Matt Adams Returns to St. Louis
The St. Louis Cardinals brought 1B/“OF” Matt Adams back to his old stomping grounds, picking him up from the Washington Nationals after claiming him on revocable waivers.
Bryce Harper hasn’t been traded yet — and that would be a big one if it actually happens — but the departure of Daniel Murphy (about whom Craig Edwards will soon publish a post) and Adams is a likely indicator of how Washington feels about their rapidly deteriorating playoff odds. It’s a bit of speculation here, but from talking with people around baseball, I’m of the belief that ownership was less inclined to throw in the towel than team general manager Mike Rizzo.
Adams is a role player but a useful one for a team that’s starting to think about playoff bullpens. The 340-point OPS split between his career numbers against lefties (.595) and righties (.835) always made Adams a tough call as a full-time starting first baseman. Nevertheless, it gives him situational value. The Cardinals are 17th in baseball against right-handers by wRC+ versus sixth against lefties, and Greg Garcia is the only other left-handed bat available on the bench. Nor can the team dig in and grab someone from Triple-A: the only lefty Redbird hitters are Justin Williams, recently picked up in the Tommy Pham trade, and Max Schrock, who only has a .666 OPS and I think was the secondary bad guy in Batman Returns. Williams may have a future on the team, but if you just need a lefty bat off the bench, Adams is more valuable at this point.
For once, I won’t complain about the Rockies not making a claim here. Justin Bour would have been preferable since there’s upside, but as Shay Cheever estimated over at Purple Row, the Rockies may see 18 left-handed starters in the remaining 38 games, and the team already is left-handed enough as it is. Adams would have been a poor fit there, and Matt Holliday actually might make more sense.
A low-key, but solid pickup for the Cardinals. And hey, Matt Adams sometimes hits left-handed pitchers…
Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
What did the Nats get for Adams?
Salary relief.
Some cash and old Bazooka bubble gum, I believe. Here’s what they’re getting from the Cubs for trading Daniel Murphy, according to the Washington Post: “Infielder prospect Andrew Monasterio and a player to be named later or cash considerations are the return for Washington.”
Nothing but minimal salary relief. The Nats just let him go with the waiver claim.
By the way, nice reference to the playoff homer off Kershaw.
Washington Post says Nats got “cash considerations” so maybe not just a waiver claim.
Technically, it is cash considerations simply because the Cardinals have to pay Adams his salary for the rest of the season. Like I said, minimal salary relief.
I forgot how much different “Fatt Adams” looked compared to the slimmer 2017-18 version.
Hey that’s “Future MVP Max Schrock” to you, buster!
This is a pretty good move. I see Adams getting the majority of the starts against right-handed pitchers at 1B with Carpenter at 3B and Gyorko on the bench. Welcome back, Big City!
Murphy’s bat > Adam’s bat.
will never get tired of kershaw crouching and looking up toward right field
I really enjoyed Adam’s time when he was with the Braves last season. It’s funny, Atlanta needs a lefty-bat off the bench this season. He can go on some real torrid hot streaks.
Can we talk about adjusting fangraphs’ playoff odds? The system is based too much on pre-season player ratings that are largely irrelevant this time of year and it throws everything off. The reason I bring it up is that the Nats are rightfully pulling the plug on the season because they have no realistic chance at the post-season- yet fangraphs still has them with an 8.8% chance of making the playoffs. The Dodgers and Cubs ratings are skewed as well.
8.8% chance of making the playoffs is not exactly a “realistic” chance.
I mis-typed. Its actually 8.8% to win the division. 15% to make the playoffs. Both numbers are totally unrealistic. And, somehow the Dodgers are 46% to win the division despite being further back than the Cardinals and Brewers… who have the same odds to win their division as the Nats. Seriously, those playoff odds just don’t pass the smell test.