Let’s Makes Some Deadline Trades! (2025 Edition)

Erik Williams, Ron Chenoy, Brett Davis-Imagn Images

The trade deadline is nearing, and while we’ve had some recent activity — Josh Naylor is a Mariner! Ryan McMahon and Amed Rosario are Yankees! — the general environment can be best described as “peaceful.” If this is anything like past years, however, that’s about to change as teams face up to their Artificially Designed Roster Construction Deadline anxiety. And while we don’t know exactly what will happen — and if you do, you should probably use that time machine for purposes better fit to benefit humanity — it doesn’t mean that we can’t do some fantasy tradecrafting. As usual, I’ve conjured up some possible trade scenarios, trying to construct packages that are at least within the realm of plausibility. So get out your Hugwatch foam finger, read along, and maybe add your own ideas in the comments section!

For each player in the high minors or the major leagues, I’ve included their post-2025 projections while under contract — you can find their rest-of-2025 projections on their player pages.

The Philadelphia Phillies acquire 3B Eugenio Suárez from the Arizona Diamondbacks for OF Justin Crawford, P Jean Cabrera, and 1B Keaton Anthony

Alec Bohm is out with a fractured rib until at least mid-August, well after the trade deadline, but even after his eventual return, Eugenio Suárez represents a real short-term upgrade. Some thump is more than welcome, as the Phillies are currently 13th in the majors in homers, easily their lowest ranking since emerging as a legitimate contender in 2022. I’m skeptical about Suárez over the long haul given his age and up-and-down career path, but two months is a short sprint, and Philadelphia’s core isn’t getting any younger. Otto Kemp is a nice enough fill-in, but he’s more of a solid utility infielder, and is stretched as a starter.

Justin Crawford was one of the big movers in the ZiPS projections compared to the preseason, and I’m more bullish on him than the 40+ FV next to his name on The Board. Frankly, I like him enough that I would do this trade straight up if I were the Diamondbacks, but I think the Phillies, who have an aging core and still want that World Series trophy, would give up more than just Crawford. Jean Cabrera and Keaton Anthony are lesser prospects, of course, but they’re lesser prospects who are fairly close to contributing in the majors if they develop well, which I think ought to be a priority for Arizona, an organization that appears to be more interested in retooling than undergoing a full teardown.

ZiPS Projection – Justin Crawford
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .296 .343 .402 503 79 149 26 6 5 57 36 109 30 107 2.8
2027 .291 .340 .391 519 82 151 27 5 5 59 38 108 30 104 2.7
2028 .290 .342 .397 527 85 153 28 5 6 60 40 107 30 105 2.8
2029 .286 .339 .392 528 84 151 28 5 6 60 41 104 30 103 2.7
2030 .284 .339 .392 518 83 147 28 5 6 59 42 100 28 103 2.6
2031 .282 .338 .392 500 80 141 27 5 6 57 41 94 26 103 2.5

ZiPS Projection – Jean Cabrera
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 5 5 4.51 21 20 105.7 110 53 13 45 76 92 0.8
2027 5 5 4.28 20 19 103.0 103 49 11 41 75 97 1.0
2028 5 5 4.07 20 19 104.0 102 47 10 40 76 102 1.3
2029 5 5 4.02 20 19 103.0 100 46 10 38 75 103 1.4
2030 6 4 3.89 20 19 104.0 101 45 10 38 76 106 1.4
2031 5 5 3.91 19 18 101.3 98 44 9 37 73 106 1.4

ZiPS Projection – Keaton Anthony
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .260 .317 .361 415 41 108 25 1 5 51 29 93 0 89 0.2
2027 .263 .320 .370 419 42 110 25 1 6 52 30 93 0 92 0.4
2028 .262 .320 .370 416 42 109 25 1 6 52 30 91 0 92 0.4
2029 .261 .319 .366 306 30 80 18 1 4 38 22 66 0 91 0.2
2030 .264 .322 .373 220 22 58 13 1 3 28 16 48 0 94 0.2
2031 .253 .314 .351 154 15 39 9 0 2 19 11 33 0 85 0.0

The Chicago Cubs acquire P Nathan Eovaldi from the Texas Rangers for OF Owen Caissie and SS Cristian Hernandez

Giving up Owen Caissie is tough to swallow, as both ZiPS and I feel pretty confident that he will be a legit dude at the major league level (and I like Caissie more than ZiPS does). You don’t get real pitchers for free, however, and there just aren’t many good ones available. Nathan Eovaldi isn’t a short-term rental, and the Cubs are deep in bats. Chicago has an elite lineup “supported” by a questionable rotation; failing to get the best starter possible would be borderline malpractice. As a groundball-heavy pitcher, Eovaldi is a good fit on a team that has Nico Hoerner and Dansby Swanson on the middle infield.

Because of my love for Caissie and the fact that I’m also having the Cubs pick up the $59 million or so remaining on Eovaldi’s deal, I’m not inclined to add too much else to this package, which may cause Rangers fans to unfriend me (or at least, they would if I had any influence over the organization). Cristian Hernandez is pretty far down Chicago’s minor league pecking order, but he’s a solid defensive player, he’s fast, and he has a frame that seems like he could add some power as he develops. With Marcus Semien in decline and Corey Seager good for an IL stint seemingly every year, it would be useful for the Rangers to have another hedge or two for Sebastian Walcott. I would not, however, offer Moisés Ballesteros in addition to Caissie.

ZiPS Projection – Nathan Eovaldi
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 9 5 3.25 23 23 130.0 117 47 14 32 118 127 2.8
2027 8 5 3.51 21 21 118.0 113 46 14 31 102 118 2.2

ZiPS Projection – Owen Caissie
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .239 .321 .415 494 63 118 26 2 19 75 56 187 5 107 1.7
2027 .245 .329 .431 503 66 123 27 2 21 80 59 180 5 113 2.1
2028 .249 .334 .445 510 70 127 27 2 23 83 61 176 5 118 2.5
2029 .251 .336 .452 518 72 130 28 2 24 86 62 172 4 120 2.6
2030 .251 .338 .451 521 72 131 28 2 24 88 64 168 4 121 2.7
2031 .250 .337 .449 521 72 130 28 2 24 88 65 165 4 120 2.6

ZiPS Projection – Cristian Hernandez
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .216 .278 .316 500 55 108 26 3 6 49 41 146 25 68 0.0
2027 .223 .286 .329 511 59 114 27 3 7 53 43 141 25 74 0.5
2028 .226 .289 .333 514 60 116 28 3 7 55 44 136 24 76 0.7
2029 .230 .292 .341 405 48 93 23 2 6 44 35 103 18 79 0.7
2030 .235 .299 .349 344 42 81 20 2 5 38 30 84 15 83 0.8
2031 .238 .303 .358 302 38 72 17 2 5 34 27 73 12 86 0.8

The New York Mets acquire P Merrill Kelly from the Arizona Diamondbacks for P Blade Tidwell and 1B Ryan Clifford

There are some questions about Blade Tidwell’s command, but I think his upside makes him interesting enough to be worth acquiring in a Merrill Kelly trade. I’ve already given the Diamondbacks another outfielder, and I personally think the Mets should be leery about sending Jacob Reimer in a theoretical Kelly deal, but I think Ryan Clifford has enough promise to give Arizona a solid enough starting first baseman; Pavin Smith isn’t the definite solution there and feels more at home as the DH.

Kelly’s no superstar, but he’s one of the few Diamondbacks starters who is overachieving this season, and I think he shores up the Mets’ rotation for the homestretch.

ZiPS Projection – Ryan Clifford
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .213 .313 .398 488 55 104 25 1 21 72 67 175 3 97 0.6
2027 .220 .320 .413 501 59 110 26 1 23 78 70 170 3 103 1.1
2028 .226 .326 .424 509 62 115 27 1 24 82 72 165 3 107 1.6
2029 .235 .336 .445 515 65 121 28 1 26 86 75 160 3 116 2.2
2030 .238 .340 .446 522 67 124 29 1 26 88 78 157 2 117 2.4
2031 .238 .342 .445 526 67 125 29 1 26 89 80 155 2 117 2.4

ZiPS Projection – Blade Tidwell
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 8 7 4.20 25 20 113.7 110 53 13 51 100 99 1.2
2027 8 6 4.00 23 18 108.0 103 48 12 45 94 104 1.3
2028 7 6 3.91 22 17 106.0 99 46 11 43 93 106 1.5
2029 7 6 3.83 21 16 103.3 96 44 10 40 89 108 1.5
2030 8 5 3.82 21 16 103.7 96 44 10 40 89 108 1.5
2031 7 6 3.84 20 15 100.7 94 43 10 39 85 108 1.5

The Tampa Bay Rays acquire C Sean Murphy from the Atlanta Braves for 1B Xavier Isaac, OF Colton Ledbetter, and P Gary Gill Hill

Drake Baldwin has rendered Sean Murphy practically redundant, making the latter surprisingly tradeable for the Braves as they look towards the future. To that end, Atlanta has a bit of a shopping list: minor league pitching depth, a bat to replace Marcell Ozuna, who is a free agent at the end of the season, and a candidate to start in left field so that the Braves don’t have to leave the position open for auditions in the spring, as they have recently. Gary Gill Hill, Xavier Isaac, and possibly Colton Ledbetter may be able to meet those needs.

The Rays give up value, but they also keep their prizes; I’m not even considering sending Carson Williams in this swap. Murphy has proven he can still be a top-notch catcher and he’s a big upgrade for the Rays here. Picking up the very reasonable three years and $45 million left on Murphy’s contract would also allow the team’s new owners to give a hint that they won’t be quite as thrifty as the current regime without really spending a large amount of money.

ZiPS Projection – Sean Murphy
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .230 .320 .443 343 42 79 16 0 19 52 36 102 0 112 3.0
2027 .224 .313 .426 326 38 73 15 0 17 47 34 98 0 105 2.5
2028 .217 .308 .401 304 34 66 14 0 14 42 32 94 0 98 1.9

ZiPS Projection – Xavier Isaac
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .215 .313 .398 339 45 73 16 2 14 53 44 142 4 95 0.5
2027 .225 .322 .419 356 49 80 17 2 16 59 47 142 4 103 1.0
2028 .228 .326 .424 373 52 85 18 2 17 65 50 141 4 105 1.2
2029 .235 .334 .440 391 57 92 19 2 19 70 53 142 4 112 1.7
2030 .238 .339 .446 404 60 96 20 2 20 74 57 143 4 115 1.9
2031 .240 .342 .448 413 63 99 21 1 21 77 59 142 4 116 2.0

ZiPS Projection – Colton Ledbetter
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .237 .295 .366 435 55 103 21 4 9 57 33 150 18 81 0.7
2027 .242 .300 .376 442 58 107 21 4 10 60 34 145 19 86 0.9
2028 .244 .304 .382 442 60 108 22 3 11 62 35 140 19 88 1.1
2029 .246 .306 .383 407 55 100 20 3 10 58 33 125 17 89 1.0
2030 .248 .308 .394 371 51 92 18 3 10 53 30 112 15 92 1.1
2031 .245 .307 .388 330 45 81 16 2 9 47 27 99 13 91 0.9

ZiPS Projection – Gary Gill Hill
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 4 4 4.52 22 21 99.7 108 50 13 37 64 92 0.7
2027 4 4 4.19 22 21 103.0 107 48 12 37 65 99 1.1
2028 5 3 4.04 22 21 107.0 107 48 11 37 69 103 1.4
2029 5 4 3.89 22 21 108.7 106 47 10 36 70 106 1.6
2030 5 4 3.72 22 21 111.3 106 46 10 35 73 111 1.7
2031 5 4 3.65 22 21 111.0 104 45 9 34 74 114 1.8

The San Diego Padres acquire 1B/DH Ryan O’Hearn from the Baltimore Orioles for pitchers Bradgley Rodriguez, Bryan Balzer, and Jagger Haynes

Ryan O’Hearn is having a very nice season for the Orioles and has been a highlight for the team, one that I didn’t see coming at all when they purchased his contract from the Royals a few years ago. The fact remains, however, that he has little defensive value and hits free agency in two months. As such, I couldn’t in good faith give any top prospects to the Orioles; if J.D. Martinez didn’t land any back in 2017, I don’t think the Orioles are going to this year. What I did do is give the Orioles a couple arms in Bradgley Rodriguez and Jagger Haynes who could actually contribute over the next few seasons. Bryan Balzer is much farther away, but unless the Orioles decide to spend aggressively on pitching in free agency, which I doubt, they need to find other ways to get interesting arms into the system wherever they can.

ZiPS Projection – Bradgley Rodriguez
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 3 3 4.03 49 0 58.0 51 26 5 22 53 99 0.1
2027 3 3 3.84 51 0 61.0 52 26 5 21 57 104 0.3
2028 4 2 3.64 52 0 64.3 54 26 5 21 60 109 0.5
2029 4 2 3.44 53 0 65.3 53 25 5 21 61 115 0.6
2030 4 2 3.51 54 0 66.7 53 26 4 20 62 113 0.6
2031 4 2 3.39 54 0 66.3 53 25 4 20 62 117 0.7

ZiPS Projection – Jagger Haynes
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 3 6 5.25 22 21 96.0 101 56 13 57 70 76 -0.2
2027 4 4 4.86 22 21 96.3 97 52 11 52 72 82 0.3
2028 4 5 4.57 22 21 100.3 98 51 10 50 76 87 0.6
2029 4 5 4.34 22 21 101.7 97 49 10 47 78 92 0.9
2030 5 4 4.15 22 21 104.0 97 48 9 45 80 96 1.1
2031 5 4 4.08 22 21 103.7 96 47 9 43 81 97 1.2

The Toronto Blue Jays acquire P Edward Cabrera from the Miami Marlins for OF Alan Roden, 3B Orelvis Martinez, and OF Yohendrick Pinango

People mostly talk about Sandy Alcantara, but Edward Cabrera has quietly been Miami’s best starter this season. He has stayed healthy and has cut back on the walks, and both of his breaking pitches and his changeup are viable strike three offerings, set up with a fastball that still comfortably hits 97. There’s risk with Cabrera, certainly, but I think the Jays should be firmly in win-now mode. For their part, the Marlins are in sore need of anyone who can offer even a remote chance of providing their punchless lineup with something worthwhile in the future. I think Kyle Stowers is for real, but he needs some sidekicks. Alan Roden can hit, but it’s hard for Toronto to give him too much rope given the pennant race, and Orelvis Martinez’s poor 2025 is practically screaming “change of scenery candidate.” You might see including Yohendrick Pinango as gilding the lily, but given that the Jays get to keep Cabrera well past this season, I think it’s fair to add him to the trade.

ZiPS Projection – Edward Cabrera
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2026 6 6 3.93 26 25 126.0 106 55 16 51 125 106 1.7
2027 6 5 3.94 25 24 118.7 100 52 15 47 115 106 1.6
2028 6 5 3.96 23 22 113.7 98 50 14 43 107 105 1.5

ZiPS Projection – Alan Roden
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .266 .347 .399 414 60 110 22 3 9 52 41 72 7 105 1.4
2027 .266 .349 .400 413 60 110 22 3 9 52 42 70 7 105 1.5
2028 .267 .349 .402 408 59 109 22 3 9 51 41 68 6 106 1.5
2029 .263 .346 .394 396 57 104 21 2 9 49 40 65 6 103 1.2
2030 .261 .343 .388 376 53 98 20 2 8 46 38 62 5 101 1.0
2031 .257 .338 .382 346 48 89 18 2 7 42 34 57 5 98 0.8

ZiPS Projection – Orelvis Martinez
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .200 .269 .374 439 49 88 20 1 18 57 36 140 1 74 -0.5
2027 .209 .277 .395 446 52 93 21 1 20 61 37 136 1 82 0.0
2028 .213 .282 .401 446 53 95 22 1 20 62 38 132 1 85 0.2
2029 .217 .287 .412 405 49 88 20 1 19 57 35 116 1 89 0.4
2030 .220 .291 .412 369 45 81 18 1 17 52 33 104 1 91 0.5
2031 .222 .292 .413 334 40 74 17 1 15 47 30 93 1 91 0.4

ZiPS Projection – Yohendrick Pinango
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .235 .311 .372 476 49 112 23 3 12 54 50 119 6 87 0.2
2027 .241 .318 .390 490 52 118 25 3 14 59 53 119 6 93 0.6
2028 .245 .323 .400 497 55 122 26 3 15 62 55 116 6 98 0.9
2029 .251 .328 .412 478 54 120 26 3 15 61 53 108 6 102 1.1
2030 .251 .329 .410 463 53 116 25 2 15 60 52 102 5 102 1.0
2031 .254 .332 .420 448 51 114 25 2 15 58 50 97 5 105 1.2

The Cleveland Guardians acquire IF Shay Whitcomb from the Houston Astros for 1B Ralphy Velazquez

If you’re looking for the next Addison Barger, I think Shay Whitcomb is a good candidate. Much like Barger was, Whitcomb is an older, fringy infield prospect who stat people like a lot more than scouts, and he has real upside in the right situation. Still, the Astros appear to have basically no interest in Whitcomb; when he’s been up in the majors, he’s been limited to a combination of pinch-hitting, pinch-running, and late-inning defensive work, with only scattered starts at third. If simultaneous injuries to Isaac Paredes and Jeremy Peña can’t get him an extended audition in Houston, I don’t see what would.

The Astros have struggled at first base since age caught up with Yuli Gurriel, and both of the name brand free agents brought in as solutions since — José Abreu and Christian Walker — have kinda splatted in Houston. I don’t think Cleveland would part with C.J. Kayfus for Whitcomb, but Ralphy Velazquez is more speculative; he’s still in the low minors, with promising tools and decidedly mixed results. Even if Walker bounces back, he’s only signed through 2027, so Velazquez developing into a big leaguer is unlikely to cause any kind of position controversy.

ZiPS Projection – Shay Whitcomb
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2026 .226 .285 .402 470 63 106 18 1 21 69 34 153 11 98 2.2
2027 .230 .290 .411 460 63 106 18 1 21 68 34 146 10 102 2.4
2028 .232 .292 .411 448 61 104 18 1 20 66 33 140 9 102 2.3
2029 .232 .292 .408 431 59 100 17 1 19 63 32 133 8 102 2.1
2030 .231 .291 .401 411 54 95 17 1 17 58 31 126 7 100 1.8
2031 .227 .289 .385 387 50 88 16 0 15 53 30 120 6 95 1.4





Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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username098
7 hours ago

Why would the Rangers sell Eovaldi when they’re tied for the third wild card and have the 2nd best run differential in the AL?

section144Member since 2025
6 hours ago
Reply to  Dan Szymborski

Not feeling the Keller/Caissie vibes?