Author Archive

FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 3/15/16

9:00
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

9:00
Paul Swydan: Jeff will be by in a couple of minutes.

9:01
Ed in Iowa: I have to teach two classes tonight. Gonna miss most or all of the chat for the second week in a row. My IQAR (Insightful Questions Above Replacement) is plummeting!

9:01
Paul Swydan: Oh, Ed. Ed, Ed, Ed. You promised you’d be here this week.

9:02
Paul Swydan: I forgot to send Jeff his chat invite. Whoops!

9:02
Medias Rojas: Why do I get the feeling I’m going to be seeing a lot of Travis Shaw this year? The only question is, primarily at third or first?

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The Best of FanGraphs: March 7-11, 2016

Each week, we publish north of 100 posts on our various blogs. With this post, we hope to highlight 10 to 15 of them. You can read more on it here. The links below are color coded — green for FanGraphs, brown for RotoGraphs, dark red for The Hardball Times, orange for TechGraphs and blue for Community Research.
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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 3/8/16

9:00
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

9:00
Paul Swydan:

9:01
Paul Swydan: We always have the sexy results, because THIS chat happens after dark.

9:01
Paul Swydan: OK, I’ll stop wasting time now.

9:01
Broak: Thoughts on a possible Josh Reddick extension? Seems like both sides are pretty serious.

9:02
Paul Swydan: I guess I’m pretty bearish on Reddick. He’s only played full seasons in 2 of the 4 years he’s been in Oakland.

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The Best of FanGraphs: February 29-March 4, 2016

Each week, we publish north of 100 posts on our various blogs. With this post, we hope to highlight 10 to 15 of them. You can read more on it here. The links below are color coded — green for FanGraphs, brown for RotoGraphs, dark red for The Hardball Times, orange for TechGraphs and blue for Community Research.
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Can Wil Myers Lead the Padres Offense?

Wil Myers has filled a few roles in his short time in the public eye. He has been a top prospect. Then the top prospect. Then one of the biggest trade chips in the game. Then Rookie of the Year. And then he was traded again, and filled the role of afterthought. But now, as we look to 2016, can he fill another one — that of team leader?

No one is suggesting of course that Myers fill an actual leadership role on the Padres. They have veteran players like James Shields, Matt Kemp and Melvin Upton to give motivational speeches. (And you don’t come here to read those kinds of stories anyway.) But when looking over the Padres depth chart, one notices that Myers has the best wOBA projection of the bunch.

ALL Batters Padres


Name PA AVG OBP SLG wOBA Bat BsR Fld WAR
Derek Norris 438 .244 .315 .395 .311 -0.1 0.1 -0.5 2.0
Cory Spangenberg 504 .260 .310 .384 .301 -4.0 0.7 0.1 1.5
Yangervis Solarte 511 .261 .315 .385 .306 -1.9 -0.8 -3.1 1.3
Wil Myers 609 .258 .330 .433 .330 9.0 0.7 -6.2 1.3
Matt Kemp 590 .265 .321 .436 .327 7.4 -0.3 -9.9 1.0
Jon Jay 455 .259 .333 .347 .299 -4.3 -0.2 1.6 0.9
Alexei Ramirez 623 .255 .287 .358 .281 -15.2 0.1 -3.1 0.8
Jose Pirela 308 .257 .305 .377 .298 -3.2 0.1 -1.7 0.6
Melvin Upton 455 .214 .287 .355 .281 -11.0 0.9 0.4 0.5
Brett Wallace 237 .246 .305 .403 .308 -0.7 -0.5 -0.8 0.5
Jabari Blash 280 .223 .298 .416 .311 0.0 -0.1 -1.2 0.5
Christian Bethancourt 128 .248 .276 .368 .278 -3.4 0.0 0.5 0.4
Austin Hedges 160 .220 .262 .328 .258 -6.8 -0.1 1.7 0.3
Alex Dickerson 194 .248 .298 .391 .299 -1.8 0.0 -0.3 0.3
Travis Jankowski 91 .250 .303 .329 .280 -2.3 0.3 0.6 0.2
Manuel Margot 14 .246 .290 .367 .286 -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0
Alexi Amarista 236 .234 .283 .338 .270 -7.8 0.6 -0.7 0.0
Jose Rondon 14 .241 .282 .315 .263 -0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0
Total 5847 .249 .307 .385 .301 -47.2 1.5 -22.5 12.1

The edge over Kemp is ever so slight, but it’s still there, and for the 99% of us who aren’t die-hard Padres fans, that may come as a bit of a surprise. After all, the die has seemingly been cast on Myers. Where once we were very quick to proclaim the decision by Kansas City to send Myers to Tampa Bay a disaster, now we are often quick to declare it a win for the Royals. After all, they went to back-to-back World Series, and are now defending the crown. The fact that Myers was quickly shipped out of town by Tampa Bay — in a trade where they didn’t receive a ton in return for him — only increases the sense that KC won after all.

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 3/1/16

9:03
Paul Swydan: Whoops, lost track of time. OK, let’s start.

9:03
Trainman: Chapman suspension: fair or foul? Do you see him being the closer if Miller or Betances dominate out the gate?

9:05
Paul Swydan: So, on the one hand, I didn’t like the idea of giving him a suspension long enough to give the Yankees an extra year of his services. But I also think these domestic abuse offenders should be treated more harshly than PED offenders. And I think that there is, since no charges were filed in this case, and the woman was apparently *physically* unharmed, it leaves the door open for stiffer punishments when those things are in play. But we’ll have to see.

9:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Fair, wasn’t guilty in court. Miller will be closer

9:06
Ruby: Hypothetical: The best player on every team tears an Achilles on April 1. What happens to playoff odds?

9:06
Paul Swydan: Probably not a ton, because every team is losing that one player. Maybe the Angels and Nationals and Dodgers are affected a little more than most.

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 2/23/16

9:00
Paul Swydan: OK let’s do this!

9:01
Paul Swydan: I am somewhat dismayed that you are all so rational about the Reyes thing. Is this not the Hot Take Zone?

9:01
Paul Swydan: (Kidding. It isn’t.)

9:02
Ceej : Both $1 players. Pollock or Schwarber as a final keeper? Due in a week.

9:03
Paul Swydan: I like both, but I have to lean Pollock. He has more well defined performance at the big league level, and a more clearly defined role moving forward. And he’s only 28.

9:03
Jeff Zimmerman: Pollock, I think. Tough call. It may come down to the makeup of the rest of your team.

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The Best of FanGraphs: February 15-19, 2016

Each week, we publish north of 100 posts on our various blogs. With this post, we hope to highlight 10 to 15 of them. You can read more on it here. The links below are color coded — green for FanGraphs, brown for RotoGraphs, dark red for The Hardball Times, orange for TechGraphs and blue for Community Research.
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The Pirates’ Potential Position-Player Pickle

The Pirates have a lot of talented players. This is a good thing. But one of the issues with having a lot of good players is that you run out of spots for them. This happened to some degree last season after the team re-acquired Aramis Ramirez. Ramirez, despite possessing starter-type talent, was forced to contend with a crowded third-base depth chart. Now the club might have similar crowding on the other side of the age spectrum — in this case, with the rise of prospect Alen Hanson.

Hanson has been a prospect for a little while now, and his star has dimmed somewhat since he moved to second base. Or so you might have thought. How you feel about second-base prospect Alen Hanson may depend on how you view your prospects, in general. Both Chris Mitchell’s KATOH and Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS rate Hanson as a top-40 prospect (22nd by KATOH, 38th by ZiPS). Scouts aren’t as bullish on him, however, even if they like him fine. Last year, Kiley McDaniel palced him toward the bottom of his top 200 list, and Baseball America more or less would have had him in the same position this year. In other words, many see him as a top-10 prospect on a team, but not a top-100 prospect in the game.
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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 2/16/15

9:00
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

9:00
Paul Swydan: Surprisingly few of you voted that both polls and me are stupid.

9:01
Paul Swydan: Ok Jeff is ready. Let’s do this.

9:01
Birch Barlow: Paul Swydan, you are well known for your lenient stance on crime, but suppose for a second that your house was ransacked by thugs, your family was tied up in the basement with socks in their mouths, you try to open the door but there’s too much blood on the knob….My question is about the budget.

9:01
Jeff Zimmerman: BTW, here is the link to tonight’s LABR draft: http://www.rtsports.com/labr-mixed-draft

9:02
Jeff Zimmerman: What budget?

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