Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 2/5/15

10:46
Eno Sarris: be here soon. feeling like some hip hop today

10:46
{“author”:”uNiqueTaMere”}:

12:00
Comment From Guest
Missy Elliot owned that halftime show y/y

12:01
Eno Sarris: Well my boy was mesmerized by Katy Perry and the sharks and lions but yeah Missy did pretty well.

12:02
Comment From Cronut Burger
Does Hamilton’s injury equate to an uptick in CJ Cron’s fantasy value? Given the current power drought, is he worth gambling more than a few bucks at the auction?

12:02
Eno Sarris: I think he’ll basically full time DH to begin the season, and if you value him at like .260/15 I think you’ll own him and there’s a little upside left.

12:02
Comment From Guest
Where in New York are you from, and did you know the Beastie Boys personally if so

12:03
Eno Sarris: a) not that old b) only lived in the city for seven years

12:03
Comment From American League Hustle
Greetings, Eno! I’m in dire need of your opinion, so I hope you will indulge me. I’ve been in an AL-only league for the past decade, and a few of my league mates are pushing to make a major change this year. They would like to abolish the farm, in hopes of expanding the available player pool. Just wondering what your thoughts are on the proposed change, and if you’re for or against making major changes like this to a league in general. Thanks so much.

12:04
Eno Sarris: I find farms problematic at times. If you have a 50 IP/ 150 PA rule for when they lose protectability as an asset, you’ll find you just lose most of the prospects you groom until they come into the league. Rare is the prospect that is both good and good right away. If you add a couple keeper slots, you can keep minor leaguers in there anyway.

12:04
Comment From Phillies113
re: Budweiser’s Super Bowl ad attacking craft beers. Why would a bottled water company launch such an ad?

12:05
Eno Sarris: My theory was that it was a ‘rallying the base’ political ad designed to inject meaning into the purchase of a Budweiser.

12:05
Comment From Tony G.
I’ve read a number of articles raving that Jake Odorizzi will have a major breakout in 2015, and then a few saying the exact opposite. Where do you side in this debate?

12:06
Eno Sarris: His slider sucks. Fastball/splitchange without Gausman’s velocity… that doesn’t excite me. But! His curve is one of the slowest in the game and it drops a ton. If he used it more, for grounders, he might indeed have a full arsenal. You know me, I rarely speak in black and white terms, it might be infuriating. But I’ll say this: I’ll pay *sleeper* prices for Odorizzi. Not *proven guy* prices. and the more he’s talked up as a sleeper the more likely he won’t go for sleeper prices.

12:06
Comment From Vslyke
What’s your take on Shelby Miller? His name seems to pop up in a lot of your articles.

12:07
Eno Sarris: Dude had a bottom ten curve AND change last year. But sequencing and arsenal effects mean, to me, if he can command the fastball, particularly the high fastball, he can get the curve back and pair it with a decent cutter to be Richards-esque. I kept him at $7 in an ottoneu league, and will buy him at sp4/5 prices.

12:07
Comment From Hot Corner
How deep is the 3B fantasy pool this year? I have Plouffe at $8 in both my mixed and AL-only leagues, and trying to figure out if he’s worth keeping?

12:08
Eno Sarris: It’s pretty deep. I have him as the 13th-best AL 3B by unmolested Steamer, behind Moustakas, so probably not a great keeper.

12:09
Comment From AA
I need an Adult!!! I need to select one more keeper and I can’t choose between Cano, Altuve or Joey Bats. I want to go with Altuve, but regression has to happen. What is your opinion?

12:10
Eno Sarris: Steamer z-score says Bautista, youth says Altuve. Might depend on how your team shakes for power vs speed. I think Altuve can still steal 35-40 even with the steep quality of the SB aging curve.

12:10
Comment From Guest
When you were in elementary schools were there other children with your name such that you were Eno S. and the other child was Eno K. or did you never experience this identity-confounding experience

12:10
Eno Sarris: I have never met another Eno. I’ve heard of one and of course I was named after Brian Eno, but I’ve never actually met another Eno.

12:11
Eno Sarris: Interestingly, though, I did not pass that experience on to my sons, Felix and Calvin. I wanted them to have different names, and their middle names are a little weirder maybe, but there were plenty of times I wanted a normal name as a kid.

12:11
Comment From Saves Vulture
I’m trying to target a few American League relievers that could go at my auction for $1, yet end up providing much more value. Excluding the obvious guys like Davis and Miller, are guys like Farquhar, Duke and Joe Smith where I should be focusing?

12:13
Eno Sarris: Love Farq. Scanning the depth charts, also Scheppers, Fujikawa, Boxberger, Jepsen, Rondon, Ryan Cook, Casey Fien, all the Astros guys

12:13
Comment From Texas Dolly
Most likely to close in Texas if Feliz falters, Fujikawa or Scheppers?

12:14
Eno Sarris: Assuming full health for both I’m still taking Scheppers. Velocity is there, safe guy.

12:14
Comment From DC
So… turning my attention back to baseball now that football is done. Where do I start?

12:14
Eno Sarris: Depth charts.

12:14
Comment From ROY
Top 5 rookies you’re most excited to watch this season?

12:15
Eno Sarris: 1) Jorge Soler. 2) Jorge Soler. 3) Jorge Soler. 4) Jorge Soler. 5) Jorge Soler.

12:17
Eno Sarris: Okay obviously I want to see Bryant but his Ks make me nervous. I think we’ll see some Sano and I just like watching him after that movie. I love love Addison Russel and think Corey Seager can be a shortstop for a while, so those guys too. Pitchers I want to see include Rodon, Owens, Syndergaard.

12:17
Comment From Low and Outside
If John Farrell decides to go into the season with Victorino in the starting lineup, would Betts or Castillo be more likely to sit? And what is the likelihood he actually does that?

12:18
Eno Sarris: I don’t think he does that considering Victorino’s splits against righties, which are backed up by a on-again-off-again switch hitting approach. Meaning, we’re not sure he can hit righties any more. Or that his back will hold up to everyday use. But I’ll have to admit that, given age and money, they probably sit Betts.

12:18
Eno Sarris: (or demote for a while)

12:18
Comment From Mort
Thoughts on Rougned Odor and Jose Ramirez (CLE) this year in an OBP leage? That Odor ZIPS projection has me re-thinking my stance…

12:19
Eno Sarris: I like Odor a lot. In an OBP league, he’s worse, obviously. But I still take him. Pitchers were afraid of him in the second half.

12:19
Comment From DC
Is Ryan Braun really no longer a first rounder?

12:20
Eno Sarris: Your best Braun projection doesn’t have the power or speed it used to, which means it can’t hang with the first round outfielders. Is he better than Adam Jones?

12:20
Comment From Becktacular
What are your thoughts on Corey Dickerson? Does he get enough playing time to be elite? Is he Adam Jones with a lower ceiling and a higher floor?

12:20
Eno Sarris: Yeah I think he won’t be platooned and some of his rate stats will go down but the counting stats will go up.

12:20
Comment From Jon
Right now chilling in my fridge I have Troegs Nugget Nectar, Bell’s Hopslam, and Six Point High Res. LOVE this time of year.

12:20
Eno Sarris: dang boi

12:20
Comment From Matt
Eno, regarding Mike Fiers, how would he compare to a Shaun Marcum type especially if he continues to use the cutter more? no velocity, but good secondary stuff

12:20
Eno Sarris: Yeah I guess so but wasn’t Marcum all about that change?

12:20
Comment From Willis
Are you a Jason Kipnis believer?

12:21
Eno Sarris: Yes I think he’s underprojected in the power department because he played through an injury.

12:21
Comment From Goat
On a 1 to 10 scale how scared are you for Yu this year?

12:22
Eno Sarris: Maybe a six. So many bad markers: BB%, Zone%, Slider%, previous injury. Could be higher even if he wasn’t youngish still and hadn’t managed okay IP totals recently.

12:22
Comment From LudeBurger
welcome to LudeBurger, home of the LudeBurger, may I take your order?

12:22
Comment From Willis
AND HELL YEAH BEASTIE BOYS

12:22
Comment From J
I like that Sporer guy on the podcast.

12:22
Eno Sarris: love lude

12:22
Comment From Guest
I used to hesitate buying beer online, because of the shipping. But trading is just buying beers online, except your paying in beer and buying from a non-merchant (and ultimately engaging in a riskier activity). Buying beers online is cool.

12:22
Eno Sarris: Except that usually you strike up some interesting cross country friendships with the trading.

12:22
Comment From Duke in Telluride
Who puts it together this year, AWebster or Jacob Turner?

12:23
Eno Sarris: I lean Webster, more opportunity, better signature pitch (the change vs… the curve?)

12:23
Comment From Guest
A reasonable expectation for Kris Bryant’s BABIP in 2015 is _______________. In 2017 is ___________________.

12:23
Eno Sarris: .300. .300? I’m not giving a guy high BABIPS because of minor league BABIPS.

12:23
Comment From Guest
How do you feel about getting pretty extreme with waiting on pitching in a deeper league? I did a 15 team NFBC style mock draft and found that towards the end of the draft I still saw pitching value on the board with little offensive talent left. And the consensus was that pitching was going earlier than expected.

12:24
Eno Sarris: I like to keep my toe in the water by buying a number two that could still be a number one, but yeah, I see pitching everywhere.

12:24
Comment From Frankie Fast Hands
Does Cody Asche get enough playing time between 3B and OF to be draftable in deep/NL-only leagues?

12:24
Eno Sarris: I held on to him in a 20-team 28-keeper mixed league. People liked his hit tool. That team needs help everywhere.

12:24
Comment From Alex
the mets are the 5th favorites to win the NL! (nats, dodgers, cardinals, cubs, and then mets/giants tied) … how?! is this real life? the 79 win team added an old, oft-injured, OF and a sub-par platoon player… whats up with that?

12:24
Eno Sarris: Their young pitching got closer/healthier.

12:25
Comment From Frankie Fast Hands
Are you buying Lorenzo Cain this year? Very high BABIP last year, but also might be hitting third this year.

12:25
Eno Sarris: Not really. Age and injury history (never topped 600 PA) make him really iffy to me.

12:25
Comment From Curtis
20 Years from now…what stat will replace “300 Wins” as perhaps the most significant lifetime achievement for a pitcher? (other than WAR?)

12:26
Eno Sarris: Strikeouts perhaps. Rates are going up, so new pitchers can hang with old pitchers by getting more in fewer innings.

12:27
{“author”:”SupportTheArtists”}:

12:27
Comment From Guest
Jeff’s findings re: opposition quality are very interesting. Any thoughts on why it wouldn’t have an effect?

12:28
Eno Sarris: We have something in FG+ that shows something sort of similar from the hitting side. What’s interesting to me is that teams may yet employ analysis like this: we think it’s tiny, but when you have to win, maybe all tiny slivers are looked at. Also: once you zoom out on baseball like that, all sorts of things disappear.

12:28
Comment From Seymour
Hey, no reason to want any of that Shake Shack stock, eh?

12:28
Comment From Guest
Cronut burger = a more amazing luther, I’m on it I’m on it

12:29
Comment From Marvelous Beastie Berry
My boss’ wife knits with a Mrs. Beastie Boy

12:29
Eno Sarris: huh

12:29
Comment From Marty
Nice piece on curves for JABO. Why do you think Waino and Kershaw did not appear on any lists?

12:30
Eno Sarris: They were in the 16-25 list, so they where there. Also, curves get a lot of called strikes (swing rate is super low), so maybe I have to put that in.

12:30
Comment From Shawn
Who are your fantasy kryptonite playeys- guys you just can’t quit?

12:30
Eno Sarris: I bought Brett Lawrie in a couple leagues this year…

12:30
Comment From Seymour
You think there will be some more pitching jockeying – Shields, Hamels, Gee, others..?

12:31
Eno Sarris: There are a few moves left in the hot stove, yeah. Kinda thinking no on Hamels though. Every rumor is _ team doesn’t want to give up _ top prospect, which means to me that Philly doesn’t want to put any money in the deal, which means that, yeah, he’s not going to get a huge return because he’s paid too near his value.

12:31
Comment From ar
what’s the best way to adjust auction values for keepers? (in this particular league, you can keep guys for 1 year…it’s a snake draft, but obviously more useful to think of guys in terms of dollars.)

12:32
Eno Sarris: Can’t you just take the keepers out of the pool and then decide replacement level based on how many of each position are needed? So if it’s a 12-team league and four third basemen are kept, call RL like 8th or 12 if with CI spot.

12:33
Comment From not minnix
will danny Santana (twins) have positive mixed league value this year?

12:34
Eno Sarris: I think a ton of regression is coming for him, but even at .260/7/25… that looks like an MI for me. Just don’t pay starting prices in a mixed league. Which his old batting average may mean you have to. Which means he’s probably not a great target.

12:34
Comment From Larry A
Will you be going to the “Grateful Dead” 50th anniversary concert in Chicago in July?

12:34
Eno Sarris: If I can somehow mush it into my annual Pitchfork travel, maybe.

12:35
Comment From not minnix
do you have any hope for trevor bauer this year to take a big step forward?

12:35
Eno Sarris: We talked on twitter about his change and he admitted he’s not quite there on it. I think he could improve his non-breaker non-fastball offerings, but even without he’s pretty good. I do like him.

12:36
Comment From Guest
Could rookie pitchers like Thor or Jon Gray be a nice very late flier on draft day? They could be up in late April/Early May, right?

12:36
Eno Sarris: Only on your bench, and only one. And only the one you think might break camp with the team. Which isn’t Thor, probably.

12:36
Comment From Guest
What’s a good valentine’s date, considering that all the fancy restaurants have been booked for ages and I’m poor

12:37
Eno Sarris: Something that resembles a hand made card. Like cook him/her dinner with a nice bottle of wine and a movie on reserve, or if you in good weather, a rooftop/picnic somewhere.

12:39
Eno Sarris: WHO DID IT BETTER

12:39
{“author”:”AndeyPewpew”}:

12:39
{“author”:”stephen collier Splish”}:

12:39
Eno Sarris: (I love em both)

12:40
Comment From Chris
Hey Eno – last week I asked you if I should trade a Bauer or Gausman-type for a Moncada-type. You suggested it was worth the risk to go for the bat (especially considering the ceilings of the pitchers). I ended up moving Gausman for Tyler Glasnow and Aaron Judge (keep forever – 14 team) – How did I do?

12:41
Eno Sarris: Judge will tap into that power, I’m guessing. And Glasnow is a decent step back find. He went in the first round of the BP prospect draft.

12:41
Comment From L. Scott
Where do you have Yasmany Tomas on your 3B list and what’s his ceiling in your opinion?

12:41
Eno Sarris: Oh man I’m not in on this guy. Screams Viciedo to me.

12:41
Eno Sarris: Wait where’d the question go? Dude was asking about Yasmany Tomas.

12:41
Comment From Yo
Should fantasy replacement level be 2-3 players beyond the # of players used in a roster lineup? As in, a in 12 person league w/ 1B, 2B, 3B, SS, the replacement level would be #14 or so?

12:42
Eno Sarris: Traditionally we focus on what would be drafted. So usually just starting slots where they eligible plus some % of UTIL. So for 1Bs, they usually dominate CI and UT, so probably something like 22 for a 12-teamer.

12:43
Comment From Charles
Is Chris Tillman unique in the fact that whenever I look at busy with good velocity and movement on his pitches, he comes up, but the results are dissappointing. I mean his curveball has silly movement and is below average. The fastballs has nice rise.

12:43
Eno Sarris: Called strikes on the curve again, I think. And some popups on the fastball, but not a ton.

12:43
Comment From Guest
does Cistulli always look like that

12:43
Eno Sarris: Well not usually with a tie.

12:43
Comment From not minnix
do you like hammocks? ENO is the original parachute hammock creator. We craft all our hammocks and accessories to the highest quality in the industry

12:43
Eno Sarris: Oh yeah man. Got one of those downstairs!

12:44
Comment From Jasper
Hey Eno! Do think Kolten Wong can go 15/30 this season?

12:45
Eno Sarris: Yeah he showed up as a player pitchers were avoiding in the second half, he’s got that big leg kick, I think he’ll outperform his power projections. And he stole 20 in 433 at 24… so yeah he can. Don’t pay like he will, but he can.

12:45
Comment From Yo
Shields/Cubs for 4/75. Yes/No/Eh why not I guess?

12:46
Eno Sarris: Not bad. I was thinking Padres because it seemed like they haven’t made in a move in forever. Yankees?

12:46
Comment From Charles
In regards to the Tillman question, if we could find correlation between pitch velocity and movement and results. Could we use that to find sleepers that might just have a mechanical problem or a sequencing problem?

12:46
Eno Sarris: Uh, yeah google my name and Fox and What Makes a Good Curve.

12:46
Comment From Maxamuz
I researched your name and came up with the following results: There is roughly 1599 people in the United States that share the first name of, “Eno”. That equates to a very tiny percentage of people named Eno that I don’t feel like doing the math to.

12:47
Eno Sarris: WHAT 1598 OTHER ENOs I’M SHATTERED

12:47
Comment From @outfieldgrass24
Habanero Sculpin: just too hot to be enjoyable or a valuable experience? FYI, comparing all the Sculps in my next BeerGraphs piece. Love you, XOXO.

12:47
Eno Sarris: I don’t dig it. Even the grapefruit is so sweet for me, but I’ll dig on that way more than the Sculpin. I’ve had two chile beers I liked. One from NC I forget, and Prairie BOMB which has a tiny bit in it.

12:47
Comment From Guest

The other day I had barrel-aged coffee, I also like barrel-aged beer. My only remaining hobby to put in barrels: baseball. Barrel-age the balls themselves? Wear these outfits? Something else entirely?

12:48
Comment From Art Vandelay
Every year I try and do the no starter ’til late rounds thing, and every year there’s a run on pitchers and I panic and grab one. What round do you normally target your first pitcher?

12:48
Eno Sarris: I try to get my first around rounds 5-7, and my second soon after. I think the top 25 is a tier, generally, and I want two out of it, even if it’s numbers 18 and 22.

12:48
Comment From Mark
David Hale is a guy you’ve liked this offseason. How much does that change with the move to Coors?

12:49
Eno Sarris: Well part of the reason I liked him was his curve and curves don’t do well there so yeah, he’s really really really low on my list.

12:49
Comment From Shawn
IPA, Ginger Beer, and fresh lime juice together- delicous

12:49
Eno Sarris: Beer Cocktail!

12:50
Comment From Ryguy
Do you use a particular draft software, esp for fast paced auctions like tout wars….or just manage to get by with excel spreadsheets?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Excel, sometimes paper and pen

12:50
Comment From Andy
Top tier pitchers usually go for about $25 in our league. Do I keep Lester for $14, or Dickerson for $7?

12:50
Eno Sarris: Dickerson

12:50
Comment From Mark
What do you make of Anthony DeSclafani with the Reds? Looks like he’ll crack the rotation, but is he just a reliever long term?

12:51
Eno Sarris: Actually like him a lot. Change actually has a lot of drop and fade. Slider’s good. Good velocity. Good command.

12:51
Comment From RotoLando
Are buying in on Jung Ho Kang at all this year?

12:52
Eno Sarris: Yes. Buy Fg+ to know why. But oh hell yes. (Don’t go spending $15 on him like y’all did with Lucas Duda and get all mad at me, but I love love a Kang/Owings or Kang/Bogaerts plan at short.)

12:52
Comment From Art Vandelay
I planned on watching Ballplayer: Pelotero this weekend while the North Bay gets pounded with rain. You’re saying it’s good, then? Will it sate my thirst for baseball for a couple weeks? In the spirit of full disclosure I will say I am also a Twins fan.

12:52
Eno Sarris: Yes watch it, you may get mad. If you want to continue getting mad, watch Sugar. That’ll cure you of baseball for a couple weeks, in a weird way.

12:53
Comment From Clark D
Marcus Semien – a top 10-15 fantasy SS this year? Can you pick a couple SS that you would expect to produce similar fantasy value to Semien?

12:53
Eno Sarris: In batting average leagues, I’ll put him at the bottom of the top 15. In OBP, he can hang a bit with the guys I was just talking about.

12:54
Comment From Miami
Vote 4 Eno y’all

12:54
12:54
Comment From Maxamuz

Another possible fantasy team name: Wyld Stallyns

12:54
Comment From Jim
Puig going over 6 WAR this year?

12:54
Eno Sarris: dude’s 24. Yes!

12:54
Comment From Art Vandelay
With Younger launching…tomorrow?! damn! Do you ever think you’ll go through the whole ordeal again? I tried it last year and I just don’t think I want to mess with it again.

12:55
Eno Sarris: Last year was bad. I’ll go when it’s not timed right around SF Beer Week. Too many people come to the bay area for both right now. I went before they were the same week, on a Tuesday, and waited three hours. Was great.

12:55
Comment From Willis
You like Joey Votto for a bounce back? And do you think he has a profile that will age well?

12:56
Eno Sarris: In terms of real-life value, yes. Even when not hitting, he’s walking. He’s super smart so he’ll get most of his abilities. Hope he’s not injury prone, not ready to count him out. I think he’ll have some more great years.

12:56
Comment From Clark D
What do you expect from Tanaka? Where would you feel comfortable drafting him?

12:56
Eno Sarris: totally stymied. I wouldn’t draft him at all if Wainwright hadn’t managed a few seasons before he went under the knife in a similar situation.

12:58
Comment From earls ghost
HI Enos: sorry for the mistake. George Springer for Dylan Bundy and Gregory Polanco. Slugger’s points league–very small deduction for K by batters. Can only keep 12. I’m not sure that Bundy can help me very much this year. Make the deal?

12:58
Eno Sarris: Yeah as much as I love Polanco, Springer has much more upside and if Bundy is your 13th man, don’t even worry about it.

12:58
Comment From RD
NL-only keeper question: Rosenthal 17 or Joaquin Benoit 12? Or either over Kolten Wong 14?

12:58
Eno Sarris: Wong.

12:58
Comment From Maxamuz

It happened Eno. Try to remember.

12:58
Eno Sarris: Allright allright

12:59
Comment From Clark D
Eno, being a west coast guy, have you been able to try Heady Topper?

12:59
Eno Sarris: someone sent it to me and I liked it, but it’s not atop my personal leaderboard

1:00
{“author”:”PsyZv”}:

1:00
Comment From Kris
all about that change about that change no cutter

1:00
Comment From RotoLando
Whatever happened to Naughty by Nature?

1:00
Comment From jocephus

1:00
Eno Sarris: wut

1:00
Comment From Mike
Is Calvin named after Cal?

1:00
Eno Sarris: Neither is named after a baseball player! And my wife and I are Stanford grads, so maybe I just want Cal to take the mound for Stanford.

1:01
Comment From Joe
Could you describe your process when evaluating top SP breakout candidates? I would guess it would be something like this: start with a list of elite changeups, then see what other offerings pair with it. Is that right? I could look at good per pitch numbers but I have no idea how many good pitches is enough (3?) and how that would translate to performance…

1:01
Eno Sarris: I want three pitches. One can be average, two can be breaking balls, but I want three. I’ll do up a final Arsenal Score thing soon!

1:01
Comment From SF BeerWeek Meetup???
Let’s have one.

1:02
Eno Sarris: I’m up for the Gala tomorrow, but not sure how many other hall passes I have. Maybe I can make one happen next week.

1:02
Comment From Clay
Soler Projection for 2015??

1:03
Eno Sarris: .275/.340 with 28 bombs.

1:03
Comment From jake
Does Alejandro de aza see full-time playing time in left?

1:04
Eno Sarris: 2/3 because he’s not great against lefties. At least you have to bake in that chance and go no higher than 500 PA.

1:04
Comment From Guest
are you into craft cheese

1:04
Comment From Guest
not kraft cheese

1:04
Comment From biggs darklighter
Eno the force is with you. I got a big tourney this weekend. Do I cave and run to the metagame or try to beat the mega with somethin that appears to be a sub-optimal build. I’m thinking wedge antilles, Jake farrell, and luke

1:05
Eno Sarris: Don’t ZIG not to ZAG, but zig on certain players when people zagging. Think: We may have soured too much on Michael Bourn and Michael Moustakas but you don’t make a plan out of that.

1:05
Comment From jeff
My league has 6 keepers and I’ve done a solid job turning mid-rounders into keepers the next year. I’ll have Goldy Abreu Rendon Gomez Kershaw and Bumgarner this year. What should I look for in my first few draft picks?

1:06
Eno Sarris: If rounds are attached to keepers, I often use the first rounds as rentals. Just get some one-year pitchers. If they aren’t, but you’ve shown this aptitude in the past, just get some veterans at the top. Go for value, then take a shot on a keeper later.

1:06
Comment From soxdog
How many non-pros play in 20-team 28-keeper leagues? And what is that, 40-man rosters?

1:07
Eno Sarris: Well uh yeah that league is full of pros but I wanted to give context to my like of Asche. People play in NL-only keepers, right? Scoresheet, you keep 13 players, Asche might be a keeper on a rebuilding team.

1:07
Comment From Bubba Starling
When do positional rankings start to come out?

1:07
Eno Sarris: Very soon.

1:07
Comment From Joe
I like Sporer because he will correct your name mispronunciations…

1:07
Eno Sarris: Dude’s got spunk.

1:08
Comment From Dr. Met
long time no chat! so let’s do an easy one. If Sandy were to butcher your name, what would he call you?

1:08
Eno Sarris: ENNO SAURUS

1:08
Comment From FrostedFlaker
Is this the year Sid Bream finally makes a comeback??

1:08
Eno Sarris: He’s still rounding third.

1:08
Comment From Guest
Are you a bit optimistic that Eovaldi threw the change a bit more late last season to excellent results? He threw it 13% of the time in August and September averaging 45% Whiffs/Swing. Small sample size, but it could be big if he develops a good curveball helping him change speeds.

1:09
Eno Sarris: I’ll take a chance on him super late based on velocity and just say the curve and the change both show signs of hope but I like the curve’s chances better.

1:09
Comment From guest
Least favorite children cartoon your son watches?

1:10
Eno Sarris: Daniel Tiger. Bar none.

1:10
Comment From Ryan Stanky
Hey, Team A gets Kole Calhoun and Evan Marshall, Team B gets Carlos Gonzalez — who wins?? Thanks, Eno!

1:10
Eno Sarris: Everyone else in the league loses.

1:11
Comment From Brad
Best ballpark guess of how many at bats Maikel Franco gets in the majors this year? 400?

1:11
Eno Sarris: They already talking about Asche in the outfield, so yeah I’ll give him that number with a decent chance of more.

1:11
Comment From Becktacular
Does Gerrit Cole pitch enough innings this year to justify the hype?

1:11
Eno Sarris: yes.

1:11
Comment From Yo
Should wRC+ be positionally adjusted?

1:11
Eno Sarris: no, it’s a bat-only stat.

1:12
Comment From Guest
is kryptonite a thing that you can’t quit? i must have missed those episodes of smallville

1:12
Eno Sarris: MUST HUFF THIS GREEN ROCK

1:12
Eno Sarris: (wait maybe I should delete that)

1:12
Comment From Guest
I got the Dunkin Donuts cronut (The Crunkin’ Cronut?) — it was unremarkable, just like a glazed donut rly

1:12
Comment From Guest
how do you tell apart jeffs sullivan and zimmerman

1:12
Eno Sarris: If you saw them in person you would never wonder this again.

1:13
Comment From Pat
What do you think Marte’s ceiling is? I find it a little strange he’s going top 40 ahead of a few guys I would prefer more. Do you believe his value is aligned with his early ADP?

1:13
Eno Sarris: I think we saw his ceiling.

1:13
Comment From Maxamuz
I hope I get the number one pick in my auction draft!

1:13
Comment From 1998
Odds that Kerry Wood puts up a hall of fame career are ___________.

1:13
Comment From Dr. Zizmor
Hey Eno – I loved the recent piece on Fiers. Something I was thinking in terms of cutters and reverse platooonoiOIn NN OFO OH OGD GOD GNOOOO I”M A WEREWLOF

1:13
Eno Sarris: oh you know we’re pretty close to CLASSiC CHAT TERRITORY

1:13
Comment From RotoLando
At what point would you declare that a person is “too legit to quit”? It seems like a personal decision to me. Blanket statements from a guy named Hammer are counterproductive.

1:14
{“author”:”VintageHipHopSeattle”}:

1:14
Comment From Rated Rookie
Yesterday’s news just about ended interest I have in Danny Salazar.

1:15
Eno Sarris: yeah these dudes are not angels

1:15
Comment From Crosby
I know you’re high on Stroman. Can you give a brief rundown on why you’re so optimistic about him this season?

1:16
Eno Sarris: Excellent velocity, excellent results on the four-seam, change, slider, curve, okay results on cutter, and added a nasty two-seam late in the year. Maybe long term you can worry about the velocity due to size, but not now.

1:16
Comment From Joe
Any thoughts on where Viciedo ends up?

1:16
Eno Sarris: v lefties platoon bat somewhere, not too exciting.

1:16
Comment From Matt
Is Headley nice value at 3B this year? I mean it seems like .260 with 20 HR/7SB is reasonable and I still don’t mind the Yankees offense.

1:16
Eno Sarris: Top ten third baseman!

1:17
Comment From Maxamuz
How come no one arrested Bob Marley for shooting that poor sheriff?

1:17
Eno Sarris: i no right

1:17
Comment From RotoLando
Kyle Kendrick is not afraid to pitch in Coors? You will be. You will be.

1:17
Comment From Kris
Your comments on Mookie make me nervous. a 24th round keeper over guys like 24th Polanco, 5th MadBum, 2nd Bryce?

1:18
Eno Sarris: I love Mookie? But you have to keep it in your pants I guess. I’m still feeling him here.

1:18
{“author”:”GioSkaRocksteady”}:

1:19
Comment From Who do you think wins the 5th spot in Cleveland, Slazar or House?
Who do you think wins the 5th spot in Cleveland, Slazar or House?

1:19
Eno Sarris: Yeah so stuff says Salazar by a mile. I still like House, but I don’t think you can give him that job.

1:19
Comment From JT
Is this too little for Wainwright in a near dynasty? Ozuna, Winker, and a prospect pick?

1:19
Eno Sarris: I’m trading Waino now, and I actually like that deal. Ozuna is young and exciting.

1:20
Comment From frankenberry
Who’d you rather keep, Alex Wood in the 8th, Ian Desmond in the 20th, or Taijuan Walker in the 23rd? (I also could have Melancon in the 14th or Giles/Betances in the last round… but… relievers…)

1:20
Eno Sarris: Desmond.

1:20
Comment From Garboclo
Who’s the first big Cuban bust we’ll see? It’s gotta happen eventually…right?

1:20
Eno Sarris: Tomas

1:20
Comment From juice
Has a player ever farted while hitting a home run?

1:20
Comment From juice
did the ball go farther? Thanks!

1:20
Eno Sarris: Uh dude I’m going to ask the right player this some day.

1:20
Comment From Phil
I have recently discovered the greatness of the “Jack” series from Firestone Walker. Especially the Wookey Jack. You had these? They are all ranking up there with the best beers I have ever tasted.

1:20
Eno Sarris: I’ve been a Double Jack evangelist for a while!

1:21
Comment From jeff
what are you expecting from cliff lee?

1:21
Eno Sarris: Near vintage as he tries to pitch his way out of Philly.

1:21
Comment From Guest
The thought that the market values Moncada at $x but he’ll only get $(x/2) in the name of “competitive balance” makes me quite cross.

1:21
Eno Sarris: Does the draft make you angry too?

1:21
Comment From Cackalacky
Are you a man of the Left? If so, how Left (1-10)?

1:22
Eno Sarris: I’ll answer by listing a few demographic facts: I’m still a German citizen (green card), my mother is German, I’ve lived there and in London, and in San Francisco, and in London, and I’ve never felt much right of my communities.

1:23
Comment From Guest
Can you explain the connection between Bruce Jenner and Kanye West

1:23
Comment From Ghost Hands
Run them jewels fast.

1:23
{“author”:”Kelly Price”}:

1:23
Eno Sarris: over the curve of my life I’m more RJD2 than El-P, I guess.

1:24
Comment From Mookie Conster
CE WANT MOOKIES!!!!!!!

1:24
Eno Sarris: Guess C really is good enough for ye.

1:24
Comment From baltic wolf
Grandmaster Flash did it a lot better. So did RunDMC. But I’m an old fart.

1:24
Eno Sarris: hah.

1:24
Comment From Art Vandelay
Asheru…haven’t heard that name since the Boondocks theme song.

1:24
Eno Sarris: It’s sad really. I wonder where he’s been.

1:25
Comment From Guest
In what barrel should more beers be aged: rum barrel, port barrel, tequila barrel, tabasco barrel, old barrel in my dad’s basement full of rusty tools, barrel of monkeys, barrel that went over niagara falls, other barrel

1:25
Eno Sarris: Tequila. Drink almanac Tequila Noir. It gives a a nice edge. Wait maybe this wasn’t serious he says as he reads the end of the post.

1:25
Comment From F T S
Been discouraged with the Jays, can you give me some positive “potential” numbers on some of the kids -Pompey, Sanchez. Norris or Travis?

1:26
Eno Sarris: Number? I love Pompey. Really took a step forward and I think he can be an OBP asset with some power and speed and D. The other two are longer shots, I love Norris but elbow surgery.

1:27
Comment From Snarfle
Baseball is bad at making new rules and bad at changing rules that clearly need it. Discuss. (Inspired by the Moncada bidding war in which only rich zorkos need apply, and tens of millions will be dropped into a fund of uncertain purpose.)

1:28
Eno Sarris: Man the unintended consequences really don’t seem to be very thought out, do they?

1:28
Comment From Guest
does Cistulli live in a penthouse apartment in New Hampshire, or was that background not real

1:28
Comment From Jon
I love how seeing Cistulli shocked the baseball world.

1:28
Comment From Guest
FG+ ETA???

1:28
Eno Sarris: VERY SOON INTERLUDE

1:30
Comment From Jon
Can Hosmer go something like 80/20/80/280/10? Too rich?

1:30
Eno Sarris: nah, he can do that I guess. Might take the under on the SBs.

1:30
Comment From Seymour
ooh, I’m gonna remind you about that Viciedo comment after he pops another 20 bombs primarily facing just LHers.

1:30
Eno Sarris: 20 bombs in 200-300 PA?

1:31
Comment From Guest
are any beers brewed with chilis — mexican hot chocolate style beers aside — that are remotely palatable

1:31
Eno Sarris: Go get Prairie Bomb.

1:31
Comment From Trotsky
How is the attitude on the Giant’s in the Bay area? For an outside perspective it seems like they are riding the wave of the WS win and instead reloading and going for it again, they are signing the Casey McGehees and Jake Peavy’s of the world..

1:31
Eno Sarris: Dunno but I’m talking to the players, Giants on Friday and A’s on Monday, and boy if I’m not looking forward to the new slate of players Beane got me more.

1:32
Comment From Snarfle
Rickey’s season with the Mets was totally bonkers. Dude slashed .315/.423/.466 at age 41. 31 steals, 135 wRC+. Gave some of that back on defense, but still, and regardless whether any anti-aging cream was involved, nutso. Kinda sad that it was the next year’s team, with no Rickey or (especially) Olerud that went to the Series.

1:32
Eno Sarris: Buy your free agents old…. really old.

1:32
Comment From Salazar is Enos Kryptonite pitcher
Heard D. Holland as a bum and a solid #2. Which is closer to the truth?

1:33
Eno Sarris: I’m selling. Fastball slider lefty, even with good command, with velocity starting to go down? He’ll be useful in fantasy this year, but has better trade value imo.

1:34
{“author”:”Baudlink”}:

1:34
Comment From Vil B.
Hey Eno: I found out 20 years ago I’m not the only guy named Vilnius in the USA. Got over it in about 30 minutes. Still a great starting point with the chicks.

1:34
Eno Sarris: My middle name is Kama, so I know what you’re saying, but I guess my son will just have to try a little harder when it comes to talking to women.

1:34
Comment From Jon
My late grandfather was named Clebert. I didn’t do the research myself, but my brother checked with the social security database and said he was the only one with that name!

1:35
Comment From AWS
Eno, Julio Teheran’s ’14 numbers show big-time regression possibilities, but so far he seems to be getting drafted right where those numbers put him, solidly in the SP2 category. He’s a borderline keeper for me and I’m trying to figure out what his value is – what do you think his 2015 season will look like and where do you think he should be drafted?

1:35
Eno Sarris: By arsenal he has all the pieces he needs, and even a way to combat velocity loss (more changeups, which have been good in smaller samples added up together to a good sample).

1:36
Comment From RotoLando
Are the international signings the most egregious example of income disparity between the MLB clubs?

1:36
Eno Sarris: right now, yes.

1:36
Comment From Curtis
In a fantasy draft, how often do you “stick with the plan going in” as opposed to “on the spot change-up pick” – like bypassing BPA/Need for a gut feel “I think I need this guy instead”?

1:36
Eno Sarris: I have a changeable plan, where I have some key guys I need to throw early to figure out what’s going on. In snakes, I monitor each position and try to identify tiers as I’m going.

1:36
Comment From Guest
paper and pen sounds useful — where can i download it?

1:36
Comment From Snarfle
Eno, if I drop certain phantasmagoria from my career ambitions, I will always have the ludes. The lude dragons. The drude lagons.

1:37
Comment From Guest
why does driving 105mph make you go to jail, like i’m all for celebrities getting a comeuppance but really

1:37
Comment From JT
Is Storen going to be a good closer this year?

1:37
Eno Sarris: For cost, yes. Janssen needs to show he’s healthy to be any threat at all.

1:37
Comment From Salazar is Enos Kryptonite pitcher
Is tropeano a sleeper #5 in LAA?

1:37
Eno Sarris: Yes I like.

1:37
Comment From Maxamuz
I fully support the purchase of FG+. I’ve bought it for a few years and will continue to do so.

1:37
Eno Sarris: Early next week!

1:37
Comment From Guest
Selfie sticks — great idea or terrible idea

1:37
Eno Sarris: man bun

1:37
Comment From dr robotnik
When will Xander Bogaerts .280/.350/.450 and hit 20 dingers

1:38
Eno Sarris: 2016.

1:38
Comment From Aloisius Yeager
You are not worried by Puig and breaking stuff, I take it.

1:38
Eno Sarris: He has great oppo power and has shown ability to change swing patterns in the past.

1:38
Comment From Snarfle
Who makes you TJ nervous? I started wondering about Stroman, but that’s 90% because he’s young and good.

1:39
Eno Sarris: Yu Darvish. Tyson Ross. Colin McHugh. G Richards. Bud Norris.

1:40
Comment From Mitch
When the season starters, who will be the closer in Milwaukee and Toronto?

1:40
Eno Sarris: Cecil and K Rod?

1:41
Comment From JT
Favourite Madlib persona?

1:43
{“author”:”Stones Throw”}:

1:43
Comment From Guest
If you have another child, please name him Hobbes…at least as a middle name

1:43
Comment From Guest
have you listened to jeff bridges’s ambient music and, if not, do you want to

1:43
Eno Sarris: laughed. not in love with ambient.

1:44
Comment From Art Vandelay

1:44
Eno Sarris: HAH

1:44
Comment From BoxBurgah
sites to do some earlyish mock drafting?

1:44
Eno Sarris: Couch managers.

1:44
Comment From Snarfle
Guitar string go TWANG!

1:44
Comment From JT
I haven’t been here in a while: do we still do THUNDER and ….

1:45
Comment From Guest
yes the draft makes me angry

1:45
Comment From Hickory Styxx
Hey Sporer was great! Is Minnix okay, tho? I just want to make sure he’s happy and healthy.

1:46
Eno Sarris: Yes Minnix is just looking at new things to do with this time. He might come back. Door’s open.

1:46
Comment From arctic panzer wolf
De La did it best no matter what age you are

1:46
Comment From Eno Lika Me No Mo
what round is this?

1:46
Comment From Guest
fwiw port barrel beers are so delicious

1:46
Comment From Terrible Ted
Have you heard anything about JFER’s recovery/timetable?

1:46
Eno Sarris: June

1:46
Comment From jayfan1
Hey Eno Huge fan! thanks for taking the time to chat! Your prediction for Josh Donaldson this year?

1:47
Eno Sarris: Better BA, 30+ homers.

1:47
Comment From Corey
Thoughts on Shane Greene? Any chance for a sub 4.00 ERA?

1:47
Eno Sarris: Yes

1:47
Comment From moncada or thomas ?
who do you like better moncad or Thomas ? thanks

1:47
Eno Sarris: Moncada

1:47
Comment From Eric
Eno, I am stuck… do I trade Donaldson? or do I keep him? what will he slash?

1:47
Eno Sarris: keep

1:47
Comment From Fangraphist
If the unintended consequences were thought out, they wouldn’t really be “unintended,” right?

1:47
Eno Sarris: they could be better anticipated, but sure

1:47
Comment From Art Vandelay
Virginia is crazy, that’s why speeding puts you in jail. It has nothing to do with the fact that he’s an athlete.

1:48
Comment From Yo
So you think it’s ok to just remember that 110 wRC+ is a fine wRC+ for a 2B, and positional adjustments would over-complicate without adding to the storytelling?

1:48
Eno Sarris: I do. I want some stats separate, and wRC+ is so super clean and beautiful.

1:48
Comment From guest
Kluber is the guest on mlbtr podcast

1:48
Eno Sarris: Terrible interview.

1:49
Comment From Guy
What’s your outlook on Jesse Hahn?

1:49
Eno Sarris: good

1:49
{“author”:”Tormatic”}:

1:49
Comment From Joe
How do you define a tier at a position? SGP or rotisserie dollar values or is it by category or ???

1:50
Eno Sarris: We’ll have it in depicted graphically in FG+, but yeah you can use your z-score values to see tiers.

1:50
Eno Sarris: Okay guys. I have to do a podcast with Sporer and finish up FG+ today so it’s time to go. Love and kisses and hip-hop dreams.

1:51
Comment From Guest
position adjusted HRs

1:51
Comment From Joe
How do you calculate Z-score again?

1:51
Eno Sarris: (value minus mean for value set) / (standard deviation for value set)

1:51
Comment From Guest
begone ye ENO

We hoped you liked reading Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 2/5/15 by Eno Sarris!

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With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.

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Drew
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Drew

Making a trade in a 12 team dynasty league. $15 Victor Martinez and $9 Brandon Moss for $18 Lucroy. What side do you like and what are your thoughts on all 3?