For Seattle’s Bryce Miller, a Splitter Means Better Splits

Bryce Miller has improved on his 2023 rookie season with the Seattle Mariners. Especially notable are his ERA (3.46 versus last year’s 4.32), FIP (3.70 versus 3.98), and OPS against opposite-handed hitters (.685 OPS versus .917). At the same time, many of his numbers have been strikingly similar. When I spoke to the 25-year-old right-hander at the end of July — he’s since made two starts — his win-loss record and average fastball velocity were identical to last year’s marks, as were his FB% and HR/FB%. His strikeout rate differed by just a few percentage points.
I cited those similarities to the righty, then proceeded to ask him what differentiates this season’s version of Bryce Miller from last year’s.
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Bryce Miller: “I think that type of stuff is very similar, but the lefty-righty splits are quite a bit different. Last year, lefties batted over .300 against me. This year, it’s around .215. I think the addition of the splitter has been big, and I’ve also been locating better. If you look at the heat maps from last year, a lot of the fastballs were in the middle of the plate. This year, I’ve gotten them [elevated] a little better for the most part. So getting the heaters up and the splitters down has helped me out a lot with the lefties. That’s really been the main thing.”
David Laurila: Why is the splitter so much better than the changeup you were throwing?
Miller: “I really didn’t throw the changeup last year. I mean, the usage was probably only 5%. I also had to drop my [arm] slot to throw the changeup if I wanted any type of horizontal. It just wasn’t a good pitch for me.”
Laurila: What is the story behind your splitter? How did you learn it, and how long did it take to turn it into a quality pitch?
Miller: “It took me pretty much all offseason to get comfortable with it. It’s not an easy pitch. [The] movement isn’t always consistent with the lack of spin and whatnot. From watching Logan [Gilbert] and [George] Kirby throw it last year, I thought it would be a good pitch for me. Again, there was like a .100 point difference in batting-average-against for lefties and righties. I knew that needed to be my main area of focus.”
Laurila: Did Gilbert and Kirby play a role in your splitter outside of you seeing how effective it was for them?
Miller: “I asked both of them how they threw it, but I ended up not using either of their grips. I kind of took [Kodai] Senga’s grip a little bit. It’s like a mix of Senga and [Kevin] Gausman. I have the horseshoe rotated here [on the ring side of the middle finger] and then the other one kind of splits between the lace. I actually found it on a Tread video on YouTube. I kept cutting the regular split grip, and then I saw the video where a guy was showing that grip. He was maybe a little more traditional, whereas I like my pinky and ring finger up. I started throwing it that way and it started to take off.”
Laurila: Has it been more of a swing-and-miss pitch for you, or more of a soft-contact pitch?
Miller: “Early in the season it was close to 40% whiff, but that’s kind of gone down. It’s been my best weak-contact pitch. When I throw it in finish counts, if they swing it’s usually been a groundball or a weak fly. I think I’ve got to adjust my location with it to get back to getting more swings and misses. Either way, I haven’t given up much damage with it.
“I’ve thrown it close to 25% of the time and have given up one home run — and I don’t really even count it, because it was a weird one. I always preset my splitter, and when I switch to a different pitch I do it the glove. The home run was to Evan Carter, in Texas, in the third week of the season. We had called a different pitch, I switched to a fastball, and then we called splitter again. There was no time left on the pitch clock, and I was like ‘crap.’ I tried to do it in my glove and the pitch just floated in there.”
Laurila: You knew it was a bad pitch before he even swung the bat?
Miller: “Yeah. And it’s the only one I’ve thrown this year where I didn’t preset. I like to have it deep in my hand, and on that one I had to go to it real quick and then throw. The result was a home run. I should have just thrown it for a ball.”
Laurila: Are there any pitches that are more difficult than others when you’re switching grips out of the preset?
Miller: “No. I’ve gotten used to switching to the fastball, or switching to the curveball or sweeper, or whatever. It’s all pretty easy. I just rotate the ball and I’m there. I also do a lot of glove wiggle and keep that to where they can’t pick up on anything.”
Laurila: Is there anything else repertoire-wise we should touch on?
Miller: “I’ve added a knuckle curve. Last game, I didn’t throw it until the sixth inning, and then struck out the side with it. I stole it from Mike Baumann. It’s like a death ball. I was never able to throw a traditional curveball very hard. I’ve got the gyro slider that’s around 2 and -2, but the new one I’ve been throwing has been 85, 86, 87 [mph] down to -8 vert and around zero horizontal. If I keep throwing it, it will be a good breaking pitch to get swings and misses.
“As the year has gone on, with lefties it’s mostly either been splits away or heaters up, so they’re kind of on top of the plate. I think this will be a good pitch to get them off a little bit. But it’s still a work in progress. I added it about three weeks ago, but didn’t really throw too many of them until the sixth inning of that last game.
“I’ve been trying to figure out a breaking pitch that moves glove side that gets swing-and-miss, because the sweeper and the gyro… on Stuff+, I think they’ve always underperformed, especially with whiff. The gyro has been good with results, but it just doesn’t get as much whiff as I’d like. It could be a location thing; I don’t know. The curveball, since it has more depth to it, should get more swing-and-miss.”
Laurila: It can be your new secret weapon to miss bats?
Miller: “Hopefully. I mean, it worked last week. Of course, they couldn’t plan for it, because I hadn’t been throwing it.”
David Laurila grew up in Michigan's Upper Peninsula and now writes about baseball from his home in Cambridge, Mass. He authored the Prospectus Q&A series at Baseball Prospectus from December 2006-May 2011 before being claimed off waivers by FanGraphs. He can be followed on Twitter @DavidLaurilaQA.
Interesting tidbit about the pitch clock leading to meatballs (or waste pitches).
It seemed more like indecision
Yeah, but in the pre pitch clock days the indecision would have led to stepping off the mound and resetting. Agree that the clock and violations have added challenges like this.
The pitch clock is an exacting mistress
Interesting that he’s replacing the gyro even though results were good. I guess he can always go back to it if this knuckle curve doesn’t work out
I don’t know anything a out Miller’s pitch mix, but he threw 7 shutout innings on 90 pitches against DET just now, striking out 9 and walking none of 23 batters faced. That will do.
Save him from the wretched shell known as the Mariners lineup
I know Seattle’s offense is weak, but good lord. When you can’t score against the Tigers even in a Kenta Maeda start and only get one run off their mediocre bullpen (17th in ERA, 25th in WAR), you’re in trouble.
It’s the inconsistency each series for me. They stomped on the Mets 22-1, then got stomped on by the Tigers 20-4. They’re the epitome of boom-bust hitting.
“The result was a home run. I should have just thrown it for a ball.”
Interesting that, mentally, he would have preferred to throw a ball than just get a pitch clock violation, the penalty for which is a ball
Miller dominated and the Mariners still lost dropping their odds of winning the AL West to 21% and 33% to make the dance at all.
Is they miss out again in a year where they have been mostly lucky to avoid serious injury with a starting rotation of this quality and down years from the Astros and especially the Rangers…
That 2022 Mariners squad gave the 2022 World Series winning Astros all they could handle. They might have eliminated them in the DS had they simply pitched around Yordan Alvarez!
As a competitive person their FO/ownership just irks me. And I’m an Astros fan! I cannot help but feel for Mariners fans. I haven’t liked many of the Astros recent FO moves but at least they’re attempting to win more than 54% of the time.
I do not think the baseball Gods are impressed
Following closely, while I wish the M’s would win more, I am less irked with the FO/owners. Without doing a full multi-year tank, they were able to rebuild the farm system and half the team (pitching). They have stayed out of the free agent hunt for the last few years, but more and more I see the free agent classes as borderline random outside of the top one or two players. They’ve missed on the mid tier position fillers which is the basic cause of the current angst, but they have done it in a way for maximum flexibility so as to see if their quad-A players (Trammel, Kelenic, Canzone, Moore, Rojas, Marlowe) can stick at the big league level. The strict management of the young starting pitchers can be annoying, but so far (knock on wood) the process has been working and they’ve been healthy.
Moore and Rojas can contribute (but are overused). The imports this year: Garver, Polanco, Haniger (in the Ray salary dump), etc. all seemed good to me, and have all failed to contribute much. After last year’s washed up failures, it’s quite a run of futility.
If Arozarena and Turner continue to forget how to hit after joining the team, the M’s offense will just feel cursed. Can you blame the FO for the curse? Probably.
You’re not wrong but pitchers drop like flies these days.
Last year Gilbert, Castillo, and Kirby all pitched 190+ innings while Miller was over 130. This year all 4 of those guys are over 139 IP and rising…
If they miss the playoffs again that’s 2 years of great healthy starting pitching wasted because they were literally a few wins short. In the midst of this their GM smugly reveals his belief that the formula to the Promised Land is to aim to win 54% of the time.
I think in the modern era, if you have a fearsome starting rotation, you either go for it or you trade those pitchers before they blow up. Considering how competitive the team has been for the last 3 seasons, I think they should have been more aggressive