JAWS and the 2024 Hall of Fame Ballot: Bartolo Colon

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The following article is part of Jay Jaffe’s ongoing look at the candidates on the BBWAA 2024 Hall of Fame ballot. For a detailed introduction to this year’s ballot, and other candidates in the series, use the tool above; an introduction to JAWS can be found here. For a tentative schedule and a chance to fill out a Hall of Fame ballot for our crowdsourcing project, see here. All WAR figures refer to the Baseball-Reference version unless otherwise indicated.

2024 BBWAA Candidate: Bartolo Colon
Pitcher Career WAR Peak WAR Adj. S-JAWS W-L SO ERA ERA+
Bartolo Colon 46.2 35.5 40.9 247-188 2535 4.12 106
SOURCE: Baseball-Reference

Bartolo Colon could throw strikes. At the outset of his 21-year major league career, Colon blew 100-mph fastballs by hitters, and within a couple years showed off top-of-the-rotation form. Over a decade and more than half a dozen teams later, following a controversial arm surgery, Colon’s ability to locate his sinker to both sides of the plate with precision gained him greater renown. In one 2012 start, he threw 38 consecutive strikes.

Indeed, it was the second act of his career — or was it the third, or even the fourth? — during which Colon became an unlikely cult favorite. The Dominican-born righty had listed at 5-foot-10, 185 pounds while in the minors, but his biggest contract extension had a weight clause centered at 225 pounds. After suffering a torn rotator cuff at the tail end of his Cy Young Award-winning 2005 season, he spent nearly half a decade knocking around before undergoing experimental injections of fat and stem cells into his shoulder and elbow, and by the time he reemerged in his late 30s, he was officially listed at 285 pounds. His everyman build made him more relatable, but it camouflaged an exceptional athleticism. “Big Sexy” — the nickname given to him by teammate Noah Syndergaard, and later the title of his 2020 autobiography — could field his position with enough flair to execute a behind-the-back throw. He could high-kick like a Rockette, and do splits like a ballerina. “One of the stereotypes of Bartolo is because he has an atypical body type for a pitcher, he is not in shape,” said Cleveland GM Mark Shapiro in 2004. “But this guy is amazingly strong. He’s like [former Houston Oiler running back] Earl Campbell from the waist down. He is a strong, strong man, and that core strength is what it’s all about.”

Colon made two All-Star appearances on either side of his wilderness years; in fact, his third appearance came after he was suspended 50 games for using performance-enhancing drugs. But unlike most players who run afoul of the game’s Joint Drug Agreement, he avoided most of the animosity that accompanies such suspensions, and quickly worked his way back into baseball’s good graces. Indeed, during his three-year stint with the Mets (2014–16) he was particularly beloved by teammates and fans. He radiated joy, and delighted in entertaining to the point that he asked the Mets’ equipment manager to fit him with an oversized helmet that would fall off when he took his mighty hacks “so I could make the fans laugh some more,” he wrote.

About that hitting: Colon was unusually terrible with the bat, so bad that his infrequent foul balls even generated cheers. But in perhaps the peak moment of the Bartolo Boom, he hit his first major league home run in 2016, just a few weeks shy of his 43rd birthday. The moment became a social media sensation, a story for the ages.

Colon pitched until well past his 45th birthday, by which time he had accumulated more wins than any Latin American pitcher in major league history. But despite his 247 wins and 2,535 strikeouts, neither his ERA nor his WAR and JAWS are Hall of Fame-caliber. Still, it’s no stretch to suggest he’s more popular than some Hall of Famers, even among his contemporaries, and that he has carved out a unique and enduring place in the baseball world.

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2024 BBWAA Candidate: Bartolo Colon
Pitcher Career WAR Peak WAR Adj. S-JAWS
Bartolo Colon 46.2 35.5 40.9
Avg. HOF SP 73.3 40.7 56.8
W-L SO ERA ERA+
247-188 2,535 4.12 106
SOURCE: Baseball-Reference

Bartolo Colon was born on May 24, 1973, in the northern coastal town of Altamira, Dominican Republic, the third of six children of Miguel Valerio Colon and Adriana Morales De Colon. He grew up in a three-room house that had no electricity, plumbing, or phone in a hillside village called El Copey, “which has one main road and dozens of squat houses under zinc roofs and coconut trees,” according to a 2015 New York Times profile by Dan Barry.

Miguel owned a grocery store where he sold rice, beans, and sugar as well as avocados, coffee, and cacao, which he grew in a field behind the house. From the time Bartolo was eight years old, he attended school in the morning, then joined his father in the field. “We picked beans in the fields and fruit from the trees, usually for at least 10 hours a day, six days a week,” Colon told the Los Angeles Times‘ Mike DiGiovanna in 2004. “Some days, we’d start at 4 a.m., and some days we didn’t stop until midnight… I definitely think that work helped me.”

As a youngster, Colon was capable of pulping up to 1,000 crates of coffee beans per day. The hand-cranked pulping machines built up his arm strength, and he practiced his accuracy by throwing rocks to knock mangos and coconuts from trees. While transporting the beans on his pet donkey Pancho — I swear I’m not making this up — he would stop by a neighborhood baseball field and play a few innings with other children, using balls made of cloth. “The only way you would be able to play was to escape from my dad,” Colon told Barry, “because the main thing was working.”

Colon dropped out of school after the sixth grade to continue working the fields — both the coffee ones and the baseball ones. He didn’t begin playing organized baseball until he was 14, but just a year later, he threw so hard that some youth league opponents refused to take the field against him. While the Dodgers, Royals and even Cleveland all brought him to their Dominican academies, they sent him home because they believed he was too short. Nonetheless, his exploits drew the attention of Cleveland scouts Virgilio Perez and Winston Llenas, the latter a former major leaguer. “Llenas recalls that while the young prospect did not have a typical pitcher’s physique, he possessed obvious talent and a commitment to hard work, a trait that Colon once said he learned from the likes of Pancho,” wrote Barry.

Colon signed with Cleveland for $3,000 in 1993; the organization believed he was 18 years old, not 20. He gave $500 to Perez and Llenas, kept $400, and turned the rest over to his parents; his father used the money to buy land that became very valuable. After a season in the Dominican Summer League, he came stateside in 1994, and posted a 3.14 ERA and struck out 84 in 66 innings for Burlington in the Appalachian League. He was lights-out at High-A Kinston in 1995, posting a 1.96 ERA with 152 strikeouts in 128.2 innings before a bone bruise in his elbow shut him down for the final month of the season. He was the league’s Pitcher of the Year and, via Baseball America, its no. 1 prospect, with the publication calling him “the hardest thrower in the Carolina League… with exceptional control for a power pitcher. Not only does he not walk batters, but he can spot his fastball in the strike zone almost at will.” Wrote Orioles scout Moe Drabowsky in his report, “Best FB I’ve seen.”

BA ranked him 15th on their Top 100 Prospects List for 1996, but Colon continued to have arm troubles; in fact, he missed eight weeks with “a strained [sic] ligament in his right forearm” — possibly a UCL injury (ligaments get sprained, not strained), limiting him to just 77 inning split between Double-A Canton-Akron (where he posted a 1.74 ERA) and Triple-A Buffalo. He was 14th on BA’s list for 1997 nonetheless, with the publication writing, “Colon has an explosive 94-96 mph fastball, a hard breaking ball and good feel for his changeup. All three are plus pitches, and when healthy he can overpower hitters.”

The 24-year-old Colon made Cleveland’s rotation out of spring training in 1997, and debuted on April 4 against the Angels in Anaheim, with a five-inning, four-run showing in the season’s third game. He notched his first strikeout against Jim Edmonds in the first inning but gave up two runs in that frame as well, then surrendered a two-run homer to Gary Disarcina in the second, but after that, he pitched three scoreless innings. He spent the season shuttling back and forth to Buffalo, generally scuffling at the major league level; when he notched his first win, on June 7 against the Red Sox at Fenway Park, his seven-inning, four-run outing lowered his ERA to 6.75. Less than two weeks later, on June 20, he threw a no-hitter for Buffalo. At the major league level, Colon finished the season 4-7 with a 5.65 ERA and 4.90 FIP in 94 innings via 17 starts and two relief appearances. While he regularly hit 100 mph on the Jacobs Field speed gun, his 4.3 walks per nine was especially problematic. He was a bystander while the team won its second pennant in three seasons before losing to the Marlins in an epic World Series.

One year to the day after his debut, Colon returned to Anaheim and dominated the Angels, throwing a four-hit, 10-strikeout complete-game shutout. He added another four-hit shutout agains the Pirates on June 8, part of a five-start stretch over which he allowed just four runs in 40 innings, lowering his ERA to 2.46 and earning him a spot on the AL All-Star team.

Though he took his lumps in the second half, Colon finished 14-9 with a 3.71 ERA (128 ERA+) in 204 innings. His 4.4 WAR began a streak of four straight seasons in the 4.4–4.9 range. In his first taste of postseason action, he threw 5.2 innings of one-run ball against the Red Sox in Fenway in Game 4 of the Division Series. He departed down 1-0 but David Justice’s two-run double helped Cleveland close out the series. Colon followed up with a four-hit, one-run complete game against the 114-win Yankees at Jacobs Field in Game 3 of the ALCS, putting Cleveland up two games to one. He didn’t get another turn, however, as the Yankees ousted starters Dwight Gooden, Chad Ogea, and Charles Nagy early while taking the next three games.

In March 1999, Colon signed a four-year, $9.25 million extension with a $6 million option and $250,000 buyout for 2003. The contract included an incentive clause concerning his weight, awarding him $12,500 for weighing 225 pounds or less during four weigh-in dates per year. Performance-wise, better offensive support offset a rising home run rate to help Colon place fourth in the 1999 AL Cy Young race on the basis of an 18-5, 3.95 ERA (126 ERA+) performance that helped Cleveland win its fifth straight AL Central title. In a Division Series-opening win against the Red Sox, he punched out 11 while allowing two runs over eight innings. Unfortunately, while pitching on three days of rest for Game 4, he was chased after allowing the first five batters of the second inning to reach base, and charged with seven runs in one-plus innings in a 23-7 loss. Boston won in five.

An oblique strain sent Colon to what was then the disabled list for nearly four weeks in 2000, but he recovered to strike out a career high 212 in 188 innings (a 26.3% rate) while going 15-8 with a 3.88 ERA (127 ERA+) and 4.9 WAR, which ranked fifth in the league. He made a strong firsthand impression on this future scribe on September 19, 2000 at Yankee Stadium, fanning 13 in a one-hit shutout. Aside from Justice reaching safely twice, via a first-inning error by left fielder Russell Branyan on a line drive and then a sixth-inning walk, no Yankee had gotten on base until Luis Polonia singled with one out in the eighth. Twenty-three years later, that’s still the deepest I’ve seen a pitcher take a no-hitter in person.

Colon struck out 201 hitters in 2001 but his ERA rose to 4.09 (110 ERA+); still, over 222.1 innings that was worth 4.6 WAR. He again started Game 1 of the Division Series, this time delivering eight shutout innings with 10 strikeouts against the 116-win Mariners. In Game 4, he shut the Mariners out through six innings but faltered in the seventh, no thanks to his own throwing error when he tried to pick off John Olerud at second base but threw the ball into center field. The Mariners won that game and the series.

Picking up a tip from the Braves’ Greg Maddux during a spring training while he was still with Cleveland, Colon adjusted the grip on his sinker, gaining better control and the ability to add and subtract velocity. He went 10-4 with a 2.55 ERA through his first 16 starts in 2002 for a team that was running third in the AL Central, below .500 and looking to retool. Meanwhile over in the NL East, the Montreal Expos — who had been targeted for contraction the previous fall after their fourth season in a row with at least 94 losses, and who were now wards of Major League Baseball — were second in the division, 6.5 games out of first and five games back in the Wild Card race. Desperate to put the Expos in the postseason, GM Omar Minaya went for it, trading first baseman Lee Stevens and prospects Cliff Lee, Brandon Phillips and Grady Sizemore to Cleveland in exchange for Colon and righty Tim Drew.

Colon continued to pitch well, going 10-4 with a 3.31 ERA to reach 20 wins for the first time, and totaling 7.1 WAR between the two teams, sixth in the majors. Even so, the Expos went 26-33 from the point of the trade to the end of August, and finished 83-79. Lee, Phillips, and Sizemore would all go on to major league stardom (Phillips only after being traded to the Reds in 2006). After the season, Minaya picked up Colon’s option, but in January dealt him and a prospect to the White Sox in a three-way deal that also included the Yankees. Montreal received Orlando Hernandez, who would miss the season with injuries before being non-tendered, plus righty Rocky Biddle and first baseman Jeff Liefer, who would both deliver negative WAR to Montreal. Ouch.

Colon slipped to 15-13 with the White Sox but set career highs with 242 innings and nine complete games, posting a 3.87 ERA (120 ERA+) and 5.1 WAR, a strong season from which to launch his free agency. While the White Sox reportedly offered three years and $36 million to retain him, the Angels offered four years and $51 million. Their 2002 championship run had captivated him. “I watched most of that World Series on TV,” he said through an interpreter at his introductory press conference. “I couldn’t watch the last few innings because it made me too nervous. I was for the Angels.”

Though Colon allowed just one earned run in 14 innings while winning his first two starts as an Angel, he struggled with his command and became more homer-prone, serving up 38 (1.6 per nine) in 208.1 innings en route to a 5.01 ERA (89 ERA+); with 5.9 runs per game of offensive support, he still went 18-12. Focusing more on his command than his velocity, and somehow pitching through back pain all season in 2005, he trimmed his walk rate from 7.9% to 4.8%, cut his home rate to 1.1 per nine and went 21-8 with a 3.48 ERA (122 ERA+) in 222.2 innings. He made his second All-Star team and beat out Mariano Rivera (1.38 ERA, 43 saves) and Johan Santana (16-7, 2.87 ERA) in a Cy Young vote that drove statheads batty for its emphasis on won-loss records instead of run prevention; Santana’s 7.2 WAR dwarfed the 4.0 WARs of both Colon and Rivera. Had Santana won, he’d have claimed three straight (including 2006), which might have been enough to punch his ticket to Cooperstown in spite of his short career, or at least keep him from going one-and-done on the 2018 BBWAA ballot.

Colon’s win set off a weeklong celebration in Altamira. “People stopping by and honking their horns… It’s been really, really crazy, crazy, crazy,” he said through a translator in the immediate aftermath of his win. In that same press conference, he explained his evolution from power pitcher to craftsman:

“If I can get an out with one or two pitches and use my sinker or my cutter, I’m better off… I stopped being a village boy, thinking that I can throw any stone, any rock through a wall, and started thinking about being a guy that could last longer, to take some off my fastball and not to depend only on throwing hard.”

Unfortunately, by the time he said that, Colon’s career had taken a turn for the worse. He had left Game 5 of the Division Series against the Yankees after just one inning due to a partially torn rotator cuff. Between that injury and a 2007 lat strain, he made just 29 appearances totaling 155.2 innings in ’06-07, with a 5.90 ERA. He couldn’t get more than a minor league deal upon reaching free agency, and was limited to seven starts with the Red Sox while missing time due to oblique and back injuries, and pitching through bone spurs in his elbow. Sent to the bullpen in mid-September, he instead left for the Dominican Republic to handle “personal matters” and decided not to return. He was suspended without pay and placed on the restricted list. After the season, he paid out of his own pocket to have Dr. James Andrews remove three bone chips from his elbow.

A one-year, $1 million deal with the White Sox for 2009 didn’t go much better. Colon pitched to a 4.23 ERA through 11 starts before being sidelined by right knee inflammation. Sent to Triple-A Charlotte on a rehab assignment, he went missing, with manager Ozzie Guillen suggesting that the recent death of pop star Michael Jackson might be affecting him. “I worry about Colon because Colon was a big-time Michael Jackson fan,” Guillen told reporters. “He might [watch] the TV and cry all day long. Maybe he is in L.A. at his funeral, because I can’t find him… He might be depressed a little bit.”

Colon did eventually turn up for his rehab assignment, but after one more start for the White Sox he was sidelined by elbow inflammation and released in mid-September when it was clear he couldn’t help the team. He didn’t pitch at all in 2010, instead undergoing a controversial, cutting-edge medical procedure in which fat and stem cells from his bone marrow were injected into his shoulder and elbow in an effort to repair his torn rotator cuff and damaged ligaments. The procedure was performed by orthopedic surgeon Dr. Joseph R. Purita, the proprietor of a regenerative medicine clinic in Boca Raton. While Purita normally used human growth hormone in such treatments, he claimed not to have done so for Colon, since HGH was banned by MLB.

Acting on a recommendation from Tony Peña, who saw him throw 93 mph in the Dominican Winter League, the Yankees signed the going-on-38-year-old Colon to a minor league deal not knowing the details of the surgery. He made the team out of spring training, and joined the rotation in mid-April after Phil Hughes landed on the DL with a tired arm. By mid-May, Colon was pitching well enough, reaching 95-96 mph with his fastball on occasion, for the New York Times to investigate his experimental surgery. “This is not just about what we did,” Dr. Purita told the Times‘ Serge F. Kovaleski. “We gave him the means, but he has the focus and desire, the killer instinct. He worked his tail off to get back in the game. That is something stem cells cannot fix.”

“The doctor feels that it definitely gave him a jump start to his improvement, although for me, personally, I don’t think Bartolo was focused on baseball mentally or physically for the last few years,” said Colon’s agent, Mitch Frankel. “I believe the problem was that and not his pitching. And I think once he made that determination, you can see the success.”

Colon threw a four-hit shutout against the A’s on May 30. While he soon missed three weeks due to a hamstring strain, and struggled late in the season, he came up big for a rotation that lacked depth. He ranked fourth in the majors in strikeouts looking (75) behind Lee, David Price, and Justin Verlander while finishing 8-10 with a 4.00 ERA (107 ERA+) in 164.1 innings and impressing teammates with his work ethic and good nature.

A free agent at season’s end, Colon signed a one-year, $2 million deal with the A’s, who had gone 74-88 and traded former All-Stars Trevor Cahill and Gio González. The grizzled veteran fronting a young rotation, Colon went 10-9 with a 3.43 ERA in 24 starts for the A’s. His April 18 outing against the Angels was the one where he threw 38 consecutive strikes, and 82 of 108 pitches for strikes over the course of eight shutout innings.

On August 22, Colon was suspended 50 games for testing positive for elevated testosterone. Dr. Purita reiterated he had not given Colon anything illegal, and hadn’t been in direct contact with the pitcher since the 2010 procedure. This was Colon making a bad decision on his own. “I apologize to the fans, to my teammates and to the Oakland A’s,” he said in a statement. “I accept responsibility for my actions and I will serve my suspension as required by the joint drug program.”

The A’s went on to win the division without Colon, who missed the final 40 games of the regular season as well as the team’s five-game Division Series loss. Surprisingly, the team re-signed him to a one-year, $3 million-plus-incentives contract, and were rewarded with Colon’s best season of his comeback phase (18-6, 2.65 ERA, 190.1 IP). His three shutouts matched his career high and tied for the league lead, his ERA ranked second, his 5.6 WAR — his highest since 2002 — fifth; he would later place sixth in the Cy Young voting. The A’s won the AL West again, and Colon started opposite the Tigers’ Max Scherzer in the Division Series opener, but wound up on the short end by allowing three runs in six innings. He didn’t get a chance to start again, as manager Bob Melvin chose to go with Game 2 starter Sonny Gray (who had thrown eight shutout innings in Game 2 opposite Verlander) for Game 5, which Detroit won nonetheless.

With a recommendation from general manager Billy Beane — who didn’t foresee a role for Colon on the A’s for 2014 — the going-on-41-year-old righty signed a two-year, $20 million deal with the Mets, for whom he could reprise his role in mentoring a young rotation. Colon totaled 397 innings over the course of the deal, albeit with just a 4.13 ERA (87 ERA+), but he struck out over five hitters for every one he walked. His relentlessness in pounding the strike zone, his work ethic, and his ability to provide bulk innings were a boon to the staff, and he quickly won over fans, becoming a cult favorite. On August 8, 2014, he beat the Phillies for his 200th career win.

The 2014 Mets won just 79 games, but the ’15 Mets — with Matt Harvey back from Tommy John surgery, Jacob deGrom in his first full season, and Syndergaard up from the minors in May — won 90 games and the NL East. It was Syndergaard who gave Colon his enduring nickname. “I don’t think I’m sexy but if the fans like the name, I like it too,” wrote Colon in Big Sexy. Later the younger pitcher would make t-shirts with his likeness to share with his family and of course with his subject. Meanwhile, Colon wowed the fans with stuff like this behind-the-back throw from September 5, 2015.

In the postseason, Colon was limited to bullpen duty, but he pitched well, allowing two earned runs in 8.2 innings as the Mets beat the Dodgers in the Division Series and the Cubs in the NLCS before falling to the Royals in the World Series. Colon notched the win with 1.1 innings of shutout relief in the NLCS-clinching Game 4 but took the loss in the World Series opener, for which he pitched 2.1 innings beginning in the 12th; the winning run was unearned, the result of a throwing error by David Wright. In Big Sexy, Colon described his inning-ending, 10-pitch strikeout of Salvador Perez to (temporarily) preserve a one-run lead in Game 4 and delight the Citi Field fans as his biggest thrill of that season.

While other teams reportedly made better offers to Colon once he reached free agency, he chose to return to the Mets on a one-year, $7.25 million deal. “Loves fans, teammates, organization,” tweeted Fox Sports’ Ken Rosenthal. Improbably, he became an All-Star again at age 43, and turned in his best season as a Met, going 15-8 with a 3.43 ERA (117 ERA+) in 191.2 innings.

The biggest highlight of Colon’s season came not on the mound but at the plate. An utterly terrible hitter, Colon had hit .093/.100/.102 (-44 OPS+) in 237 plate appearances through 2015, with two doubles, 113 strikeouts and not a single walk or homer. Still, the sight of him trying to bat was enough for commissioner Rob Manfred to reject bringing the designated hitter to the NL. “Not having National League pitchers hit would deprive us of the entertainment Bartolo Colon has given us this year,” he told reporters in 2015. Colon was 0-for-9 to start the 2016 season when he stepped into the box against the Padres’ James Shields at Petco Park on May 7 and the impossible happened, to use Mets announcer Gary Cohen’s words.

“This is one of the great moments in the history of baseball!” exclaimed Cohen. It was historic, in that at 42 years and 349 days, Colon was the oldest player to hit his first major league homer. The fans drank it in. Topps issued a limited-edition commemorative baseball card in honor of the event. In Brooklyn, my pregnant wife and I gave our in-utero daughter the “nom de womb” Bartola in his honor, and when my wife’s Sports Illustrated colleagues threw a surprise baby shower a couple months later, we received a “Baby Bartola!” sign that endures to this day. The name Bartola also made its way into the grandparenting-themed columns and audiobook by my mother-in-law.

The Mets qualified for the NL Wild Card Game, but lost to the Giants and Madison Bumgarner despite a stellar Syndergaard start, and with that, Colon hit free agency again. He signed a one-year, $12.5 million deal with the Braves, and made a strong debut against his old team, throwing six innings of two-hit, one-run ball at Citi Field. After that, the magic became harder to summon, as he allowed more than three runs in nine of his next 12 starts, his ERA ballooning to 8.14 before the Braves released him in late June. While the Mets — who were missing both Syndergaard and Harvey due to injuries — expressed interest in a reunion, Colon instead signed with the Twins. He was better there (5.18 ERA in 80 innings), which isn’t to say that he was good.

With his sights set on Juan Marichal’s total of 243 wins, the most by any Dominican-born pitcher, the soon-to-be-45-year-old Colon accepted an incentive-based minor league deal with the rebuilding Rangers. He pitched reasonably well to start the season, posting a 3.55 ERA (but a 4.99 FIP) through the end of May. His fourth win of the year, no. 244 for his career, came against the Royals on June 18, 2018. On June 30, with his next win, Colon tied Nicaragua-born Dennis Martinez for the most by a pitcher born in Latin America, but he went all of July without surpassing him to claim the record. Finally, it came on August 7 against the Mariners.

Colon made just two more starts and notched one more win before being slowed by back problems. He totaled just six innings in September. That was the end for him at the major league level, but hardly the end of the road. He pitched in the Dominican Winter League that year. In February 2020, he signed with Acereros de Monclova of the Mexican League, but didn’t pitch because the season was canceled due to the COVID-19 pandemic. He did join them for 2021, going 6-2 with a 4.55 ERA in 61 innings.

On September 17, 2023, Colon officially retired as a member of the Mets. “This was the fan base that accepted me the most and supported me the most,” he said. “That’s why I’m most comfortable here.”

Even in retirement, Colon is still out there, pitching somewhere. In October he was drafted by the Karachi (Pakistan) Monarchs of the four-team Baseball United League, a new league that also includes teams in Mumbai, Dubai, and Abu Dhabi. At 50 years old, on November 24 he pitched three innings in an All-Star Game that also featured former major leaguers Robinson Canó, Pablo Sandoval, Didi Gregorius, and Andrelton Simmons. Colon fanned Alejandro De Aza for the first strikeout in league history.

Colon finished his career with 247 wins, the ninth-highest total of any pitcher who debuted in 1984 or later, and higher than Hall of Famers Pedro Martinez (219), John Smoltz (213), and Roy Halladay (203). Though he certainly had his dominant days on the mound, that win total is more the product of his stamina and offensive support (about 8% above league average) than it is exceptional run prevention skill. Indeed, Colon’s 4.12 ERA is 0.22 runs per nine higher than the highest pitcher in the Hall, Jack Morris (3.90), and his 106 ERA+ is lower than all but three Hall of Famers, namely Morris (105), Catfish Hunter (104), and Rube Marquard (103).

Similarly, while Colon ranked among his league’s top 10 in WAR seven times (including 2002, when he was traded in midseason), his 46.2 career WAR is tied for 137th among starting pitchers, ahead of just eight out of the 65 non-Negro Leagues starters in the Hall. He’s 130th in S-JAWS, ahead of just nine Hall of Famers. By the methodology I used in my recent update of the cases of Andy Pettitte and Mark Buehrle, Colon’s JAWS ranks in the eighth percentile, while his S-JAWS is in the 13th percentile, both well below the aforementioned lefties on this ballot. Add to that the PED suspension and I don’t think there’s much to debate about his Hall case.

That doesn’t take away from the fun that we had watching Colon pitch — and hit, and field — throughout his career and especially in his latter-day incarnation. He brought a lot of joy to baseball, and he’ll be remembered most fondly.





Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.

67 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Cave Dameron
2 years ago

Absolutely not.

marinmccoveysMember since 2026
2 years ago
Reply to  Cave Dameron

Yeah, I mean come on. Not even close to the line.

FunFella13Member since 2016
2 years ago
Reply to  Cave Dameron

Very cool, thanks Cave!

Seattle Homer
2 years ago

Definitely belongs in inner circle of the Hall of Fascinating, but unfortunately probably not the Hall of Fame.

glennaragorn
2 years ago

I want to believe because Colon is a personal favorite, but he’s not getting in unless he has enough friends on a later VC election.

Dmjn53
2 years ago
Reply to  glennaragorn

Which would instantly have him surpass Morris and Baines as the most ludicrous HOF inductee

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  Dmjn53

I mean…not at all?

He has more career WAR and a better peak than either Morris or Baines

dl80Member since 2020
2 years ago

Morris has more career WAR, though the overall point stands.

Lanidrac
2 years ago
Reply to  Dmjn53

Not quite. He’d still be a better pick than Lloyd Waner at the very least.

glennaragorn
2 years ago
Reply to  Dmjn53

Are you saying he’d give the HOF a Colonoscopy?

I had to do it…

EonADSMember since 2024
2 years ago

I don’t even know that I’d have Colon in the Hall of Very Good, let alone the Hall of Fame. Aside from the PED suspension and his off-field conduct, he wasn’t consistently “very good” for long. His best stretch capped out without a single 5 WAR performance (one barely 5 by bWAR), and he was just solid otherwise; for almost the entire remainder of his career after his comeback he was solid to above-average. He was an above-average player overall imo, but never great at any point on the field. Even his Cy Young is emblematic of that rather than any level of greatness; he’s probably the most unworthy winner in the last twenty years (yes, including Rick Porcello, who was within spitting distance of Verlander and outperformed Kluber by fWAR).

Ultimately a fun player, a unique player, a well-liked player, but not all that great.

Last edited 2 years ago by EonADS
Roger McDowell Hot Foot
2 years ago

He’s clearly not up to snuff on the meritocratic view that the Hall is for baseball’s inner circle of best superstar players (though if he were a candidate 25+ years ago, and being evaluated by voters with the traditionalist, counting-stat mentality, it might be a closer question). But he’s also assuredly one of the most interesting players in the game, someone who you want to be present in the story when you’re chronicling baseball’s history during the years he played. I’m sure this doesn’t mean FanGraphs readers are going to want him elected, nor would I really try to persuade them otherwise, but still… it’s a museum, after all.

EonADSMember since 2024
2 years ago

I’d be down for, like, a Bartolo Colon exhibit. But not for induction. Even if this was the Basketball Hall of Fame with its much looser standards, a career like his would not get a yes vote from me. He’s the Andre Iguodala of MLB. Played for a long time and did some cool things, but was never anywhere near an elite player.

Last edited 2 years ago by EonADS
jb1205Member since 2022
2 years ago

He is a fascinating intersection of a sometimes-elite player, a comeback story, and a fan favorite. He transcended multiple eras of baseball – including the steroid era, in which he was implicated. He reached some notable career milestones, he had some great individual seasons, and he had some highlight moments that folks will remember for a long time. I feel like he had an impact on the game that was much bigger than numbers, and I think he’s a great example of why numbers should not be the only thing people care about.

Delgado4HOF
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

If Colon gets a vote, that voter should be banned from HOF voting.

Numbers aren’t the only thing people care about or else Bonds, Clemens, A-Rod, Schilling, Rose, and many more would be in the HOF. It’s just Colon doesn’t have the numbers, and he was a pretty crappy dude. If steroids keep those greats out of the HOF, then Colon is just taking up space here.

jb1205Member since 2022
2 years ago
Reply to  Delgado4HOF

Is he a pretty crappy dude? Flawed, for sure.

Yes, he tested positive for steroids;, but he also accepted responsibility for his actions. That’s not something that any of the other guys you mentioned ever did (except A Rod, who lied about testing positive, then confessed, then started using again!)

He was sued for child support for what was described in the press as a “secret family”; but he apparently fathered the children during a period when he was separated from his wife, provided for them to some extent and even lived with them for a period. It sounds complicated in ways that are very human. Larry Jones had a child out of wedlock with a Hooters waitress, so this kind of behavior doesn’t seem to be disqualifying.

Are there other things that make him a pretty crappy dude?

Delgado4HOF
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

Maybe crappy was the wrong word, but he’s far from a saint or the glorious person 2014-2017 made him out to be. Most genuine human beings don’t have secret families. If one is truly fathering their children they wouldn’t have to pay child support. Per the NY Post, Alexandra Santos claimed he was a dead-beat dad who failed to pay the initial child support. Doesn’t sound like he fathered them per their reports. Though his wife was aware of the other family, Bartolo never once publicly mentioned the 2 kids he apparently fathered. Yet he mentioned his other 4 children in a very proud manner… Odd I’d say.

As you did state, no Bonds, or Clemens didn’t apologize, because unlike Colon they never actually tested positive. We can speculate all we want, but that’s the only fact.. They were never caught or disciplined. So while no they didn’t apologize, they didn’t really have to either considering in the eyes of the rules they weren’t breaking any. I’ve never met many people who will apologize for something they didn’t do or wasn’t proven to be done by them.

So yeah a guy who knowingly did steroids and then hid 2 of his 6 kids while openly being proud of the other 4 he had I’d consider a guy I don’t want to be around, vote for, or ever look up to. If the guys who were also POS’s but better players can’t make the HOF, well then Colon has no leg to stand on.

Last edited 2 years ago by Delgado4HOF
PhilMember since 2016
2 years ago
Reply to  Delgado4HOF

PEDs were most certainly against the rules in Clemens and Bonds time. There wasn’t testing, and the rule wasn’t effectinvely enforced, but it was there. “I wasn’t caught so I have nothing to apologise for” doesn’t seem the most ethical standpoint.

I don’t know all of the story behind Bartolo and his ‘secret family’ – and adultery and lying to spouses are moral failings. However, compared to the alleged moral failings of Clemens, Jones, Vizquel, Rodriguez…

Delgado4HOF
2 years ago
Reply to  Phil

I’m not claiming ethics either though. I’m not claiming them to be stand up guys. I’m just simply stating they didn’t fail any tests and Colon did like A-Rod or Manny.

carterMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  Delgado4HOF

Now he doesn’t have a HOF case anyways, but he was always a fun and interesting player. If you are going to exclude guys from the HOF because they cheated on their spouse you are going to have a HOF with like 10 people in it. That isn’t an exaggeration, I was around baseball players a good percentage of my life, and they are more likely to fool around than any group of people I have ever met.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  carter

Was about to say…who wants to tell him about Mickey?

airforce21oneMember since 2026
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

Oh he paid child support? What a standup guy. And he even lived with them for a period? Give this guy an award!

pitts1971Member since 2024
2 years ago
Reply to  Delgado4HOF

Colon has already received one vote for the HoF,
from Joe Reedy.

Last edited 2 years ago by pitts1971
Delgado4HOF
2 years ago
Reply to  pitts1971

Joe Reedy should lose his vote next year lol

jb1205Member since 2022
2 years ago

Am I the only one who feels like there’s some kind of cognitive dissonance when you read that a guy (who had a long career with several teams) was fun to watch, brought a lot of joy to baseball, and will be remembered fondly by many, but doesn’t belong in the Hall of Fame?

Baseball is a fantastic game for those of us who love using numbers to try to figure out how players match up against their peers and their predecessors. But it’s also a spectator sport that people just watch for fun. Someone who doesn’t follow numbers at all, like my partner, can see Bart glove flip a ball behind his back to first base and love it, and he will be one of the only players she can identify by name.

There’s absolutely nothing mandating that players elected need to meet certain scientific criteria beyond having played 10 seasons. It’s great to know where a guy like Colon stacks up historically; but I would love to see more voters moving forward vote on guys that were fan favorites. The voting process is already a joke anyway, with no real accountability- there are so many voters who DGAF, it would be refreshing to see voters unabashedly revel in voting for players who meant something to them and to the fanbases they cover.

LaBellaVitaMember since 2018
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

Agreed. His achievements have transcended the game, making him not just a star, but a cultural icon. The Hall of Fame beckons, not as a mere acknowledgment, but as a permanent inscription of his indelible mark on the sport. Plus he is totally sexy.

Jason BMember since 2017
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

“but I would love to see more voters moving forward vote on guys that were fan favorites.”

I get where you’re coming from, but still….yuck. Then you get some homer from the Bay Area voting Sandoval because he was a fun story for a little while there, or a writer from Atlanta voting for Steve Avery because he was nice to his kid once. (There’s probably enough of the flip side of that going on already – I’m not voting for Sheffield, that guy’s a jerk! – than we would care to know.)

I am absolutely in favor of HOF exhibits for the “fun story” guys like Colon and Sandoval and Jim Abbott – all truly parts of the game’s storied history – but save induction and votes for players who really warranted it on the field.

Last edited 2 years ago by Jason B
68FCMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  Jason B

If when a voter has finished filling out their ballot they still have a few open spots, I’m all for them throwing a couple votes for guys who they enjoyed or appreciated watching. If it isn’t taking away from anyone and the alternative is to just not use that possible vote, might as well give someone like Brandon Phillips a nod, nobody undeserving is going to sneak in that way and the downside is people talk about them for another year.

If it harms no one and brings any joy into the world, I’m all for it.

markoe
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

“Voting shall be based upon the player’s record, playing ability, integrity, sportsmanship, character, and contributions to the team(s) on which the player played.” Those are the rules. The public discourse seem to focus on 1 and 2 as the valid criteria and then using numbers 3 to 5 to knock people down, but those three certainly can be used to raise people up should someone wish. I suspect they are, honestly – writers are storytellers, not statisticians, and I can’t imagine that some portion of them don’t take into account how the candidates have positively contributed to the story of baseball.

I do wonder about Jamie Moyer as an example of that a few years ago. He got 10 votes (in a crowded year), and his statistics, eyed on their own, are, I think most would agree, not HoF numbers. But his longevity made him a good story for the game, he seemed to raise up the teams he was with, and he did a huge amount of charity work. His character made baseball better. Doesn’t get him into the Hall of Fame, but I suspect it earned him some writers’ votes, and that feels like a very good thing.

I confess that I’m slightly with the “that’s what the exhibits are for” point of view. There will always be moments, or games, or seasons, or personalities which outlive the careers in our memories. Even if Bill Mazeroski had not been elected, he’d still be more “fame”-ous than most of the elected people, for the one moment. For people who are _exactly_ my age, Mark Fidrych is more the epitome of the joy of baseball than 90% of the elected Hall; and if he’s not somewhere in an exhibit out on the floor in Cooperstown, then I’d hold that something’s wrong there. But I’m not going to lift him up as a giant of the game, which is what we seem to see the elected Hall as.

In my own mental balloting – were I a writer and had I a vote, I’d sit down and evaluate all the players. And if, at the end of the day, I hadn’t found a full ten that I felt merited my vote, I’d sit down and look again at them all again for the players who did something extraordinary, who meant something to their community, who seem like they made baseball a better place.

Back in the real world, I suspect what you’re suggesting does happen, but its probably quiet for two reasons. One is social media attackers, obviously. The second is that its kind of a backhanded compliment – “I voted for X because of how he made our baseball experience better even though his numbers don’t hold up” could easily be taken amiss by X no matter how well you said it, while a simple quiet vote for him is just a simple affirmation.

GojiMet86
2 years ago

Perhaps not Big Papi, but definetely a Big Sexy.

My favorite anecdote:

A coworker showed me photos of the time he met Colon and his family in some pool in the DR. Turns out, Colon was actually hanging out with his second, secret family.

jb1205Member since 2022
2 years ago
Reply to  GojiMet86

He was a flawed human, but his joie de jouer was infectious.

Jason BMember since 2017
2 years ago
Reply to  jb1205

I think he had more joie de ham

RivervillianMember since 2018
2 years ago

Thank you for your hard work as always Jay! Seeing this on the front page reminded me I need to read all your candidate bios. Going to be a shame not seeing all the arguments on twitter but c’est la vie

FunFella13Member since 2016
2 years ago

Why do Beltrán, Beltré, and F. Rodríguez have their names accented but the guy whose name looks like a shit tube doesn’t get Colón (also M Ramírez, arguably A-Rod)

Another Old GuyMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  FunFella13

You reminded me of the time I waived him in a fantasy league and told my league mates I was giving my team a “Colon cleanse”. Seriously, he was a very competent pitcher for a long time and needs to be mentioned in the Hall, but not elected. He sadly reminds me of the whole Expos fiasco, although he had no control over it.

Roger McDowell Hot Foot
2 years ago
Reply to  FunFella13

It’s an interesting question! I believe these days players have the right to choose the orthography for their own names (not sure if this is collectively bargained or just common practice), but historically the practice has varied a lot from team to team. It’s entirely possible that when Bartolo was signed it was long enough ago that he was involuntarily de-accented, and then he just stuck with it. (Was this the practice of the then-Indians? Same organization and era as Manny.)

FunFella13Member since 2016
2 years ago

His Mets jersey has the accent on it as seen in the home run highlight in this article. Don’t think teams were including the accents very often until more recently.

Mahoney
2 years ago
Reply to  FunFella13

The only accent I would insist upon having would be for the “e” in Enrique Hernandez’s nickname. Because some schlub is bound to mispronounce it otherwise.

Roger McDowell Hot Foot
2 years ago
Reply to  Mahoney

That’s an especially funny one because it’s not actually there in Spanish. Still, I agree, it’s about the most useful hyperforeignism there is.

Lanidrac
2 years ago
Reply to  Mahoney

What about the “ñ” in names like Fernando Viña? Whereas the accented vowels only change the accented syllable, this is a case where the pronunciation is actually different compared to a normal “n” in Spanish.

FunFella13Member since 2016
2 years ago
Reply to  Lanidrac

ñ is a different letter in the alphabet so an even stronger argument there. I don’t see this one omitted as much as the vowel emphasis accents.

Looks like the ballots themselves include the appropriate accents, too.

TransmissionMember since 2017
2 years ago

Whatever became of the reports of a secret second family to which he was delinquent in child support?

Stripped of any personal context, I totally get the on-field appeal. But it seems odd not to bring it up, especially after so many other thoughtful discussions of the thorniness of how the “character clause” does or does not get applied to other candidates.

Last edited 2 years ago by Transmission
TransmissionMember since 2017
2 years ago
Reply to  Jay Jaffe

Jay, failure to pay child support is a serious crime. It’s unfortunate that you took a serious issue that does real harm to real people, and tried to delegitimize it by characterizing me, incorrectly, as advocating for some extremist “slippery slope” argument.

As you well know, I didn’t suggest we start looking at Ruth or Mantle. I made a good-faith inquiry about why he gets a pass on a civil matter that also has criminal implications and that very much harmed a woman and children. But yeah, paint me as the unreasonable one here.

18 U.S.C. § 228- Failure to pay legal child support obligations

          Section 228 of Title 18, United States Code, makes it illegal for an individual to willfully fail to pay child support in certain circumstances.

          For one, an individual is subject to federal prosecution if he or she willfully fails to pay child support that has been ordered by a court for a child who lives in another state, or if the payment is past due for longer than 1 year or exceeds the amount of $5,000. A violation of this law is a criminal misdemeanor, and convicted offender face fines and up to 6 months in prison (See 18 U.S.C. § 228(a)(1)).

https://www.justice.gov/criminal/criminal-ceos/citizens-guide-us-federal-law-child-support-enforcement

Last edited 2 years ago by Transmission
Lanidrac
2 years ago
Reply to  Transmission

A “serious crime” suggests a felony, whereas this is just a misdemeanor.

South DetroitMember since 2020
2 years ago

I always enjoy your HOF case write ups and I enjoyed this one more than usual. Colon is a fascinating study in perseverance. Not Hall bound but I would definitely watch the movie of his life story!

Delgado4HOF
2 years ago

One of the easiest no’s in recent memory. A lot of people bring up character clauses until you get to Colon. The dude was a scumbag to his family, he took roids, and really wasn’t that good of a pitcher for the majority of his career let’s be honest.

Still a very fun read as always!

Last edited 2 years ago by Delgado4HOF
PhilMember since 2016
2 years ago
Reply to  Delgado4HOF

He put up 45bWAR/51fWAR – that gets you at least in the “worth having a good discussion about his candidacy” category – I wouldn’t be voting for Bartolo Colon if I had a ballot, and I don’t there is an argument that would convince me that to vote yes – but his career was good enough to have this discussion.

Pretty much every year there are guys with <30 WAR on the ballot – good players, long careers. But nowhere near as good or as interesting as Colon. Are you saying you would have found it easier reject Colon's case than, say, Andre Ethier's?

jb1205Member since 2022
2 years ago
Reply to  Phil

Yeah, his numbers don’t stack up with the elite– even with a CY and 3 other top-6 finishes, he never topped 5 fWAR in a season. His career arc also makes him hard to compare numerically to other guys. In his evaluation, JJ downplays BC’s win total because of the length of his career; but he also criticizes his ERA compared to other HOFers. Well, his ERA is dragged down by the nearly 300 innings he pitched when he was 43-44 and past his prime! So, shouldn’t you either respect the win total or excuse the ERA? Anyway, he wasn’t the best, but the sum total of his career absolutely merits discussion, hopefully over the course of multiple years. People’s mileage may vary on his personal life, but he seemed beloved by many fans, teammates, and even opponents in his day.

Delgado4HOF
2 years ago
Reply to  Phil

So did Jamie Moyer he put up 49bWAR/48fWAR.

I’d also find Moyer and Ethier in the ‘easiest no’s in recent memory’ as well.

FrancoeursteinMember since 2020
2 years ago

He failed a test for PED’s back in 2016, but he was so beloved at the time that the league covered it up.

scotth855Member since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  Francoeurstein

Source: I made it up

FrancoeursteinMember since 2020
2 years ago
Reply to  scotth855

My dad used to drug test MLB players

burning_phoneix
2 years ago

Busted for PEDs, lifetime ban from Cooperstown

ssereb
2 years ago

he doesn’t belong in the hall of fame, but a slow motion looped video of his home run does.

RoyalsFan#14321Member since 2020
2 years ago

I just hope he gets to five percent so we can keep talking about him, but he won’t.

Chip LockeMember since 2016
2 years ago

An exemplary case of why the name “Hall of Fame” is a misnomer. I think Bartolo is undoubtedly one of the most famous players of his era, just not for HoF reasons.

Thanks for the great write-up, Jay.

fjtorres
2 years ago

Anybody know if he faced Julio Franco in his 40’s?
That would’ve been a wonderful matchup.

Da Bear
2 years ago
Reply to  fjtorres

Franco batted against Colon 7 times in his career, all of which came over the course of three Braves-Expos games in 2002, so Franco turned 44 between the second and third of those games. He went 2-for-5 with a strikeout, a walk, and a sac fly in which he wasn’t actually out (in other words, the fielder muffed the catch, but even if he didn’t, it would have been deep enough to drive the run in).

Last edited 2 years ago by Da Bear
fjtorres
2 years ago
Reply to  Da Bear

Colon was only 29, though…
I was wondering if they’d faced off after both turned 40, since Franco was still playing at 50-ish.
Maybe in the Dominican?

Which brings up the question of the oldest combined MLB matchup.
Niekro, Moyer, or Paige vs a 40-ish hitter?

Looked it up and, disappointedly, it was way back in 1933:

https://www.guinnessworldrecords.com/world-records/87079-oldest-batter-pitcher-match-up-in-major-league-baseball-history

“The oldest batter versus pitcher match-up in major league history is a combined age of 94 years 80 days when 57-year-old Nick Altrock (USA, b. 15 September 1876) of the Washington Senators (USA) faced 37-year-old pitcher Rube Walberg (USA, b. 27 July 1896) of the Philadelphia Athletics (USA) on 1 October 1933.”

No video of that meeting.
Bummer. 😅

Last edited 2 years ago by fjtorres
Jason BMember since 2017
2 years ago
Reply to  fjtorres

57!! I don’t know what’s more interesting – Altrock’s playing age or the fact that he spawned an entire music genre in the 1990s…

booondMember since 2019
2 years ago

He’s not good enough. At least 40 starting pitchers who pitched since 1960 are more worthy. Probably another 40 before then.

carterMember since 2020
2 years ago

A lot of fun things about him. His huge belly, how much he loves the game that he is still playing professionally. How he was one of few guys (I think one year the only one??) who hit 100mph in an mlb season at has also thrown fastballs at 83mph. That home run. Just the overall jollyness. He was fun, he made me happy. Does he have hof credentials? No way. But w over 50 career war and his personality he certainly warrants a write up.

airforce21oneMember since 2026
2 years ago

Bartolo Colon > Harold Baines

mornysern
2 years ago

I think he’s a great example of why numbers should not be the only thing people care about.

Billsaints
2 years ago

Maybe build a nice looking shed next to the HoF for players like this ..