Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 6/26/15

9:09
Jeff Sullivan: Let’s baseball chat!

9:10
Jeff Sullivan: That was weird. My comment didn’t show up. I think it’s there. Ok!

9:11
Jeff Sullivan: A friendly note: unlike most Fridays, this chat will have to end before it stretches past the 2-hour mark.

9:11
Jeff Sullivan: Sorry for forcing you to go back to work sooner than you’d prefer

9:11
Comment From HappyFunBall
So much has been made (at least here in DC) about the Nats’ starters pitching 41 1/3 scoreless innings. Also worthy of note is that this has been the first time all season that Scherzer, Strasburg, Gio, Fister, and Zimm have all been healthy enough to take their turns in order. How much longer can this reign of terror continue?

9:12
Jeff Sullivan: It’s the best rotation in baseball, it seems to be healthy, and signs are encouraging that Strasburg is over that which was making him a disaster. So you can think of the first 2.5 months as representing the extent of the Mets’ opportunity in the East. That opportunity is now gone.

9:12
Jeff Sullivan: Maybe that’s an overstatement, but the Nats are starting to resemble the Nats, as intended.

9:13
Comment From The Ghost of Dayn Perry
Jeff! Is a hot dog a sandwich? Is a taco a sandwich? Is a lettuce wrap a sandwich?

9:13
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t *see* different classifications. I just see foods and non-foods. It’s the 21st century.

9:13
Comment From Josh G
What are your expectations for Cain and Peavy once activated?

9:13
Jeff Sullivan: Either one will be better than Vogelsong

9:14
Comment From howardh
So, is Guti’s return to the Mariners not the most amazing thing in the history of stuff, realizing that the history of stuff dates back quite a while?

9:15
Jeff Sullivan: From a more emotional perspective, it’s a hell of a story of overcoming hardship. From a cold and analytical perspective, it’s a small move to add a generally unreliable player to a struggling team. It’s hard to hold the same two outlooks at once. But this is a feel-good twist in a season of feel-bad twists

9:15
Comment From Catoblepas
Jeff: give us a Diamondbacks hot take! On a related note: what’s the hottest take you’ve ever personally held?

9:15
Jeff Sullivan: The Diamondbacks are better than people think

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t know my hottest take, and some of my strong opinions I keep to myself because they have to do with other people, but I will say I’ve never backed down from my belief that the city of Anaheim totally blows

9:16
Comment From Guest
The Cardinals ERA- is 71. That is the lowest ERA- by a team since 1909.

9:17
Jeff Sullivan: There’s a guy on twitter who is always eager to remind me that it isn’t fair to compare partial-season data to full-season data. He’s right!

9:17
Jeff Sullivan: With that said, you don’t need attempted historical context to understand that the Cardinals have been doing something incredible. Does it need to be said they’re not really this good? Everyone probably knows that. But to do this without Wainwright — hey, they have a healthy Jaime Garcia, for the moment. The Cardinals are a machine.

9:18
Comment From adam
what do you make of smyly coming off the injury?

9:18
Jeff Sullivan: I like what the Rays have done with him, and I have no idea what to expect from a guy who’s had a partially torn labrum. I assume, because of the latter, Smyly won’t be 100% of the former. I also assume, if he were in a bad way, he wouldn’t still be pitching in the first place. So I figure he’ll be a legitimate starter

9:20
Comment From hscer
Pluto is probably not big enough for volcanoes, is it

9:20
Jeff Sullivan: There might be volcanoes on Triton, so Pluto has a shot

9:21
Comment From adam
when should we expect the Jays to call up hoffman?

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: He has seven starts in High-A, with 18 strikeouts in 34 innings. I know the stuff is there, and stuff gives a pitcher like Hoffman “helium”, but it’s going to be some time. Might instead see Hoffman used as a major piece in a deadline trade

9:22
Comment From The Ghost of Dayn Perry
Should pouring pancakes mix into a waffle maker be enough to label someone a terrorist?

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: No, the intentions were good

9:23
Comment From Josh G
Rubby de la Rosa has been great over his last 3 starts. Are you buying this turnaround going forward?

9:24
Jeff Sullivan: He still has real problems with left-handed hitters. With that said, he’s at a career-low contact rate, and a career-high rate of swings out of the zone. He’s a functional and interesting starting pitcher. Got warts, but, most of them do

9:25
Comment From Jack Elliott
One of these days you’ll be early…

9:25
Jeff Sullivan: I keep thinking that some Friday I’m going to show up like 45 minutes early and see who’s around

9:25
Jeff Sullivan: That Friday was not this Friday

9:26
Comment From Will
How long til we see married teammates in MLB? Gay or straight first?

9:26
Jeff Sullivan: It would be gay first, but given the probabilities, I assume none of us will see that in our lifetimes

9:26
Comment From The Dude
Moustakas: Real improvements or extended hot stretch?

9:26
Jeff Sullivan: I think it’s pretty well established this is a new level for him. Last year, 17 hits to the opposite field. This year, 31, already

9:27
Comment From Gary
In real life, what’s your relative of opinion of Pineda and Salazar?

9:27
Jeff Sullivan: I like Salazar’s stuff more, and I like Pineda more as an actual pitcher

9:28
Jeff Sullivan: An interesting thing to note, though — Salazar has gone from 34% grounders to 46% grounders. He’s doing something to try to keep the ball from flying over the fence

9:28
Jeff Sullivan: And his strikeouts are still high! So, he’s a work in progress. Obviously, super-high ceiling

9:29
Comment From tmgmt
I’ve noticed a few players at short or who used to play short who wear number 2, presumably as a tribute to Jeter. Do you know how many there are in the majors? By my count there are at least five (JJ Hardy, Melvin Upton, Alcides Escobar, Denard Span, Tulo).

9:29
Jeff Sullivan: Aybar, Bogaerts, Cozart, Franklin…

9:30
9:30
Jeff Sullivan:
9:30
Jeff Sullivan: Maybe I’m not supposed to say that in a FanGraphs chat

9:31
Comment From greg
Would the Reds be wise to trade Todd Frazier, or should he be part of their future?

9:31
Jeff Sullivan: I think I’m on board with the Reds blowing it up. It’s not the only course, but with like no teams at all selling useful pieces, there’s the opportunity to bring back an awful lot of talent. The White Sox won’t sell the big guys. The A’s are getting back into the race. The market is bare. The Reds could be the solution

9:33
Comment From The Ghost of Dayn Perry
Arenado is damn good. But doesn’t his profile (medium average, low walk rate) give him a much finer margin between being a star and being average?

9:33
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t love that he only has eight unintentional walks this season. But he’s already at a career high for dingers, and his incredible defense raises his floor. I’m reluctant with this comparison but there are parallels between Arenado and Adrian Beltre

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: For how much Arenado swings, he makes contact so his strikeouts aren’t out of control

9:34
Comment From MotorboatJones
How much longer are the Cubs going to keep Starlin Castro and his -.7 WAR in the lineup?

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: The Cubs don’t think Castro is actually a below-replacement player

9:36
Comment From Jojo
How do the pirates upgrade at first base? Alvarez is not producing enough

9:36
Jeff Sullivan: Alvarez has a 114 wRC+ against righties. He’s actually kind of been doing his part

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: But the guy I can’t stop recommending now is Steve Pearce. I see him as a solution for a lot of teams’ problems. Not playing much in Baltimore, is probably better than his numbers, and Pittsburgh might appreciate his versatility

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: Steve Pearce! Everybody should trade for Steve Pearce!

9:39
Comment From GSon
comment on the emergence of the new left side of the Indians infield Giovanny Urshela and Francisco Lindor…

9:40
Jeff Sullivan: Before Urshela/Lindor: .321 BABIP allowed
With Urshela/Lindor: .308

9:41
Jeff Sullivan: Okay, so it’s not as dramatic as I was hoping for. But still, in theory, you’re looking at an Indians team with a solidified infield defense. The pitching staff supplies the strikeouts. This team should be so much better

9:42
Comment From Minty
Why would the Twins promote Buxton and keep Sano down? Not saying either is ready, but shouldn’t the logic be the same?

9:43
Jeff Sullivan: Aside from any potential differences between Buxton and Sano in terms of perceived ability to make the jump, the Twins just had a bigger need in the outfield. They’re okay at third base, and they still believe in Vargas/Mauer at 1B/DH

9:43
Jeff Sullivan: Of course, now Buxton’s hurt again…

9:44
Comment From Aunt Jessie
Does SCOTUS + the indie league gay pitcher hasten a gay player in the majors announcing? ( http://sports.yahoo.com/blo… )

9:45
Jeff Sullivan: Doubt it. External realities have little to do with teammates’ responses, and the media response. The first one will still be a media frenzy, and even though the times are changing, I think the timeline’s basically unaffected. It’ll happen, but we don’t know when.

9:46
Comment From Chris B
are the mariners done? Has a team bumped it up to a rate of .640 after a mediocre first half?

9:46
Jeff Sullivan: Last July 21, the Royals were 48-50

9:47
Jeff Sullivan: They have to be the model, here. The Mariners still have a chance. They need their players to play to their own established levels.

9:47
Comment From Moist Alou
Which team is more illustrative of its sport- The KC Royals representing the A.L in the All-Star Game or Michael Jordan, Bill Murray and Bugs Bunny representing basketball in Space Jam?

9:48
Jeff Sullivan: The Royals provide probably a more representative slice of the big-league player pool

9:48
Comment From j6takish
What do you think that dads hate more, players who don’t run out ground balls or one and done college basketball players?

9:49
Jeff Sullivan: I assume by dads you mean racists

9:49
Comment From Chris
I feel the hype for Kris Bryant has made everyone overlook the type of season Arenado and Machado are having. Is Bryant projected to be that much better than both of them? Or is it just because “chicks dig the long ball”?

9:50
Jeff Sullivan: It’s more complicated than that. We already had our Machado hype a few years ago. People move on to the next hottest thing. That sort of attention never sustains because people stop being surprised. As for Arenado, there’s just little hope of attracting much attention when you play in Colorado. At least while the Rockies are bad

9:52
Jeff Sullivan: A couple years from now, if Bryant is doing what Bryant is doing now, people won’t talk about him that much. It’s crazy. They’ll be talking about, I don’t know, Raul A Mondesi or something

9:52
Comment From Alicia V
I think AROD is the best player on the yankees at this point. Is it even close?

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: Gardner plays defense. McCann catches. Pineda is good. Betances is stupid good.

9:53
Comment From hscer
As a Nats fan, I remember last May when they were 21-6 before slumping again. But I’m hopeful it’s different this time

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t know how different you want it to be — last year they won 96 games

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: Streakiness is okay when the highs are as high as the Nationals’ highs

9:54
Comment From The Dude
I’m a Yankees fan, but how in the world do we have the best chance of anyone in the AL of winning the world series?

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: There aren’t any dominant teams in the American League

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: Let’s wait to see who adds Cole Hamels and Johnny Cueto

9:54
Comment From Dustin
In his second major league start, Matt Wisler was treated to a getaway day lineup and porous defense as a result. Am I wrong to think Atlanta should’ve avoided putting him in that position, or is it just “one of those things”?

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: One of those things. In theory, he also got to face a getaway-day lineup

9:55
Comment From Joe
Why are parts of WAR proprietary, is it bc you want to keep a competitive edge or more that it’s not your data to distribute?

9:55
Jeff Sullivan: Believe it’s more of the latter

9:56
Comment From GSon
if you’re a GM & are looking for some infield help.. would you speak to the Indians about Lonnie Chisenhall (.321/442/.915) and Jose Ramirez (.356/.460/.821) in the minors?

9:56
Jeff Sullivan: Teams would have interest in Ramirez. He’s 22 and a shortstop. Chisenhall is a lot less appealing

9:57
Comment From MSW
I agree in abstract that the Mets should take the “boring” approach now, but isn’t this really a huge indictment on their offseason? There were tons of chances to add depth to the roster and all they did was trade a first rounder for two years of Cuddyer in left.

9:59
Jeff Sullivan: The Cuddyer move wasn’t good. No getting around that. But it wouldn’t look *as* bad if he were producing like Michael Cuddyer. With Flores, Herrera, Tejada, and Murphy, the Mets did have decent middle-infield depth, and they wouldn’t have known Wright would get so messed up. Obviously they’ve done some things poorly. I can’t pretend to be an expert on the Mets’ situation. But whenever I begin to want to sympathize with the fans who are so frustrated, I look at that young pitching and think maybe people are missing the point

9:59
Jeff Sullivan: Yeah, the Mets have things they could do to improve. But oh my god, the pitching. And this is *without* Wheeler. And Montero. These should be exciting times, not aggravating times

9:59
Comment From hscer
any good community articles still pending? I’m not asking for any particular reason, by which I mean of course I am

10:00
Jeff Sullivan: Went through what was there last night. Nothing left pending

10:00
Comment From Mike Honcho
I don’t have a question to ask about Jaime Garcia, but he’s been pretty great so far. The GB and BB rates make me very happy.

10:00
Jeff Sullivan: Garcia is nuts. For all the injuries he’s had to deal with, he’s still at the point where he’s really good when he’s able to pitch

10:01
Jeff Sullivan: Fastball velocity is the same as ever. This is one way to make up for the absence of Adam Wainwright

10:01
Comment From HappyFunBall
Scherzer has progressed from a 1-hitter (MIL) to a no-hitter (PIT), and today faces a pretty hapless PHI squad. The perfect game is a fait accompli, no?

10:02
Jeff Sullivan: And then the next time, a perfect game over 10 innings

10:03
Comment From Aunt Jessie
Did all those big blowouts during last week’s interleague games mean anything?

10:03
Jeff Sullivan: AL now 85-68 against the NL. AL has a .741 OPS; NL checks in at .680

10:04
Comment From Steve
Trying to gauge Harang trade value. a top 200 guy?

10:04
Jeff Sullivan: His value’s pretty low. He’ll get moved, but this month he’s given up 21 runs in 23.2 innings. Whatever the Phillies get back is unlikely to play a meaningful role in the majors

10:06
Comment From mtsw
Is Robbie Ray good?

10:07
Jeff Sullivan: I have a note right here that says I should probably write about him soon. I don’t think he’s *good* yet, but he’s had a big velocity bump, and that raises his ceiling. Funny the way things work out

10:07
Comment From Bloom Quest
Assuming Jack Z was willing (ha!) is it even possible for the Mariners to be sellers? Seems the assets are weak and the non-assets are weaker.

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: Wouldn’t be much to sell. You’re not getting a lot for Austin Jackson. Maybe you’d get a decent prospect for JA Happ

10:08
Comment From Bill
Keven Kiermaier!

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: Kiermaier/Cain/Pollock for all-underrated outfield

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: If Cain is still considered underrated

10:09
Jeff Sullivan: Brantley could be an alternate

10:09
Comment From Guest
The Cardinals have a .667 W%. How well do they play the rest of the season?

10:09
Jeff Sullivan: .550 or so

10:10
Comment From Sean Nolin
So, the A’s are finally playing like their expectations. This is fun.

10:10
Jeff Sullivan: If they’d waited even like one more week, Beane might’ve started selling. And he still might sell. Big hole for them to get out of. But it wasn’t really fair how unlucky they were

10:11
Jeff Sullivan: I checked last night. Between 2002 – 2014, the biggest negative difference between wins and BaseRuns wins was -11. The A’s are *already* at -11

10:12
Comment From Mijo
I have a gentleman’s bet going with my buddy that Bryce Harper will finish with more career WAR than mike trout. Tell me I

10:12
Jeff Sullivan: Trout has an 18-WAR lead. I have bad news.

10:12
Comment From Sirras One
Mets are playing in a way that almost makes me believe that the gambler’s fallacy is reality

10:13
Jeff Sullivan: This is why that fallacy is so ever-present in the first place

10:13
Jeff Sullivan: All of our probabilities mean little in the little picture when we have a life sample size of 1

10:14
Comment From Philip
Hi Jeff! I have a year and a half-ish of professional experience, a master’s degree but no luck when it comes to getting a call back for a job. Any advice?

10:15
Jeff Sullivan: It’s important to stay dedicated to trying to land a job, but in the meantime, make sure you’re appreciating your current flexibility. You won’t have this freedom very often. Take advantage of it. Develop yourself and your connection to the things you like to do

10:15
Comment From Sean Nolin
Has Ron Washington fixed Marcus Semien? 10 games without an error now – and probably not a coincidence that the A’s are heating up at the same time.

10:15
Jeff Sullivan: Some would refer to it as regression to the mean, but your theory is more heartwarming

10:16
Comment From JD
What should the Angels do at the trade deadline? They’re 37-36 now w/ 39% playoff odds, but they could really use some pieces with long-term value.

10:17
Jeff Sullivan: Nothing’s available and they probably don’t have much financial flexibility. I think it’s going to be quiet

10:18
Comment From Houzer
could the Tigers get Gausmand and Schoop for Kinsler and a minor league arm?

10:18
Jeff Sullivan: Ian Kinsler is slugging .345

10:18
Comment From Philip
Have you ever done any hiking in the southwestern US? Lots of good stuff over there.

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: It didn’t really click as a passion until I left the southwest and came to Oregon. So now as I reflect that was a missed opportunity. I’ve got a long list of places in California to get to

10:19
Comment From James
Weak defense of Anaheim coming. Most of the city does blow, it blows goats in fact. However, there is some great beer here. Anything about the city you dislike in particular?

10:20
Jeff Sullivan: It’s impossible to separate my feelings about Anaheim from the fact that I went there twice to watch my favorite team lose the Stanley Cup. So a chunk of this is emotional. Never struck me as a city with substance, though. And while there is the Bruery, and whatnot, there was never any sense in caring about Anaheim beer when I lived in the mecca that is San Diego

10:21
Comment From Pete
Mesoraco, to my knowledge, is supposed to have his hip cut open today. Took long enough. How stupid are the Reds?

10:21
Jeff Sullivan: I’m not saying they handled it great, but people were expecting to say the same things about the Yankees and Tanaka. Surgery was going to cost Mesoraco a season. There was a reason to try to make him useful, first, just to see. Didn’t work out, but players and teams aren’t in the same hurry to have surgery that fans think they should be

10:23
Comment From The Average Sports Fan
So the Reds refuse to learn from the Phillies mistakes. That is pretty cool. 2016-2018 is going to be horrific.

10:24
Jeff Sullivan: Let’s at least wait to see what they get at the deadline first. 2016 isn’t going to be lovely, but if they’re one of just a few sellers, real quality could be coming back, and it could be close to the majors

10:24
Comment From Chuqui
Most likely to keep closer role: Carson Smith or Roberto Osuna?

10:24
Jeff Sullivan: Smith

10:24
Comment From Philip
What baseball player could you compare to a volcano?

10:24
10:26
Comment From Pat
Any idea what’s up with Lester this year? I thought the move to the NL would give him a bump up.

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: I think he’s mostly normal. He’s facing more righties than ever before. Shouldn’t be too much to worry about, except that last year he allowed 16 steals, and this year he’s already up to 20. The reasons are well understood, but Lester will have trouble stranding runners until/unless he sorts this out

10:28
Comment From Camp Town Ladies
Possibly a dumb request, and maybe you don’t because of website resources or something, but would it be possible to identify the player’s team on their player card? I know if you scroll down, you see they played for Texas in 2015, but sometimes when I’m just quickly glancing, I’d like to know their current team without having to scroll down, etc.

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: Might be an easy add. I’ll check with Appelman

10:29
Comment From Julio Pepper
The most probable outcome is that they meet as major leaguers and then marry. That could happen in our lifetimes. No couple is going to make the majors separately.

10:29
Jeff Sullivan: They could, if they simply met at a lower level of baseball, like college

10:29
Comment From Four N.L. teams are on pace to exceed their Vegas over/under total by 7 or more games: Cubs & Pirates, both 7. D-backs, 8. And St. Louis, 20. Thats more than the Astros, Twins, or Royals! (Theyre 19, 18, and 17 respectively.) Matheny the prohibitive e
Hey, Jeff. Is it fair to say that the #1 most important trait for an MLB manager (other than the basic trust and respect of his players) is to not overwork his starting pitchers? Thanks!

10:29
Jeff Sullivan: Leadership, probably

10:30
Comment From JayDawg
How worried are you about Beltre? I mean, literally 3 days ago he said he couldn’t grip a bat. And now they throw him out there!!?!?! Chances of this being a lost season for him?

10:30
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t really know what they’re doing. I know Beltre is as tough as they come, and he probably pressured the team to let him back or something, but this is a real thing to monitor. Doesn’t seem smart

10:31
Comment From mtsw
Wlll Shohei Otani be given the chance to be a two-way player in MLB or is he a pitcher only once he comes over?

10:31
Jeff Sullivan: I doubt baseball would be that open-minded with someone so high-profile

10:31
Comment From Efram
How great is Billy Burns? And why isn’t he stealing as much as he should?

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: He’s stealing a fair amount. But he might still be in the process of reading his opposing pitchers. We’ve seen the progress Billy Hamilton made on the bases between last year and this year. Burns might just be trying to avoid all those caught-steals in the meantime

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: Good for him to be sharing a clubhouse with Crisp

10:33
Comment From hscer
Does reliance on B-R data over FG decrease the odds of a community post being accepted?

10:33
Jeff Sullivan: Completely unrelated

10:33
Comment From Vic Romano
Valbuena’s BABIP should come back to something approaching normal, right?

10:34
Jeff Sullivan: Sort of. He’s selling out for power, putting everything in the air, and a lot of his quality hits are just going over the fence. It won’t stay at .179, but it might not get past .250

10:34
Comment From a eskpert
Is it just me, or have there been a ton of complete games this year?

10:35
Jeff Sullivan: 42, on pace for 93. Last year there were 118. The complete game is dying 🙁

10:36
Comment From Cincinnati Kid
What is Marlon Byrd worth at the deadline? Veteran bat, LF with power, and the contending team would only owe him ~$1.3M for the stretch. What could he fetch prospect-wise?

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: A Ben Lively equivalent wouldn’t be crazy. Again, it comes back to how little there is on the market right now. And as Ken Rosenthal noted, Byrd’s DL stint makes it less likely his 2016 option vests (550 PA)

10:37
Comment From Kevin
People always talk about great baseball player names, but never the opposite. Is there a worse baseball name than Chaz Roe?

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: Jon Coutlangus always made me uncomfortable

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: same with Brandon Cumpton

10:38
Comment From Pete
Should Fangraphs trade you for Steve Pearce?

10:38
Jeff Sullivan: Mistake for both sides

10:38
Jeff Sullivan: pretty big mistake for both sides

10:38
Comment From mtsw
Is the Tigers’ window already closed?

10:38
Jeff Sullivan: Not if they get the normal Victor Martinez down the stretch

10:39
Comment From Cletus Kasady
According to pitch f/x two seamers and sinkers have similar total horizontal movement for both righties and lefties, but when you watch a lefty throw it hardly ever seems like the pitch runs away from right handed hitters. Is this just because of the camera angle or am I missing something else?

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: Camera angle

10:39
Comment From Compton
The Reds broadcast last night showed a graphic of the league leaders in high-leverage average (Brayan Pena was doing really well in this category), but they called it “late and close” instead of high leverage. Is this actually another name for it, or were they just trying to dumb it down for their audience?

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: It’s a slightly different statistic, based on score instead of win expectancy

10:40
Comment From Billy
Is the best course of action for the Mariners just to sit back and hope for some positive regression?

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: Pretty much. Can’t do crap unless Robinson Cano stops being a pile of shit

10:41
Comment From Compton
Have you read Big Data Baseball yet? The author speaks quite a bit about the public resources for advanced statistics, and actually references Fangraphs a few times. Is a shout out like this worth anything to Fangraphs, or do you assume that if one is reading a book about sabermetrics, then he/she probably already knows about Fangraphs?

10:42
Jeff Sullivan: I mean, a shout-out in a book is always a good thing, but yeah, you’re mostly right. If you’re reading that book, and internalizing it, you’re probably already familiar with this place. I don’t think FanGraphs is struggling to get its name out there. People know about it, who would care about it

10:43
Comment From Guest
Why do people constantly ignore Glenn Burke as an openly gay MLB player?

10:43
Jeff Sullivan: Because that was decades ago and people only care about the now

10:45
Jeff Sullivan: Also, the larger circumstances are different, and there’d be hope that the next openly gay baseball player could start a trend. Wasn’t a trend after Burke

10:45
Comment From Shawn
What are your expectations for Jose Fernandez when he comes back? Even if he’s 85 – 90% that’s still damn good

10:45
Jeff Sullivan: I think he’s mostly himself down the stretch. Then I think he’s fully himself in 2016

10:45
Comment From kid
Going back to Arenado, it’s possible to be a very good hitter with that 5% BB / 15% K profile, a la Beltre, Adam Jones and recently, Maikel Franco, as long as you’ve got power (~.200 ISO). Those guys have the contact and power to make up for the lack of BBs

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: And defense. Don’t forget defense! Arenado is amazing at defense.

10:46
Comment From Compton
Has Fangraphs ever considered the option of sponsership of certain pages the way that Baseball Reference does? I know I’d be willing to pay good money to get my name and a message on Tony Womack’s player page, and I want to give you guys more money for how much I utilize this site.

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: This isn’t a bad idea…

10:48
Comment From STiVo
Are there many pitchers that have very good 2- and 4-seam fastballs? If so, can you name a few? Thanks!

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: Some might suggest Carlos Martinez or Gerrit Cole

10:48
Comment From zackleftyp
Is Xander Bogaerts a top-10 SS?

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: Yep

10:49
Comment From Alicia V
I have a friend that HATES how AROD doesn’t run out a ground ball or noticably “doesn’t exactly run to second on a double”. Whats the best way to explain to them this philosphy?

10:49
Jeff Sullivan: He is a 40-year-old man who has recently had hip surgery

10:50
Comment From mtsw
Which is more offensive? Redskins name or Indians logo?

10:50
Jeff Sullivan: I think they’re more or less equally offensive, but the Indians logo is easier to avoid/phase out

10:52
Comment From dom
why are ground balls more likely to be pulled than fly balls

10:52
10:52
Comment From baseball
is cueto even a lock to get moved? the reds have been playing better of late

10:52
Jeff Sullivan: He isn’t a *lock*, but if he’s healthy, there’s a really high chance. The Reds have too much ground to make up

10:52
Comment From joe
jim bowden said cueto is worth 25 cents on the dollar now — do you believe this is? i can see a discount but that’s pretty steep decline

10:52
Jeff Sullivan: That’s stupid

10:53
Comment From The Oriole Bird
Who is better at baseball: Mookie Betts or Manny Machado?

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: Machado

10:53
Comment From TR
Any chance that Donaldson wins the MVP? Would seem unlikely playing in Toronto

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: Real good chance if they make the playoffs

10:54
Jeff Sullivan: All right, I need to wrap this up and move on with my day

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I’m sorry for what I didn’t or couldn’t address. We’ll do it again…next week? Actually, next week might have Friday be a day off. But we’ll do it again sometime, and until then, be well and have great days

We hoped you liked reading Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 6/26/15 by Jeff Sullivan!

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Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

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Cornflake5000
Guest
Cornflake5000

It’s because the Cardinals have the best fans in baseball.

Paul
Guest
Paul

They do have the best f.a.n.s. The best Fully Automatic Network Stealers.