Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 4/22/2019

12:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It has begun.

12:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The chat, which should be obvious from context.

12:02
CamdenWarehouse: Is it too April to start wondering seriously if the Orioles can set a new HR allowed record?

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Of course not.

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They may do it by August.

12:03
Josh Nelson: I looked up what the Skyline Coney Dog looks like. I’m kinda mad at you. https://www.skylinechili.com/coneys.php

12:03
Gub Gub: The night is dark and full of egg farts.

12:03
Do You Wanna Build A Stroman?: Who will end up signing Kimbrel?

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Braves one-year after the draft

12:04
abelwingnut: any thoughts on miguel cabrera? exit velocity is still great, but the launch angle is low. i have to imagine it’ll climb soon, but curious what you think.

12:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s actually a fairly weird thing, he started hitting like this last year too

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I haven’t done any real look at the videos though, that would be interesting

12:05
Do You Wanna Build A Stroman?: Vladito coming to the MLB tomorrow to debut at home?

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m hopeful, it’s getting silly

12:06
Rick: Thoughts on tauchman? Might he be this years muncy?

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Probably a bit premature, but he always had uses, even if the Rockies couldn’t be bothered to make an effort to find them out

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: You can’t interrupt Ian Desmond’s fantasy camp.

12:06
Cincinnati Chili Commission: Our new slogan for the city: Skyline Chili > Umpire Joe West…” Even Dan Szymborski agrees with this”.

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’d make that my only chili for life if Joe West never umpired another game.

12:07
Brood550: How much longer are the White Sox going to wait to get Cease into the rotation?  He has succeeded at every level and seems to have boosted his control this year.

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If the team were better, they’d have more urgency. I don’t think they’re in a particular hurry.

12:08
steve: would you drop Barnes for Jeffries if youre looking for saves?

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Assuming we’re talking about Jeffress, you’d really need to be in desperate straits.

12:09
Davis: We’ve seen hot streaks from Josh Bell, but his early season performance thus far feels a lot more sustainable: Is he finally coming into his own?

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m growing far more optimistic than I was – it’s not like there’s a BABIP thing pushing this year

12:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Coming into the year, I still thought of him as a Yonder Alonso type, whose performances, even in the minors, never really matched the hype

12:10
Morbo: HAPPY BELATED EASTER PUNY HUMANS!

12:10
Brood550: Has David Fletcher found something?  Looks like he is pulling the ball more and hitting it harder.  Granted he’s putting the ball on the ground more.

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m much farther from “there” for Fletcher than Bell

12:11
Zach: Wooooo Pirates pitching looks damn good. Obviously, what they’re doing now isn’t sustainable, but once they get their offense fully healthy, could they be for real?

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They could be

12:11
Cedric, Not So Entertaining: Seems like the O’s have lost faith in Cedric Mullins, even pinch-hitting for him yesterday with Pedro Severino. Is it better having him on the bench since he should be a bench bat anyway, or would a return to the minors make sense?

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The O’s have nothing more worthwhile to do than leaving him out there.

12:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s not like Hays is crushing the minors and they can just throw him in there. Hell, when plan B is Joey Rickard, I’d rather see Mason Williams

12:13
Todd: What makes Trevor Williams such an effective pitcher? His stuff isn’t electric, velocity nothing special, but he just… produces.

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’s a befuddler. It just works somehow.

12:14
TJ: Judge is probably out for at least a month or two, so now my patience has to be pretty thin for some of my slow starters…is Miggy droppable?  Laureano not showing enough to be rostered?

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Miggy is definitely droppable

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I wouldn’t be so quick to drop Laureano

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: especially if your league uses How Many Times Someone Says Dear God Upon Watching His Arm as a category

12:15
Snid: Your take on Jose Abreu?   His manager says he is chasing outside the zone but his numbers say no.

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’d trust the numbers honestly

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And they are concerning – he seems to be swinging at fewer bad pitches but somehow connecting with even fewer

12:16
LFC Mike: Dan. Please tell us you didn’t pull a quad, or strain a hamstring, or tweak an oblique , break a fingernail or twist an ankle or drop furniture on your foot the past week. If so you are doing better than most baseball players. The amount of injuries from baseball players doing “regular baseball things” except furniture moving is getting a bit ridiculous. Yes it is April..but is conditioning, especially the legs, getting less focus on and is more being focused on upper body, launch angle strength?

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I do have an ongoing back issue for which I’m receiving physical therapy

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: bulging disk in my back, it’s why I didn’t make spring training

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m off beer at the moment to lose weight and hopefully ease up on the pressure somewhat

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: because I’d prefer to not have back surgery

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Which weirdly, every single person in my family has had surgery for a herniated disc but me

12:18
Siri: Should i be worried about Jesse Winker, or “April”.  Seems like he might be selling out for power at the expense of his trademark plate discipline….

12:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not worried

12:21
Sam I am: What is up with Garrett hampson and his inability to walk now that he’s in the bigs?

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he’s just a player struggling overall – he walked just fine in hsi cup of coffee last year and his plate discipline numbers aren’t that weird

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And god knows what the Rockies are doing with him. They could spin gold into straw and then give the straw $70 million.

12:22
Jacob DeGrom: I hope my barking elbow didn’t upset Galileo….things that bark tend to do that. Why wasn’t my elbow purring during  last year when I was unhittable?

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Galileo doesn’t care about barking.

12:23
Avatar Dan Szymborski: You cannot intimidate that cat, it’s actually quite frustrating. You can turn the vacuum on next to him and he doesn’t give a crap.

12:23
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Zero issues with strangers, has never reacted to being yelled at or surprised.

12:23
Avatar Dan Szymborski: When the little black cat hits him, he doesn’t even break stride and ignores it.

12:24
Avatar Dan Szymborski: My next door neighbor years ago had this very barky dog and she brought him into the house on the leash and Galileo walked up to him

12:24
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and the dog barked right in his face and Galileo just sat there like nothing was going on.

12:24
Steak knife: Is Carlos rodon’s significantly improved strikeout rate remotely sustainable? Is this the new Carlos Rodon?

12:24
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m optimistic about Rodon.

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he can survive as a heavy slider guy as long as his health sticks

12:25
MACC: When are you going to dissect Bellinger Dan?!  I’d guess (and am hoping) you have an article cooking?

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’j working on a Yankees worst-case scenario piece and am going to do my yearly Dead Money ranking later this week

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Also some other stuff, I’m refining my zBABIP for minor league pitchers based on FG data we have

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

12:27
Dan Szymborski’s Dystopian Life: Every baseball game Dan watches in the future he is forced  to eat a bowl of Skyline Chili with beans and the game must be umpired by Joe West.

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Why torture me?

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Unless you’re the ZiPS creator locked in the oubliette, but he doesn’t have internet access

12:27
Double jeopardy : Ryan Braun has looked pretty horrific. Is this age related decline or sss?

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think it’s a ombo

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Chewbacca, I know what the word is, so no way yo’ure sneaking it past me

12:30
Gub Gub: How the heck are The Angels starting Matt Harvey every five days?

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The whole Angels roster seems to be designed as a punishment to Mike Trout

12:30
Rick: With Corbin Burnes being sent down, any change in long term outlook or still #2 type upside?

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The homering is worrisome short-term, but I think he’ll be fine

12:30
Rick: An issue of small sample-itis or is Miggy’s goose cooked?  9 BB:23 K and a mere 3 XBH in 75 ABs.  Time to look elsewhere?

12:31
TJ: Is it me or is Josh Donaldson starting to go full Josh Donaldson?

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he was one fo the best pickups this offseason

12:31
Joe Don: Rangers. Discuss.

12:32
Avatar Dan Szymborski: GALLO SAC FLY ON HIS 1337TH AT BAT LEET

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Color me skeptical

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The pitching still isn’t good and they’ve scored more runs than they’re likely to going forward

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well, on a per game basis

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They’ll obviously score 160 runs over the next 140 or so

12:33
Matt: In hindsight, should the Dodgers have traded Bellinger for Dozier?

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I wouldn’t have done it then!

12:33
LFC MIke: Dan..we are basically 1/8th of the way into the season. There are 4 players with 10 homeruns already There are 37 players with 6 or more putting them on pace for 48 homeruns…and we are told more homeruns are hit as the summer warms up. Does MLB think this is the answer with the ball having even less drag this year. #yawnanotherhomerun

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Seems to be the ball.

12:34
Ari: I will ask you again after this gloomy week – do you think the Padres win 80 games?

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes, but it’ll be close

12:34
Michael Kopech: Is tim anderson jump sustainable?

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think his outlook has improved, but nobody’s keeping a .500 BABIP

12:34
Brad Keller: Dan..If you come up with a really cute or funny comment..and then admire it on the screen and then flip your keyboard..I will drill you with an imaginary baseball  right in the keyster. #Respectthechat

12:34
Joe West: Think you could increase the font size on these chats?

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think we have any control over that

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Ryan, no GoT spoilers please

12:35
Hershey: Preferred Easter Candy: Peeps or Cadbury Creme Eggs?

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: creme eggs

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t really eat much candy

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m enough of a fatass eating well

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: my weight comes from a genetic condition that finds drinking beer and skipping the gym to be awesome

12:37
CamdenWarehouse: Which strait is desperate? I’m guessing the Bering

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The Cook strait iw the most dangerous

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I believe

12:37
Anonymous: Is Jesus Aguilar a one-hit wonder?

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he’s better than that

12:38
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and really, he has one-and-a-half hits

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Sorry, I’m trying to think of one-and-a-half-hit wonders

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Golden Earring maybe?

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Radar Love counts as one

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and Twilight Zone was top 10 I believe, but it’s most forgotten

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: while everyone still recognizes Radar Love

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Wait, who are you people and what are you doinog in my office?

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: THESE AREN’T MY SHOES

12:41
Anonymous: What are you most nervous about re: ZiPS 2021

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Bieber

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not because I dont’ like Bieber but because he’s one of a handful of players (Bieber, Marquez, Soto) that ZiPS is MEGA AGGRO on

12:41
Slapshot: You’re Commissioner Dan for one day.  What suspension lengths would you institute against pitchers and managers for deliberate retaliatory pitches, and how many games would you add for parties lying about it in postgame pressers?

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If the totality of the circumstances suggests it was intentional

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: 30 days for the pitcher, 60 days for the manager if there was managerial involvement.

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And probation for the team, giving them the chance to remedy their culture internally

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If we have repeats from an organization, than loss of draft picks

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: then

12:43
Balked: Would you rather have Gleyber Torres or Tatis Jr. moving forward.

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Tatis. I love Torres but TATIS

12:43
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s a beer/taco question. There is no wrong answer

12:43
Eastern Boi: If one of the four competing teams in the NL East were to lose a troubling amount of ground in the race before August, who do you think it’d be?

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Mets. I think if they lose a starter or two, they could fall off quickly

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They’re already starting Jason Vargas ON PURPOSE and it’s not like there’s some Brewster’s Millions situation in which Jeff Wilpon gets a billion dollars if one of his starting pitchers allows  125 earned runs in 2019.

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: OR IS THERE

12:45
Cody Allen: How long will I hold onto my job?

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The control is very concerning. I think Allen may get a respite fairly soon

12:46
LFC Mike: 2 Oriole player questions (no it is too early to drink) Austin Hayes after rehab get back to Baltimore? and Ryan Mountcastle? Had a great weekend….took Cease deep on 0-2 count.

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Hays will need time in the minors

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: There’s no particular hurry for Mountcastle, given that the team is still reviewing the long-term potential of guys that play his positions

12:47
Devil Ray Jay Johnson: Who makes the playoffs again first — Baltimore or Kansas City?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Baltimore

12:47
stever20: have you ever seen a team like the yankees with so many injuries so early like this?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they’e surpassed the yearly Dodgers civil war camp

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m doing more on the Yankees

12:47
Optimistic Cub: Hi Dan. Quintana has 3 good starts and 1 blowup vs the Brewers.  Are these results based mostly on his opponents or a possibly a solid year to come?  Scared of him versus Dodgers tomorrow?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve been one of the last Quintana believers for awhile. I still think he’ll be OK

12:48
Charlie Kelly, Esq.: What role do you envision Michael Chavis playing for the Red Sox this year? Does the bat keep him around, and can he stick at 2b? Long-term, could he be sort of a Dan Uggla redux?

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think it’s the worst comp in the world

12:48
Matt: Is there anything in the rule book that prevents someone from having their arm replaced with a baseball cannon and joining the MLB as a pitcher?

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: While I can’t think of anything off the top of my head

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: There may be some kind of equpiment rule I’m forgetting

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and the best interests of baseball clause probably applies

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m more interested in the eddie gaedel rule

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: is MLB legally allowed to ban little people?

12:50
Jason N: Meat + chilis + spices = Dan’s chili recipe

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: correct

12:50
Jkim: Is it too early to have MVP talks? B/c that Dodgers-Brewers Series was something else entirely w/ Yelich & Bellinger going back & forth.

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yelich is having a crazy year

12:50
Matt: Does ZiPS include an “odds of injury” factor that we could apply to see the likelihood of a team having 13 starting-caliber players on the DL?

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Nothing this specific

12:51
Jason N: Meat + chili + spices = Dan’s Chile recipe.  Meat + chili + spices = Taco meat recipe.  Dan’s chili = Taco meat.

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: dan’s taco meat is carnitas or chorizo

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: or al pastor

12:51
CamdenWarehouse: Might I suggest a hedgehog tossing regimen as part of your plan to lose weight

12:52
stever20: saw a local piece here in DC saying that starters might have a better ERA than relievers for the first time since 1969 this season league wide.  If that winds up being the case, do you think we may have reached peak usage for relievers and we may see things tip back slightly to starting pitchers again?

12:52
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think that will hold up

12:52
Gub Gub: My experience with back surgery is that everyone I’ve ever met who has had it, wishes they didn’t.

12:52
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Actually, it was successful for every member of my family

12:53
Cito’s Mustache: What’s going on with Votto? Are we finally seeing the dreaded age decline?

12:53
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Partly. He has had slow starts, but I think age *is* atching up with him

12:53
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But I think that will simply result in him being lesser awesome, not done.

12:54
Who let the degrom out : Does anyone even know what barking means?

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The Mets version of an MRI is that they smear a player’s body part with a poultice and cloves and put them in a room with a dog. If the dog sees the ghost of the player’s dead great-grandparents, it means that they were summoned to fix a physical problem with an arm and the dog will bark.

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It didn’t work with Steven Matz because while the ghost of Matz’s great-grandparents appeared, Matz had snausages

12:55
Jay: Any hope of a return to form for Darvish? Or is this just sorta who he is now.

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve been hopeful, but my shade of hopeful keeps becoming lighter

12:56
CamdenWarehouse: Are you including Davis as dead money? maybe his is undead money

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’s not even #1 I don’t think

12:56
AF: Jeff McNeil iso’ed .299 in 57 games in AA and .232 in 31 games in AAA in 2018 but just .142 and .100 in MLB in 2018 and 2019 YTD even with the juiced ball. What gives? Isn’t the juiced ball supposed to help the power of guys like him?

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Don’t get too excited about small sample numbers

12:56
Jason N: Dan – if the players union makes it a point to try to get money over to players earlier in their career, will the owners care if 1) the piece of the rev pie they spend on salary is stable and 2) if it’s directionally based on performance?  In other words, how contentious will owners make this in the next negotiation?

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think owners will generally be agnostic if it doesn’t change how much they’re paying overall

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: smaller-revenue teams *will* cause a fuss at increased performance connection

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: simply put, the Yankees marginal wins are far more valuable than the Rays

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The current system disincentives investment.

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But for teams like the Rays, a $=WAR system disinentives being good under *any* strategy

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: which means that MLB will need to figure out a new method of team revenue sharing

12:58
Barry: Is Corbin Burnes’ homerun problem a problem, or did he just anger the gods? Is he a starter or reliever in your eyes?

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think when there’s that many, there’s an issue, but it may be one that can be resolved fairly easily with some work.

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: it’s not a stuff or talent issue

12:59
Matt: You can’t get a half a hit, Dan. It’s a discrete set of integers.

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think it’s binary

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: it’s not like 999,000 copies is a bust and 1,000,000 is a hit

1:00
Slothrop: Is Gallo’s BA for real or blippish? Please be gentle.

1:00
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think it’s real, but there’s a good chance that he’s at least popped up the baseline a bit

1:00
How Yu Doin’?: Cut Darvish for Gausman or C. Smith in a 10-team mixed league?

1:00
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’d certainly cut Yu for K-Guaze

1:00
JJ: How you feely about Wheely? (Zach Wheeler).

1:01
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

1:01
Norman: Which World Series match-up is most likely: Rays-Pirates or Red Sox-Cubs?

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Honestly, Rays-Pirates probaby

1:02
LGM: How did Mike Tauchman go from a no HR hitter to 20+ in one season?

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He wasn’t REALLY a no-hr hitter, he just had no homers in the majors

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: IN limited time, almost entirely as a pinch-hitter

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and everyone sucks as a pinch-hitter essentially

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Now, he wasn’t an amazing hitter in the minors for power

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: but not 0

1:03
Nelson: Who finishes higher in the NL Central Standings: Reds or Pirates?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Pirates

1:03
Stu: How absurd is the fact that just last week Joey Votto finally popped out to the first baseman in his career?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It was pretty amusing

1:03
Matt: The wrong answer to the beer taco question is “neither”.

1:03
Morbo: OMG! Radar Love needs to be Jordan Hicks warm up song!

1:03
Nick: Why does Trevor Bauer get offended by everything?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Too much internet time.

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The more you’re sucked into social media, the more you’ll end up getting offended by everything you see.

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The only reason I survive being on social media so much is that I don’t really take anything seriously ever.

1:04
LFC Mike: Paper Lace. “The Night Chicago Died” and the original creators of the diabetes inducing “Billy Don’t Be a Hero”  usurped by Bo Donaldson and the Heywoods.

1:05
Sam I Am: Do the Mariners end up winning closer to 75 or 90 games? They can really hit and it seems to keep them in just about every game, it’s just that bullpen…

1:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they’ll end up in low 80s

1:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: it takes serious blue-and-tealish-green glasses to think most of the guys will end up anywhere near that OPS+

1:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They have an OPS+ of 133

1:07
Jeff M: Could a team composed entirely of NL East players with less than one year of service time make the playoffs?

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think so

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: hmm

1:07
mamsk: Does Joey Gallo have a 7 or 8 win season in him? He’s just absolutely destroying the ball and his contact rates continue to trend upwards.

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure he’s that well rounded that he could do this for a whole year

1:07
Cave Dameron: Now that the Cubs have stabilized things and have one of the best scoring differentials in the league, are they again division favorites?

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they’re close to the faovrites again

1:08
RMR: Is Hunter Dozier for real?  Underlying numbers show real growth and StatCast seems impressed.

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m inclined to think there’s a lot of real there

1:08
Borksadork: Next in line after Leclerc?

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: King Stephen

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: since that’s a bit obscure and a dumb joke anyway, probably Kelley

1:09
CamdenWarehouse: Would baseball cannon man be able to get enough movement on his fastball to be worth playing?

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Nobody’s hitting a 150 MPH fastball

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: all though the catcher may trouble

1:10
Trevor: Surely you mean that the “best interests of baseball clause” applies in the sense that it *affirmatively sanctions* the use of baseball cannons, correct?

1:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Baseball cannon really isn’t weirder than starting an extra inning with a man on second

1:10
Slapshot: How many actual butts in seats should I expect to see at Camden Yards tomorrow night when I head up there to see the White Sox and Orioles play?

1:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: 11

1:10
Donjuan: Dan ate more chili last week than I have in my entire life?

1:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I didn’t have any chili last week!

1:10
Matt: This chili/taco equivalence reminds me of a Jim Gaffigan bit from his Comedy Central presents (wow, probably 20 years ago…) where he talks about working at a Mexican restaurant in Iowa. “Tortilla with cheese meat or vegetables – just say something in Spanish and I’ll bring you some food!”

1:11
Daro: Why no one believes in Moncada’s great start?

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He broke some hearts last year

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve stood up to be heartbroken again this year

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: LLOYD MCCLENDON, I’M READY TO BE HEARTBROKEN

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I need to mainstream my references a bit

1:12
Unimportant: Jason Vargas only has 3 actual starts this year; in two of them, he’s been pretty respectable (3 combined ER, though over only 9 combined innings). The two other appearances when he’s been bombed have been when he’s been kind of off schedule. Seems like that was the case last year, too. Can one delude oneself into thinking he’s palatable if they just keep him regular? Or has he not done enough to warrant that treatment?

1:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: the latter

1:12
Jaime: Mike Trout currently has a higher contact% than Willians Astudillo

1:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: You see, Mike Trout sees someone doing something and he says “cool, I’m going to be the best in the world at that”

1:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If he got into Anton Bruckner he’d go “that’s nice” and then he’d write a symphony that cures cancer

1:13
Mooseknuckle curves: Tri tip chili with Modelo Chelada marinated cubed tri-tip. You’re welcome.

1:13
Matt: With pitcher seeing lower and lower pitch counts, does the 5 man rotation change proportionately?

1:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No, though I think we’ll see occasional forays into six man rotations more often

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not four man

1:14
Gila Monster : Is life worth living Dan?

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Sure.

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Think of existence as one huge, long interconnected story. By existing, you contribute just a little bit to the story

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: that small bit of existence when life could and did exist

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: when there was love and happiness and joy

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: contributing to that brief moment of the universe that isn’t a cold, void.

1:15
stever20: Is Jon Gray from the Rockies finally starting to put things together in your opinion?

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I was optimistic last year that he’d put it together

1:15
Dan: Do you ever find yourself writing an article to find out someone else at fangraphs wants to write nearly the same thing? Do you fight over who get priority or does Meg or seniority or some other mature process decide?

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: We talk about what we’re working on in Slack

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and I haven’t seen any fights because we’re all frigging adults

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and people who aren’t sugar-laden five-year-olds can settle things among themselves

1:16
Devil Ray Jay Johnson: Looking forward to Brian Goodwin bumping Mike Trout as the Angels’ lone All-Star representative.

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Trout shouldn’t be an All-Star beause the team’ isn’t exclusive enough

1:17
Devil Ray Jay Johnson: Is it Lightening Round yet?  It must be Lightening Round.  Tex-Mex Tacos versus Korean Tacos?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: DOn’t make me choose

1:17
Dmitry: As a sports physical therapist, i’ll tell you not to get back surgery. Outcomes are aweful and patients doing good PT have a 99% recovery rate without it. Id only recommend it after an acute event like a car accident

1:18
purple mini: Was LeClerc a one-hit wonder or is this a temporary blip?

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: which is why I’m doing pt!

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m optimistic

1:18
LFC Mike: That was unexpectedly inspiring Dan.

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Won’t let it happen again

1:18
HappyFunBall: Are you saying that Camera Obscura is a mainstream reference? Or that it’s … too obscure?

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: too obscure

1:18
Doug (Less): Hi Dan.  I assume you partook in 420.  How was it?

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I have no weed at the moment

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: NOT THAT I WOULD EVER DO SUCH ILLEGALLY

1:19
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe: …because you smoked it all on 420?

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: My last weed was in Denver last September

1:19
Harper: Trout saw my cool beard like 3 years ago and decided to stop shaving. He still has a 25 beard to my 80.

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe it wasn’t cool enough to impress Trout

1:20
Bearry: McKay just went 5 innings, K’d 9, walked none, used 66 pitches, and got 23 swinging strikes. He is such a GUY because that is incredible.

1:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: OK, I have spaghetti I’d like to eat

1:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: so goodbye

1:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming everyone!





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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outdoorminer
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outdoorminer

Since the Camera Obscura song is a Lloyd Cole reference, you could go even more obscure. Hopefully people who know the CO song also know the amazing LC song, but I never assume.

George
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Member
George

Says the handle channeling Colin Newman….

outdoorminer
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outdoorminer

Ha! I never claimed to be catering to the masses myself. 🙂