Grichuk Plugs Arizona’s Last Hole

Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick wants many things. Mostly, hundreds of millions of dollars in taxpayer money with which to renovate his team’s aging and leaky home ballpark, but also, incidentally, a World Series. The D-backs came close last year, and even though they fell at the final hurdle, the outlook of the ballclub is optimistic. Their entire core is back, and young stars like Corbin Carroll and Gabriel Moreno should only improve with time. This offseason, Arizona has traded for third baseman Eugenio Suárez and signed lefty starter Eduardo Rodriguez to improve its rotation. Brandon Pfaadt should have a stronger sophomore season, and global top-10 prospect Jordan Lawlar should break into the lineup at some point this season.
Finally, the Diamondbacks have upgraded their designated hitter spot, which was a bit of a wild card last October. The most recent addition came this weekend, when they signed Randal Grichuk to a one-year deal worth $2 million in guaranteed money.
Grichuk will be the right-handed foil to fellow free agent signing Joc Pederson. As an aside, I’d like to register my objection to the Diamondbacks signing Joc Pederson when they already have infielder Jace Peterson under contract. That should be against the law. I’m going batty over here because the Tigers have both Jackson Jobe and Jace Jung in the upper minors, while Jace Jung’s brother Josh Jung is also a big leaguer. Then there’s Brett Baty, who in my mind is the unnamed third Jung brother because he’s also an alliteratively named third baseman from Texas.
I’m just saying, if Arizona could just trade Jace Peterson for an equivalent utility infielder, that’d make things easier for a lot of people.
Last postseason, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. played every inning for the Diamondbacks in left field, while Corbin Carroll played most of their innings in right. Carroll started three games in center before moving to right mid-game, and he also got pulled during garbage time of Arizona’s 10-0 loss to the Phillies in Game 2 of the NLCS. Every time Carroll started in center — Games 3, 4, and 7 of the NLCS, all against left-handed starters — Tommy Pham started in right. Evan Longoria, the normal starter at third base, DH’d. Alek Thomas entered each of those games as a late substitution and started every other game in center. The left-handed hitting Pavin Smith started one game in the NLCS, but frequently came in mid-game to pinch-hit against righty relievers.
The non-Carroll, non-Gurriel members of that rotation were a bit of a mess in the aggregate, though it worked out for the most part because, while Smith, Pham, and Thomas all ran hot and cold, they came up with big hits at the right time.
Surely, Mike Hazen and his merry men didn’t want to leave things to chance again. Here’s what the non-Carroll, non-Gurriel members of the third base/outfield/DH rotation did against left-handed pitching with the Diamondbacks last year.
| Name | G | PA | HR | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 51 | 116 | 5 | 9.5% | 28.4% | .231 | .302 | .433 | .316 | 96 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 50 | 99 | 1 | 7.1% | 16.2% | .289 | .333 | .378 | .311 | 93 |
| Tommy Pham | 27 | 68 | 1 | 8.8% | 17.6% | .230 | .294 | .361 | .286 | 77 |
| Alek Thomas | 50 | 81 | 2 | 2.5% | 27.2% | .143 | .175 | .260 | .189 | 12 |
Thomas, with his wRC+ of 12 against lefties in the regular season, didn’t start against the Phillies’ left-handed starters, but he did start playoff games with Clayton Kershaw, Andrew Heaney, and Jordan Montgomery on the mound. That’s bleak.
Let’s swap Rivera for Smith and see how they fared against right-handed pitching.
| Name | G | PA | HR | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham | 49 | 149 | 5 | 8.1% | 25.5% | .246 | .309 | .440 | .320 | 100 |
| Pavin Smith | 65 | 186 | 6 | 16.7% | 17.7% | .196 | .335 | .346 | .310 | 93 |
| Evan Longoria | 55 | 121 | 6 | 9.9% | 33.1% | .215 | .289 | .411 | .301 | 87 |
| Alek Thomas | 112 | 321 | 7 | 5.3% | 19.9% | .253 | .297 | .404 | .301 | 86 |
Better, but not awesome.
Fortunately, this is an area that’s easy to improve. Thomas is the only member of this group who figures to remain in the lineup regularly in 2024, and his bat has never really been part of his value proposition. It’s mostly something you put up with to get his glove and his legs on the field. Smith and Rivera remain with the organization, but likely in reduced roles.
And then there are internal reinforcements. Jake McCarthy missed the postseason because of a strained oblique. He’ll be back. Lawlar’s arrival will lead to someone from the middle infield group getting kicked into the mix at either third base, outfield, DH, or all three. There’s also young corner infielder Ivan Melendez, who only made it to Double-A last year and isn’t on the 40-man roster yet. Nevertheless, I feel like mentioning him because at the University of Texas he hit .387/.508/.863 with 32 home runs in 67 games, and had one of the greatest nicknames in baseball: The Hispanic Titanic.
The newcomers are upgrades. Suárez strikes out a ton, and at 32, he is closer to the end than to the beginning. But Longoria is old enough to know how to use a rotary phone. That probably wasn’t tenable for another season.
So let’s see what the Diamondbacks can cobble together, assuming Thomas still gets the lion’s share of playing time in center field.
| Name | G | PA | HR | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 70 | 134 | 8 | 9.0% | 12.7% | .328 | .388 | .607 | .415 | 155 |
| Eugenio Suárez | 76 | 158 | 3 | 13.9% | 33.5% | .252 | .361 | .382 | .330 | 114 |
| Joc Pederson | 38 | 52 | 1 | 15.4% | 28.8% | .186 | .327 | .279 | .285 | 80 |
Pederson will probably need to be platooned, but that’s fine, because Grichuk kills left-handed pitching. Against righties, Suárez takes a dip but is still a league-average hitter overall, while Pederson takes over for Grichuk.
| Name | G | PA | HR | BB% | K% | AVG | OBP | SLG | wOBA | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson | 118 | 373 | 14 | 13.1% | 19.8% | .241 | .351 | .435 | .337 | 115 |
| Eugenio Suárez | 160 | 536 | 19 | 9.0% | 30.0% | .227 | .312 | .394 | .308 | 99 |
| Randal Grichuk | 114 | 337 | 8 | 5.0% | 23.4% | .244 | .294 | .401 | .300 | 79 |
There’s an additional bonus: Grichuk can play center field, in a pinch, if you squint really hard. At least, the Rockies thought so: In 2023, they gave him 52 starts in the outfield, 17 of them in center. The year before, Grichuk started 48 times in center. So Torey Lovullo can, if he so chooses, opt for an extremely offense-heavy alignment that puts Grichuk in center field against lefties.
This trio of newcomers is more expensive than the group it replaced. Pham and Longoria made $10 million combined — and Pham was only on the Diamondbacks for the last two months of the season. Everyone else was pre-arb. Pederson, Grichuk, and Suárez will make a combined $22.3 million in salary in 2024, plus a combined $5.5 million more in buyouts, as all three have either a club or mutual option at the end of the season. And the Diamondbacks had to send two players to Seattle to get Suárez in the first place.
But instead of going into the playoffs needing to cobble together eight to 12 at-bats a game from whatever they could scrounge up from the back of the 40-man roster, the Diamondbacks now have a stable, all-situations starter at third and a really good platoon at DH. It’ll cost twice as much money, but it’s twice as good a solution.
Michael is a writer at FanGraphs. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Ringer and D1Baseball, and his work has appeared at Grantland, Baseball Prospectus, The Atlantic, ESPN.com, and various ill-remembered Phillies blogs. Follow him on Twitter, if you must, @MichaelBaumann.
I was going to point out that Grichuk has been just mildly better (.822 vs. .735 OPS) against lefties for his career. But actually, he’s been much better against them three of the last four seasons. He had a couple of season early in his career where the OPS against righties was about 100 points higher than against lefties.
So yeah, it appears that he is a lefty-masher now.
If you think those name combinations are bad, the Cardinals once had both a Lane Thomas and a Thomas Layne in their organization who even played together in Spring Training one year.
I still look back fondly on the days when the Mets’ bullpen contained both Bobby J. Jones and Bobby M. Jones.
Jakob Junis and Janson Junk for the Brewers.
Reupping my subscription next month exclusively because the bylines/sluglines of these pieces just get better and better.
“The Hispanic Titanic”? Did they stay to the end of the movie?
And “The Titanic Hispanic” was right there, too. I’m starting to think that college athletic coaches aren’t always deft wordsmiths.
These guys are busy spending their time turning athletes into student athletes, not sure what more you need from them.
So, Titanico?
That headline is borderline NSFW. Well done!
So are we filling holes or mashing lefties or both?
FanGraphs Afterdark
Grichuk also held his own against pitching from the LAD, ATL and PHL in 2023. And I think he crushed Dodger pitching in 2022 – many lefties.
If Jake keeps hitting and stealing he might be able to take the job from Thomas.
I think Jake would be a great starter somewhere and put up some silly numbers. And, he hits lefties pretty good too.
Some of the “re-inforcements” are blocking a potentially exciting major leaguer.
I’m perpetually 11 years old and stuck in 2005 (see my username), but the title made me snicker
If you think it’s bad that the Diamondbacks have both Joc Pederson and Jace Peterson, You don’t know the half of it (or the 2/3 of it ). True diamondback fans know that this is nothing. One year, on the roster was Tony Batista (infielder) Miguel Batista (pitcher) and Danny Bautista (outfielder). I think that was 1999.. Too bad they all couldn’t be on the World Series roster at the same time.
Since neither Pederson nor Grichuk our particularly good outfielders defensively, isn’t it a bit sub optimal to take up two roster spots mostly have value just as DH? The way the Diamondbacks roster was constructed last year, it had a lot of versatility and athleticism, and that certainly walked to their advantage. It seems this new arrangement is going in the opposite direction a bit, and runs counter to what set them apart last season. That’s not to say that every single player on the roster HAS to fit that mold (I’m sure anyone would be OK with a guy with 1.000 OPS that can’t play defense to be added to that roster, but still, it’s a bit curious.
That being said, I guess they have done what they could to economically upgrade their offense a fair amount from last year.
Grichuk is a perfectly fine defender in a corner who can also play CF in a pinch. You just don’t want him playing CF too often.
This is a nifty move at minimal cost. Both for the bat and the depth he adds. They could definitely use a little more firepower but being able to platoon and sub when appropriate is a solid strategy for any team and even more so for teams with budget limitations. Overall the roster looks better. They are in the wild card scrum due to the Dodgers cornering the NL West unless the team bus goes faster than 50 and the freeway isn’t finished.
Knowing that definitely gives them an advantage of knowing what they need to build to.
I’m not a huge fan of E-Rod he is a roll of the dice every year, first will he be healthy and second how effective will he be?
That Suárez is “only” 32 boggles my mind it feels like he has been around forever.