FanGraphs 2021 Draft Day 1 Mega Chat by Eric Longenhagen and Kevin Goldstein July 11, 2021 MLB Draft Week 2021 Mock Draft 2.0What Goes on in Draft Rooms2021 Draft PreviewPre-Draft Farm System RankingsStatistical Diamonds in the RoughMock Draft 3.0: The Morning OfDay 1 Draft Mega ChatDay 1 Draft RecapDraft Odds & Ends 6:46 Eric A Longenhagen: Hello from Denver. I am in a hotel, not at the draft itself. Hope everyone’s doing well. 6:47 Eric A Longenhagen: KG and I are still trying to ascertain who is going 1. Pittsburgh hasn’t tipped their hand and nothing concrete coming thru the agents right now. 6:47 Jason: Odds on a surprise with Watson at #1? 6:47 Eric A Longenhagen: Very remote at this point. He might slip deep into the top 10 based on latest buzz 6:48 Robert: Are the Angels the garbage disposal of the top 10 picks or are they being more proactive? Seem all over the place. 6:48 Eric A Longenhagen: I think they’ll snap up a good value guy who falls and if not do Taylor. 6:48 Doug: Kevin talked about how important it is for area scouts to be part of the draft room from a morale and even effectiveness perspective. But wouldn’t a team doing this be not scouting an important WWBA tournament going on right now due to the late date of this draft? 6:48 Eric A Longenhagen: Some teams have junior scouts whose job revolves around seeing the next class before this one is picked. Seems smart 6:49 Ryan: There seem to be a lot of teams in the top ten connected to Jobe. Why? Teams know that high school pitchers are much riskier than any other demographic, right? Is he just that much better than any other recent high school pitcher? 6:49 Kyle Kishimoto: Whats up? Is there any new news about Leiter pricing himself down to the 4th pick to the Sox? 6:49 Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, his repertoire is deeper than Abel’s, he’s better than Priester… 6:49 Kevin Goldstein: They are definitely still trying, according to a source picking ahead of them that I spoke to a couple of minutes ago……still don’t think the gambit works. 6:50 Guest: Could the Nats cut somewhat of a deal at 11 and try to price Jaden Hill down to them at 47? Would that be needed? Who would that involve in the 1st? 6:50 Eric A Longenhagen: Benny Montgomery’s name now connected there 6:50 Eric A Longenhagen: so prob not 6:50 Clark: Percent chance that Mayer doesn’t go 1? 6:50 Kevin Goldstein: Right now I would go Mayer 60%, Davis 30%, Watson 10% 6:51 Andy: So I know that Draft Day is the main course tonight, but any thoughts on the appetizer (MLB Futures game)? NL hitters seemed to take advantage of the altitude…. 6:51 Eric A Longenhagen: Francisco Alvarez lit up BP 6:51 This is Lude-i-cris: How does the talent in this draft class compare to the past few seasons? 6:51 Kevin Goldstein: Maybe a little less star power up at the top, but the depth is outstanding. 6:53 Guest: How deep into teams draft boards will they have held personal workouts with players? 6:53 Kevin Goldstein: VERY deep. Sure they work out potential first rounders, but there are all sorts of workouts, some just regional where you go as deep as day three guys. 6:53 Clark: How much does Tork’s FV change if he’s a 50 at 3B? 6:53 Eric A Longenhagen: He’s not tho 6:53 Kevin Goldstein: Narrator’s voice: He’s not. 6:53 PatEdMartin: Do the high school players opting out affect the overall board very much, or is the player pool too big for that to really matter? 6:53 Kevin Goldstein: Doesn’t really move the needle a bunch. 6:54 Heg: Ok I’m sure I’m not the only who is going to ask but: do you anticipate the board being updated with the list of potential draftees or will you just integrate drafted players into the team lists 6:54 Eric A Longenhagen: there is a draft board 6:54 Ben Schneider: Hi guys, if the Orioles could a deal, who could they look for overslot later in the draft? 6:54 Kevin Goldstein: If you are going to try that, you can’t just have one guy targeted for the later bonus push, you need multiple options. 6:54 Texas: Are the Rangers taking Leiter or far from a done deal. 6:54 Kevin Goldstein: I still think so, yes. 6:54 Guest: What’s the vibe in the pittsburgh draft room? 6:55 Kevin Goldstein: NOBODY KNOWS. They’ve been exceptionally quiet. 6:55 Robert: Thank you for all of the hard work. I hope you have some time off lined up. 6:55 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe! 6:55 Ian: Any word on teams in the top 10 cutting deals? 6:55 Kevin Goldstein: We’re hearing BAL at 5 and suddenly ARZ at 6 as possible candidates. 6:56 Field of Dreams: Hey, so what’s the deal with Schwellenbach and Tyler Whitaker? What can we expect from them? Are they any good? 6:56 Atticus: Is there a chance Kumar falls to the Mets? 6:56 Kevin Goldstein: 0.87352% 6:56 Eric A Longenhagen: I’m not really on either Scwellenbach or Whittaker. 6:56 Eric A Longenhagen: whittaker traditional RF, whiffs, power, frame. Schwell relief look on the mound, fringe util piece as a bat, imo 6:56 Jewish Pache: How far does Lawlar have to drop for it to become a legitimate possibility that he ends up at Vandy? Could Cincinnati make a play for him with a handshake agreement with their massive bonus pool? 6:56 Kevin Goldstein: Word is he needs top 5 money, so do the math. 6:57 Eric A Longenhagen: I’ve heard 6 or bust, maybe CIN could blow it out for him. Not sure they’re prepared for that and think they need depth more than most orgs, so feel sunlikely 6:57 Tyler: what are the most likely landing spots for Jobe is he doesn’t go #3? 6:57 Kevin Goldstein: 7-11 . . . mmmmm Slurpee 6:58 Guest: If the Pirates don’t take Mayer, would that cause chaos for other teams and their draft? 6:58 Kevin Goldstein: Would really just shuffle up the first five or six picks. 6:58 Reid: Any intrigue unfolding at 1-1? 6:58 Kevin Goldstein: Tons, but it’s all speculation. Nobody seems to know what they are doing….. 7:00 Tevin: Thanks for the coverage! When can we expect to see these players debut in the minor leagues? 7:00 Kevin Goldstein: Next month, but expect a lot of pitchers to just be shut down. 7:01 Rob: Mike Rizzo’s record of picking SP is spotty at best in the draft. Who are you hearing he drafts? 7:01 Kevin Goldstein: There’s a late Benny Montgomery rumor…. 7:01 dundas: how much lighter is marcelo mayer as a prospect than manny machado was *at the time machado was drafted*? mayer seems to get tagged with ‘upside like seager’ but it seems like mayer is more well-regarded than seager was at the time of the draft. 7:02 Eric A Longenhagen: Good question. Machado was similar in that he ws on the SS/3B line but I don’t think Marcelo has quite that much power projection 7:02 Matt: Odds that the O’s take lawlar if he’s available? Did they think he’d be available at 5? 7:02 Kevin Goldstein: Very low, I think they’d prefer Watson over Lawlar. 7:02 Guest: With ten minutes to go, do you think the Pirates are actually still figuring out who to take, or has their decision just not leaked yet? 7:02 Kevin Goldstein: I think they’re still trying to nail down a deal. 7:03 The Crusher: Gut feeling on O’s pick? 7:03 Kevin Goldstein: Watson or cut a deal on McLain. 7:03 Appa Yip Yip: Do you think the Jays go underslot to try and pry a guy away from a college commitment in the 3rd round to make up for the lack of a 2nd round pick, or do they just take the best player they can get for slot? 7:03 Eric A Longenhagen: rumor is they wanna cut in the first 7:04 Reid: We have Harold Reynolds comping Marcelo Mayer to Joe Namath. There have to be better people for this kind of event, no? 7:04 Kevin Goldstein: I mean, they’re chatting with you at FanGraphs, so you’re still a winner. 7:04 Danny Samet: If Harry Ford falls enough, do you see him going to Georgia Tech? If so, where is “enough” 7:04 Kevin Goldstein: Feels like he’ll go somewhere where he’ll sign. 7:04 Danny: Are you doing a last minute mock or no ? 7:05 Eric A Longenhagen: not enough changes to do one. McLain 5 is the lone piece of real-feeling dope 7:05 Eric A Longenhagen: cowser 6 maybe as a cut if no lawlar 7:05 JD: Will Bednar ceiling/floor? 7:05 Kevin Goldstein: He reportedly is asking for $3 mil, so floor is likely in the 20-25 range. Ceiling is mid to late teens, but unlikely. 7:06 Kyle: I’m assuming Henry Davis at 4 if Leiter isn’t there ? 7:06 Kevin Goldstein: Also my assumption, but I don’t feel super great about it. 7:07 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds like Henry Davis 1 7:08 BlueJayMatt: How high would Gunnar Hoglund go without the TJ surgery? 7:08 Kevin Goldstein: 6-10 7:10 SJ: So Mayer or Leiter 2? 7:10 Kevin Goldstein: That’s the question! 7:10 Chris: Detroit going mayer for sure? 7:10 Kevin Goldstein: If he’s there, I believe so. 7:10 Daniel: Who are your favorite second round overslot types in this draft? 7:10 Eric A Longenhagen: Braden Montgomery 7:11 Mitch: I shouldn’t read too much into Jasson Dominguez just beating the crap out of the ball at the futures game, right? 7:11 Eric A Longenhagen: thought he had 5 raw during BP 7:11 Guest: Is Jobe @ 3 for Tigers a reach with history of prep pitchers? 7:11 Kyle W: Does Davis know hes been drafted in the studio right now? 7:11 Eric A Longenhagen: would be, but feels unlikely to happen now that Davis seems to be goig 1 7:11 Kevin Goldstein: Almost certainly. 7:12 Brandon: Is there a shot McClain falls to the Cubs and would the Cubs even do that. 7:12 Kevin Goldstein: Almost zero chance of that. Floor is 12-15. 7:13 zurzles: If trading draft picks were allowed, which teams would be trading up and down right now? 7:13 Eric A Longenhagen: BAL probably trading down, TOR trading down 7:14 Eric A Longenhagen: I will be updating The Board with picks here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2021-mlb-draft/summary?s… 7:14 Matt: How many screens are you guys working with? And what is on each? 7:14 Kevin Goldstein: Three. The show, this chat, Twitter. 7:15 Eric A Longenhagen: 4 7:15 Kevin Goldstein: Eric always trying to upstage me. 7:15 Eric A Longenhagen: chat on my tablet, other shit on my laptop, broadcast on two screens 7:15 Pinstripe Perry: Can either of you explain to me why Trey Sweeney seems like a R1 lock? Sitting in the 60s on THE BOARD. Is it just the dearth of College Hitters or something more (like being willing to cut a below slot deal)? Get the models love him but man the late teens or 20s seems rich for me. 7:15 Kevin Goldstein: He crushes stat models. Teams lean heavily on such models. 7:15 Forza Italia: Is the prospect fatigue on Rocker real? Other prospect evaluators seem to have soured on hum 7:16 Eric A Longenhagen: He’s been good not great lately, stuff has been up and down a few times since HS. that scares some. Others see 4th starter floor ith upside that he returns to peak 7:16 Eric A Longenhagen: he’s being properly evaluated 7:16 kevinthecomic: Davis project to remain at C? 7:16 Kevin Goldstein: It’s the big question. No questions on the bat, certainly. 7:17 Kevin Goldstein: He’ll certainly be sent out there. 7:17 Guest: who we opinion on the MLB TV broadcast should we pay attention to? Ignore? 7:17 Eric A Longenhagen: Jim and Carlos 7:17 Dj: what does DOPE mean in the mock write-ups lol 7:17 Eric A Longenhagen: intel, rumor 7:18 Steve: Where do you think Wicks goes? I’ve seen him linked to Tampa Bay, could he fall that far? 7:18 Eric A Longenhagen: 11-20 range off hand 7:18 Charlie: How would McClain save money for teams? Isn’t the slot based on where the player is selected? 7:18 Kevin Goldstein: No, this is not the NBA or NFL, you have a total bonus pool based on your picks in first ten rounds that you can distribute however you see fit. 7:18 ECU Fan: Does Connor Norby get picked tonight? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: gonna be close. he was 36th on an iteration of our last mock and i was told that’s maybe rich 7:19 O’s Fan: Does Davis going #1 increase or decrease the chances of Leiter falling to the Orioles at #5? 7:19 Kevin Goldstein: I mean, there was no chance of that to begin with. 7:19 Sean: Marcelo Mayer has great hair, per my wife when he was on mlbn just now. Does that help his draft stock or no? 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: imo yes 7:19 Eric A Longenhagen: 80 lettuce 7:20 Guest: If the braves don’t pick schwellenbach where do you see him going? 7:20 Kevin Goldstein: My very vague answer is college player. 7:25 Andy C: KG What do you think of Corbin’s suit? 7:25 Kevin Goldstein: I dig it. Hearing this next pick is Jobe over Mayer. Which is surprising. 7:26 Chris B: Red Sox pick suddenly is very interesting, correct? 7:26 Kevin Goldstein: FASCINATING 7:26 Brendan: Karl Ravech just said that Leiter could pitch in the bigs right now if he needed to. True? 7:26 Kevin Goldstein: Nope. 7:26 Guest: Robo umps make Davis more or less valuable? 7:26 Eric A Longenhagen: theyll help 7:28 Eric A Longenhagen: sox taking Marcelo 7:28 Danny: On Friday, what were chances that zero shortstops would go in top 3? 7:29 Kevin Goldstein: crazy low. 7:29 MJA: Marcelo Mayer looks like the guy you are terrified to see befriend your wife or girlfriend when she goes to study abroad 7:29 Eric A Longenhagen: lol 7:29 Kvn: How long do the teams get to pick? I was assuming they’d put a clock up or something. 7:29 Eric A Longenhagen: 4:30 7:32 Guest: Who are the likely names for the Mariners at 12? 7:32 Eric A Longenhagen: they want McLain 7:33 Kevin Goldstein: Baltimore is going to take Colton Cowser 7:34 Guest: Did Mayer price himself down to the Red Sox? 7:35 Kevin Goldstein: Maybe, kind of. Word was he wouldn’t cut any deals and wanted full slot. 7:35 Drew: does o’dowd’s buehler comp for jobe hold any water 7:35 Eric A Longenhagen: meh, the feel for spin is close, but the arm slot is not 7:35 Atticus: How crazy is this draft so far compared to 20,19 7:35 Eric A Longenhagen: effing crazy? maybe it’s just becuse we’re deep in it right now 7:35 Eric A Longenhagen: like KGand I are on the phone with eachother and texting everyone we know all the time 7:35 Eric A Longenhagen: and in here 7:35 Ben: Any thoughts on who could fall to the Rockies? 7:36 Eric A Longenhagen: Watson? 7:37 bernbp5: Is Cowsher below slot? 7:37 Kevin Goldstein: I would think so. 7:37 Josh: Kumar going to fall out of the top 10? 7:37 Kevin Goldstein: Doubtful. 7:39 Stearns: Do the Brewers go with Hoglund at their pick? 7:39 Kevin Goldstein: No sources but I think Lawlar goes next. 7:39 Eric A Longenhagen: unsure at this point. think he’s in your mix tho 7:40 Matt: Rocker to the Angels realistic? 7:40 Kevin Goldstein: Not out of the realm of possiblity. 7:40 Jon Daniels: Likelihood Leiter signs? 7:40 Eric A Longenhagen: like 95% 7:40 Kevin: Cowser is a model guy right? 7:40 Eric A Longenhagen: scouts love him too 7:41 Kevin Goldstein: Checks a lot of boxes! 7:42 Kevin Goldstein: Sorry, for the delays folks, our phones are going nuts! I have no KC contacts, so time to answer questions! 7:43 Jason: What’re the chances of Will Bednar being there for the Pirates at #37? I know sentiment has no place in the draft, but… 7:43 Kevin Goldstein: He’s going in the 15-25 range. 7:43 Lee: Does Sweeney to the Cards still seem the most likely scenario? 7:43 Kevin Goldstein: He’s definitely high in their mix. 7:44 Chad: Lawler here? 7:44 Kevin Goldstein: Sources say yes. 7:44 Josie: Will Kumar slide down to the Angels? 7:44 Eric A Longenhagen: looking possible 7:44 Ezra: Will Brady House be open for the Giants? 7:44 Kevin Goldstein: Still think he goes top 11…. 7:45 Bob: is Mayer the best prospect in the Red Sox system? 7:45 Kevin Goldstein: Him or Casas . . . . 7:45 Hick Rahn: How surprising is it that Detroit didn’t jump on Mayer at 1-3? 7:45 zurzles: Bitter old farts at the Orioles Hangout universally hate the Cowser pick, please say something nice to get them off the ledge 7:46 Kevin Goldstein: Dude can hit. 7:46 Eric A Longenhagen: hearing they had deal i nplace with Jobe that they didn’t want to break. 7:46 Nate: odds Mayer signs? 7:46 Kevin Goldstein: 99.999999483858327% 7:47 Pinstripe Perry: Kevin: During your time in Houston was there ever a player the models loved where you just didn’t see “it” when you saw him play? 7:48 Kevin Goldstein: PLENTY. Colin Moran might be the biggest name among them. 7:48 RoyalsFan96: It’s either Rocker or Watson for the Royals at 7, right? 7:48 Kevin Goldstein: This one might get weird, actually…… 7:50 dundas: how much more or less underslot is davis at 1 than cowser at 5? 7:50 Kevin Goldstein: Significantly, just because of the size of the bonus slot. 7:50 Jeremy: Chance Lawler signs? 7:50 Kevin Goldstein: Very high. Wouldn’t have picked him without knowing the cost. 7:51 sadtrombone: Death, taxes, and the Orioles taking someone below slot 7:51 Eric A Longenhagen: we have cowser in our top 1– so i love it 7:51 Bloom: How do you think the Red Sox feel about their pick? Would have they preferred Leiter or Davis or are they thrilled Mayer unexpectedly fell in their laps? 7:51 Eric A Longenhagen: (massive erection) 7:51 Kevin: Eric’s gotta be feeling good about the Cowser prediction 7:51 Eric A Longenhagen: oh yeah and i already let kevin hear it 7:51 Guest: Does the Davis pick over HS SS signal anything about Pirates internal timeline or was it made more off the desire to go underslot. 7:51 Kevin Goldstein: It was more about finding the best talent/$ balance than any kind of timing thing. 7:53 Ezra: Are there any worries about Jobe and sticky stuff with his rapid burst onto the scene and top pitches? 7:53 Eric A Longenhagen: no and his high speed looks clean 7:54 Danny: What are chances Harry Ford is around at 20? 7:54 Eric A Longenhagen: dont have a great sense of that yet 7:54 Dodger Fan: Not relevant but MAX MUNCY 7:54 Kevin Goldstein: I mean, kinda relevant, he could go late first. 7:55 Steve: Could the D-backs have picked an “unsignable” guy in order to get the 7th pick next year, increasing their signing money to just overpower everyone in 2022? 7:55 Kevin Goldstein: no. 7:55 Ben Cherington: What’s the likely savings on Davis over Mayer? 7:56 Eric A Longenhagen: I’d guess close to slot at 4 is what Davis gets 7:56 Mitch: Is Mozzicato an under slot pick? Or are they just crazy high on him? 7:56 Kevin Goldstein: I think a little of both. 7:57 Ben Cherington: Where does Davis rank with the Pirates other 50FV hitters? 7:57 Eric A Longenhagen: all the 50 FV players top 100 rankings are on the draft board 7:57 Ian: Rocker to the angels a lock? 7:57 Kevin Goldstein: Not at all. 7:59 Joe: How should KC fans view the Mozzicato pick with the consensus top-10 talent still there? 7:59 Kevin Goldstein: By raising their eyebrows….. 7:59 Adam: So far, looks like the teams in the late teens are going to have consensus early teens talent available. Really interesting start to the draft. 7:59 Kevin Goldstein: Yeah, this is getting really crazy really early. It’s fun god dammit. 8:01 matt: Does how things have shaped up so far maybe show just how big the gap is of what the teams know vs. the public? 8:01 Kevin Goldstein: Like Kiley said on the podcast, I think you’d be shocked on the variability on how teams evaluate and rank players. 8:01 Cody: Would you be surprised to see Rocker fall into the late teens? Looking at you Cincy 8:01 Kevin Goldstein: Still, yes. 8:01 Danny: Bigger surprise- Mozz to the Royals at 7 or Ian Anderson to the Braves at 3? 8:01 Eric A Longenhagen: mozz 8:01 Marlins: How likely is it that Harry Ford falls to them? 8:01 Kevin Goldstein: I would bet he’s available there….. 8:02 Jack: KC – WTF? 8:02 Kevin Goldstein: Royals fans are salty….. 8:02 Johnnie: How much work are teams doing now that a couple big guys have fallen? 8:02 Kevin Goldstein: Scramble city. 8:03 RAndoM121: Is there a point where Watson and/or House decide to go to school over signing? 8:03 Kevin Goldstein: Probably, but I doubt we are close to there yet. 8:04 Marvin: Kevin, what kind of work did you guys do the first time you had a mid-teens pick and took Whitley? It didn’t seem like he was going much higher but were you going into draft day expecting to get him? 8:04 Kevin Goldstein: Certainly HOPING to get him, felt like a 50/50 chance during the day…. 8:04 Dipoto: Who are the Angels taking? 8:04 Kevin Goldstein: We’re hearing SO many different names. 8:04 Kevin Goldstein: Bachman a sudden rumor, and that would surprise me. 8:05 Felix: What are the Royals seeing in Mozzicato given its 40+ FV? 8:05 Eric A Longenhagen: big fastball carry, breaking ball feel, athletic and smooth as hell 8:05 Eric A Longenhagen: he’s a good prospect 8:07 Rachel: What position would benefit best from high intelligence? Who would be hurt by low intellect? I’d say pitcher & catcher, respectively 8:07 Kevin Goldstein: Catcher is my first, second and third answer. 8:07 Andrew: The Mets are going to stop this madness, right? 8:07 Kevin Goldstein: Maybe? 8:07 Dave: Speaking of Detroit having a deal in place, how many teams have “deals” in prior to the draft? 8:08 Kevin Goldstein: In the first round, nearly all, and quite possibly all of them. 8:09 raikura: who’ll be the top-rated player not taken day one? 8:09 JoJo: How are y’all receiving news? Via messaging apps? Is it chaotic right now? 8:09 Kevin Goldstein: My “Messages” window is absolute insanity right now. I don’t know how anyone does this job without Messages on a Mac computer. 8:10 Eric A Longenhagen: Maybe Josh Baez or Ryan Cusick? 8:10 Rachel: Can’t really evaluate the Royals pick till we see what they do next? Or is it already not a great look? 8:10 Eric A Longenhagen: agreed with the first point 8:10 Kevin Goldstein: Absolutely agree. 8:10 Eric A Longenhagen: KC knows what theyre doing 8:11 Guest: Sam Bachman? What? 8:11 Kevin Goldstein: I guess they weren’t as concerned with the medical as some teams were. 8:12 Sweet Lou: Will Pittsburgh be working all night getting a final deal with tomorrow’s #1 pick, or are those deals still already in place? 8:12 Kevin Goldstein: They mostly happen right before. 8:17 Eric A Longenhagen: sorry fo neglecting chat to woj 8:17 zurzles: Straight up what the hell is going on with this draft 8:17 Eric A Longenhagen: it’s a blast, fuck the mocks 8:17 Kevin Goldstein: Indeed. 8:17 Michael: It didn’t seem like they had a deal with Bachman…why do you think they took him? Or am I reading his face wrong 8:17 Eric A Longenhagen: agreed, just the way it played out felt like they were on the phone as long as possible 8:17 Kyle: Any chance Will Bednar tells teams not to take him until the Pirates next pick? His brother is on the team and they can go way overslot to get him now assuming Davis was well underslot. 8:17 Eric A Longenhagen: this is clever and intersting, hadn’t thought about it 8:18 sadtrombone: Eric says Brady House to WAS on Twitter. Come on, don’t you love us? 8:18 Kevin Goldstein: Here’s some love then, we’re about to say Ford at 12. 8:18 Dalton Wilcox: So how many handshake deals were in that top 10? Yeesh 8:18 Kevin Goldstein: All of them. 8:19 Andy: So the Angels went cheap? 8:19 Eric A Longenhagen: i mean, yeah. blame moreno 8:19 Guest: Where is Kiley rn 8:20 Tim: Watson to the Reds, please!! 8:20 Kevin Goldstein: Not out of the question! 8:20 Eric A Longenhagen: on tv, his hair looks pretty good 8:20 Pinstripe Perry: Tim Corbin is on TV comping Kumar to Bob Gibson with a straight face. Please make it stop. 8:20 Eric A Longenhagen: Corbin has my respect, he loves the kid he’s not objective 8:22 Reid: should I be happy or really bummed about Benny Montgomery? 8:22 Kevin Goldstein: You should be fine . . . somewhere in the middle. 8:22 tom hogan: tojgbhujhi 8:22 Kevin Goldstein: I could not agree more. 8:22 Ross: If Tony Kemp can get up to 50-60FV Raw, does it justify the ‘Stros 6 rounder they spent on him? 8:22 Kevin Goldstein: He already a great sixth rounder. 8:23 Beef: Bucks or Suns tonight? 8:23 Eric A Longenhagen: Suns baby 8:23 Guest: Thoughts on Kumar to the Mets? 8:23 Eric A Longenhagen: good for them, good for the kid too. might move fast and be in a freaking sick rotation 8:23 Noah B: Would Jay Allen be a good pick for the blue jays? 8:24 Eric A Longenhagen: doubt they go HS because they lack 2nd rounder 8:25 Wesley: Any buzz on the Giants at 14? 8:25 Kevin Goldstein: Nothing recent yet. 8:28 RaptorPenguin: Any idea what the Cardinals are thinking at 18? 8:28 Kevin Goldstein: Feels like they’re in best on the board mode. 8:28 Dalton Wilcox: I really like that House pick for the Nats 8:28 Kevin Goldstein: Me too! 8:28 Sad Rockies Fan: Can you make me feel good about the Montgomery pick because I was really excited about the future power potential of Veen and House in Coors 8:29 Eric A Longenhagen: oh I dig Benny. Big time athlete. swing is weird but has barrel feel anyway, think he hits 8:30 Jake: Any word on what the Giants are thinking? 8:30 Eric A Longenhagen: we’re working on this one, it’s been tougher than some of the others 8:30 Ben: Is Khalil Watson going to school? 8:30 Kevin Goldstein: It’s getting interesting . . . 8:30 Joe L: Could the trading of draft picks be part of the upcoming new CBA? 8:30 Kevin Goldstein: Could, but doubtful…. 8:30 Sirras: Biggest surprise in the top 10 picks? 8:30 Eric A Longenhagen: honestly Bachman 8:30 Guest: Think the giants are more like to go best player available or cut an under slot deal? 8:30 Kevin Goldstein: Real mystery at the moment. 8:31 Eric A Longenhagen: i had a pro scout tell me the Royals pro director was in to see Mozz and I should have put more weight on it 8:31 Jake: Thoughts on Ford? Surprised given we just called up Raleigh today, our assumed catcher of the future… 8:31 Kevin Goldstein: Ford might be a CF in the end. 8:33 Smalls: Why is Bachman a surprise? Two plus pitches already, moreso fit or just not that high on him? 8:33 Kevin Goldstein: Reliever risk, some medical concerns (hip/shoulder) 8:33 Eric: Does the number of teams trying to go underslot have an impact on other teams’ draft plans? Like there are only so many HS players you can go overslot on later right… ? 8:33 Kevin Goldstein: Massive impact! 8:34 Thomashsnu: Kahlil Watson rumor? 8:34 Kevin Goldstein: Rumor that SF is kicking the tires here, but I wouldn’t tweet it or anything yet. 8:35 Giants: would the Giants take Watson if he fell? 8:35 Eric A Longenhagen: (eyebrows raise) 8:37 Kevin Goldstein: We are both hearing Watson, but just enough people saying not done yet to make us a tiny bit nervous. 8:37 jazzpaw: Madden to Brewers if Giants take Watson? 8:37 Kevin Goldstein: We haven’t heard his name there. 8:38 Johndarc: Any truth to the reports that some draftees will refuse to sign due to issues with how the org treats minor leaguers? 8:38 Kevin Goldstein: Not buying it. 8:38 Troutmaggedon: Think Mike McGreevy lands in the first round? 8:38 Kevin Goldstein: Maybe in the 20s, but not a lock. 8:38 BrewCrew: Bednar? Brewers? 8:38 Kevin Goldstein: Have never heard him there…. 8:39 Rangers: who are the rangers on with pick 38? 8:39 Kevin Goldstein: C’mon man! 8:42 Dalton Wilcox: Ed Howard or Jordan Lawlar? Please note that I’ve got hands by my silver bullet six shooters just in case you’re a werewolf 8:42 Kevin Goldstein: Lawler and it’s not close for me, but Eric and I differ on Howard greatly. 8:42 Eric A Longenhagen: those two very similar to me. instinctive, polished, good glove, might lack star impact and just be solid everyday type 8:42 Antonio Bananas: Is Rocker good enough to be a bullpen piece right now? 8:42 Kevin Goldstein: Nope. 8:42 Farhandrew Zaidman: Swerve to Bednar by the Giants? Signability issues with Watson? 8:42 Kevin Goldstein: Yup. 8:43 Bradley: Where do you think Sal Frelick will land? 8:43 Eric A Longenhagen: MIL is now the favorite, MIA I think likes him too 8:43 Guest: Who are the Rangers on with pick 517? 8:43 Kevin Goldstein: Looking at Juco infielders. 8:44 Mark: How often do swing adjustments actually pay off? 8:44 Eric A Longenhagen: Jarren Duran’s is, big time 8:44 Eric A Longenhagen: Brennan Davis 8:44 exhaused tigers fan: any idea of who may fall out of the first or has it been too wild to tell? 8:46 Smalls: Watson to Cincy in play given their big bonus pool? 8:46 Kevin Goldstein: Possible…. 8:46 Jeff: Is Bednar underslot? What were likely Watsons signability issues? 8:46 Kevin Goldstein: Bednar had a reported asking price of 3m, so slightly. 8:49 Blue Jays: Hearing anything on who’s in play for the Jays? 8:49 Kevin Goldstein: Hearing they’re all over the place, TBD 8:49 Guest: Hi Eric and Kevin,If Rutschman and Torkelson were in this year’s drart, where would they go, respectively? I say both 1-1 but friend disagrees. Settle a be on who pays the others MLB pass next year! 8:49 Johndarc: Are there still teams drafting players based on how hot their girlfriends are? 8:49 Kevin Goldstein: They never did. Movies are fiction. 8:49 Eric A Longenhagen: both 1-1 8:49 Eric A Longenhagen: Adley killed BP today, he’s a freak 8:50 jazzpaw: How far might Madden fall? 8:50 Kevin Goldstein: I’m the biggest Madden-stan there is, so he’s already a steal. 8:51 Kevin Goldstein: We are hearing Sal Frelick to MIL at 15 8:51 Guest: Heard anything on Frelick’s asking price? Seemed like he was possible for Baltimore, or even Pittsburgh at one point. 8:51 Kevin Goldstein: Those would have been underslot deals — this will be around slot. 8:51 Josh: Gunnar going to be there for the Cubs? 8:51 Kevin Goldstein: I still think Yankees are the floor, but it’s been a weird one. 8:55 Re: Nats: House is great… but doesn’t it feel like Rizzo must have punched a wall after Rocker went to NYM? 8:55 Kevin Goldstein: I’m sure he was hoping for it, but I’m sure he was calm and cool about it. 8:55 Drew: what’s the difference between Frelick and Benetendi as draft prospects? Feels like Frelick is better since he can play CF 8:55 Kevin Goldstein: Andrew showed more power. 8:56 Johndarc: Do teams usually pick the best player available and figure it out later, or specific players at positions of need? 8:56 Kevin Goldstein: Day one and two: Best player. 8:56 Ross: Any feeling on a direction for the Cubs? Prep bat? College arm? 8:56 Kevin Goldstein: They’ve been attached to every type of player. 8:59 Pat: Solometo to the Cubs? Maybe? 8:59 Kevin Goldstein: Certainly possible. We know he had a great workout for them. 9:01 Tim: Eric, how was Baty’s BP today? 9:01 Eric A Longenhagen: freaking great 9:01 Eric A Longenhagen: may be 7 raw now 9:01 Guest: Watson will certainly be over slot, right? 9:01 Eric A Longenhagen: his infield was great too 9:01 Kevin Goldstein: absolutely 9:01 Eric A Longenhagen: no doubt 3B, he’s a top 60 guy 9:01 Jobe Search: Any over slot names the Tigers may use some savings on with their picks in the 30s? …Will there be any savings with Jobe? 9:01 Kevin Goldstein: I think there’s a minor savings here. 9:02 Brett: Could the reds go madden? 9:02 Kevin Goldstein: Basically every team at this point should take him, but again, I love the dude. 9:04 Pat: If the Cubs had the option do you think they’d prefer to go with a college pitcher or HS pitcher? 9:04 Eric A Longenhagen: hearing college arm now 9:04 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe Wicks 9:05 Gourd Sword: Crazy thought – but would Cherington get a strongly-worded email from ownership or an empty box placed on his desk if he picked Watson in round 2 and blew like 80% of their pool trying to sign those 2? 9:05 Kevin Goldstein: No worries. 9:05 Pinstripe Perry: Would Mikulski at 31 be enough of a haircut for Miami to get Watson done or do they need more? 9:06 Jack: How was Pedro Leon’s bp 9:06 Kevin Goldstein: It would be a good start. 9:06 Eric A Longenhagen: solid, close to average raw. I got very emotional when he and Jose barrero saw eachother for prbably the first time in years and hugged for like 30 seconds 9:06 baseball stan: Too aggressive for AZ to send Lawlar out to Visalia for the rest of the MiLB season or likely just going to instructs? 9:06 Eric A Longenhagen: Eric in Tempe says he needs a week at Salt River 9:07 Gavi: What obstacles are in the way of them signing Watson 9:07 Kevin Goldstein: They would not have taken him without knowing what it will take. 9:07 Guest: Hey KG, best bachelor party bars in Wicker Park? Nothing clubby, just lots and lots of beer 9:07 Kevin Goldstein: Estelle’s! 9:09 Get Two, Brute?: McLain…Kevin Newman 2.0! 9:09 Kevin Goldstein: I might like this comp more than I want to admit. 9:09 Boston: Where does Mayer start? Greenville? Salem? 9:09 Kevin Goldstein: Low-A at the most. 9:09 Ben: How many people are in the chat now? So fun doing this with all of you! 9:09 Kevin Goldstein: We’re over 1500! 9:09 Mateo: So when Watson was running back into camera on the broadcast after getting picked, do you think that was him confirming he would sign with Miami seconds before getting picked? 9:09 Kevin Goldstein: ABSOLUTELY. 9:09 Eric: Are the White Sox still locked on prep infielders? 9:09 Eric A Longenhagen: They love COlson but he might go 20 or 21 9:09 Pinstripe Perry: Any woj’ing on either of StL or TOR yet? 9:10 Kevin Goldstein: We’re working on it. 9:13 Kevin Goldstein: First round? All of the above. From Day two on, scouting director. 9:14 Kevin Goldstein: Hoglund going to TOR 9:14 Jeb: Is will taylor getting drafted? 9:14 Kevin Goldstein: It’s looking like maybe as a backup pick. 9:15 Joe: Any interest in talking Orioles fans off the ledge? 9:15 Kevin Goldstein: Sure. Cowser is really good and they’ll be able to spend some more money later on. Be fine. 9:16 Re: Nats: Will Taylor as a “backup pick.” What does that mean? in the teen rounds in case a first rounder says no? 9:16 Kevin Goldstein: Exactly. In case something weird happens with a high pick…. 9:17 Vern: If teams had 4 minutes 30 seconds to make their selections, we’d be through #30 by now (9:15 EST), but we’re only at #18. What am I missing? 9:17 Kevin Goldstein: Ads. Announced picks, special presentations, interviews. does this actually bug you? 9:21 Max: how early could kevin kopps go? could he help save some money on overslot 2nd/3rd rounders? 9:22 Eric A Longenhagen: that’s interesting, probably 4-5 for me, maybe he is a cut for MIA now with Watson on board 9:22 Robbie: Where is Lonnie White slotting right now. What are the chances he goes to PSU instead? 9:22 Kevin Goldstein: Word is he wants first-round money, and that might be too high for most teams. 9:23 Bird Dog: Have you ever crossed a prospect off your board after speaking with a coach that had really negative things to say about a player’s work ethic, makeup? 9:23 Kevin Goldstein: Yes. 9:23 Farhandrew Zaidman: There’s a typo on the BOARD for Michael McGreevy…unless he is really 6’4 100 lbs. In which case, damn. 9:23 Kevin Goldstein: #Lanky. 9:23 jazzpaw: Could Madden return to Texas or would he have to go Juco? 9:23 Kevin Goldstein: He can return. 9:24 John B: McGreevey? Seems quite meh 9:24 Kevin Goldstein: Yeah, gonna be honest. I’m kinda meh on this myself. 9:24 Max: Are comps tossed around in draft rooms the same way they are being tossed around on TV? 9:24 Kevin Goldstein: ALL THE TIME. 9:24 Guest: what happen to Ty Madden? 9:24 Kevin Goldstein: I’m baffled. 9:25 NihilistDuda: Would pitching at Vandy be the equivalent of pitching at AA? 9:25 Kevin Goldstein: Not even close. 9:25 Glen: dope on the A’s? 9:25 Kevin Goldstein: Hearing them attached to a lot of HS bats. 9:25 mason: Joe Mack going anytime soon? Or is he going to college? 9:26 Kevin Goldstein: Was always expected to go in the 20s…. 9:28 Pat: Please tell me Madden is going to fall to the Cubs…. 9:28 Kevin Goldstein: They’re taking Wicks. 9:29 Sticky stuff: Any word on how teams are trying to verify if any college or HS guys were using before draft? Not sure how tight the perfect games and such are at checking for it at showcases etc 9:29 Kevin Goldstein: Almost no checks at all. 9:29 Guest: Indians? Wicks? 9:29 Kevin Goldstein: Wicks going 21, we are hearing HS infielders to CLE, but they’re pretty vague rumors. 9:30 Guest: Khalil Watson talking about his deal in his interview anything to worry about? like in terms of rule breaking 9:30 Kevin Goldstein: Nah. 9:30 Humpback Chubs: Is there significant crossover between the sources of Kevin, Eric, Kiley, Callis, etc? 9:30 Kevin Goldstein: Not a ton. 9:34 Ryan: Will Madden have to be overslot at this point? 9:34 Tyler: Is Sweeney going to go underslot? You guys, Pipeline, and Keith Law all have him outside of top 50 9:34 Kevin Goldstein: I think so, a little at the least. 9:34 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe if a scouty team is willing to do it 9:34 bernbp5: With Watson dropping in the draft, will you trust your evaluation and keep him at 57 on top 100 or will he fall? 9:34 Kevin Goldstein: I’m fine with where we had him. 9:34 Mike: If Bachman turns into a RP like Crochet, is that a disappointment for the 9th pick? I’m looking for a bright side. 9:34 Kevin Goldstein: I think it’s bad. 9:35 BC Fan: Morissette was rumored to Yankees by BA, but obviously not happening. Any thoughts on when he might go? 9:36 Guest: OU alum here: What round do you see Joe Rock going? 9:36 Kevin Goldstein: We also heard this, but I always though it was more of for the second round…. 9:36 Kevin Goldstein: 3rd-6th… 9:36 Keith: Any Braves intel emerging now that their pick is coming up? 9:36 Kevin Goldstein: Bit of a wild card still…… 9:36 AJ: From a team perspective, how is info leaked? It is something the team is authorizing or is it more “I shouldn’t be telling you this, but…” 9:36 Kevin Goldstein: A little of both. 9:36 T: Still thinking schwellenbach for the braves? 9:36 Kevin Goldstein: I’m not anywhere near as sold as I was. 9:37 Guest: Some names falling for the White Sox. Who do you think they go with here? 9:37 Kevin Goldstein: Colson Montgomery. 9:37 Royals Boy: so when draft season is over, will organizations start releasing players they dont think will cut it? 9:37 Kevin Goldstein: After signing season, yes. 9:37 Pat: Is there a lot of reliever risk for Wicks? Or is he likely to end up a starter? 9:37 Kevin Goldstein: Starter package for me. 9:37 Guest: Biggest surprise selection so far? Biggest surprise non-selection so far? 9:37 Kevin Goldstein: Mozzicato/Madden 9:38 Max: What are the Astros doing tonight? 9:38 Kevin Goldstein: Hanging out, eating well, watching the draft, pulling magnets. 9:38 Pete: Jud Fabian tonight? 9:38 Kevin Goldstein: I have trouble seeing it 9:38 CraigB: Pirate fan here – if Davis washes out as a C, is his bat going to let him be a regular anywhere else? If so, where? 9:39 Kevin Goldstein: Yes. Corner OF or 1B. 9:39 David: how different is draft evaluation for most organizations today vs 3/5/10 years ago? 9:39 Kevin Goldstein: A little different/very different/INSANELY DIFFERENT. 9:39 Stinko: Any chance CLE takes Madden? Please say yes 9:39 Kevin Goldstein: We’re hearing that if they take a college arm it will be Gavin Willaims. 9:39 A-aron: How much trying to predict the rest of the round for the teams without picks left? Or is it more read-react starting tomorrow 9:40 Kevin Goldstein: Read/react. 9:40 Bill: Favorite pick of the draft thus far? It doesn’t necessarily have to be what you think the best value is… 9:40 Kevin Goldstein: We’ll have a wrap up tomorrow. 9:42 sadtrombone: With the way this board is shaking out I could see Madden at 24 to ATL 9:42 sadtrombone: Are teams really not sure of their board right now or are the sources for any given team just all over the place? 9:42 Eric A Longenhagen: eh, approach angle piece isn’t there, they’re very data heavy 9:42 Kevin Goldstein: It hard to nail down some teams. 9:42 Max: Who do you both see as the hardest sign so far? 9:42 Kevin Goldstein: The best bet is that they’ll all sign and have already agreed upon a number. 9:43 Ty: Any insight on why Madden is falling? Is there a makeup thing, or at this point maybe signability concern? 9:43 Kevin Goldstein: Teams are mixed on his pitch data, but I think he’s among the steals of the draft at this point. 9:43 JD: are you surprised Gunnar Hoglund slipped to the Jays? 9:43 Kevin Goldstein: Not really, Was always seen as 12-20 range. 9:43 Ross: Not sure I love the upside on Wicks; is there more meat on the bone? Or is his real value in his safety? 9:43 Kevin Goldstein: Good pick at 21. 9:43 Billy G: How do teams model high schoolers? Like what data is even available to use? Is any of that data public? 9:44 Kevin Goldstein: Tons of data from summer events. 9:44 Eric A Longenhagen: lefties with cambios like that typically do well (regarding wicks) 9:44 Down Under: Any idea who the Twins are looking at? 9:44 Eric A Longenhagen: maybe Jay Allen? Maybe Joe Mack? Maybe prep arm? They’re tough to peg right now 9:45 Well-Beered Englishman: Re: “they’ll all sign.” We’re not so far from the days of non-signs like Aaron Crow and Mark Appel. What happened? Has there been a big change in how FOs approach signing and negotiating? Would a Crow situation basically not happen now? 9:45 Kevin Goldstein: Crow was a different world. Appel to PIT was a bluff called and failed. 9:46 Eric A Longenhagen: sounds like maybe cusick to ATL working to confirm 9:47 Viv: About how late can Bubba Chandler go before he’s definitely going to Clemson? 9:47 Kevin Goldstein: We might be there. 9:47 James: Is Appel a guy models would peg now as “not #1 pick material”? 9:48 Kevin Goldstein: With modern pitch data, he would NOT have gone as high as he did. 9:48 Cole: Anyone tied to Oakland? 9:48 Kevin Goldstein: Looking like Max Muncy. 9:48 Marjinwalker: Re: Madden falling. At this point, do you think some teams just didn’t think he’d be available right now, and are less confident than the guys they may have zeroed in on at their draft number? 9:49 Kevin Goldstein: You also fall into a weird messed up feedback loop of “Oh they didn’t take him, what do they know that we don’t?” 9:49 Brian: Come on padres rumors PLEASE! 9:50 Eric A Longenhagen: prepsters 9:50 Sam: What makes teams go with HS players over more proven and closer-to-the-bigs College players? Aren’t HS players just way riskier? 9:50 Kevin Goldstein: And often have more upside based on tools. 9:51 Guest: Do either of you think that the draft will go back to over 20 rounds or has that ship sailed? 9:52 Eric A Longenhagen: think it’s likely gonna be 20 going forward 9:52 JwL: could we see more Carter Stewart-type decisions from high schoolers or was that an anomaly? 9:52 Eric A Longenhagen: I’d like to see it, personally 9:52 Eric A Longenhagen: what happened between him and ATL was definitely a singular sort of feud tho 9:52 Max: Best bet on first to the bigs? 9:53 Eric A Longenhagen: Davis or Leiter 9:53 Billy G: If the Braves take Cusick, then I’m gonna go ahead and pencil in Hartle to them in three years with this Wake Forest connection lol 9:53 Ryan: Anything on the Rays yet? 9:54 Eric A Longenhagen: not yet 9:55 Eric A Longenhagen: wonder if Kath? 9:55 Greg: Davis Diaz news? 9:55 Kevin Goldstein: Really never heard of him going on day one. 9:55 Patrick: You say we could be at the point Bubba Chandler goes to Clemson. Any chance he could be a 2nd round pick for one of the teams going under slot? Or not enough money there to make up? 9:56 Kevin Goldstein: Rumor is price is somewhere in the 4m range…. 9:56 spicieboy: Manfred getting booed because of the atlanta/colorado thing? 9:56 Kevin Goldstein: I mean, it could be any of a number of reasons. 9:56 sadtrombone: MAXIMUM MUNCY 9:56 Kevin Goldstein: he’s next 9:56 PhilliesPhan: Painter or Abel? Which one grades out higher coming out of HS. 9:56 Kevin Goldstein: Abel and Abel. 9:57 Guest: When do teams finished picking in round 1 start thinking about who might be available to them in round 2? 9:57 Kevin Goldstein: The second after they make their first round pick, if not before. 9:58 Royals Boy: andrew abbott go tonight or what round? 9:58 Kevin Goldstein: Not out of the question, but unlikely. Probably 2nd round. 10:00 Sam: Do you guys think Mayer immediately becomes the top prospect in the Sox system? 10:00 Eric A Longenhagen: we have Casas at 30 and Mayer at 37 overall 10:00 AJ Preller: Do the Padres take Madden? 10:01 Kevin Goldstein: Highly doubtful. 10:01 Jj: Been a while since we got the drop in front of Twitter. And the Padres select… 10:01 Kevin Goldstein: Let’s do it now. Jackson Merrill. 10:04 Mike Fetter’s cheeks: $4M asking price for someone like chandler… would it be insane for one of the top couple under slot teams to exhaust 75% of their bonus $ on their top two picks if someone like chandler or madden are still on the board tomorrow? 10:04 Kevin Goldstein: Not insane, but a bit crazy…. 10:04 sadtrombone: If the Padres take Will Taylor all hell is gonna break loose 10:04 Kevin Goldstein: They’re not. 10:04 Bunk: Padres taking Billy Taylor? 10:05 Kevin Goldstein: Nope. 10:05 Eric A Longenhagen: jackson merrill 10:05 YardGoat: Are you all doing a chat tomorrow too? 10:05 Kevin Goldstein: Twitch baby! Details soon. 10:06 Jd: Max Muncy is sounding like Logan Davidson…fair comp? 10:06 Kevin Goldstein: Feels forced. 10:06 Padrefan: Why not will Taylor? 10:06 Kevin Goldstein: Because they’re taking Jackson Merrill 10:07 Drew: Maybe a dumb question but what is the opposite of “repeating their delivery”? Obviously it means their variations when throwing but what varies? 10:07 Kevin Goldstein: Release point, timing (position of arm at foot strike), etc. 10:09 Jim: Have you heard James Wood connected to the Reds? 10:09 Eric A Longenhagen: yes 10:09 Mike: Who’s the next college hitter off the board? 10:09 Eric A Longenhagen: black ill guess 10:10 sadtrombone: Kath, Cooper Kinney both make sense for the Rays. I haven’t heard anyone talk about it but Gage Jump absolutely fits them too. 10:10 Eric A Longenhagen: he might want more $ than slot here, which TB could do. def they care about his fastball type 10:10 clark: how can teams be mixed on Madden’s data? Isn’t data objective? 10:10 Kevin Goldstein: Sure, but analysis of it is not. 10:11 YardGoat: Kiley should try to get a Rollie Fingers thing going with the mustache. Think he could pull it off 10:11 Eric A Longenhagen: ill alert his wife 10:11 Gavin Williams: How do you like me on the Indians? 10:11 Padrefan: Isn’t Jackson Merrill here a reach? 10:11 Kevin Goldstein: Feels about right where he should go…. 10:12 Eric A Longenhagen: might be for a deal, sdp is very creative 10:12 J.C.: So Merrill? Tell me about him please. 10:12 Kevin Goldstein: LHH hitter with power potential, some chance to stay at SS. 10:14 Bubba: At this point nearly a lock that Chandler isn’t taken? 10:14 Eric A Longenhagen: No, Reds still have so much $ and Painter went. 10:14 Jackson: How likely does McLain stay at short? 10:14 Kevin Goldstein: VERY mixed opinions on this. I think he can stay there at a 45 clip. 10:15 Tigers Fan: Thanks for doing this Eric and Kevin. For Tigers fans who wanted Mayer, are there any players who may be available at 32 or 39 who could be more signable with the presumed savings? 10:15 Kevin Goldstein: I don’t think they saved a ton. Maybe a HS outfielder looking for a litttle more. 10:16 sadtrombone: How likely does McLain stay at short? Have you SEEN who the Reds have rolled out there at short? 10:16 Eric A Longenhagen: i actually think he can be a 50 glove there 10:16 JG2: How well equipped are these players and their advisors to negotiate? Feels like a huge disadvantage. 10:16 Kevin Goldstein: How? They know what they are doing. 10:16 Eric A Longenhagen: hearing Chase Burns to Dodgers… 10:18 Greg: Wonder if teams feel some regret seeing high upside guys go to “smart front offices” like Tampa Bay? 10:18 Kevin Goldstein: Honestly, teams really don’t worry much at all about how other teams behave. 10:18 RoyalsFan96: I’m sure you guys often times disagree on prospects. Can we see you argue/debate about them in some forum? would be fun 10:18 Kevin Goldstein: We do, and I’m sure you’ll see some of those differences in tomorrow’s Sunday recap. 10:18 BC Fan: is comp round tonight or tomorrow? 10:18 Kevin Goldstein: TONIGHT 10:19 BC Fan: Amazing. Let’s see Morissette off the board! 10:19 Kevin Goldstein: I think we’ll go to bed with him still available. 10:19 Pinstripe Perry: Twitch stream still in the plans for tomorrow? Will that start at 1 PM ET or before? 10:19 Kevin Goldstein: Just a touch before. 10:20 PhilliesPhan: Comparing sonderstrom from last year and Harry Ford this year is it safe to say using the board sonderstrom has the better hit tool and ford the better power/speed combo or has this spring changed anything? 10:20 Kevin Goldstein: I’d give Soderstrom a better it and power tool. 10:21 Rhaye: Wait, what’s the twitch stream link? 10:21 Kevin Goldstein: We will tweet it out and it will be on the home page. 10:21 Penny Pinching: How common is it for teams to not use their entire bonus pool because ownership doesn’t want to? 10:22 Kevin Goldstein: I’ve never seen this happen . . . okay once by the Reds a long time ago. 10:22 CraigB: If Joe Mack was available at #37 and you were running the Pirates’ draft, would you take him? 10:22 Kevin Goldstein: hell yes. 10:22 Well-Beered Englishman: Twitch stream sounds fun except I only know what Twitch is from the news because I am a old. Do you have to sign up for it? Or like have an account? 10:22 Kevin Goldstein: Nope. Link will be on the home page and anyone can watch. 10:27 Jackson: Would you like the reds picking bubba? Or would it cost too much money? 10:27 Eric A Longenhagen: they’re being tight lipped right now 10:28 Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, dont know if that 10:28 Reesh: What are the chances that Preller uses the money saved from Merrill to go after Chandler later? Could this be a similar situation to Hudson Head/Cole Wilcox? 10:28 Eric A Longenhagen: don’t know if that 10:28 Eric A Longenhagen: is the name they’d pursue, but feels possible 10:29 Knuckleball: When is the last time a draft like this occurred where most of the projected landing spots basically fell through because so many teams went underslot? 10:30 grover: Max Muncy turns 19 in a month (same 8/25 birthday as LAD’s Muncy, FYI) and has 1 Plus tool… why should an A’s fan be happy with this pick? 10:30 Kevin Goldstein: It’s been a very weird draft. 10:30 Kevin Goldstein: A’s fans should be happy because this kid can really hit. 10:31 Mark Walter: Any guys taken in the 1st round a strong risk not to sign? 10:32 Eric A Longenhagen: Doubt it. Teams don’t typically pop someone unless they think they can get it done. 10:32 Atticus: Ty Madden in the 2nd round? Where do y’all think he goes 10:32 Kevin Goldstein: I have literally no idea at this point. 10:32 Danny: Will you have a 2nd round mock tomorrow? 10:32 Kevin Goldstein: We will NOT. 10:32 Andy B.: How does Henry Davis compare to Adley Rutschman? That’s the level of excitement that I feel like a catcher at 1-1 should make me feel. But I’m not feeling that excitement. 10:32 Kevin Goldstein: I like Davis a lot, but he’s not in Adley’s class…. 10:33 Eric A Longenhagen: ty madden may come off here to DET 10:48 Keith: Could we see the angels target Chandler or Taylor on day 2? They were linked to both leading up to the draft… 10:49 Eric A Longenhagen: perhaps, Bachman was thought to be falling due to medical 10:49 Eric A Longenhagen: so good chance he’s under 10:49 Nomedeplume: If the tigers sign Madden, does that justify then passing on Mayer if the extra money means they get both players? 10:50 Eric A Longenhagen: Yes, and they still have a high pick tomorrow to play with 10:50 Terry Malick: Any pre-draft association between Maddox BRuns and the Dodgers? How surprising is that pick? How surprising can any pick late in the 1st really be? 10:50 Eric A Longenhagen: Not surprising. Dodgers love fastballs with carry and Bruns has a big one. 10:50 Keith: Any high school names that seem like a sure bet to go to school now? 10:50 Kevin Goldstein: Bubba Chandler is the obvious answer right now. 10:50 Marcus/Tampa: Would you guys say a good Brady House comp is Troy Glaus? 10:50 Eric A Longenhagen: you know, someone else made that comp to me this week. It’s possible he fills out like that, yeah 10:51 Dave: Any idea where Jaden Hill goes 10:51 Eric A Longenhagen: no but I’m looking at WSH because that’s the lazy thing to do with TJ guys 10:51 CatsFan: By fastball metrics does that = RPMs? And can you be successful with low RPM fastball? 10:51 Eric A Longenhagen: approach angle 10:51 Rays fan: Gage Jump going to school at this point? Also didn’t understand why he wasn’t rated higher. Main negative seems to just be he is 5’10, which didn’t think was that much of a deal anymore. 10:52 Kevin Goldstein: Hey everyone. Thanks so much for joining us tonight. We’ve had a great time tonight and I’ll see you tomorrow on Twitch! 10:52 Eric A Longenhagen: think he wants north of 2mil and it’s just about someone having it and liking him. 10:52 Dave: Who was the biggest riser after watching the future games? Baty? 10:52 Eric A Longenhagen: yeah I think so 10:52 Ben Schneider: Will teams work on their boards and deals overnight, or only tomorrow morning? 10:53 Eric A Longenhagen: oh they’re working. people who work in baseball are freaking nuts 10:53 Scott Adams: Do you like the Reds picks? Mclain and allen? 10:53 Eric A Longenhagen: yeah I think they cleaned up today. 10:53 Eric A Longenhagen: nelson i dig too 10:53 AF: Who’s pre-season draft stock was hurt most by their performance this year? Del Castillo, Fabian, J. Hill come to mind 10:54 Eric A Longenhagen: Del Castillo. College catchers almost always go top 20 if they can do anything at all and he fell behind Nelson who went undrafted last year while eligible 10:54 Lash: What are both of your favorite and least favorite picks from the first round? 10:55 Eric A Longenhagen: House was great value, thought Hoglund was too. Feel like McGreevy was a reach. Sweeney too, but I worry we underrate him. I feel more comfortable with my McGreevy eval. 10:55 Shodai: Is it bad the booing of Manfred is making me a fan of the big draft show? 10:55 Eric A Longenhagen: I thought it was funny that he was stymied by it initially 10:56 Padrefan: You didn’t think merrill was a reach? 10:56 Eric A Longenhagen: i think it’s part of a bigger plan, am reserving judgment 10:56 Tigers Fan: Thoughts on Tigers draft and passing on Mayer? A lot of fans feel disappointed. 10:56 Eric A Longenhagen: they had a verbal agreement with Jobe and didn’t burn the kid. Respect. 10:57 Derek: Thank you for all the info… while others might not like hearing the picks early, I think it’s great. Appreciate all the work you guys put into it the draft and Fangraphs overall. It’s been fun. 10:57 Eric A Longenhagen: people can just mute me on Twitter if they dont like it. It’s the only time all year I flex for flex sake. 10:58 Eric A Longenhagen: Okay folks, I’m gonna split. Thank you thank you, so many of you came through tonight. We appreciate it. Have a good night, enjoy day two tomorrow.