Daily Prospect Notes: 6/29/21
These are notes on prospects from Eric Longenhagen. Read previous installments here.
Juan Corniel, SS, Arizona Diamondbacks
Level & Affiliate: Complex Level Age: 18 Org Rank: TBD FV: TBD
Line: 3-for-5, 3 RBI, R
Notes
Corniel has been one of the Extended Spring standouts in Arizona. At a projectable 6-foot-1 or so, he’s an amalgam of twitch, athleticism, and body projection right now. He has the athleticism and actions to play shortstop but doesn’t yet have sentient control of his body. Offensively, the switch-hitting Corniel has swings that are fairly short to the ball but still explosive.
Alberto Sojo, RHP, Chicago Cubs
Level & Affiliate: Complex Level Age: 20 Org Rank: TBD FV: TBD
Line: 2 IP, 4 K
Notes
Though realistically a relief prospect, Sojo is now part of a suddenly robust contingent of hard-throwing pitchers in a system that has struggled to develop them for the last several years. The 20-year-old righty has been up to 97 in my looks while sitting just below that, and his most-used secondary is a hard, low-90s cutter. I’ve also seen a slower breaking ball that Sojo has had trouble finding feel for, but he had no issue throwing strikes last night in Mesa. Here’s an inning from his final Extended appearance. He’ll likely be in the 35+ FV tier on the upcoming Cubs list as a slow-burning relief prospect.
Juan Carela, RHP, New York Yankees
Level & Affiliate: Complex Level Age: 19 Org Rank: NR FV: TBD
Line: 4 IP, 2 H, 2 HBP, 0 BB, 0 R, 3 K
Notes
Carela has a prototypical teenage pitching prospect’s build at a rangy 6-foot-3 and 180 pounds. He sat 90-93 in 2019 but is more consistently 93-95 now, and Carela has feel for creating action on a mid-80s changeup and for inducing two-plane movement with bat-missing depth on his low-80s slurve. He’ll likely be in the 40 FV tier on the Yankees list shortly; there’s a starting pitcher’s foundation here.
Luis Yanel Diaz, 3B, Los Angeles Dodgers
Level & Affiliate: Complex Level Age: 21 Org Rank: 2HM FV: 35
Line: 3-for-4, 2 HR, K
Notes
I could have chosen one of several hitters who had multi-hit efforts in the Dodgers/Angels ACL game last night, a contest that featured 27 combined hits and some verbal sparring between the clubs after a Dodgers player admired a home run. It’s been two years since most of these young kids have played meaningful baseball and there was a lot of intensity in this one. Diaz is tooled out but this is his fourth season (fifth year) stuck down in rookie ball and the track record for players who spend even three years down here is very troubling. In short, don’t be surprised if Diaz puts up huge numbers early this year, as he’s much older and more physically gifted than the average complex-level prospect and needs his approach tested by full-season pitching.
Jack Leiter, RHP, Vanderbilt Comodores
Level: NCAA Age: 21 Draft Rank: 3 FV: 50
Line: 6 IP, 3 H, 3 BB, 2 R, 8 K
Notes
Vanderbilt had a huge first inning against Mississippi State lefty Christian MacLeod and never looked back. Leiter, in what was likely his last college outing, was his usual mid-90s with feel for locating both breaking balls to his glove side. He also made some very athletic defensive plays in the first inning, bounding off the mound in both directions to field weak infield contact, at one point covering for his first baseman’s mistake and beating senior Tanner Allen to first base in a foot race. He’s arguably the safest prospect available in the July draft and a lock to come off the board in the first few picks.
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
On yesterdays prospect notes I saw that Nolan Jones has been marked as a 30 runner. When and how did this happen? Jones was at least a 50 runner in 2016 when drafted out of high school as a shortstop.
Looks like it happened a while ago. They had him listed as a 40/30 runner on a prospect list that came out in Nov 2016. Next prospect list I can find is from April 2018 and at that point he was down to 30/30.
Leiter reminds me an awful lot of Sonny Gray with his athleticism and ability to field his position. A Vandy guy with a smaller stature too, sure. But it’s the competitive makeup and athleticism that makes 2021 Jack Leiter so similar to 2009-2011 Sonny Gray for me
Aren’t we like just 2 weeks away from the draft? Shouldn’t we be smack in the middle of lots of draft coverage…. draftapalooza! It doesn’t feel like there is much juice building for this draft but maybe it’s me.
Tbf this draft is even more f’d up than last year when there was an obvious choice at 1. Like I’ve been following the draft for almost 20 years and find this one to be the hardest to crack by far
Just because there isn’t an obvious choice at 1.1 doesn’t make this draft “F’d up” and some teams might disagree with you. Most scouting directors would choose either Marcelo Mayer or Jordan Lawlar with the top pick in this year’s draft on pure talent. Most teams/scouts would describe last year’s draft as more chaotic and in your words, “F’d up” due to the 5-rounds and lack of looks in the spring.
Again, you’re an idiot…
Most scouting directors? Who? More likely most of those guys couldn’t care less who goes 1 outside of how it impacts them. The 2020 HS class had a full junior-senior circuit during Summer 2019 that the 2021 class didn’t get and the top college players have at least one less full season than the 2020 class which is especially big for college bats. On top of that, there’s a larger player pool because many undrafted or unsigned guys last year went back to school
Also some teams might disagree with me? Whoahohooo don’t you think that’s a little wild to say? Some might, you say!?!
You’re really cool tho, really good takedown
So I agree, it seems weird that there isn’t more up on the board and there aren’t more pieces about them. Evaluations for players seem like they’re mostly done. I think the story is that they’re waiting to upload them all at one time but frankly I would love to see what they have so far.
But about stuff like mock drafts…I have gotten a pretty clear picture from reading other people that the mock draft stuff is just not solid right now. There are baseball columnists who are basically posting the same mock week after week and it’s because nobody has really made their minds up. 3 out of the top 5 teams (Pirates, Red Sox, Orioles) are in the “let’s try and game the draft and cut a deal at the top” school of thought. When one team does it makes predicting things harder, but I would guess several of the teams themselves are struggling to figure things out because so many teams are trying to cut deals.
Wait, I got down votes for that…??? lmfao
Amongst draft prospects, has there been any talk about signing/not signing with a team based on their treatment of minor league players?
How much thought has gone into Leiter as a FV 50? Is this a, “not enough information to have a detailed grade” ranking, or based on something resembling your typical grading schema? I’m curious because, while a FV 50 player is obviously someone you’d want in your system and a big-league contributor, it seems light for a player talked about as a top of the first round pick. I have no idea if that’s because he is a FV 50 and he’s being overvalued, or the draft is light, or would a FV 50 be more common than I’m thinking in the first 5 picks of the draft … I just don’t know!