Archive for Effectively Wild

Effectively Wild Episode 1590: How to Find a Minor League Late Bloomer

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller talk to Justin Hollander, the Seattle Mariners’ vice president and assistant general manager in charge of baseball operations, about how the Mariners have discovered and signed overlooked talents like Austin Nola and Dylan Moore, how much preparation the front office does for minor league free agency, how to blend stats and scouting information, why teams know their own players best, the secrets to signing minor league free agents, how Nola broke out, the ones who got away, monitoring minor league players in 2020, and much more.

Audio intro: Liam Finn, "Don’t Even Know Your Name"
Audio outro: Liam Finn, "Second Chance"

Link to news about Justin’s promotion
Link to EW competitions and drafts spreadsheet
Link to most recent EW minor league free agent draft
Link to Carson’s study of minor league free agents
Link to most recent list of minor league free agents
Link to story about 2020 minor league free agents
Link to story about being a minor league free agent
Link to Craig Edwards on Nola
Link to story about Moore’s improvement
Link to Kiley on the Yankees and minor league free agents
Link to Roster Resource team info tracker
Link to Ringer MLB Show episode with Justin
Link to Ben on Trout’s rookie year
Link to stats vs. scouts on prospects episode

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Effectively Wild Episode 1589: The Home Run Retriever

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the extraordinary stat lines of Brewers pitcher Corbin Burnes, the role of randomness in baseball, the latest two-team half no-hitter, the Rays’ historic all-lefty lineup, the horrors of Red Sox pitching, the approaching end of the regular season, the states of the standings and playoff odds, the underperforming Reds, deceptive doubleheaders, why writers tend to lose their childhood fandom, the Phillies’ bad bullpen, and more. Then (51:32) they talk to Seattle Mariners souvenir manager Sean Guiney about fetching home run balls in empty ballparks, how MLB’s memorabilia authentication process works, what it’s like to attend an MLB game in 2020, how fake crowd noise sounds in person, and how the cardboard cutouts in the stands are holding up to the barrage of baseballs.

Audio intro: Rilo Kiley, "Smoke Detector"
Audio interstitial: Neil Finn, "Souvenir"
Audio outro: Boygenius, "Souvenir"

Link to Tony Wolfe on Burnes
Link to Ben on Keller’s bad luck
Link to story on the all-lefty lineup
Link to FanGraphs playoff odds page
Link to FanGraphs BaseRuns standings page
Link to Gallo home run ball
Link to Mariners auction site

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Effectively Wild Episode 1588: Full Nelson

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller discuss the backstory behind the Lou Brock for Ernie Broglio trade, break down a clichéd postgame quote by Gavin Lux, and marvel at the historic excellence of 40-year-old Twins slugger Nelson Cruz.

Audio intro: Todd Rundgren, "Cliché"
Audio outro: Chip Taylor, "Santa Cruz"

Link to the Chicago Reader on the Cubs and Brock
Link to Brock obituary
Link to Lux clichés quote
Link to Bull Durham cliches clip
Link to Ben on Cruz in 2015
Link to Russell Carleton on the shift
Link to Tom Tango on the shift
Link to rate of shifting against Cruz

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Effectively Wild Episode 1587: The Live-Ball Era

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley follow up on an earlier Clayton Kershaw commercial conversation and banter about Tom Seaver and the benefits of being a late bloomer, then answer listener emails about catchers sharing secrets about their old teams, the value of game-calling, Manny Ramirez signing with the Sydney Blue Sox and the experience of watching old players in lower-level leagues, how stadiums designed for games without fans would be different, whether a pitcher could tattoo his hand to look like a baseball, whether a person from the past could infer the occurrence of a pandemic from MLB’s schedule alone, and what would happen if it were revealed that baseballs are alive, plus Stat Blasts about teams with the most one-run games and batters who always hit in the same spot in the lineup.

Audio intro: Jenny Lewis, "Late Bloomer"
Audio outro: Superchunk, "What a Time to Be Alive"

Link to Kershaw commercial
Link to Benetti and Stone clip
Link to Seaver newsletter
Link to Pages from Baseball’s Past
Link to Ben on catcher intangibles
Link to Ben on Yadi’s game-calling
Link to Harry Pavlidis on game-calling
Link to interview episode with Harry
Link to article on Mathis’s game-calling
Link to Dan Szymborski on the decline of Pujols
Link to story on MLB Network “speed cam”
Link to story about Mariners broadcast innovations
Link to story about Clevinger’s tattoos
Link to Sean Rudman’s Stat Blast Song cover
Link to teams with the most one-run games
Link to spreadsheet on batting in the same spot in the order
Link to Rob Arthur on the baseball’s inconsistency
Link to Star Trek episode of The Ringer MLB Show
Link to Russell Carleton’s update on the shift

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Effectively Wild Episode 1586: Duke it Out

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller banter about a Giants fun fact, two home run facts that may or may not be fun, the ways in which the circumstances of his era shaped the late Tom Seaver’s legacy, and the latest highlights of extra-innings baseball, then answer listener emails about another possible implementation of the automatic-runner rule and what qualifies as an “insurance run,” plus Stat Blasts about the players who use the most baseballs, Cameron Maybin and other players traded repeatedly by one team, and the records for consecutive pitches of each type.

Audio intro: Led Zeppelin, "Poor Tom"
Audio outro: Cat Le Bon, "Duke"

Link to Steven Goldman on Seaver
Link to Jay Jaffe on Seaver
Link to story about trading Seaver
Link to Seaver’s no-hitter
Link to Russell Carleton on Gallo bunting
Link to Mike Temple’s Stat Blast Song cover
Link to post about Carmel card
Link to spreadsheet of players dealt by one team
Link to spreadsheet of consecutive-pitch throwers
Link to Sam on fastball-reliant pitchers

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Effectively Wild Episode 1585: The Not-So-Deadline

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley recap and analyze the trade deadline, concentrating on the Padres’ unprecedented activity, Cleveland dealing Mike Clevinger, the Blue Jays buying, the Diamondbacks selling, several other contenders retooling, and why the deadline was busier than expected, followed by banter about a second Clayton Kershaw tire commercial and an example of Honus Wagner being bush league.

Audio intro: The Avett Brothers, "A Lot of Moving"
Audio outro: Teenage Fanclub, "I Don’t Know"

Link to Ben on Preller and the Padres
Link to Craig Edwards on deadline winners and losers
Link to Eric Longenhagen on the best prospects traded
Link to Zach Kram on trading prospects
Link to Zach on reasons for teams not to trade
Link to the FanGraphs trade deadline roundup
Link to Dan Szymborski on the Clevinger trade
Link to Zack Meisel on the Clevinger trade
Link to Emma Baccellieri on trade deadline travel
Link to second Kershaw commercial
Link to Wagner clipping
Link to Bugs Bunny clip
Link to John Sterling clip
Link to John Sterling t-shirt

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Effectively Wild Episode 1584: The Immaculate Golden Sombrero

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller banter about how Albert Pujols has remained an RBI man without being a good hitter and the historic slimness of Cleveland rookie pitcher Triston McKenzie, then answer a listener email about whether all innings would be better with the extra-innings automatic-runner rule, followed by Stat Blasts about what would happen if all GMs traded as much as the most frequent trader, the record for the most identical final scores on the same day, and hitters who’ve struck out four times on 12 pitches in the same game, plus another listener email about how much shorter the average game has been this season because of seven-inning games and fewer extra innings, and closing banter about the bottom of the ninth’s history.

Audio intro: The Kinks, "Living on a Thin Line"
Audio outro: The Baseball Project, "Golden Sombrero"

Link to 2017 Pujols article
Link to sheet of lowest and highest BMIs
Link to scouts on McKenzie
Link to video of McKenzie’s debut
Link to story about McKenzie’s debut
Link to Lucas on McKenzie’s stuff
Link to Travis Sawchik on Cleveland’s pitcher development
Link to Tyler Stafford’s Stat Blast Song cover
Link to spreadsheet of days with most identical scores
Link to most common baseball scores
Link to three-pitch strikeouts spreadsheet
Link to Grant Brisbee on Lawrie’s sombrero
Link to Will Leitch on Lawrie’s sombrero
Link to A Game of Inches
Link to episode with discussion about Trout not flying
Link to Baseball-Reference Game Changer

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Effectively Wild Episode 1583: The Shift in Conversation

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley reflect on the recent protests, statements, and strikes across the sports world and in MLB specifically, touching on why some teams did or didn’t opt to play on Wednesday and Thursday, the messages that those decisions sent, and whether this week will mark a lasting break from MLB players’ past apolitical tendencies. Then (24:34) they welcome shift-doubting Baseball Prospectus author Russell Carleton and shift-endorsing Sports Info Solutions analyst Alex Vigderman for a knock-down, drag-out debate (OK, maybe more like a friendly discussion) about the present and future of fielder positioning, in an attempt to answer a few pressing questions about how MLB does defensive alignments: Is it possible that the shift is actually increasing scoring? If so, why are teams shifting more often every year? Can teams shift more effectively than they do now? And what can we learn from the, er, shifting perceptions of the shift over time?

Audio intro: Bill and Joel Plaskett, "Solidarity"
Audio interstitial: Snowgoose, "Shifting Sands"
Audio outro: Ty Segall, "I Am Not a Game"

Link to FanGraphs’ Jon Tayler on MLB’s scattered response
Link to Brodie Van Wagenen video and transcript
Link to Bradford Williams Davis on the Mets mess
Link to video of Mets and Marlins
Link to statement by The Players Alliance
Link to David Roberts on rethinking kneeling
Link to Shakeia Taylor on Jackie Robinson Day
Link to Marc Normandin on players taking a stand
Link to Michael Baumann on MLB’s apolitical foundation
Link to Ken Rosenthal on players exerting their power
Link to Russell on killing the shift
Link to Russell on room for nuance in the shift
Link to video about the Mets shifting less
Link to Tom Tango on shifting
Link to Matt Trueblood on shifting
Link to leaguewide shift rates by year in the Statcast era
Link to Ben on outfield shifting
Link to Alex on the latest uptick in shifts
Link to Alex on shifts being added to Defensive Runs Saved
Link to Alex on the most extreme catch locations
Link to FanGraphs post on the 2020 DRS update
Link to article about the Tigers shifting in 2020
Link to Josh Levin on what early sabermetrics got wrong
Link to The Fielding Bible, Vol. V
Link to Russell’s book, The Shift
Link to the Sports Info Solutions Baseball Podcast

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Effectively Wild Episode 1582: Change My Mind

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller follow up on two Stat Blasts from the previous week and banter about the Dodgers’ impressive winning percentage pace, the surprisingly normal state of the standings, the Phillies’ bullpen, and the record-setting sale of a Mike Trout baseball card before discussing some of the ways in which the 2020 season has forced them to adjust their prior beliefs about baseball.

Audio intro: RJD2 (Feat. Homeboy Sandman), "One of a Kind"
Audio outro: The Bigger Lovers, "Change Your Mind"

Link to story about Trout card
Link to episode with interview about baseball cards
Link to article about 2020’s unbalanced schedule
Link to Ben on BABIP

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Effectively Wild Episode 1581: Endless Cycle

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Fernando Tatis Jr.’s “grand slam cycle,” the most exciting cycle sequence, unwritten rules, how to interpret reports of rising TV ratings, why umpires call more strikes when they work with the same catchers, historical precedents for the Cardinals’ overstuffed schedule, a confounding Clayton Kershaw commercial, and Jeff Frye’s controversial cycle. Then (41:24) they talk to Baseball Prospectus associate editor Ginny Searle about Reds broadcaster Thom Brennaman using a homophobic slur on a hot mic, Brennaman’s apologies and the responses to his slur and suspension, baseball’s history of homophobic comments, the careers of Glenn Burke and Bill Bean, diversity in broadcasting, the prospect of a player coming out, and what MLB and the Reds should do to make LGBT fans feel more welcome. Finally (1:05:29), FanGraphs author Craig Edwards joins to discuss how he handled the site’s annual trade value rankings in an uncertain season, how he thinks teams will approach the trade deadline, where public and private perceptions of trade value diverge, where he placed Mike Trout, and how he ranked Tatis, Ronald Acuña Jr., and Juan Soto.

Audio intro: Peter Matthew Bauer, "Transhistoric Cycles of Time"
Audio interstitial 1: The Tragically Hip, "Hot Mic"
Audio interstitial 2: Willie Nelson, "I’d Trade All of My Tomorrows (For Just One Yesterday)"
Audio outro: Peter Bjorn and John, "Weekend"

Link to “grand slam cycle” tweet
Link to Ben on Tatis and unwritten rules
Link to The Athletic’s MLB ratings story
Link to Rob Arthur on catchers and umpires
Link to article about the Cardinals’ schedule
Link to May 1, 1975 article about the Twins’ schedule
Link to Pages from Baseball’s Past
Link to Kershaw commercial
Link to Griffey Jr. commercial
Link to article about Frye’s cycle
Link to Ginny on Brennaman
Link to Brennaman’s on-air apology
Link to Brennaman’s written apology
Link to Dale Scott interview episode
Link to Bean interview episode
Link to Christina Kahrl interview episode
Link to Craig’s trade value series intro
Link to Craig’s trade value series top 10
Link to Ben Clemens on trading high-value players

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