Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 2/8/24

12:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If you can’t do the chat time, don’t do the chat crime

12:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t know what that means either, like most things out of my mouth

12:03
the person who asks the lunch question: what’s for lunch?

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Nothing, this isn’t an eating Thursday

12:03
Andy Dufresne: Are you bullish on Correa exceeding his projections now that the foot (and septum) are fixed?

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Mildly so? I tend to be skeptical over “OK, this fixes the injury thing for good” things

12:04
TomBruno23: Ben Hochman with a column for today’s P-D proclaiming Jordan Walker to be the next STL 20 HR 20 SB player and I say to Benjamin it might take Jordan Walker 40 SB Attempts to get 20 SB.

12:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Probably a little TOO negative

12:05
Marlins Man: Jonah Bride had great stats in triple-a. What’s stopping him from doing this at mlb level?

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s hard to say, but remember, players are quite volatile. I think he’ll be OKish

12:05
Anon21: Max Fried: a Brave in 2025? Atlanta has been gun-shy about free agents in general and have allowed Freeman and Swanson to walk the past two offseasons.

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I actually think they’ll work it out

12:05
TomBruno23: Burnes was cool but let’s always remember the acquisition for the O’s under new ownership was Andrew Suarez. Forever a Cardinal.

12:05
The Oriole Bird: Pickle’s Pub: Before game, during game, after game, or all 3?  (I once stayed at the hotel right behind it with my kids after going to a game.  Pro tip: Ask for a room on the other side of the hotel.)

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t usually do places right near the stadium

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I rather go to Canton or Fells Point or go over and get some pit beef

12:06
SAWA: Is spring training (squeezed between the season and offseason) a sandwich?

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Only if you can eat it and it’s not hinged

12:07
Greg: Do you see a potential upside scenario in the Pirates rotation where Gonzales and Perez provide a serviceable first half of the season and then some combination of Burrows/Brubaker returning from injury plus Skenes/Jones call ups result in a middle-of-the-pack full season rotation scenario for the Pirates?

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s POSSIBLE, but my money is below average

12:07
Richard: The year is 3034. The Baltimore Orioles have exceeded their ZiPS projections for over 1000 straight years. Dan Szymborski continues to serve his lifetime sentence for Oriole disrespect and slander.
*Orioles Twitter wakes up from its fever dream*

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think it’s a nightmare for people if they have to listen to me for a thousand years

12:07
Tim: Now that we are several years removed from COVID, did the shortened 2020 season impact projection systems in any way?  It seems like the general consensus is that the lost season was particularly hard on younger players in the minors, who by now would be entering their age 25, 26 etc. season.

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I haven’t really spent enough time looking at the long-term effect

12:08
TomBruno23: The Drive to 85 Wins in the NL Central really could not be more exciting. Oh baby.

12:08
Royals and Witt: Doesn’t KC’s signing Witt kind of demonstrate the small-market teams can, in fact, afford to compete to keep their players if they’re willing to take the initiative?

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But some teams don’t want to pay in risk OR currency

12:08
Chat Burglar: You’ll never chat me copper

12:08
Richard: Do you consider deGrom to have more of an injury “reset” after his UCL surgery? Should we expect injury prevalence to mirror other similarly aged pitchers?

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: At this point, I have zero idea what to expect

12:08
Who’s Fabio: Hey Dan, just for fun, what do the AL ZiPS projected standings look like when you apply your whimsy instead of logic and reasoning?  Can you force the non MLB team to kind of compete?

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ll figure out how to make my cats shut up when I’m on the phone long before I can make the A’s compete

12:09
Guest: Does Jackson Merrill play in the majors this year?

12:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I wouldn’t be surprised to see him pop In and maybe even quite a lot

12:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m under the impression that they were at least thinking of it LAST year

12:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And I know they’re giving him more time in the outfield in the hopes of him getting some playing time in the majors quickly

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and frankly, given the state of their outfield, they may NEED him quickly

12:11
Greg: Has there ever been a scenario in one of your ZiPS season simulations where there was a 5-way tie for the division? NL central has potential!

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ll have to check. And I can’t check every year, but I’ll check 2024

12:12
Tacoby Bellsbury: What transaction this winter do you most fear you’ll be wrong about?

12:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t THINK I’m wrong, but I do worry about being wrong about Reds transactions the most, since they’re the fans that have the most convenient access to murder me

12:13
Zach: Do you publish intervals for team projections? Would be curious to know which teams ZiPS thinks have the largest (and smallest) range of plausible outcomes

12:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I will on the final ones

12:13
site issues: Not sure where to send this, but Fangraphs pages seem to be occasionally sending me to a McAfee spam site lately. I’m not getting this issue on other websites.

12:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: We’ve had some reports of that, I know David’s been looking into it

12:13
Self Centered A-hole: So about my fantasy team.  I adopted a stinker and rebuilding.  How would you suggest I use zips projections on prospects to sort out the guys that are boom/bust types (who i would rather bet on) than guys that are more likely to be big leaguers, but with a very limited ceiling.  Thanks for helping with my team because my team is what’s REALLY important here.  to me!

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Those team pages have the 80th/20th percentiles!

12:14
JDizzle: On the new Fangraphs projections…What do u make of the Braves at 26.5% winning the WS, while the Dodgers are only at 15.5%? Thought that might be closer.

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Since I don’t DO those numbers myself, my insight is kinda limited

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But the 10 percentage point bump in division winning probability helps that

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Becasue it’s a bfd to get that bye

12:15
JDizzle: Which OF’er do u like more as a last-round pick in a Best Ball Points league? K Carpenter or J Kelenic?

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Kelenic

12:15
TomBruno23: Grateful Dead 12.14.80 Long Beach CA going well with this chat. Berta don’t you come around here…anymore…

12:15
Cat Latos: How do my cat friends do?

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Justinian’s on my office windowsill watching a white squirrel. Last I saw, Mercutio was asleep in the living room, Cassiopeia asleep on the couch in the back TV room upstairs, and Constantine was hanging out on the kitchen counter staking out when he gets food

12:17
Champdo: so with all the sturm und drang over the Tigers choosing Jobe over Mayer it seems like Jobe has turned into a pretty good prospect.

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Generally speaking, it’s hard to do TOO badly when you pick because of the uncertainty

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: unless you do like the Pirates did with Moskos or something

12:17
Trader Jerry’s: How much does the projection correction on Gregory Santos affect your opinion on the trade that sent him to Seattle?

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: None. He’s still damn good

12:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I didn’t even realize he was leading the league in fWAR in the projections since ZiPS is only partially FIP-based in its war

12:18
Mark: Spencer Steer more than just a guy this year?

12:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I mean, he’s solid, but he’s not really a star and has a relatively low ceiling

12:19
Sandwich Snob: i used to go to Subway for sandwiches.  But they now use a hinge cut where there’s one piece of bread and the meat slapped inside.  I am afraid this mirrors a hot dog bun in most respects and all intelligent life on earth knows a hot dog is NOT a sandwich.  Wouldn’t a Subway sandwich with a hinge cut be equally NOT a sandwich?  I’d love a meatball sub, but I can’t eat that if it’s not a sandwich and you’re the expert on that topic.  What’s your position?

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yeah, it’s not a sandwich. BUt you can still enjoy a meatball non-sandwich

12:20
Moose: Are you taking the over or under on your creation’s projected win-loss record for the Mariners (85-77)?

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Over because it’s not quite .540

12:20
Mike Tyson: Designated Hitter: Which MLB player do you think could take me in a street fight?

12:20
Mike Tyson: Designated Hitter: and please tell me that Colton Cowser will head up a package that gets him to Chicago for Cease.

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: None

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And I don’t think the White Sox are realistic

12:20
romorr: A lot of people think Elias is going to piecemeal a BP together over the season. Okay with that? Or do you think we should be aggressive and try to add through FA, or a trade.

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s tricky to do that DURING the season

12:21
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The Rays usually have their “dudes they found on a park bench that end up with a 3.50 ERA” guys at least in the organization by now

12:21
Red: I get when non statistically inclined people get mad at ZiPS output. But that O’s fan yesterday who was screaming variable issues for not predicting 90th percentile outcomes as a baseline the last two years was uh, something

12:21
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Someone with an economics background ought to be less dumb.

12:22
Dadgut: Mariners playoff odds don’t seem to line up with what ZiPS is saying here, with the Rangers doing significantly better. Is it because ZiPS weighs the last season more heavily than Steamer?

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Again, that kind of thing is really hard to grok

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I THINK I can capture depth better than our FG generalized model

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Which I should, because mine is a nightmare to set up that takes forever

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and the FG methodology is made so that it can run any time Jason makes any change on the depth charts

12:26
Zach: I’m curious how ZiPS handles predictions for players like DeGrom and Scherzer, where there is both a wide range of possible outcomes for IP this year and presumably a wide range of potential performance level, and (I think) relatively little historic precedent.

12:26
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I mean, there’s a lot of data in there about injured pitchers

12:26
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But ZiPS will mostly confirm that it’s horribly uncertain

12:26
Gold Star: How do you think Lux will do at SS for the Dodgers this season? Relatedly, is he LA’s starter there in the postseason?

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he’ll be adequate, but not really one of the standouts. I mean you always have to temper expectations after an injury year, and I like Lux. But I don’t think there are great candidates out there to replace him

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Like would the Padres actually do a late season Kim trade to Dodgers? Not sure about that

12:27
TomBruno23: Taylor Swift announces The Eras movie streaming on Disney and stock up over 12% today. Sorry, right wing nut jobs.

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe I’m just an old, but I don’t get why people care so much about Swift either way

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski: She’s a pop singer and has some popular albums. OK. So? And?

12:29
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I also don’t care who is dating who.

12:29
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I just don’t care about things that are either a) not my problem or b) not my business

12:30
Red Sox: Will you watch the Netflix doc about the 2024 Red Sox?

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe, if people report it being interesting

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I watch enough baseball and talk enough baseball and baseball news that if it’s not really something novel, I don’t need to add it

12:30
JDizzle: What’s the meaning of life?

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Enjoying a very brief existence in a largely cold, dark universe in which that’s a rarity

12:31
JDizzle: Any way W Franco or T Bauer plays in the MLB this year?

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Franco could if there was some sudden development in the case that was favorable to him, but I don’t know what that would be

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: As for Bauer, I think teams are extremely hesitant to get into that stuff

12:32
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Especially since Bauer isn’t a guy who is willing to be quiet and below the radar

12:32
Szymby: If Taylor Swift has swifties can I be a Szymbie?

12:32
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not really big on fan culture, honestly

12:32
Avatar Dan Szymborski: That’s just a personal thing

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Generally speaking, I base my life on things that amuse me, and praise doesn’t really amuse me.

12:33
Insert Witty Name Here: re: Swift – it’s a corporate money scheme. People will pay lots of money for Swift related anything.

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m all for corporate money schemes.

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: As some of you may remember, to your chagrin, I’m a hardcore free market-er

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If she wants ot make a billion dollars selling coins with her head on it, good for her

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I just don’t particularly *care* about it one way or the other

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not my circus, not my clowns

12:34
anxious Yankees fan: Which one of Cortes, Rodon, Stanton, or Rizzo do you think are most likely to return to form

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Cortes

12:34
Sad Angels Fan: Can the ZIPS machine compute whether the angels will ever make me happy again anytime this decade

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: AGAIN? Have they made you happy recently? I’m suspicious of the veracity of that statement

12:35
nate: Will austin riley win an mvp

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He COULD, but he’ll probably enter most seasons in his prime being like the 10th most likely

12:35
Joey Caltrain: Who would be the funniest baseball player for the Pentagon to use for psyops and why?

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Zack Greinke

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: because he’d have all the fucks not to give and break the op instantly

12:36
Jose Altuve: In light of his extension, how likely is he to have another mvp caliber season? Did his 90 game season of dominance hurt his chances at 3000 because of the lower number of hits he had or help his chances because he demonstrated continued high level play?

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The missed time is actually more concerning than the good season is helpful

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He may have another one in him, but it ought to be quick

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: the history of middle infielder aging is not good

12:36
Chip: What would your WAR-metric equivalent be if you were to make a ZIPS model for human pathogens?

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: DAM: Deaths Above Misadventure

12:37
Homer: I think it’d be shocking at this point if Fried stays with the Braves all things considered – feels like a near lock for one of the California teams

12:37
Tacoby Bellsbury: It’s pretty clear that chili is your least favorite pasta dish. What is your most favorite pasta dish? And which major-leaguer would you compare that pasta dish to, and why?

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: CHILI IS NOT A PASTA DISH

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Rowdy Tellez seems like a heaping pile of pasta

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I tend to like a good ol’ bolognese

12:38
Ghinga: This is easily one of the most quotable fig chats in recent memory.

12:38
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I HAVENT ANSWERED ANY QUESTIONS ABOUT FIGS

12:38
Avatar Dan Szymborski: QUICK, GIVE ME QUESTIONS ABOUT FIGS AND I WILL ANSWER THEM ALL

12:39
Insert Witty Name Here: Fig Newtons or Issac Newton?

12:39
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Figs netwons as you can eat them

12:39
Joey Caltrain: How many turkeys could a turkey fig turkey if a turkey fig could turkey figs?

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: A pound of figs per pound of turkey per year

12:40
Guest: How many types of figs are there?

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Two: eaten and non-eaten

12:40
Fargum: what are generic fig newtons called

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Most grocery stores I’ve seen just call them fig bars

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Me, I’d go higher concept for my generic fig newtons

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: maybe call them Fig Euclids or Fig Leibnizes

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Figonaccis!

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: THE FIGONACCI NUMBER IS 140 CALORIES PER SERVING

12:42
liam: figs vs dates who would win

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I personally prefer figs

12:42
Joey Caltrain: Figs or dates?

12:42
ZiPS me like one of your French girls: When my wife was pregnant she had to eat a ton of figs and dates. She hates them now

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve eaten a lot of figs and never became pregnant!

12:43
Ghinga: Fg* sorry.  But on that note, do you like figs? And do you prefer them dried or fresh?

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I tend to prefer dried

12:43
Figgy Pudding: Is not really pudding, is it?

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Nothing the English say is a food something actually is

12:44
wheelhouse: Is there a way for ZiPS to project what % of the time the yankees’ first 5 starters combine for 139 starts, as ZiPS DC has them right now? I know that’s an injury projection and probably highly variable but that seems so high for a median projection

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski: In the season sims, I actually project less

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Generally speaking, I’m more pessimistic about pitcher health than our depth charts

12:44
Chip: If you were to build a ZIPS program for fruit, what would the WAR-metric equivalent be and how many units would figs get?

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Deliciousness Shares

12:44
Ceaseless Turmoil Seething: Will the White Sox regret turning down the Burnes+ package from the O’s?

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes

12:45
Ceaseless Turmoil Seething: Was the Burnes move a start or a stop to this O’s off-season?

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Probably a stop as there’s not much offseason left

12:45
Guest: Two related questions: 1. Is it fair to say that the projections don’t do as good of a job as they do the regular season?2. Do you believe that the best team always wins the World Series?
Just as with late last regular season, both projection models and experts agree that the Braves and Dodgers  appear to be heavy favorites in the NL. Yet, neither made it to the NLCS. These are odds, of course, and there’s a lot of room for variance, especially in the current postseason baseball.

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Depends what you mean good job

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Obviously, the “average” projections are worse. But the probabilities work since projections count for the uncertainty

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and 2: definitely no!

12:45
Joey Caltrain: Forget figs. As an SF fan, I’d like to know how you feel about fog

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Fog’s usually burned off by the time I wake up

12:46
Ghinga: I just saw Brent Honeywell signed with the pirates, on an actually baseball related note.  What is your opinion of the last remaining major league screw baller?

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m unconvinced Devin Williams doesn’t throw a screwball

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: but I’m all for screwballs

12:46
Danny Jansen’s Goggles: Devin Williams basically throws a screwball

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: BEAT YOU TO IT BY LIKE SEVEN SECONDS

12:46
Guest: Do you think ZiPS would be better at projecting baseball if there were 1000 games per season?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I guess, but you can’t actually have the guys play 1000 games, it would be split squad

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: so practically speaking, there’s probalby a peak of 300 games or so?

12:47
Altuve follow up: Thank You for your time! I have a question about the history of MI’s aging poorly. Is this a skill thing? As in they tend to accumulate value based on speed, quickness, and contact skills and those wane? If so, might Altuve extend his window of value by continuing to focus on power hitting and perhaps shifting to DH more often? He might accrue less value but remain more offensively effective that way

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Why is tricky, the what is hard enough!

12:48
Scotsman: Have you ever had Black Pudding Dan

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I have actually

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: its was weirdly gritty

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: like they put a little sand in it for filler

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and it felt like I was chewing it forever but it wasn’t doing anythign

12:49
David: Are there any FO’s that essentially only use predictive stats and ignore on field results?

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not that I’m aware of

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: but I can only make educated guesses. I talk with most front offices to some extent, but they’re usually careful about WHAT they say

12:49
Danny Jansen’s Goggles: Are you as optimistic about Vladdy as the projections?

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think so. He’s still a pretty young player

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I mean he doesn’t turn 25 until next month

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’s not a 30 year old who is up and down

12:50
Babe Ruth’s Submerged Piano.: Am I a baseball relic worth displaying in the Hall of Fame? Sox fans had a theory that my removal was integral to their breaking the curse!

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think so because pianos take up a huge amount of space

12:50
ZiPS me like one of your French girls: Dan, so excited for prospect week this year! Can you do more ZiPS prospecting content? Perhaps some SSS projections for more of the 2023 draftees? Go 200 deep (or at least go deeper down the list for pitchers)? It’s genuinely one of the best articles every year on the site and I neeeeeed more! TY TY

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I could, but I try to keep the ZIPS ONLY content to a few select things

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: because projections can be kind of dry and I hate falling into the trap of writing ABOUT the projections rather than USING the projections

12:51
Ghinga: Just hang the piano on the ceiling.

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve seen enough cartoons and 1930s movies to know that’s a bad idea

12:51
Aniel Hernandez: How is Gary Sheffield not in the HOF?

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: By not getting the 75% of votes required!

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I suspect the vets will get him in

12:52
Chip: Who was the last guy that showed up in your projections who made you think ‘woah, that guy is still playing?’

12:54
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Joe Beimel 2022

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think the last couple years of Joe SMith too

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I had kinda missed the Joe Beimel comeback story in 2022

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well, 2021 tehcnically

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I just throw in the every minor league pitcher who got at least 10 IP at AA in the initial batch

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: so when I saw a 45 year-old Joe Beimel getting a projection for 2022, it was a real WTF moment

12:57
Guest: meat-forward bolognese, like authentic ragu alla bolognese? or tomato sauce with meat?

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: the former

12:57
Aniel Hernandez: Who are some players you think will have a “breakout” year this upcoming season?

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Hey, not giving out one of my standard preseason tropes! lol

12:58
Ken: Good afternoon, Dan. This has probably been asked previously, so apologies, but I couldn’t find the answer. Is there a reason the numbers of projected players doesn’t match when the projections are run through the auction calculator?

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t actually know since I dont’ handle that at all

12:58
Greg: Boy I shouldn’t have shown up late today, it looks like I missed so figging much…

12:58
Insert Witty Name Here: why do people care so much about people in pajamas throwing a ball to someone who tries to hit it with a piece of wood?

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Hitting things is fun!

12:59
HappyFunBall: re: no eating days. Certainly you drink something. Is it just water or would you, say, allow for coffee? I have a significant enough addiction that I develop a headache around noon if I’ve not a had a cup. But also I would think the caffeine to be a nice help in avoiding hunger

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I have this 64 ounce water jug that I drink every day

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well, the water IN the jug

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t convert the water dug into a molten liquid and then drink it

12:59
Nolan: How much computing power does it take to crunch a season’s worth of ZiPS projections?

1:00
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If I use both my main PC (Ryzen 5900X) and my secondary PC (i7-8700K) and split up the workload, I can have a ZiPS batch run done in about 30 hours

1:00
Aniel Hernandez: Best time of the season to go visit a ballpark?

1:00
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Early and late. I hate hot, humid weather

1:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Even if I sit in a nice cool press box, I hate being in the hot humid at all

1:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I frigging HATE summer  weather

1:01
Joey Caltrain: If you had to eliminate one position on the diamond, what would it be?

1:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Catcher because it woudl be amusing to see how baseball figured out how to stop the ball and get it back to the pitcher

1:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski: You might have to put one of those bouncy net things behind home plate

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and it would be funny to see a batter swing and miss at a 98 mph fastball and then fastball bounces off and shoots out towards the pitcher

1:02
2013 NCAA worst player: do you have a strong opinion one way or the other on python vs R?

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not really

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not a programming guy

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m old enough that R wasn’t huge yet when I was in college (I’m 46 in June) and I took C++ to get that credit

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I know visual basic sorta

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Avatar Dan Szymborski: and in college we used statistica and matlab mostly

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Avatar Dan Szymborski: And I like GUIs

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Avatar Dan Szymborski: On that note, if you guys give a fig about me getting the NL projections up tomorrow, I gotta head out

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Avatar Dan Szymborski: thanks for coming everyone!





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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Schide
22 days ago

Dan I hate that you brought up the Moskos pick so I have to think about it again..

But it’s not you drafted him so I’ll forgive you.