Changing the Role of Changing the Rules
George Carlin once said, “Inside every cynical person, there is a disappointed idealist.”
I’m reminded of this quote whenever a new rule change is proposed or implemented in baseball and is largely (and predictably) followed by outrage from outspoken purists. Of course, we all know that rule changes themselves are nothing new; it’s been about a century since the ball was first brought to life and decades since the mound was lowered, both changes that were met with contemporaneous skepticism of their own.
Some of the rule changes being proposed and implemented in the sport today address similar aspects of the game as those of yesteryear, namely, counteracting pitchers’ dominance and steering the sport away from a subsequent three-true-outcomes landscape. But another seeming motivation behind MLB’s tinkering these days is simply to shorten the length of games – a hard sell to those of us who would prefer more baseball to less. Unsurprisingly, what was once generally a skeptical public reception has morphed into one that is much more cynical. But what idealism could that cynicism be masking?
A baseball idealist would likely regard rule changes as a last resort, drastic measures made necessary by desperate times. Perhaps the disconnect between baseball fans and MLB simply comes down to a disagreement about whether or not the current climate constitutes times desperate enough for such drastic measures. Seeing as how MLB has already proven its willingness to toy with these types of changes, though, there seems little point in rehashing the merits of tinkering. And there is potential afforded by an openness to change, potential that has been largely overlooked and is therefore untapped. Given the likelihood that rule changes will continue to be considered and implemented in baseball, it’s my belief that these changes should be viewed by MLB as a mechanism to allow greater access to, and inclusion within, the sport.
Of course, baseball is not the only sport to undergo an evolution marked by rule changes over the course of its history. There are examples in every major professional sport; the advent of the three-pointer in the NBA and the back-pass rule in soccer are just a couple of examples. But a lesser-known instance of a sport altering its rules provides a clear example of how change can create a new pathway to the sport for players previously excluded from it. In 2002, the NCAA added a new position to collegiate volleyball called a libero, a designated defensive specialist who can only play in the back row but is not subject to the same substitution restrictions as other players. If you’ve ever seen a volleyball game and noticed one player on each team wearing a different colored jersey than their teammates, that was the libero. When the rule was implemented, its stated purpose was to “add a new element of excitement to the game, raise the level of play and […] create opportunities for the smaller athlete.” The first two points are fair, but somewhat subjective; the third point, however, is undeniable. In one fell swoop, collegiate volleyball had created space for shorter players in a sport where height is generally at a premium.
What can baseball take away from this? Perhaps the most direct equivalent would be finding a way to create space for defense-first players (some might argue that major-league catchers already fall into that category) in a sport where offense is at a premium. In a landscape largely driven by analytics, it’s still hard to quantify defense as precisely as offense. Many teams are willing to play weaker fielders to get their bats in the lineup, relying on good positioning to paper over the defensive deficiencies. As a result, it can be hard to incentivize a player to improve his defense when his offense is what drives many of the metrics by which he’s being evaluated, similar to how pitchers are not incentivized to improve their batting. But rather than trying to get those players to change their offense-first approaches, the ability to counterbalance a roster with defense-first players could open up opportunities in the sport.
The minor leagues are riddled with players whose defensive abilities are more advanced than their hitting. For many, the hitting will come with time. Until this season, Delvin Perez may have seemed to fit the bill as a defense-only guy, but according to an area scout I spoke to, he’s turned on the offense this year. For the less offensively fortunate, however, the lack of hitting is quite likely to wind up being a barrier for entry into the major leagues.
Buddy Reed is an outfielder in Oakland’s system who was acquired in the Jurickson Profar trade and has always been an intriguing player. In addition to his enviable build and multi-sport background, he boasts 70-grade speed and defensive ability in the outfield, along with a 60 arm; unfortunately, his hitting has yet to inspire much confidence, as he slashed just .288/.310/.388 in his 441 plate appearances at Double-A in 2019, leaving some to question whether his offense will ever catch up to his stellar defense.
That defense cannot be oversold. It earned Reed an invite to 2021 spring training, where he took full advantage of the spotlight to show off his outfield prowess.
He robbed reigning MVPs of home runs:
He nabbed reigning World Series champs from left field:
If excitement is what MLB is after, it’s hard to argue against the defense of Buddy Reed.
And Reed isn’t alone. When I asked Eric Longenhagen which minor leaguers came to mind as defensive standouts whose bats may never catch up, it didn’t take long for him to throw 10 names my way. But as it stands, if Reed and his like are unable to improve their offensive output, their path to the majors is much more difficult to map out, though if fellow defensive stud Dixon Machado’s time in the KBO is any indication, they may find more success abroad.
A few of the recently announced rule changes, such as restrictions on infield shifts, are geared toward increasing balls in play, but may also end up placing a premium on position players with bigger defensive ranges, so it’s not hard to imagine an increased focus naturally being placed on defensive value over time. Beyond allowing more mobility for defense-first players already within the system, placing a more tangible value on defense could surely create inroads to baseball at lower levels, allowing players to more seriously cultivate their defense at a young age, and opening up the possibility for more diverse types of player profiles to emerge. If baseball wanted to expedite the inclusion of new types of defensive specialists in the same way that volleyball did with the libero, what might that look like?
Coming up with a baseball equivalent to the libero is tricky. It’s overly simple to just create a Designated Fielder (DF) – a defensive equivalent to the DH who never bats. On a team that also has a DH, this would simply alleviate another position player from defensive responsibilities, and essentially create a second DH in the lineup. It’s not hard to see the slippery slope. Perhaps a step further would be to tie the DF to the DH in the roster the same way the DH and starting pitcher are paired in the Atlantic League’s proposed “Double Hook” rule. But that seems unlikely to have an impact on many games, and certainly not to the degree that the DH-starter pairing would. The way to most closely mimic the roll of the libero in volleyball might be for the DF to have the ability to substitute for any defensive position at any point in the game, without removing the starting position player from the lineup, but with limits on how many innings the DF could play at any one position.
To be clear, I’m not advocating more rule changes; I can hardly keep up with them as it is, and I tend to find them more cumbersome than curative in terms of their potential impact on baseball. But there are more proverbial birds to be killed if MLB is keen to be so brazen about throwing all of these stones. I’ll admit that my own personal brand of baseball idealism includes the possibility of seeing a woman on a major league roster one day, so maybe there is a bit of bias swaying me towards mining the sport for untapped potential that specifically leads to a broader spectrum of player profiles. Given how clear it is that the league is unafraid to experiment with rule changes, I believe that those efforts would be most worthwhile if they were coupled with more focussed attempts to broaden the diversity within the sport, in whatever ways possible.
Tess is a contributor at FanGraphs. When she's not watching college or professional baseball, she works as a sports video editor, creating highlight reels for high school athletes. She can be found on Twitter at @tesstass.
Interesting … so maybe, in a post-shift rules universe where defenders are staked to particular zones, designated fielders would be allowed to roam, so that on every play there would be excitement/anticipation about where they were located–will the ball indeed be hit to them?
Yeah, one designated shifter in the IF or OF each batter seems logical.
Not ready to sign up for a DF just yet, but I think this article touches on something that has been nagging at me. It’s not so much that I’m against MLB changing its rules, it’s that I believe fixing the TTO/power pitching/lack of action/etc. problems to a satisfactory end product requires a 100-year-flood, multipronged, holistic approach that essentially re-creates the sport’s intended balances by taking into account all modern-era athleticism/knowledge/weather/finances/etc. So the ball, bats, strike zone, pitching mound, stadium dimensions, roster restrictions, player control, etc. are all on the table for discussion but only as part of long-term big picture vision.
What I can’t embrace is tinkering with the rules piecemeal, which not only leads to confusion but is more likely to start two fires for every one doused.
Perhaps such a theoretical overhaul of the pro game is too utopian — though I suspect it’s likely warranted after 150 years of gameplay stagnation — but count me as nonplussed about a near-term future of constantly adjusting to the unintended consequences that each new marketing brainstorm spits out.
This gets at why I was so opposed to, yes, the automatic walk rule. It’s not that I particularly mind the rule itself, it’s that it breaks something so fundamental about baseball (the pitcher must pitch to the batter) for little to no benefit. If you’re going to violate something so basic about the sport, I’d expect it to either a) fix everything, or b) be part of a larger package of fixes.
As-is, it’s just this weird wart that doesn’t really matter (seriously, how little time it saves) but if it doesn’t really matter, why have it?
I like the premise of this article, but the truth about these roles, like pinch runners, is that it all comes down to speed (granted, an arm is a plus). There are a lot of fast athletes who, with the playing time, will eventually figure out how to track fly balls, but they may never hit a curve. Plus, there are already more than enough athletic endeavors for fast people, so creating another role seems a bit much, since many teams ostensibly have this fast 4th OF type bench player anyway. If they really wanted to push the envelope, then MLB should add one woman rover to each team who is the only person who can shift either in the IF or OF each hitter. Naturally, a designated shifter would be the less progressive alternative. But then you’re suddenly precariously close to beer league softball, so who knows?
Add a DF, but not an additional DH. Teams can choose to either bat for the pitcher, or for the defensive specialist. Usually that will be the pitcher, naturally, but not always. A team with a capable-hitting pitcher like Ohtani will have the luxury of playing a no-bat defender when he starts.
I’ve said this before but the problem is that MLB is completely unaware that they will be unhappy with their successes. They changed the ball to reduce offense and indeed, they reduced offense. Now everyone is freaking out over the low batting averages. It is one thing to be concerned about unintended side effect, but it’s another thing that every change you propose does what it is supposed to do and you realize that’s not what you wanted.
Baseball needs to figure out what its priorities are. For me, my priority is having more things that reward speed. So to me, the obvious thing to do is move the outfield walls out (or create weird things like the Green Monster). Balls in play have increased benefits in that scenario, as does having more range defensively. So you’re likely to see players like Cedric Mullins show up more often (a guy who puts balls in play and covers ground in the outfield), and fewer players like Adam Duvall (less range, lots of home runs and strikeouts) as more home runs turn into flyouts and more flyouts turning into balls that fall in the gaps.
Moving the outfield walls out wont help lower the K rate. In the short term it’ll turn HR’s into outs and doubles which will tank offense. I get that the idea is that hitters would adjust and prioritize a more balanced, ball in play approach, but that isnt optimal. Currently hitters are faced with the challenge of insane stuff from 4-5 pitchers in 9 innings, and defensive schemes specifically oriented to exploit their natural tendencies. The answer to this isnt making it harder to hit homeruns. Now that said, I do think this would be a better idea in concert with mound lowering or increasing the distance between the hitter and the pitcher.
A difference of a few feet will likely kill more HRs than it adds doubles. Agreed. So lets make outfields A LOT bigger. Like almost Colorado big, but everywhere. Now you’ve got balls dropping in all over the place, and you can’t hide immobile sluggers on defense any longer.
That does nothing to address strikeouts. True. And will kill a lot of HR. Also true. But it will lead to a great many more balls in play, and put more of an emphasis on speed and defense.
Handling Ks is easy, but painful. Make the strike zone smaller or move the mound back.
I’m not convinced that it wouldn’t reduce strikeouts. One likely cause of strikeouts today is that baseball games are won by pulling balls in the air so that you can hit homers in the relatively small ballparks of today. That is one reason why high, hard fastballs are so prevalent. Those pitches are hard to pull and easy to whiff on if that is what you are trying to do. It would take a few years of adjustments on how teams are built, but I think that you would eventually see teams start looking for more Nick Madrigal types who almost never swing and miss because the BABIPs would be higher with bigger outfields. One thing that I don’t think gets talked about enough is how the movement towards smaller ballparks in the 1990s led to an evolution in the way that the game is played.
I think there are some real questions about whether lowering the mound is feasible. The big issue is that lowering the mound is going to require everyone to re-learn how to pitch, with lots of injuries and wild pitches–the game will be totally unwatchable in the short-term (this is why moving it back is probably not feasible, since that will permanently increase walks and wild pitches). On top of that, the mound height will be inconsistent at different levels of baseball (high school, college, MLB) while there’s some re-adjustment. If you can solve those problems then you have something that will work.
Personally I think if you want to lower the K rate you’re just better off shrinking the strike zone. Super easy to do and invisible.
Invisible? Maybe for Angel Hernandez. Hey-oooooo
The idea is the lower the K AND BB rates, not just K’s. Shrinking the strike zone will just turn K’s into BB’s. Moving the mound back will help some, but basically I think you need to change the incentives. Make a sharp pulled ground ball or a wounded-duck pop fly a decent outcome of a PA again, instead of a sure out (especially for lefties). That’s why I’m so intrigued by how the shift bans do.
I think your overriding point is spot-on. It just seems like tweak, tweak, endlessly tweak, without figuring out what larger goals they are hoping to accomplish, who these changes are aimed at, and what unintended consequences they might incur.
“Well the ball is a little different, now everyone is hitting 98, 99, 100…what? Strikeouts are up? Now there are even fewer balls in play? We could NOT have possibly seen that coming…”
Likewise, “we expanded rosters…now teams carry even more pitchers who can go max effort for one inning…well done gents. What? Offense is negatively impacted? Again, who could have possibly envisioned this…”
Amen shrink the roster size will boost offense and discourage pitching changes.
And delight surgeons everywhere.
I think they have to realize that some of their (likely) aims are at cross-purposes to each other, so they need to prioritize them somehow. I think they generally want games to be shorter – well, having pitchers firing 100 and keeping scoring down will help accomplish that. But if they want the league to hit above .220, that could potentially necessitate the ability to carry fewer pitchers and/or might result in some 3-hour games.
Of course, they can definitively and positively affect game times and pace of play with novel ideas like keeping the batter in the box between pitches and strictly enforcing a pitch clock. The players will b*tch and moan a bit at first (as they are wont to do) but the fans would 100% appreciate both, and they could be implemented posthaste. And there’s nothing impacting the composition of the equipment or rosters to get purists in a huff.
I like the idea of making the field bigger, but realistically it’s never going to happen. I don’t think many owners will like the cost of remodeling the ballpark, along with the loss of seats, just to make the game more watchable. Many of the owners would rather stay put with what we have.
I think it’s the reason it is never brought up. It requires buy in from a bunch of owners, and it will involve fewer seats. But it would solve everything, and since seat prices are already prohibitively high and teams get so much money from TV I’m not sure it actually is that big of an issue.
You might be able to do it by simply moving the plate towards the backstop. That would also create more risk for baserunners on a passed ball/wild pitch, which I think would be more interesting.
I really like this framework of thinking about potential rule changes, and as the commenter g4 notes, it makes sense to consider what kind of baseball we “want” to have and then adjust holistically, rather than seemingly coming up with stuff at random with no real consideration for the overall effect. Great post!
Don’t call it the DF. Call it the Nishinoya, and you may get younger fans flocking to the park.
My resistance to most rule changes is less due to purism and more to aesthetics. I happen to believe that the game of baseball has a profound elegance that derives from a unique duality: simplicity of rules and complexity of game.
–simplicity of rules: unlike almost every other team sport, the umpire never stops play; no clock; no restrictions on positioning; almost no complicated rules unless there is good justification (infield fly); etc.
–complexity of game: Why does the ordering of the bases imply that at least 3/4 of infielders throw right-handed? How many (NL) lineup changes follow from the fact that pitching is so important that pitchers can help their team while being horrible hitters? Why do the stakes rise exponentially with extra inning number during a 1-1 tie between contenders in late August?
My resistance to things like extra-inning runner-on-second, robo-zone and especially the DH stems from the fact that all of these things add complexity to the rules, but remove complexity from the game.
Speaking of which, can’t help noticing that simply repealing the DH rule would not only restore simplicity of rule and complexity of game — it would also accomplish the OP’s goal of transferring value from sluggers to defensive specialists.