Introducing New Steamer Split Projections and More!

We now have a whole bunch of new Steamer projections and historical ZiPS projections available for FanGraphs Members! Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Los Angeles Dodgers – Junior Analyst, Baseball Strategy & Information

Junior Analyst, Baseball Strategy and Information

Department: Baseball Strategy and Information
Status: Full Time
Reports to: Director, Baseball Strategy and Information
Salary: $23.00/hour*

*Compensation rates vary based on job-related factors, including experience, job skills, education, and training.

The Baseball Strategy and Information team of the Los Angeles Dodgers is responsible for supporting the Major League Coaching Staff and Baseball Operations leadership group with data and information needed for strategic decision making. As a Junior Analyst, you will work with other members of the Baseball Strategy and Information team to build reports and visualizations to communicate insights clearly and concisely to stakeholders. This position offers the opportunity to push the boundaries of conventional thinking, grow analytically by solving challenging problems, and collaborate with leaders throughout Baseball Operations. As a member of the Baseball Strategy and Information team, you will see your work impact the Major League team on a nightly basis.

Essential Duties/Responsibilities:

  • Coordinate and execute a selection of R scripts on a daily, series, and ad-hoc basis, which produce reports containing data and visualizations for Major League Coaching staff and Baseball Operations Leadership.
  • Interpret data and conduct in-depth analysis on players, team strategy, and in-game tactics, providing insights and observations to enhance coaching and decision making.
  • Support Data Collection and Data Management processes involving a variety of tracking and training technologies.
  • Work with Performance Science and Quantitative Analysis departments on the development of new proprietary metrics.
  • Collaborate across departments within Baseball Operations to advance various initiatives related to player evaluation and process automation.
  • Assist with on-boarding and training of interns within Baseball Operations
  • Occasional travel to represent the department outside of LA, such as an annual Spring Training trip, road trips with the club, affiliate visits, and scouting trips.
  • Complete ad-hoc research using SQL and R/Python to enhance in-game strategy and/or player improvement as requested.

Basic Requirements/Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree in a STEM field (or equivalent experience)
  • 1+ Years of Experience with R or Python in a non-classroom environment
  • Familiarity with SQL, Git, and cloud-based computing
  • Experience playing on a sports team or working with a sports organization is preferred (college or professional)
  • Ability to relocate to Los Angeles and commute to Dodger Stadium
  • Ability to work frequent overtime including evenings, weekends, and holidays. Overtime compensation will be provided according to company policy and applicable laws.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Los Angeles Dodgers.


Job Posting: Kansas City Royals – Multiple Openings

Direct links to applications (please see job details below):

Pro Player Analyst
Developer-Baseball Systems


Pro Player Analyst

Location: Kauffman Stadium, One Royal Way, Kansas City, Missouri, United States of America

Job Summary: The Kansas City Royals Baseball Club is seeking a highly motivated and creative analyst to join the organization. Under the direction of the Assistant Director of Research & Development/Player Personnel and the Director of Pro Personnel & Strategy, the analyst will be involved in several stages of the player evaluation process to meet the needs of the organization. The successful applicant will leverage baseball data to provide a competitive edge when evaluating players for the Kansas City Royals. This role will be located in Kansas City, MO.

Position Accountabilities/Responsibilities:

  • Provide data driven insights to help evaluate both pitchers and position players.
  • Collaborate with other analysts and Baseball Operations personnel to provide support at all stages of the player evaluation process
  • Query and organize data to effectively communicate
  • Perform ad-hoc analysis to assist in decision making processes
  • Work to create, advance, and or maintain machine learning models

Position Qualifications, Skills, and Experience Required:

  • 4-year degree or equivalent experience in computer science, mathematics, statistics, or related quantitative field
  • Proficiency with SQL and R to query and organize data from large databases
  • Strong understanding of advanced baseball metrics to evaluate players
  • Interpersonal and communication skills to seamlessly interact with front office, analysts, scouts, and other Baseball Operations personnel
  • Familiarity with the landscape of Major League Baseball. e.g. teams, affiliates, rosters, prospects, free agents, etc.
  • Ability to work evening, weekend, and holiday hours during the baseball season

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Record of published baseball research and or experience ranking / evaluating players
  • Intimate knowledge of MLB rosters, farm systems, free agency, and all things involving player personnel
  • Experience with machine learning and modeling techniques to extract actionable insights within large data sets

Physical Requirements:

  • Ability to lift items weighing as much as 25 pounds
  • Must be able to work in a seated position for majority of workday
  • Must be able to be productive utilizing a computer keyboard and telephone
  • Must be able to be productive in a work environment where the noise level can be high at times
  • Must be comfortable walking to navigate the facility to access the office, concourse, etc.
  • Must be able to work extended hours and/or weekends as required by deadlines and event scheduling

The physical demands described here are representative of those that may be met by an employee to successfully perform the essential functions of this job.

This role is a Full-Time, Exempt opportunity that is eligible for Company Benefits, 401K, and PTO. This role is expected to have a standard 40-hour work week.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Developer-Baseball Systems

Location: Kauffman Stadium, One Royal Way, Kansas City, Missouri, United States of America – Virtual

Job Summary: The Kansas City Royals Baseball Club is seeking a highly motivated developer to work with our group of Developers to support baseball operations. The ideal applicant will be able to manage multiple concurrent projects that facilitate enhanced communications, reporting, and other interactions between teams internal to the organization. At this time, we are open to the possibility of Remote work for the right candidate.

Position Accountabilities/Responsibilities:

  • Assist in development tasks and data operations
    • Help with system administration of database and web servers
    • Assist in daily task monitoring to ensure data health, quality assurance, and reliability of systems
    • Automate reports and other tasks that are used on a regular basis
    • Support schema and testing of databases of various sizes
    • Maintain and support existing code across various languages and frameworks
    • Develop, test, and optimize performance and accuracy of scripts used to calculate derived data
    • Design, build, and deploy new features for organizational web applications
    • Automate, manage, and report data lifecycle based on retention and storage requirements
    • Explore novel tools to visualize data and explore models by implementing UI/UX in HTML, CSS, JavaScript/Vue.js
    • Develop responsive front-end designs suitable for multiple devices and screen sizes
    • Collaborate with baseball operations staff to create and improve internal analysis and informational tools.
    • Help ensure that systems and solutions are in line with organizational objectives

Position Qualifications, Skills, and Experience Required:

  • 4 year degree in computer science, electrical engineering, or related field or equivalent experience is required
  • Ability to work evening, weekend, and holiday hours during the baseball season is a must
  • Excellent interpersonal and communications skills and ability to interact and work with staff at all levels
  • Ability to recognize and maintain confidentiality of work materials and issues as appropriate
  • Experience with the following tools, platforms, and business data is required:
    • Two years of experience with Python
    • Strong knowledge of SQL
    • Strong knowledge of Django, Flask, or similar
    • Basic administration of UNIX-based servers (Linux, Mac, etc.)
    • Managing cloud resources on AWS or a similar platform
    • Interest in and knowledge of UI/UX and web development technologies such as HTML5, JavaScript, Vue.js, Vite, ChartJS
  • Experience with the following tools, platforms and business data is preferred:
    • Business intelligence experience is a plus
    • Baseball knowledge and exposure to baseball statistics

Physical Requirements:

  • Ability to lift items weighing as much as 25 pounds
  • Must be able to be productive utilizing a computer keyboard and telephone
  • Must be able to be productive in a work environment where the noise level can be high at times
  • Must be comfortable walking to navigate the facility to access the office, concourse, etc.
  • Must be able to work extended hours and/or weekends as required by deadlines and event scheduling

The physical demands described here are representative of those that may be met by an employee to successfully perform the essential functions of this job.

This role is a Full-Time, Exempt opportunity that is eligible for Company Benefits, 401K, and PTO. This role is expected to have a standard 40-hour work week.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Kansas City Royals.


Job Posting: Cleveland Guardians – 2025 Analyst, Baseball Operations

2025 Analyst, Baseball Operations

Location: Cleveland, Ohio, United States

Primary Purpose
The Cleveland Guardians Baseball Operations department is seeking analysts who are creative, curious, and collaborative teammates who enjoy tackling unique and challenging problems. The analyst role supports multiple departments (Player Development, Pro/Amateur/International Acquisitions, and the Major League team) with analysis and the practical application of evidence and research-based tools, resources, and processes to help facilitate their work.

Core Job Functions
Analysts are expected to work in a fast-paced team environment and communicate effectively with various organizational stakeholders. The bullets below are intended to capture major realms in which work might be focused, although the Analyst’s time spent across each area may differ based on their skillset, interests, and the team’s needs.

  • Analysis:
    • Facilitate and conduct evidence-based analysis in support of each department.
    • Communicate findings to key stakeholders across the organization.
  • Development:
    • Work collaboratively with Baseball Research and Development to uncover actionable insights across Hitting, Pitching, and Defense/Base-Running.
    • Work collaboratively with Baseball Systems to build and manage software products that directly drive our internal processes.
    • Support the application and education across departments of evidence-based practices & organizational philosophies.
  • Baseball Operations:
    • Facilitate and conduct analysis to support strategic planning.
    • Provide general ad-hoc support across baseball operations.

We know that historically marginalized groups – including people of color, women, people from working class backgrounds, and people who identify as LGBTQ – are less likely to apply unless and until they meet every requirement for a job. We encourage you to reach out if you have questions about the role or your qualifications. We are happy to help you feel ready to apply!

Basic Requirements

  • Ability to craft and articulate a compelling message to others in both written and verbal form.
  • Collaborative and able to succeed in a team-oriented environment.
  • An ability to build and maintain relationships with a broad range of baseball operations employees, including but not limited to scouts, coaches, and front office members.
  • Relentlessly curious and open-minded with a track record of evidence-based and divergent thinking.
  • Working knowledge of cutting-edge, publicly available baseball research.
  • Willing to frequently work nights, weekends, and holidays—particularly during the season.
  • Expected relocation to Cleveland and travel to Arizona for Spring Training.
  • Potential travel to Minor League affiliate teams.

Preferred Experience
While we don’t expect any candidate to meet every requirement, we’re looking for either a breadth of experience or deep expertise in a particular area. We’re considering applicants with a wide variety of past experiences.

  • Demonstrated expertise in biomechanics, hitting analysis, pitching analysis, or sport science.
  • Demonstrated understanding of statistics and experience carrying out quantitative analysis.
  • Demonstrated experience with a database language such as SQL and a programming language such as R or Python.
  • Ability to communicate in Spanish is a plus but not necessary.
  • Bachelor’s degree or prior professional experience.

Organizational Requirements

  • Reads, speaks, comprehends, and communicates English effectively in all communications.
  • Represents the Cleveland Guardians in a positive fashion to all business partners and the general public.
  • Ability to develop and maintain successful working relationships with members of the Front Office.
  • Ability to act according to the organizational values and service excellence at all times.
  • Demonstrated commitment to working with diverse populations and contributing to an inclusive working environment.
  • Ability to walk, sit or stand for an entire shift.
  • Ability to work extended days and hours, including holidays and weekends.
  • Ability to move throughout all areas and levels of the Ballpark.
  • Ability to work in a diverse and changing environment.
  • Occasional physical activity such as lifting and carrying boxes up to 25 lbs.

At the Cleveland Guardians, we are all about creating an inclusive environment that brings out the best in everyone. It is a big part of who we are, how we compete, and how we make an impact in our community. We want every employee to feel like they truly belong here.

We also know that people from historically underserved groups—like women and people of color—sometimes hesitate to apply for jobs unless they check every single box on the qualifications list. We’re looking for the best person for the job, and we know that you might bring skills and experiences that aren’t exactly listed but could be a huge asset to our team. So, if this role excites you, we encourage you to apply, even if you don’t meet every single qualification.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Cleveland Guardians.


Job Posting: MLB Draft League / Appalachian League – Data Coordinator

Direct links to applications (please see job details below):

MLB Draft League Data Coordinator
Appalachian League Data Coordinator


MLB Draft League Data Coordinator

Description:
The MLB Draft League is seeking highly qualified associates to work and support the League’s day-to-day operations, ranging from player development to data collection and dissemination. MLB has partnered with Prep Baseball to operate one of the nation’s premier summer collegiate baseball leagues. Data Coordinators support the data capture, research and distribution throughout the League. The position’s focus is to aid in player development and operational support of the League. Positions will report to the Managing Director and work closely with other key League personnel. Positions run from June 1, 2025, to Sept. 5, 2025, and compensation will be a stipend and housing for the summer.

Responsibilities:

  • Manage play-by-play, video and technology equipment for data capture, including MLB Gameday/TrackMan at road games and oversee AWRE/Synergy and the MLB Pitch Timer at home games.
  • Serve as technology liaison for MLB Draft League teams, coaches, players, and other stakeholders.
  • Manage Gameday play-by-play collection and provide thorough updates to MLB Support
  • Assist coaches and players with access to data and reports daily, as well as ad hoc questions as presented.
  • Coordinate with coaching staff for game preparation and advanced scouting of upcoming opponents.
  • Track and update rosters and player information to communicate with MLB and data vendors as assigned.
  • Facilitate scouting and live video collection of all games to coaching staff, players and league media personnel.
  • Lead efforts to share and distribute knowledge and best practices of League apps like 643 Charts, Synergy, etc.
  • Provide daily updates to staff and content partners (TrackMan, Synergy).
  • Work with the rest of the content and social team to create, edit and deliver video playlists.
  • Identify and troubleshoot technical issues.
  • Travel with team for road games and support daily operations of home team.
  • Answer ad-hoc research questions pertaining to player performance and game recaps.
  • Other duties as assigned include 643 Charts distribution, umpire reports, etc.

Qualifications:

  • Knowledge of and strong interest in baseball operations, amateur scouting, player development, and analytics.
  • Proficiency with computers (Windows, Mac)
  • Experience with baseball technology, playing or coaching experience is a plus.
  • Must bring your own laptop computer.

Compensation:

  • Stipend to be paid bi-weekly.
  • The role requires availability outside of traditional work hours, including nights, weekends, and all home and road games, as the Data Coordinator will travel with the team.

Note: hours / working days are not limited to game days and the data coordinator is expected to be with the team for the entire season.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Appalachian League Data Coordinator

Description:
The Appalachian League is seeking highly qualified associates to work and support day to day operations of the League, ranging from player development to data collection and dissemination. MLB has partnered with USA Baseball, to operate one of the nation’s premier developmental summer baseball leagues. Data Coordinators support the coaching staff, data capture, research, team front office and data distribution throughout the League. The position’s focus is to aid in player development and operational support of the League and your assigned team. Positions will report to the Managing Director and work closely with other key League and team personnel. Positions run from June 1, 2025, to Aug. 2, 2025, and compensation will be a stipend and housing for the summer.

Responsibilities:

  • Manage play by play, video and technology equipment for data capture, including MLB Gameday/TrackMan at road games and oversee AWRE/Synergy and the MLB Pitch Timer at home games.
  • Serve as technology liaison for Appalachian League teams, coaches, players and other stakeholders.
  • Manage Gameday play by play collection and provide through updates to MLB Support and league personnel.
  • Assist coaches and players with access to data and reports daily, as well as ad hoc questions as presented.
  • Coordinate with coaching staff for game preparation and advanced scouting of upcoming opponents.
  • Track and update rosters and player information to communicate with MLB and data vendors as assigned.
  • Facilitate scouting and live video collection of all games to coaching staff, players and league personnel.
  • Lead efforts to share and distribute knowledge and best practices of League apps like 643 Charts, Synergy, etc.
  • Provide daily updates to staff and content partners (TrackMan, Synergy).
  • Work with the rest of the content and social team to create, edit and deliver video playlists.
  • Identify and troubleshoot technical issues.
  • Travel with team for road games and support daily operations of home team.
  • Answer ad-hoc research questions pertaining to player performance and game recaps.
  • Verify data accuracy and video quality.
  • Other duties as assigned like 643 Charts distribution, Umpire reports, etc.

Qualifications:

  • Knowledge of and strong interest in baseball operations, amateur scouting, player development or baseball analytics.
  • Proficiency with computers (Windows, Mac).
  • Experience with baseball technology, playing or coaching experience is a plus.
  • Must bring your own laptop computer.

Compensation:

  • Stipend to be paid bi-weekly.
  • Reimbursement for travel to and from your assigned team.
  • The role requires availability outside of traditional work hours including nights, weekend, and all home and road games, as the Data Coordinator will travel with the team.

Note: hours / working days are not limited to game days and the data coordinator is expected to be with the team for the entire season.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the MLB Draft League.


Job Posting: Los Angeles Angels – Full Time Analyst, Research and Development

Full Time Analyst, Research and Development

Overview:
The Los Angeles Angels are seeking an Analyst to join the Baseball Operations’ Research & Development team. This position will focus on analyzing baseball-related data and researching baseball topics to help inform decisions. The ideal candidate has a strong background of technical skills with an understanding of baseball research concepts and modern gameplay and development strategies.

This position is also benefit-eligible including: medical, dental and vision insurance, 401K eligibility; employee contributions after 3 months, employer matching and safe harbor after 1 year and 1000 hours of employment and additional perks not listed above. The expected salary for this position can range from $80,000-$90,000. Final offers for this role will be made within the parameters of the salary range provided. Years of experience, skills, and other factors are considered when determining the salary offered.

Responsibilities:

  • Assist in creating and improving models to help forecast various areas of baseball
  • Write code and implement systems that increase the efficiency of the Baseball Operations department
  • Perform ad-hoc research projects as requested and present results in a concise manner

Required Qualifications:

  • Intellectual curiosity and a desire to learn and grow as an analyst and member of a baseball operations team
  • Strong foundation in the application of statistical concepts to baseball data and the translation of data into actionable baseball recommendations
  • Ability to communicate concepts to individuals with diverse baseball backgrounds, including coaches, scouts and executives
  • Strong capabilities in R and/or Python
  • Familiarity with popular data science and visualization libraries such as tidyverse, pandas, scikit-learn, xgboost, and others
  • Proficiency in or clear ability to learn SQL
  • Ability to work flexible hours including evenings, weekends and holidays as dictated by the baseball calendar

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Demonstrable independent baseball research
  • Bachelor’s degree in Mathematics, Statistics, Computer Science, Economics or equivalent experience
  • Ability to relocate to Anaheim, CA strongly preferred

Physical Demands:

  • Ability to frequently sit for extended periods of time 
  • Ability to occasionally work in inclement weather (when in stadium)
  • Ability to traverse from office to stadium frequently
  • Ability to occasionally lift up to 20 lbs.

The above statements are intended to describe the general nature and level of work being performed by individuals assigned to this position. They are not intended to be an exhaustive list of all duties, responsibilities, and skills required of personnel so classified.

The Angels believe that diversity contributes to a more enriched collective perspective and a better decision-making process. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by law.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Los Angeles Angels.


Looking In at Juan Soto’s Career Projections

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Earlier this week, when Juan Soto agreed to a 15-year, $765 million contract with the New York Mets, I included a projection chart with some very pretty numbers. Now that the dust has settled on the seismic signing, I think it would be interesting to look a little bit deeper at Soto’s long-term projections, which reflect his possible place in baseball history beyond his immediate impact on the Mets.

This time, I’m including the full rest-of-career projections for Soto, along with the career totals should the projections be shockingly — and unrealistically — inaccurate.

ZiPS Projection – Juan Soto
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2025 .276 .426 .521 528 108 146 26 2 33 100 137 109 7 167 6.2
2026 .274 .427 .518 525 109 144 25 2 33 98 140 106 7 167 6.2
2027 .274 .430 .513 522 108 143 25 2 32 96 143 104 7 167 6.2
2028 .271 .429 .505 521 107 141 25 2 31 93 144 103 6 164 6.0
2029 .263 .424 .481 520 105 137 24 1 29 90 145 103 5 157 5.5
2030 .261 .421 .472 521 103 136 24 1 28 88 144 103 5 153 5.2
2031 .259 .418 .464 522 101 135 24 1 27 86 143 104 5 150 4.9
2032 .258 .417 .457 523 99 135 24 1 26 85 142 104 4 148 4.7
2033 .256 .414 .448 524 96 134 24 1 25 83 141 105 4 145 4.4
2034 .255 .412 .442 525 94 134 24 1 24 81 140 107 3 143 4.2
2035 .254 .409 .437 512 90 130 23 1 23 77 134 105 3 141 3.9
2036 .248 .402 .416 469 78 116 20 1 19 67 120 97 2 133 2.9
2037 .244 .395 .404 423 68 103 18 1 16 58 106 88 2 128 2.2
2038 .244 .394 .401 381 59 93 16 1 14 51 94 80 1 127 1.9
2039 .242 .390 .393 343 52 83 14 1 12 44 83 73 1 124 1.4
2040 .239 .385 .383 306 44 73 12 1 10 37 72 65 1 119 1.0
Career .266 .416 .481 10946 2076 2917 527 35 583 1826 2797 2252 121 151 103.2

Suffice it to say, that’s a line that would lead to an obvious Hall of Fame election during his first year on the ballot. Soto’s long-term projections have shot up quite a bit the last two seasons after his relative slump a couple years ago. After 2022, the season he was traded to the Padres, he dipped to a 146 wRC+ and 3.7 WAR — good enough numbers for the vast majority of the baseball world, but they felt a little underwhelming considering his earlier trajectory. After all, Soto is one of the few players to ever get Ted Williams as one of their near-age offensive comps.

This projection puts him right on pace to get to 3,000 hits, at just below a coin flip (43%). Among active players, only Freddie Freeman projects to finish with more career hits (3,012, 52% at 3,000). It’s also the first time Soto has hit the century mark in projected WAR. Just for fun, here’s a look at the projected career WAR leaders among active players from a decade ago, before 2015.

Career WAR Projections – Hitters (Pre-2015)
Player Final WAR Actual WAR
Alex Rodriguez 113.6 113.6
Mike Trout 100.8 85.7
Albert Pujols 95.2 89.9
Andrew McCutchen 85.9 52.5
Buster Posey 85.0 57.9
Miguel Cabrera 76.9 68.8
Derek Jeter 73.4 73.0
Evan Longoria 73.3 55.1
Yadier Molina 70.5 55.6
David Wright 70.1 51.3
Chase Utley 68.0 61.5
Troy Tulowitzki 65.9 37.8
Dustin Pedroia 63.8 44.8
Giancarlo Stanton 63.7 42.5
Russell Martin 62.5 54.5
Bryce Harper 61.4 52.5
Brian McCann 60.0 52.1
Manny Machado 58.9 53.6
Hanley Ramirez 57.9 41.8
Ichiro Suzuki 57.6 57.5

And here’s how it looks today.

Career WAR Projections – Hitters (Pre-2025)
Player WAR
Juan Soto 103.2
Mike Trout 95.6
Aaron Judge 82.4
Julio Rodríguez 80.5
Mookie Betts 79.3
Francisco Lindor 79.2
Bobby Witt Jr. 76.4
Freddie Freeman 73.0
Ronald Acuña Jr. 70.0
José Ramírez 68.3
Gunnar Henderson 66.9
Shohei Ohtani 66.8
Elly De La Cruz 65.3
Jose Altuve 65.0
Bryce Harper 64.7
Manny Machado 64.2
Fernando Tatis Jr. 63.5
Jackson Merrill 62.6
Yordan Alvarez 62.4
Corbin Carroll 59.1

Note that the Ohtani projection is only as a hitter.

Overall, Soto’s career projections give him a JAWS score of 74.4 – ZiPS projects JAWS natively these days – enough to rank him as the seventh-best right fielder in baseball history, sandwiched between Roberto Clemente and Al Kaline.

Those 583 projected home runs are the most among active players as well, giving Soto the best chance — a very slim shot — at reaching the career totals of Babe Ruth (714, 2%), Henry Aaron (755, 0.62%), and Barry Bonds (762, 0.55%). Soto is one of only three current hitters projected to finish with more than 500 homers; the other two, Judge and Ohtani, are both projected to finish at 549.

And since we’re saber-nerds, Soto is projected to seize the all-time walks record from Bonds. What’s even more shocking is that Soto’s projected walk total (2,797) is nearly double the projected total of Harper, who ranks second of the projected leaderboard among active players, with 1,489 walks. Soto also paces the all-time walks leaderboard for players through their age-25 season — by 99!

BB Leaders Through Age 25
Name BB
Juan Soto 769
Mickey Mantle 670
Mel Ott 622
Eddie Yost 620
Bryce Harper 585
Mike Trout 571
Eddie Mathews 561
Jimmie Foxx 556
Rickey Henderson 520
John McGraw 518
Harlond Clift 498
Ted Williams 495
Donie Bush 468
Arky Vaughan 466
Adam Dunn 462
Joe Kelley 445
Rusty Staub 433
Elbie Fletcher 427
Ken Griffey Jr. 426
Willie Randolph 425

So, will this all come true? Probably not. But Juan Soto is a special hitter who is tremendously accomplished for a hitter still only in his mid-20s. There’s a reason that many of the wealthiest teams were bidding obscene amounts of money to get him.


Yankees Sign Max Fried to Eight-Year, $218 Million Deal

Denis Poroy-Imagn Images

After missing out on Blake Snell and losing a Juan Soto bidding war to their crosstown rivals, the Yankees landed a big free agent on Tuesday, signing left-handed pitcher Max Fried to an eight-year contract worth $218 million. Fried, a first-round pick in 2012 for the Padres, had spent his entire MLB career with the Atlanta Braves after being one of the big-name prospects included in the 2014 Justin Upton trade. Fried’s contract contains no opt-outs or elevator clauses or any fancy deferral schemes to bring down the total money. The Yankees are opening their wallets to pay one of the best pitchers available a whole lot of cash. Fried’s contract is the largest for a left-handed pitcher in baseball history.

After Fried was limited to just 14 starts in 2023 due to hamstring and forearm injuries, as well as a blister on his index finger, the lefty returned to the mound last season and pitched well enough and stayed healthy enough to max out his deal in free agency. Enough is the key here because, for the second straight season, Fried missed time with a forearm injury. The more recent one, which was diagnosed as ulnar neuritis, cost him a handful of starts in July, but he returned to the rotation the first week of August. He finished the regular season strong, posting a 2.99 FIP across his final 11 starts, though he faltered against the Padres in his lone playoff appearance. All told, Fried had a solid platform season, with a 3.25 ERA and 3.33 FIP in 174 1/3 innings over 29 starts, good for 3.4 WAR and peripherals right in line with his career numbers.

If I didn’t include the eight-year projections, some of you might picket my house and eat the local chili in vengeance, so here we go.

ZiPS Projections – Max Fried
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2025 12 8 3.43 27 27 162.7 141 62 15 48 147 120 3.1
2026 11 7 3.59 26 26 153.0 137 61 15 45 135 115 2.7
2027 10 7 3.76 25 25 146.0 135 61 16 44 125 110 2.3
2028 9 8 3.95 23 23 134.3 129 59 16 42 113 104 1.8
2029 8 8 4.13 22 22 128.7 129 59 16 43 105 100 1.4
2030 7 7 4.43 19 19 111.7 117 55 15 41 88 93 0.9
2031 6 6 4.66 17 17 96.7 104 50 14 37 74 89 0.6
2032 4 6 4.93 14 14 76.7 83 42 12 32 57 84 0.2

I’m actually a bit surprised at the bearishness of the projections; ZiPS is thinking he’s worth $120 million, which is shockingly low to me. Most likely it’s from a few things. ZiPS is likely seeing something similar to what’s reflected in his xERA, which was 3.64 last season, and his contact-against numbers have declined a bit. Also complicating matters are Fried’s four IL stints over the past two years — which are keeping his projected inning totals fairly conservative. Beyond that, ZiPS has a lot more excitement for Snell’s upside than it does for Fried’s steadiness. I tend to be more optimistic than ZiPS here.

Even if Fried falls short of being the 1B to Gerrit Cole’s 1A in the rotation, some kind of signing here was necessary for the Yankees after they lost out on Snell and failed to retain Soto. Sure, the rotation wasn’t the team’s biggest problem entering the offseason, but it wasn’t exactly a highlight, either. Even with an improved Carlos Rodón during his second season in pinstripes, as well as a Rookie of the Year campaign from Luis Gil, the Yankees’ rotation was right around league average in terms of WAR. Some of that middling production was due to Cole’s missing the first two and a half months of the season with elbow inflammation, which limited him to 95 innings. However, Cole is now 34, Rodón has a significant injury history, and Gil could be due for some regression. Nestor Cortes and Clarke Schmidt also missed time last season, and Marcus Stroman was inconsistent enough that he was booted from the rotation down the stretch and didn’t pitch in the postseason. Considering all of this, the Yankees were wise to add another dependable arm here, even if Fried’s forearm ailments are a bit concerning.

Maybe it’s just me, but it never felt like the Braves were really all-in on Fried this winter. With the conversion of Reynaldo López back to a full-time starter going successfully and Spencer Schwellenbach’s terrific debut (and very good projections), I’m guessing the team was happy to count on Spencer Strider’s return and a healthy Chris Sale to anchor the rotation.

The Yankees still have a lot to do to fill the Soto-sized hole in their lineup, but they needed to do more than just make up for his lost production. In signing Fried, they’ve fortified their rotation.


Juan Soto Lands the Richest Contract in Sports History

Jay Biggerstaff-Imagn Images

Last year’s Winter Meetings were a bit of a snooze until the end, but 2024’s kicked off in style with the biggest free agent this offseason, Juan Soto, signing a massive 15-year deal to join the New York Mets for what is likely to be the rest of his career. At $765 million, Soto’s new contract is the richest in the history of professional sports. The ifs, buts, and wherefors make the contract even richer, as Soto scores a signing bonus of $75 million immediately, has no money deferred, and even has an opt-out after the fifth season if he believes he can land something even more lucrative. The Mets do get the option to void Soto’s opt-out by adding $40 million to the value of the last decade of his contract.

The wildest thing is that it’s not really even much of an overpay. Some might compare it to contracts like the ones given to Albert Pujols or Miguel Cabrera, but those deals were given to significantly older players. Signing a player in his mid-20s rather than one in his late-20s or early-30s is a very big deal. First off, let’s run the numbers for Soto in Queens:

ZiPS Projection – Juan Soto
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2025 .276 .426 .521 528 108 146 26 2 33 100 137 109 7 167 6.2
2026 .274 .427 .518 525 109 144 25 2 33 98 140 106 7 167 6.2
2027 .274 .430 .513 522 108 143 25 2 32 96 143 104 7 167 6.2
2028 .271 .429 .505 521 107 141 25 2 31 93 144 103 6 164 6.0
2029 .263 .424 .481 520 105 137 24 1 29 90 145 103 5 157 5.5
2030 .261 .421 .472 521 103 136 24 1 28 88 144 103 5 153 5.2
2031 .259 .418 .464 522 101 135 24 1 27 86 143 104 5 150 4.9
2032 .258 .417 .457 523 99 135 24 1 26 85 142 104 4 148 4.7
2033 .256 .414 .448 524 96 134 24 1 25 83 141 105 4 145 4.4
2034 .255 .412 .442 525 94 134 24 1 24 81 140 107 3 143 4.2
2035 .254 .409 .437 512 90 130 23 1 23 77 134 105 3 141 3.9
2036 .248 .402 .416 469 78 116 20 1 19 67 120 97 2 133 2.9
2037 .244 .395 .404 423 68 103 18 1 16 58 106 88 2 128 2.2
2038 .244 .394 .401 381 59 93 16 1 14 51 94 80 1 127 1.9
2039 .242 .390 .393 343 52 83 14 1 12 44 83 73 1 124 1.4

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Job Posting: San Francisco Giants – Baseball Operations Associate Analyst

Baseball Operations Associate Analyst

Department: Baseball Operations
Location: Arizona
Status: Part-Time; Non-Exempt
Duration: February 2025 – October 2025

Position Summary:
This individual will provide analytics and technology support serving staff both remote and on-site while helping to implement key organizational initiatives. The ideal candidate will possess technical skills, the ability to communicate effectively to non-technical people, and both passion and intellectual curiosity for the game of baseball.

Position Responsibilities:

  • Provide statistic analysis and quantitative research to support Player Development staff.
  • Execute Minor League pre- and post-game reporting needs.
  • Conduct research for ad-hoc requests from coaches & staff.
  • Utilize technology and information to assess player strength sand areas of development.
  • Ensure data upload and ingestion quality for Minor League Affiliate ball-tracking files.
  • Support data collection needs, including but not limited to operating technologies like Trackman Portable, Blast, Rapsodo, Trackman.

Skills and Qualifications:

  • Understanding of current baseball analytics topics.
  • Strong communication and attention to detail.
  • Experience with Excel and SQL, R, or Python.
  • Ability to work evenings, weekends, and holidays.
  • Ability to speak Spanish is a plus.

At the Giants, we believe we put our best work forward when our employees bring together ideas that are diverse in thought. We are proud to be an equal opportunity workplace and are committed to equal employment opportunity regardless of race, religious creed, color, national origin, ancestry, medical condition or disability, genetic condition, marital status, domestic partnership status, sex, gender, gender identity, gender expression, age, sexual orientation, military or veteran status and any other protected class under federal, state or local law. Pursuant to the San Francisco Fair Chance Ordinance, we will consider for employment qualified applicants with arrest and conviction records. In addition, we will provide reasonable accommodations for qualified individuals with disabilities. If you have a disability or special need, we would like to know how we can better accommodate you.

All employment applications are reviewed upon receipt.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the San Francisco Giants.