Eric and Kiley’s Day 1 Mega Draft Night Chat by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel June 3, 2019 MLB Draft Week 2019 Mock Draft 3.0Pre-Draft Farm System RankingsIntroduction to the 2019 Draft BOARDSwing Changers: The Shift to Emphasizing Big Tools and Player DevPreviewing the Prospects in the NCAA Regional TournamentsThe Untitled McDongenhagen Project: Draft Preview PodMock Draft 4.0: The Morning OfEric and Kiley’s Day 1 Mega Draft Night ChatMock Draft 4.1: The Final MockDay 1 Draft ReviewThe Untitled McDongenhagen Project: Draft Review PodDraft Odds & Ends 6:44 Eric A Longenhagen: Hey all, putting finishing touches on the mock, will be here shortly 6:53 Eric A Longenhagen: Mock filed to Meg, let’s begin to chat 6:54 DC: I can’t get a handle on Kirby. Mocks seem to have him all over the place – is he on the same tier as the top college arms in the draft? 6:54 Eric A Longenhagen: Think he ends up in the 17-25 mix 6:54 Gigi: Are the Padres the most interesting team to watch in the first 10 picks? 6:55 Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say the White Sox, just because that’s where dominoes topple the rest of the top 10 6:55 Eric A Longenhagen: after that it’s Texas 6:55 Eric A Longenhagen: Adley on the MLB broadcast smiling and on the phone… 6:55 Justin: Who are most likely to the Pirates after Priester? 6:55 Eric A Longenhagen: Tyler Callihan in the comp round 6:56 ManBearPig: Please please PLEASE tell me Corbin Carroll falls to the Jays 6:56 Eric A Longenhagen: possible but I think they’d take a college arm anyway 6:56 Tim: I know teams should generally take the best player available, but if the Giants had the first pick, would they still take Rutschman after Bart last year? 6:56 Eric A Longenhagen: hell yeah 6:56 Earfquake: What can you tell me about my favorite player in the draft Mo Hampton? Where do you see him going? 6:57 Eric A Longenhagen: Chance to go late round one, think it’s more likely in the comp to second 6:57 DC: Commentary says this is a “weak” draft class viz. pitchers. Does that mean a pitcher drafted #15 in 2019 doesn’t project as high as a pitcher drafted #15 in 2018? 6:58 Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, this class is missing Mize (55 FV) and 50 FV preps like Winn and Libby last year. The 45 FV types in the middle of round 1 are still here 6:58 Travis: Has NCAA tournament performances affected the level of attention some prospects are receiving? 6:58 Eric A Longenhagen: Meh 6:58 Eric A Longenhagen: not really 6:58 Draft Fan: There has seemed to be a consesus top 6 for awhile now (Adley, Witt, Vaughn, Abrams, Greene, Bleday). Out of those 6, who do you see as having the most potential to fall outside the top 6? 6:58 Eric A Longenhagen: Abrams 6:58 dilbert: how many picks ahead will you guys be? 6:58 Eric A Longenhagen: I guess we’re about to find out 6:59 Typo king: Where are the final rankings? Thanks for all you two do. 6:59 Eric A Longenhagen: they’re on The Board 6:59 Eric A Longenhagen: our last mock is up, btw 6:59 Eric A Longenhagen: And it sounds like Toglia may be in play at Rockies first pick rather than their second 6:59 Rob Nen’s Labrum : Still look like Abrams or Bishop could be the pick at 10 for the Giants? 6:59 Eric A Longenhagen: Likely no on Abrams 6:59 Kiley McDaniel: Kiley is here! 6:59 Bran the Broken: Ok, trying to piece together using you guys and Law’s info….. You guys had Sikkema to the Cubs in the 2nd. Law mentioned Cubs may be looking at some college pitchers in the 1st that are a bit of an overdraft….. Cubs taking Sikkema at 27 and saving a bit for later? 6:59 Eric A Longenhagen: too rich for me 7:00 Joseph: After drafted, Adley is a top 20 prospect immediately, correct? 7:00 Eric A Longenhagen: the approximate top 100 spots for the 50+ FV guys is on The Board 7:00 matt: kameron misner? any chance he gets to the yankees? 7:00 Kiley McDaniel: Possible, unlikely 7:00 Bubbles: Y’all should’ve kept Jung for Texas. His people say he’s been given a guarantee at 8. 7:00 IB6 UB9: Is Leiter worth his number given size/stuff concerns? 7:01 Eric A Longenhagen: Stuff concerns? 7:01 Kiley McDaniel: TEX is a pick where we could’ve mentioned three names but we limited ourself to one or two. We’re hearing more heat there on Manoah and Baty, but Jung would be third 7:01 DC: Do teams ever draft a player who is unlikely to sign, in order to get a comp pick in next year’s (stronger) draft class? 7:01 Eric A Longenhagen: no 7:01 matt: Braves not in on Cavaco or Henderson at 21? 7:02 Kiley McDaniel: i think no on both in terms of high enough on the board to take, but you never know 7:02 EuanDewar: No question, just wanna say I appreciate what you guys do a great deal. Single (double?) handedly keep me up to date with a whole section of the sport in great detail. Much love from the UK <3 7:02 Eric A Longenhagen: thanks 7:02 Bomo: Why isn’t plate discipline a tool yet? 7:02 Eric A Longenhagen: (rolls eyes) 7:02 Eric A Longenhagen: it’s not like it’s ignored 7:03 Hank: Are you guys yay or nay in regards to trading draft picks? Does the industry want this? Thanks for all the great stuff. 7:03 Eric A Longenhagen: yay, I’m pro chaos 7:03 Not Dusty from Colorado: What has caused Rece Hinds’ stock to fall? 7:03 Kiley McDaniel: hasn’t performed well this spring and against a lot of 90ish mph arms 7:04 A Hopeful Sox Fan: Are there recent success stories of teams going underslot with the first pick and it leading to productive players they would not have been able to sign otherwise? 7:04 Eric A Longenhagen: Houston has done it several times 7:04 Eric A Longenhagen: Gotten Daz, McCullers, etc 7:05 Andrew: Strictly from a development standpoint, is Lodolo better/worse off than if he signed with the Pirates in ’16? 7:05 Eric A Longenhagen: Better, but only took that leap this year 7:05 Don: Who had a better bat, JJ Bleday or Zack Collins? 7:05 Eric A Longenhagen: Bleday, Collins was a 40 bat. Walks/power drove that profile 7:06 Dan: I’m so pumped to watch the MLB network guys compare all these players to hall of famers 7:06 Eric A Longenhagen: you have to drink when it happens, though I doubt Jim and Carlos do stuff like that. It’s a thing the ex players do. 7:07 Corey: Is there a team that because you admire their draft acumen or philosophy, you are excited to see who they take? Dodgers, Astros, etc? 7:07 Eric A Longenhagen: those teams, LAA, MIN, NYY, we’ll learn a lot about ARI tonight too 7:07 bencole2727: High school pitchers that if everything comes together for them have the best chance to be a #1 SP? 7:08 Eric A Longenhagen: uhhhhh I guess Malone? I just watched deGrom dot 94mph sliders on the corners two nights ago, I’m not sure anyone in this draft is capable of that stuff. 7:08 Al: Why are some teams so iffy on Abrams? Make-up issues (his love for baseball etc.) 7:09 Kiley McDaniel: Some elaboration on this in our report here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-mlb-draft?type=0&te… 7:09 Wilson: The broadcast will probably say he’s Schmidt but what do you have on Jung? 7:10 Kiley McDaniel: Needs a swing chance to enable more lift/pull but he’s hit everywhere. Sneaky athletic at 3B so he can play there for awhile even tho he looks big for the position 7:10 Paul: First time I’ve seen Wallner mentioned in the 1st round, what’s with the late rise? 7:10 Kiley McDaniel: Scorching hot late, has been in play 30-50 the last month or so 7:10 Don: Who is the best HS prospect you’ve scouted who regularly faced absolutely horrible competition? 7:10 Eric A Longenhagen: Adell 7:10 William: Any chance Mo Hampton slips to 41 for the Rangers? 7:10 Kiley McDaniel: Yes 7:11 Jake: What is your favorite wing flavor? 7:11 Kiley McDaniel: HOT BUFFALO OR GTFO 7:11 Skore: Where would Tork fit into this draft if he was 2019 eligible? R/R and numbers are a bit under Vaughns, but it seems like scouts are less surprised with what he’s doing 7:11 Kiley McDaniel: right around Vaughn, probably a pick or two below 7:12 Joe Penisziak: How’d the Red Sox lose their 1st round pick? 7:12 Eric A Longenhagen: luxury tax threshold penalty 7:12 Ed: How likely is it Abrams gets to the Giants? 7:12 Kiley McDaniel: I’ll say 25% 7:12 Eric A Longenhagen: here are the bonus pools and pick values: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2019-mlb-draft-signing-bonus-pool-and-pick… 7:13 Mike from Tempe: Brett Baty is 19.6 years old and still in high school??!!? How does that even happen? 7:13 Eric A Longenhagen: very rare 7:13 Bobby: What was Tommy Henry’s velo last night? Anything to help/hurt his stock? 7:13 Eric A Longenhagen: upper-80s, low-90s 7:13 Eric A Longenhagen: neutral 7:13 Dallas: Would you trade James Harden into New Orleans’ cap space for Zion Williamson? 7:13 Eric A Longenhagen: sir, this is a FanGraphs 7:14 JoeyO: I seen Ryan Garcia RHP pop up as a possibility for the Athletics in the first round. Is this true? 7:14 Eric A Longenhagen: rich for me 7:14 Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: Other than the increased workload, is the draft stressful for you guys? Finding out if your hunches were correct or if that piece of info really was misinformation from teams? 7:14 Eric A Longenhagen: it’s exhausting but not stressful 7:15 Blaine : Do u believe the jays will take an underslot player with their first pick at 11 7:15 Eric A Longenhagen: probably not 7:16 David S.: I see that you guys have the Cubs on Davidson. Do you think they pass on Hoese if they both happen to be on the board? 7:16 Eric A Longenhagen: No, they take Hoese if he’s there 7:16 bruins: Any chance Toglia sneaks into the first round? 7:16 Eric A Longenhagen: yes, Rockies 7:16 Jeff: Is Kirby’s command enough to look past the averagish stuff? 7:16 Eric A Longenhagen: arguably, think he fits fine late in round 1 on stuff 7:17 ManBearPig: Corbin Carroll, is Benintendi a good comp? 7:17 Eric A Longenhagen: Not really 7:18 Andrew: Thoughts on Passan’s article/idea on “breaking” the draft? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: gave me one of those ‘wish i’d thought to write that’ feelings 7:19 Hayden: Long shot here – but how much did Quin Cotton’s stock drop this year? Do you think he will have a chance at being picked today? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: no shot 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: stock crushed, he didn’t play well, swing is a mess 7:19 Nicholas: Are the M’s the only team in on Volpe? And would they take him over Cavaco in both are there? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: Think they’d take Cavaco 7:19 T: What happened to Stinson? Can he at least be an ML closer? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: Injury. If stuff comes back, yeah. 7:21 Phil: Rangers out on Jung? 7:21 Eric A Longenhagen: We think they’re trying to cut and Jung (Boras) may not 7:21 Snake: D’Backs have an overslot deal for Corbin? 7:22 Eric A Longenhagen: if he falls there I think it’d just be slot 7:22 Nolan: I was worried about SD taking Lodolo, now y’all throw LANGELIERS at me??? 7:22 Kiley McDaniel: Preller is hard to pin down! 7:23 Scott: Are you sad that it’s starting since it’s also about to end? 7:23 Kiley McDaniel: it is just beginning 7:24 Mike from Tempe: Who is the signability guy who falls and falls? 7:24 Eric A Longenhagen: if Allan doesn’t go WSH or ARI, might be him 7:25 Elwood Blues: Who is the most entertaining player who will likely go tonight? 7:26 Harold: Hi Eric its Harold here did your mlb playing father help you in high school? 7:26 Eric A Longenhagen: ??? 7:26 Eric A Longenhagen: Greg Jones is entertaining 7:27 Bobby: Last minute word on 3?? 7:27 Eric A Longenhagen: seems like chalk with Vaughn, if they deviate people aren’t saying so. 7:27 Connor Joe Buck: does Jack Kochanowicz make it to UVA? 7:27 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds signable 7:28 Greg: What’s the appeal on Misner? Saw him a few times and left thoroughly unimpressed. 7:29 AJ Preller’s Bow Tie: what happened to joe gray jr 7:29 Kiley McDaniel: Timing was bad when he faced velo. 70 raw, 55 runner, good athlete 7:29 Eric A Longenhagen: he’s in extended 7:29 Kiley McDaniel: that’s on Misner from me 7:29 Some guy named Baby Ruth: Thoughts on Shewmake? 7:29 Eric A Longenhagen: smooth defender, fringe tools 7:31 bencole2727: I’ve got a Shoeless Joe Jackson comp on Matthew Barefoot. Thoughts? 7:32 Nolan: Okay, I’ve been following the draft pretty closely for at least five years now, and I don’t think I had ever seen anyone use the word CHALK to describe picks being locked in. Today, every single person covering the draft is using it. Were all baseball writers bought by Big Chalk? 7:32 Eric A Longenhagen: Yes, Crayola has compromising photos of my 7:32 Elwood Blues: Who among the 45+ and up guys have the highest bust potential to you guys? 7:32 Eric A Longenhagen: stott? 7:32 Eric A Longenhagen: just because the swing is funky, throwing is funky 7:33 Trixie: Why don’t more players show up to the MLB Studios? 7:33 Eric A Longenhagen: It’s in Jersey? 7:33 Kyle: When is the earliest relief only guys get looked at. Specifically ones that should be up within a year or so? 7:34 Eric A Longenhagen: i’d use past examples to get an idea of that. Zack Burdi is super high, Durbin Feltman more typical 7:34 Mingey: Is that lefty Kelly who throws a million going to be picked tonight? 7:35 Kiley McDaniel: Antoine Kelly, JC LHP up to 98, chance to go in 2nd, I’d say 50% and 50% 3rd 7:38 Sean: If abrams falls to 8, would JD (TEX) pull the trigger? 7:38 Kiley McDaniel: We are hearing no, but he does fit their type over the last 5 years or so 7:38 Tigers: Would you personally take Abrams or Greene? 7:38 Eric A Longenhagen: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-mlb-draft?sort=-1,1… 7:42 Elwood Blues: Do catchers’ tool grades get rounded down at all due to the attrition rate and the beating that those guys take? 7:42 Eric A Longenhagen: yes 7:46 Slothrop: Abrams really fell because teams don’t think he loves the game that much? 7:46 Eric A Longenhagen: guys get nitpicked this high 7:46 LightSuiteCrude: Who is the guy you are personally higher on than most of the industry? 7:46 Eric A Longenhagen: probably spencer jones 7:48 Connor Joe Buck: Any players that you two really disagree on? Like are 5 FV apart from each other on 7:49 Eric A Longenhagen: meh, maybe Thompson? I love Thompson 7:53 owen: Zack or Matt Thompson? 7:53 Eric A Longenhagen: zack 7:53 ThirstyKileyMcDaniel: Jeff Passan @JeffPassan I just got a text from @kileymcd that said, very simply, “CREDIT.” I give Kiley credit for being thirsty. 3 Jun 2019 7:53 Kiley McDaniel: Oh hey we’re also trying to WOJ the draft, so follow along on twitter for this sweetspot where the dope is flowing 7:53 Kiley McDaniel: @kileymcd and @longenhagen 7:54 Anthony: What round do you think Fresno State OF Zach Ashford will be taken? 7:54 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe be late day 2 underslot 7:54 Eric A Longenhagen: i dig him 7:54 Trey : any chance Lodolo makes it to 9? 7:54 Eric A Longenhagen: no dude he goes 7 7:55 Eric A Longenhagen: manoah 8, langeliers 9 7:55 AJ: Brett Baty landing spots if not Texas? 7:55 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe Arizona? 7:55 Kyle: Are you guys even able to watch the regional games tonight while staying locked in on the draft? 7:55 Eric A Longenhagen: i had ANgels Cubs on but will flip to regionals soon 7:57 Joe: Any chance Carroll could slide all the way to 21? 7:57 Eric A Longenhagen: doubt it, think someone grabs him as good value sooner than that 8:01 Fangraph’s Lurker: biggest conceivable slide? liabatore slide to the ray’s last year 8:01 Eric A Longenhagen: not sure, part of why guys slide is because it’s unexpected 8:01 Rob: Jung #8??? 8:01 Eric A Longenhagen: looks that way 8:01 Dude: Is there even a 5% chance Carroll slides to 20? Please? 8:02 Scott: Does Greg Jones stick at ss? 8:03 Eric A Longenhagen: 5% is about right on Carroll 8:03 Eric A Longenhagen: Jones got better this year, has a shot to stay. 8:04 Scott: Still hearing Jones to Seattle? 8:04 Eric A Longenhagen: think he’s in the mix 8:04 Harold: did whoever told yall that Texas was going Manoah just straight up lie 8:05 Eric A Longenhagen: i doubt it, two people lying? Just mistaken. 8:05 Brendon: Given who is off the board so far, is Manoah the guy for Toronto if he is still there? 8:05 Eric A Longenhagen: think so 8:05 Robert: What’s the major difference between Greg Jones and Abrams? 8:05 Eric A Longenhagen: Abrams feel to hit at this age 8:06 Chad: Woohoo….you are chatting! 8:09 Zack: Might a win now team reach higher on Jake Wallace? 8:09 Kiley McDaniel: Command is pretty inconsistent, more 3rd-4th. UConn RHR 8:12 Reid: Which prospect that might go today faced the worst competition? 8:12 Eric A Longenhagen: probably one fo the northeast high schoolers 8:14 Trixie: Who wins a race between CJ Abrams and Xavier Edwards???? 8:14 Eric A Longenhagen: the onlookers 8:14 Eric A Longenhagen: no, I think I’d take Abrams 8:15 Parker: How do you feel about Abrams with the Padres? Do you think they’re going to try to shift his position, or trade him? 8:15 Eric A Longenhagen: neither, yet 8:16 Mar-RAKE-is : What’s Langelier’s upside? 8:16 Kiley McDaniel: Chance for 5 bat, 5 power, 6 defense 8:16 Kiley McDaniel: usually catchers underperform the tools/upside offensively 8:16 AC Slayer: You all see that Jeopardy!? 8:16 Eric A Longenhagen: nah 8:17 Ryan: Twins take cavaco now that Jung is off the board or could another college bat interest them? 8:17 Eric A Longenhagen: have to think they take a long look at stott if he’s there 8:17 gnomez: So, something I’ve been wondering for a little bit: is there anywhere to find college park factors? 8:17 Kiley McDaniel: not that i know of 8:18 Guest: shea underslot to go over at pick 21? 8:18 Eric A Longenhagen: unsure, he was in the mix high enough that my gut is no 8:18 Eric A Longenhagen: not much anyway 8:22 5 Run Homer : Pearson and Manoah is one massive 1-2 punch in Toronto’s system 8:23 Kiley McDaniel: big dude throw hard dirty hook 8:23 Eric : TALK TO ME ABOUT THE METS PLEASE 8:23 Kiley McDaniel: Baty is our 8th prospect! Good pick! 8:24 Kiley McDaniel: Huge stick, just needs to hit a little quicker in pro ball than most HS kids given the age 8:24 Guest: Do MLB teams have access to pitch framing data for these prospects, or do they just have to eyeball it? 8:24 Kiley McDaniel: Where there’s TrackMan (about 60 colleges) they have framing data 8:24 976: I’ve been reading this chat for an hour, not realizing the actual draft was on. 8:24 Kiley McDaniel: it is on, but we’re ahead of it on twitter by a pick or two 8:25 Incorrect: You have one wrong so far and you must be so ashamed 8:25 Eric A Longenhagen: catholic raised, always ashamed 8:25 Charlie: What are the chances he sticks at third? 8:25 SpicyBoy: How high could Drey Jameson or Seth Johnson go? 8:25 Eric A Longenhagen: Baty? 50/50 for me 8:25 Kiley McDaniel: Both could sneak into 30’s 8:26 Chris: What’s the chance that Baty sticks at 3rd? 30-40%? 8:27 Kiley McDaniel: He can def play there right now, not a ton of margin for error given the size, but he’s agile in part due to hoops 8:27 Kiley McDaniel: I’d say he’s good until about 25, then might have to move 8:27 Belli Flop: Honest question: Do either of you ever get decent sleep? 8:27 Eric A Longenhagen: Sometimes and maybe soon! 8:27 Kiley McDaniel: Most days I do, not so much the last few 8:37 Eric A Longenhagen: sorry, we’re ignoring you all to woj 8:38 Dave: Hearing Toglia to the A’s the end of the 1st round? 8:38 Eric A Longenhagen: not explicitly but that wouldn’t be crazy or shock me 8:39 AJ: Anything connecting the Rays to Hoese at 22? 8:40 Eric A Longenhagen: just logic that he’d be a stable sign and enable them to have some flex at the next two picks 8:41 Pete: Hearing anything on Mets and Jack Leiter? 8:41 Eric A Longenhagen: don’t think Baty is enough of a cut at 12 for that to be real, but you’re thinking is creative and appreciate 8:41 Connor: Will Wilson to the Angels seems different than the demographic we usually hear the Eppler regime targeting early? 8:42 Eric A Longenhagen: meh, i think he’s good value. INF with some pop, has performed, is young 8:42 Peff Jassan: Credit! 8:42 Kiley McDaniel: tfw thirsty is your brand 8:42 Eric : Where can we find the piece where you guys hypothetically rank the top prospects among the current top 100 prospects? 8:42 Kiley McDaniel: that’s a column on the board right now! 8:42 Kiley McDaniel: could shuffled by a slot or two when we add the draftees and take out the graduated guys 8:47 WS champ worth it: What is a team that when they draft the scouts all roll their eyes? 8:47 Kiley McDaniel: depending on the player, could be any team 8:53 Chris: When you guys are making your #wojbombs do you make a bomb dropping sound as you hit send and, if not, could you start? 8:53 Eric A Longenhagen: no we can hear our egos inflating 8:53 SpicyBoy: Lowest Michael Busch could go? 8:54 Eric A Longenhagen: hmmm, comp round? 8:55 Lennon’s Dad: I thought Espino was one of the stronger pitchers I have seen in this class. Any real chance a team like Seattle jumps on him, or is he destined for much lower slot? 8:55 Eric A Longenhagen: Think he goes below 20 8:55 James: When does the first prep arm go? 8:55 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds like 18 to PIT 8:56 Evan: How do the prep shortstops in this draft compare to July 2 signees like Marco Luciano? 8:56 Eric A Longenhagen: 0 8:56 Eric A Longenhagen: Luciano is sort of his own thing, nobody ahs that kind of thump in this draft 8:56 Eric A Longenhagen: but Luciano may not stay at SS 8:58 Anthony: How much reliever risk do you think Ryan Jensen has? 8:59 Eric A Longenhagen: some, more due to repertoire depth than control, size 8:59 Overbearing Padre: Who has better plate discipline between CJ Abrams and Xavier Edwards? 8:59 Eric A Longenhagen: X 8:59 Wild Man: why would the yankees take Volpe over Leiter 8:59 Eric A Longenhagen: signability? 9:00 Andrew: How many of the remaining teams are able/willing to meet Matt Allan’s price tag? 9:00 Eric A Longenhagen: Have to think Arizona can do it if they’re motivated 9:00 Sweet Lucy: Any chance Sanford or Julien go today? 9:00 Connor Joe Buck: What percent of the team/player connections do you hear are for teams trying to float guys down in the draft? 9:00 Kiley McDaniel: Both have a shot to go back of the 2nd round, more likely 3rd or even early 4th 9:00 Eric A Longenhagen: very little of that this year because Arizona is a huge roadblock 9:01 1st pick 43: when is the most recent example of a tema going underslot at number 1 and it obviously paying off? As in the the underslot turned out ok and the subsequent picks were winners? 9:01 Kiley McDaniel: Houston with Correa, saving spent on McCullers and Rio Ruiz 9:01 Kiley McDaniel: passed on Buxton basically for those 3 9:06 Connor Joe Buck: How do draft and IFA spending affect each other? If the FO/owners know they have a large draft pool, are they less likely to sign off on big IFA signings? 9:06 Eric A Longenhagen: not good ones 9:07 Mmmmms: Still have SEA with Jones or Kirby? 9:07 Eric A Longenhagen: yep 9:07 Philip: Pretty sure I’m watching NFL draft with the time between the picks 9:07 Eric A Longenhagen: guess the studio needs a band? 9:10 Jackson: What would an underslot selection look like for the Rays at 22? 9:10 Eric A Longenhagen: hmmm, doubt Hoese takes a cut there 9:11 NotThirstyLogenhagen: Who would win in a fight, Thirsty Kiley or Not Thirsty Logenhagen? 9:11 Eric A Longenhagen: well if I’m properly hydrated… 9:16 Fangraph’s Lurker: make a poll! 9:16 Eric A Longenhagen: good idea 9:17 Eric A Longenhagen: Best value so far? Baty (8 on board, pick 12) (28.7% | 55 votes) Thompson (would be higher if not for injuries) (29.8% | 57 votes) Rutledge (41.3% | 79 votes) Total Votes: 191 9:18 Jay: As someone who follows the Cleveland system quite a bit, tell me that Michael Busch’s profile doesn’t read as close to Mike Papi as I think it does. 9:18 Eric A Longenhagen: much more raw thimp 9:19 Eric A Longenhagen: thump, also 9:20 Evan: This is what I want. Big leaguers reading teleprompters. 9:20 Eric A Longenhagen: i’m digesting the broadcast through your comments, everyone. 9:20 Eric A Longenhagen: Jim, Jonathan, the BA guys…they all do a great job. The broadcast elements need help. I’d love to do our own. 9:21 SpicyBoy: Trevor Bauer retire immediately and join the booth 9:22 Eric A Longenhagen: He and I woudln’t be best friends or anything, but he does a great job breaking down pitching. A good communicator. 9:22 Tim: Who do you think the Pirates take at 37? 9:22 Eric A Longenhagen: Callihan if he’s there, i think 9:23 Connor: I like Shewmake, but does he seem like a bit of a reach to you at 21? 9:24 Eric A Longenhagen: I think things are tightly packed in that area and you can justify it. If underslot, feels better. But we don’t have intel indicating either way. 9:25 Jason: Greg Jones signability? Slot? Under? 9:25 Eric A Longenhagen: believe slot, think he was in play in this area with other clubs 9:26 Them Rays Boy: Rays have to be the toughest team to get #scoops from right? 9:26 Eric A Longenhagen: they were the first pick in a while that we didn’t have first 9:26 Julianne : How many picks are there on day 1? 9:26 Eric A Longenhagen: first two rounds 9:26 Connor Joe Buck: hearing Misner connected with any upcoming picks? 9:26 Kiley McDaniel: NYY the most, also CHC and OAK some. Teams that trust their player dev to tweak a swing. 9:28 Kent: Does CHC still have any cred for developing hitters after Schwarber and Happ have been disappointing? 9:28 Eric A Longenhagen: yes, Hoerner made huge improvements right away 9:28 White Sox: Who do you like more of our Pac12 top 5 picks? Vaughn or lil Nick? 9:28 Eric A Longenhagen: Magic 9:29 RS: Were the Giants linked to Greg Jones? 9:30 Eric A Longenhagen: at 10? no. Lowest ranked name we had at 10 was Busch, which seemed like a safety thing 9:30 Adrian Gonzalez: Cavaco went to my high school! What’s your Cavaco comp? 9:30 Eric A Longenhagen: he’s his own thing, unique build, tools, athlete 9:32 Tim: Is Gunnar Henderson slipping or if this kind of his expected area? It seemed like there was talk of him going in the teens. 9:32 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds like Philly took a look but mostly in the comp round 9:33 Eric A Longenhagen: love him, btw 9:33 Nick: So Allan to UF? 9:33 Eric A Longenhagen: too many Arizona picks left to say that 9:33 Brian: Best case … Andrew Vaughn is MLB ready for his debut on??? 9:34 Eric A Longenhagen: sometime in 2020? That’d be pretty incredible 9:38 Sadman: Strawberry in a milkshake or no? 9:38 Eric A Longenhagen: I’m a chocolate malt guy 9:42 Evan: Think we’ll ever see an NFL-style draft (open to the public)? 9:43 Eric A Longenhagen: that’d be pretty cool but I think MLB would be worried about doing a live jazz exploration in front of a festival crowd 9:43 AJ: Where does Noah Song end up going with the military question marks? 9:43 Eric A Longenhagen: he’s a wild card 9:43 Roger DC: The work you guys is incredible. Your writing is always insightful. Your connections are impeccable. It’s just a tremendous team and we really really appreciate the work. 9:43 Eric A Longenhagen: thanks dude 9:44 Charlie Kelly, Esq.: Who are some second-day sleepers to watch tomorrow, who might be amenable to swing/approach changes and turn into this year’s Jarren Duran (minus the .440+ career BABIP)? 9:45 Connor Joe Buck: as an A’s fan, bummed Jones went to TB. As a baseball fan, I trust them more to develop him. Is that accurate or just a fan being skeptical 9:48 Eric A Longenhagen: sleeper: Matt Dyer 9:48 Eric A Longenhagen: I’d say Oakland has had bad luck with pitcher injury but dev is fine 9:48 ZZ Bottom: who is more exhausted between you two 9:48 Eric A Longenhagen: probably Kiley because it’s later there 9:49 Marshall: Hypothetically, how many first-round picks would it take to make the worst farm system the best? 9:53 D Back fan: Walston at 26? Was that a stupid pick? 9:53 Eric A Longenhagen: disagree 9:53 Grandpaboy: Is Michael Busch so bad in the field that NL teams will avoid him? 9:53 Eric A Longenhagen: no, pretty athletic, runs well enough he might fit in OF 9:54 rwv3: In case the Camels get bounced out by ECU here soon, any good news on SP Seth Johnson getting selected here soon? 9:54 Kiley McDaniel: He’ll go today but could be anywhere from about here to 50 9:55 Kiley McDaniel: OF Matthew Barefoot a sleeper in the 3rd-5th area, can really hit and solid on the mound as a lefty 9:55 SpicyBoy: News on the Cubs? 9:55 Phil: Who has been the biggest reach so far? 9:55 Kiley McDaniel: Have 2 rumored names multiple teams are hearing, same advisor so that could be a weird negotiation against himself 9:55 Eric A Longenhagen: our board says Shewmake 9:56 Philip: hearing anyone padres specifically on for 2nd pick? I imagine they go college 9:56 Kiley McDaniel: Hearing some lefty pitchability college arms and big tools bats 10:00 Giants fan: Why’d the Cubs reach on Jensen? 10:01 Eric A Longenhagen: wouldn’t consider it a reach. elite fastball velo+mvmt combo. Size and secondary depth are questions but the kid has carved most of the year 10:01 Kiley McDaniel: and fits modern baseball with very good short burst characteristics 10:01 DDD: At this pick, can AR sign Blake Watson? 10:01 Kiley McDaniel: Yes 10:01 Kiley McDaniel: maybe a touch below 10:03 Dodgers Brass: Where do you rank the Dodgers farm system? 10:06 Eric A Longenhagen: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/pre-draft-farm-system-rankings/ 10:08 DTH: Carl Edwards Jr a reasonable in-team comp for Jensen? 10:08 Eric A Longenhagen: sorry, totally different bodies and breaking stuff 10:08 Big D: don’t send me a link Eric!!!! 10:08 Eric A Longenhagen: i mean, if we already did the work, imma link you 10:09 Kiley McDaniel: oh damn ain’t no shame in being link slammed 10:14 Eric A Longenhagen: hearing dodgers on Michael Busch 10:17 LagerHagen Beer: Eric A Longenhagen is an 70-grade name 10:17 Eric A Longenhagen: it’s a 3 10:17 Ari: Any word on why Matthew Allan is falling so far? 10:17 Seth: Bout time for Busch 10:17 Eric A Longenhagen: $$$ 10:17 Kiley McDaniel: Crack open a fresh can of MICHAEL BUSCH 10:17 ZZ Bottom: the mlb net guys talked a bunch about wood bat performance in the cape league re: logan davidson, do you guys have a strong opinion on that subject? 10:18 Kiley McDaniel: You want it and it’s always a good sign when you do, usually a bad sign when you dont, no absolute 10:18 Abe: “Brewers come up Small on draft night.” 10:18 Kiley McDaniel: Also he’s really tall 10:25 Danny: Are Gunnar Henderson or Matthew Lugo options for NYY at 38? 10:25 Eric A Longenhagen: not sure both of them get there 10:28 Philip: is cape cod performance a big reason why beer slid to houston last year? 10:29 Eric A Longenhagen: nah, more about other clubs’ ?’s about defense 10:29 Marshall: Who will be the youngest player picked in the draft? The oldest? 10:29 Eric A Longenhagen: Kyren Paris, Jake Mangum? 10:29 pee break: pee break time 10:29 Eric A Longenhagen: lol, i haven’t yet 10:29 HeyGuys: Hey guys, can you guys please acknowledge my existence? 10:29 Nate: Is Korey Lee as big of a reach as it seems? 10:30 Eric A Longenhagen: nope, we had him 45 10:33 Nick B: Chances the DBacks totally blow these two picks? 10:33 Eric A Longenhagen: like, none? 10:34 chuck: Rilo, Kiley 10:34 Eric A Longenhagen: Emo trolling 10:34 Evan: What do you think was the biggest difference between your ranking and BA/mlb on Korey Lee? 10:34 Eric A Longenhagen: dunno, I saw Lee and liked him 10:43 Edward: Any early winners? 10:43 Eric A Longenhagen: I mean, AZ is crushing it 10:43 Ameer: What’s up with Malone? The off field? 10:43 Eric A Longenhagen: dbacks here 10:46 SpicyBoy: Thoughts on Jameson? 10:46 Eric A Longenhagen: like him. deep repertoire, athletic, funky deception, relief risk 10:46 Guest: grade on RJ’s leather jacket? 10:46 Eric A Longenhagen: all Unit everything is an 8 10:47 Tom Yost : Y’all rule 10:47 Kiley McDaniel: the vocal minority ftw 10:47 Billy Beane: Unrealted to the draft, but hilarious fun fact: Wandisson Charles has a 53% K rate and a 13% BB rate in A+ this year for Stockton. 10:47 Eric A Longenhagen: Pegler? 10:48 Eric A Longenhagen: let’s do another poll 10:49 Eric A Longenhagen: You’re on the clock, pick a SS Kyren Paris (32.8% | 44 votes) Brooks Lee (11.9% | 16 votes) Matthew Lugo (55.2% | 74 votes) Total Votes: 134 10:49 Russ: Best guess, Marlins pick? 10:49 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds unsettled yet 10:51 Jason: WHY WASN’T GUNNAR AN OPTION???? 10:51 Eric A Longenhagen: 3b for me 11:01 James: Odds Allan makes it to school at this point? 11:01 Eric A Longenhagen: strong 11:02 Matt Pegler’s Intern: Also unrelated to the draft, but Wandisson Charles sat 96-98 with two punchies a few nights ago 11:02 lovethisday: thanks for doing this guys… I am glued to my tv and the chat room. 11:02 Eric A Longenhagen: bien, think we’ll end this soon because we have to write recaps/analysis at some point 11:02 Eric A Longenhagen: and eat 11:03 Guest: How do the Diamondbacks decide whether to draft Malone first or Jameson? 11:03 Kiley McDaniel: I’d think you pick the kid in the building first 11:03 Kiley McDaniel: otherwise it doesn’t really matter unless one if a clear amount above/below slot 11:03 Auburn fan: Any chance Gunnar has signability issues? One can dream, right? 11:04 Kiley McDaniel: Possible? This is about where most clubs we talked to had him on talent, but not clear exactly what his number is 11:04 Reid: Under what circumstances does a prep righty go #1? 11:04 Kiley McDaniel: Basically perfect? 11:06 TB: Thoughts on Dbacks picks? 11:06 Kiley McDaniel: They did a great job 11:06 Eric A Longenhagen: we’re gonna call this thing after the Bo Sox pick 11:06 pelkey: Have the Braves picks been boring? Are they doing something clever at 60? 11:06 Kiley McDaniel: Clever doesn’t equal good 11:07 Oh lawd: New poll: Chonky cats or thicc bois 11:07 Jung Tom Morris: Rangers at 41 and 50…who you got? 11:07 Eric A Longenhagen: baylor 3B David Wenzdel 11:09 Michael Nelson: Best guess for Red Sox? 11:09 Eric A Longenhagen: either of the U of A hitters 11:10 Trixie: Is Kyren Paris related to Ty France? 11:10 Jason: HE’S A SS TO ME DAMMIT 11:11 Eric A Longenhagen: okay the broadcast is moving, this is a good time for us to call it. 11:11 Eric A Longenhagen: thanks for coming, hope you all enjoyed it. 11:11 Eric A Longenhagen: we’ll have a day 1 recap tomorrow.