Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALCS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Guardians play the Rays! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.
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soddingjunkmail
The response (as of this writing) to the 2nd poll is peak Cleveland.
6/6 respondents want Cleveland to win but only 1/6 believe it will happen.
Sean Dolinar
Hello everyone! We got a few polls for you. The likability ranking from last night, we'll let that ride for at least another day. Then we have the standard who ya got for the game and the SP poll.
Phil
I've been thinking about possible ranked polls. If there's an all-midwest WS you'll definitely need some food polls and they will have to feature cheese curds (does Tampa have a cuisine?). I'm also mulling over one on the poignancy of loser heroics–Randy Arozarena, Rajai Davis, Carlton Fisk. I know there are other good ones I'm forgetting.
Matt Martell
Bob Gibson in the 1968 World Series is the all-timer
Phil
Yes, absolutely.
Matt Martell
Also Chase Utley in 2009
lzfreak
Any word on if Caminero and DeLuca are banged up at all after the collision yesterday? Looks like both are good to play at least which is a good sign
Jon Becker
Caminero just got the wind knocked out of him, DeLuca was fine
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Who else is doing Star Wars Legos during the game?!? I assume the answer is just me.
Sean Dolinar
What are you making?
Keaton Arneson
My son kind of wrecked the AT-AT Walker so I'm rebuilding it. I just got the Tantive IV in the mail yesterday
Benny The Jet
Every time I see the Billy Bob Thornton commercial I think the cops are coming for the crazy guy who keeps bothering people trying to relax in the massage chairs by presuming they want to hear about T-Mobile
Sean Dolinar
Jon, what do you think about this camera angle? For the pitcher-batter matchup?
Keaton Arneson
Didn't Tropicana have an almost perfect straight on angle before the hurricane? I could be wrong. Maybe I need to replay MLB the Show for the answer.
Jon Becker
Pretty good but it's perfect in the regular season, yeah
bosoxforlife
I have a strange question for the group after watching Diaz lope down the line. Should a player go hard on such an easy play and risk a hammy or give himself up?
Phil
Depends on the state of his hammies going in. I was OK with Willson Contreras taking it easy when it came up with him–he was clearly hurt, and he's not in the lineup to get infield hits.
lzfreak
I remember Tony La Russa taking a lot of heat in Chicago when he told his players not to hustle on routine plays. Then they fired him and the next season the 3 best White Sox players all got hurt running the bases in April. Sometimes you just can't win
bosoxforlife
I lean to the don't risk injury side.
Benny The Jet
What was that commercial!
drplantwrench
i feel like dodgers sorta have to play shohei at this point, whats there to lose
Rollie's Mustache
Well this is a bad challenge.
ncphl
Good thing they get two
bosoxforlife
The replay coach needs a pair of glasses.
Dan Szymborski
G'evening
lzfreak
Messick only retired one batter that inning but still faced the minimum
Phil
Dan, obviously there's a long way to go in the NLCS. But from what we've seen so far, do you think projection systems need better ways of accounting for players not on the IL but playing hurt? I feel like all of them, not ZiPS particularly, have been projecting LA at their best and not as they are.
ncphl
A rare Walls hit!
Dan Szymborski
Phil, it would definitely hurt, but the problem is the actual data itself.
Dan Szymborski
I've always wondered if there's something that can be done here, such as sudden change in playing time over a seven-day-period, but I haven't really dug into it
Dan Szymborski
errr, it woudl definitely HELP
drplantwrench
how would you even predict injury?
Phil
Yeah, I recognize that reliable data is a huge problem. You don't want ZiPS scouring the papers.
Dan Szymborski
Maybe some day AI can figure that out, but that day is not now!
Philedited
The problem is that both players and teams lie. I don't know that AI will ever get to the point where it can see through an obvious lie. Our greatest advantage over the machines!
bosoxforlife
I just checked Eric's 2023 Guardians prospect list and a remarkable 14 players on that list are on the roster today. The Rays have only 4 from that year.
Phil
RosterResource has CLE second to STIL in number of homegrown players.
Phil
Rays dead last.
Dan Szymborski
Oooh, I should check my 2023 Guardians prospects
Dan Szymborski
From ZiPS Top 200
Bo Naylor
Brayan Rocchio
Logan Allen
Tanner Bibee
Gavin Williams
Daniel Espino
Angel Martinez
George Valera
Juan Brito
Gabriel Arias
Tyler Freeman
Sean Dolinar
That’s an impressive list.
lzfreak
Lotta double plays already
Sean Dolinar
This won’t be one though
coldbagel12
Messick doesn't look as sharp as he usually does. The double plays are bailing him out.
lzfreak
First to third on an infield hit!
Dan Szymborski
That seemed fast even for Simpson
lzfreak
Yeah as soon as that bounce went way up he hit another gear
Dan Szymborski
It looked like he ran through first by liek 50 feet too
comradeyurika
Ramirez not having a good inning
Sean Dolinar
Bucknered
Sean Dolinar
Bucknered
Matt Martell
Oh my – rough two plays for J-Ram
lzfreak
It's the green glove
Dan Szymborski
Buckner's wasn't hit as hard!
Nick Smith
I'm seeing double, 4 Seans!
Sean Dolinar
4? Did the message send 4 times?
Nick Smith
Simpsons reference.
Sean Dolinar
lol, scared me that something was more wrong than just client sending twice.
Benny The Jet
Yikes
lzfreakedited
I wonder if Tyler Wells ever takes an at bat for Taylor Walls just to see if anyone is paying attention
bosoxforlife
The ball Ramirez failed to come up with hit the edge of the infield grass and stayed down. It is impossible to foresee that and it is more like bad luck, but still an error, than anything else.
Dan Szymborski
The Megan Fox commercial leaves it kind of ambiguous if she's trying to sell us the drug or she's actually the drug
Dan Szymborski
J-Ram kinda has to wonder how come that's an error and the other 750 bloopers not by the Yankees are hits
Jon Becker
Oh hell yeah Junior
Jon Becker
☝️😏☝️
Dan Szymborski
I liked the competent inelegance of the Caminero catch as he kinda just threw his body in the general direction as a reaction and then caught it
Benny The Jet
"That first pitch to Jo Adell was the fastest pitch of Freddy Peralta's career, including playoffs, at 99.4 mph" via the great Sarah Langs
Dan Szymborski
I don't know how Sarah does it, she's way faster and more productive than 99% of us that don't need health aids.
bosoxforlife
Fastball Freddy's heater is the definition of carry.
Nick Smith
Hot take: HBPs shouldn't count if it hits your armor.
asf123
I had the same thought, but I don’t think we want to incentivize “Wear it!” culture more.
bosoxforlife
Don Baylor used to make no effort to avoid being hit by the pitch. Of course he was made of concrete.
asf123
It’s at the point now where Little League kids are being pressured not to get out of the way.
Nick Smith
That's fair.
asf123
Jeez. Yet another inane challenge.
Dan Szymborski
I was always told to not get out of the way in Little League tand that was 35-40 years ago
asf123edited
Your coach was a sociopath ahead of his time!
Sean Dolinar
I looked away for a second and not sure why you'd waste a challenge on that. At least it's not the first 3 innings.
Dan Szymborski
And I didn't. I was an overcompetitive kid. I would lose my s%#@ about the mercy rule even if we were on the bad side of it
BigHurtBeer
Fastball Freddie really needed to get away from the Mets. Put a bow on that performance.
jcathtraverse
Where on earth did Petey Halpin come from? I've now watched a game and a half with him in the starting lineup, and I still have no idea who he is.
asf123
San Mateo, CA, sez here.
asf123
Man, they’ve really doubled down on that Sydney Sweeney ad.
Nick Smithedited
I almost feel bad for her. It's like she blew her Euphoria money on ice sculpting lessons or something.
Sean Dolinar
That sounds like investing in herself.
lzfreak
Oof that's the shortstop's ball
Sean Dolinar
We had Messick and Peralta going 5 IP for the median, and almost 5 IP for the mean. We were spot on for Messick. And short for Peralta.
asf123
Wow, a pinch hitter without a mound visit? How often does that happen? It’s almost like they knew Palacios was on the roster before the game!
Dan Szymborski
Guardians bats gotta do better than pop on toast
Pedantic A-hole
This is a good series for undersized sluggers. Palacios , Mesa Jr., Hicks, and of course the great J-Ram
Dan Szymborski
not so great for J-Ram's D!
Dan Szymborski
Arby's commercials always make me a little sad because I'm reminded of my cat Galileo
asf123edited
I saw your story about Galileo and Arby’s in a chat recently. It made me smile, surprised to know that Arby’s has done some small bit of good in this world. I’m glad you have those memories.
asf123
I was saying how there’s no way Hicks should be starting against a lefty, but SSS >>> my brain.
bosoxforlife
The Guardians started Hedges at catcher so they could use Bailey as a PH. I hope that sounds as ridiculous to others as it does to me as I write it.
Nick Smith
Gotta keep the other team thinking. Zag when they expect you to zig, etc.
lzfreak
It's amazing how often in recent postseasons Vogt has had Hedges at bat in extremely high leverage situations. Now he has competition for that spot!
Dan Szymborski
"I put my hand on the stove because it feels so amazing when I take it off!"
Phil
Was that punitive for heading to first early?
Dan Szymborski
He LOOOOVED Arby's. I couldn't eat Arby's for a year after he died. I mean, he was 20, so he was a really old cat, but still miss the guy because he was the cat who was invariably around me when I was working, including all ZiPS work from origin to 2019.
coldbagel12
Vogt has been having Hedges and Bailey pinch hit for each other all year. Drives me up a wall
asf123
Gotta think of it as more of a catcher funging than pinch hitting, I guess.
coldbagel12
Yeah, that's how he uses it. I just wish he'd pinch hit someone else then make a defensive sub. Although it's not like there's a slugger on the bench.
Dan Szymborski
I was gonna dispute the factoid, but I didn't realize that Kwan was THAT good total in the second half. 155 wRC+
lzfreak
You are allowed to pinch hit with a non catcher though
Dan Szymborski
I mean, he turned it on, but I didn't see the number
Dan Szymborski
I like when they mention Booser, because it's always in a situation where saying boozer sounds funny
Dan Szymborski
THERE'S A BOOSER GETTING WARMED UP
asf123
He’s actually a recovering alcoholic.
Dan Szymborski
OH geez, I didn't know that
asf123
True story.
Dan Szymborski
Not a convenient name to have
asf123
I know, right?
Dan Szymborski
My dad drank himself to death, but he didn't have an ironic name.
Nick Smith
How would you explain changing it, though?
Dan Szymborski
"Call a lawyer?"
asf123
I just read an article about him the other day. He was out of baseball when he was 27 due to injuries, which led to depression and addiction. But he made it back. So, major hat tip.
Dan Szymborski
Seems like it's a story i should have remembered. Good story
asf123
I mean, these days there’s always a chance that the article was a total AI fake, but it seems unlikely that a fake article about a Rays reliever would be real high on anyone’s AI priority list.
bosoxforlife
Not the matchup Cash would want here.
Dan Szymborski
Man, Adell looked horrible on that changeup
Matt Martell
I want to see another Jo Adell triple
Dan Szymborski
That was not a good at bat for Adell
Matt Martell
Yes, I'm still here – just went down a deep rabbit hole looking for the best World Series performances from players on losing teams
jj1986
Lenny Dykstra was tearing it up in 1993
Matt Martell
Yes, Dykstra is on the list
Matt Martell
A 6-inning rabbit hole
Phil
Sorry if I sent you down it! But I'd be curious to see the answer. Wondering about CWPA, too.
Matt Martell
Send it as a mailbag question!
Nick Smith
Yikes! Terrible bunt.
bosoxforlife
I mentioned that I watched him several times in Worcester and thought nothing of it. He was just an old never-will-be. Perusing his history shows he did not appear in organized ball between his 26-28 year old years.
lzfreak
Armstrong is a good name for a pitcher
Rich Hill's Fastball
Certainly better than Flimsyelbow
lzfreak
The Twins used to have a starter named Kevin Slowey
asf123
And the guy actually named Tommy John ended up having to have Tommy John surgery. How ironic is that?
Dan Szymborski
Don't get me started on Lou Gehrig!
lzfreak
Cy Young never won a Cy Young award
Nick Smithedited
I hate to break it to you about Bill Goodenough.
asf123edited
In retrospect, it seems inevitable.
Keith
Why wasn’t Kwan sent home on the double? I thought he was fast.
bosoxforlife
I couldn't believe he wasn't sent. I guess the 3rd base coach was afraid of him being thrown out in the 1 in 10 chance that might have happened. I hate 3rd base scared 3rd base coaches as you might have ascertained.
asf123
Will there ever come a point at which people decide they’ve had their fill of Day-O, “boom boom boom and let me hear you say hey-o” and “Everybody clap your hands!”? Can we poll that?
jcathtraverse
I much prefer "everybody clap your hands" to the relatively recent alternative "I can make your hands clap"
lzfreak
Yeah I don't love a disembodied voice bragging about how he has control over my body
asf123
Rotten potato, rotten potahto.
Solitaire
Jeff Sullivan once live-blogged a Mariners game which included a post "everybody clap your hands clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap" and I will never not laugh about that now
Sean Dolinar
We’ll do a stadium chant poll tomor
asf123
The “free mound visit for a pinch hitter” rule is such a farce.
asf123
“Gotta give the pitcher the scouting report,” my ass.
Dan Szymborski
I'm grumpy and never ever participate in fan things, even as a kid
Phil
One of my earliest memoried is my older brothrr explaining why the wave is stupid.
asf123
I just genuinely don’t get why people apparently like the same five sound bites over and over and over and over again for years on end.
bosoxforlife
Another of life's imponderables. How did Bryan Baker morph into Mariano Rivera?
Phil
That's just Ray Magic.
lzfreak
You should see what they did with the Butcher and the candlestick maker
asf123
Patrick Bailey, pinch hitter, folks.
lzfreak
Mesa is entertaining even on the routine plays
Rich Hill's Fastball
Ballgame
bosoxforlife
See ya' all tomorrow.
Rich Hill's Fastball
Excited to suffer through a Snell start?
Phil
Good night, all.
Dan Szymborski
I would go see a band called Bryan Baker's Primal Scream, though the actual band might be unhappy