Author Archive

Cody Bellinger Was Built to Be This Way

The first time I met Dodgers slugger Cody Bellinger, we didn’t have a lot of time, so I just shook his hand and said that I’d seen him enough to think “you swing really hard, every time, don’t you?” He smiled. “Always been this way.” And that part remained true when we reconnected. But he also opened my eyes to the parts of his game that were molded along the way.

The first coach that Bellinger had was his father. Clay Bellinger got some time with the Yankees earlier this century and coached his son early on. But once the son signed with the Dodgers, the father’s advice receded to “little tips and pointers.” His dad’s a firefighter now, in Gilbert, Arizona, and so he’s a little busy with his day job.

And the son had professional coaches. When he first arrived in pro ball, though, the focus was on staying afloat. “When I first signed in [2013] and Rookie ball in ’14, I wanted to learn how to hit first,” Bellinger said before a game against the Giants. “I was so young — I was 17, 18 — I didn’t worry about power at all.” You can see that there was something different about Bellinger back then.

Cody Bellinger, in Three Acts
Time Period PA ISO BB% K% GB% FB% HR/FB
2013-2014 428 0.156 10.7% 20.1% 48% 35% 4%
2015-2017 1098 0.258 11.0% 24.2% 32% 48% 18%
MLB 2017 105 0.358 9.5% 28.6% 27% 51% 28%

Those professional coaches largely left him alone that first year, but going into High-A Rancho Cucamonga, they saw an opportunity. “Going into Rancho, they told me it was hitter friendly, so they made some adjustments to my swing. Damon Mashore helped me out,” Bellinger remembers. “I created a little bit more of a consistent path to the ball, just to backspin the ball. I never knew how to backspin balls before.”

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It’s Time for a Pitcher to Throw 80% Breaking Balls

A few years back, I was sure that throwing too many breaking balls was bad for pitchers’ arm health. I wasn’t alone — there was some decent research backing up that hypothesis. As the methods for examining the question have become more refined, however, and further work has been conducted on the matter, it looks like we’ve found that it’s not so much breaking balls as velocity that most directly affects arm health.

Perhaps teams have been on the same journey, because curveball usage — and breaking-ball usage, in general — is up to heights we haven’t seen before.

Pitch Percentages by Season
Season Four-Seam Changeups Two-Seam Breakers
2010 40% 13% 18% 29%
2011 38% 12% 19% 30%
2012 35% 12% 22% 31%
2013 36% 12% 22% 31%
2014 35% 12% 22% 31%
2015 37% 12% 21% 30%
2016 36% 12% 20% 31%
2017 36% 13% 19% 32%
SOURCE: PITCHf/x
Two-Seam = two-seamers plus sinkers
Changeups = changeups plus splitters
Breakers = sliders, cutters, curves, knuckle curves, and eephi

Breaking-ball usage has increased. That said, the uptick has been slow and gradual. Perhaps too slow and gradual. Maybe we should be pushing it.

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The Players on Choking Up

Round bat, round ball, traveling in different directions: the eight-word story of hitting really captures some of the difficulty of that practice. When you get into the art of choking up — moving the hands up the barrel and shortening the bat — you uncover a whole world of players attempting to address that difficulty. David Kagan examined the physics of choking up today at The Hardball Times. Here, we ask the practitioners what they think. It turns out, the players serve up some conventional wisdom, but also some insight into the reasoning behind the practice.

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Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 5/18/17

1:25
Eno Sarris: hey this is nice and mellow unlike my life

12:03
Eno Sarris: I”M HERE HOLE ON

12:03
Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: The league made sure that the sanctity of baseball was protected and that Brad Miller will no longer use his contraband pink bat after his illegal 3-5 performance on Monday. This feels like a missed opportunity for the league. Why can’t players get whatever color they want, lightsaber style? Cespedes could get a neon bat to pair with that garish arm sleeve, players could use colors to support causes, sons of former big leaguers could honor pop by using the same color…seems like an easy marketing opportunity and chance to add more personality to the game.

12:03
Eno Sarris: Because tradition is our mission.

12:03
Greg: So it looks like Freddie Freeman’s wrist is probably fractured. Any long terms concerns with any injury like that?

12:03
Eno Sarris: Yes. Hamate problems sap power, wrist is pretty bad for that sort of thing.

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Everyone Is on the Disabled List Right Now

Over the course of the last week, the Dodgers placed four players on the disabled list, most in baseball. Andrew Toles, with his torn ACL, would have gone on the DL in any other year, and that might also be true for Adam Liberatore and his strained hamstring. But Kenta Maeda (tightness in hamstring) and Brandon McCarthy (sore left shoulder) are dealing with less debilitating issues. They might not have been placed on the DL if not for the flexibility allowed by the new 10-day option. But has that flexibility really created an explosion in DL usage? What ramifications would that have on the game?

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The Greater Significance of Bronson Arroyo’s Leg Kick

I’ve always loved Bronson Arroyo’s leg kick. There’s some whimsy in it, is maybe why. At the very least, it represents a different mechanical approach than one finds elsewhere in the league.

Turns out, there are reasons against flinging the lead leg out into space like Arroyo does — and yet, his reasons for doing it make some sort of sense, as well. And in between the two, there’s even something about the future of baseball in that kick. It’s a kick that contains multitudes.

First, let’s revel in its glory — in this case, from the hitter’s view. Is it… majestic?

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How Good Can Jordan Montgomery Be?

Back in the spring, there was a gaggle of starting pitchers under consideration for the final spot in the Yankees rotation. Eventually, the lesser-known starter who wowed management got the chance. Jordan Montgomery has been a top-five rookie starter this year so far and, by all accounts, looks like a major leaguer. Now, the question has shifted. Now, we ask not “Will he pitch in the majors?” but “How good will he be?”

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Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 5/11/17

11:44
Eno Sarris: be here now

12:01
A-a-a-ron: Who wins in beer drinking contest: you or Sporer?

12:01
Eno Sarris: Paul doesn’t drink so

12:01
Sonny: Lord Tariq & Peter Gunz > Steely Dan. Come @ me Eno!

12:01
Eno Sarris: yeah but Steely is in all of your favorite classic hip hop

12:01
BleepBlorp: It’s Thursday! You know what that means! It’s almost time for roughly 48 hours of burying our existential dread about where our lives fit into the meaningless void of existence. It’s also Eno Chat Day!

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Painting a New Picture of Jose Ramirez

In your mind, you might have an idea of the relative strengths of the Indians’ Jose Ramirez. He’s what many might term a “good little player” — and that’s not a comment on his 5-foot-8 stature. It’s about the fact that he can run a little, hit for a little power, make a little contact, and play a few positions. Useful, but maybe not a star.

Then you might look at his stats from last year and find yourself surprised that he was nearly a five-win player. Then you might look at his stats from this year and find yourself surprised that he’s now a power-hitter. For the player himself, it required a little recalibration of his own approach. And that’s forced a recalibration on us — and on pitchers, as well.

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How Much Power Does Andrew Toles Have?

Part of this job is writing about players who’ve put together interesting performances in small sample sizes. Really, at this point of the season, that describes basically every player. With Andrew Toles, though, it’s even harder: his whole career is a small sample size. And now, depending on the severity of his current knee injury, we might be forced to continue trying to evaluate him as a player based on very little evidence.

In that brief career, however, Toles has been good. Among active players who both (a) have recorded 200-plus plate appearances (Toles has 214) and (b) have yet to turn 25 (which he does in two weeks), Toles ranks 40th out of 99 by Wins Above Replacement — and he’s top 30 in isolated power.

That latter distinction is interesting. Projections, perhaps seeing powerless seasons in the minor leagues and dealing with a missed year in some form or another, don’t see that kind of power. I had to ask the player why they might be missing the point.

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