Kevin Goldstein FanGraphs Chat – 5/3/2021

12:02
Chris: Last week you said kyle seager was having a bad season. I’m curious why you think that? His savant page is pretty red and he’s top 10 in a bunch of hard hit categories, what am I missing?

12:02
Kevin Goldstein: Hi everyone and welcome to the week. Let’s try to make it a good one. Did I say that about Seager? If I did, it was wrong. It’s not bad, It’s good, it’s not great, but it’s solid. I wonder where Seattle sits in terms of picking up that option . . . .

12:02
fangraphs reader: CJ Stubbs has garnered some praise and is set to start in AA this season. Do you think he can put himself on the prospect radar?

12:02
Kevin Goldstein: Certainly as a blip. Not some super bright one, but he’s got some real power and you don’t need a ton of offense if you can catch.

12:02
Dave: While the Mariners have been competitive early, they can’t hit. How long can they keep trotting out the likes of Sam Haggerty (.582 OPS) and Taylor Trammell (.622) before they have to give Kelenic a shot?

12:02
Kevin Goldstein: Not very long.

12:03
Terunofuji fan club: Hey Kevin, thanks for the chat. As you transition back to watching live games, do you anticipate any sort of adjustment period for you personally? ie “rust” on the scouting eye that’ll need to be shaken off.

12:03
Kevin Goldstein: I don’t THINK so, but we’ll see. May 12 is my two weeks out date, and I look forward to getting to some Midwest League action (or whatever the hell they are calling it now) to start.

12:04
Ben Schneider: If John Means keeps dealing this year, how big a return could the Orioles get at the deadline?

12:04
Kevin Goldstein: Has has three more years of control . . . why trade him now?

12:04
Pinstripe Perry: If you were in the Yankees front office, how would you alleviate this Gary Sanchez situation? It’s clear the pitchers prefer throwing to Higgy and he’s not a total zero offensively. Add in the fact that they have a suitable backup at the alt site in Chirinos and I’d be looking to dump Sanchez. Do you agree with that assessment? Are there any teams that would be interested in trying to rehabilitate Gary at ~5 mil for the rest of the year with the upside of having him next year too if he figures it out?

12:05
Kevin Goldstein: I think there would be, and if I was another team I’d want to see him as a mostly DH/occasional catcher.

12:05
Brian: What is you’re initial impression of Chris Rodriguez? An organization as pitching starved as the angels have to try him in the rotation next year right?

12:06
Kevin Goldstein: I’d keep him in the pen. Real power guy without a lot of polish to his game and better to let him just let it fly in short stints. Feels like he’d be a five-and-dive guy at best in a starting role.

12:06
Peter: Do you see Tejay Antone as a reliever (maybe a Josh Hader role) or starter long term?

12:07
Kevin Goldstein: I think he at least deserves a chance to start and play it from there.

12:07
Nico: Do you expect any of the Arizona OF’s of the future to make an impact this year? I gather Robinson’s visa issues mean probably a no for him, but Alek Thomas starting at AA.

12:07
Kevin Goldstein: I don’t think they will be in any rush. They’re better than expected, but they’re not going to catch the Dodgers or the Padres.

12:07
Ryan: Do you expect Emerson Hancock to experience a velocity increase similar to Gilbert/Kirby? Seems like the norm in Seattle these days.

12:08
Kevin Goldstein: Feels dangerous to assume that Player C will start throwing harder just because Player A and Player B have.

12:08
Mike: What are you expecting out of Daniel Lynch tonight? Do you think he can succeed right away at the mvl

12:09
Kevin Goldstein: I think you’ll see a fastball-heavy attack. I wish I felt better about his secondary pitches. They’re not bad as much as they are all solid average — I just wish there was a go-to offering in there. I think he’ll be fine. Not amazing, but fine.

12:09
Lunch Angle: If a pitcher has a fantastic performance against the Detroit Tigers.. does it really count

12:10
Kevin Goldstein: I mean, yes it helped that it was against Detroit, but Kluber still looked really good yesterday.

12:10
Alex: Do you still have hope in Nick Senzel or David Dahl’s bats as post-hype former top prospects?

12:10
Kevin Goldstein: Not really, no.

12:11
doug: who is the least punk mlb player? Bauer? Paul Goldschmidt(whom I adore)?

12:11
Kevin Goldstein: Madison Bumgarner?

12:11
JH: As you work more with Eric, have you noticed prospect archetypes that you gravitate toward that he doesn’t? Or vice versa?

12:11
Kevin Goldstein: We certainly have our own biases. I do gravitate towards contact and swing decisions a little more than he does.

12:11
Carlton: Does Cristian Javier have No. 3 or better potential?

12:12
Kevin Goldstein: Yup. Probably No. 3, and that’s really good!

12:12
Kastros: The Astros have seemingly done a great job developing young under the radar Latin American pitching while you were there, (Javier, Valdez, Urquidy, Paredes, Abreu, Garcia, etc.) was there something that set the Astros apart scouting or developmentally, or was that just a nice run?

12:13
Kevin Goldstein: They were on the forefront of using data in the international realm, and former director Oz Ocampo (now with the Pirates) did a fantastic job identifying guys who could improve by focusing on athleticism and good deliveries.

12:14
KP: Any MiLB assignments stick out as TOO aggressive? CJ Abrams Double-A might be tops for me.

12:14
Kevin Goldstein: I keep hearing about aggressive assignments and if tons of assignments feel aggressive does that just mean the balance has changed?

12:14
Animals: Weird question: I notice my dog takes very efficient paths to catching tennis balls. Have non-human animals every been studied for the applicability of their actions to baseball or other sports?

12:15
Kevin Goldstein: You win weirdest question so far. And not that I know of . . .

12:15
Doc: Josh Rojas is putting a nice stretch together here….is he a player?

12:16
Kevin Goldstein: He can hit, there are plenty of things to believe in as far as the bat goes. He’s one of those weird guys who can play a lot of positions, but none of them very well….

12:16
CoryMC: Have you ever scouted in Japan? If so, what was your experience like? Did you end up at Super Potato?

12:16
Kevin Goldstein: Yes; Amazing; Of course.

12:17
Insite: When was the decision made to go over the IFA pool bonus in the old system? Was that something organizations plan years in advanced, what kind of analysis went into that decision?

12:18
Kevin Goldstein: I was more of an in-the-year decision. You’d realize you are in a position to actually get some players that might put you over and you do it. The loophole was (in the old system) that once you went over, there really was no reason not to go WAY over.

12:18
Justin: Tyler Stephenson’s O Swing %, Z Contact %, Hard Hit %, among other metrics make me think this guy is on the brink of a major breakout. Is he the next C with serious offensive upside?

12:19
Kevin Goldstein: Not ready for an all caps YES or anything, but it’s in the right direction and worth considering.

12:19
Muser: Joey Gallo’s power went kaboom….anything to worry about? Hard to imagine a guy like him losing the long ball.

12:20
Kevin Goldstein: He’s only lost a tick of power. What’s happening is he’s pounding the ball into the ground and not getting fly balls. It’s concerning.

12:21
Rib: Is Nico Hoerner more or less an ideal version of Nick Madrigal, or vice versa?

12:21
Kevin Goldstein: Very different players.

12:22
YardGoat: Which minor league roster, as a whole, interests you most to watch in these first couple of months?

12:22
Kevin Goldstein: It’s not a roster as much as it’s much of the 2019 draft class finally getting going after a lost 2020.

12:23
Justin: Obviously nobody expects a 21 year old to have sterling command, but how concerned would/should a team be with what appears to be bad control numbers (4.1 BB/9) by Jack Leiter?  Would they likely just assume the control will improve and/or the strikeouts will make it worth it?

12:23
Kevin Goldstein: It should improve. It’s not a nightmare starting point or anything. He’s not going to suddenly be Mr. Precision, but it’s not some giant issue.

12:24
5 Run Homer: I don’t have a question I’m just a Blue Jays fan enjoying MVP candidate Vlad Jr

12:24
Kevin Goldstein: Non Blue Jays fans are enjoying it as well. At-bats are reaching must-watch level.

12:24
elGuapo: What are your thoughts on Dusty’s handling of the Houston rotation. MCCullers 111 pitches in a 6-0 game (would finish 9-0), Javier career high 107 in April. I know the pen isn’t great and the point is to win the games but are the Mark Prior flashbacks unwarranted?

12:25
Kevin Goldstein: They both pitched really well and didn’t have high stress innings so I’m not really concerned. Pitch counts aren’t everything. 102 pitches over five innings is rougher than 102 over seven.

12:26
Lance: What’s your assessment of Brandon Lowe’s slow start?

12:26
Kevin Goldstein: Even when good, the K rate was highly concerning….

12:26
Guest: Do you think there are some players who just can’t quite handle the pressure of being asked to perform in front of 40,000 fans and a bunch of television cameras, and who under-perform their MiLB stats or scouting report as a result? I’m fairly certain that whatever I’m most talented at, I’d wilt if asked to do it on national television.

12:26
Kevin Goldstein: Yes.

12:27
Guest: Should cards fans be worried about their big boppers in Arenado and Goldy?

12:28
Kevin Goldstein: I’m not prediction some kind of explosion from them, but I think a better way to look at it is that they’re right in the thick of things and they haven’t really gotten going offensively yet.

12:29
Chamaco: Following up your “not very long response,” when do you think Kelenic sees the majors?

12:29
Kevin Goldstein: I don’t know. Anyone not with the Mariners who says they know is being dishonest. Let’s see how he does now that we have games starting up.

12:30
Guest: Favorite not great player? Jon Jay is mine.

12:30
Kevin Goldstein: Chris Carter.

12:30
RichLather: What’s the upside of Hunter Brown, frontline starter?

12:30
Kevin Goldstein: That’s the upside if the command comes. The raw stuff is VERY HIGH quality.

12:31
Matt: if you were in the Rays front office and it was your call, when do you think you’d call up Franco?

12:31
Kevin Goldstein: It’s hard to say. Feels like they’ll look to move Adames this year to make room for him.

12:32
Tigers Fan: Which prep SS would you take an #3 for the Tigers?  Or would you take Rocker if he was available?

12:32
Kevin Goldstein: I’d lake Lawler if he was there.

12:32
Todd: Any explanation for the rash of injuries across the league so far?

12:32
Kevin Goldstein: 2020 . . .

12:32
Salty: Considering Lindor’s struggles and Tatis’ early season injury scare, will that affect the market for the other young, soon-to-be free agent shortstops like Story?

12:32
Kevin Goldstein: Unlikely.

12:33
Dallas Comegys: Will the current path to the lead job in MLB front offices continue to go thru the Ivy League and Commissioner’s office? I know Chris Young played but he also followed that path (Sam Fuld did not go thru Commissioner’s office but still is highly educated – Stanford/parents are professors at Dartmouth).

12:34
Kevin Goldstein: A. Great user name, I expect a question from Rod Strickland next. B. Yes, it’s going to continue that way.

12:34
Owen: Any hope for post hype Brendan Rodgers or Gavin Lux?

12:34
Kevin Goldstein: Not giving up on Lux yet, but was never a big believer in Rodgers. Again, I look at lot at approach and contact and Rodgers struggles in both categories.

12:35
blah: Who are the top new GM targets for the Colorado job, do you think? What unlikely orgs would would you try to mine for front office talent (beyond the usual yankees, dodgers, rays)?

12:35
Kevin Goldstein: There are tons. I think they need a house cleaning, but I’m not convinced they’ll just stay internal as they always have….

12:36
Mike: Any new draft dope? Is the top 10 starting to come together at this point?

12:36
Kevin Goldstein: Still more than two months to go, and still a lot of fluidity….

12:36
Brett: Time to cut bait on Kyle Tucker for fantasy purposes?

12:37
Kevin Goldstein: Not at all. He’s been exceptionally unlucky this year. I actually think he’s a good buy low guy, not that I understand fantasy baseball at all.

12:37
Guest: Mathew Liberatore thoughts? solid #2 potential?

12:37
Kevin Goldstein: Feels like more of 4 to me.

12:38
John Olerud’s Helmet: With league wide batting average continuing to drop could guys like Nick Madrigal become a new market inefficiency? Not saying you need an entire team of those types but could one or 2 in a lineup make a big difference?

12:39
Kevin Goldstein: Not really. Runs are runs and creating them in one way or another is not an inefficiency.

12:40
Guest: who has more pop – madrigal or JP crawford?

12:40
Kevin Goldstein: Crawford.

12:40
Sharps: we see lots of articles about what the biggest missing piece for teams on the field is (An ace! A power bat!) but do you think it would be possible to write something like that for front offices?

12:41
Kevin Goldstein: Not without REALLY knowing the internals.

12:42
Kevin: You wrongly said that Ben Affleck and Matt Damon don’t have any great movies. Argo not in your top 500 films of all time?

12:43
Kevin Goldstein: No. I watched the weird Gus Van Sant film Gerry last week, and Matt Damon was good in it. It’s not a great movie.

12:43
Tom: If you were the Brewers, would you send Hiura to the minors? He seems pretty lost these days….

12:43
Kevin Goldstein: I’d at least be discussing it…

12:43
Kevin: Movie rankings: Top 100 all time yes or no. Pulp Fiction. Matrix. No Country for Old Men. The Dark Knight. Inception. The Green Mile. Gigli.

12:44
Kevin Goldstein: Yes, No, ABSOLUTELY YES, No, No, No, No.

12:44
Kevin: If you could point to 1 thing that Fangraph fans, and fans in general misunderstand about todays game of baseball what would it be? And why?

12:44
Kevin Goldstein: How much makeup and human factors matter. Players are not strat-o-matic cards or just a series of grades like in video games.

12:45
Mugghead: I’m in a H2H points league and in the unenviable position of needing to start either Hendricks against the Dodgers or Lynch in his MLB debut? Who has more upside (or maybe less downside)?

12:45
Kevin Goldstein: Not crazy about either. Would feel safer with Hendricks.

12:45
zurzles: On the topic of “high stress innings” – I’ve seen a lot of analysts sort of blow off the impact of minor league innings on young pitchers’ arms on the basis that they’re “low stress innings.” I’ve never understood why pitchers who are fighting for promotions wouldn’t be throwing at 100%. Do FOs see minor league innings as less stressful?

12:45
Kevin Goldstein: They do not.

12:46
Fish: Are you disappointed that Kane County is no longer in the Midwest League?

12:46
Kevin Goldstein: Very. Beloit is only an hour from here. I’ll be fine.

12:46
EC: Do you think Mackenzie Gore needs to work through his supposed “yips” in the minors before he gets the call? Or is he up in the next couple months even if he’s struggling?

12:47
Kevin Goldstein: The way the Padres are going health wise might just force their hand.

12:48
Kevin Platinumstein: Chipotle or Falafel wrap for lunch?

12:48
Kevin Goldstein: We have leftovers here, but if those were my choices, Chipotle.

12:49
CFH: How come front offices don’t usually make trades until close to the deadline? It seems like a few teams are already pretty clearly out of it, and some contenders have holes – why not make trades in May?

12:49
Kevin Goldstein: Just fewer sellers and fewer desperate buyers so the market is understandably slower.

12:50
Scrapper: do players and owners care about the various aesthetic issues that drive many fans and media types crazy (ie too few balls in play, pace or play)?  Or do they just not care because these issues doesn’t seem to affect the bottom line much?

12:50
Kevin Goldstein: The latter. They’re just trying to win games and dealing with the reality in front of them.

12:50
Guest: Do you think the Yankees would draft a prep catcher (i.e. Joe Mack, Harry Ford) after taking 3 catchers in the top 2 rounds in the last 3 years?

12:51
Kevin Goldstein: Sure, if he’s the best player on the board at the time. Why not?

12:51
comish4lif: As an outsider who is a fan of the minor leagues and prospects, it seemed like MLB did a poor job handling the reorg of the minors. As someone with more insider insight, was it as bad as it seemed? Or maybe worse?

12:51
Kevin Goldstein: It was just exceptionally short-sighted.

12:51
Scrapper: Fill in the blanks:  80 games of Kris Bryant gets the Cubs __ top __ prospects in a mid-season trade.

12:52
Kevin Goldstein: Probably one headliner and then another piece or two with some kind of attractive qualities. Bryant has looked outstanding this year.

12:52
RH: Are you and Eric going to be covering Indy Ball guys at all this year?

12:53
Kevin Goldstein: I have games close. Not ruling it out as a fun piece or two, but not planning for ultra-intense coverage either.

12:53
Tyrone Corbin: Are the Cubs a bottom five team? I watch a lot of baseball and that combo of terrible pitching and inconsistent offense is really scary.

12:54
Kevin Goldstein: They’re tied for the fifth worst record in baseball . . . still, 12-16 doesn’t feel like a bottom five team. They’re below average, but not a disaster.

12:54
Daniel: So Ronald Acuna has halved his strikeout rate and stopped swinging at pitches outside the zone while taking his walks and hammering the ball when he does swing. It’s still early, but at what point should we feel comfortable declaring that he’s taken his game offensively to a new, terrifying level?

12:55
Kevin Goldstein: It’s certainly a real step forward.

12:55
Matt Damon: Matt. Damon.

12:55
Kevin Goldstein: Nope.

12:55
Scrapper: Without naming names, what is one thing that MLB front offices do that you just didn’t agree with?

12:56
Kevin Goldstein: Not put their best team on the field due to economic incentives not to.

12:56
elGuapo: JT Brubaker is slidering and FB commanding his way to a better K/BB ratio than Bieber, Woodruff and Greinke to name a few guys. It’s a small sample but did PIT find something here?

12:56
Kevin Goldstein: They have.

12:56
Kevin Smith: Dogma is one of the the greatest movies ever made. Don’t @ me.

12:57
Kevin Goldstein: C’mon, man. Why did your career go to crap after Clerks?

12:57
Leon: Did you have a chance to scout Pedro Leon? What are your thoughts of him long term

12:58
Kevin Goldstein: I did see him multiple times before and after the Astros signed him. The tools are incredible. Huge power, plus plus speed and a missile launcher for an arm. Might just be a 40-45 hit tool, though, so be patient.

12:58
free swinger: i understand walks are an important indicator of future offensive success, but why is that? why is it such an important skill?

12:58
Kevin Goldstein: It’s not walking as much as it’s chasing and swinging at pitches one can’t drive.

12:58
Frank: Could you see Lyon Richardson ending up the best pitcher out of him, Greene and Lodolo?

12:59
Kevin Goldstein: No, but that’s saying more about Greene/Lodolo than Richardson.

1:00
Ay Ay Ron: Is it just me, or does it seem like so many hitters are batting below the Mendoza line this year?

1:00
Kevin Goldstein: You haven’t noticed all the wailing and gnashing of teeth because batting average is down? It’s not just you.

1:00
Red Sox: I am curious about your take on Cashman. As a red sox fan, I think Cashman is the number 1 GM in baseball, a HOFer and the main reason the Sox have not dominated this millennium in terms of the AL east. But unlike the Rays, Dodgers, Astros, Red Sox, his proteges are not littered throughout baseball. Why not?

1:02
Kevin Goldstein: Yes. Cashman is HIGHLY underrated because of the finances of the Yankees. Just surviving that long in that market is an amazing accomplishment in and of itself. Yankees tend to keep and take care of their people, but plenty have gone onto other teams with mixed results.

1:02
Geoff: Do you have any idea why the Astros didn’t retain Tri-City as an affiliate of some sort? The stadium was in good shape, the attendance was always at or towards the top in the NYPL, and it was in a metro with about 800,000 people.

1:02
Kevin Goldstein: Love that place. Geography certainly played a role.

1:03
Kevin: More movies Top 100s (we are going to learn your weird movie pallet soon enough). Are these in your top 100 yes or no: Terminator (or T2). Titanic. Braveheart. Crash. Three Billboards. American Sniper. Hurt Locker. Any of the LOTR movies

1:03
Kevin Goldstein: All no.

1:05
Lance: Can Tyrone Taylor be a starting OF for the Brewers this year?  He’s been a prospect forever but he is outhitting everybody.

1:06
Kevin Goldstein: At the rate things are going in Milwaukee health wise, he might have to be. But seriously, I think he’s a good 4th outfielder, but he does have some underlying data that suggests he might be a bit more than that.

1:06
John Hot Rod Williams: Does Cleveland’s medium and long-term outlook seem as bleak to you as it’s starting to look?

1:06
Kevin Goldstein: Yeah. Sorry.

1:06
Kevin: Do you think McClanahan projects as a starter (or as much as anyone can be a starter on the Rays)? I know Eric had some concerns

1:07
Kevin Goldstein: I share those concerns, but I think it’s important to hit on your parenthetical. I become more optimistic if they’re only expecting four innings from him. Rays are weird.

1:07
jwr: what are the first three traits that you look for in a starting pitcher?

1:08
Kevin Goldstein: Command/pitch efficiency; depth of arsenal (platoon neutral), durability.

1:08
jwr: Would you hate any qualms going to a ballgame this summer (assuming you are vaccinated)?

1:09
Kevin Goldstein: I’d prefer an outdoor stadium and I’d wear a mask to be respectful of those around me, but I’d feel ok about it.

1:09
Devon: Huascar Ynoa??? Huascar Ynoa! Is this a real thing or are we expecting the league to adjust to him assuming he can’t consistently throw a viable third pitch?

1:09
Kevin Goldstein: I’ve always liked him, when I was with the Astros we tried to acquire him from both the Twins and the Braves.

1:09
Hank: Not a fan either, but Armageddon is a great Affleck movie

1:09
Kevin Goldstein: This is a typo of some kind, right?

1:10
Kevin: True or false: A major league hitter with a 50+ grade on the bat can hit the ball wherever he wants on the field on a 92 MPH fastball?

1:10
Kevin Goldstein: Wherever he wants? Demonstrably false.

1:11
jwr: What is your guess regarding what Baez and Bryant get in terms of total $ in their next contract?

1:11
Kevin Goldstein: Bryant will be in line for very big money. If it keeps up, I wonder if Baez might be best served by signing a one-year deal to re-establish value.

1:11
Genco: You’re not a Godfather hater, are you?

1:11
Kevin Goldstein: Of course not.

1:12
Nico: Is Freddy Peralta a legit starter with his 2-pitch mix and pitch count issues? Or is he always gonna be destined for that flex SP/MILP role.

1:12
Kevin Goldstein: Starter.

1:13
Jason: What are you enjoying most about your return to Fangraphs?

1:13
Kevin Goldstein: These chats are way up there. It’s great podcasting again. Working with the editorial team has been outstanding.

1:14
Jake: I’m thinking of buying MiLB.TV this year. Coverage is up to 90 teams which is good, but noticed the old FSL has only 1 team out of 10. Those are spring complexes owned by teams I believe. Am I crazy or is that completely unacceptable?

1:14
Kevin Goldstein: I mean, the FSL was not a fan league. Most teams had no broadcasts and many had attendances well under 1,000 so there was no reason to have a broadcast….

1:15
Kevin: Denzel top 100 (some of these must be on here). Top 100 all time y/n: John Q. Training Day. American Gangster. Malcom X. Philadelphia. Remember the Titans

1:15
Kevin Goldstein: Only Malcolm X.

1:15
Bragman: With Correa seemingly set to leave HOU, do you think a heavier and older Bregman (than the LSU SS version) can move over to be an everyday SS. I do not.

1:15
Kevin Goldstein: I do not.

1:15
Joe: What movie is on your top 100 that would not be on most?

1:15
Kevin Goldstein: Tempest?

1:16
Dallas Comegys: IF Jose Ramirez gets traded, can a Dodgers offer of Lux, Ruiz, plus prospects be realistically topped?

1:16
Kevin Goldstein: It can be.

1:16
Dodgerbleu: Saving Private Ryan? Good Will Hunting?

1:16
Kevin Goldstein: Two of the more overrated movies out there. Congrats.

1:17
Pete: Could you see Hector Yan being a dominant back of the bullpen guy?

1:17
Kevin Goldstein: I can see him becoming a good reliever, but your term feels a bit strong.

1:18
Evan: Time to worry about the Tigers pitchers (Skubal and Mize) or just growing pains?

1:18
Kevin Goldstein: Just growing pains for Mize, still deciding on Skubal……

1:19
Kevin: I am sorry KG fangraph chat readers. I tried to narrow things down on this guys (read weirdo) top 100 movie list but I am more confused than what I started. How can he put Pulp Fiction and No Country for Old Men in his top 100, but leave off Crash and Training Day. I thought he had an issue with big budget films but I just dont know anymore…

1:19
Kevin Goldstein: I’m an enigma, or I just guess a real weirdo . . .

1:19
CFH: What should we read into the Yankees keeping Jasson Dominguez in extended spring training, if anything?

1:20
Kevin Goldstein: That he’s 18 years old and doesn’t have a pro at-bat yet and that some fans are extremely impatient at times.

1:20
Stros: Starting Pitching Futures…Rank ’em.
Luis Garcia, Cristian Javier, Jose Urquidy, Bryan Abreu

1:21
Kevin Goldstein: Javier, Urquidy, Garcia, Abrue (he’s a reliever for me).

1:21
jd: fav tv show similar to midnight diner?

1:21
Kevin Goldstein: I can’t think of any, which is one of the things that makes Midnight Diner so wonderful.

1:22
Kevin: I know the obvious answer is no every player is different. Expanding beyond that, is there something inherit that all 18 year old Rookie ball players must learn (hitters or pitchers). Like can an org create a “manual” on instructing players or does each player need to be treated completely unique?

1:23
Kevin Goldstein: The best player development operations treat each player like the unique individual that they are. There is no one size fits all solution.

1:24
Jason: do you expect his broken finger to impact Framber Valdez’s season once he gets stretched out?

1:24
Kevin Goldstein: TBD, but probably not.

1:24
Danny Almonte: Thoughts on Kiner-Falefa? Has already surpassed his full-season projected WAR. Something new, lucky?

1:25
Kevin Goldstein: He’s been really good, but can I go on a rant about WAR? WAR is NOT a counting stat. If IKF goes 0-for-50, his WAR will go DOWN.

1:25
New MiLB: Will more prospects make the jump to the majors from AA or AA now? It seems more likely for pitchers to go up from AA.

1:26
Kevin Goldstein: Maybe. My question is how will teams deal with the smaller orgs and will veterans/insurance policies at AAA be more frequent/less frequent/the same as in the past.

1:26
Jonathan: Thoughts on Willie Calhoun rest of year?

1:26
Kevin Goldstein: I was just looking at him yesterday, and I’m encouraged.

1:27
The Stranger: When a team acquires a player, what do they do to help him transition to the new org and city? Are some teams better at it than others? Thinking about why some FAs underperform and others hit the ground running

1:27
Kevin Goldstein: Absolutely help in terms of housing and family stuff.

1:27
Jason: If a team’s upside is 80 wins, why should they be trying hard to win since it will cost the owners more money and hurt their draft position at the end of the season?

1:27
Kevin Goldstein: There are a lot of teams that think like this….

1:28
Guest: Is Chef a good movie?

1:28
Kevin Goldstein: It’s good. It’s not great, but sure, it’s good.

1:29
New MiLB: What’s the solution for avoiding the “mediocrity just costs money and draft positioning?” Greater share of the TV money based on your overall record?

1:30
Kevin Goldstein: It’s an idea. I do think the players are going to be focused on this kind of thing in the CBA talks.

1:30
Kevin Goldstein: Ok folks, that’s 90 minutes in the books. Thanks so much for all of the great questions and I’ll see you next week. Same time, same bat channel.





Kevin Goldstein is a National Writer at FanGraphs.

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tomerafan
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tomerafan

Scrapper: Without naming names, what is one thing that MLB front offices do that you just didn’t agree with?

Kevin Goldstein: Not put their best team on the field due to economic incentives not to.

Kevin – I’m curious whether you’re referring to “tanking,” 25-man roster service time manipulation, 40-man roster manipulation, or all of the above…

It seems to me like 40-man manipulation is starting to get just as bad as service time manipulation. Bobby Witt is clearly one of the best 40 players in the org but isn’t going to get added to the 40-man roster until he has to be, and that issue has to be cleared before he starts the service time clock. This was the issue back when people were upset that Pete Alonso wasn’t called up at the end of 2018… the Mets didn’t have a 40-man space available.

Anyway, there’s so much focus on pure service time manipulation… but isn’t the 40-man concept just as much of an inhibitor to teams just putting the best players on the field that give them the best chance to win?