Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 9/1/17

9:07
Jeff Sullivan: Hello friends

9:07
Jeff Sullivan: Welcome to Friday baseball chat

9:07
Jeff Sullivan: Been a while since Bork 🙁

9:07
Zonk: Javy Baez has 13 Intentional BBs, and only 11 earned BBs.  Has any qualified batter ever finished a season with more IBBs than regular BBs?  I am guessing the answer is no….

9:07
Jeff Sullivan: To the query machine!

9:08
Jeff Sullivan: Baez would stand to be the first since Vladimir Guerrero in 2006

9:09
Jeff Sullivan: 27 seasons qualify since 1968. Hell, even Barry Bonds technically had more intentional walks than other walks in 2004!

9:09
Jeff Sullivan: Obviously, many of those were unintentional intentional walks. But anyway

9:10
PTBNL: CC Sabathia is:

A) Completely justified in his criticism of the Boston Red Sox
B) A whiney cry-baby who should probably just shut up and pitch

9:11
Jeff Sullivan: He has every right to be annoyed, but some of those annoyances shouldn’t be shared with the public

9:12
Jeff Sullivan: Sabathia can think the Red Sox are weak for bunting but he should keep that to himself. Because it’s irrational. Even he would understand, when cooler heads prevail, that the point is to win the game. Sabathia would presumably bunt against Sabathia, given the chance

9:13
Jeff Sullivan: Fun fact: this year, according to DRS, Sabathia’s defense is actually +1!

9:14
Jeff Sullivan: Brett Cecil, of all pitchers, leads the majors in bunt hits allowed, with five

9:14
PF: I saw an article by Travis in The Athletic yesterday…. Does he write for them now as well?

9:14
Jeff Sullivan: He’s been doing that for a while, actually

9:14
Jeff Sullivan: Where he finds the time, I’m not entirely sure, but The Athletic has been a side commitment for him for…months?

9:15
Hal: Since you wrote that Hoskins hasn’t homered off a legit big league pitcher last week, he’s hit dingers off  Koji Uehara, Hendricks, and Quintana. I don’t have a question here, just picture me doing the DX crotch chop aggressively in your general direction

9:15
Jeff Sullivan: It’s true! That has happened!

9:15
Jeff Sullivan: He also has an active 13-game hitting streak

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: Even less reason to be skeptical about him now than before

9:16
Lfietime Tigers Fan: So it goes.

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: I’m sure this is a pretty empty feeling

9:16
Jeff Sullivan: I used to find it unimaginable that the Mariners would ever trade Felix Hernandez

9:17
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t know how I would’ve handled it if that happened

9:18
Sean: Who is your pick, right now, to win NL MVP?

9:18
Jeff Sullivan: Probably Stanton, but the race is tight enough that it could go in one of like four or five directions these last few weeks

9:19
Jeff Sullivan: Rendon deserves far more consideration than he’s ever going to get

9:19
PF: Journalistic thoughts on Ken Rosenthal joining The Athletic?

9:20
Jeff Sullivan: He wanted somewhere to write. Doesn’t get much purer than The Athletic right now. Plenty of people ripping him for going behind a paywall, but I doubt those people realize what they’re actually saying

9:20
PTBNL: Which September call-up are you most looking forward to?

9:21
Jeff Sullivan: None yet. I’ll pick my favorites when I’ve been given some reasons

9:21
Jeff Sullivan: at the major-league level, that is

9:21
BJOGC: In markets with more than one team, why is anybody a fan of the “bad” team? Like, why be a Mets fan on purpose when you have options?

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: No fan feels like he or she actually has the option to switch

9:22
Jeff Sullivan: I mean, if it’s just a casual pursuit, then, sure, watch something else. But when the loyalty runs deeper, it’s too deep to shift on a whim

9:23
Jeff Sullivan: Also worth noting that the depths of despair make the highs feel higher

9:23
Matt: I don’t expect a sweep, but *if* there’s a sweep, the Yanks are 1.5 games back of the division. 3.5 if they split. The division is still within reach, no?

9:23
Jeff Sullivan: Yes, but the Red Sox are better

9:24
Vlad’s Dad: I am doing some research that involves comparing values of batters and pitchers. I was looking to use WAR/600 or WAR/G for the batters and was wondering what the best equivalent is for pitchers? Any thoughts?

9:24
Jeff Sullivan: Probably something like WAR/180 innings or thereabouts

9:24
Q-Ball: Did the Astros err, in your opinion, by staying pat at the deadline, then giving up a decent prospect haul for Verlander?  Should they have topped the offer for Gray?  Or maybe they didn’t like him?

9:25
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t think Gray would’ve been the right kind of fit. And my own opinion leans conservative — I’m not a huge fan of big splashes. But in reality, the Astros have more question marks now than they did, and Verlander has fewer than *he* did. So while I don’t think this move was necessary, I get why the Astros felt compelled

9:26
Daniel: The Marlins haven’t won a game since you wrote about them on Monday. Do you at all feel personally responsible for that?

9:26
Jeff Sullivan: Losing to the Nationals, I get. Losing to the Phillies? Don’t lose to the Phillies.

9:26
Jeff Sullivan: But while the Marlins faded instantly, at least we still have the Brewers to watch

9:27
ryan: does the return for brandon phillips seem light to you, or is this about the best the braves could have hoped for?

9:27
Jeff Sullivan: What do you think a team deserves to get for one month of a 36-year-old Brandon Phillips?

9:28
Jeff Sullivan: I get that maybe you’d prefer some low-level flier, but this is effectively going to work out the same

9:28
PF: When do we see a player better then Trout? 10 years? 20? Ever?

9:28
Jeff Sullivan: Like, better than Trout at the time, or better than the Trout of today?

9:29
Jeff Sullivan: Presuming you mean the latter, I’ll say we’ll see maybe one of those guys in the next couple decades

9:29
PTBNL: Are the Angels now the favorites for the second wild card spot?

9:30
Jeff Sullivan: I think with so little time left, you have to give the edge to the team with the 1.5-game lead. Especially since the Twins play the Tigers another seven times, and they just got a lot weaker

9:30
tonyc: JV to Houston and McCullers returning soon means… what?  Six-man rotation with Peacock to the pen?  Peacock and Fiers to the pen?

9:31
Jeff Sullivan: Going to be a lot of September mixing and matching and spots skipped. All in the name of rest and preservation. Come playoff time, it’ll be Verlander, Keuchel, and a grab bag

9:32
Olly: Wil Myers went from a +4 WAR breakout to barely a replacement player. What happened and can he get back?

9:33
Jeff Sullivan: Remember that, even last year, Myers had almost all of his value in the first half. 92 second-half wRC+

9:33
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t think he’s dropped off *that* much in terms of his skills — that is, I don’t think he’s suddenly gotten four wins worse. Some of this is just noise. But I don’t think of Myers as being a really strong core asset

9:34
Jeff Sullivan: His launch angle this year has spiked — it’s possible he made his swing a hair or two more exploitable

9:34
PF: How good can Vlad. Jr become? Trout Harper Correa level?

9:35
Jeff Sullivan: Okay, so, on the one hand, don’t expect that. Never expect that. On the other hand, I don’t think there’s a player in the minors with a higher ceiling. Elite is most certainly within Guerrero’s feasible reach

9:36
Joey: If the Tigers get close to their asking price, should they pull the trigger and go all in on the rebuild and trade Fulmer this winter?

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: If the demand is out there, sure, they could try to market him as a more cost-controlled Sonny Gray. Fulmer is in one of those situations where you don’t know if he’ll still be good and healthy next time the Tigers are decent. But because he has so much control left, there’s no urgency; he could be flipped next deadline, or the offseason after

9:37
Jeff Sullivan: But right now, basically, no one at the major-league level is too important to trade

9:38
PTBNL: With Pedroia back, how should the Red Sox juggle their infield? Seems like there aren’t enough PA to go around for Hanley, Moreland, Pedroia, Bogaerts, Nunez, Devers.

9:38
Jeff Sullivan: Thankfully, neither Hanley nor Moreland are particularly good

9:39
PF: Who’s the most statistically unique player in the Major Leagues right now?

9:40
Jeff Sullivan: Might be Billy Hamilton, might be Joey Votto. Hard to know off the top of my head, but I bet there would be some pretty simple math one could attempt

9:40
Zock Jr.: Craziest August deadline I can remember.

9:40
Jeff Sullivan: Not the relaxing Thursday night I had planned for myself

9:41
ryan: if the orioles decided to trade machado this offseason, what could a potential return look like? 3 top 100 guys with one in the top 20?

9:43
Jeff Sullivan: Going to be hard-pressed to get the kind of massive haul you’d like when you’re talking about a player with one remaining control year

9:44
Jeff Sullivan: Teams just don’t give up that much talent for rentals. Now, few rentals would be better than Machado, who is great and who will dramatically outplay his Arb3 salary. But you’re looking at a probable package with one premium prospect and some filler gambles

9:44
J: Rank: Houston, Boston, Cleveland

9:44
Jeff Sullivan: Astros, Indians, Red Sox

9:44
Jeff Sullivan: All of them are great

9:44
Orange Whips: What should the Twins do? Their core of Buxton/Sano/Berrios looks solid enough, but they desperately need pitching. Should they be in on the big name FAs this offseason?

9:44
Jeff Sullivan: No

9:45
Jeff Sullivan: Buying big-name free agents is frequently a bad idea. Especially when you’re a team that doesn’t spend that much. Can’t afford to give that much payroll space to market-rate players

9:47
Oscar O’Bannon: You may have Willson Contreras or Gary Sanchez right now. Who are you picking and why?

9:47
Jeff Sullivan: Sanchez, because he is better

9:47
Jeff Sullivan: I will note that, according to the numbers at Baseball Prospectus for this season, Sanchez has a 20-run edge in pitch-framing

9:47
Jeff Sullivan: Good luck making up for that somewhere else

9:48
Zock Jr.: How long do you think until the tigers are back in contention? I need to pacify my Detroit-born father.

9:48
Jeff Sullivan: Talk to him about literally anything else for the next, oh, four or five years

9:48
PTBNL: Obviously you don’t have a crystal ball, but what do you figure the odds are that Upton opts out? Can’t imagine he’d get more than his current deal, given the contracts handed out last season to aging power hitters (EE, Bautista, Trumbo, etc.)

9:49
Jeff Sullivan: Right now, going to say 60%. I don’t think he can do much better, either, but there’s a chance, and players just like the freedom of the market

9:50
Wily Mo’s ghost: Have you been surprised at what Fister has done since being called up? Even if he goes back to being crap from now on, safe to say the Sox are

9:50
Jeff Sullivan: Fister still hasn’t been *good*, but he’s been useful, and it’s worth noting he’s picked up a mile or two of velocity that he had previously lost

9:51
Jeff Sullivan: It’s made him a little more difficult to hit. Not a playoff pitcher, but a reasonable regular-season placeholder

9:52
Fellow Sens Fan: Who’s the Erik Karlsson of baseball?

9:52
Jeff Sullivan: Corey Seager

9:52
PTBNL: Jeff, how’s it going? Any big plans for Labor Day weekend?

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: Going to be crowded, but this trip is long overdue

9:53
TKDC: Is anyone on the Yankees going to tell Sabathia how much of a baby he is being?

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: No

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: That’s not how teams work

9:53
Kyle: Thank you for being  a friend, Jeff

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: Thank you for being a friend, Kyle

9:53
Jeff Sullivan: You should come to my birthday

9:54
JC: How much of an outlier is Gio Gonzalez to have a >3 difference between his bWAR and fWAR?

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: So Gio Gonzalez has a 3.0 WAR and a 6.3 RA9-WAR

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: (which is basically the same as bWAR)

9:54
Jeff Sullivan: The difference is listed on his FanGraphs player page as FDP-Wins

9:55
Jeff Sullivan: Interestingly, if you click that link, you see that Gonzalez was going in the *other* direction the previous two years

9:55
Jeff Sullivan: Anyhow, let’s examine the last two decades

9:56
Jeff Sullivan: There have been four seasons with an FDP-Wins of 4+, the most recent being Zack Greinke’s 2015

9:56
Jeff Sullivan: 18 seasons with an FDP-Wins of 3+. So basically once a year, on average, this happens

9:57
Dave Cameronaunepetitegraine: For a Sept playoff push, would you rather have an Ace go 5 Starts, 40 innings with an ERA of 1.00 or a Slugger go full August Stanton?

9:57
Jeff Sullivan: Might be the wrong answer but I’ll take the full August Stanton. More even distribution of help

9:58
Wily Mo’s ghost: How many teams do you think will be interested in Nuñez this winter, and what kind of role might they imagine for him? He doesn’t look quite like the 1.1-win player Steamer projected for this year.

9:59
Jeff Sullivan: Lots of teams are going to be in the mix. He’s basically proven over the past 1000 PA or so that he’s a fine hitter, and he can run the bases while playing a variety of positions. Every team would have a use for a player like this

10:00
John: Hi Jeff, thanks for chatting.  I’m working on planning a trip to Portland/Bend the week after Thanksgiving.  Do you think weather will accomodate hiking and stuff that time of year?

10:01
Jeff Sullivan: You can always hike. It’s more a matter of your own weather tolerance. By that point I’d start expecting precipitation. At the very least, it’ll be cold. But if you’re comfortable with some clouds and moisture, it can be awfully rewarding to go explore Mt Hood or something in the central Cascades

10:01
Jeff Sullivan: Even if the mountains are inaccessible for some reason, you could hike at, say, Smith Rock. Could drive up to Crater Lake as well

10:03
PTBNL: What are your thoughts on Ashley’s piece RE: Showboating, bat-flipping, and head-hunting? As a young fan, I’d love to see more personality from players on the field, and fewer guys getting thrown at intentionally.

10:04
Jeff Sullivan: Yeah, I’m right there with her. And, I think, the younger generation of baseball players is also mostly right there with her. The newer breed wants to show something of itself. It wants the personalities to come across. Players will forever get pissed at other players on the field, just because the competitive spirit takes over, but that’s no reason to allow dangerous attacks. Just curse at one another! Curse at one another and throw shit in the dugout. That’s fine

10:05
Tom A.: McCutchen once again is terrible.  Why?  Was it two hot months or was it a long slump and another blip?

10:06
Jeff Sullivan: McCutchen made an adjustment to reverse an extended slide. Pitchers subsequently adjusted to the adjustment that he made. His results are unusually extreme, in terms of both the good and the bad, but this is the nature of baseball tides

10:06
Zack Cozart: How am I still a Red?

10:06
Jeff Sullivan: Injury problems

10:06
Jeff Sullivan: And also that pretty much every half-decent team has a shortstop

10:07
Bob Villa: You think Francisco Meija is the real deal and could be a potential all-star behind the plate?

10:08
Jeff Sullivan: 21-year-old catcher with bat-to-ball skills who’s performing well in Double-A. He’s about as good as a catching prospect can get

10:09
AC: With Tigers now in full rebuild, odds are they shop Iglesias and Castellanos in the offseason. Could either of those guys bring anything decent in return?

10:09
Jeff Sullivan: Not really

10:09
Jeff Sullivan: I mean, you could market Castellanos, and you could trade him, but he’s not going to go fetch a blockbuster return

10:09
Show Buckwalter: What is your take on the Miguel Gonzalez deal?

10:09
Jeff Sullivan: It happened

10:10
John Mozeliak: What does the future of my rotation look like for the Cardinals? Does the trade of an innings eater (even potentially a mediocre/declining one) help my team that has a departing Lynn, injured/old Wainwright, injured Wacha and young Weaver?

10:11
Jeff Sullivan: The Cardinals have an established history of being able to churn out roughly league-average players. I trust them to do that more than pretty much anyone. Given that, in theory they should need someone like Leake less than anyone else

10:12
PTBNL: Presumably, the Red Sox will be unable to keep all of JBJ, Bogaerts, Mookie, Benintendi, and Devers past their arbitration years. In what order should Boston priortize signing these guys long-term?

10:12
Jeff Sullivan: Bogaerts is the closest to free agency, and he still has another two seasons to go. There is not much urgency here, and besides that, these players are staggered, in terms of when the team control is up

10:14
Jeff Sullivan: I guess I’d put the most focus on Betts, Benintendi, and Devers. They’re all good, but those three are my favorite

10:15
Mark: Will Story/Valaika hold that SS job? Or is it Rodgers job to take when he gets healthy?

10:15
Jeff Sullivan: Let’s at least wait for Rodgers to be good against advanced competition. He’s been average at Double-A, with suspect discipline

10:16
Jeff Sullivan: The shine is off Story for sure, but Rodgers has his own questions to answer

10:16
Moltar: When should the trade deadline actually be?

10:16
Jeff Sullivan: End of August?

10:16
Pete: We get to see the Dodgers playoff rotation fort the 1st time this weekend. Are the Padres a decent barometer to see how good they can be?

10:16
Jeff Sullivan: It’s like rehab starts for all of them

10:17
DaveP: Must-follow Twitter accounts for baseball fans? I follow you, so that’s covered.

10:17
Jeff Sullivan: I’m not a real good person to ask. I use Twitter for work, not for pleasure, and I’m off of it the instant I can be. So I don’t follow many baseball “entertainers” so to speak

10:18
The Law: The Yankees have three really good starting pitchers, and multiple really good hitters. Why are they so bad?

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: For whatever reason, the offense has been miserably unclutch http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=bat&lg=all&qual=0&…

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: And somehow Aroldis Chapman has a below-zero WPA

10:19
Jeff Sullivan: Fix just those two things and the Yankees are great

10:21
Nick Morris: Albies and Swanson have looked good since being reunited on the big league team. How encouraging is this for 2018 team which will also likely feature Ronald Acuna?

10:22
Jeff Sullivan: It’s modestly encouraging, and those are the three players to focus on. So many people talk about the Braves’ young pitchers, but I wouldn’t want to count on any of them. They’re all lottery tickets. The young position players are hopefully the long-term anchors

10:23
BBB: Thoughts on Verdugo?

10:23
Jeff Sullivan: Very good

10:24
Marc: Assuming they make it out of the wild card game, who are the dbacks’ four starters?

10:25
Jeff Sullivan: I think it would depend on how Corbin and Walker finish. I’d be inclined to move Walker to the bullpen, but if he has a strong September, then, well, Corbin has some relieving experience

10:26
Vinicius: Is Jorge Soler a AAAA player?

10:26
Jeff Sullivan: He’s a major-league player. I just don’t think he’s a special one

10:26
Dylan: With this crazy home run environment, is anyone looking at recalculating run expectancy/linear weights? It feels like the way runs are scored is way different nowadays

10:27
Jeff Sullivan: They actually do get recalculated every year http://www.fangraphs.com/guts.aspx?type=cn

10:27
Jeff Sullivan: Home runs right now have their lowest value since 2006

10:28
Brian Cashmon: How much money have you raised so far from the EW mic+shirt+book raffle?

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: A lot more than expected!

10:28
AC: Are the Tigers the first team to trade away three Justins in one season?

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: I don’t know, but, yes

10:28
5 Run Homer: I’m going into my senior year of high school. What should I do from here in out to get a job writing about baseball?

10:28
Jeff Sullivan: Start writing about baseball. Force yourself to do it a little more often than is comfortable. Consistency is key for developing your own abilities and voice

10:30
Henryv: If Nelson Cruz does something similar next year as this year (40 HR, 100+ RBI 4 WAR), is someone going to give him a 5/100M year contract?

10:30
Jeff Sullivan: Edwin Encarnacion settled for three years and $60 million while being a few years younger

10:30
Jeff Sullivan: Cruz would be going into his age-38 season. He’d get two years and an option, max

10:31
Greg: Any insight on Conforto. Is this going to put his 2018 in question?

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: Seems like there’s a chance his rehab could stretch into next year. And then it stands to reason he’d be unlikely to come back at 100%. I think Conforto will play next year, and he’ll play plenty, but don’t expect to see the same guy

10:32
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe: The Tigers shed $136M in future obligations (assuming Upton does not opt out). It also dealt away their most marketable player, their most marketable player’s girlfriend, and 4+ WAR outfielder this season. How long until the Tigers can honor Mike Ilitch’s memory with a World Series win?

10:32
Jeff Sullivan: A very long time

10:33
Judge My Take:: I’d rather the M’s miss the playoffs than have the Dodgers win more than 116 games.

10:33
Jeff Sullivan: Disagree

10:35
Vinicius: Can Jakob Junis be a solid #3?

10:35
Jeff Sullivan: Since June 11 in the majors: 53 innings, 8 walks, 50 strikeouts

10:36
Jeff Sullivan: He gets swings out of the zone, he doesn’t have a big platoon split, and his minor-league numbers were terrific. I buy him as a big-league starter, yes

10:36
Tony: Is it strange that I think the Brewers being good this year is sort of a fluke, but I still think their immediate future is extremely bright?  I think many of their guys are playing above their heads and won’t necessarily repeat this next year, but obviously they have a good pipeline to improve them starting next year.

10:36
Jeff Sullivan: Yeah, this has been only good news for the Brewers, long-term. Even though they probably won’t make the playoffs, this has only been possible in the first place because more players have over-performed. Over-performance is good, when it comes to projecting the future

10:37
Greg: Which of the often hurt pitchers do you like most Paxton, Wood, nola, etc

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: Paxton is the best of them

10:37
5 Run Homer: Are the Astros again the AL favourite with the addition of Verlander, or were they always?

10:37
Jeff Sullivan: Weren’t always, are now

10:38
Bear Hands: If you’re the Mets, do you bring back Thor at all this year and if you do, does he start or come out of the bullpen?

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: Provided Syndergaard isn’t being rushed, it wouldn’t be a bad idea to give him a few innings toward the end of September, just for peace of mind. A’s did that with Sonny Gray last year

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: No reason, though, to actually push Syndergaard at this point

10:39
Carter: Who’s your favorite young player right now?

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: Mike Trout

10:39
Anthony: Dave says he probably wouldn’t have done it if he were Houston, I know I wouldn’t have. Would you?

10:39
Jeff Sullivan: I wouldn’t, but again, I’m conservative when it comes to dealing young players. I prefer to hoard

10:40
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe: How do writers who publish for multiple outlets decide which ones get the stories?

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: Sometimes the outlets determine the pieces they want. Not always up to the writer

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: Or if you have an outlet that is team-specific, that makes it pretty easy

10:40
Matt: Do you think an NLC team ends up sneaking into the NL Wild Card? Or is it too much of a longshot at this point to expect one of the current holders to collapse?

10:40
Jeff Sullivan: I keep watching the Brewers. They remain a long shot, but they’re easily the best possibility to overtake the sinking Rockies

10:41
tonyc: Think Maybin gets everyday reps in Houston down the stretch?  Fisher’s been underwhelming, and Marwin’s cooled off as well.

10:41
Jeff Sullivan: I think he’ll play plenty while coming up short of playing every day

10:42
bowie: was there a point at which trading felix would have been the right move (in spite of how painful that would have been)?

10:43
Jeff Sullivan: Maybe after everything went to shit in 2010. That was supposed to be a good season. It was a nightmare. Felix had just signed a long-term deal in the winter, with limited no-trade protection, but that would’ve been the time

10:43
Juan Nicasio: Does Neal Huntington realize that the Phillies were the first in waiver priority for both kinds of waivers?

10:43
Jeff Sullivan: He probably didn’t think the Phillies would care about grabbing Juan Nicasio

10:45
Daniel: Is Tommy Pham going to get MVP votes?

10:45
Jeff Sullivan: I bet he could get one or two down-ballot votes

10:45
Jeff Sullivan: Charlie Blackmon got one last year. So did Evan Longoria

10:45
Dan: I feel like my opinion is extremely unpopular in that Verlander doesn’t really make the Astros much better. Keuchel has been great despite his ~3 weeks of being bad, McHugh has been good since returning. McCullers will be back soon. Peacock is having a career year. Morton, etc. What am I missing?

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: Not one of those pitchers is considered reliable

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: The fair counterpoint is that, even a month ago, Verlander himself wasn’t considered reliable. But there are major question marks about every single Astros starter candidate. Even Keuchel, who hasn’t been great since returning from the DL

10:46
Jeff Sullivan: Verlander is insurance, and he’s a far better bet than anyone else to soak up six or seven playoff innings at a time

10:47
mmddyyyy: Do minor league players have a union?

10:47
Jeff Sullivan: No

10:48
Gary Bertier: Can you give a quick dissection of Carmo since the all star break? has a 5ish k/9 and a 4.50 SIERRA. Darvish doesn’t appear that far behind him either in looking bad. Is this just a case of guys getting tired towards end of the year?

10:48
Jeff Sullivan: Darvish is fine. Torpedoed by one horrible start

10:50
Jeff Sullivan: Who is CarMo? Is it not Carlos Martinez? Because Carlos Martinez has far better numbers than that

10:50
Anthony: Fun fact: what would a player look like if you combined Joey Votto on – base ability with Giancarlo Stanton slugging?

10:50
Jeff Sullivan: Barry Bonds

10:50
Pete: Any concern for the Dodgers after losing 5 straight?

10:50
Jeff Sullivan: They have nothing at all to play for. These games don’t matter

10:51
HulkSmash: more/equal/less than you thought the tigers would get for verlander considering the money they sent to the astros?

10:51
Jeff Sullivan: They got more than I expected. Astros clearly really buy in to Verlander’s surge

10:51
Matt: Speaking of Stanton, does he still have any chance of being traded? Or does this recent homer surge somehow put him in the “untouchable” area because of PR concerns for new ownership?

10:51
Jeff Sullivan: I think this is a situation where, objectively, it could make the most sense to trade Stanton, but realistically, the new owners just can’t do that

10:52
Jeff Sullivan: The number-one priority for these people is to prove to the area that they’re committed to trying to build a real baseball team. There’s no way they could flip Stanton and sell it as a different-thinking, forward-thinking baseball move

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: The fallout would be catastrophic, and fans would tune the team out immediately

10:53
Charlie: Do you think there should be more bunt hits in general?

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: Yes

10:53
Jeff Sullivan: But bunting is very hard, especially with everyone throwing 95

10:54
forever it: It’s supposed to be 115 degrees in the Bay Area this weekend. How hot would it have to be for MLB to postpone a game? A cursory Google search shows the last such postponement was back in 1936.

10:54
Jeff Sullivan: I’ll say that conversations would begin around…120 degrees. I mean, they play summer baseball in Texas.

10:55
mmddyyyy: Which comes first: league-wide DH or 26+ man active rosters?

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: I’ll guess the second one

10:55
mmddyyyy: How much are you on twitter?

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: I feel like I have to read it way too often

10:55
Jeff Sullivan: But I am not that active a twitterer because I get nothing out of it

10:56
Anthony: Would you consider Jonathan Schoop a top 3-5 second baseman at this point?

10:56
Jeff Sullivan: Gets pretty weird after Altuve. Not a lot of distinction. So Schoop is as deserving of that placement as anyone else

10:56
NL: Will Dodgers ongoing 5 game slide end their 116 win hopes?  Need to go 25-5 the rest of the year which is doable but very difficult even for them.

10:57
Jeff Sullivan: I can’t imagine they care

10:57
ryan: re: rosenthal, i want your work and i want it for free. is that too much to ask?

10:57
Jeff Sullivan: Look at his mentions sometime when he links to one of his articles. People suck

10:57
mmddyyyy: How often do players get physicals?

10:57
Jeff Sullivan: I *think* just in spring training?

10:57
Jeff Sullivan: And maybe at the end of the year too. I don’t remember

10:58
Jeff Sullivan: All right, I need to get rolling to do some podcast stuff

10:58
Jeff Sullivan: So thank you everybody for hanging out, and I’m sorry for what I didn’t or couldn’t address. We’ll do it again next week at the same time, and until then, be well and have great days

We hoped you liked reading Jeff Sullivan FanGraphs Chat — 9/1/17 by Jeff Sullivan!

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Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.

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victorvran
Member
victorvran

who is carmo?

Da Bum
Member
Da Bum

It’s a great mystery! Someone get some Scooby snacks to lure the gang into investigating.

ColinBaseball
Member
ColinBaseball

Clearly Carlos Marmol