Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 1/8/15
11:17 |
: I’ll be here at the top of the hour. In the meantime, dream of…
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11:17 |
:
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12:02 |
THEORY: The Hall of Fame is an elaborate ruse to get Jonah Keri’s head to explode on live TV |
12:02 |
: But he’s so nice!
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12:02 |
Thoughts on Alcantara and Enrique Hernandez in super deep dynasty? |
12:02 |
: Way more into Alcantara. All he needs to do is make more contact.
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12:02 |
Is there any statistical impact on wearing batting gloves as opposed to those that don’t? |
12:03 |
: Hah. Would need someone to log them all for us.
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12:03 |
hi eno |
12:03 |
: hi person
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12:03 |
Eno! Just giving you a shout before I have to turn my phone to airplane mode. Headed to Jamaica, discovery bay. Be back in two weeks! |
12:03 |
: Lucky B
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12:03 |
What would you recommend for an Opening Day beer – to enjoy at home while watching the first game of the season? something unique or safely excellent? |
12:03 |
: Probably safely excellent because it’s more about the beer that day.
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12:03 |
that your picture or just an exceedingly fitting stock image? |
12:04 |
: took it myself at my local
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12:04 |
Are you buying Joey Votto next year? |
12:05 |
: I’ll take the over on his projected runs and RBI, but that will depend a little on Jay Bruce and Marlon Byrd. Which is a little iffy, but I do have some love for Bruce. I think it was the knee. And the quad in Votto’s case.
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12:05 |
Are you jealous about all the attention Dave’s new baby is getting? Maybe you should get off your butt and go make another baby! |
12:06 |
: A third? No, dude, no. Not now at least.
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12:06 |
Who to keep of Oso Blaco or Yan Gomes? The money is negligible and the scoring is Otto. |
12:07 |
: goin’ with gomes because I think he’ll get on base more, only hit a couple fewer homers.
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12:07 |
WAR graphs for some HOF also-rans: http://www.fangraphs.com/gr… (Piazza, Bagwell, Raines)………. http://www.fangraphs.com/gr… (Clemens, Mussina, Schilling, Lee Smith) |
12:07 |
: DON’T CALL THEM ALSO RANS (I know you’re not, really.)
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12:07 |
I’m going to be traveling to Columbus OH at the end of the month for a concert and I am hoping to get my hands on some beers that aren’t available in PA. Anyone know places where I can get 3 Floyds or other wonderful beers? West Coast IPAs? |
12:07 |
: Maybe we can help.
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12:07 |
I’m starting to prepare for my AL-only league auction, and have come to realize that based on those likely to be kept, 3B will be a barren wasteland. Thus I ask you, is there any chance that Trevor Plouffe could provide sneaky good value next year? I recognize that Sano is potentially on the horizon, but that could take awhile and Plouffe did put up 14 HR/80 RBI last year. Help me, Eno!!! |
12:09 |
: Only problem with Plouffe has been his platoon split really. He’s been bad against righties. But last year he finally had an above-average walk rate, average strikeout rate, and average power against right-handers. First time he did that. I’d believe his projections, and maybe even tick it a little forward. But at 28, there’s not much room left.
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12:09 |
i ve never had a dopplebock before and tried the flying dog one. not a big fan. |
12:09 | : I might try it one more time. Ayinger Celebrator is the easy one to find. |
12:10 |
ENOOOOOO! How come there is never any national love for NC beer besides Hop, Drop and Roll? I mean its good but Asheville is the hot spot for tasty brews! |
12:11 |
: Wicked Weed is great. I like Foothills myself even if it’s not Asheville. I visited recently and enjoyed all of my beer. Local beer bar had Victory specials and Terrapin specials. Nice place. I think the answer, as usual, is distribution.
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12:11 |
Chances Kang signs with the Bucs? Any fantasy value? |
12:12 |
: I think it’s high. I was talking with a talent evaluator I trust and he’s big on Kang. Thinks the power will translate. The leg kick might make whiffs, but if the power comes over… he’ll be very useful. I think he’s fringe mixed league last round material at this point. Projections are almost useless given sample size of hitters that have played in both leagues, but the pitchers that have done so do help.
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12:12 |
have you ever had einstock wit? Iceland can brew some beer! it was spectacularly smooth like a ken griffey jr swing. |
12:12 |
: Super easy to drink.
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12:12 |
So my wife got me a bunch of different beers for Xmas. One had “Brett”, which basically makes the beer taste like a barnyard? I think its the most awful beer I’ve ever had. |
12:13 |
: Don’t drink saisons then. Or Brett IPAs. I love that taste, and yes it’s described as a barnyard funk, but if you don’t, that’s fine. I don’t love the Belgian yeasts in Dubbels and Tripels.
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12:13 |
Please Ichiro go to the Marlins, they would instantly become the most fun team to watch next year. |
12:13 |
Before anyone says anything, I know he’s not good anymore, but god dammit, this might be his last season and I don’t want to miss any of it. |
12:14 |
Celebratin everyday no more outdoor showers |
12:14 |
: That interlude took a while to come together but I like the shape of it.
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12:15 |
So where does Zobrist end up? Top suitors seem to be Angels, Cubs, Giants, and Nationals. Think they can get a couple top 100 guys? |
12:16 |
: I don’t even know if the Giants have two top 100 guys. Angels too. Angels and Giants go for it, though, and both have a need where he could probably play. He might be wasted in the outfield, though, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Giants were secretly in on Scherzer. Angels too actually. I’m going to guess the Nationals, who have the best assets.
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12:16 |
: Sexy talk about the Nationals.
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12:16 |
Tell Michael Salfino to stop being so hard headed. |
12:16 |
Interesting discussion with Salfino last night. You guys are totally right in using the % instead of the /ip. One question of his that I would like answered, how do you explain what (k%-bb%) means in one sentence. |
12:18 |
: A pitchers’ strikeout percentage minus his walk percentage? I’ve just been referring to it as strikeout minus walk percentage. Sometimes I get insular and we talk to each other and I forget about the big wild world, but that implies the denominator is batters faced. I could add as sentence like “Batters faced is a better judge of a pitchers’ true talent because innings can be extended by walks.” or something. Sometimes you just use a thing long enough and people get it. And all I’m trying to do is get it right.
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12:19 |
I shall purchase an alcoholic beverage in 5 hours. You have the option to decide which booze I will choose. |
12:19 |
: Need to know where you are.
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12:19 |
Why the negative tweets about Raines Vote total on Tuesday. He had a nice bump and is looking good for 2017 |
12:19 |
: Just nervous about the fact that he only has two years left. Yes, normally people with 50+% get in, but normally people had 15 years. He only gets ten.
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12:19 |
Eno when are you going to come to Washington to hang out at Driveline?! |
12:20 |
: For now I’m stuck in
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12:20 |
:
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12:20 |
: with two kids. Might get more travel in coming years though. BeerGraphs needs to give me a budget.
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12:20 |
Will we see 20 starts form Marco Gonzales in 2015? or will it have to be in another uniform for that to happen? |
12:21 |
: Comfortably sixth, but I’m a little nervous about Adam Wainwright’s health. He’s out of the Tommy John honeymoon window and he’s just had surgery. C-Mart’s platoon splits may end up torpedoing him, too, even though I love C-Mart.
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12:21 |
: He deserves a better nickname.
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12:22 |
Justin Upton’s move to Petco reduces his power potential. Would you rather have Jups or Y.Cespedes for 2015? |
12:23 |
: Cespedes also not in a *great* hitters park. If exact same price, I take Upton. He hits moon shots, I think he could do better than 23 projected homers. It’s really close on projections. But if price is vastly different — and it has been in drafts I’ve seen — then I’ll take Yoenis and the extra cash.
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12:23 |
Noticing a lot of Cardinals players (Wong, Carpenter, Molina, Adams) getting meh projections compared to where they’ll likely be drafted this year. Is this the Cardinals “clutch factor” at work? Everyone expects more R/RBI than can reasonably be projected? |
12:24 |
: The runs and RBI thing is interesting. Steamer’s consistently come up low for me. Carpenter, for instance. 126 runs, 99 last year, projected for 81. But it’s systematic, so if you start changing pieces, you’ll throw the whole thing off.
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12:24 |
Thoughts on the New England Brewery Co.’s Ghadi-Bot name fiasco? Think they will have to end up changing the name? I can’t cant a hold of it anywhere in CT right now. |
12:24 |
: Never had it. Would be a shame if they had to change, though, because it’s a top top beer.
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12:25 |
So I went and saw Mike Love and the Beach Boys last night and they had a special guest….none else but Uncle f’ing Jessie!! Stamos ran around the stag all night playing every instrument from guitar, drums, and bongos. Even sang a song called “Fovever” from Full House that Carl Wilson wrote. Im 30 but I felt like a kid all over again. |
12:25 |
: Pretty cool.
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12:26 |
How many $ do you value Le Mookie at for 2015? |
12:26 |
: Still nailing em down. $15-20 range for sure. Just have to figure out how many PA to give him.
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12:27 |
Boobies |
12:27 |
16 team dynasty league, Yan Gomes for Joc Pederson…who wins this trade? |
12:27 |
: One catcher? I’ll take Joc. Catchers fungible.
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12:27 |
Ill be in SF with 2 small kids for 3 days in March. Wheres the best part of town to stay to be able to get around, to kids stuff, and do beer stuff on my own. |
12:29 |
: Ooh tough one. SOMA has Cellarmaker and City Beer Store within blocks of each other, but not great for kids. I guess you could stay near downtown and the kids could do MoMA, the big movie/games center (Sony? I think that’s it), Yerba Buena, the waterfront. You could head to SOMA for those two. I can’t think of stuff for kids in the mission, which is all burritos and pho and cool shops with handmade hipstery stuff. Good beer there, though.
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12:29 |
Was that a generic “hi person” or is person just my real handle no matter what 😛 |
12:29 |
: I remember your humble beginnings.
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12:30 |
it’s weird to say, but as a braves fan i’m jealous of the padres’ offseason. isn’t kind of a crazy / possibly dumb plan to go for it more fun than rebuilding? especially seemingly dumb rebuilding. i want dumb fun moves, not dumb seemingly responsible moves. |
12:31 |
: Both changed GMs. One came in and said screw all these prospects, I’m trading them for win now while I find my own prospects. The other said screw all these players I’m going to trade them for young players I like. I will say, though, with offense down, I’ll take more offense on my team and find the pitching.
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12:31 |
At the top of the hour, start reading the bototm of the chatbox |
12:31 |
: Hey I used the legacy code. Is this still a problem?
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12:31 |
Have you had the chance to get to former Oriole closer Chris Ray’s brewery (Center of the Universe) just outside Richmond? It might be a chance for a FanGraphs/BeerGraphs fusion field trip. |
12:31 |
: I said some stupid snarky thing about Chris Ray and someone pointed that out and I felt bad because dude’s a person and he might have good beer.
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12:32 |
Eno: are you as big on Dickerson of the Rockies as Podz? Would you trade Cespedes for him in a keeper pts. league? (Low deduction for K’s, .8 for BB, neither has great numbers in this regard.) It seems like Cespedes’ best years are behind him and Dickerson’s are yet to come. And there’s that ridiculous ballpark too. Thanks. |
12:32 |
: Yeah I’d do that.
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12:32 |
Whats your favorite beer bar in SF? |
12:32 |
: City Beer Store. Because you can take some home with you, and the taps are awesome. But Toronado’s is classic, smells like a biker’s armpit, has great sausages next door, and a bigger tap list. Usually has Alpine Nelson too. so 1 and 1a.
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12:33 |
Can you please explain why writers voted for guys like Erstad, Percival, and Aaron Boone this year when the ballot was so loaded with talent? |
12:33 |
: They covered the dudes, I guess.
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12:33 |
IF Papelbon is moved will Giles close in PHIL? |
12:33 |
: Yeah I think so.
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12:33 |
I have an Uncle flying in from AZ next month. Any beers I should ask him to bring me (I love in CT) |
12:35 |
: not the biggest fan of AZ beers. If he can get a stout from Arizona Wildnerness… SanTan and Four Peaks are only okay to me, but he can find them. Maybe the Double Knot or Kilt Lifter from Four Peaks.
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12:36 |
WOOOweeeeee. I am exhausted from all this over use lately! Tell Cecil to relax. |
12:36 |
Zach Walters defense good enough for him to get enough time to hit 20HRs? |
12:37 |
: I doubt it, but he’s not listed on our depth chart at third base, and Lonnie Chisenhall has some give to him. Was Walters’ arm the problem with shortstop? If not, then he could play third and give Lonnie Chiz a run for his money.
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12:37 |
Do players with poor plate discipline hit better against the strongest pitchers? In particular, strong pitchers’ control advantages seem like they’d be neutralized by guys who swing at everything. Is this why the 2014 Orioles seemed to hit so well against other teams’ aces? |
12:38 |
: I’m not sure it’s that easy, but I will say this: I want my lineup to have both kinds in it. I want 50/50 Joey Vottos and Vlad Guerreros, not one of only each.
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12:38 |
I decided I should have at least one beer I can drink, just in case. After two goes, it appears to be just the basic Blue Moon. If that’s my choice, would a connoisseur like you–or perhaps a slightly meaner one–just tell me to give up? |
12:38 |
: Eh, it’s a wheat beer, has more taste than most Big Beer.
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12:38 |
Are Ryan Howard’s upside-down platoon splits last year just from increasing prevalance of shifts or is his performance vs RHP likely to regress to the mean in 2015? |
12:40 |
: Don’t stare too hard at one-year platoon splits. I know I mentioned them for Plouffe, but I did talk about components at least, which stabilize faster than outcomes. Howard still struck out 37% of the time against lefties last year.
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12:40 |
Better Cuban: Tomas or Castillo? |
12:40 |
: I’ll take Castillo. More athleticism.
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12:40 |
Need to keep either Calhoun, Starlin, or Samardzija and throw back the other two in a 15 team 5 x 5. Could keep for next 3 years without a round penalty. Please rank. |
12:41 |
: Nervous about Samardzija in an AL homer park, so he’s easy to throw back. I’ll take Calhoun over Castro.
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12:41 |
Keeping Miggy, Trout, Cutch for sure, but leave out one: Rizzo, Strasburg, or Puig? |
12:42 |
: Puig for me. More five-cat goodness, young, future bright.
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12:42 |
Buy or sell Lawrie this year…will the underlying talent finally breakout? |
12:42 |
: I’m buying mostly because his price has bottomed out.
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12:42 |
1 hour until lunch – pick a soup & sangweetch: Broccoli Cheddar, Chicken Noodle, Corn & Green Chile Bisque for soups…grilled chicken (tom. mozz) or roast beef (boursin cheese & roasted red peps) sangweetch? Free slice of bannana bread comes with the roast beef…. |
12:42 |
: Roast. Beast.
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12:42 |
I get very angry when looking at past Cy Young or MVPs and find out that the winner is not even the 3rd best candidate. What were voters doing back then? |
12:43 |
: things *have* gotten better. TEH WINNNNZZZ was usually the answer back then.
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12:43 |
Please tell my league mates that Chris Carter has SOME value in an OBP Dynasty. Or explain to me why he doesn’t. |
12:43 |
: He does. I’m just worried that his floor is vs LHP DH.
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12:43 |
: (He’s not good at the defense thing)
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12:43 |
In a forever keeper, who to leave out of: Gausman, tanaka, Carrasco, richards, Gio? |
12:44 |
: Gio vs Gaus. Gio I think. Looking old. Lots of curves.
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12:44 |
![]() Was it you who posted this 1-star review of O.co on yelp? |
12:44 |
: Oh that’s great.
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12:44 |
You should do an article on bad things happening to Mike Kickham and title it “Kickham while he’s down” |
12:44 |
I actually like most saisons. I guess I learned today that Eno likes to drink donkey butt… |
12:45 |
look at barry bonds career OFF and go ahead and laugh at his dominance. then take a look at his above .500 ISO in 2001 and be in complete awe. this is what just happened to me. |
12:45 |
Are there any unheralded prospects that you might not find on top 100 lists that you see having a big impact this year, e.g. Refsnyder before the Drew signing? |
12:46 |
: Kinda think Jace Peterson has a shot in Atlanta. They like his plate discipline, and the plan is to back up everywhere, but Callaspo, Johnson — that’s opportunity.
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12:46 |
Do you think Kiermaier can contribute as an every day player? |
12:46 |
: yes. I’d put him in center and do Souza/Jennings on the sides.
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12:47 |
Off the cuff, sonny gray is a top _____ pitcher in dynasty. |
12:47 |
: 30? 40?
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12:48 |
: Not many Ks, still doesn’t have a second non-fastball pitch I like, has had velocity ups and downs.
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12:49 |
Can you invert the chat? Reading upside down is weird. |
12:49 |
: HEY EVERYONE! REFRESH! Tell me if that worked.
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12:50 |
Nein. |
12:50 |
no dice |
12:50 |
: dammit I’ll change it back then.
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12:51 |
: I have choice between reverse and chronological. neither has worked now!
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12:52 |
Did you send your boss a baby gift yet? |
12:52 |
: Oh god is that a thing
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12:52 |
I was at an Giants game two years ago when Kickham came in to pitch, and this lady behind us screamed “KICKHAM!” about every 30 seconds the whole time he was in the game – so about 3 straight innings. |
12:52 |
: Probably related.
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12:52 |
how long does it take to *trust* platoon splits |
12:52 |
: It’s something like 1000 PA in the split.
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12:53 |
Some guy just asked about Diickerson or Cespedes and you said you would take Castillo ? |
12:53 |
: Is this because of the way the chat is flowing? I said Castillo over Tomas and Dickerson over Cespedes.
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12:53 |
What do you think of RAJs recent trades acquiring young arms? |
12:53 |
: I like Lively!
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12:53 |
I don’t get it, do you love mad dog, hate him, or both? |
12:53 |
: Hate him so bad. I just have to watch MLB network all the time.
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12:53 |
Arsenal Scores (or whatever the second version was called) eventually going to hopefully be on the leaderboards or just for fun? |
12:54 |
: I think it’s best used to identify sleepers before the draft. I don’t think it’ll have predictive value or really gets to the true talent of a guy as much as it uncovers small-sample pitchers or changes in pitching mix that we should watch out for. More of a spring / early summer roll out stat.
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12:55 |
What did Carrasco change to make everyone take his last 3 months over his rest of career? |
12:56 |
: Velocity went up from being in pen, finally got the results that were commensurate with his stuff. Still some risk that a) the velo goes back down and that’s more important than we thought and b) the command issues come back or are exacerbated by lower velocity. I probably won’t pay top price for him, even though I owned him many times last year.
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12:56 |
Is Smoltz at least more worthy of a the hall of fame than Glavine? Glavine’s career WAR was like 15 wins lower than Smoltz. |
12:56 |
: Yeah, and even from watching them, I take Smoltz over Glavine any day.
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12:56 |
Are HLD too random to predict? They correlate with IP and, like, nothing else. |
12:56 |
: yeah I wouldn’t bother. Use depth charts for that.
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12:56 |
This year, is Sano above or below the line where he should be kept in a long term keeper league where he starts at $1 and it goes up every year? |
12:56 |
: Above. I think he sees some time this year.
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12:56 |
You going to Phoenix this year? |
12:57 |
: yes. Hopefully not twice, but maybe. Probably early in the month.
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12:57 |
AZ Wilderness is fantastic and I go every year during ST, but I don’t think you can get to take home |
12:57 |
Eno, as a fellow Mets fan, what do you think of the Mets’ decision – at this juncture – to not acquire any SS to compete with Flores? Absent them making a move for Arreubarrena, or Miller or Taylor from the M’s, or Evereth Cab, it seems like the plan is (1) play Flores and (2) if Flores stinks and Tulo proves healthy, go after Tulo. And (3) if Tulo’s not available and Flores stinks, play Reynolds or Tejada? Is this basically the plan? |
12:57 |
: I think the plan is play Flores and hope that he hits a little and that he can become more of a centerpiece for Tulo trade than he is now. I hope that’s the plan. Because personally I don’t believe his glove works at short, and I’m a little skeptical of his bat as well.
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12:58 |
Man, I want to go to Bamberg right now and have some Schlenkerla. Can you dig it? |
12:58 |
: It’s too smoky for me. I only like my smoked beers cut with some sweet (like vanilla beans).
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12:58 |
Re SF. San Francisco is 7×7 with over 100 bus lines and 10 muni lines. Stay where you like. |
12:58 |
: Great point! Everything is a 15 dollar cab fare away.
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12:58 |
Eno. Eno. Eno. My Baez for his Carlos Correa in a keep forever dynasty league? |
12:58 |
: I’ll take Correa.
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12:58 |
You think Chris Taylor will be the man this year at SS for the Mariners? |
12:59 |
: Platoon with Miller, with Miller heading to the OF against lefties.
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12:59 |
Do you think Piazza got robbed yet again for the Hall? Would you have voted him amongst all the suspicions with Clemens, Bonds, etc? |
1:00 |
: I vote Clemens and Bonds in, but even if there’s a line to be drawn there, I think Piazza is on the other side of that line. Not keeping people out on suspicions, that’s Wrong with a capital W for me. And I don’t care if a writer you trust saw something. It was one thing, maybe, and who knows what he saw. He should have reported it if it was real.
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1:00 |
For 2015 only (and without a big long explanation of league rules), would you trade Andrelton Simmons for Hosmer or Roark? Or just hold on to Simmons? I could potentially keep them longer than just this next year. I know I’m not giving you much to go off here. |
1:00 |
: Trade Simmons. For Hosmer is fine.
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1:01 |
10 team AL Only League (Auction). I just was able to acquire Lorenzo Cain in a cost cutting move, do you see him as a potential breakout candidate? |
1:01 |
: He’s 28 and was healthy for the first time last year. I think you’re hoping he does the same thing again. Maybe a 15% chance he manages 600 PA and does a little better only by accruing more stats.
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1:01 |
Re: Lunch’s rebuilding question – As a Mets fan, I enjoy both the Padres’ crazy off-season and the Braves’ less-than-stellar one. |
1:02 |
Braves/Padres approaches: both have benefited the Nats |
1:02 |
What do you anticipate out of Kipnis this year? Top-5 at the position? |
1:03 |
: I think the projections are going to miss that Kipnis played hurt. Zimm found an effect here. So I’ll take the over on his projected power and give him .260/16/20 type numbers. Yeah I think that’s top five.
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1:03 |
Have you ever tried a beer brewed with savory ingredients? (beef bones, herbs, etc.) Any idea where to find anything like that in Northern CA? |
1:03 |
: Lot of Coriander and Salt combos. Try the Cascade Gose. It’s kind of amazing.
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1:04 |
Schnitzel or Jerk Chicken? |
1:04 |
: aw damn…. Jerk Chicken. But if you’d said Bratwurst
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1:04 |
Any guys that you’re predicting to make a big step forward this year? Someone like Rizzo did last year? |
1:04 |
: Need to look harder but Grandal comes to mind.
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1:04 |
Thoughts on life coaches? I only ask because the Mets just hired Rick Ankiel to be their “Life Skills Coordinator”! |
1:04 |
: Um what
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1:04 |
im about to move from NYC to boston this weekend (permanently). any craft brew stores anyone recommend? ill be living in the north end and was pretty spoiled living a block away from Pony Bar in nyc |
1:05 |
: Well you’ll get more Jack’s Abby which is great
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1:05 |
Do you think the Marlins will trade Haren? How would he do as a Marlin? |
1:05 |
: I wonder if they don’t come to a number and he walks away. Or they convince him to pitch the first half of the season, see how the team is doing, and then trade him for peanuts if the season is no good
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1:06 |
Scherzer has only had 2 excellent seasons, is he a little overrated? Expecting 7 more years of dominance is a little naive, no? |
1:06 |
: By peripherals, he’s had three excellent seasons, three above-average. I’d pay him for similar going forward.
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1:06 |
I think when all this is over, me and arsenal score should get an apartment together. Seriously though, love the work with arsenal score and please do more with it moving forward. |
1:06 |
obligatory let eno choose what i get at pony bar tonight. thinking Short weisse http://ues.theponybar.com/ |
1:07 |
: The Weiss yes but what is that Cigar City and the Brooklyn Cuvee interests me too.
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1:07 |
Giants could offer Susac and Crick….that’s good enough though, right? Ugggh why can’t we just have a Zobrist/J. Zimmerman/Betts three way trade? |
1:07 |
: It is but I think the Giants really like Susac. I think they’d part with Crick though.
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1:07 |
How does Grandal stand out to you? New lineup? Better park? |
1:08 |
: The Mesoraco plan. Better power in the minors than he’s shown in bigs, took some time to establish as a catcher, has shown okay peripherals but there’s room for growth in power.
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1:08 |
@CecilFieldersButtPlug try NightShift out of Everett. Great local metro Boston outfit! unique brews! great brewry w bar & food trucks! |
1:08 |
You don’t like Sonny Gray’s sexy curve? |
1:08 |
: No, it’s a great pitch. And the slider/cutter thing might be enough. Just wondering what will happen as the velocity fritters away.
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1:08 |
Brian Dozier’s 2014: huge fluke or only a little fluke? |
1:09 |
: I’d call it peak vs fluke. He’s been very similar for two years now. Maybe the power steps back a bit, but not much.
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1:09 |
If you could choose your draft slot this year, in a serpentine draft, what spot would you want? |
1:09 |
: 1 and 12.
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1:09 |
Nick Franklin gonna start the year in TB? |
1:09 |
: After Zobrist trade, yes.
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1:09 |
Giants fan thinking outside the box. What would it take to pry Cliff Lee away from the Phillies? Risky move because of age/injury and contract, but he has recently put up high WAR years i suspect Philly wants to wait and prove he is healthy to up their price. |
1:10 |
: See I like that, and they have history trading with each other.
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1:10 |
Believe in Salazar this year or another roller coaster ride? |
1:11 |
: I think he’ll always have homer issues (iffy command up in the zone) and now he’s supposedly fighting for a rotation spot with House, but the K% means you have to like him on some level.
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1:11 |
Unit going in as a D-Back? |
1:11 |
: yeah I think so. They just hired him too.
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1:12 |
Latos 2015 post injury sleeper? Top 30 potential? |
1:13 |
http://www.couchmanagers.co… so you don’t have to pay like he has that potential. (shh he’s on my queue though)
: he’s still on the board at pick 146 |
1:13 |
I was at a Cubs- Cardinals game at Busch Stadium during the height of the McGwire-Sosa war. This dude from Chicago was there with his dad. Throughout the game, the dude yelled, “Sammay! Sammay So-sa!” as loud as he could. He had a sign he made and wanted to get on ESPN. He stood next to his dad and held the sign over the railing, then dropped the sign, yelled, “my sign,” and reached down like he was going to jump down and get it. His dad yelled, “Junior, no,” and grabbed Junior by the belt. Saved his son’s life. Weirdest thing I ever saw. |
1:14 |
: One man interlude.
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1:14 |
:
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1:14 |
what do you think Petit’s role will be this season? |
1:15 |
: He could beat out Lincecum in the spring, but I was interested to see recently that his third time through the order stats are much worse than league average. Might be the deception plays better in short doses.
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1:15 |
Assuming they could get him essentially free (i.e. Philadelphia sending 95% of his remaining salary and getting a bag of balls in return) does Ryan Howard to the O’s make sense? Delmon Young + Howard could be a potent DH platoon. |
1:15 |
: Yeah AL teams could get some value out of him if Phillies swallow money. Young/Howard would be… amazing.
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1:15 |
what % of your article ideas come from sitting on the toilet? |
1:15 |
: Shower.
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1:16 |
Would you go into a draft and pick SP based only on K%-BB%? |
1:17 |
: No not at all. I don’t use it in drafts. I use it in the early season. It’s the best *in-season* estimator. Season to season, I’d rather use components, stuff.
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1:17 |
Most polarizing bat in fantasy drafts this season… |
1:17 |
: Bryce Harper?
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1:17 |
Who would be your biggest targets in an auction format draft? |
1:18 |
: I never end up with the top top guys because they cost so much. So I’ll probably have two second rounders like I usually do. Donaldson/Puig would make me happy. Rizzo/Rendon.
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1:18 |
I asked a few weeks ago about beer progression for holiday dinner. Went with an IPL (Hopnius Union to start) Double Stout for dinner (Goose Island- Bourbon County Brand Stout) and ended with a Sculpin IPA. All highly rathed but the GI-BCBS was WAAAAAY too much for me. It’s a meal by itself. Disappointing…. but thank you for the great advice. |
1:19 |
: I bet you that was an awesome dinner.
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1:19 |
Ankiel to be Nats (not Mets) minor league life skills coordinator. Can you believe he’s only 35? |
1:19 |
: Well I guess he showed real gumption in coming back like he did.
|
1:19 |
: Two careers before he turned 35.
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1:20 |
Are there any differences in handedness splits with BABIP? Or is it noise regardless of L/R? |
1:20 |
: BABIP takes forever to stabilize, so chopped in half, it’s worse.
|
1:20 |
Now that Hall of Famers have been announced, is there anything to look forward to in baseball between now and pitchers/catchers reporting? |
1:20 |
: Still some moves left.
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1:20 |
How close are Jansen, Doolittle and Allen in fantasy value this season? |
1:21 |
: I’ll put Jansen and Doolittle on the same tier, not Allen though.
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1:21 |
$100 cap 5×5 who would you rather have $11 Encarnacion or $3 Springer? |
1:21 |
: 5×5? Edwin. Springer a lock if it was OBP.
|
1:21 |
Re: most polzrizing bat. Braun. |
1:21 |
: yeah that too
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1:22 |
about 8-9 hours from Archer season 6. who’s ready? |
1:22 |
: ooh thanks for the reminder
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1:22 |
Happy New Year!! 12 team roto dynasty league. Donaldson and Cole for my Darvish and D. Gordon. 3B are ARam and Lawrie. 2B are Lawrie, Utley, Dozier, and Baez. Gordon made up about 65% of my SB’s. Accept? Thanks. |
1:24 |
: Damn I like the incoming parts better than your parts. (dirty). I wonder if you couldn’t trade Baez for someone like Hamilton/Gordon if there’s a team that has some speed but is more rebuilding. Baez/Utley might even make a competitive team take notice. Lawrie/Dozier is fine at second base IMO.
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1:24 |
Does Biggio get in the HoF a year earlier if he gets hit by 3 more pitches in his career and has the all time record? |
1:25 |
: the Hall of Fame makes us do ridiculous things. Like I was arguing on my Smoltz piece that his case as a full-time reliever might have been better than his case as a starter, mostly because of saves. Saves! Not that I think they matter, but they matter to the voting.
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1:25 |
: So: maybe.
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1:25 |
Thoughts on a $29 Kipnis and $10 Rosario? Ottoneu 5×5 with $400 budget. I have a $6 Grandal as well at catcher. Thanks |
1:25 |
: I like Kipnis, but that’s very borderline. I’d be shopping Rosario hard.
|
1:26 |
Is there a way to conduct a study on say how many teams that drafted Trout won their fantasy league? |
1:26 |
: We could do it in ottoneu, but it’s not fair because it’s a dynasty. Problem is getting the data.
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1:26 |
Who are some of your favorite pitchers to target this season? |
1:28 |
: Wood, Stroman, Richards, deGrom, Paxton, Hutchison, Hahn, Greene, Chase Anderson.
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1:28 |
Who do you like from Kipnis, Wong, Alcantara and Walker? |
1:28 |
: Kipnis. Walker. Wong only if he’s super cheap.
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1:29 |
Maybe they aren’t in it for the money (which can’t be true), but why doesn’t a beer like Heady Topper have a national distribution or at least a larger one? |
1:30 |
: to some extent, being small has benefits. For one, you can control the quality better. For two, you get hype factor and people come to your brewpub from miles away. For three, you own your own company outright and don’t have to take investors to increase expansion. Alpine shows the problem with this, though. They were the first Nelson beer, they could have flooded the market with it. Instead they focused on owning their own brand. Now they got bought by Green Flash.
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1:31 |
HEY ENO, YOU SHOULD COME ON MY SHOW. WE CAN YELL ABOUT PITCHER WINS AND SABERMETRICS!! |
1:31 |
Could Chris Davis lose plate appearances due to the continued terrible K rate? |
1:31 |
: Christian Walker is close, it’s possible. I think they give him this year, they might sink or swim based on his production since they lost some punch.
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1:32 |
: Okay everyone! I have to go! Thanks for chatting!
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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
How would you rank Wong, Alcantara, and Segura for a MI spot this year?
no!
Wang, Alejandro, Seguira