Author Archive

FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 6/18/13

6:08
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

Join us tonight at 9 pm ET for lots of hot baseball action, served up hot!

I’ll get some polls up in the meantime. Or you can suggest some polls. Or you can put in questions. Or you can make fun of my appearance. Or you can be a fairy. Or a queen. It’s wiiiiiiide open.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vay4uTJ2a50

6:18
Paul Swydan: Just in case you don’t know who Hugo is.

http://simpsons.wikia.com/wiki/Hugo_Simpson_II

9:00
Paul Swydan: Alright, let’s light this candle!

9:00
Chris Cwik: Woo hoo!

9:00
Comment From zorzo
matt harvey matt harvey matt harvey matt harvey? matt harvey? matt harvey matt harvey?

9:00
Paul Swydan: I concur.

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The Fortnight – 6/18/13

Ah, another fortnight has passed. How did you spend them? Perhaps you were deeply immersed in the Teapot Dome scandal? Perhaps you were eagerly awaiting the release of “Yeezus?” Perhaps you were simply watching the paint dry in anticipation of the next iteration of this series? I know I was doing at least one of these things.

As always, you can peep the explanation of our depth charts and standings pages — which fuel The Fortnight like so much lemon lime Gatorade — here. This week, we’ll be looking at the fortnight’s biggest losers.

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The Bloom Is Off Brett Lawrie’s Rose

In 150 at-bats back in 2011, Brett Lawrie captured our attention and imagination. “If he could hit nine homers in such a short time, Lawrie could have 30-homer potential over the course of a full season,” is likely a sentence you read before the 2012 season. It’s probably a sentence I wrote, as a matter of fact. In the season and a half since though, Lawrie has hit just 16 homers, and has battled a myriad of injuries. He’s just 23-years-old, but perhaps it’s time we stopped waiting for Lawrie to be a star.

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Marc Hulet Prospects Chat – 6/14/13

12:46
Marc Hulet: Hi all… we’ll begin in about 15 minutes and will be chatting about prospects, draft signings… basically whatever you’d like so feel free to get your questions in now.

12:56
Comment From Ben
Maikel Franco…major helium? Top 50 in the game at this point?

12:57
Marc Hulet: Definite helium… I’ll be doing an update Top 50 prospects list in July but I don’t currently expect him to be on it… but we’ll see.

12:57
Comment From Rated Rookie
Miguel Sano and Xander Bogaerts. Who has the better power potential? And between the two, who is more likely to realize that potential?

12:57
Marc Hulet: Sano has better power — pure 80. Bogaerts is a more well-rounded player… both are top prospects, though. I’d love to have either one on my team…

12:58
Comment From John
Wheeler coming up Tuesday. Obviously, there is a lot of pressure, especially considering what Harvey did last year and that, at least until this year, Wheeler was always considered the better of the two. Does that have any impact on his performance and how the FO views his performance?

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 6/11/13

6:04
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

Chris, Jeff AND myself will be live with you tonight at 9 pm ET to cram some baseball down your cramholes. In the meantime, I’ll get up some polls, and you post some questions and comments. It’s just crazy enough to work.

See you soon!

9:01
Paul Swydan: Six shutout innings from Gerrit Cole > seven walks from Jon Lester.

Let’s light this turkey.

9:01
Chris Cwik: Hi, everyone. Been a while.

9:01
Paul Swydan: Chris is married now you guys. Tell Chris congratulations!

9:01
Jeff Zimmerman: I am working on a poll, will jump in soon.

9:02
Paul Swydan: Btw, 56% of you are pissing me off. Man of Steel looks AMAZING.

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The Padres Surprising Middle Infield

It’s hard to find a good, stable middle infield combination, especially offensively, since so many players at those positions are defensive specialists who are happy to see a blooper fall in occasionally. When a team like the Padres puts together a good middle infield combo seemingly overnight, it’s definitely worthy of mention. In shortstop Everth Cabrera and second baseman Jedd Gyorko, San Diego may have one of the game’s most surprisingly effective middle infield duos.

If we were to focus only on 2013 performance as a marker of overall ability, then we’d be forced to note that only 11 teams have qualified players at each position. We don’t want to knock out the other 19 teams for not having qualifiers, but there are some we can eliminate right off the bat. Four teams — the Blue Jays, Dodgers, Mariners and Marlins — don’t have a qualified player at either position. Perhaps — in another year — the combo of Jose Reyes and Maicer Izturis will merit mention, but not now. The same goes for Robinson Cano and Derek Jeter with the Yankees, as they won’t get enough playing time out of Jeter to merit consideration this season.

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Patience Pays Off for Daniel Nava, Red Sox

You’ve probably heard the Daniel Nava story before. He went undrafted out of college, was initially cut by the independent Chico Outlaws, and when the Red Sox did sign him, they only paid $1. (Boston would eventually pay $1,499 more). Three years later, Nava broke into the majors — but not for good. Even devout Red Sox fans would be forgiven if they’d forgotten Nava’s name heading into 2012, and he has never been part of Boston’s Plan A. But he’s waited for his turn — and so far this season, he’s been one of baseball’s best hitters.

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Marc Hulet Prospects Chat – 6/7/13

11:46
Marc Hulet: Hi all,

I’m filling the Friday prospect chat hole this week with Mike Newman unavailable. Obviously the Major League draft is on the brain today with the first two rounds going last night and the remainder of the draft picking up again today at 1 pm eastern. I haven’t been following the draft coverage as much this year as in the past but we can talk about the draft in generalities, if you’d like. For more information about last night’s events, please check out Al’s 4.5 hour FanGraphs chat…

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/al-skorupa-fangraphs-draft-chat-6613/

If you have any prospect questions, please feel free to ask… For background on me, here is my offseason work that included the site’s Top 100 list and individual Top 15 prospect lists..

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/fangraphs-top-100-prospects-2/

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/fangraphs-top-15-prospects-lists-a-recap/

If you want to expand from talking about prospects, we can also chat about this year’s MLB rookie class… I recently wrote about my monthly recap of the Top 5 rookies in the Majors, over at Prospect Insider…

http://prospectinsider.com/view/rookie-watch:-miller-leads-charge/

I’m opening up the chat now. We’ll start at noon but you can post your questions beginning now.

11:56
Comment From Milhouse
Have you seen Carson Kelly live? Thoughts? I know he’s young.

11:57
Marc Hulet: We’ll officially get started…. I have not seen Kelly live but I’ve seen video and have also spoken to talent evaluators who are high on the young hitter. He’s struggling a bit but is still just 18 in the Midwest League… the org is very high on him.

11:57
Comment From Milhouse
Has your opinion of Daniel Robertson changed from the offseason? Is he a guy I should be trying to acquire even if it’s a slight overpay?

11:58
Marc Hulet: I’m surprised he’s been as steady at SS as he has been… a lot of people expected him to become a permanent 3B right away. I’m very happy with the early returns.

11:59
Comment From Hunter Pences Thorax
Astros GM Jeff Luhnow recently said George Springer is staying in the minors. Is this a money thing, or a Springer thing, or both?

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Al Skorupa FanGraphs Draft Chat – 6/6/13

5:27
Al Skorupa: Welcome to the chat! Please leave your questions and we’ll be starting around 6:30. In the meantime I’ve got some videos for you related to the latest rumors from my buddies Steve Fiorindo and Tyler Bullock.

5:27
E Tyler Bullock:

5:27
Steve Fiorindo:

5:59
Al Skorupa: I wanted to discuss some draft basics before we begin. First off, let’s remember that the baseball amateur draft is a different creature than the other pro sports drafts. We hear a lot about “best player available,” but this draft has never really been about that – it’s about the best mix of value and talent. Cost is a major part of the equation. This isn’t teams being cheap – this is about how to best use limited resources on some… less than stable investments. As a logical extension of that, prior to the new slotting could a team have gone crazy and spent four times what every other team spent and got great results? Yes… but at a very poor ROI. Projecting teenagers and young men physically and in terms of how their skills would develop is HARD. Just like the people around you in your life when you were young there are an infinite number of variable that will determine their success or failure in life. This is very, very far from an exact science and that’s why I have a tremendous amount of respect for amateur scouts and the near impossible job they’re given.

6:03
Al Skorupa: I also think a common misconception is that there is a real consensus out there on players. There really isn’t much of a consensus. Scouts differ all the time on players. It’s pretty wide open. Watching some of these guys on the Cape last year who will be taken early tonight and I’d come across cross checkers who would tell me a guy nearly everyone projects for the first round “can’t hit” and they wouldn’t take him. Teams look for different things. Individual scouts look for different things and the process is nowhere as exact as many people imagine.

6:05
Al Skorupa: That brings me to… myself. Who am I and why is it worth you reading my chat? Well, I write about prospects for Fangraphs and you can find my work other places – primarily bullpenbanter.com, a site I started with fellow FG prospects writer JD Sussman and a few other talented writers. I do a lot of amateur coverage over there and I’m glad to bring some of it over to FG since I enjoy watching amateurs (as opposed to minor leaguers – who I also enjoy watching!).

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 6/4/13

6:27
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody! Just another day around here at FanGraphs. I was busy pulling off the steal of the ESPN Franchise Player Draft:

http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/9341222/jurickson-profar-steal-franchise-player-draft-mlb

http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/page/franchise130603/espn-franchise-player-draft

And Jeff was busy introducing a new and very helpful injury finder:

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/mash-report-6413-introducing-hidden-hitter-injury-finder

And Chris? Well, Chris is still on vacation, so he’s useless. But Jeff and I are putting in enough work to cover for him. And we’re STILL ready to do more work for you, the people. Join us at 9 pm ET and we’ll cram some baseball down your cramholes!

6:43
Paul Swydan: By the way, we’re taking suggestions for Jeff’s injury tool. Early front runners are the reader-suggested acryonyms HURT Score (Hitter’s Under-performance from Recent Trauma), or PAIN (Player’s Abiding Injury Number).

9:01
Paul Swydan: Hi guys, let’s do this! Sorry if you couldn’t submit questions for awhile, I closed my computer like a dum-dum. But the phone lines are open now!

9:02
Comment From Doo bob
Subtracted Performance Runs After Injury Notice (SPRAIN)

9:02
Paul Swydan: That’s a good one. Jeff will be along in a sec, btw.

9:02
Comment From Roster Rooster
How about F-HIM (Forecaster of Hidden Injury Metric)

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