Kiley McDaniel Chat – 1/16/19

12:18

Kiley McDaniel: Hello from ATL, just returned from Seattle and some delightful time with Eric and Meg including (huge shocker) great food and also Driveline Pro Day, which we’ll be writing up soon

12:18

Kiley McDaniel: Scout is wandering around the house trying to decide on which toy to play with while I’m at the computer

12:18

Andre: Does Kyle Wright or Ian Anderson have the stuff of a number one in the making?

12:19

Kiley McDaniel: We don’t see every #1 starter coming in advance, like Cliff Lee and maybe Jacob deGrom, but we see most of them coming (i.e. they were deemed to have ace upside before they did ace things). So, very unlikely for Wright/Anderson. Both have a chance to be a #2 but I would say #3 is what you’re realistically hoping for, which is a perennial 3 WAR player

12:21

Kiley McDaniel: If we say every pro pitcher has some non-zero chance of being an ace or every position player has some chance of putting up a 5 WAR season (call it 0.1%), Wright/Anderson are maybe 1-5%, so don’t plan on it, but they’re still elite in that they’re over 1% and that’s a very small population of pitchers.

12:21

Kiley McDaniel: And I’m eye-balling those numbers, but I think that rings true

12:21

Dale Sveum: A lot has been made of the growing gap between the amount of revenue the Yankees generate and the amount they put into payroll. Has the amount of money they spend on player development replaced some of the money they spend on payroll?

12:22

Kiley McDaniel: As far as I know, they spend pretty freely on infrastructure and I’m pretty sure they have the biggest international staff and are probably close to if not the biggest amateur/draft staff, so yes. If you mean they spend $20M more than everyone else, then pretty sure that’s a no.

12:23

MaineBall: Is there anything in the CBA that prevents teams from paying minor leaguers more money?

12:27

Kiley McDaniel: Not that I’m aware of. I think technically offering draftees a significantly higher salary would be against the “circumventing the bonus pools in any way we haven’t yet outlined.” That’s also in a contract that has no guaranteed money (can release at any time for no cost). Paying draftees six-year FA money (the highest salary in a minors-only deal is like $150k, more common high salary would be like $100k for Quad-A types with no MLB language) wouldn’t really change the bonuses much and just infuriate MLB and the other owners for moving the bar up when you didn’t have to.

12:27

Bodie : Toss Up: Sean Hjelle or Jake Wong? I’ll hang up and listen

12:28

Kiley McDaniel: Hjelle. He was 53 vs. Wong at 93 in the pre-draft rankings. https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2018-mlb-draft?sort=-1,1

12:29

Kiley McDaniel: If we haven’t gotten to your team yet, the year-end MILB rankings or the J2/draft ones are going to be the same grade we come up for the list like 85% of the time.

12:29

Wendall: How excited should Royals fans be about their young arms? Could Lynch, Kowar, Singer, De La Rosa, etc… accelerate the rebuild? Potential for a 2015 Mets type impact in 2020?

12:30

Kiley McDaniel: Early returns sound positive, but doesn’t seem like a rare, once every 5-10 years group of talent. But to have that months after the draft would mean the other 29 teams all drafted pretty poorly. You’re lucky to get one 1st rounder that was misjudged this quickly (like Nate Pearson the year before)

12:30

Kat: How do you resolve arguments about a player where the scouting says one thing and the stats another?

12:30

Kiley McDaniel: YELL LOUDER

12:32

Kiley McDaniel: Eric and I dig deeper and figure out which piece of info has more truth in it, either by calling more scouts or digging into the details of why their stats don’t agree with the reports. It’s normally pretty easy to figure out. We struggle with the guys where it’s soon after a big injury or lowly-drafted player with significantly different reports/stats than pre-draft and we’re trying to factor in things that we don’t know much about now but will know a lot more about in a few months. We’ll be quick to adjust up/down as it becomes clear early in the season and also flag that guy to be someone we try to see ourselves.

12:33

Omar: First time, long time; thanks for taking my question! As a Blue Jays fan I can’t help but feel like we wasted a pick on Griffin Conine because of his last name. He had S&M issues on PEDs and now won’t be on them post suspension. Talk me off the ledge.

12:33

Kiley McDaniel: lol ok well it’s one second round pick and most of those return nothing anyway

12:34

Kiley McDaniel: secondly Conine raked on the Cape and has plus raw power, so, no amazingly, no matter how much fans think so, no player gets drafted because of his last name…aside from the 30th round favor/doesn’t sign thing. That’s often about their name.

12:35

Kiley McDaniel: also I would argue that last name should matter some b/c that are genetic things (health, eyes, etc.) that appear to be passed down more often from former MLB players than from non-MLB players. It’s literally science, but not clear in how we understand that, but there’s a reason that Ken Griffey Sr’s son is WAY more likely to be good at specifically baseball than you or even another really good high school showcase circuit player.

12:36

Kiley McDaniel: And some of that may be instruction at an early age, exposure to the clubhouse, etc. but you aren’t getting that, so it is an unfair advantage they have

12:36

Periwinkle: Rays’ system overview coming up next. What do you guys think of Jesus Sanchez, is this the time for him to jump into the FV55 tier?

12:37

Kiley McDaniel: Rays list will be locked shortly, have a last call after I finish here. It’s super crazy long and there’s lots of fun pop up names that I’m pretty sure you won’t know because I didn’t know a lot of them until the last week.

12:37

Kiley McDaniel: Sanchez is tough because it all comes down to his approach

12:37

Kiley McDaniel: It could improve a good bit and lets him reach his upside of 6 hit/6 power, above D in RF

12:38

Kiley McDaniel: or it could stay about where it is and he’s Avisail Garcia…and he gets nontendered by the Rays and signs with the White Sox 5 years from now.

12:38

Kiley McDaniel: That’s a good example of the “tough to project, but it’s high variance so we’ll be quick to adjust when it looks like it’s turning up/down in-season” type of player

12:39

Dale: How would you rank the 2013 J2 class now. What order would you put Devers, Torres and Jimenez as they enter the 2019 season. Does the 2017 class have a chance to be as good as the 2013 class appears to be.

12:39

Kiley McDaniel: I have a project kinda like this coming up actually

12:43

Kiley McDaniel: For 2013 I made it (a couple months ago, but I think I’d stick with this):
1. Ozzie Albies
2. Gleyber Torres
3. Eloy Jimenez
4. Victor Robles
5. Rafael Devers
6. Luis Urias
7. Adonis Medina
8. Yandy Diaz
9. Micker Adolfo
10. Dinelson Lamet

12:43

Kiley McDaniel: Numbers 1, 2, 3, 5 and 9 were at the MLB J2 showcase, I believe it was the first one and I was on four of those five, but kinda tossed out Albies b/c he was so tiny (shrugs)

12:44

Kiley McDaniel:

Does this looking back at a J2 class sort of thing interest you as #content

Bro! (91.6% | 265 votes)
Nah (8.3% | 24 votes)

Total Votes: 289
12:46

Kiley McDaniel: And yes, that’s a very strong J2 class

12:46

Kiley McDaniel: For reference, 2017 includes

12:50

Kiley McDaniel: Wander Franco (TBR)
Shohei Ohtani (should he count?)
Luis Garcia (PHI)
Brayan Rocchio (CLE)
Kristian Robinson (ARI)
Ronny Mauricio (NYM)
Julio Rodriguez (SEA)
Everson Periera. among other Yankees candidates (NYY)
Antoni Flores (BOS)
George Valera (CLE)
Eric Pardinho (TOR)
Jelfry Marte (TBR)

sadly, Daniel Flores (C, BOS) may have been #3 on this list behind Ohtani/Franco if he hadn’t tragically died. Some truly insane tools, really fun to watch.

12:50

Kiley McDaniel: Those are all potential 50 or better FV guys in the next couple years, so that’s also very strong

12:51

Kiley McDaniel: there’s one more sleeper for TBR from that class that’s a 40 FV on their list

12:51

Jackson: Is it shady that the Padres are openly discussing trading Kluber with other teams even though he’s still an Indian?

12:52

Kiley McDaniel: Nope, pretty standard for the active GM types like Preller and Dipoto. CIN is flush at 3B (Suarez, who won’t move with Senzel and India on the way) and wants pitching but CLE is flush at IF for now, so they don’t really need what CIN may be selling, while so SDP sees an opportunity as they need 3B and Preller loves inserting himself into situations.

12:53

Kiley McDaniel: It’s really just like trading food at lunch, except it’s people and they’re all millionaries

12:53

Kiley McDaniel: (players and GMs, that is)

12:53

Freduardo Freeman: Seems like a lot of talk about the braves not being willing to sign a free agent attached to a qualifying offer because they don’t want to lose the draft pick. Wouldn’t a trade for madbum make sense? It would thin out their AAA pitching prospect pool while at the same time strengthening the mlb rotation AND(hopefully) put the braves in position to offer madbum a qualifying offer at the end of 2019. If he and josh Donaldson left after 1 season, the braves would at least be able to restock the farm.

12:54

Kiley McDaniel: Decent thought there. Could also get a stopgap RF (even Markakis) and mix with Riley and if its not working, then trade for someone in-season or even throw Camargo out there if he’s hitting. There’s still a lot of options outside of Harper/Pollock

12:55

LudeBurger: Oh Kiley you’re so fine, I would love your thoughts on the upside of Isaac Paredes, especially of his power? It was maybe depressed in the Florida State and Eastern leagues, but some of his underlying numbers (estimated FB distance) did not look too good either. I love the rest of his profile, but I am reticent about calling him a building block for the Tigers if he really lacks power. Thanks.

12:55

Kiley McDaniel: Numbers are very good and there’s some skills, but it is an aggressive approach and I wonder if he’s an early-peaking type of player due to a number of factors. Go check out Jose Tabata’s stats and you’ll see similarities.

12:56

Roger: The Rays have remained in on Realmuto, and Austin Meadows seems to fit the Marlins ask of a young, MLB ready left-handed OF. Does Avi Garcia make Meadows expendable or am I reading way too far into a $3.5M deal?

12:57

Kiley McDaniel: I think Avisail Garcia is a low-cost gamble on a guy with bonkers tools that could be a 4 WAR player for way less than those cost on the open market…and otherwise they’re out $3.5M which isn’t much even to TB

12:58

Dan: Are there any players who fit the Soto/Kiriloff category? As in they were highly regarded signings/draft picks but their prospect rankings have been hurt by an injury. If so, any capable a Soto/Kiriloff type of rise in the rankings by mid-summer? Not counting Robles.  Gracias!

12:58

Kiley McDaniel: Hmmm not an exact match but I would direct you to Drew Waters (CF, ATL) who was depressed a bit due to a terrible debut summer and being a 2nd round pick but if he keeps hitting he’ll move up and the tools are there.

12:59

Kiley McDaniel: And secondly, I noticed Vidal Brujan was a top searched player soon after I answered a question a few weeks ago about him being a top 25 overall prospect at some point in 2019. If you aren’t on that bandwagon GET ON NOW

1:00

Kiley McDaniel: Eric and I talk about Albies and Luis Urias and Nick Madrigal and say they’re the next little 2B that will be better than you think and it’s insane that we had like zero of these and now there’s a ton but…there’s another one.

1:00

Kiley McDaniel: and there’s one on the back end of the Rays list that their people think could be the next Brujan

1:00

Guest: What do you make out of the Mets infield situation? Do they trade Rosario, or does he rot on the bench?

1:01

Kiley McDaniel: Frazier-Rosario-Cano-Alonso, Lowrie/McNeil rotate all over IF and OF, trade Dom Smith

1:02

Kiley McDaniel: I think Lowrie is better than Frazier and I worry that McNeil won’t get used enough if the OF gets healthy or they try to keep Dom Smith, but that’s one injury/trade away from not being an issue

1:02

Kiley McDaniel: I think a non-contending team that’s in need of 1B should trade for Dominic Smith, btw

1:02

Syndergaardians of the Galaxy: Have you seen what Grandal said about why he turned down the Mets offer? Does it make sense to you? I’m not sure it makes sense to me. Seems like there’s something missing from this story.

1:03

Kiley McDaniel: I wondered that too. That raising the market for catchers a million or two in AAV was worth leaving $42M guaranteed on the table? Couldn’t you just give those guys some of your money? If that’s all that was behind it, the Union is doing some truly terrible brainwashing

1:04

Kiley McDaniel: I also wonder if Grandal was actually offered $60M guaranteed

1:04

Mupton: The artist formerly known as Bossman Junior is back!

1:04

Kiley McDaniel: I feel much better about this now, I won’t mess up his name

1:04

tacopocket: hey kiley.   i know the padres system is very good but they can’t really get away with asking for kluber (who has a team friendly contract if i remember correctly) with their top 5 prospects not in play, can they???

1:07

Kiley McDaniel: I think so? Maybe some combination of Margot/Franchy, Paddack/Lucchesi and some sub top-5 hitting prospects?

1:07

Kiley McDaniel: SDP has the bullets, but not clear they have the willingness and the types of pieces that CLE wants

1:12

Kiley McDaniel: So, ballparking it, Kluber is worth something like $60M ($40M/3 in salary, roughly 10 WAR/$100M over that period). Probably not a top 10-20 overall prospect on the table at the moment, so it’s more multiple top pieces.

1:13

Vern: More likely to make a big league impact this season: Shed Long or Nick Solak?

1:13

Kiley McDaniel: I like Solak more as a prospect but they’re pretty similar overall and both kinda blocked at the moment

1:13

Kiley McDaniel: similar in overall value, I mean

1:14

John Stamos: How long is this Rays list gonna be?

1:14

Kiley McDaniel: Like reports on over 50 players. SDP will be the only one close to that long

1:14

Kiley McDaniel: Not sure who will win that battle

1:14

Anthony: Murray’s a 45 on the board, but there’s obviously a ton more NFL risk now than there was a few months ago. Would most teams still treat him as a 45 if Oakland decided to cut bait and shopped him today?

1:15

Kiley McDaniel: He’s kinda untradable right now. His value is kinda zero but might be something real in a few months. Can’t see Oakland trading him anytime soon

1:16

Hinkie: 2 draft questions:   1.  If healthy, does Carter Stewart get picked higher or lower than where the Braves selected him (1-8) last June?   2.  You have Andrew Vaughn at #6 on The Board, but isn’t it more likely he doesn’t make the top 10 because of height (5’11”), position (1B) and the fact that he’s a RH hitter?

1:16

Kiley McDaniel: 1. I would guess lower, but right around there if he’s the same
2. He’s more likely to go higher than 6. look up his numbers. that’s the safest pick on the board

1:16

Cheese: Which is more likely. Kyle Dohy becomes Josh Hader or Spencer Howard becomes Aaron Nola?

1:17

Kiley McDaniel: 1. 1%
2. 6%

1:17

Quentin: With a lot of teams hiring away from Driveline do you see this creating rifts between player development and coaches similar to when the analytics were prioritized years ago?

1:17

Kiley McDaniel: The guy that gets to decide who is right is the one that hired the Driveline guy to a higher spot and more recently. Coaches that create conflict in that situation are very expendable.

1:18

Kiley McDaniel: There’s room to disagree and find solutions and whatnot, but antagonizing is not the way to win a battle like that

1:18

Kiley McDaniel: on either side, really

1:19

Tommy N.: If the Padres asked for Senzel and were offering up Paddack how much more would the Padres need to add to get Senzel?

1:19

Kiley McDaniel: Our asset value work says another mid-top 100 prospect

1:20

Lyle: Thoughts on Blast Motion? Worth an investment for my son heading into high school ball this year?

1:20

Kiley McDaniel: Reach out to Jason Ochart on twitter, he’s much more up on that than I am

1:20

Draymond: What percentage of amateur prospects would you say use PEDs?

1:21

Kiley McDaniel: Single digit %, maybe just 1-2%. There’s pockets where its happened a good bit in the past and I’d say it happens very rarely outside of those programs/levels. Scouts know where it’s more common than 1-2%.

1:21

Zion: How bad is the strike going to be once the CBA expires? What leverage do the players have after giving up so much last time around…

1:22

Kiley McDaniel: I mean…other than the games not happening?

1:22

Richarlison: If the opener becomes a thing for realzees will teams begin to incorporate that approach on the Player Development side?

1:23

Kiley McDaniel: Well it started w/TB as more of making the most of what they had…but I would bet some team does this in the next year or two

1:23

Evan Roberts: Is Pete Alonso just a right handed Luke Duda?

1:23

Kiley McDaniel: Better hitter

1:25

Kiley McDaniel: Duda put up 6.9 WAR in his controlled years, so not like that isn’t close to Alonso’s mean projection right now, but I’d guess Alonso hits the ground running sooner than Duda and the peak should be the same if not a bit higher

1:25

Uncle Mike: That Red Sox bullpen is disgusting. Are there any arms in the minors that can make an impact for them?

1:25

Kiley McDaniel: take it easy, Mike

1:26

Torii : Who was the better baseball prospect: Patty Mahomes or Thomas Brady? Thanks!

1:26

Kiley McDaniel: Mahomes

1:26

Ben Jammin: If his diminished velocity (89-91mph) is here to stay, can Alex Faedo even be an effect late-innings bullpen piece?

1:26

Kiley McDaniel: Sure

1:27

Victor: How would you compare the offensive upsides of 45+ FV guys Khalil Lee, Tirso Ornelas, and Shervyen Newton?

1:28

Kiley McDaniel: Newton is another guy that could be adjusted quickly in the season. I’ll likely see him in April. Lee is power corner guy that you hope gets to the contact, Ornelas is hit/raw power but hasn’t quite done it in games yet

1:28

Kiley McDaniel: offensively Ornelas is probably highest upside

1:29

Greg: Is there an MLB rule that mandates that front offices must fully disclose payroll info to the public? Sans the Braves, they’re not publically traded, so there isn’t any legal obligation. Seems like it could benefit teams like A’s/TB to hide how little they’re actually spending.

1:30

Kiley McDaniel: Well we know how much each player is making, so they can’t hide that much. And ATL is literally traded via a tracking stock symbol BATRA

1:30

M’s fan: Is Logan Gilbert a top 100 prospect if he regains his velocity?

1:30

Kiley McDaniel: Yes

1:31

Mike: Though it may be for naught, it was refreshing to see the MLB quickly apply some common sense to the Kyler Murray situation, and allow the A’s to offer him more $$. Conversely, what are the chances they will also grant the A’s a comp pick if he bolts for the NFL? Officially, they arent entitled to one, but seems like it would be more than reasonable to give them a comp pick. Situation is so unique that it wouldnt set a precedent

1:32

Kiley McDaniel: There will be no comp pick if he leaves. The A’s will be out some fraction of whatever money he keeps (1/7 of the $1.5M if he leaves now) and the opportunity cost of taking like Logan Gilbert or Travis Swaggerty or whomever

1:32

Kiley McDaniel: The risk of him leaving was baked in the decision to take the player

1:33

Kiley McDaniel: Also, it’s not a coincidence that MLB has underpaid coaches forever and once there competition via the SEC, they start paying more when they need to, to keep the talent. If Ohtani wanted to go to MLB or some other competing league with the same amount of money, MLB would’ve figured out a way to offer him more than their rules allowed.

1:34

Kiley McDaniel: But there’s no competition with almost anything that MLB or the 30 franchises do, so they can keep paying minor leaguers nothing, low level employees nothing, etc.

1:34

Kiley McDaniel: Now the NFL becomes a substitution for one player and all of a sudden the rules can be changed and MLB snaps into action

1:35

Kiley McDaniel: It’s sadly how things work and a bunch of billionaries in a pissing match over who can win the news cycle with Kyler as the prize

1:35

Pete: Do you think that the increase in popularity in your area of baseball expertise – prospects – is the main thrust behind the conversations of potential future labor stoppages? In other words, do you feel as though the increase in attention paid to farm systems and rebuilding, both by fans and front offices, is the main driver of the back-to-back slow off-seasons?

1:35

Kiley McDaniel: It’s a definite contributor

1:37

LScott: Could any of these 3 low-payroll teams be the surprise team for Machado:  Rays, Pirates, Orioles

1:37

Kiley McDaniel: lol no

1:37

Kyle: What are Nate Pearson’s reliever odds?

1:37

Kiley McDaniel: over 50% now

1:37

Kiley McDaniel: maybe 65%?

1:38

George: Was Bryce Harper a 70 FV as an amateur?

1:39

Kiley McDaniel: He was more 70 FV in the minors. I feel like generational talents in the draft are in the 65 FV range, which is still top 10 in the game

1:39

Kiley McDaniel: there isn’t even one 70 every year for us, so that means a JC kid is immediate #1 overall prospect and that feels heavy

1:40

Roger: How many proposals for a 3 team CIN SDG CLE trade have you gotten in the queue?  And which has been most reasonable?

1:40

Kiley McDaniel: A lot. Not many.

1:42

Jay: Olney said the White Sox offer to Machado is 7/$175M. What do you think the odds are he ends up signing for under $200M? Somebody has to top that right?

1:42

Kiley McDaniel: It’s really embarrassing to watch this and have the clubs/MLB think that we’re buying it

1:42

CNB: Casey Mize has as high of a ceiling as any SP and the probability of reaching something close to his ceiling isn’t terribly extreme, correct?

1:43

Kiley McDaniel: Eh he’s basically at his ceiling and it’s pretty high, maybe a #2. I think he’s the pitching version of Alonso in that he’ll probably be better years 0-3 than 4-6

1:43

Johnny : In what ways is your current job better than working for a team? And vice versa?

1:44

Kiley McDaniel: I get to wake up/sleep/travel when I want and work from home and have a dog and do special projects as I’m interested in them. Working for a team is cool b/c you get to be directly involved in signing players.

1:45

Mupton: Olney is reporting the WS offer to Machado is 7/175.  Prince Fielder beat that number 7 years ago.  These are crazy times we’re living in…

1:45

Mike: So far in this chat you’ve eluded to another Vidal Brujan in the Rays system and a 2017 J2 “sleeper” in the Rays system, currently 40 FV (there’s seemingly no such player). Are you referring to the same player? And, uh, who is it?

1:45

Kiley McDaniel: He’s not on the board now, but will be later this week

1:46

Billy Beane: Kiley, Kyler Murray’s got me thinking… What isn’t stop Matt Chapman (or someone like him) from holding out? He’s got pretty serious leverage over a team that can’t make the playoffs without him and players in other sports do it all the time. If a near superstar level player on a rookie contract just doesn’t show up, I feel like they would have more power than they usually show.

1:46

Kiley McDaniel: This happens more in football b/c of non guaranteed deals and the much higher risk of career threatening injury…and b/c of that there’s less extension chances. Chapman could get $30-40M right now if he wants

1:46

BoBa Chett: Kiley you came too Seattle and you didn’t even tell us. I am so upset.

1:47

down on da farm: Do you think Mason Denaburg has mid rotation upside?

1:47

Kiley McDaniel: Yep, another guy that could get a quick hook up to 50 FV in 2019

1:48

Dan: Favorite SEC players to watch this year?  Get to check out some college games in person.

1:48

Kiley McDaniel: You can always consult THE BOARD for an updated list but Arkansas/Florida/Vandy are always good bets for high draft prospects

1:48

Bort: The Blue Jays should offer Machado 10/250, right?

1:49

Kiley McDaniel: Like, almost every team should/could

1:49

Kiley McDaniel: that’s why this charade is so silly

1:49

Jay: Do you think George Valera is ready to handle full-season ball now? Cleveland is not typically aggressive with his age level and only a few guys his age come to mind as playing Low-A in their system as teenagers

1:49

Kiley McDaniel: We think so. Chance to turn into Kyle Tucker if it all goes right

1:50

Sir Nerdlington: Am I missing links to the player write-ups on THE BOARD?  That would be enormously helpful.

1:50

Kiley McDaniel: That will be coming, along with more goodies after the lists are done

1:50

Doug: How sad can someone be (Uncle Mike) with so much anger 3 months after a World Series Championship?

1:50

Kiley McDaniel: YEAH MIKE

1:50

Mike: Any ETA for the Yankees list?

1:51

Kiley McDaniel: BAL/NYY/TOR are coming up next, will be more a product of when the calls get finished and NYY will be tricky, so probably late next week or the week after

1:51

Andy: Tristen Casas or Grant Levine? Which one would you bank on being a ML 1st baseman worth stashing in a dynasty league?

1:51

Kiley McDaniel: Casas for now

1:51

Bearry: Tampa list coming this week?

1:51

Kiley McDaniel: Yes

1:51

Tony Schiavone: You don’t like my question?

1:52

Kiley McDaniel: Nope

1:52

Big Joe Mufferaw: Do we have another generational prospect coming in the next few years? intl, draft or cuba or japan?

1:53

Kiley McDaniel: 2019 J2 class looks strong up top, Draft has one real standout guy right now but not generational yet, Cuba is tapped except for when new 16 year olds pop up, Japan nothing Darvish/Ohtani level

1:53

Kiley McDaniel: So, 2019 J2 could qualify, otherwise it’s a no

1:53

Kiley McDaniel: TUring, you got the Rays sleeper correct

1:54

Jeff: Is Kyler Murray even any good?

1:54

Kiley McDaniel: watch this and you tell me

1:54

Kiley McDaniel: he hadn’t played in basically 3 years when he was doing this

1:54

Kiley McDaniel:

1:54

Touki Torch: Prime rib is a 50 steak, tops.  Ribeye is 80.

1:55

Kiley McDaniel: Don’t think I have those grades, but I tend to agree

1:55

Go Twins: When will all of the team lists be completed by, is there a target date/schedule?

1:55

Kiley McDaniel: February

1:55

MATT : BARNES

1:55

Kiley McDaniel: Oh, we’re almost there

1:55

Joe: Are we just at a point where we accept the fact that MLB teams are solely in it to make profits?

1:56

Kiley McDaniel: lol hate to ruin this for you but that’s always been true. more easy to tell now that a strike is probably coming and they’re a little tighter with the money

1:56

Kiley McDaniel: strike = more notgraphs style articles

1:56

Freddy: Which Cuban phenom would you target in a dynasty league: Malcom Nunez or Marco Luciano? TIA!

1:57

Kiley McDaniel: lol Nunez isn’t that good of a prospect right now and Luciano isn’t Cuban

1:57

Kiley McDaniel: but Luciano is a dude

1:57

Lou: So according to some, MLB is flush with more cash than ever and is underpaying their players and according to others, MLB is a dying sport because it only appeals to geriatric white men.  So are FOs sitting on their cash they are flush with because they foresee the death of MLB because all those geriatric white men will pass soon?

1:57

Argo: Is Jeff McNeil just a pig wearing lipstick?

1:57

AJ Preller: I’ll trade you this banana for the rest of your Snak Pak

1:58

Carson Cistulli: Kiley, do you miss me?

1:58

Sam Jackson: What’s in your wallet, m@th#rf$ck%r?

1:58

The Joker (from Batman): I’m the Joker from the Batman series! Discuss JB Bukauskas’ chances at cracking the bullpen next year or I’m going to DRINK OCEAN WATER

1:58

LudeBurger: oh Kiley you’re so fine you blow my mind, hey Kiley! hey hey, hey Kiley! hey hey

1:58

hello from SD: DAVE. CAMERON.

1:58

Matt Damon: MATT. DAMON.

1:58

Kiley McDaniel: You guys really brought it with the weird questions this week. See you again next time!

We hoped you liked reading Kiley McDaniel Chat – 1/16/19 by Kiley McDaniel!

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Kiley McDaniel has worked as an executive and scout, most recently for the Atlanta Braves, also for the New York Yankees, Baltimore Orioles and Pittsburgh Pirates. He's written for ESPN, Fox Sports and Baseball Prospectus. Follow him on twitter.

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Ben Hall
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Ben Hall

I’m not sure how important this is, but I think Kiley’s estimate on Kluber’s value is pretty far under. Steamer has him projected for 5 wins and ZiPS has him at 5.3 wins. Even assuming a standard half win decrease per year, that would be closer to 14 wins than 13, which would add more than $30 million to his value.