Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 3/11/16

9:06
Jeff Sullivan: Hello friends

9:06
Jeff Sullivan: Welcome to live Friday baseball chat

9:07
Jeff Sullivan: Brought to you this time from a friend’s house where I’m observing someone while he recovers from surgery. Hopefully he doesn’t clot while I’m talking about Pedro Alvarez or something

9:08
Jeff Sullivan: If I disappear for a little while it’s probably because of a medical emergency!

9:08
Tony G.: Hey Jeff. Hope all is well. Who do you expect to be the Astros’ Opening Day 1B?

9:08
Jeff Sullivan: Singleton, still. I don’t expect that to last more than a month or two

9:08
Bork: If Jered Weaver threw a fastball at you, what type of sandwich would you make yourself and enjoy while you waited for it?

9:08
Jeff Sullivan: Meatball. I’d start by making the meatballs

9:08
Turd Ferguson: I have 1st pick in my minor league draft (5×5 standard AL-only). Who do I take? AJ Reed or Max Kepler?

9:09
Jeff Sullivan: I pretty much never answer these questions but, Reed. Reed is super

9:10
Josh: How much time and when do you think we will see of Max Kepler on the Twins this year?

9:11
Jeff Sullivan: Given that he still has just a year of experience at Double-A he’s still some months off, and the Twins are going to give every opportunity to Buxton and Sano. But I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Kepler were the starter in left field in the second half. He doesn’t have a lot in front of him

9:13
Jeff Sullivan: I mean, the Twins do have a number of options to sift through, and they aren’t terrible. But there’s no one currently outstanding slotted to play left, and there’s also no guarantee Buxton will hold his own, which could open another door. I think the Twins will be close enough that they’ll make heavy use of Kepler if they think he can push them toward the playoffs

9:13
EK65: How on earth did you wind up as an Ottawa Senators fan?

9:14
Jeff Sullivan: In 1992 or whenever, I woke up one morning and decided I like sports. I chose Seattle teams to like because I had and have an uncle there. Seattle doesn’t have a hockey team, so I looked at the bottom of the NHL standings and saw Ottawa and I felt bad for them

9:14
Jeff Sullivan: I continue to feel bad for them, but now I also feel bad for me

9:15
George is Curious: Any American League pitchers you like that are currently flying under the radar?

9:15
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t have a master list or anything, but one name right off the top of my head is Jesse Hahn, who I just wrote about

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: I’ve been encouraged by James Paxton’s weight loss and focus on higher fastballs. Could finally be his breakthrough season

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: Erik Johnson isn’t great but I think people forgot about him, and he had a huge bounceback in 2015

9:17
Jeff Sullivan: And god only knows what to make of Rich Hill but he’s fascinating

9:18
The Average Sports Fan: What do you think will be the biggest issue in the next CBA?

9:18
Jeff Sullivan: I’m not a CBA expert but I have to think free-agent compensation

9:18
Cargo-5: lot of young SP with potential. Choose the best 3 for 2016: Ventura, Walker, Rodon, C.Martinez and Iglesias

9:18
Jeff Sullivan: Martinez, Walker, Rodon

9:20
Raindog: Trumbo at 1B / Davis in RF almost certainly a better defensive alignment than vice versa, right? Too much risk for Davis? You only have to do it against righties, since Alvarez will sit vs lefties…

9:21
Jeff Sullivan: I think the Orioles are deferring here because of Trumbo’s experience. It’s just easier to tell Trumbo to go to the outfield while Davis stays where he’s familiar. Davis is the big investment so he’ll be jerked around less. Trumbo will bounce between slots and sit every so often

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: Optimally maybe Davis is the better outfielder, but any difference there is probably slim.

9:22
PS: The Red Sox rotation is overrated.

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: Not by this guy

9:22
daneyko: Joe Ross and Steven Matz could be very close to the top 25 at the end of the season ?

9:23
Jeff Sullivan: I’m particularly intrigued by Ross working on a splitter. The changeup hasn’t worked for him and I love this as a potential third option

9:23
Jeff Sullivan: Not enough attention on Joe Ross. Joe Ross!

9:25
PS: What are your expectations for Luis Severino this year?

9:26
Jeff Sullivan: Kind of the usual. Decent amount of strikes, he’ll be good against righties, I think he’ll be less good against lefties, and he won’t throw 200 innings

9:27
Jeff Sullivan: I’m still a little unconvinced by his changeup — it might have too much two-seam movement for a four-seam-fastball pitcher

9:28
PS: Would it make sense for the Cardinals to try and acquire Didi Gregorius? What would they have to give up?

9:28
Jeff Sullivan: Yankees aren’t going to do that, and the Cardinals don’t need to do that

9:29
Jeff Sullivan: I’m on board with a few months of Aledmys Diaz

9:32
j6takish: Jeff, help me find a MLB equivalent to myself. In high school, I easily hit above 300 every year and had a good eye with a good line drive stroke but I had absolutely no power. I don’t think I ever hit a ball higher than shoulder height. I also had absolutely no defensive instincts, I seriously had no idea where the ball was going when hit in my direction and I was slow as shit, it was borderline amazing in hindsight. It seems like an odd skillset

9:32
Jeff Sullivan: Congratulations! You were Lenny Harris

9:33
Justin: Loved the baseball dorks article. However, as a baserunning dork, I guess I’ll just show myself out.

9:33
Jeff Sullivan: I should’ve tried to include more categories. Can’t leave out the niche-interest groups

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: But I never would’ve imagined there were baserunning dorks. That’s awesome!

9:34
Carlos Martinez: My shoulder will be a problem for me this season ? 180,5 IP +/-

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: I’ll take the under

9:34
Jaack: The one thing I miss about CoverItLive is the lack of content jokes.

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: This is a worthy substitute

9:34
NutButters: Top AL Bullpens top to bottom for sustained impact, including swingmen – BOS, NYY, KC ?

9:35
Jeff Sullivan: I love Baltimore’s bullpen, and I think I also love Texas’ bullpen

9:36
Jeff Sullivan: It wouldn’t surprise me too much of the Orioles and Rangers wound up with the top AL bullpen WPAs

9:36
Jeff Sullivan: I see where the Rangers are ranked in our depth charts but I think that undersells them

9:36
Andrew: Hi Jeff! I throw 82mph as a lefty, how much do you think the angels will sign me for?

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: Probably important to recognize that the Angels didn’t sign Jered Weaver when he was throwing like this

9:37
mtsw: Is there a Ethier-to-the-Orioles trade that would make sense?

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: Not anymore, I don’t think

9:38
Jon Snow: Think Sam Dyson can overtake Shawn Tolleson for the closer job?

9:38
Jeff Sullivan: I’m going to guess they prefer having Dyson available to try to work out of jams

9:38
Jeff Sullivan: Tolleson is better suited to enter with a clean slate

9:39
2-D: Who do you think is closing for the Mariners at the All-Star break?

9:39
Jeff Sullivan: Benoit

9:39
The Hamburglar: Is Mt. St. Helens National Park worth visiting?

9:39
Jeff Sullivan: God yes

9:40
Jeff Sullivan: I’m biased because I’ve hiked and camped up and all around the mountain, but it’s so fantastic. No other place like it in the country. The scale of it will blow your mind. Go on a nice day. If possible, go on a few nice days

9:42
Guest: What is your secret favorite band or song no one knows about?

9:42
Jeff Sullivan: have recently gotten into Monochromie thanks to Reel Rock 10

9:44
mtsw: More likely: Pedro Alvarez is a 2+ WAR player or 2) Pedro Alvarez is DFAed before the trade deadline?

9:44
Jeff Sullivan: Alvarez is going to hit. Now, it’s not very easy to be a two-win DH, but I think that’s the more likely course of the two

9:45
Jeff Sullivan: If Alvarez can get a little luck and manage a 130 wRC+, then there you go, provided he doesn’t run the bases like Kendrys Morales

9:46
Jells: When does Trea Turner take over as Starting SS?

9:46
Jeff Sullivan: June

9:46
Jeff Sullivan: The answer is usually June

9:47
Erik: Given 5 players with 45-grade tools across the board except for one 80-grade tool, how would you rank the 5 classic tools in terms of total projected career value?

9:48
Jeff Sullivan: My guess, in order from most to least valuable: power, average, speed, fielding, arm

9:48
Ben: Beltre has a good chance to pass Griffey this year in fWAR. Great 30s are great.

9:49
Jeff Sullivan: Griffey: 77.7. Beltre: 74.9!

9:50
Jeff Sullivan: This is where the magic is: http://www.fangraphs.com/graphsw.aspx?players=639,327

9:50
Jeff Sullivan: Look at that second graph

9:51
Jeff Sullivan: At age 30, Griffey was up by more than 32 wins

9:51
Jeff Sullivan: Gap now is less than three

9:51
Brett W: Who is the best outfielder at taking away home runs? Is this a measureable skill, or do park factors and lack of consistent opportunities make it too hard to measure?

9:52
Jeff Sullivan: Super hard to measure. It’s mostly about opportunities and wall height. Players have no control over those things. Kiermaier, Trout, and Gomez have historically been awesome but there’s so little data

9:53
Wade: I have a question about Rex Brothers. Does he have to clear waivers or is he a FA now?

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: Released. He’s a free agent

9:56
Jake M: Do you see it more likely that Fulmer end up a fixture in the White Sox rotation or in the back of their bullpen because of his delivery?

9:57
Jeff Sullivan: Well the *most* likely outcome is that Fulmer doesn’t end up a fixture anywhere. But the White Sox pretty obviously aren’t scared away by funky deliveries, and they’ll give Fulmer every opportunity to start. We still don’t know nearly enough to be able to predict a career path based on an unusual throwing motion

9:58
Paul : Why do people like Gossage have such a problem with ‘nerds’? His argument seems to have no substance to it just weird ranting.

9:59
Jeff Sullivan: Gossage is a Hall-of-Famer who put everything he had into his playing career. His effort on the field is how he gained his access and power within the industry. He probably doesn’t love the idea of there being alternate, arguably easier routes. The nerds haven’t paid their dues, so to speak, so by his estimation they’re undeserving, not to mention inexperienced

10:02
Jeff Sullivan: No one wants to feel marginalized after dedicating decades to a particular pursuit. Gossage probably feels like he’s becoming irrelevant. The nerds don’t have much use for him or for his knowledge. He did a shitty job of expressing himself, but his perspective is at least understandable

10:02
Jells: how is Jered Weaver on a roster?

10:03
Jeff Sullivan: He’s crazy expensive and two years ago he had a 3.59 ERA

10:03
Raindog: Break it down for me: % of baseball players who are retrograde jerks, % amiable generic jocks, % thoughtful inquisitive minded people. Numbers do not need to add to 100 (i.e. overlap/none of the above)

10:04
Jeff Sullivan: Very small population of outright jerks, huge population of run-of-the-mill athletes, medium population of thinkers

10:05
Jeff Sullivan: What I *don’t* want to know is the population of would-be or will-be Trump votes. As long as I don’t actually know I can force myself to pretend it’s 0%

10:05
Guest: Over under any MLB innings ever for Danny Hiltzen?

10:05
Jeff Sullivan: I just don’t think he’s supposed to be a pitcher

10:06
Bork: If your friend clot’s while you are watching videos of Korean bat flips does that prove Goose right all along?

10:06
Jeff Sullivan: I just heard him cough in the other room so he hasn’t clotted to death yet

10:07
Jason: Hi Jeff. Important question. If I watch/listen to too many Spring Training games, will I be burnt out by the time the season rolls around? I’m wondering if I need to conserve my fandom. Is there an optimal curve to this?

10:07
Jeff Sullivan: Initial excitement is fine. We all love having some form of baseball back. But you’re probably going to want to wind down starting next week so you can re-charge

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: This is the warm-up lap. No sprinting

10:08
Top SP: The fisrt call up? Giolito, Berrios or Glasnow. Best impact on his team ?

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: I feel like it’s Berrios

10:11
Phillies113: Which current under-25 player is most likely to become a crotchety old man complaining about the state of the game in 40 years

10:11
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t have a great answer to this so Ken Giles?

10:11
mtsw: If you were a free agent ballplayer, how much bigger would an offer from Baltimore need to be for you to agree to sign with them over an average team, given the risk of flunking their physical?

10:16
Jeff Sullivan: Sorry about that delay, had to tend a little to the patient in the other room

10:17
Jeff Sullivan: Depends entirely on my market. If I’m somewhat in demand, Baltimore wouldn’t be my first choice. But oftentimes you aren’t given the luxury of choosiness. As a player I’d probably be confident in my own health and if I were a position player I wouldn’t be all that worried. I might ask for an extra half-million

10:17
TF Fredrik: How long, if ever, do you give up on top 100 prospects? Seems like some guys just take a very long time and a few different teams to develop to be a positive asset.

10:18
Jeff Sullivan: I’m more patient with pitchers than with hitters. I don’t know if it’s actually true but my belief is that pitchers are more adaptive. And I think it’s easier to make the right pitching adjustment than it is to make the right hitting adjustment

10:18
Jhonaton: Who would you pick as the Jays 4th OFer? Pompey? Lake? Carrera? Other?

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: Pompey

10:19
Cyril B-B: Are Carson and Sam Miller best friends yet?

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: I doubt it

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: Last night I ran into a guy who I swear to god looked like a dead ringer for Carson if Carson were more physically active

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: It was astonishing. Same glasses and mustache and everything

10:19
Dave Kerwin: Do you think the changes to the Marlin’s park will benefit Yelich provided he maintains his approach/batted ball profile, and/or do you think the shallower fences will motivate him to alter his approach in any way?

10:20
Jeff Sullivan: I definitely think he’ll benefit — he has power up the middle, and that’s going to be more achievable for him

10:20
Raindog: Do you hang out with Rob Neyer in Portland? I like to imagine you have a monthly baseball dork writer brunch or something.

10:20
Jeff Sullivan: Used to hang out more before he had his kid

10:21
Erik: Which 2015 rookie standout is most likely to have already posted his career-high WAR?

10:21
Jeff Sullivan: Odubel Herrera

10:21
mtsw: Is the Cardinals collapse potential underrated?

10:21
Jeff Sullivan: Definitely not. I think people constantly talk about the Cardinals’ collapse potential.

10:22
Jeff Sullivan: I think it’s actually overrated

10:23
Jeffrey: Do the nationals have an internal replacement for Jonathan Papelbon next year? Or will they have to look outside their organization if they don’t keep Paps

10:23
Jeff Sullivan: They’ll probably hope it’s Gott, but Treinen has a chance

10:23
Andrew: The Indians outfield seems to be hard pressed at this point, do they have any legit options to make up for the injuries and suspensions?

10:24
Jeff Sullivan: It’s all about just getting by. Brantley should be back pretty soon, and if they’re believers in Chisenhall, then they just need to fake it with partial playing time to Davis and Venable

10:24
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t think it’s a disaster. I think it’s just underwhelming

10:24
Mark: Has Jose Bautista been amazing so long that we no longer appreciate how unlikely it was that Jose Bautista would be amazing?

10:25
Jeff Sullivan: I’ve been thinking about this lately and maybe I’ll write about it next week, but looking back I’m curious if there were any actual observable signs that this could happen. It makes me wonder if it’s even possible to tr to detect breakout potential

10:25
Guest: Will you go to any mariners games?

10:25
Jeff Sullivan: Yes

10:25
Jim: Hey Jeff can you do more podcasts with Carson (maybe make bi-monthly appearances)? The LL podcast was great too, even when you weren’t talking about baseball.

10:25
Jeff Sullivan: It’s up to Carson more than it’s up to me

10:25
Jeff Sullivan: I do feel guilty literally every single time that we don’t ever talk about baseball

10:26
Broak: Heyman said A’s were checking in on Lincecum. With the Parker injury (which may not be season-ending) is he a fit?

10:26
Jeff Sullivan: Totally. They’re thin on depth. Lots of injury risks. Trying to win in 2016

10:27
Jeff Sullivan: Fits the mold. If they were willing to go for Hill, the should be willing to go for Lincecum

10:27
Bork: Jeff, I’m 45 minutes out of Ottawa. Want to go to a Sens game with me?

10:27
Jeff Sullivan: Not this year 🙁

10:27
The Cincinnati Kid: Is catcher the only position Trout would be at or below league average at defensively?

10:27
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t actually think he’d be a great shortstop. Doesn’t have a strong arm

10:28
James : Is Trea Turner a future top 5 shortstop?

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: Too many good shortstops. Correa, Lindor, Bogaerts, Seager, Russell, Simmons, Crawford…

10:30
Denji: I’m expecting the average Orioles game to be an 7-5 loss where they hit 3 solo home runs and strike out 15 times. Could they threaten both HR and K team records?

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: They’re not going to hit 264 home runs. But 1,535 strikeouts…still skeptical, but this could be fun to research!

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: Machado and Kim might ruin the pursuit

10:32
fivetoolmike: On your quiz, I identified as a defender dork, but really think of myself as a catcher dork. Do you have any follow-up articles planned based on the poll?

10:33
Jeff Sullivan: Nothing planned, but mostly because this just came to me yesterday and I haven’t been sure what to expect. I was looking forward to a big reader response and so far I’m thrilled!

10:34
Bryce Sharper: Who do you think will be sharper this year….Jose Berrios or Lucas Giolito?

10:34
Jeff Sullivan: Berrios

10:34
Bork: Could JA Happ be an AL pitcher flying under the radar? I mean, his track record is against him but he could of legit turned a corner in Pittsburgh and if he keeps it up could be very valuable.

10:34
Jeff Sullivan: He’s not going to be an ace but people still think of him as a nobody. He’s a pretty solid No. 3

10:34
Dan: How’s Dan holding up?

10:35
Jeff Sullivan: Alarm just went off to take more pain drugs

10:35
mtsw: Would a variant of baseball where the bases were strung out in a line from home plate to center field (with a second “home” out there to score on), rather than arranged in a diamond be entertaining?

10:35
Jeff Sullivan: I feel like a lot of runners would steal home

10:35
Jeff Sullivan: I feel like every runner would steal home

10:36
Elisa Plum: how much effect can Benefict really have on the marlins starting rotation?

10:36
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t know the answer to this but I know I have been thinking about him and them a lot lately. You never want to give the Marlins too much credit but this could be a great shift for them

10:36
Guest: Is Zych gonna be the M’s best pen arm?

10:36
Jeff Sullivan: Pretty high chance

10:37
Brett W: Would a park with 400/450/500 dimensions be good for baseball or too quirky to survive?

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: People need a certain number of homers. This wouldn’t work

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: It would be fun if it were some neutral ballpark where everyone had to play one series a year

10:38
mtsw: Do you buy the Ruben Amaro “I only pretended to hate analytics as a smokescreen” thing? I kind of feel Dan Duquette leaks idiotic transaction rumors (that never really happen) under the same logic.

10:38
Jeff Sullivan: Amaro is nuts

10:38
Jeff Sullivan: I’m sure there’s some element of truth there — the Phillies probably kept some stuff close to the vest — but they were never an analytical organization. Not even close

10:39
Jim James: so far in spring training, Rich Hill has been bad and Sean Manaea has been very good. is there a situation where Manaea starts in the rotation, and Hill doesn’t?

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: If Hill gets injured or arrested for something

10:39
Cyril B-B: Thanks for the forewarning about trampoline gyms. Dodged a bullet recently when I refused to attend an after-work outing there. My co-worker is now out with a knee injury and I’m in line for a promotion.

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: Everything’s coming up Cyril B-B!

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: I’m looking after that friend who tore his ACL in the trampoline gym. Yesterday he went into the OR and when they asked him how he tore it, he said “trampoline gym,” and the guy yelled into the other hospital room “hey, we have another one!”

10:41
BS: Do you agree with Gossage on any level? Or disagree with Harper?

10:42
Jeff Sullivan: I agree that we don’t know enough to enforce super conservative pitch counts. I agree that playing experience should be one component of an assembled front office. I agree there should be reasonable limits to on-field displays of emotion but I don’t think anyone actually pushes those limits

10:42
Jeff Sullivan: I definitely want a livelier game

10:42
Guest: Is Miley the most underrated pitcher in the AL West?

10:42
Jeff Sullivan: I should hope not

10:43
mtsw: People sleeping on the Nationals a little bit more than they should?

10:43
Jeff Sullivan: Carryover from last year. To be expected

10:43
machetko: Jeff, ESPN offers you the opportunity to produce one 8-16 minute piece per week, traveling around, in the Jeff-ish manner that we’ve all grown to love but this time on TV–video rather than GIFs. Do you leave Fangraphs. Assume salary is the same.

10:44
Jeff Sullivan: I’d think about it, but I’m pretty happy with my current flexibility and quality of life

10:44
Raindog: Assuming a .250 AVG and 5% walk rate, Ichiro needs 274 PA this year to end at 3000 hits. Odds of him getting that many PA? Odds of the Marlins playing him all September if he’s close and they’re out of it?

10:44
Jeff Sullivan: Kind of going to need a Stanton injury or Ozuna trade/under-performance. Which, when you put it that way…

10:44
Turd Ferguson: What do you think of Chi Chi Gonzalez? I think he’s going to be terrible.

10:44
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t like him as he currently is

10:46
Doug: I was recently at a red sox spring training game and sat near Dombrowski and his squad. They all had radar guns and ancient looking computer systems to track pitches. Don’t they use pitch f/x?

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: Might be one of those spring-training ballparks that isn’t equipped with PITCHf/x or Trackman

10:47
mtsw: Any advice for someone moving from New York to San Diego? People keep warning us about how expensive SD is but can’t be worse than NYC right?

10:47
Jeff Sullivan: SD isn’t NYC bad

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: I’ve only lived in one of those two places but prepare to spend a lot more time driving a car

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: San Diego’s public transit is pretty terrible

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: It will be a dry heat

10:48
t: Jeff, what the heck is it with you and Carson when your father comes up on the podcast? It’s implied something tragic happened and then Carson bursts into laughter. It has really been creeping me out.

10:49
Jeff Sullivan: My dad died 25 years ago and every so often I would use that as a reference to make Carson uncomfortable. He appears to have conquered his internal discomfort

10:49
Last Place Kid: Who do you think will have the first pick of the 2017 draft?

10:49
Jeff Sullivan: Braves

10:50
Brett W: Is it a mistake for the Brewers that they still have Lucroy?

10:50
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t think so — I understand why other teams would want to wait to see him back in action

10:51
Guest: Can power be taught or is it a raw skill?

10:51
Jeff Sullivan: I think max bat speed is basically a raw skill, but you can learn how best to make use of it

10:51
Jeff Sullivan: Like, Brian Dozier isn’t that powerful, relative to the rest of the majors, but he’s learned how to maximize the power that he has

10:52
Bork: As good as Baltimore’s bullpen is, do they have a huge chance of being burned out with the state of the starting pitching?

10:52
Jeff Sullivan: Showalter is pretty good about handling his relievers and they’ll keep guys rotating through the back of the bullpen to soak up extra innings

10:53
B.B. Rodriguez: Do you think the Blue Jays have the highest floor in the AL East. Yankees SP could either be great or bad with injuries. Red Sox are counting on Hanley/Pablo bouncebacks. If they repeat last year that team is a .500. No? Toronto just needs average production to be in the upper 80’s with wins.

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: I can buy this

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: Rays also have a high floor and a low ceiling, I think

10:53
Wikidorkia: Other niche baseball dork types: Away uniforms dork, bullpen catcher dork, umpire dork, dork of actual baseballs, my-sleeper-is-better-than-your-stud dork, Brian Bannister, grounds crew dork, 30+ year old prospect dork, concession area dork.

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: <3

10:53
Dusty Baker: Is it too late for me?

10:54
Jeff Sullivan: I like you where you are

10:54
Derek: Who would you trust in a game 7, 2008 Jamie Moyer or 2016 Jered Weaver?

10:54
Jeff Sullivan: 2008 Jamie Moyer

10:54
2-D: About Severino’s changeup, are you saying it’s easier for a hitter to recognize because the movement is that different? Ideally should all changeups mimic a picher’s fastball movement?

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t have proof, but this is an idea I have currently. I think you want the horizontal movements to be similar

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: So a four-seam fastball pitcher might prefer a straight change

10:55
Kolten: A lot of people have been vocal about the Royals projections, which isn’t surprising given that they just won a championship. But the Rangers are the team that looks seriously underrated, in my opinion.

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: I agree with you

10:56
James : Do you have any Salem-Keizer Volcanoes apparel?

10:56
Jeff Sullivan: You better believe it!

10:56
Jeff Sullivan: All right, I need to get rolling

10:56
Jeff Sullivan: So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I’m sorry for what I didn’t or couldn’t address. We’ll do it again next week at the same time, and until then, be well and have great days

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Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

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  1. Psy Jung says:

    Cistulli is 100% a my-sleeper-is-better-than-your-stud dork