international free agent rights this offseason, made his 500th NPB appearance in his final game of the regular season The 27-year-old Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles southpaw had 39 saves and a 1.60 ERA this year.

Seunghwan Oh recorded his 400th KBO save, and his 522nd professionally, on Saturday. The 36-year-old Samsung Lions right-hander’s resume includes 80 saves in NPB and 42 more in MLB.

Erick Fedde went 20-6 with a 2.06 ERA for the KBO’s NC Dinos. The 30-year-old former Washington National right-hander had 204 strikeouts and 134 hits allowed in 174-and-two-thirds innings.

Dong Ju Moon went 8-8 with a 3.72 ERA over 118-and-two-thirds innings for the KBO’s Hanwha Eagles. The 19-year-old right-hander went six scoreless in his last start of the season.

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Dixie Howell holds three obscure big-league records. Per his B-Ref bio page, the Harold, Kentucky native is the last relief pitcher to hit two home runs in the same game, having done so with the Chicago White Sox on June 16, 1957. Moreover, all five hits he had that season — a double, a triple, and three home runs — went for extra bases (Rick Wrona subsequently tied Howell’s most-hits-sans-a-single record in 1994 while playing with the Milwaukee Brewers). Howell also holds the record for the longest time between when he first pitched in the majors and when he got his first victory. He made his MLB debut in 1940 and wasn’t credited with a win until 1955.

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FARM NOTES

Alexander Albertus slashed .310/.471/.468 with five home runs and a 152 wRC+ in 170 plate appearances between the Dominican Summer League and the Arizona Complex League. A native of Oranjestad, Aruba, the 18-year-old infielder in the Los Angeles Dodgers organization drew 38 walks and fanned just 19 times.

Cesar Quintas had a .516 BABIP in 168 plate appearances with Giants Orange, one of two San Francisco entries in the Arizona Complex League. The 20-year-old outfielder fromValencia, Venezuela slashed .372/.506/.473 with one home run and a 159 wRC+.

Jakob Marsee has 19 hits, including nine for extra bases, in 38 at-bats for the Arizona Fall League’s Peoria Javelinas. The 22-year-old outfielder in the San Diego Padres system slashed .274/.413/.428 with 16 home runs this year between High-A Fort Wayne and Double-A San Antonio. Marsee is a former Central Michigan University Chippewa.

Carter Howell has seven hits, including a triple and a pair of home runs, in 21 at-bats with the Arizona Fall League’s Scottsdale Scorpions. The 24-year-old Fargo, North Dakota-born outfielder in the San Francisco Giants system swatted 10 taters and had a .295/.369/.442 slash line between Low-A San Jose and High-A Eugene.

Liam Hicks is 16-for-28, including four doubles, for the Arizona Fall League’s Surprise Saguaros. The 24-year-old, Toronto, Ontario-born catcher in the Texas Rangers organization slashed .275/.414/.373 with four home runs between High-A Hickory and Double-A Frisco.

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The following paragraph is included in Jonathan Mayo’s Smart, Wrong, and Lucky: The Origin Stories of Baseball’s Unexpected Stars:

“It begs the question, of course. If the Padres area scout and regional crosschecker had him in as a second rounder, if a national crosschecker saw him, if the the scouting director came in to see a private workout, all of which occurred according to Campbell, how on earth did Mookie Betts become a San Diego Padre?”

Betts, as has been well chronicled, lasted until the fifth round of the 2011 draft when he was taken by the Boston Red Sox with the 172nd-overall pick. The Padres, who had the 173rd pick that year, had taken eight players earlier in the draft, including four supplemental first-round selections. None of them have come close to matching Betts’s accomplishments.

Mayo addresses that part of the backstory, as well as how Betts ultimately landed in Boston, in his must-read book.

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LINKS YOU’LL LIKE

MLB.com’s Michael Clair wrote about how power-hitting Japanese high school phenom Rintaro Sasaki will reportedly bypass the NPB draft and, with MLB in mind, instead attend college in the United States.

Dan Connolly offered some observations from the Orioles’ postseason press conference, and opined on the Mike Elias-Brandon Hyde partnership, at Baltimore’s WHAR.

True Blue LA’s Eric Stephen wonders if Clayton Kershaw has thrown his last pitch for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Covering the Corner’s Matt Dallas looked back at the 1949 Cleveland Indians, who failed to defend a World Series championship. More than seven decades later, the fanbase awaits its first title since 1948.

Over at Bless You Boys, Patrick O’Kennedy gave us an offseason calendar covering not only the Detroit Tigers, but also MLB as a whole. From the GM Meetings to the non-tender deadline to the Rule 5 draft, it’s all here.

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RANDOM FACTS AND STATS

Including the postseason, NLCS managers Torey Lovullo and Rob Thomson have a combined 672 managerial wins. ALCS managers Dusty Baker and Bruce Bochy have a combined 4,379 managerial wins.

Lance Lynn allowed 48 home runs in 186-and-a-third innings (including the postseason). Sonny Gray allowed 10 home runs in 193 innings (also including the postseason).

Mookie Betts is 6-for-48 with two extra-base hits over his last three postseason series. Trea Turner is 18-for-42 with 10 extra-base hits over his last three postseason series.

Ronald Acuña Jr’s combined runs scored-RBI total during the regular season was 255. Matt Olson’s combined runs scored-RBI total was 266.

The league-average team totals for stolen bases and caught-stealings this year were 117 and 29 respectively. The most-league-average team was the Seattle Mariners, with 118 stolen bases and 30 caught-stealings. The New York Mets swiped 118 bases and were caught just 15 times.

Arizona Diamondbacks batters combined for 36 sacrifice hits this season, the most of any team. Atlanta Braves batters combined for two sacrifice hits this season, the fewest of any team

Minnesota Twins pitchers combined to allow 443 walks with a franchise record 1,560 strikeouts. Pitchers for the 1991 World Series champion Twins combined to allow 488 walks with 876 strikeouts.

Bob Gibson got the win as the St. Louis Cardinals beat the New York Yankees 7-5 in World Series Game 7 on today’s date in 1964. The Boyer brothers both homered — Clete for the losing side and Ken for he victors — as did Lou Brock, Mickey Mantle, and Phil Linz.

On today’s date in 1975, Luis Tiant went the distance as the Boston Red Sox edged the Cincinnati Reds 5-4 in Game 4 of the World Series. El Tiant threw 163 pitches while scattering nine hits and four walks. The Reds stranded eight runners, including two in the bottom of the ninth.

Players born on today’s date include Tommy Toms, a right-handed pitcher who appeared in 18 games for the San Francisco Giants from 1975-1977. The Charlottesville, Virginia native went 0-1 in each of the three seasons, and was credited with one save.

Also born on today’s date was Jim Command, a third baseman who went 4-for-25 while getting cups of coffee with the Philadelphia Phillies in 1954 and 1955. The Grand Rapids, Michigan native’s lone home run was a grand slam off of Brooklyn Dodgers right-hander Carl Erskine.

Phil Maton can spin a baseball. His four-seamer averaged 2,563 rpm this season, and his signature curveball was an even-more-rotational 3,154. These weren’t new developments. The 30-year-old Houston Astros reliever has long been known for that attribute, with a July 2017 interview with the then-San Diego Padres rookie having served as its first detailed mention here at FanGraphs.

He’s also had a career-best year. In 68 regular-season appearances out of the Houston bullpen, Maton augmented his 4–3 record and one save with a 3.00 ERA, a 3.74 FIP, 74 strikeouts, and just 49 hits allowed in 66 innings. Moreover, October has once again been his friend. Thanks to a pair of scoreless outings in the ALDS, the righty boasts a 1.04 ERA over 16 career playoff appearances.

Maton revisited the importance of spin and discussed a meaningful change to the movement profile of his fastball when the Astros visited Fenway Park at the end of August.

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David Laurila: Your spin rate was the primary topic when we first spoke six years ago. Now pure spin isn’t considered nearly as important. Do you agree?

Phil Maton: “I think that’s right. Over the years, organizations have figured out that it doesn’t tell the whole picture. There are guys with big breaking balls and hoppy heaters who don’t spin the ball particularly well. That’s where things like spin efficiencies come into play. We’ve identified guys where it’s the entry angle. There are so many different factors in what creates ‘a good pitch.’ Back in 2017, when the spin-rate phase was going on, everyone thought that was the answer. It’s much more complex than that.” Read the rest of this entry »