Front Office Conference Call Agendas: National League
Building off of yesterday’s American League conference call agendas, let’s move on to the National League and see what’s on the docket for the teams of the senior circuit.
Arizona Diamondbacks
- We’re over .500 and we’re banged up. This team is better than people on the outside thought. That said, I don’t think we’ll be exceptionally busy in terms of buying this summer. We’re not catching the Padres or Dodgers, and let’s not forget about the Giants. Let’s stick to the plan and just keep getting better long-term.
- The rotation has been up-and-down, and Corbin Martin is probably the only minor league piece with a chance to contribute in that area. Let’s get some ideas going as to how we get through 162 games with depth issues in that department.
- Let’s have some initial talks about draft strategy, as we’re picking sixth. It feels like there is a four-player tier at the top of the draft, so let’s see if there’s a tier-two player we like at six, or if we should be more creative and spread the wealth a bit.
- The offense overall has been good, but our infield is not hitting. There aren’t any immediate moves to make, but it sure would be nice to see Seth Beer get off to a nice start to gauge whether he can get some at-bats up here as a Christian Walker replacement.
- We love having the presence of Eduardo Escobar and Asdrúbal Cabrera, but there should be a market for both this July, and we should be listening. Let’s focus on arms in those discussions.
- The same goes for David Peralta, even though he’s been our second best hitter and is signed for next year as well. That extra year, which is a cheap one at that ($7.5 million), should help generate some interest.
Atlanta Braves
- This is not a happy meeting. The rest of the division handed us a big April gift by playing at or below .500 for the month, and all we did was join them with a disappointing start of our own.
- We know the season has started, but while players set deadlines on extension talks, it’s not like it’s an actual rule or anything. When is the last time we checked in with the Excel folks re: Freddie Freeman?
- Any thoughts from the data and video folks on what’s going on with Dansby Swanson and Marcell Ozuna?
- We’ll get Travis d’Arnaud back in the second half of the season, but if we’re going to win the division, having an inexperienced catching duo in William Contreras and Alex Jackson is worrying. Let’s get in front of this and make some early calls on veteran catchers we like in terms of their game management.
- We’re in a weird position as we have the worst ERA in the league, yet we’re pretty comfortable with the group we have once we get healthy. Drew Smyly is the big concern, but the stuff is only down a tick from last year, so let’s stick with it for now.
- It sure feels like we will still be adding in July, but our areas of focus are still a bit TBD.
Chicago Cubs
- Right now, we’re in a holding pattern, even though teams are already calling us about all of our impending free agents. Yes, we are under .500 and sitting towards the bottom of the divisional standings, but the Central is wide open and we’re in no position to make a buy/sell decision.
- What we learned from the Yu Darvish trade is that while the PR hit is big (and his talents are certainly missed), it doesn’t really have legs, so let’s not have that enter our thinking.
- We want Anthony Rizzo back, and we’re sure he wants to come back, so let’s make sure we are staying in touch with Marc Pollack, Rizzo’s agent, regarding this. We can’t ignore that he’s declining, and we need to be realistic, but he’s still good and means an immeasurable amount to the clubhouse.
- Our outfield has been absolutely miserable at the plate. Should we talk about getting Jake Marisnick and Nico Hoerner (once off the IL) into the mix more?
- The rotation of command-over-stuff guys had not been commanding it all that well and is therefore getting hammered, but what can we do about it? A hot start in the minors from Brailyn Marquez would be a nice development, but one guy isn’t going to solve all of our problems and he’s the only real possible help this year amongst our upper level starters. If we flip into buying mode, this has to be the area we concentrate on.
Cincinnati Reds
- We’re in the thick of things and there is no great team in our division. It doesn’t take much to see the bullpen is the problem. As much as we’d like Tejay Antone to get a chance to start right now, he’s one of the few arms giving us any comfort out of the ‘pen.
- Nick Senzel is now almost 26 years old and has nearly a full season of big league plate appearances. It might be approaching time to admit he’s not going to be an everyday player for us.
- Can we get our evaluation group to do a deep dive on Luis Castillo? He was supposed to be one of our best starters and instead he’s one of our worst. His spin rates and shapes are fine, but his velo has taken a sizable dip. Is it mechanical? Something else? Are we positive he’s 100% healthy?
- Tucker Barnhart has been really good, but Tyler Stephenson has been even better and looks ready to step in as our star-level catcher of the future. There might be a creative trade to be had here. Should we call the Braves?
Colorado Rockies
- Like, do we report to the football guy now? Wait, is the football guy coming to this meeting? We’d much rather deal with Bill Schmidt, who we know has decades of baseball experience and institutional knowledge. Oh he’s the interim? Well, that’s something.
- We’re not going to be asked to be clubbies again this year, right? Can we get that in writing?
- Dick Monfort knows that we have to trade Trevor Story and Jon Gray, doesn’t he? Should someone tell him that?
- Do we have to run any baseball move, no matter how small, through our owner now?
- We pick eighth in the draft and Schmidt was running our drafts before, so at least we should be full speed ahead in that regard.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- We hit a rough spot and we’ve been hit very hard with injuries. Fine, we’re not going to win 120 games. We still have the best team in baseball; we can ride out the health issues and we’re showing why depth is so important. Even with that said, do we want to find a fifth starter we can depend on now that Dustin May is out for the season?
- With all of that out of the way, we’re still the Dodgers and we will still be able to use prospects and money to do something flashy at the deadline. We feel good that we are going to the playoffs and will look to add players who can help us win in October.
- Can we go around the room here and see where people are on Gavin Lux? Yes, it’s only 70 or so plate appearances but we’re on our third straight year of him not exactly hitting the ground running and we need to either find an answer for him or an external replacement who gives us another threatening bat in the lineup. We would feel comfortable playing Chris Taylor there every day, but he provides so much value to us with his positional flexibility and we’d hate to lose that.
- The overall message here is just to stay the course. No, we’re not running away with the division, but it was silly to think that would be the case this early in the season anyway.
Miami Marlins
- Making the playoffs last year was a pleasant surprise, but we know we are still a rebuilding squad — the standings are telling us that this year — so we will continue to behave like one.
- We should feel good, great even, about our core of young pitching. We also should not feel good about how we are going to score runs both now and in the future.
- It’s not going to make things very fun for us during the second half of the year, but four of our usual starting eight position players are free agents at the end of the year, and we need to capitalize on that.
- Jesús Aguilar is off to a great start, but most contenders are comfy at first base. Let’s be aggressive with that one and get in touch with the Red Sox and Brewers.
- Miguel Rojas might not be the best player of the four, but when it comes to his market, he might generate the most interest in terms of number of teams. He’s a good defensive player who makes a lot of contact and has a good makeup reputation.
- Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson should both be attractive bat rentals.
- None of the four is going to generate a huge return, so let’s try to stay away from big prospect names and maybe try to sneak through some high upside types from the complexes both stateside and in the Dominican. Let’s get the spring training and DR sites of contenders flooded with scouts.
Milwaukee Brewers
- Let’s start this thing early in the morning because just going through our injury situation alone is probably going to take us through lunch.
- With that said, let’s appreciate the fact that while we have a laundry list of things that have gone wrong, we still have one of the best records in the league. We’re in a good place overall.
- We just don’t have the resources for a big move in the summer, but with a roster that features some real strong suits and some real holes, there are a lot of ways to add small improvements to this team.
- We should feel good about our pitching, but let’s see if there’s a cost-effective way to find some depth and improve our stability for that last spot in the rotation. Who knows, maybe Eric Lauer has actually figured something out now that’s he’s throwing strikes again. We also should be looking at some middle relief candidates to upgrade from Drew Rasmussen and Eric Yardley. And we should be tracking Aaron Ashby’s progress in the minors and consider him as a potential second-half ‘pen add.
- Our corner infield situation is less than ideal, so let’s try to find a depth piece for the left side and be in the market for a cheap, impending free agent bopper to handle first base.
New York Mets
- The good news is that just like us, everyone else in the division is struggling so far this year so we’re right in the thick of things. We should feel good about the roster going forward and don’t need any huge upgrades.
- We need all hands on deck to help fix Francisco Lindor. We just committed $341 million and people are freaking out. The exit velocities seem fine and the swing decisions are better than ever, so it feels like something mechanical. Let’s work with the new hitting administration and break down some high speed and figure out why he’s stopped pulling the ball and is hitting everything into the ground.
- We don’t need a playoff starter as much as we need someone who provides something better than Joey Lucchesi and the back end of the rotation.
- If we need to get creative in July, maybe we should do so with Dominic Smith. He’s either in the wrong league, or at the very least on the wrong team, as Pete Alonso isn’t going anywhere.
- It feels like backup catcher should be a relative easy upgrade. Let’s see if anything is out there now in terms of upcoming opt outs, and identify some trade targets for July.
- Let’s get a quick update on the draft, as we’re picking 10th. Is there anybody we need to bear down on more than we already have? Are there any favorites among the realistic possibilities to be there? Any chance that a bigger names falls our way due to bonus demands?
Philadelphia Phillies
- We’re not a great team, but the way it’s looking, it’s not going to take a great team to win this division. Let’s push the envelope a bit.
- How does our bullpen still stink after we replaced nearly everyone? Ok, we’re over-reacting here a bit as Héctor Neris and Sam Coonrod have been pretty damn good. After that? Blech. I know we brought a lot of new arms in this year, but we might have to bring in even more this summer. Let’s start a target identification project in that regard.
- Bryce Harper has been fantastic and the rest of the outfield as been a disaster offensively. We probably need to ride Andrew McCutchen out, but we’re 500 plate appearances into Roman Quinn showing us he isn’t the answer, so let’s stop asking him the question. We need to find a center fielder.
- Let’s hope Spencer Howard can help this year in either a starting or bullpen role. He might be a better pitching add than anyone currently attached to an acquisition cost.
- Vince Velasquez has frustrated us for six years now, but still has data that appeals to analytic-driven teams. We should at least be open to discussions on him, even through we’re not selling overall.
Pittsburgh Pirates
- The number one priority for this entire organization is the first pick in the upcoming draft. Despite what’s out there, we don’t see any current player as an absolute lock for the pick with two months to go. We need to be at every Vanderbilt weekend and have someone at every Jordan Lawlar game in the DFW area. We need to decide whether Marcelo Mayer belongs in the discussion as well.
- Yes, we are as frustrated about Mitch Keller as you are. No, we don’t have any concrete answers either. Are you aware that he’s actually throwing harder than ever?
- Unfortunately, it’s not looking like we’re going to be able to turn Gregory Polanco into much. Maybe we could snag a prospect if we pick up the money and the $3 million buyout?
- Chris Stratton still spins the hell out of the ball. His next two years of arbitration aren’t exactly the best use of our limited funds, so let’s actively market him to some data-driven clubs as a controllable bullpen piece.
St. Louis Cardinals
- It’s the NL Central folks; let’s try to be the best of the kinda good teams and win this thing. We’re right in it and neither of our big bats in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado have really gotten going yet.
- I don’t know if we need to worry about our starting lineup too much, as our bet on the young outfielders looks like it might pay off. The real worry is what has been a very weak bench, but there should be some pieces out there to help us in that regard come July.
- The pitching staff has been solid all around. We could maybe use a ‘pen piece or two, especially with Jordan Hicks hurt again, but we shouldn’t expect any big splashes at the deadline. We also have a number of Triple-A arms we should be able to lean on should the need arise.
- Bottom line: We’re pretty much going to dance with those that brought us.
San Diego Padres
- Fernando Tatis Jr. got off to a slow start and has struggled defensively, we’ve been hit by some injuries, and we’re still neck-and-neck with the Dodgers. We really have nothing to complain about.
- Let’s talk about our catching. We know it’s a cliché, but it feels like championship teams have good catchers, at least in terms of experience and game management. Let’s get aggressive on this one. We have an incredible system to work with and will have plenty of attractive offers to make.
- Our playoff rotation is going to be fantastic, but wouldn’t we feel more comfortable with another starting depth piece that helps ensure that we get into the playoffs?
- We’ve definitely had some frustrations with MacKenzie Gore since the beginning of 2020, and those continue. It’s why we’re going with a bullpen game this week instead of giving him a look. I know we’ve worked hard on this, but we need to get some insight into what’s going on with him mechanically that’s creating the command and control issues.
San Francisco Giants
- This was the plan, my friends, and it’s all coming together. We found pitchers with interesting data and maximize their arsenal, while building a flexible lineup loaded with platoons. We’re right there with the Dodgers and Padres and while it’s not time to shove all of our chips in, this doesn’t feel like some kind of fluke.
- That said, we are still in the NL West and we need to be ready to turn on a dime if we fall behind.
- If we are buying, we have to address the outfield, where absolutely nobody is hitting. The system is not a good one, especially at the upper levels, so improvements will have to be of the external variety.
- If we are selling, we have one of the best pitching targets out there in Kevin Gausman, and Brandon Crawford should have a market, even if he’s not doing much with the bat.
- Let’s just remain in preparation mode and see how May plays out.
Washington Nationals
- We’re .500, and we’re in first place. That combination leaves us on the fence as to which direction we’ll take come July. We just have to wait this one out and think about it after May. Our offense is very weird — it’s a high-contact/low walk early action group — but it’s working so far.
- Obviously, if we go into sell mode, we have the number one trade target in the game in Max Scherzer. Even as a rental, we’d need to turn him into a premium prospect in order to re-invigorate a sleepy farm system. Brad Hand should also find a market.
- We don’t have an internal answer, but it’s starting to look more and more like Victor Robles is more of a fourth outfielder than an everyday player. Anyone disagree?
- Can we figure out what the hell is going on with Josh Bell? There’s nothing overly glaring in the underlying data other than him getting eaten alive by offspeed pitches.
Kevin Goldstein is a National Writer at FanGraphs.
This is the stupidest article I’ve ever read.
it is, but we all wish we worked in front offices, so it isnt. allow us to indulge in this fantasy
But your did read it !
*narrator voice* It was not the stupidest article tyler ever read.
I feel like you should’ve put “For the love of all that is holy, let’s fix Germán Márquez” on the Rockies part but yeah, the rest was accurate lol.
Pretty clear that this was written before German Marquez was chased from the game in the first inning. Because holy mother of everything that would be something to talk about.
True but to be fair Germán has been broken since ST, he just managed to be solid despite it exclusively based on talent.
Goodness. There are probably only 2-4 teams in the NL that are happy right now (Pirates, Giants, maaaybe the Cards and D-Backs) and everyone else is probably suffering some heartburn. Even teams like the Brewers and Padres and Dodgers probably aren’t feeling that comfortable, despite having objectively good records. The Marlins, who are in last place, are the only team in the NL East with a positive run differential.
I feel like the Marlins are probably decently happy right now.
Can confirm as a Marlins fan I am hyped. Not for this article, but on field performance so far. Pitching so good with tons of injuries. As long as the offense stays top 25 they could compete…for the second wild card spot.
Pittsburgh Pirates
We need to be mindful that only Reynolds, Brubaker, Keller and Hayes are untouchable but also any player can be touched if the buyer will pay enough. So, continue to pound the pavement looking for under-valued prospects worth acquiring in a trade.
Sell off as many of the touchable players as we can in order to take the 1-1 pick from the Tigers. Do not mention to anyone that we are tanking for Green lest the rent-seeking idiots in the MLB FO and the MLBPA wreck another strategy we can use to build a contender.
I like Bryan Reynolds but there are enough desperate teams out there for a center fielder (hello, White Sox!) that I would definitely take calls on him. Guys who get by with high BABIP are exactly the sorts of players rebuilding teams should be willing to trade, even if they’re under control for a while.
The odd thing about Reynolds is high BABIPs seem to be a talent he has. So, Cherrington should only trade him for the right return. The Pirates will have Rule 5 problems soon and merely loading up on prospects is no longer a sensible strategy. The organization is already strong and deep. But Catcher is always a need. Some of us are considering Henry Davis as a 1-1 option because he fills a need, may be the best college hitter in this draft class, might take an under-slot bonus, etc. A young CFer or two would also help.
I’m pretty sure it’s not a state secret they’re tanking. And I’m with Sad T; while Reynolds is a nice piece for Pittsburgh, he may be a bigger piece for a contending team like the Pale Hose. Especially if they have designs on making Eloy a DH going forward (which they should).
You are right. Everyone knows. But the Pirates do not need to provide the CBA contestants with bulletin board material which can be used against it and clubs with similar circumstances.
As for the White Sox, I cannot think of a trade target off the top of my head.
Jared Kelley would likely be the headliner.
There are also three teams in the NL East that need a center fielder, plus maybe the Astros. If you’re willing to listen, you will probably find what you’re looking for.
If I were in Cherrington’s seat, I’d ask for high ceiling prospects in the low minors, individuals who would augment the system’s depth without creating pressing Rule 5 problems. The White Sox do not have anyone like that who would be worth Reynolds.
The requirements you laid out? That’s essentially what Kelley is: a second round prep arm from 2020 who fell due to bonus demands and this isn’t creating a Rule 5 problem since he isn’t eligible for a few years. He wouldn’t be the only piece going back, but he could certainly be a headliner.
Kelley is actually perfect for that description because he’s not only got a bunch of time left before he has to be added to the 40-man, but he’s polished enough that he’s probably likely to be ready for the majors before he needs to be added. He’s one of the highest-probability prep arms to actually reach the majors, and he’s likely to do it before he needs to be Rule 5 eligible.
He’s one of the most unusual prospects in a while because he’s among the most dominant prep pitchers in recent memory (really) but he did it without a particularly good breaking ball. Scouts are split on whether he’ll develop one or not; if he doesn’t, he’s still very likely a mid-rotation guy or high-leverage reliever, and if he does he will make all-star games. If the Pirates think he has a decent chance to do it, then they would make that deal immediately. If they don’t, then they’d be less excited about him.
All that said, the big issue is that it’s not particularly a great idea to hang on to a guy whose main offensive skill is running a high BABIP when you’re not likely to compete until he’s slowing down. If you don’t think Kelley will develop an average breaking ball then you might want to try someone else, but there are teams that would absolutely love a CF like Reynolds and between that and his recent performance his value will never be higher.
Cubs goals:
convince the Red Sox to send over Eduardo Rodriguez
convince other teams to let Harry Ford in the draft
Get Brailyn Marquez (coughandRyan Jensencough) conditioned and ready to make a ML impact this summer
Keep Keegan Thompson up and pitching
The Red Sox are top three in the AL in both record and run differential, so it would be pretty weird of them to trade their best pitcher to the Cubs
I would 100% agree that they’re not going to make the trade today or this very instant, if that’s the thinking. More power to the Red Sox if they can hang in all year, props on the first 30 games, but I’m thinking much will change in the say 50 games before the TDL and 132 games left just during the regular season
Not saying the Red Sox are destined to fall and the Cubs rise, but you’d swear this sport is and has always played a 30 or 60 game schedule the way teams have been analyzed the last year or so. We’re like a month out from the Red Sox selling being the assumption going in (I assume)
Cubs’ short-terms goals revised:
Sign your guys (KB, Tony, Javy). Be patient with Hendricks and Davies. Don’t trade the top prospect talent.
Long-term goals:
Follow the Bears to the ‘burbs (or make your own way to NW Indiana) so you can run your franchise and stadium as you see fit and not how the pols see fit.
I love the concept of this article but some of the bullets were a bit strange. The Pirates have a closer who hasn’t given up a base runner in the last 9 ip and hasn’t given up a run all year and Goldstein is talking about Chris Statton and arb dollars?!? The Padres just got back their starting catcher this week and Goldstein talks about acquiring a catcher. Maybe he is trying to go with non-obvious things but this article came off as strange.
He could stand to do a leeeettle more research
Yeah the Pirates section almost could have been written before the season. You couldn’t be completely certain about Keller and Polanco, but no one would have been surprised by those predictions/outcomes.
If anything the Padres have too many good catchers, not the other way around. Caratini caught back to back no hitters (league wide), and Nola has a career 117wRC+ which is the same as Wilson Contreras and Yasmani Grandal and higher than JT Realmuto. They also have Campusuano who should be a masher. Catcher is probably their strongest position outside of SS/3B/CF.
this is so much fun
surprised I haven’t seen any writing about the indications of parity this season. It seems a bit like were emerging out of the era of half the teams tanking. Lots of teams are still somewhat in it, its super exciting. All the underperforming teams are really helping out, of course, but maybe they aren’t underperforming as much as we think.
There a couple of nits you could pick with the Senzel (.363 xwOBA) and Tatis (.403 xwOBA) blurbs, but I really enjoy this exercise. Are teams really this frank in their own evaluations?
Enjoyed these two articles. Attempting to drill down on what some of the statements “mean” in terms of action.
Brewers: “Our corner infield situation is less than ideal, so let’s try to find a depth piece for the left side…”
Would the recent minor league signing of Logan Forsythe qualify in your eyes, or is that too much of a nothing move to register as legit depth? Stearns rightly focused on left-handed bats this offseason as the division skews heavily toward RHP, but with Hiura and David Robertson struggling, the lineup looks awfully vulnerable to LH starters right now.
Yeah definitely the Mets front office is thinking about trading a guy who got MVP votes last year because he’s not great in RF in a league with a DH coming
Also, if they’re talking about the back end of the rotation, they would probably acknowledge that Carrasco could be back as soon as next week, and Syndergaard next month- so, if everyone else stays healthy, the team will have both Peterson & Walker as options for the 5th starter, ahead of Lucchesi & Yamamoto.
I guess you mean LF… and I think you’re missing the point. This team is currently playing 2 DHs in positions on the field that are unsustainable. Even when the DH arrives next year (most likely), you’re probably not carrying 2 DHs. So it makes some sense to deal either Smith or Davis. Neither are long term answers at 3B or LF.
Bryan Reynolds on the Giants right now would be really really really nice. Shouldn’t complain too much though given Zaidi is leading this show in a really fun direction
Considering they used to have him, I’d say you’re allowed to complain at least a little bit!
Is Reynolds an upgrade over Tauchman/Dickerson/Duggar/Slater/Dubon and Yaz when he comes back? I’d say no, he isn’t better than their platoon. Dickerson is a better bat/worse defender. Tauchman is a better player, as is Yaz, and the other guys operate on platoon.
Reynolds is a much better hitter than Yaz, IMO. Yaz is a flash in the pan. Hurts to say as someone who loves the Giants and Vandy, but I am confident in that
I don’t really think anyone else thinks that, but who knows.
I don’t follow the Giants too closely, but I think Reynolds would certainly help in a lot of ways. Solid hitter, can play all three outfield spots. I like Tauchman but certainly not more than Reynolds.
Scherzer to LA for Lux… ah, a boy can dream….
as a nats fan, I would love to see this. Just as much to see scherz alongside kersh as i would to have lux
Why is everyone so convinced that the Nats are going to be sellers? If Strasburg returns and is 80% of himself, and Corbin isn’t horrible they could be right back in it. Especially when Scherzer being able to throw every few games come postseason. It is basically the same squad.
Re: Mets… the issue is not Dom Smith in isolation, it’s that half the lineup is an island of good hitters but misfit-toys in the field. You can’t win a pennant with JD Davis at 3B, Dom Smith in LF and Nimmo (who is adequate but not outstanding) in CF. Dom is the better defensive 1B but you can’t take Alonso’s bat out of the lineup. And your late-inning defensive replacements kill you when your bullpen coughs up leads. Finally, Nimmo is exciting and electric and works counts and will probably never play 120 games in a season; he’s the classic chronically-hurt guy.
(Also, there’s not enough DH AB’s in 2022 and beyond for Smith and Davis and rotating other guys on a day’s rest.)
It’s clear that the Mets need to either:
1) Trade Dom and pick up a CF (Nimmo to LF) or a LF
2) Trade Davis and pick up a true 3B and live with Dom in LF
But they need to turn one of those two players into some kind of value elsewhere. They also need to bolster the bullpen, which has played out exactly as expected. I would strongly prefer to keep Dom’s bat, but he’s more brutal in LF than Davis is at 3B. On the other hand, Davis has some of the yips and that situation can get much worse; he needs to improve at 3B outset of the spotlight of the New York media and a hopeful pennant race.
Fans get frustrated with subpar play, but fans get furious when the problems that are well-diagnosed by everyone before the start of the season are not addressed and are still lingering and costing the team wins into May.
He’s not a perfect CF fit, but as cited above Bryan Reynolds makes some sense. You get him to play center, move whoever is playing center over to a corner and Smith to the bench. It basically improves your defense in center and the corner spot. Maybe expand the deal with Richard Rodriguez.
It’s not a perfect fit as the Bucs would likely have no interest in Smith or Davis. They also don’t have to trade Reynolds as he’s got a lot of control left, and had a rough pandemic year (didn’t we all?) following an excellent rookie season. I’m awful at trade values. Reynolds for Baty/Ginn about right?
Re: Josh Bell. It’s frustrating, isn’t it. Once he committed to hitting for power, he lost the high OBA/high contact skills he developed in the minors. He’s an enigma.
Btw I really like this article and format. My one complaint is that it teases draft talk but isn’t designed to dive in. Maybe there can be a ML and MiL version?
The Padres shouldn’t be worried that they have Eric Hosmer hitting cleanup and a back half of a lineup that’s essentially an automatic out?
I meannnnn, you’ve got a 5’9 2B with a double chin who couldn’t crack this site’s top 80 Rays prospects in 2019 as a 25 y/o hitting 5th half the time. That’s bad. Tommy Pham is toast. Jurickson Profar can’t hit the ball out of the infield. Kim doesn’t look like he can handle MLB pitching (and judging by his playing time, the organization isn’t too bullish either). This lineup is bad, their depth is worse (count how many games Jorge Mateo has been their big bat off the bench) and I don’t see anyone talking about it. Why?
I think the Giants, who’ve got the platoon advantage more than any team in the league, and would be 21-9 right now if not for 3 catastrophic bullpen meltdowns, are the superior bunch. Preller put together a fantasy team; Zaidi, well, he put together a baseball team.
Answer on Croneworth and The Hos: No. Sometimes one worries when players aren’t playing well, but if you also worry when players are playing well, then you will just be worried all the time. Hosmer is a veteran who has had good years, Crone has been good before and now. No reasonable cause to be worried.
Carrasco is back in a week to ten days so Lucchesi won’t be part of the rotation for much longer and Syndergaard is back in mid June so the rotation should be even better.
I don’t think Keller, Polanco, or Stratton are even in the top 5 players the Pirates FO are concerned with, and only Stratton would be in the top 10. Keller is gonna be pitching regardless of if he’s an ace or bad, and hope on Polanco was given up long ago.
Rich Rod and Frazier are at peak value and won’t be part of the next Pirates contender. Stallings also, though we have zero catching depth. Moran is hitting above his career numbers, if there’s a suitor we can send him somewhere. All these guys we should be looking to move, and that’s an even larger priority for this FO.
Not to mention the 40 man crunch that’s coming…
Pirates: give Polanco and Keller at least a full season.
Giants: sell the vets.
Very fun series
Brandon Lowe for Gavin Lux. Rays get younger and cheaper, Dodgers get better. A Wander/Lux middle infield would be so sick.
Love these insights, Kevin! Thanks for this creative piece.
Fantastic article. Great insight into what teams are likely thinking.
I understand that the AL story was yesterday but nobody is going back there but I know one thing that should be talked about right now in the Orioles front office, It is time to auction off John Means!!!
If you think your team is about to break out (which the O’s may or may not be), I think Means is the type of piece you hang on to in case he can contribute to a winner. Similar to Dallas Keuchel’s trajectory.
Pretty sure the Braves data and video folks know exactly what’s going on with Dansby Swanson: bad luck.
2021 wOBA/xwOBA: .275 / .335
What’s going on with Marcell Ozuna is more complicated. He’s also had some bad luck, though:
2021 wOBA/xwOBA: .259 / .320
The Braves signed a veteran catcher, Jeff Mathis, to act as the backup to Contreras. He has yet to appear in a game.
Not sure I understand the impulse to give up on Victor Robles. 23yo, 1000 career PA, elite CF defense with .322 OBP. That’s only a 4th outfielder now?
I loved this article.
I am 100% fine with over paying Rizzo for his on the field services and it’s nice to see “he’s still good and means an immeasurable amount to the clubhouse.” coming from outside voice.
As a Cub fan, I would love for ownership to overpay 25 guys if it means the team wins games. We know that won’t happen, but I’d be fine with.
The Padres don’t need to worry about C. Austin Nola is back and should be great. He’s one of the best offensive C in the game and should get the larger share of the playing time. Campusano is back down in AAA where he belongs right now. When he inevitably gets going down there, if something happens, he’ll come up and not post a negative wRC+ guaranteed.
The Padres DO need to worry about LF. The platoon out there is stunningly pathetic. Pham is washed. His power is completely gone. Profar has struggled to make good contact and is so streaky and just doesn’t have enough power to be a corner OF on a contender. The Padres should be spending all their time annoying other GMs to snag an above average bat to stick in LF.
Pay attention.
Missing from the Cardinals section (sort of caught obliquely with the bench comment, but it deserves its own bullet): What am I going to do with the gaping hole in the roster currently occupied by, and basically consisting of, Matt Carpenter?
Can this be a recurring series? It would be interesting to see how each team’s “conference call” changes as the season progresses.