Author Archive: Sean Dolinar

Members-Only Game Thread: ALCS – Oct 13, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALCS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Guardians play the Rays! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

The response (as of this writing) to the 2nd poll is peak Cleveland.
6/6 respondents want Cleveland to win but only 1/6 believe it will happen.

Hello everyone! We got a few polls for you. The likability ranking from last night, we'll let that ride for at least another day. Then we have the standard who ya got for the game and the SP poll.

I've been thinking about possible ranked polls. If there's an all-midwest WS you'll definitely need some food polls and they will have to feature cheese curds (does Tampa have a cuisine?). I'm also mulling over one on the poignancy of loser heroics–Randy Arozarena, Rajai Davis, Carlton Fisk. I know there are other good ones I'm forgetting.

Bob Gibson in the 1968 World Series is the all-timer

Yes, absolutely.

Also Chase Utley in 2009

Any word on if Caminero and DeLuca are banged up at all after the collision yesterday? Looks like both are good to play at least which is a good sign

Caminero just got the wind knocked out of him, DeLuca was fine

Hi everyone!

Who else is doing Star Wars Legos during the game?!? I assume the answer is just me.

What are you making?

My son kind of wrecked the AT-AT Walker so I'm rebuilding it. I just got the Tantive IV in the mail yesterday

Every time I see the Billy Bob Thornton commercial I think the cops are coming for the crazy guy who keeps bothering people trying to relax in the massage chairs by presuming they want to hear about T-Mobile

Jon, what do you think about this camera angle? For the pitcher-batter matchup?

Didn't Tropicana have an almost perfect straight on angle before the hurricane? I could be wrong. Maybe I need to replay MLB the Show for the answer.

Pretty good but it's perfect in the regular season, yeah

I have a strange question for the group after watching Diaz lope down the line. Should a player go hard on such an easy play and risk a hammy or give himself up?

Depends on the state of his hammies going in. I was OK with Willson Contreras taking it easy when it came up with him–he was clearly hurt, and he's not in the lineup to get infield hits.

I remember Tony La Russa taking a lot of heat in Chicago when he told his players not to hustle on routine plays. Then they fired him and the next season the 3 best White Sox players all got hurt running the bases in April. Sometimes you just can't win

I lean to the don't risk injury side.

What was that commercial!

i feel like dodgers sorta have to play shohei at this point, whats there to lose

Well this is a bad challenge.

Good thing they get two

The replay coach needs a pair of glasses.

G'evening

Messick only retired one batter that inning but still faced the minimum

Dan, obviously there's a long way to go in the NLCS. But from what we've seen so far, do you think projection systems need better ways of accounting for players not on the IL but playing hurt? I feel like all of them, not ZiPS particularly, have been projecting LA at their best and not as they are.

A rare Walls hit!

Phil, it would definitely hurt, but the problem is the actual data itself.

I've always wondered if there's something that can be done here, such as sudden change in playing time over a seven-day-period, but I haven't really dug into it

errr, it woudl definitely HELP

how would you even predict injury?

Yeah, I recognize that reliable data is a huge problem. You don't want ZiPS scouring the papers.

Maybe some day AI can figure that out, but that day is not now!

The problem is that both players and teams lie. I don't know that AI will ever get to the point where it can see through an obvious lie. Our greatest advantage over the machines!

I just checked Eric's 2023 Guardians prospect list and a remarkable 14 players on that list are on the roster today. The Rays have only 4 from that year.

RosterResource has CLE second to STIL in number of homegrown players.

Rays dead last.

Oooh, I should check my 2023 Guardians prospects

From ZiPS Top 200

Bo Naylor
Brayan Rocchio
Logan Allen
Tanner Bibee
Gavin Williams
Daniel Espino
Angel Martinez
George Valera
Juan Brito
Gabriel Arias
Tyler Freeman

That’s an impressive list.

Lotta double plays already

This won’t be one though

Messick doesn't look as sharp as he usually does. The double plays are bailing him out.

First to third on an infield hit!

That seemed fast even for Simpson

Yeah as soon as that bounce went way up he hit another gear

It looked like he ran through first by liek 50 feet too

Ramirez not having a good inning

Bucknered

Bucknered

Oh my – rough two plays for J-Ram

It's the green glove

Buckner's wasn't hit as hard!

I'm seeing double, 4 Seans!

4? Did the message send 4 times?

Simpsons reference.

lol, scared me that something was more wrong than just client sending twice.

Yikes

I wonder if Tyler Wells ever takes an at bat for Taylor Walls just to see if anyone is paying attention

The ball Ramirez failed to come up with hit the edge of the infield grass and stayed down. It is impossible to foresee that and it is more like bad luck, but still an error, than anything else.

The Megan Fox commercial leaves it kind of ambiguous if she's trying to sell us the drug or she's actually the drug

J-Ram kinda has to wonder how come that's an error and the other 750 bloopers not by the Yankees are hits

Oh hell yeah Junior

☝️😏☝️

I liked the competent inelegance of the Caminero catch as he kinda just threw his body in the general direction as a reaction and then caught it

"That first pitch to Jo Adell was the fastest pitch of Freddy Peralta's career, including playoffs, at 99.4 mph" via the great Sarah Langs

I don't know how Sarah does it, she's way faster and more productive than 99% of us that don't need health aids.

Fastball Freddy's heater is the definition of carry.

Hot take: HBPs shouldn't count if it hits your armor.

I had the same thought, but I don’t think we want to incentivize “Wear it!” culture more.

Don Baylor used to make no effort to avoid being hit by the pitch. Of course he was made of concrete.

It’s at the point now where Little League kids are being pressured not to get out of the way.

That's fair.

Jeez. Yet another inane challenge.

I was always told to not get out of the way in Little League tand that was 35-40 years ago

Your coach was a sociopath ahead of his time!

I looked away for a second and not sure why you'd waste a challenge on that. At least it's not the first 3 innings.

And I didn't. I was an overcompetitive kid. I would lose my s%#@ about the mercy rule even if we were on the bad side of it

Fastball Freddie really needed to get away from the Mets. Put a bow on that performance.

Where on earth did Petey Halpin come from? I've now watched a game and a half with him in the starting lineup, and I still have no idea who he is.

San Mateo, CA, sez here.

Man, they’ve really doubled down on that Sydney Sweeney ad.

I almost feel bad for her. It's like she blew her Euphoria money on ice sculpting lessons or something.

That sounds like investing in herself.

Oof that's the shortstop's ball

We had Messick and Peralta going 5 IP for the median, and almost 5 IP for the mean. We were spot on for Messick. And short for Peralta.

Wow, a pinch hitter without a mound visit? How often does that happen? It’s almost like they knew Palacios was on the roster before the game!

Guardians bats gotta do better than pop on toast

This is a good series for undersized sluggers. Palacios , Mesa Jr., Hicks, and of course the great J-Ram

not so great for J-Ram's D!

Arby's commercials always make me a little sad because I'm reminded of my cat Galileo

I saw your story about Galileo and Arby’s in a chat recently. It made me smile, surprised to know that Arby’s has done some small bit of good in this world. I’m glad you have those memories.

I was saying how there’s no way Hicks should be starting against a lefty, but SSS >>> my brain.

The Guardians started Hedges at catcher so they could use Bailey as a PH. I hope that sounds as ridiculous to others as it does to me as I write it.

Gotta keep the other team thinking. Zag when they expect you to zig, etc.

It's amazing how often in recent postseasons Vogt has had Hedges at bat in extremely high leverage situations. Now he has competition for that spot!

"I put my hand on the stove because it feels so amazing when I take it off!"

Was that punitive for heading to first early?

He LOOOOVED Arby's. I couldn't eat Arby's for a year after he died. I mean, he was 20, so he was a really old cat, but still miss the guy because he was the cat who was invariably around me when I was working, including all ZiPS work from origin to 2019.

Vogt has been having Hedges and Bailey pinch hit for each other all year. Drives me up a wall

Gotta think of it as more of a catcher funging than pinch hitting, I guess.

Yeah, that's how he uses it. I just wish he'd pinch hit someone else then make a defensive sub. Although it's not like there's a slugger on the bench.

I was gonna dispute the factoid, but I didn't realize that Kwan was THAT good total in the second half. 155 wRC+

You are allowed to pinch hit with a non catcher though

I mean, he turned it on, but I didn't see the number

I like when they mention Booser, because it's always in a situation where saying boozer sounds funny

THERE'S A BOOSER GETTING WARMED UP

He’s actually a recovering alcoholic.

OH geez, I didn't know that

True story.

Not a convenient name to have

I know, right?

My dad drank himself to death, but he didn't have an ironic name.

How would you explain changing it, though?

"Call a lawyer?"

I just read an article about him the other day. He was out of baseball when he was 27 due to injuries, which led to depression and addiction. But he made it back. So, major hat tip.

Seems like it's a story i should have remembered. Good story

I mean, these days there’s always a chance that the article was a total AI fake, but it seems unlikely that a fake article about a Rays reliever would be real high on anyone’s AI priority list.

Not the matchup Cash would want here.

Man, Adell looked horrible on that changeup

I want to see another Jo Adell triple

That was not a good at bat for Adell

Yes, I'm still here – just went down a deep rabbit hole looking for the best World Series performances from players on losing teams

Lenny Dykstra was tearing it up in 1993

Yes, Dykstra is on the list

A 6-inning rabbit hole

Sorry if I sent you down it! But I'd be curious to see the answer. Wondering about CWPA, too.

Send it as a mailbag question!

Yikes! Terrible bunt.

I mentioned that I watched him several times in Worcester and thought nothing of it. He was just an old never-will-be. Perusing his history shows he did not appear in organized ball between his 26-28 year old years.

Armstrong is a good name for a pitcher

Certainly better than Flimsyelbow

The Twins used to have a starter named Kevin Slowey

And the guy actually named Tommy John ended up having to have Tommy John surgery. How ironic is that?

Don't get me started on Lou Gehrig!

Cy Young never won a Cy Young award

I hate to break it to you about Bill Goodenough.

In retrospect, it seems inevitable.

Why wasn’t Kwan sent home on the double? I thought he was fast.

I couldn't believe he wasn't sent. I guess the 3rd base coach was afraid of him being thrown out in the 1 in 10 chance that might have happened. I hate 3rd base scared 3rd base coaches as you might have ascertained.

Will there ever come a point at which people decide they’ve had their fill of Day-O, “boom boom boom and let me hear you say hey-o” and “Everybody clap your hands!”? Can we poll that?

I much prefer "everybody clap your hands" to the relatively recent alternative "I can make your hands clap"

Yeah I don't love a disembodied voice bragging about how he has control over my body

Rotten potato, rotten potahto.

Jeff Sullivan once live-blogged a Mariners game which included a post "everybody clap your hands clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap clap" and I will never not laugh about that now

We’ll do a stadium chant poll tomor

The “free mound visit for a pinch hitter” rule is such a farce.

“Gotta give the pitcher the scouting report,” my ass.

I'm grumpy and never ever participate in fan things, even as a kid

One of my earliest memoried is my older brothrr explaining why the wave is stupid.

I just genuinely don’t get why people apparently like the same five sound bites over and over and over and over again for years on end.

Another of life's imponderables. How did Bryan Baker morph into Mariano Rivera?

That's just Ray Magic.

You should see what they did with the Butcher and the candlestick maker

Patrick Bailey, pinch hitter, folks.

Mesa is entertaining even on the routine plays

Ballgame

See ya' all tomorrow.

Excited to suffer through a Snell start?

Good night, all.

I would go see a band called Bryan Baker's Primal Scream, though the actual band might be unhappy

NIght!


Members-Only Game Thread: LCS – Oct 12, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the LCS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Dodgers play the Brewers and the Guardians play the Rays! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Poll results have 0 faith in the Dodgers' bats to disappoint

Even after losing Game 1, Fangraphs has the Dodgers at 53% to beat the Brewers (and an implied 76% to beat whoever comes out of the AL). Surely this is crazy right? Even with the Dodgers rotation? More likely the Dodgers win 4-of-6 than the 103 win Brewers win 3-of-6?

Having a 53% of taking at least 4-of-6 implies ~60% of winning for each game. 60-40 is an awful lot for a single baseball game and all its randomness. The Dodgers had a 61% win rate against all teams. Surely you expect that to be more than a single percentage point lower against the strongest opponent?

I've been meaning to ask, is the poll question for the game, or for the series?

Welcome everyone! I'm excited we get two games tonight. We got some polls today, including the SP poll I wish I had yesterday with Misiorowski not getting through the 5th.

Game.

Thanks Sean, and thank you as always for hosting these chats, excited to talk baseball for the next 8 hours!

Thank you all for being here (these chats would be quite lame otherwise) and being Members.

I think it makes sense when you line up the pitching matchups, especially with the Miz looking vulnerable (though projections probably don't take it into account). The Brewers are essentially doing a long opener into bullpen game for games 3 and 4 while the Dodgers get Snell and Glasnow, not to mention that the Dodgers have a deeper bullpen.

Is it just me or did MLB somehow manage to time these games to get the lowest possible ratings? I live on the west coast and I’m going to completely miss the Dodger game and probably miss half or more of the Guardians game before I get home from work.

I'm guessing MLB is about as happy about this as you are.

These broadcast schedules for the LCS are setup and released in August.

If the Dodgers lose this series, how much falls on Ohtani? He's been underperforming for awhile now

Isn't this the part of the movie where the superhero loses his powers and you have to find a way to prevail anyway?

Man, he really has lost his powers 🙁

Interestingly, this is the only two-game day that has the Dodgers-Brewers playing the early game.

Also hi

brutal

Seems weird that they wouldn’t be able to talk to the networks and get consensus on moving game times. A 6pm EDT start for CLE vs. TBR and 8pm EDT start for LAD vs. the amoral deviants should work for everyone.

perhaps because it's a holiday for some?

You know what, I didn’t even consider that. I don’t get it off so I wasn’t thinking of it. You’re almost certainly right.

i think it's my first time off, to be sure

I don't think TBS wants to lose a prime time game.

I'm not off with the holiday. No one tell my boss I'm here!!

Random thought: how fascinating would it be to see these two managers switch dugouts and have to manage the other team

This is a fun thought. I think Roberts could manage the Brewers, but I don't know if Murphy's schtick would fly with the Dodgers' superstar roster

Where do you think Roberts ranks on all-time managers list? My personal feeling is that managers pretty much never add victories (even Francona couldn’t make the Reds a winner), but they absolutely can remove them (early-2000s Cubs eg). Roberts seems to be able to at least keep the egos all pointed in the right direction.

I think he's one of the best there is. I think his job is significantly more difficult than it seems, beyond just the egos. It's also the expectations the team has every year, the mixing and matching his lineup requires, the dealing with injuries, etc. He also is the best around at criticizing his guys publicly and privately when they need it. He doesn't coddle

He also has more press personnel to manage on a daily basis, just due to the media market

Yes, and from my experience (only covering him on the road), he's very good at that compared to other major market managers/head coaches I've covered

One thing that this (bad) camera angle does show really well is Yamamoto’s step back as part of his delivery

I'm gonna see Brice Turang in my nightmares

It is Spooky Season

Lol Contreras checked his challenge

Got me. I thought he committed to it.

How did he hit that?

Smoltz describing competitive two-strike pitches as “putting pressure on the umpire” was a very interesting way to put it, gotta give him credit where it’s due

For all his [many] faults, Smoltz is a good pitching analyst

Some players described it to me earlier this year with ABS similarly, oddly as a reason to hold onto challenges for later in the game. I thought that was funny but didn't think that would last as a strategy

seeing yamamoto give up any runs in the postseason feels strange

Given all of your flair, this must be an incredibly exciting development for you.

And immediately thereafter Smoltz makes me roll my eyes by saying the art of pitching is declining

It's hard to imagine Tampa or Cleveland going toe-to-toe with either of these teams (especially Cleveland), this kinda feels like the de facto World Series. At least it's the two best teams this year

Been having severe gastric issue the past few days, But at least I have baseball to watch while I am in the hospital. It make my day!

Hope you get better soon!

Does anybody like Smoltz?

I actually think he did a pretty good job in last year's World Series when he was enjoying the baseball in a fantastic series. And he's good at breaking down pitching mechanics. But 95% of the time he's either making things up, complaining about the modern game, or both.

Tangential, but I muted the pregame because I'm tired of the Yankees and Red Sox players.

Does he have high approval? Not even trying to hate, but how has he held on to the top job for so long while being so obviously ill-equipped to everyone who watches?

But I'm slightly indifferent to Smoltz. There have been a few times, though.

he's putting up ba'athist party numbers in front of older gen x/boomer focus groups

idea for poll: who are the most and least likable teams left in the playoffs?

Maybe we don't need the "least likable team?" 😆

doth thou protest too much? (actually think dodgers are underrated in their likability)

Compared to the Yankees team that ruined baseball, the Dodgers are extremely likable.

Let me see if I can build out a ranked choice poll.

not having A-Rod helps.

I mean, on a player-by-player basis it’s hard to be less likable than these Brewers. I realize I’m heavily biased, but almost all of them come off as classless jerks. Contreras, Miz, and Uribe in particular.

this is my main *gulp* pro-dodgers argument – all their top talent and stars are nearly lovable (shohei, betts, freeman, yamamoto, teo, etc.) personally i dont like will smith and max muncy but thats about it really

Agree on Smith, he just never seems to be having any fun. Muncy however is kind of a lovable weirdo.

Dodgers are doing a good job of making these Brewers starters throw a lot of pitches. Could pay dividends down the line this series even if they aren't putting up big runs scored totals yet

i really like JRAM

glasnow and snell are a hoot

I don’t know if there’s a bigger delta between perception and reality than Snell. He looks like he should be selling meth behind a 7-11 in Redding CA, but by all accounts (specifically from Eno) he’s a wonderful guy.

totally agree. i didn't think he'd be someone i'd find compelling. turns out he's just a video-gaming rapper bro down to get weird with adolescent humor.

i of course am the self appointed Mayor of Jo Island, so its gonna be hard for me not to say the Guardians are the most likable with Jo and Jram. but i think its actually closer across the 4 teams than one might have assumed

JRam is probably my favorite non-Cub in the game (assuming Scherzer retires). And I like him a fair bit more than most of the current Cubs.

Where does Yamamoto rank among all time Japanese baseball players already?

already 11th in all time bWAR just in front of angels legend Shigetoshi Haegawa. more seriously, everyone in the top 5 has played for almost 10 years, hes on year 3. i think hes got a good chance of being top 3

but right at this moment, maybe 5 thor 6th?

As a frequent radio listener, Tom Hamilton is my most likable Guardian. I’d be really conflicted as to which broadcast to tune into if it came down to Guardians and Brewers

I think Nicole Kidman should do one of these sincere prose ads

We come here to find out how many days there are in October

Heartbreak does feel better in a ballpark

Back to the manager swap question: Doc would do fine with the Brewers. The Dodgers would beat Murph to death with hammers by Memorial Day

WOW!!

Nice catch Sal

my annual reminder that Sal Frelick exists and can blow my mind

Does that count as smallball? /joke

The smallness of the ball is inversely proportional to payroll

Tommy and Mookie are playing diminutive ball

why would you even try that

Me, watching on the couch after recently dropping the remote while trying to turn up the volume: Bauers should've caught that

good thing for the Brewers it's Ohtani up here (/s)

Shohei seems so compromised (injury) that I want JDP to start…which is wild

I kind of want that, both because JDP's approach has been fun to watch and because I would love to see pinch-runner Ohtani

I've felt that JDP is such a weird fit on this roster. Is his defense really bad enough that he's completely unplayable in a corner outfield? If so he almost has to get traded or improve considerably. The dude can hit!

I have a feeling the Dodgers will move Teoscar over the offseason

I get he's Shohei but at what point do they have that uncomfortable conversation if he doesn't show up somewhat in this series? If ohtani's 3 for 23 with 11 Ks after this series and the Dodgers move on, do you really sit him down and tell him he's coming off the bench in the world series? probably not

I think that will be difficult and they will have to take a beating value wise.

is that a spike lee thing? do the right thing?

Why is this game on so early!?

the simple solution is for the dodgers to move off of shohei. simple solution is to trade him back to the angels (unbiased take)

I really enjoyed David Hamilton when he was on the Red Sox. Jus ta little more offense and would have been a very good player.

what is the reflector on the forehead of the catcher's mask? i've never seen a catcher pull down a visor?

Solar panel to charge the pitchcom

Turang is going to get quite a bit of down ballot MVP votes. I see him around 5th-7th overall.

Think I'd have him around 3rd

got curious and saw the Vegas o/u on this game is 6.5. Maybe an overreaction to all the low-scoring games this year, this game could blow the lid off that

>2 base runners
> nice catch to prevent damage
time for yamamoto to throw the ball away on a pick off

Almost!!

He almost did lol!

i am nostradamus

When I first saw ABS in AAA there were several pitcher challenges. Yamamoto wanted to challenge ball 4 to Turang so badly but they are as rare as a unicorn.

who benefits more from having to go to the bullpen early? id assume brewers?

is that woman with the spiral notebook the famous front row amy?

Yamamoto proved he has a rubber arm in last year's WS but at 70+ through 3 he isn't long for this game.

What an at bat!

bauers is making yamamoto work, and also muncy work (chasing down foul balls). genius move

Do pitchcom replacements count as a mound visit? They should

Blatant stalling like this especially.

They do not and I strongly suspect pitchers feign a pitch com issue to get a break/mound visit pretty frequently

the pitch calling device failing on the 414th pitch of this at bat might be strategic…

I see what you did there

That solar panel failed!

Our SP IP poll isn't looking great.

That was an incredibly exciting walk

major

Are we sure swear words aren't allowed in this chat? (/s)

This matchup is what we come to see and Yelich wins.

That walk was huge.

this is the least yamamoto game he's pitched in awhile… sign..

I love these lead changes.

Man this series has the juice!

Wow, what an inning

(Just a reminder, you can delay the chat using the cog/gear icon in the top right corner. If you a lot of latency on your streaming source.)

Same number of outs as his game 7 relief appearance…in a start

Wow

We had Yamamoto Med: 6, Mean: 6 1/3, Real: 2 2/3.

I know what everyone is thinking after that hit…why is Yelich's captain C squeezed in above the Nike logo when there's plenty of room on the other side?

I think this Brewers team is the best Dodgers postseason opponent in quite awhile

I got home from work 20 minutes ago but I feel like a lot has already happened since then

Would it be exaggerating to call that a career-defining hit for Yelich? There's something magical about the team captain guy whose prime was years ago becoming the guy who steps up.

do you throw Roki for multi innings?

A 36-pitch 2/3 of an inning for Yamamoto

18 pitches per out.

This game, and potentially series, changes a lot if Teoscar or Muncy catch one of those foul balls

Turang could have had called strike 3 in both at bats if ump/or Will Smith had made the call. All 3 runs have scored because of those.

Or Yamamoto who clearly indicated he wanted to challenge but apparently is not given the opportunity.

have the dodgers struck out in this game? i'm probably jinxing something by asking, but…

Ohtani struck out in the first

Ohtani struck out

Wow, this is my first time seeing Sasaki's clown glove. I do not like it

That is pretty wild

It looks like he stole it from Bernie Brewer himself

Is it the same as the massive red glove Gausman had at the end of the season? I’m at work and can’t look.

muncy is best fielding gnome in baseball and gardening history

Even if they don’t hold on to this lead, really fun to see such resiliency from MIL. Will really make LAD earn it

Just got here. What's everybody talking about? Baseball?

my goodness

Bulworth, actually

Small ball!

Alright, it's been fun everybody.

Henderson should only be throwing the ball toward home plate.

i guess i guessed right about Henderson. 4+ is the same as 4IP. certainly didn't guess right about YY going 7

Pitchers throwing to 1st is an adventure in and of itself.

This game is drunk already

So all 3 Dodgers runs are the result of Henderson's throwing errors/wild pitches

"watching baseball" – jon bois

baseball rules

I would like to see a stat on the percentage of bad throws pitchers make on bunt attempts.

sometimes I idly wonder how well a strategy of "bunt to the pitcher every time" would go

We were high on Logan Henderson too. Mean 4.45, Median 5, and actual 4+.

We were influenced by yesterday. Had that game been higher scoring we would have expected a messier game today.

do Roki and May count to the SP innings?

Who is starting Game 3?

Gasser for the Brewers.

I'd think about an IBB here

That fist-pump was incredible

SMOL BOL

Didn't seem that close, but you get two challenges in the postseason.

You gotta try

That last angle shows the foot on the plate. Looks safe to me.

As much as I think of the production quality as cheap, the ACC football review system with the audio between the ref and the command center is great to learn about their process.

I want to know what these umps are talking about. And see the relevant angles, just not just multiviewers in their room.

I’m guessing this won’t be the last lead change tonight

Are you at the game again?

Unfortunately not. I’ll be back Sunday if it goes that long

is smoltz thinking of Weird Science?

I don't understand the earned run rule. Henderson has three ERs. But the errors influenced more than one run, yes?

Pretend like the error hadn't occurred and it was just a groundout. Tucker scoring is considered earned, because he likely advances to third on the grounder to Henderson, then scores on Mookie groundout.

what is a baseball

i'm still supposed to be doing thermo homework. i am pretty bad at this student thing

entropy?

All I know is you're not allowed to have perpetual motion machines.

first week on cycles! i love me some heat engine

imho one of the great skills of academia is learning when to delegate time to doing your homework and when not to (im just advocating for baseball really)

it's due in 2 hours, i'm afraid i'm well and truly cooked

then another greak skills of academia is to face the music and accept failure

At least you can measure and calculate how much you are cooked.

ΔHvap of a millvillemeltdown is… not very high as it turns out

Does any part of the glove count for the tag? Like the strings? Or just the main body of the glove?

oh hello ichiro, big fan of your work. i heard about the statue though, what a shame

Strings don't count.

Yep.

This game already feels like it's been 3 games

BAAANG

Every team should have a Contreras brother.

What a fun game! One of my favorite ballparks to watch on TV.

the Rays lab scientists are building the Contreras cloning machine as we speak

i think yama having such trouble this time out is enough of an indictment of like. "grr starting pitchers these days" like

This was the first year since 2022 that Willson had more fWAR than William. On the other hand William looks really good right now. Who would you rather have next year?

Sorry, I'm too busy coming up with names for the 28 other Contreras brothers. Willton, Willbur, Willgernon, Willnando…

willyer for extra confusion

angels would be the team to end up with the Wilbur…

Willenium

I tried to get tickets to this game from his brother Willcall

willsmith

Willians?

Willt Chamberllain

la tortuguita!!!

There is only one Willians.

and he's a stud, illo

is he in npb? i feel like i heard he was playing in npb

Looks like only until 2023. Since then Astudillo has played in Mexico and Venezuela.

I covered Willians Astudillo' major league debut when the Twins were playing the Cubs at Wrigley during a crazy weekend heatwave on Saturday, June 30, 2018. He only entered the game because multiple Twins left the game due to heat illness. He replaced Eddie Rosario in LF and later had to move to CF when Max Kepler left the game. He started the next game at 3B.

Willians Astudillo is the perfect Immaculate Grid answer for Twins/center field

I was at this game! Miserably hot

That whole weekend and the days after were also brutal

My friend and I were at the Lincoln Park zoo a couple days before the game and it was a survival battle just to find shade. It was a dangerous few days

if the rubberiest-armed guy, known for having rubber arm, cannot do the thing where his arm is rubber for 5 innings in the post season, maybe the hitters have just gotten better to the point where 200ip is just not that common anymore

And also, would William have a similar hitting resurgence to Willson's if he quit catching?

also, like, huge credit to the brewers, but still.

@Baumann This has got to be the headline of your gamer.

oi, i don't work for free

i want press box cookies

Matt didn't get any!

They were gone! Such a tragedy.

I left the stadium at 3:15 AM after filing my column, and stil no cookies. I was destraught

this was Yankee Stadium not Am Fam? (I feel weird calling it that, I didn't even get the name right on my first try.)

That first pitch looks like the best one Frelick will get in this AB.

As I was saying.

this would be a good time for a ball to hit a bag or some such nonsense

welp

Ohtani looks unwilling or unable to pull the ball. Surprised they're not going inside more often.

thanks Tom, I forgot which band did "Hey Jude"

Wings?

recently learned that if you get "Hey Jude" stuck in your head, your head will never fade the outro

paul mccartney is riffing "jooo-jooo-da-joo-da-jooo-joooo-da-" into oblivion

Yeesh Ohtani looks really rough.

Boo hoo

tbh to my untrained eye he seems like he's… not having fun this year

idk if it's a pain thing or a home life thing (having young kids can do things, so i hear) but i'm just used to ohtani displaying a bit more joie de vivre

Can we all just take half an hour and have a neutral third party put on some PFPs before we restart the game?

I do love a good interference call.

tough night for pick off throws

Walk to get to the guy who hit the home run? Interesting…

Yeah that was dumb

Well, that IBB didn't really work out.

I wonder if this series gets William over the hump to become the most famous Contreras brother

i remember being excited for sean murphy (he of the ass hbp) to join a larger-market team but man. will the younger really is a helluva ballplayer huh

Will Vaughn pinch hit for Yeli after Bauers?

I can't fully accept William until he gives back one of the l's his family stole for Willson. Either Willson has to be Wilson or he has to be Wiliam.

consider that two Ls make a W and When you're a Will* Contreras You Gotta Win

Well Willson is on the Red Sox this year, so the 2 straight L's must have been contagious

i think i may be a bit delirious

this is stressful

The entire brewers postseason has been played within 2 runs up or down.

Dodgers offense is iceeeee cold

abner uribe one of the better name tools in the league. ratings, 20-80?

This may seem harsh, but I'm only at a 60 because it doesn't scan all that well.

i was gonna give 65, it's certainly unique/outlier but as a package i'm not selling the farm for it

Hey, at least that one Polymarket commercial shows that parlays don't always hit

in an ad for 20-combo bets

wild

Betting site ads = 1950 commercials for cigarettes.

i'm going to put one cent on a 10^23 leg parlay and pray

you're gonna want to do your thermodynamics homework too, just in case

hey, chances of me hitting are better than (checks paper) the air in my room configuring itself such that half of it is vacuum

I like those odds!

The WS starts on mol day!

That was about two inches away from a hospital stay.

They're calling it the most Brewers hit in the history of the Brewers.

I am loving how pissed off Pat Murphy looks during this game.

He should be pissed. Wind sprints for the entire team after the game. Should be a 5-1 laugher.

i think pat murphy would only be happy if his team literally never made an out

I just don't care for gambling. I'll put something down if see a real +EV opportunity, like I did two over/unders this year, putting a tidy sum on over 72.5 for Twins and over 69.5 for Cardinals. But I don't get any adrenalin rush for gambling; I don't care apart from making the numbers in my account go up

But the dizzying highs! The nauseating lows! You're missing out.

Just kidding. I don't gamble either, so I can't back that up.

Maybe you should start betting the brewers over.

feels disloyal to zips

Ashby for Ohtani or does Megil come in?

Oh, good, baseball stats filtered by lunar phase. Can we get some "mothers' basement" jokes ready while we're at it?

Is this a splits leaderboard request?

Goodness no! Just a reaction to a Google ad.😆

Thank you Red Sox

I'm on the Rays-Guards game tonight, so I'm likely done chatting for the night. Nice to be with everybody!

Hamilton is not throwing away his shot

Related to Billy Hamilton?

Squeeze!

COME ON SQUEEZE BUNT

or base hit, that's good too

wow. this brewers team

How many do the Brewers have to get for their closer to sit down? 2 more? 3 more?

More. Day off tomorrow.

Bauers pushing for that NLCS MVP award

I honestly thought this would be a tight, well-played game.

I’m happy with this rock fight.

Finally!

Daaaaaaaaaaang!

Pages with a pretty casual-looking basket catch on that fly ball. Did he get a bad read and have to basket catch it?

So yesterday we were talking commercials, today I’m hoping we can talk about the proliferation of bad haircuts

I miss the playoff mountain-man beards.

Brandon Marsh got knocked out in the wild card round.

It used to be that every team had a guy who looked like he had strong opinions on who really ran the banks. Shame.

I, too, would wipe Biberty off my windshield

Here in Canada I'm watching ads for Konto Furniture and an Italian grocery store in Calgary.

Might as well leave Ashby in there to face the pitcher

Leaving Ashby in to face Will Smith? I guess it's Ashby's game until someone reaches?

brutal. gg

I'll watch nothing but Biberty ads if it means I dont have to see these political ads (I live in Texas, so just imagine)

Governor Bovernor? Senator Benator? Congressman Bongressman?

Congressman Bongressman would have my vote

As a guardians, I love the TB sac bunt. But even 12 year old Billy Heywood in 1994 wouldn't have done that.

Love seeing America be introduced to this wonderful bullpen I've been watching all season

ChiSox be like “maybe we dodged a bullet”

I just switched over to Guardians/Rays…and I missed something.

Listening to the ALCS on radio while I watch soccer practice, anyone have a rec on which team’s broadcast is better?

Cleveland's broadcaster is a recent Hall of Fame honoree.

Tom Hamilton is the absolute best! His calls reverberate over the airwaves like none other.

I find the Cleveland play-by-play guy to be an acquired taste.

Rays radio guys are excellent

I just logged in to say I hope the Dodgers keep losing purely since I think it will improve the odds of an earlier post-lockout start to baseball next year. (And Dodgers suck)

It is rare to see the batter surprised when the umpire has tot ell him he was hit by the pitch.

Getting clipped in the loose part of the jersey on a 1-2 count is good living

A Yankees-free ALCS is a breath of fresh air too. Baseball is so good. I wish there was more.

International leagues?

I am not above watching some Caribbean winter league when I can find it.

The TBS app crashed for like 1 minute with one runner on, and now the bases are loaded??

I was watching on the Spanish network.

I cheated on the poll because it was already 2-0 when I saw Sean had posted the new one. Sorry.

Someone answered the pitcher IP poll for Henderson as he was being pulled.

Mesa Jr just showing off with that throw. Cannon.

Lineup thoughts: 1. Vilade cleanup is Very Rays. 2. I don't think I would have batted Rocchio after Bailey and Halpin with 184 career ABs. 3. Bottom half is light on both sides.

Guards getting surprisingly good swings.

Petey Halpin sounds like a baseball name from the deadball era.

Why do catchers not put their throwing hand in a fist behind their back the way I was taught in Little League centuries ago, to prevent taking a foul tip off the hand?

I was wondering about thay. The answer to all such questions is "framing," but I don't see the advantage in this case.

His nickname should be Second Halpin' (this might only to be funny to me because I'm fat)

That looked painful! My hand hurts now.

No one has ever been happier catching a routine low leverage foul pop than Jose Ramirez just now.

You know a throw is good when they show multiple angles of a cutoff throw that didn't even produce a tag play. I gasped out loud at that throw

(little delayed on the reaction, I had to get to my phone)

Hi Ben!

Can I just say how much better this chat is than MLB Discord? Holy cow.

Is there an official MLB Discord? I know there are a bunch of places that have them.

Yes, and there are chats for each game.

Hi Sean! Just dropping in briefly, I have dinner plans tonight, but I had to say something about that throw

I watched a ton of Victor Mesa Jr. tape for fielding bible voting this year. He's electric, but I don't think I saw a throw that good

It's not quite playoff Randy, but really fun debut-into-postseason-success arc

It's not too late for him to do some pushups and eat some chicken.

I can't articulate why, but Brian Anderson is easily a top 5 pbp announcer imo. He's just… really good? (Benetti, Davis, Cohen, Shulman up there too)

Joe Davis? I find him utterly forgettable. But all those other guys are great. Shulman and Benetti are elite.

It's so weird that there's a big puff of dirt every time a ball lands in the outfield.

I think it's little pieces of rubber, or something like that.

Used to be rubber, the new turf is a mix of coconut husk and sand apparently.

Yup. Having played a lot of soccer on turf like that, I can tell you that those little pieces of rubber get in your shoes and stick to your socks forever.

Oh, artificial turf!

I thought the field was just perpetually wet!

That’s only when Brandon Marsh is playing.

The Manual is a pretty good nickname. No Second Halpin, though.

It's a good nickname except that it implies he's not Automatic

Why was Espino warming up without his hat?

I see this surprisingly often. I wonder if it's because somebody's busy putting the PitchCom in their hat.

This reminds me of when I was in high school and I used to help coach my little cousin's little league team and one of his teammates hated wearing his hat. He'd be standing in the outfield mid game and just take it off, then would demand that we show him where in the rule book it said that he had to wear a hat when we'd ask him to put it back on. And like… we definitely didn't have a rule book handy nor knew where the hat clause is so it was hard to argue with this 11 year old.

I think that's exactly it. But the number of times a reliever comes into the game and motions to the ump before throwing a pitch that he can't hear anything leads me to believe they are not very skilled at doing this.

Wow, Cleveland's defensive positioning cards are enormous. They're the size of bingo cards.

printing my defensive positioning cards in dyslexia fonts (legitimately not terrible idea)

All the ads for Google Cloud "insights" are such overfitted small sample nonsense that if I were in charge of buying web services for some big company I'd go with AWS instead.

Agreed! Did we learn nothing from Fire Joe Morgan?

Anyone want to go in with me on FireJohnSmoltz.com? IP reboots are all the rage these days…

Smoltz has improved, I think. I used to find him unlistenable, and now I think he's ok. Curious what others think.

The biggest thing for me is how he constantly positions his aesthetic preferences (contact, small ball, yada yada) as facts of good strategy.

He's a good analyst. But if he gets going, his back-in-my-day nonsense is a killer.

If Smoltz isn't hating on something about the modern game by the 2nd inning I start to worry that he's been replaced with AI.

Also that he will without fail start talking about “slow heartbeat” by the third inning.

Jose Ramirez is great, but his green glove is terrible. Your glove should either be brown, black, or your team's color.

Wait, the Rays have a tank of rays at their ballpark? How did I not know that?

I am dumbfounded that you didn't know that. The team was the Devil Rays for years and there have been rays in the tank since the franchise was first organized.

Yeah it's the one fun thing the Trop is known for

What causes a comment to get hung up in review?

Weird website urls.

That url is available for purchase.

Juuust a bit outside.

It seems like a decade ago when Daniel Espino was the #1 pitching prospect in the game. Then his arm fell off and the doctors had a tough time reattaching it.

I know this is the whole “Ship of Theseus” problem, Bur How many surgeries before we admit a player is just fundamentally different? Where is the line? We surely can or will just invent a better ligament. Wouldn’t that be a huge issue?

Can't wait for a fight over PEL clauses (performance enhancing ligaments) when the CBA is up in 2032.

I didn't know Rasmussen was allowed to give up a run

Speaking of players whose career has been disrupted more than once by injury, Chase deLauter certainly fits that template.

Wait. Is it possible for a park to be difficult to go opposite field regardless of which side of the plate you hit?

i think it is harder to go oppo *in general* because the spin doesn't help you as much. don't know if there's an "uphill both ways" way to do it though…

Got that most likable and least likable poll. You'll probably have to refresh this page / reload this page for it to work.

Did you invent that ranking thing just for this poll? We will have to think about other things you can do with it.

That worked. When I first saw it with the checkboxes I thought it was a trick question.

i'm still shocked that someone thinks the miz gives bush league vibes… he's literally a small, 6'6 child chewing a wad of gum the size of my fist and throwing harder than anyone in history. he rips packs of pokemon on road trips.

Yeah, it was a good suggestion, so I made it tonight. It can do ranked choice voting, too, and that's like rounds eliminating the lowest vote getting. This is just an MVP-style voting with 4,3,2,1 points given out.

But yes, I want to have it used for a lot more things!

I'm going to reuse that poll through out the week.

It would be insane for any pitcher to drop that bunt on purpose to try to get two.

Really proud of Ramírez for sniffing the baseball just now. I think he read my article.

I, for one, am a fan of Ramirez’s glove. It’s Christmasy!

We need a poll on whether Ramirez's green glove is good or bad.

Bye bye Walls

Everly Brothers deep cut.

I am such a big fan of Ramirez that he could play with a cesta and I wouldn't complain.

I think it's bad but it's Jose Ramirez so he's earned the right to have a mismatched glove

Funky glove colors are an inalienable right.

Did Bazzana forget how many outs there were for a moment? Or did he think he had time to get the third out at second and then think better of it?

Thought he could beat the runner.

I like Abner Uribe’s electric blue model too.

I know I’m asking this on the every stat is available site but is Carson Williams that much worse than Walls right now? Rays seem to think he’s not ready to go C Montgomery for them w a 30 HR/220k season.

Blue is a Brewers color tho.

Not that blue!

does jram get a pink glove now 🙂 i hope he does 🙂

We have an entirely new ballgame!!

Ah yes. Noted slugger Patrick Bailey.

Huh. Just checked and surprised he had 10 this year in just 345 PA. That's one more than Vlad Jr!

Sorry Blue Jays fans

Wow

clutch is a skill, this is known

I don't see what's so hard about hitting Rasmussen if Patrick Bailey can do it.

Patrick Bailey, AL Kiké Hernandez.

This is why the Guardians traded for Bailey.

has bailey even seen a postseason before

Maybe on tv

"Do you know the postseason? " "….I know of it."

More Scott Pilgrim references.

every time i have a hunk of a really good bread in my hand, i take a big bite and scream around it "BREAD MAKES YOU FAT!?!"

speaking of, my roommates just made some incredible bread. i'm over the moon with the crumb texture.

Thought Rays were going to run away with this thing the way they handled Griffin in the first, but he settled in nicely. Aces not doing their usual seems to be a theme in this round. Is it possible that hitters on top teams are catching up to the pitchers?

I'm always suspicious of tipping with starts like Yamamoto's today where he got just 4 whiffs.

LA had Miz’s grips whenever they were on 2nd yesterday. Helped foul off pitches but he was still Miz :shrug:

We need an article on the most shocking long home runs/hard hit balls of the season. Bailey's HR just now, Bryson Stott's 464 foot jack earlier this year…

i don't know how i'd optimize it but i want to see, like, minimum bat speed, maximum tank, optimally squared up and backspun and pulled

@Sean if you're implementing changes based on this chat, maybe a show results button for polls? Could cut down on the votes in the who will win polls after there's already been scoring.

I could do that. Though I don't think responding later is necessarily bad…like it's tied right now.

oh did i miss the most and least likable team vote

Yes and no. I shipped that about 20 minutes ago, but you can still respond!

it says "This question is unavailable" fwiw

You might need to reload the page.

Ope, that worked thanks!

I watched Cam Booser pitch for Worcester a couple of years ago as a 32 year old never-will-be and here he is in a high leverage situation in the ALCS at 34. "Don't give up, don't ever give up".

It's weird seeing a Rays series where the other team has more Lowes

Not sure that slide got him there faster.

slide was for style not for speed

aura farming, slidemaxxing, dirtmogging, etc.

Maybe he expected a bad throw and a swipe tag?

Is there a way for new polls to trigger a message? When you add polls mid chat, it can be hard to notice right away unless someone points it out

i think sean has been manually doing that, idk if it necessarily wants to be automated? could be wrong, i have been somewhat tuned out/foggy

I've thought of making them louder. Like I can have it expand on its own or have NEW! tag in bright red on it.

And yeah, I did send a message about the ranked likability poll.

i am strongly considering logging off, walking into the forest, and calling it a night

my top two likable are the bottom 2 vote getters …….

You know what? Ramirez should use a green bat too. That would be awesome.

Players Weekend allowing hitters to use funky looking bats is delightful . Ernie Clement's pencil bat is 80 grade.

not because the baseball has been bad but i should probably take care of myself and my deliverables

good night all, the forest beckons

Question for the Fangraphs writers who are way smarter than me: would it be fair to say there's a little Vlady Guerrero, Sr. in Jose Ramirez? It's been on my mind since Jose hit that homer not even a foot off the ground

as a huge vladdy sr fan, i feel like theres some similarities, but i always thought vladdy's approach was a little wild whereas JRam is under control

but maybe i was too young and its just nostalgia

You could run a Baseball Savant query, filter for chase/waste pitches on contact and xwoba (or stat of choice) to maybe get a rough idea of guys like Vlad Sr?

Nice outcome for the infield positioning

Wow I did not realize the 2B was standing there off the bat

Contact play on now?

Man on 3rd – one out, you go on anything on the ground.

These pitching decisions are interesting. Cash not going with his A relief team yet

It's very funny that MLB is running a pro-salary cap ad talking about how small market teams can’t compete during the Rays vs Guards ALCS

They have zero feel

THE GUARDIANS ARE UNSTOPPABLE

0-2 and he gets a pitch in the zone? Not good.

It'd be hilarious if Bailey went yard again here.

Successful catcher ABS challenge after a backpick!

I don’t understand that defensive playcall on that Lowe at bat

Like playing in or the way they shifted? I thought it was standard for the situation.

Shift was standard for sure but both MI’ers were way in on the grass. If they’re playing normal thats a soft lineout to SS

Gotcha. Seymour isn't a ground ball pitcher either so I get your point. It's the Rays so I'm assuming the percentages still say that's the best alignment given all variables.

Yea it just felt like peak getting too cute with it

Playing the MI way in on nothing but pitches above the zone??

Many events in this game.

Cedriiiiiic

If Mesa were to go long and tie the game here his bat flip might hit a roof ring.

Alas.

Cedric Mullins against a tough lefty is just the match-up the Guardians would want so………boom. Nobody ever said it better than the late John Sterling.

Who wants to be the millionaire, ask the audience was the true #1 lifeline… The poll tonight says 91% think the Rays will win. I thought wisdom of the crowd was king?

There's a decent chance we get a central division team to the World Series for the first time since 2016

To paraphrase a great philosopher "It ain't over till it's over".

Woah.

Oh nooooo

Oh this is bad

oh no

oh no

Ouch.

Edit: Oh no

Oh no

Shoulder to the ribs and pretty solid contact.

Wow what an epic miscommunication

Whew!

Honestly feels like that could've ended way worse

Caminero could still be compromised. He has to be hurting.

I don't understand the Rays decisions this game: Aranda bunting in the first, Ras going back out for the 7th, where is Kevin Kelly (one of the best Rays relievers all year), using a rusty Tyler Walls and Cole Sulser in a tight game.

Anyone else think this new “oooh, we’ve got two strikes on the batter” sirens and whistles etc. thing has gotten a little out of hand?

Generally yes but it is the post

Welp.

Challenge here but where was he going? [Edit: never mind.]

I was rooting for the White Sox and now I'm rooting for the Rays, but Jose Ramirez getting hot at the right time is pretty cool to watch

I think this is getting overturned

A good Ramirez is so much fun!

His loyalty to Cleveland when he could have left for a lot more money has endeared him to me.

If he left the bag he was pushed off?

The Guardians can win the World Series, they still won’t be the best team in baseball.

To me, the Dodgers' creakiness, particularly Ohtani's, show what a contingent definition that is. The Dodgers are the best team in general, but they don't seem like the best team right now.

Good point

Baseball is so wonderfully unpredictable!

I suppose…or it’s gonna give me a heart attack.

These pitches in the dirt are really disappointing.

I'm lightly rooting for the Rays, but still disappointed he didn't get that triple.

Ramirez seems to be enjoying himself

I did not expect this.

14 hits. That feels like a lot of hits! #analytics

And I really don’t get Cade Smith here. Why give the Rays extra looks at him, plus put inning on his arm?

You'd have to have him warming anyway to back up whoever else you brought in.

Yeah, Vogt’s refusal to adapt to changes in leverage is a surprising postseason storyline.

Eventually this guy is gonna get tired from pitching so much

Good night, folks!

Or not

G'night!

Game’s over, guys. You don’t have to talk into your gloves now.

It's just a defense against Jomboy

I guess he was already up before the insurance runs, but still

I like baseball.

Great chat everyone! See everyone tomorrow!


Members-Only Game Thread: NLCS – Dodgers vs Brewers – Oct 11, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the NLCS game today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Dodgers play the Brewers! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Hi everyone!

Hey Jon!

Hello from the press box at AmFam

I just wanted to wish you both good luck, we're all counting on you

How's the press box food up there, Baumann?

It's the voucher-and-fend-for-yourself system, unfortch

at the workout day yesterday they did have pizza in the media dining room, which saved me from a hypoglycemic emergency, as I hadn't eaten anything since I left for the airport at 7 a.m.

Checking in from section 419. Go Brewers! Sad to miss out on EW chat

They had a real bald eagle flapping by the Dodgers dugout. It's funny to think about how we imbue this animal with such weighty symbolic meaning and you look at one and it's clearly just thinking "Fish?"

How is Milwaukee? It’s one of the few cities I haven’t been to.

Is that why Mike Trout won’t play in an LCS?

I love Milwaukee. I love just about every medium-sized Midwestern city and even within that context Milwaukee is one of my favorites

Is Pittsburgh on that list

I like Pittsburgh, the thing is if you stay there for more than a day you start running into Steelers fans and it ruins the vibe for me

find that most football fans of a particular city are not actually urbanites

Pittsburgh is most definitely on my list. PNC Park from the Clemente Bridge is locked in my memory for eternity.

This chat box tech is a major upgrade from the one i saw during the wild card games. Well done folks and thank you!

I know we get a marquee SP matchup every October, but this one feels extra fun

What in the world is this camera angle, respectfully

major league play!!!!

Is this angle a Fox thing, not a a MIL park thing?

I think just a FOX thing

Usually a good angle there

Is this angle a Fox thing, not a a MIL park thing?

Not a fan of this new score bug either

I feel like the networks still think this is better for the average viewer.

Perhaps this is more of question to ask the Baseball Savant people, but I think it's inevitable that we get "arm velocity" data from pitchers. It's fascinating to me what the relationship between pitch velocity is with arm velocity + torque. Do we (royal we) understand mechanically everything about how pitch velocity is generated?

Part of last night's chat included over-used baseball cliches. I would like to add "Tailor-made double play" to that list.

Just for you, I'm going to call that a "bespoke" double play in my gamer tonight

And I would add to that: "[Pitcher] struggles in the first inning"… yes, the highest scoring inning on average across all games

Jon has used bespoke non-stop in our dev meetings.

The Polymarket commercial clearly used The Wolf of Wall Street in-office party scenes, with the marching band and all, as inspiration, and I think that's more on the zone that they think it is

this guy said "on the zone"

I did, and I'm leaving it as is

Also, hi

Lara in RF. Thats some serious OF defense for the Brewers tonight.

Hi Matt 🙂

Matt saw Digger today, everyone

Guys, go see Digger. It's very good. Don't let the haters prevent you from having a great time

I'm already iffy on Inarritu so i've been hesitant

I am also iffy on Iñárrritu, but this is different. If I came in blind, without knowing who made it, my best guess would've been Wes Anderson.

ah! the other guy im iffy on lol. But I am happy to hear that someone enjoyed it. It's done so poorly which is a shame

Don't mean to be a hater. But I went from being an angsty teen loving Rushmore and Tenenbaums to absolutely hating French Dispatch. I can't watch anymore

It's also a baseball movie

You will not see two plays that look the same on the scoresheet yet look so different in real life as the 4-3 groundouts in the top and bottom of the first inning

Tonight we find out how much the Brewers will regret not getting Skubal for themselves, but, man, what a pitching matchup!

He would have cost them too much. The Brewers understand where to put their money and their prospects.

There's the cost in prospects and there's the cost in World Series opportunities.

Tomorrow would be more indicative because it would have cost Hendo.

Ohtani hitting weak grounders in the batting cage doesn't inspire confidence.

If Miz had existed towards the beginning of the foundation of baseball and was out there sitting 100+, what are the odds that he would have been accused of witchcraft?

We really need less ump cam mid-pitch

Miz isn't looking too sharp in the early going.

I wonder if we'll eventually learn that early challenges are good because they correct a bad zone for the rest of the game

I can barely make out the fake zone but a couple of those pitches looked good.

I wonder if LCS/World Series umps are more likely to have a tight zone in the playoffs than they do themselves in the regular season.

I can't see the umps changing anything, with all the scrutiny in the ABS era. Which, it is still remarkable how good most of those umps are.

(comment didn't thread right)

Does the poll refer to who will win this game or who will win the series? I am fascinated that it is leaning MIL (I voted that way but felt I was going out on a limb).

Is this an unusually low percentage of whiffs on Misiorowski's stuff? It seems that way to me.

What an at-bat from Tucker here

I assumed series and went Dodgers, game, I'd probably have picked the Brewers till the Dodgers scored.

Need to remember that I can reply on these things rather than just post.

It is for the game.

I assumed it was for the game.

They are sorta getting there by talking about all the foul balls but the broadcast hasn't really said anything about Miz being down a lot of fastball carry today (not that I really expect them to)

What would cause vert to be worse while maintaining velocity? Mechanics, wrist torque, something else?

Spin axis, which I believe is largely about hand position

Hello, baseball friends. My daughter is asleep, so I am watching the game and making mini waffles for dinner.

Leggo my Eggo!

I thought the umpires were better earlier in the year but when they realized the hitters were being told not to challenge they are back to calling a lot of balls strikes.

The runners on 2B are doing a lot of signaling

Pages does this fairly often

Teoscar was too.

Broadcast hasn't said a single thing about that either

Tailor made double play

brb going to the store to get mini waffles now

That was a disjointed as hell double play

Could've gone wrong three different times

I mean, I have more than enough batter over here.

— Dave Roberts making a lineup

Pocket pancakes or bust

I forgot about that! How can he not win MoY?

and by get mini waffles i mean edit Jay's ALCS preview for tomorrow

I'm trying not to get hyperbolic, but that janky-ass double play could end up being the turning point in the series

You have it in writing. You can reference this in Game 5/6.

Acuña Kalshi commercial oh BROTHER

I think Jake Bauers uses his walk up music to put the defense to sleep

Getting out of that with only one run is a massive swing

Enrique has lost several steps since his youth, but did he swing by CVS on his way to first?

He had to get mini waffles

Update: Mini waffles are so good. I'm so happy I did this.

Wait do you have a mini waffle maker?

Or were these frozen

I'm really asking, I'm sitting directly behind the storage point for the folded-up press box window so anything that happens to the right of second base I'm hearing about secondhand

The possibly superior syrup ratio cannot be worth the fourfold increase in cook time.

Waffles are great with pure New England maple syrup straight from the Sugar House.

We all need to acknowledge that @brewersbibliophile is at the game and participating in this chat. Our Members are the best

Legend.

I feel like I should be told to put my phone away

We'll tell you what commercials you're missing so you get the full experience.

Kalshi, followed by DraftKings, followed by whatever Sydney Sweeney is selling I assume

I need to ship a mobile apupdate. Need to finish it first. But it makes this easier.

WOW

These are from scratch. I would love it if they were regular waffles, but we don't have a regular waffle maker. We have this tiny one that makes heart-shaped mini waffles that my wife got for her friend's bachelorette party a few years ago. So I get one tiny waffle every 90 seconds or so, and I am constitutionally incapable of waiting and eating a bunch of waffles at once. I just eat them as soon as they come out.

Waiting to build up a bunch at once would defeat the point. Fresh waffles should be eaten fresh.

Making tiny heart-shaped mini waffles with batter made from scratch is the most Davy Andrews activity I've ever heard of

I…cannot argue with that.

not until the single comes out about this

This might be more of a mailbag question, but am I correct in assuming that, by Fangraphs playoff odds, the Dodgers in this series are the most favored lower-seeded team ever?

I don't know about that, but the number PECOTA spit out for this series is one I did not think it was possible for a projection system to produce in any series, let alone in favor of the road team in a series against a 103-win team

That's definitely something we could compile. Might have to join a few things to get the dates rights for series start dates.

I will be happy to answer it if somebody else is doing all the work.

Fox LOVES to talk about pitcher extension and stride length. I wonder why that's the one metric they care so much about.

It's a metric that's easy to showcase on TV

No doubt, but I think you could make cool graphics for a bunch of Statcast measurements.

Freddie wasn't ready (for that 2 strike pitch)

Camera angle made that curve look like a changeup

i'm just hearing Alec Guinness' voice in my head… "Lara"

See, Matt? This is the good stuff

This is very good

we need to tell him got get balalaikas for his entrance music

Why do they keep showing drone shots from behind the lights, it's utterly pointless

Been a part of the Brewers broadcast all season

Incredible challenge for Contreras the Younger there

I just did an internet search on "Front Row Amy" and the back stop seats at American Ball Park. $245 per seat. 81 games. About $20,000 per season. This is my math contribution to Fangraphs this year.

Would it have been possible for Skubal to win a Cy Young if he had compiled a great resume between the two leagues?

CC came close in 08… I believe Rick Sutcliff did it, though they only count stats in one league or the other

I think it would be nearly impossible because the AL and NL Cy Youngs are voted upon separately, and while he was excellent, he wasn't overwhelming in his stint in either league.

Sutcliffe's numbers did have a pretty massive contrast between AL and NL, which helped his cause.

And Dwight Gooden got screwed because Sutcliffe went 16-1 with about 2/3 the innings of Gooden

Thanks Jay! Think the bigger question is probably whether a pitcher could get enough volume these days in half a season, plus I'm not even sure if <100 innings of ~1.00 ERA pitching would be enough with the resistance to giving the Cy to relievers

With starters getting less and less innings, I could see someone like Sabathia getting the Cy Young if they have a run like he had in ‘08

Hey folks, just popping in here for a bit

You're a pop-in guy?

Derek Jeter doesn't need Polymarket's money. Classy! /s

The Brewers keep living up to their postseason reputation

I forgot Sutcliffe's 1984. Thanks Benny and nice catch

What in the world?

There's a slight flinch of Miz's front leg before he steps off

I don't understand what Miz did wrong.

Was that called a balk?

That's a great call

Yes, called a balk

Made me think of an interesting question: what's the fewest games a pitcher could start and win the Cy Young if they somehow literally threw a perfect game every start? Like Brenden Fraser in The Scout, 27 up, 27 down, 27 Ks… would 3 be enough?

That's 27 perfect innin\gs, I feel like you'd need a couple more games?

However many Eric Gagne had when he won his Cy Young.

Send it to the Mailbag!

wow, that's a break for the Dodgers, Teoscar is not the guy I want stealing a base

Miz's front leg moved first. He began to lift his front leg slightly, the equivalent of a false start in football.

Send him back out for the fifth, or no?

I doubt it. It isn't like he is lights out tonight.

Guessing they go with Patrick

A wild Charlie Berens has appeared!

Turang!

Swear word!

!

Szymborski touted Turang in the spring and he was spot on.

I guess I'd have been surprised if you told me the Dodgers would get the first hit with runners in scoring position in this series while the Brewers chalked up the first homer

Can’t predict baseball, Suzyn

Re: favored lower seed. This isn't exhaustive, but THIS isn't the most lopped sided. Because the Dodgers happen to face the Brewers in the NLCS quite often as the lower seed.

Wow. That's pretty extreme.

Also, I had no ides the Astros were favored in the ALCS. The Benintendi series.

I did wonder about last year.

ready-to-wear double play!

Now, these are saved from the previous night and we could have updated depth charts the day of.

Thanks, Sean! Very interesting.

But these three match ups are by far the most extreme from my quick search.

Also think it's amazing that the Brewers have played the Dodgers three times in the NLCS as the higher seed.

They’re bound to win one of them, right?

nice vaguely remembering that 2018 side. Yelich and Lorenzo Cain! and Hader!

I remember that team for Jhoulys Chacin haha

@brewersbibliophile: past performance is not indicative of future results

I remember getting a jump scare when some kids named Corbin Burnes, Brandon Woodruff, and Freddy Peralta were starting play-off games… I was expecting Jhoulys Chacin, Wade Miley, and Chase Anderson lol

All Brewers fans will remember that Brandon Woodruff hit a home runoff Kershaw in that 2018 series

is it odd to say that the 2018 LAD squad was more "home-grown" or "diamonds in the rough," led by Grandal and Muncy; than the 2018 MIL team that had acquired Yelich and Cain?

Has anybody watched that show Doc? The one where the doctor has amnesia but is somehow allowed to keep practicing medicine? Seems like a flawed conceit, right?

DL Hall sounds like someone who writes obnoxious Slate articles

Did you read the one where the guy reached out to all the commenters who were mean to him and asked why?

I did read that one. There was a couple that met in the comments.

I keep thinking DL Hall is the famous poet who wrote the book Dock Ellis In the Country of Baseball, but that was Donald Hall. I think it's because my favorite high school teacher was DL and his real name was Donald.

Wait, they fell in love through hating on that one writer?

I am not sure it was his stories specifically. But hating on Slate, yes.

Let me just say this right now: If anybody falls in love during this chat and ends up getting married, I will bake your wedding cake.

full sized? or mini heart shaped?

Full-sized cake, decorated on the outside with mini-heart waffles.

I'm against shows that just say what they are. Doc. FBI.

The Office?

Chris Taylor-made double play!

Bailin' out the Miz

A Fred Astaire classic.

Like I've never watched the show, but Harlan Coben's Final Twist is a good name for a tv show

Cliche alert! That was The Pitcher's Best Friend".

I also don't like the name Sheriff Country because fire country is a thing, but like everywhere has sheriffs. It makes as much sense as Police Country or Government Country

Where does "Severance" rate on the Szym TV show name scale?

The show's fine but I want better names!

I don't want a burger from Burger. I don't want a car called The Vehicle.

except for legit ethnic diaspora restaurants. I was once sent by a Beijing-origin pal to a peking duck restaurant called Tasty Duck. It was fantastic.

So Miz looks like Lars Ulrich's grandson, right?

I need to check the archives, but is Skubal's butt getting a little bigger every year while the rest of him stays the same size?

what a bum

Do we archive butt size now?

Statcast has a metric called xwoButt

LARACIOUS

SpectacuLARA.

yowza

I mean like videos

Though I bet statcast has ass size somewhere

dang that's way better

I'm sure Baumann will top us both.

I thought that was a terrible spot to bunt, so of course it immediately works out.

Of course! Everyone here at Fangraphs knows the sacrifice is a terrible play.

Sacrificing with your number 7 hitter generally feels odd though

They key question for a bunt is already what is the probability that the hitter gets a bunt hit. The calculus for a bunt changes wildly in that case

something like a 10% beating out rate on a sac bunt makes it pretty plausible in most base/out situations

Ron Johnson ran the numbers way back, but I dont' have them at the moment

Nor do I want to do that when there's a game on!

An error is as good as a bunt hit, and also comes up pretty often with a fast runner.

This game already has had more offense than I expected.

Muncy had murder in his eyes after that

No run support and bad D behind him… Skub could've just stayed in Detroit for that

All part of the process to lead to him returning to Detroit in the offseason. Trust the process

Smoltz said that has to be a hit… That does NOT have to be an hit. Should've been an error

Things that are not errors in 2026: errors

As long as you make incompetence look like it was a hard play, you'll get the hit

Muncy overran the ball. Definite error

Ooh, Contreras wanted to challenge there.

I love a good challenge-that-turns-into-a-helmet-adjustment.

My conspiracy theory is that MLB has instructed official scorers to give out hits more liberally to exaggerate the effect of the shift on BABIP

It's not like Muncy made some spectacular dive and it caromed off his glove, he was there, ran past it, and shoudl have had it

I don't believe MLB is competent enough to successful execute a conspiracy successfully

It's not like they are the NBA

Huh, weird, there's a guy in a dark suit and sunglasses with an MLB league credential coming up behind me, let's see what he wants

Don't look at the flashy thing!

It’s @brewersbibliophile

I mean, the actually did collusion by having Peter Ueberroth gather them in a room and yell at them. And then GMs would actually tell agents "those deals you got last time are not available anymore"

..and that was the last time anyone heard from or saw Michael Baumann.

omg. stop looking at skubal's butt!

Ever since I saw Rookie of the Year and heard "Pitcher's got a big butt!" it's an impossible thing that you are asking of me

I mean, pitcher butts are the center of the screen

that ad oh my

Putting Cal Raleigh in an ad about screening for colon cancer is very smart

I did my Cologuard recently!

Oh my god please tell me someone else just saw the Albert Pujols/Cal Raleigh Cologuard butt commercial

It was harder than I thought because I kept thinking about that Cologuard Saturday Night Live commercial.

I did it and was glad to realize that you remove the receptacle from the box.

The whole box was in the bathroom and I just kept imagining it telling me to "Unleash"

Did he say free-peat?

Related to both that commercial and DIGGER — John Goodman says "a** cancer" multiple times

Capsule review of Digger, please.

I think that means "more askance"

I used asterisks so Sean wouldn't have to approve a comment with a** cancer in it

outrageous. Radiohead doesn't fly

Oh dang, since we're just regular chatterers, we can't self-ignore censorship things

I sometimes drop an F bomb in my chats

I don't know why my initial thought was that f bombs were farts but it was and it's time for me to take a vacation and just shut off what's left running around in the cobweb-filled skull on my shoulders.

Andy Pages needs to thicken his mustache, the mustache beard thickness ratio is too low

Truck commercials are real turnoffs to me. They're all like TRUCKS ARE FOR SERIOUS ADULT WORK THINGS, and I don't want to do any of that

They don't make commercials for trucks that people use for actual serious adult work things.

GET A TRUCK DAN

Go Bratwurst!

So…uh…is Mike dead?

Does Appelman carry worker's comp insurance?

See, Vesia has a proper ratio. A mustache should be thick enough that it looks like it could hold up the beard if it had to be used as a handle

How does his butt to body ratio look?

I'll be the judge of that!

If a food place wants to sponsor a thing in a broadcast, it should also have the possibility of earning free food from viewers

I wish I had the confidence of a home crowd thinking they know what a balk is when it’s not called on the other team

You have about 1/40000th of that confidence, so that's *something*.

If someone held me a gunpoint and demanded I explain a balk, they'd find my corpse

Every time you think you know all the balk reasons there's some other thing

OH THE PITCHER RUBBED HIS BELLY WITHOUT ITCHING HIS ASS THATS ACTUALLY A BALK

I’m glad there’s no balks in trucking or I’d be leading the world in them!

This will be the next frontier of video review, after they do it to check swings. Did the knee cross the midpoint of the body? Did the foot move more than 45 degrees towards home? Instant balk.

I hope they bring the check swing review to MLB with the same way they are testing it in the minors/AFL. It is going to completely break the brains of so many people how far you are allowed to "go" with the way it's written. I want to see the chaos.

Hey, we can say ass

HAS the world embraced Bills mafia?

So far not disappointed

They didn't ask Christopher Walken insane, they just filmed him normally

I was really upset back in the day when I found that Andy Ashby and Alan Ashby weren't related after thinking they were for like 15 years

They need a brain chip that checks intention and then they can time it against where the pitch was

I don’t think I’ve seen a single checked swing get called a swing in these playoffs.

PCA had one in the wild card round that made him quite upset

Ah yes of course

Can you request ABS after a check swing apeal?

or ABS on a throw down to 2nd? i sometimes wonder if strikes are more often called balls on a throw down

Nope. You need to meet the "time" requirement after the pitch.

You can ABS on steals, and those calls are more erratic than average.

So would you have to appeal the check swing after the ABS challenge effectively? Simultaneously?

You need to challenge the pitch within the allotted time. It's out there, but I've seen the hitter and catcher both challenge the same pitch because they both understood the situation at hand and knew they needed to get it in before the decision was made and did or didn't go their way.

tap head with one arm, point to the other ump with your other arm

I just turned the game on TV after following on gamecast while doing other things, and saw the Polymarket win probability plot at the start of the inning. So I just came here to ask, like, what the f— are we doing here man?

Not sure what you’re asking.

What are doing here? Trying to ruin the lives of people for profit!

We're the sucker fans paying for those graphs.

I believe he's asking why MLB/Fox thinks it's ok to push gambling on us and also why a gambling site's betting activity would be used rather than traditional win probability

I'm anti-gambling in general, but after seeing some of the "probabilities" they've been advertising I'm almost tempted lol

Boy he sure likes to pitch low!

Yes, it's best to hit it over the wall NO MATTER WHO the centerfielder is

Works against everyone except the legendary Pete Grows-Armslong.

I miss the zoom-zoom commercials. I don't have a Mazda just for not dying, which is kinda boring

Not dying is a good point in favor of a product. On the other side, are you going to trust ChatGPT to tell you how to sail a boat while at sea?

I wouldn't trust ChatGPT to spell Szymborski correctly.

Every time I see that commercial I just think that those poor old ladies would be found drifting away three days later

I just have trouble caring either way

One of nice things about getting older is you can care about a lot fewer things

Very true

I can't wait until I'm the age when I can not care that someone tweeted something stupid at me and not feel required to get into a stupid fight

Same

My kid is playing Maddon on the big TV. He’s winning 70-0. He is mechanically disassembling whoever it is he’s playing, taking no joy in the violence wrought upon his foe. At the same time, there is no sense of shame, no sense of remorse. Does gravity apologize to the steelworker who decided this was the day he wouldn’t use a safety harness? He just scored again. And a conversion. It’s 78-0. I’m watching the NLCS on my phone. I’m not sure he’s even having fun. A pick-6. It’s now 86-0.

I suggest we turn on the game. He scores again, 93-0. A moment, two moments later he says “no.” He scores again. it’s 101-0. I wonder if he knows how much I love him.

Funny enough, I think I lost my last game of Madden 86-0

he's just showing you where replacement level is

He says he's going to try a "weird" play. They all look weird to me. His player breaks away and high-steps the last 20 yards. My son holds his controller up and high-steps in place in front of the TV that isn't playing the NLCS.

He was so small not so long ago, and now he's a dozen years old and bigger than his mom. I want to watch the NLCS. I'm just watching him. I try to remember what he looks like now, commit it to memory, so when he changes in the morning and wakes up a different person I'll remember the boy that he was, high-stepping in front of the TV that isn't playing the NLCS. He scores again.

Hey Doug, the Grokipedia biography of me is peak.

atGrok is this true

"Daniel John Szymborski (born June 19, 1978) is an American baseball analyst and sabermetrician renowned for developing the ZiPS (Zebulon Igor Projection System) projection system, "

To quote Maxwell Smart. "Missed it by THAT much."

"Szymborski graduated from high school in 1996 and demonstrated early independence by self-financing much of his college education through physically demanding construction work, including digging ditches"

Digger Dan Szymborski????

Also did not do that, I don't even like the outside if there's no beer or baseball

now, it would be awesome if my name was Zebulon Igor

I have some good news about something you can do about this

Perhaps they mean that you physically demanded that someone do construction work

I'm still disappointed my dad didn't want my name to be Alexander because i could have been Zander Zymborski

What do we think of Cooper Pratt?

His name sounds like a white shoe law firm.

He looks like a Cooper pratt.

It took me 30 years to get people to mostly spell my name right, I'm not starting from square one

88 mph sliders I can abide because it's almost a cutter and I can wrap my head around that. 88 mph sweepers, however, is where I draw the line. Science has gone too far.

MLB could run low on championship-less teams soon… Of the 5 teams to never win a World Series, two have a chance still this year, one was in the NLDS, one was in the ALCS last year, and one plays in Colorado

What's next, 100 mph splitters? Wait…

The nub on the top of the Brewers hat is the same color as the rest of the hat, but the nub on the Dodgers hat is a different color. I think I like the different nub color better

I think Dodgers pitchers generally have bigger butts than Brewers pitchers. Given the cities, shoudln't it be the opposite?

Junk in the trunk is the new market inefficiency.

the kardashians do live in LA

LA has the injections to make their butts bigger. Milwaukee has to rely on bratwursts.

Ryan Braun had -28.5 FLD as a rookie 3B. Do we think that if he came out or retirement right now that he could beat that playing a full season at 1B?

I wonder if ChatGPT is going to make up the answer to "Give me a chart of ass size by city"

That was NOT a strike. Bring on the AI umps.

Are there enough kardashians by now to skew it?

we are all kardashians

I don't endorse AEDs

People with big butts shoudl have to be tested to make sure they have high cholesterol

The Pujols Cologuard commercial seems to have infected Dan's brain

My brain was destroyed decades ago

Ever since I read that Luzardo’s glasses aren’t prescription I can’t trust any of these pitchers.

I don't trust any pitcher. They don't tell you what pitch they'll throw (except Greinke).

Andy and Alan! Aaron is Andy's nephew but not Alan relaetd

Now the other Andy/Alan pair, the Beneses, are releated

I know it's his jam, but trying to push Ashby for 1+ here seems like an unnecessary risk.

Any relation to Hal?

exactly my question!

Maybe institute a rule that you can’t have the same last name unless you’re related.

sorry endaround, I can't approve your link!

I didn't set up the chat

when he makes it an error it's a Cooper Pratfall

Not an issue-just link to Athletic piece about Aaron's uncle Andy

I HATE walks. Such a waste.

Every bit of that was stressful

how did that lady in teh state farm commercial only have the hail damage on ONE wall?

Their fraud unit is sleeping on the job

“Funny, these dents are all precisely 1/2 inch, almost like you went crazy with a ball-peen hammer.”

the other wall facing the same direction had no hail damage

I never want to see that Trolli commercial again

Let's give it a lil kick….. off of the airwaves

i have this year been subjected to a lot of mahjong gossiping

Are we all getting the same commercials?

i saw that hail damage / mahjong commercial. and the trucks and the mazda. i'm streaming on foxone

I’m on YoutubeTV, and all my commercials have been matching yours.

I knew Ohtani was hurt but I didn't realize he was THIS hurt… really does kind of change the way you look at LA's lineup if he's basically just Rowdy Telez with speed right now

Fast Rowdy Tellez sounds awesome and that’s Ohtani’s like 20% outcome. Amazing

There is a genuine argument for starting JDP over him. It won't happen, but it's an argument.

Ohtani being pinch-hit for in a big spot against a lefty feels… not impossible at least, which is crazy

The number of bad throws to first in the postseason has been epic.

I always like when food companies have commercials saying "you know that thing you've been eating for years? Well, we know it was %#@#, so we made it better now."

yeah, I stream it from foxone too

Chuuuurio

Lord give me strength I am arguing with someone that the Dodgers bullpen having the 9th ranked bullpen ERA =/= the Dodgers have the 9th ranked bullpen in the league.

Tanner Scott did not skip PFPs this week. That was smooth

I knew the Brewers were playing a different type of baseball, but 1950's style?

Guy who homered earlier in the game sacrifices… it isn’t the worst decision of the playoffs, but it’s something

Do you think he’s going to homer twice against a lefty?

Jon Smoltz is so so so happy with how the Brewers play. For a moment I think he briefly forgot that he hates modern baseball

I know you mean the sport but I am choosing to interpret this comment about the emo band to give it more layers.

Man with the KZone turned off this weird camera angle makes all the borderline pitches that are outside to lefties look like strikes.

Bauers…

Dodgers playing the numbers, or playing with fire?

WHAT.

“Maybe Mitchel surprises us”

It’s the smart decision statistically

This is a bonkers decision

Mookie my gosh. It's amazing that he looks like a real SS

Even if it works out, it's still wild

OK, let's commercial track. 1st one if the F1 commercial for HP self driving network.

Yup. Second is the Geico couch commercial.

Can’t wait to see how many times two intentional walks in the same inning pays off.

Not impressed with Mitchell.

2nd commercial for me is a Geico commercial

I mean, he scorched that ball up the middle

did he eat van gogh's ear as a chip?

SURE DID

3rd commercial is a Wendy's commercial

HP then Geico

Dave Roberts decided there wasn't going to be enough heat on him tomorrow for a play-off game, just had to do something about it

Quick, someone do the RE math of 2 out 123 with the platoon advantage versus 2 out 12- without it.

In that vein, I'm more interested in what the odds are of a scoreless inning are in both scenarios.

Whoever is doing to post game article, this would be a nice thing to see if it's readily available.

4th commercial is the kid gamers teaching their parents how to play DOTA (I think that's what this is) – AT&T commercial

Can confirm HP -> Geico -> Wendy's watching FoxOne on Fubo

then Wendy. then weird ATT gaming with your parents ad. that could be you, war2d2

I should be so lucky.

5th commercial is the nutrafol
6th commercial is a Harbor Freight commercial

FWIW Fangraphs win expectancy graph has it increasing the brewers odds from 86.5% to 87.9%

So, what did you do on Fangraphs? We listed the commercials.

Rigorously, with peer review!

We talked about the pitcher’s butts

"Hi, I'm Corey Seager. I'm a MLB SS, the better Seager, and the second-earliest balding man behind Michael Chilkis, and I'm here to talk about Nutrafol."

I recently realized the Seagers are the only pair of MLB brothers with 200+ HRs each and I definitely had not expected that.

Asses are one of the things that are universal to the human experiences

Opinions and…

Nobody challenges the pitch after the one they should have like Contreras. Auto tilt challenges

Did this crowd think they were going to win? Feels like they’ve been holding their breath from the first pitch

When you get your ass beat the first time around, you’re next as excited going into the second.

What would you do?

I wonder if being Joe's brother causes Dom DiMaggio to be really underrated in history

i was just rewatching The Last Goodbye, and Marlowe asks his bud to name the DiMaggios. And Joe was the one the guy forgot of the three. Oddball scripting!

You mean The Long Goodbye?

yes! too tense right now

Cmon man.

JDP could write a legend here if he does the thing….

Shook off to throw the curve he hadn’t executed all AB. Maddening

Better to throw it in the dirt apparently

Those curves under the zone set up a bottom rail FB really well. You just have to throw it.

JDP like most power lefties has a happy zone low and inside.

THATS what you throw Tucker 3-2

"No pressure kid. If you miss this, we lose."

For the love of God

Don’t GIVE them the game

Nothing better than when these games live up to the hype in October

Gameday says my TV feed is two pitches behind. I think that’s the sweet spot actually, I like being ready to watch a big moment.

Or not. Welp.

Back tomorrow for more entertaining interaction with the great fans and writers at Fangraphs.

Megill was pop on toast but made it

wow. low scoring with short outings by Cy Young starters. not what i imagined.

Finally, Jesus

What a game!

Baumann has the gamer tonight, so hopefully the MLB official didn't kidnap him

He’s on Bluesky, he’s just shunning us.

If you're the dodgers, your takeaway is you made their best pitcher work and you got somewhat into the bullpen. If you're the Brewers, your takeaway is you looked and felt like the better team innings 5-9.

2 judges had it a draw. 3rd gave a 10-9 advantage based on Ashby

Ah, yeah he skeeted 14 minutes ago

And we get two games tomorrow!

Do we get a Whopper or something now?

Never forget that they took away "Steal a Base, Steal a Taco" from you.

At least it wasn’t endless pharmaceutical and betting app commercials

OK, game over so I'm gonna go play Trails of Cold Steel II


Members-Only Game Thread: ALDS – Guardians at White Sox – Oct 10, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALDS game today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Guardians play the White Sox! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

UND football is blowing it's chance for #1 after next week.

Sounds like you are only missing heartbreak.

And our All American caliber QB is hurt. He was probably going to get $ million+ next year from a big school.

What is the community consensus on whether the bullpen management by Vogt has been horrible, or horrible enough to warrant his immediate removal?

I have hated bullpen management this series, but no way I would let Vogt go. I assume bullpen management wasn't just a Vogt decision, but a game plan worked out with the front office.

Good evening! Appreciate everyone being here.

It was worked out that you would only use your BEST pitchers in the LOWEST leverage situations???? What?

I agree. I think it's been too much of win now and not to win the series.

Why is Festa on the roster?

If he wasn't hurt, I would have pitched him over Smith and Williams in the 9th

I don't know if he's hurt

Or 8th or previous game 8th or 9th… ok end rant… I am just venting a bit and looking for feedback. Cheers for the platform, everyone enjoy the game!!

This is good content, thought!

I guess my mild defense of Vogt would be tbat, given the state of CWS's pitching, they have a decent chance of a blowout win in game 5. So all in in game 4 made some sense, maybe. Nevertheless, I agree that even with that assumption, some of the details were perplexing.

They were already in a “big lead” situation, up by 5 in the 8th (or at latest, in the 9th). How big a lead do you need to use your lower leverage guys?

umm… not buying the "Hey guys tomorrow is guaranteed to be a blowout win, so its fine if I'm stupid today" defense.

The real question is over/under 3 innings from Williams today and over/under 1.5 runs from Smith? These are the consequences of the previous decisions.

The only good idea I have had is that maybe – and this is a real conspiracy theory- the assumption was that hurricane is coming and there will not be a game on SAT.

The only hurricane I can remember making it to Cleveland was Sandy, which came from the other direction.

like I meant to imply its a horrible horrible explanation… just the only one I have.

It’s an extreme application of “Don’t save your pitcher for tomorrow; tomorrow it may rain.”

It might, in fact, but probably later, I think.

Happy Sam Antonacci Appreciation Week to everyone!

my read on Vogt is he got stuck in "we can't plan for game 5 unless we make sure to win today", which makes a small amount of sense, but if you increase your odds of winning G4 from 99.1% to 99.9% by using your best pitchers but maybe dramatically reduce your strength for G5…

Right this is catastrophically bad management… no?

for me not fireably bad since he's proven to be very well respected at the job otherwise and this is a kind of strategic choice that could be corrected next time

If actively making your team less likely to win the series is not fire able can you give an example of something else, within the realm of could plausibly happen, which would rise to that level?

As a card carrying member of Team Entropy (still waiting for my flair), I really enjoy the chaos created by the, um, non-traditional bullpen usage.

Rays probably have no objection either.

I followed college football until the hated NIL turned the game into the NFL minor league but with major league salaries in the Big 4 conferences. There was a time that App. State could beat Michigan in the Big House. Today every game between majors and mid majors is 70-0. I haven't watched a game, even UConn, this year.

What about Michigan "losing" to Western Michigan this year?

Could we get another pivotal rain delay in a winner-take-all game in Cleveland?

I want to say if they delay, it will be suspended until tomorrow afternoon. But I'm not sure what this hurricane is going to do. I'm thinking about Sandy dumping rain on this region for like 2-3 days straight. This one looks more scattered.

Maybe a midge delay?

I will never forget it. It was so much fun to watch.

Vogt is vindicated. Williams is going 7 shutout innings tonight and Smith with a two inning save.

I will gladly issue a public apology if this happens.

I do not understand why everybody got so lathered up over Williams throwing some pitches on what is normally his throw day anyway.

Its much more the usage of the best pitchers in the lowest leverage situations. Smith was a waste in both games… same for Williams.

I agree that Williams was not the best choice there but he isn't made of glass as many seem to think.

That was some high-octane rocket fuel from Williams

Here's my question to everyone advocating for firing Vogt, or Boone or others: Who would you hire to replace him?

For Vogt… I would keep him as a bench coach/personality manager and just remove him from every strategic decision going forward. I have nothing against the guy, he seems genuinely likable and a decent person… I just cant defend the decisions and have not heard anyone suggest a way that they can be defended.

Vogt and/or Boone in that scenario

You would want them to swap teams?

Also, hi

Matt, you aren't at the white out?

Nope – I have a job that keeps me pretty busy in October.

Also, I don't think watching Penn State football is good for my mental health

I'm on the gamer tonight, so I can't do much chatting, but I wanted to jump in and say hello to everyone.

The radar appears to show rain at the corner of Carnegie & Ontario but I don't see any falling or any umbrellas in the stands.

There was a little visibly falling around first pitch time. I can't see it now

There are some drops on their batting helmets

If anybody has any thoughts about what I should write tonight, just let me know.

Everyone take a paragraph!

Williams + Smith perfect game of course

I'm sure they can hang on.

jinxed, scrap that idea.

No-hitter still intact.

Why "Cleveland Rocks" is objectively the best localized ballpark/team themed song… sorry Boston. Or at least a comparative piece involving the options. I would read that.

This is a good lockout article idea.

🔥

Could do a March Madness-type bracket poll with it.

If this isn't 80-grade stuff for a starter, I don't know what is

Williams, at 6'6" and a sturdy 250, doesn't mentioned with Misiorowski, Tolle and Skenes as much as he should be. Just another strikeout machine.

Do you think the guy who plays Doug in the Liberty Mutual commercials has any regrets about how his life turned out?

Mayhem guy made it into John Wick… so it may be working out brilliantly and we just don't know the endgame.

It's super hard to get any steady work in that industry. That's a decent gig. It's no Flo from Progressive.

Incidentally, I went to high school with Mara from those Progressive commercials.

I work with a guy who reminds me of Doug. I mentioned this to him. He said – "the guy with the ostrich?" – I laughed and he left the room………….oops.

well, there's the rain

Anyone know where Jason Heyward is?

Was there any talk about moving this early today?

5:00 on west coast is kind of a dead zone

More bad, low leverage challenges!

A challenge on the first pitch in the 3rd inning? What is he thinking?

fooled himself with where he caught it, maybe? it fell to top of the zone height by the time it was in his glove

He framed himself?

This was the first draft of Who Framed Roger Rabbit and it didn't play well with audiences so they had to do a re-write.

Colson Montgomery said he wears his pants extra high to draw bad challenges from catchers.

Which makes me wonder:
They use some % of height for the zone, but are there hitters who fall on the edge of the bell curve in torso/leg proportion, where a catcher setting up (or an umpire) is fooled more often about where the auto-zone is?

(Like, not the tall/short guys)

CLEAT CLEANER.

Muddy boots is the appropriate penalty for pitching in VELCRO high-tops.

Least favorite baseball sayings. I will start………."Flashing the leather"………I don't know why – just bugs me.

"Great piece of hitting" when used to describe a ball that if you hit in the cage your coach would drop his head in disappointment but that ball somehow found the magic spot 107 feet from the plate to land where a glove wasn't.

My dad always hated when they said 'he had to cover a lot of real estate out there'. It was an unreasonable amount of hatred, like, he couldn't move on after hearing that. Would just soliloquy about the quality of announcers these days and how they don't paint the picture like they used to. I feel obligated to adopt that unhealthy, unbridled rage in his honor.

I like that we all went silent to watch the marvel that is tonight's version of Williams.

Man Williams looks sharp- what a treat to get an old school pitching duel (so far) in this series, of all series

My jaw's on the floor

Record for strikeouts in an LCS game seems to be 15 (Clemens).

I think Cole had 15 or 16 in 2019 as well

That was LDS. Looks like Livan Hernandez and Mussina are the other LCS game with 15.

Love how Gavin looks, but if this is a 1-0 game I'd take Chicago's chances at a solo shot

I have nothing to add but want to see if a team shows up next to my name.

Rats.

Click the little settings gear at the top right.

There you go.

Seuss, you can use the settings cog in the top right to select your team

How come Williams carried a 3.76 ERA and a 3.48? I have seen a 100 mph fastball, a 90 mph slider and 12-6 curveball, the likes of which is seldom seen today, that all look untouchable. Maybe in 2027 starters will be asked to make a relief appearance 2 days before each start if this is what comes out of it.

A ton of homers

That is what a Cricket swing normally looks like!! oops meant to post below… apologies

There ya go.

Streaming strikes again! I saw this about 30 seconds before contact was made on my TV.

Sorry. I'll be more careful.

No way man! Live in the moment!

You can delay the chat up to 3 minutes with the gear in the corner.

Thank you again for this feature, it is awesome! For me at least, 15 seconds seems to line up perfectly

Wow

Those soccer-style chants worked!

Man how did he hit that

Wow!

man…….that was a great 9 iron !

That pitch was on the ground

That is what I was waiting to see! My favorite non-Red Sox player delivering yet again.

Matt, I saw the HR's which confused me all the more. How can anyone even hit his stuff, much less take it deep?

Now this is the question… my guess is batters sell out for 100 up in the zone, and when they guess right, it goes a long way

Hi everyone, this game has been fun so far. Williams is absolutely dealing

To paraphrase Michael Corleone, all men can be taken yard

He's giving strong Verlander vibes right now, and JV always had a bit of trouble with the HR ball

They are starting to take better swings…

So. . . how deep does Vogt let him get if things stay this way?

As long as he's got his foot on their necks

I fully expect he will be pulled for Festa right now.

72 pitches through 5 is too many in today's game, Vogt will be under the gun if Williams keeps this up. Of course if it was Bob Gibson on the mound Vogt would know that he should stay in the dugout and keep quiet.

Vogt always has a quick hook, and I wonder if he'll take Williams out too soon

He has to get the 6th……….then see how that goes. If he gets the 8,9,1……..good to go

I know it's not the newest thing but it is still wild that they will be those quick 5-10 second in-inning commercials. (Rhetorical question) Is there no end to how much we will be subjected to advertising the rest of our lives?

If I'm Vogt I'm hoping Williams and Smith are the only two pitchers to touch the ball at this point

ah… deja vu

oops……..

Why is the 9 hitter going for three there?

Ooof, that's rough.

I have a new scapegoat if CLE loses!!

That was a good gamble with one out. It would have been hard to get him in from 2nd.

much harder from the dugout

As I said, it was a gamble but a good one.

8 hitter; point still stands

Gotta be a hero.

While we have been enthralled with the pitching of Williams, Burke is actually the first White Sox starter to get past the 5th this post-season.

This has been a much better-pitched game than I was expecting all around. Just the one swing from the best hitter in this series.

I don't recommend that on an 0-2 count

Williams hadn't thrown many sliders and that wasn't the time to throw one.

That is not CADE SMITH!

I don’t care who wins but j want a hit so we don’t have Blake Snell 2.0 discourse.

With this pitch count it's not going to be that controversial, I don't think. He's also kinda pitching like he's not expecting to pitch the 7th.

You can breathe a sigh of relief

When Javier was pulled with a no-hitter in the World Series I don't remember many people saying he should have stayed in

Especially with multiple series after this one (you'd hope if you're Vogt), can't risk Williams getting hurt or tiring after today

And there it is

WHY ISNT SMITH WARMING UP???

As much as I hate to say it, the White Sox are getting much better swings and there is the first hit.

Vargas his last hitter either way?

Williams was a victim of his own strikeouts in pursuit of the No-hitter. Hard to do it when you throw that many pitches.

Green light here?

If Vogt brings in Sabrowski of the 6 bb/9 in with the bases loaded here can I then have him fired please?

Oof that could be a huge missed call

Nvm

What a turn of events

I’m not sure if Murakami is the guy I most want up if I’m the Sox or least want up.

Does Williams run out of gas if he doesn't throw a couple days ago?

Well that escalated quickly

This is an instance when it appears Williams gave it his all from pitch one and has run out of gas. Vogt is definitely making the right move here and that comes from an old school fab who believes in letting the starter go very deep.

No the right move is bringing in SMITH… anyone else is a error

Closers close!

New candidate for my answer to least favorite thing baseball people say!

I gotta wonder if hitters don't challenge because they know the pitcher is gonna go back to that spot and then they will just challenge if it's called a strike again.

Kind of like baiting the pitcher.

No trouble finding the zone there

Made it, but they're going to miss that challenge I think.

Great situation to challenge, bad pitch

Glad it worked but that should have been smith.

Gaddis would have been my pick, Smith likes closing. Just not the high walk guy.

A lefty against Murakami is the better choice.

Smith in addition to being far better, walking fewer batters, HAS REVERSE PLATOON SPLITS!!!

Dude it worked and Smith is still there. You have no argument

To play devil's advocate, you can afford a walk there (theoretically), but you absolutely cannot afford a homer

I don't see this game ends in 2-0 or 2-1, but it may be my wishful thinking

Hard to see it right now. But we'll see

I really want Jo Adell to hit another triple

Murakami has pretty big splits, so I think bringing in a lefty made sense

Almost a 50% K percentage against lefties.

what are you talking about its a lower Xwoba vs righties

and higher K rate vs righties

dont just make crap up

No Brian, Murakami fans a higher rate against lefties.

I was basing the splits on OPS, which I know some FG people wouldn't approve of

34.9 <35.7 both less than "almost 50%"

Try Baseball- Reference.

HERESY

dude

It matters if you divide by PAs or ABs.

In my experience as a Tiger's fan, there is now a 100% chance that runner will score, most likely on an infield hit of some kind

Its hard to generate much enthusiasm when the White Sox have a 117% strikeout rate today

Sam A will be the ultimate floor next year.

Here you go Brian547!

Forget about strikeout rate with two outs and Murakami up:

vs. LHP: 110 wRC+, .328 wOBA, xwOBA .364
vs. RHP: 138 wRC+, .368 wOBA, xwOBA .344

Results say Murakami is better vs. RHP, though xwOBA says the opposite. Cade Smith is the best pitcher in the bullpen and that was a crucial spot. I get it. But I like the Sabrowski matchup.

I also don't think any major league manager is going to bring in the closer in the sixth inning, no matter the leverage or whether it's the correct move. Teams just don't do it.

That is how I was looking at it. The 6th was simply not the right time for Smith.

Wasn't that Andrew Miller in 2016? haha

I don't want to say that it's definitely not the right time. It's just not the way managers do things rn

I've never really understood this… it seems like the best RP should be the first RP brought into a leverage situation regardless of inning

This is a completely fair conclusion to draw. It's just not how teams operate

FWIW: Andrew Miller wasn't Cleveland's closer in 2016, even if he was the team's best pitcher. The closer was Cody Allen. Having two guys like that makes it easier to use one of them early

Pitchers are not machines. They are people just like the rest of us and a closer reacts to a closing situation differently that he would to a non-close situation. The rush that he gets from closing just isn't the same earlier in the 6th.

That inverted xwOBA is crazy.

Could it be directional? Like a tendency to pull against righties that would make wOBA beat xwOBA?

Definitely could be

Truly — I think that will align with the rest over time. Small samples, etc.

Hahahahahaha Petey Halpin against a lefty again!

How many runs would CLE have to score here for Smith to get pulled?

Given prior indications… ~42

Yeah, this is strong "the limit does not exist" territory

I think we can say, without question, that Smith owns the 9th here.

Halpin OWNS Sean Newcomb

Apparently at least 5, since he was left in with a six-run lead

Gotta walk Kwan here!

Ok I legit think this is a troll

Not a fan of intentionally walking the bases loaded

Kwan is the best contact hitter in the game and you don't want him getting the bat on the ball with the infield in.

man that Jose guy sucks right

This is a whole lot of drama to serve as a prelude to three White Sox Ks to end the game.

I would like to see 21 K's which would be a first in a 9 inning game.

One, ah-ah-ahhhhh.

TWO, ah-ah-ahhhhh.

THREEEEEE, ah-ah-ahhhhh!

This has been a very enjoyable game from a neutral perspective.

yikes

I find it nearly incomprehensible that a team that has reached the LCS could strikeout at least 19 times in two out of three games.

The White Sox are a great story but a very flawed team. They're here because the Astros were that bad.

96 in just 7 games in the postseason.

are you not entertained?

Luis Arraez struck out 21 times in 2025

Benintendi is, sadly, not very good. This is not the career I thought he'd have c. 2016.

I thought he was going to be something special as well.

Nailing the projection for Benintendi, Moncada, and Devers in 2016 with pretty much perfect accuracy is my favorite victory lap.

serious question time… would benintendi be allowed to wear that belt if he was pitching? oops guess they all are

21!!!!!

rays in 4.

Rays will be massive favorites

Now I hope Jose Ramirez can continue his magic in the ALCS.

Cade Smith is nasty. Cleveland is going to be a much tougher matchup for the Rays.

Chicago K Sox

maybe this smith guy is pretty good

Cleveland, sworn enemy of the Holy See

Bring it

Rays will definitely be favored. But an all-midwest WS would be fun, to me.

The rays have 3 Cade Smiths.

Thanks everyone for showing up today! See everyone tomorrow for the start of the NLCS!


Members-Only Game Thread: ALDS – Guardians at White Sox – Oct 8, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the ALDS game today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Guardians play the White Sox! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Moves set in Chicago: The Man with the Golden Arm is interesting and worth watching. It is not as daring as the book. But Sinatra as a not especially likable character is very surprising casting that works pretty well in the end.

Hey everyone! We had some exciting games yesterday. Specifically the Yankees fan interference. I’m hoping this is almost as entertaining.

Can't think of any non-baseball movies set in Cleveland right now, though I'm sure there are some I'm not thinking of.

A Christmas Story?

Guess that was filmed there not set there.

Is that the one with their air rifle–"you'll shoot your eye out"?

Yup! You can’t miss it if you turn on the TV on Christmas.

Abe Froman

i don't see a lot of movies. i tried to go to movie nights but i kept getting spooked and overstimulated. shame, because they're a really fantastic artform

the word that comes to mind is "Gesamtkunstwerk"

I’d prefer to watch movie at home. Watch the NFL at home. Baseball is better in person. Postseason baseball is something else

Hi everyone!

For Chicago, my no. 1 is The Fugitive

Draft Day is set in Cleveland!

Kyle Teel, nooooooo!

2.2 inches is terrible

Doesn't Howard the Duck take place in Cleveland?

It does! I barely watched that. Can’t believe it’s a Marvel property.

I’d think everyone would be on point with ABS. Maybe all that pressure.

I just posted about this on Bluesky. But when I reported on the different strategies teams and players were using when deciding whether to challenge, the White Sox told me their strategy was to be more aggressive with them rather than waiting for a moment that might never come.

The challenge to Lowe aligned with that strategy, in that it made sense from a leverage perspective, especially in the playoffs when scoring first is so important. The problem was that pitch was nowhere near the zone.

I still remember when the Dodgers made Vargas go to the plate during spring training to get a feel for things when he was hurt and couldn't swing the bat in spring training, and Grienke just f'd with him by throwing eephus pitches and laughing. I miss Grienke.

Here's the link to that story, from June: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/to-challenge-or-not-to-challenge…

I can understand that strategy but continue to be stunned at some of the challenges. It makes sense to only use them in high leverage situations but, even after a full season, there seems to be no rhyme or reason in far too many instances

Was… was Jerry Reinsdorf smoking a cigar in his owner's box?

Reminder that Austin Hedges had a 100 wRC+ this season

The White Sox don't get enough crap for being one of the most historically terrible franchises

I remember people hating the Hahn years with the Star Trek 2 meme.

Sesn, I asked this last night and Davy said to ask you–have you looked into creating a live scoreboard in Fangraphs? Would it be hugely expensive? Just curious, though it would be useful since I often have FG open while watching a game anyway.

Live scoreboard? Like at the top of the site? Or just in general like our scores page? https://www.fangraphs.com/scores?date=2026-10-08

Yes, I guess I was imagining it built into the banner, like at a certain red-branded site that starts with an E. But the scores page is very cool! I should bookmark it.

We've kicked around having the scores in the header. It might be a customization feature, just so we don't force everyone to have a thicker header. I fought for about a year to get the header sized down back in 2017.

Doyle was definitely not looking for a fastball down the middle on 3-2.

Montgomery quickly pulled his hand back even though he knew it was a ball.

Teel's incorrect challenge earlier put Montgomery in a bind

Most definitely.

This has happened a few times this postseason.

The Blues Brothers is probably Chicago's favorite movie.

Does anybody else just pull up to the stats on those 90's Cleveland lineups every so often and nod approvingly?

MLB did an essay on those Cleveland teams, "The Dynasty That Almost Was".

Is Blues Brothers more loved in Chicago than Ferris Bueller's Day Off?

They’re both loved here. I don’t know if you could say one more than the other.

Something happened! Finally. What a hit!

I went to the game yesterday, and if you don’t love Seven Nation Army and the Cha Cha Slide, it is…not the place for you.

The men on MLB radio today were raving about Meidroth. That trade is going to be remembered for a long time on the South Side.

@Matt, I could probably use a new kneecap too.

The fan wearing the gaudy M&Ms bomber jacket and a giant, novelty-sized cap is a vibe I'm strangely jealous of.

I don't know how any catcher can make that play.

Some command issues in this game.

I kind of hoped that was going to go out and just clear the bases.

This is a good challenge.

Home Alone needs a shoutout for Chicago-set movies. Every couple years that's a holiday re-watch.

Can't believe this didn't cross my mind until now.

There are good fastballs and good sliders but the best pitch a pitcher has is the atom ball.

similar-sounding but unrelated: the demon core slider, which creates a little supercriticality event when the bat meets the ball. you may give up a nuke but the batter won't feel so good the next day

Good idea to actually get a hit

M&M jacket man has been at every game for many years.

Is this like Marlins Man but not at all?

Re: live scores in the header – this might make some people avoid your site sometimes, if they have DVR'd their game and don't want it ruined. If people want live scores they know how to find it

The best pitches are the ones from NES Baseball Simulator 1.000 that nobody can throw…yet

That game came out just as I was developing serious baseball fandom as a 9 year old. The number of hours I was allowed to play it is shocking in hindsight. That was straight up bad parenting, tbh.

it's a shame it happened before the advent of mainstream esports too.

Maybe a clicky option?

The Sting was mostly in Chicago

Chicago suburbs classics: Home alone, Sixteen Candles, Uncle Buck, some of FBDO.

Pretty in Pink , Breakfast Club

National Lampoons Christmas Vacation

They really don't make Midwest movies (or TV) like they used to.

i'm supposed to be watching a movie for class but i nearly had a panic attack so i'm calming down by checking baseball scores

unfortunately, i doubt The Hurt Locker (2008) is a midwest film

To me, a real Chicago movie has to have an L scene. The one in Blues Brothers is perfect. Fugitive also.

A new version of it would be awesome

Two weeks ago I watched Snow White with my 4 year old great-grand daughter sitting on my lap, Now that was a great movie experience. I am getting to visit her and her 2 year old sister again on Saturday

OH geez

Oh, Fedde's OK

From the reaction, I thought he had gotten it square in the face

It was funny, he watched the liner go past him into center, but then opened his glove to see if it might have also ended up there somehow.

Jose – Jose -Jose – Jose. !!!!!!

Turns out homers are good

I hope Keaton is watching and happy.

José is AMPED!

I was heartbroken back when he was coming up and found out his name wasn't pronounced Bibby

You mean Bibberty?

I'm too busy trying to replace our Meidroth/sistene chapel picture with Jose Ramirez

Do people not mind all these seven-pitcher games? I’m not a fan aesthetically.

I was looking through our articles from 10 years ago, because I know we advocated this idea more or less. https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-al-wild-card-game-should-be-…

A little be careful what you wish for.

A little it becomes uncool once everyone does. Defensive shifts were the same way. Once everyone did it. It wasn't a competitive edge. It was just lame.

It'll be funny if the White Sox end up scoring 10 and none of them via hit

chase meidroth's name sounds like a very rude imperative

probably uttered by bart simpson or similar

joey bart simpson. is this anything.

d'oh. chandler was also right there.

Sabrowski games drive me nuts, because I have a reflexive reaction to every time his name is said because it's a common way people mispronounce my last name if they don't really read the order of the letters right

There is nothing that I find more useless than the 1st base penalty. There are two plays a 1st baseman has to do that no other fielder has to make. Scooping and avoiding the runner on the throw to 2nd. Murakami has surprised me with his deft fielding .

This game rules!

Yesterday I complained to Sean that I couldn't find a "neither" button when asked who I wanted to win between the Rays and the other team. Today it is a "both" button that is needed because I will be rooting for whichever team wins this series when they meet the Rays

I'm going to start just putting in teams that aren't playing in the game.

Good challenge by Kwan!

Used at the proper time.

This game is insane. I have lost track of the number of lead changes. Though some of that is I am not sure I know how to define a lead change. Does tying count? But does that mean tying and then going ahead counts as two? Hmm. (Maybe there won't be any more, though–this game is getting out of hand as I'm typing this.)

Yeah, that slipped away quickly.

Just made a poll for this!

I run the bathroom and hell breaks out

Unsurprisingly, the White Sox have run out of pitching.

Yes, the game feels wild. I told my wife "There's just so many hits!" which is dumb because it's a baseball game and hitting baseballs is kind of the thing they do. And Chicago doesn't even have that many hits! It just feels like there's so much happening on the bases. I'm know this easy easy to quantify, but I prefer "total base vibes" and the vibes are large

We need to add TBV to the leaderboards.

There's been 4 lead changes. One each inning that a team scored. I'd say tying doesn't count, but it doesn't matter, because it was never tied after the inning finished.

I think DeLauter is out

I called him out and did my little hand signal at my TV.

Thanks everybody. There have been a couple of late nights here on the east coast and this one is ovah so I will be heading off. Can't wait for Saturday night. Grandma and Great grandpa will be back from the family visit just about in time for the start.

I just went 1-1 in my kickball doubleheader, pitched very well in the second game, and I’m here and ready to party

10.242

3333333333333333333-6+

0

0

ack

Hello to Dan’s cat

Yeah, that was Justinian

The spam filter caught the repeated messages.

I thought maybe you were loading ZiPS data into the chat.

Justinian is good at Live Game Thread.

Do we have some analysis of RPs being overexposed in playoff series? I'm sure it's been done plenty of times but the Grant Taylor of it all this series seems like a fascinating case study

This is hard to watch….can't see the Sox recovering in Game 5 in Cleveland.

Bet ya didn't see them making the playoffs either

I've thought about looking to it, but I've never been able to pin down a good methodology

If Liberty Mutual really wants my business, they'll run a spoof ad of the Sydney Sweeny "sports" ad but with the himbo dude they have

But all the balls the himbo holds up is Bibberty

Haha amazing

There's also this article from SABR's Baseball Research Journal.
https://sabr.org/journal/article/balancing-starter-and-bullp…

Also, hello everybody.

Whats the scuttlebutt on how much the White Sox will be willing to spend moving forward now that the competitive window is open? Dark horse on Skubs?

Maybe if the Catholic Church is pitching in funds.

I don't have any intel, but I'm inclined to agree with David CHW.
(I'm choosing to believe that the team you root for is part of your name.)

So basically get the Vatican to sell off some of their art collection and see what they can get. Is Jeffrey Loria still around? Whats the surplus value of a Raphael painting?

You have to differentiate in the sea of Davids

There have to be some players in MLB who would sign a below-market deal if personally asked to do so by the Pope. I'm guessing quite a few.

I have lived all over America and never met anyone with an accent like the people in George and Mandy's First Marriage

If Grant Taylor just got the overwork penalty, Cade Smith may be due for his in game 5

Vogt certainly does not deserve big points for how he's deployed his guys most of this series. Back to back days in effective mop-up for Smith.

This is a crazy pitching decision

Cool

Man I love baseball

I blame Gavin Williams coming in and ruining game 5 due to Cade Smith pitching yesterday with a 6 run lead.

So now Smith is likely burned for game 5? Wild…

So give them more looks at your closer, exhaust your closer, have your do or die game starter use bullets 2 days before said game. That's the strategy

This pitcher usage has all felt so extreme panic button from Cleveland

Is Matt Festa hurt? He should have pitched the 9th yesterday and now today.

Festa must have kicked Vogt's dog or something

late to the game, but if the white sox come back i'll eat one (1) walking taco

Managering.

Pulled this chat up to complain about this bullpen management but looks like y'all have that covered

I think this is great. Pitchers should pitch!!!

Benintendi was just hopeless there.

Incredible curves. These guys can pitch more pitches and more often than they do, so let's see it. Go White Sox though

I understand you NEED to win tonight to survive, but you also NEED to win the next game to survive. I just can't believe 1 inning in a 4 run lead is better now than getting 5 innings the next game in another must win game.

Whatever happens here they should absolutely start him game 5. Ligaments are replaceable but flags fly forever

This is beautiful

It's not just a matter of injury risk, though – it's a matter of effectiveness in an elimination game.

These curveballs look pretty effective to me

Today, yeah…

Where's Emmanuel Clase when you need him?

House arrest? I think?

I was mad last night about Cade Smith in the 9th, and now I'm really mad. Also, I didn't love Smith in the 8th with a 4 run lead, but it's defensible.

They get a day off they'll be fine

Both these dudes are 27 years old, peak physical condition

Thanks everyone! Looks like we got another one of these on Saturday!


Members Only Game Thread: LDS – Oct 7, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the LDS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch four baseball games for the last time all year! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

We are going to open the chat up at 3:30 PM ET and it will remain open until the final out of the Brewers-Padres game.

Hi everyone! And for the record, my favorite Midwestern foods are cheese curds, Juicy Lucys, and buckeye candies

Midwestern-style pizza is underrated. There's Detroit-style, but there's also this generally square cut, sort-of-but-not-super-thin standard MW pizza that just hits the spot.

I would know, I have been a Midwesterner all my life

Have you gone to an Elvis game?

Which World Series Game in Chicago does the Pope go to?

Game 3 or 7? Feel like those are the most Catholic numbers. Unfortunately, there is no game 12.

What WHITE Sox celebrity I’d throwing out first pitch? Luis Aparicio… MJ ?

MJ in the red City Connect jerseys would be sick

Bumpy cake!

Dan's not in this chat, so I guess we can say Cincinnati chili

I had Skyline back in July. It definitely gets too much hate.

Is it called a casserole or hotdish?

As a child I used to get the little Skyline hotdogs, but without the chili. They came in sets of 2 or 3 and would have like a full block of cheddar grated on top of them. So good.

I'd say casserole. But I'm from Pittsburgh.

Also casserole, from Columbus

Sean are you adding features mid chat with the team flairs?

I added it this morning. But yes, team flair. Someone kept on saying "As a [TEAM] fan, I want this…". And I'm like we make that simpler.

The answer is hot dish (north dakota/minnesota)

Imo's pizza and frozen custard

I've hosted a few parties with Imo's that I had shipped in. Along with a block of provel.

playoff odds graphs has small fluctuations since october 5. is this a weather situation, starting pitcher or pure vibes?

It looks like it's like a 0.1% – 0.3% fluctuation. That's just randomness in all likelihood. We can adjust the playing time projections based on an injury or news. But there's always going to be some flux from run to run.

After googling 'popular mid western dishes' and clicking on an AllRecipes list i am going with Tater Tot Hot Dish as the best

Hot dish is a good choice. Hard to go wrong there.

So…who was the mystery first pitch thrower?

Also came here to ask. (And for, you know, the baseball chat)

After all of his injuries, it's so cool to see Daniel Espino starting a playoff game.

I love when teams do [color]-out games. Always looks so cool

Crowd really committed to that BlackOut

crowd sounds very loud on the radio broadcast

Someone named Belmont Cameli from "Off Campus" threw out the first pitch…no idea who that is

Thank you. I had seen that name speculated, but likewise have no idea.

Apparently a square-jawed actor from Naperville

It was a lobbed throw that would hit a LHH but did make most of the way there, catcher reached a little so might have landed at the back of the batters box

As a Cubs fan, I was very sad when Len Kasper left. He got a lot of mockery for leaving to be able to call playoff games on the radio because the team fell apart right after he switched. I'm glad he's getting to finally do it

the height of Midwestern food is the walking taco, an abomination of all cuisines involved

Skyline Chili has entered the chat.

skyline chili is known by all, walking tacos is not known outside of the midwest. people like skyline chili, despite it not being chili

Socktober may be inevitable

Wow, less than an inning

Pretty sure the plan was just for 1 inning.

Ah, ok. I thought Vogt was panicking haha

oh wait, you can add your team to your name? did i miss that

New thing today

Chat settings top-right gear

Are we in agreement, the White Sox are the team that everyone is rooting for if they don't have a dog in the fight?

That is when you challenge!

Darrin Jackson: umpire gave Peters the big ringy-ringy and has to take it back and apologize

Just early

i enjoy the new team thing. before i always wondered what team other people like. like who knows what team "bosoxforlife" is rooting for

huge bovine guy (bos/ox)

Hotdish. State fair fried food on a stick. Cheese curds

ooh, that was a silly little play

total aside, huge fan of the moomintroll series

I think this is the only series where the teams are evenly matched cuisine wise

really depends on your stance toward Tampa Bay-style pizza

You're going to say that one type of dish can make tampa better than the most diverse food city in the hemisphere? I've had great Southern barbecue in Brooklyn in my admittedly very limited experience of NYC

I don't think my sarcasm warning was quite high enough!

sarcasm is very difficult to detect in text, sorry.

I know it isn't midwest cuisine, but the Korean corndogs at Rate Field are delicious and I highly recommend them

The footlong Chicago dog at Rate Field is also very good

is it too late to say a giant tenderloin sandwich or a bowl of chili with a peanut butter sandwich on the side.

I will go for a sandwich alongside a sandwich.

I did a poor job of writing that sentence. The PB sammy goes with a bowl of chili. The tenderloin is a completely different amazing dish.

Anyone got some ballplayer food names? Ben Rice relevant today

Does Bryan Baker count?

Boxberger was a good one.

Ooof, out of challenges this early.

Tim Salmon

first you send your Rice to the Miller, then it goes to the Baker, and then you have rice bread to go with your Salmon

You can eat it Fried too!

This is very advanced level stuff. Well done

Hank Conger (if you eat eel)

Or Trout

Pretzels Getzien

Also Zach Wheat is an old Brooklyn hall of famer (Lighting the Jaffe signal)

Salmon Fried Rice is a great dish

Sean, it looks like Brendan's chat from earlier today disappeared–it's not in the main feed (not sure it was even while going, just linked from the banner at the top of the page). Just thought you'd want to know in case there's a glitch or Brendan neglected to click something that needed to be clicked.

Thanks, here's the link: https://www.fangraphs.com/chat/brendan-gawlowski-prospects-c…. We didn't make a blog post for it. I'll remedy that.

Back to baseball. Fastballs away are not a good pitch.

Ben Clemens wrote that article earlier this year?

I'm curious what pitches in what locations draw the fewest swings – I figure it's stuff that never looks like a strike, like breaking balls above the zone or fastballs below it.

fried catfish hunter too

and he hunts rob deer?

Sox too confident?

I am loving the Hagen Smith/Grant Taylor/Ray Kerr bullpen surprise aspect of these playoffs

Smith's slider is *snapping* wow

He is unhittable if he can throw strikes which is still in question.

JOOOOOO

White Sox need the no triples defense that is being experimented with in the Fall League

That experiment is beyond the pale. I will stop watching if that is ever put in place.

Jo Adell should just try to hit triples every time

Let them load the bases again and finally got punished

fun fact: when jo adell hits it, its called a jriple

man, that oppo groundball down the line is such a killer

.280 xBA and probably not much more xSLG

It doesn't look like much to a computer but gets the job done more often than not.

white sox make an out by contact challenge

You don't see the dropped called third strike too often.

This has to be first in the history of baseball. Four different lefty pitchers in the first four innings of a game.

We back! Very cool touch with the team affiliations, thank you as always for putting these together!

Sean, how do I get my real team affiliation attached to my moniker?

Settings cog in the top right!

We didn't think you needed one!

Thanks!

(I am not Sean but I am helpful)

I'll admit I tend to be skeptical of former players hired in the front office, and was doubly so in the case of Getz, having come from the previous mess of a FO, but he has done a phenomenal job it seems

White Sox still have some life left in them!

Ha Ha, love it!

Double Challenge! 🚨🚨

These are total time sucks. MLB should be replaying the totality of plays when adjudicating challenges.

Agreed it's too legal system-ish.

double uno reverse card

What a silly few minutes

Is *runner at 2B turns his head to look at the bag* the universal sign for telling the hitter it's a FB?

@Jon – I have to ask, do you and Jason have automations set up to track roster moves and lineup projections, or are you glued to your computer at all hours F5ing ad nauseam

You should see them at dinner during Winter Meetings.

I'll take that double over catcher's interference!

Peters loves those long AB's. Not quite 18 pitches but he delivered again.

So Jazz Chisholm Jr. has likely played his last game as a Yankee

If you're the Yankees do you QO Jazz? If you're Jazz, do you accept?

I think they'll QO him and he'll decline it.

haven't followed him much, but at a glance I'd say yes and no – he's only 29 next year and looks like a 2+ win guy moving forward

Yes and yes but I am neither the Yankees nor Jazz Chisholm Jr.

jazz has to have a free agency market, in spite of everything. i could def see the angels go after him

I don't see someone who talks about having 50/50 season this year just accepting the QO.

It obviously will depend on what other offers are on the table, but I think the appeal of accepting it would be a chance to redo his walk year after this year’s performance

if I was a GM he is not someone i would want on the team. He seems to dance to his own drum and isn't so good that you want him around at the price he is going to ask for.

I wouldn't mind a high-value, shorter contract if you trust your organizational culture, clubhouse leaders and manager, but I wouldn't want to be on the hook for six years and nine figures.

I think that’s overrated, at least specifically in his case, but I do think the yankees are done with him. He objected hard to being benched for one postseason game in 2025, and now he’s going to have been benched for multiple postseason games in 2026, so they’re clearly past caring how he feels about it

if he has a QO attached to him I could definitely see him being one of those "unsigned into March" guys, let along the lockout playing a part

Not starting tonight is absolutely a ticket out of New York.

He's sitting against a RHP today. Not sure if that's happened before in the playoffs. Not a good look

Which is exactly why I made my comment.

Had me thinking about it so I just did the research and nobody has been stuck waiting until the season to take less $$ because of the QO since Keuchel in 2019- feels like it used to be 3-4 guys every year with the old CBA

Some of this is more guys accepting it too

Just a routine major league caliber play but still pretty nice.

Horrible way to allow the first run

That might've been even worse but I guess we'll take it?

The pitch of the year coming up

I can just feel the leverage.

and that is what great players do!!

did the ump rule that a catch? i couldn't see on the broadcast. not that it matters, i guess. what a recovery

I simply can't say enough about my appreciation of Jose Ramirez. He stayed with Cleveland when he could have got much more elsewhere. It is too bad that he didn't make that play in front of the home crowd.

I have an unreasonable dislike for Chase Meidroth for the sole reason that his name has terrible mouthfeel.

I still think J-Ram is the most underrated player of this generation and I hope he doesn't get shafted in the Hall vote

Meidroth pronounced sounds like the name of a demon in an Elder Scrolls game

Cleveland has been my AL team since the days of Albert “Don’t Call Me Joey” Belle, but it feels like a frontrunner move to add them as flair on my name.

They haven’t won a World Series since the Truman Administration. I think it’s okay.

J-Ram has an outside shot at 400 HR/400 SB, and maybe 2,500 hits if he really rebounds. I think he’ll get in.

Hey I'm writing up the LAD-ATL game tonight, so I'm just stopping in to say hi. Also, I'm glad you got that BOS tag next to your name, bosoxforlife. Now we'll finally know who you're rooting for.

I am very proud to have been a Red Sox fan since my first game at Fenway in August 1948 and am not afraid to show my loyalty through thin and, finally, thick.

ok i'm switching to the LA-ATL game

Asking for two innings from Cade Smith up four runs feels a little much

How many non-Grant Taylor relievers have attempted this in the last week already and gotten hit? Duran, Miller, etc

Hate it.

Also the correct answer for “favorite Midwestern food” is Italian beef ordered wet, hot and sweet.

Hotdish is my favorite Midwest food.

I am still trying to find a way to answer "neither" when asked who I want to win in the Rays-Yankees game.

I’ll try to remember for tomorrow.

walking ten and striking out 16 times (and counting!) is not a good way to win a baseball game

feels like the Dodgers hitting plan for today was "sit on the splitter and wait for a bad one"

This broadcast totally forgot about Tyler Anderson 🙁

So do GMs, most years

remember when he randomly popped for 4 WAR in 2022 and got way overpaid by the Angels? Pepperidge Farm remembers.

i was at his near no hitter vs the angels and its the one time ive ever been actively mad at shohei since he broke it up in the ninth

Smoltz says players will evolve in “when, how, and why they will challenge” in ABS. I want him to expand on this “how” element of the challenge system.

accidentally while adjusting their helmets

I was thinking maybe more taps? Like at least five or six.

Cleveland is Clevelandmaxing

Gotta sit Cade now, right?

I don't much want to watch him broadcast baseball, but I would absolutely watch Smoltz try to play a video game

He was proudly Smoltzsplaining how to get a big lead and force a throwover. I would watch that.

How fate twists and turns as life goes on. Early in the year Davis Martin was a leading candidate for the Cy Young and now he is relegated to mop up duty.

mop-up guy came in in the third

wow! still Cade Smith? with a 6 run lead?

Stephen Vogt is usually one step ahead but this is definitely a questionable decision.

Great response with the CLE/CHW poll! Most of you were wrong. But I like the participation!

Has Davis Martin made a start in the playoffs yet?

3 hard hit outs against Mahle that inning

the BABIP gods giveth, the BABIP gods taketh away.

Muncy hit a really good pitch 390 feet. Braves should be very worried about third time through but are very inconsistent about how much they consider that.

Could we *not* check in on the prediction trends, driven by Polymarket?

5 walks is bad and all, but ultimately 4.2 IP 1 ER from your #4 starter in the playoffs is perfectly adequate

Hello from Yankee Stadium

Here's a poll question:
Will the Yankees make more errors than I eat press box cookies tonight?

If I were there and this question were about me, it would be no contest.

For those of you who don't know, during last year's ALDS, Davy carried multiple plastic cup's worth of cookies out to the auxiliary press box in the right field upper deck stands. It was inspiring

Cookies are my favorite food.

Teoscar looks hurt

Can't believe that wasn't a triple. Did he not run out the box? Tbh I guess that's fair cause I *really* can't believe it wasn't a homer lol

He didn't go into his HR trot but he never hit high gear.

Feel like we should find a way to tax ad spend for gambling sites. Consider it a pigouvian tax.

So twice ATL wont score because a baserunner didnt get to 3rd when they should have

Wait, Harris scored on the first one.

Last night it was easy to find time to have dinner between games but I am befuddled by what I am going to have to do to fit my chicken alfredo into the schedule.

How was the pizza?

It was, as always, just right. Crisp and loaded with meats of all kinds.

Brandon Gaudin clearly saw the criticism of Joe Davis and didn’t want the same.

Well, time to watch the judge yankees die

they gave fried schlittler’s numbers in the tv graphic

I was so confused by this

It looks like Fuentes is beginning to show some fraying around the edges.

I think it was 47 pitches and then two days rest. That feels like a lot of pitches to only rest two days.

i think he was safe

Yeah, but seriously Teo, come on

Too close to overturn.

Closer than it needed to be though. Would've been a total tootblan

I'm happy anytime there's a chance to say TOOTBLAN

What was that, 6 pitches?

New lineup fixed everything

Keys to the game. Don't walk guys with 2 outs

The Dodgers are just absolutely mocking that conventional wisdom this series.

F*** the Dodgers! That is all.

Wow

What type of cookies? I am partial to rea Toll House.

They're very much cafeteria cookies. Usually chocolate chip (but those go fast) and oatmeal raisin.

Pages should have ran through second there.

One of my favorite baseball-isms is guys throwing "the kitchen sink." I just love the idea of people who don't know the sport blinking at the idea of a "kitchen sink guy"

Say what you want about Smoltz

Why is Acuna batting 2nd?

Where should he be hitting? He was fantastic in September. If we are moving guys down based on the postseason, are we moving Olson and Baldwin down, too?

Has Acuna even hit a ball hard? Olson, Baldwin, and Albies have at least made hard contact

Yes, he has hit a ball hard.
Edit: his hard hit rate coming into today in this series is 50%, tied for highest on the team.

Fried’s hurt

Fried still out there. Any source on the injury?

Acuna a non-factor….tough to see.

What happened to Fried? Watching Braves game….

Unclear but Cole just jogged out to the bullpen

As much as I hate the Yankees (I'm an Orioles fan), good to see Lombard post up since his call up.

He’s been bad

That changeup for strike three by Martinez was pretty

Fried back out for the third.

Lombard making a mistake on the field again. That throw was both futile and wide and could’ve given deluca an extra base if garcia didn’t bail him out

Are you guys watching Yankees exec Mike Pinsky on Survivor 51?

No, I’m watching Dua Lipa in the second row

Maybe Lombard is too

"dula peep" "i can't [field a ground ball]"

Playoff baseball, and we have someone invading the chat who's watching Survivor….LMAO!

could a player theoretically go on the injured list for insomnia

the basis for this question is that i felt my game iq slide into the negatives as i attempted to play frisbee on 30 minutes of sleep last night

for sure, right? I think I can recall some sleep apnea diagnoses helping players get right

Rays win

What's happenin', hot stuff?

As much as I'm frustrated by not having a dining table at hand when I go to a baseball game, I find the Chop House slightly offensive. It feels antithetical to the communal peanuts-and-cracker jack mode of live baseball

if you aint balancing an aggressively laden tupperware and thermos of scalding soup precariously on your lap you aint livin

i think the only viable solution is a lecture hall style desk that folds out from in between, and is inevitably covered in gum et cetera

atlanta would never have an offensive chop

Diaz again. Do the Dodgers think he’s back?

rice is nice!

Well damn, maybe he is.

He was pretty good to close out the season

Popping back in just to celebrate!

🙂

alas, my "hometown" "team", the cobb county hatchets, have fallen

nice George

The funny thing about the Yankees is that they *can* play good defensively. Great even, at times. But they can also look like a DSL club some nights.

That was some great defense right there

Congrats to Ryan Vilade, former Indianapolis Indian

Scorebug got fooled there

How do we feel (aesthetically) about the moment of ambiguity when it's not clear whether it's a home run or a robbery? Extra fun 'cause suspenseful, or annoyingly anticlimactic?

I'm a fan

It's super fun when they actually catch it and play it cool for a second or two

I only like it when it's a catch

i'm not a huge fan bc it feels like doing the pitcher dirty

but im sure lots of pitchers are chiller than i imagine. i'm just socially anxious and a mess

lombard feels like a bwj type situation to me. he might grow into ss really nicely

at least that's my hope, bc i find defense aesthetically pleasing

TBS messed up and put up a third out on that HR. Oops.

Ben Rice deserves to be on a better team

wheelhouse deserves to root for a better team

ftr i think it's like a law of nature that wheelhouse must be a yanks fan. like fermions having half-integer spin. if you put another hat on their head they become a non-wheelhouse

The Yankees had the best run differential in the league this year by a lot. This isn't a bad team. I wish for the day when the Yankees have an actual bad team

I didn’t say they were bad, I said Rice deserves better

rice deserves a whole bibimbap of accompanying characters

rice deserves to be the staple grain of entire continents and their diaspora

i'm so hungry.

the yankees are certainly a very frustrating team i will grant

Is this one of those injury replacements that really isn't 'cause they were going to take him out anyway? And does the reliever still get the extra warmup pitches in that situation?

extra warm up pitches feels almost… counterproductive to me. if the guy's already warm, save his bullets, i guess? i don't know how arm health works, though

Why would you be playing jones shallow

i am sure aaron boone has seen 10^23 times more baseball played than i have, and has billions more neural connections related to it than i have, and knows subconsciously more than i will ever consciously know about the sport. but every so often he makes a decision that's a real head-scratcher, even to me

did you know that neutrinos change flavors. i didn't even know neutrinos had flavors until today. what do you think they taste like

I heard it was considered as a secret ingredient on Iron Chef but producers worried that it would be the most disappointing and confusing reveal.

Should Boone pull Fried for the sixth

Hey everybody, just filed my Dodgers-Braves gamer. What'd I miss in New York?

Rice is a good hitter. Kevin Cash has a quick hook.

ben rice is still the goat

some yankees fans might hate the yankees more than i do

Wasn't a quick hook. Martinez left after getting hit by the Volpe line drive

He seemed to be on the ropes anyway, but I think that prompted it.

another hard hit lineout for trent grisham. i will not be looking at the average social media take on trent grisham

Boone should pull Fried, right?

i am trying to use the new flairs to create words instead of watching real baseball. the psychologists continue to insist that this constitutes normal behavior.

I love this for you

"i'm creating value for society!" i scream, while they drag me back to the basement

Fried’s back out there

if you stitched fried and rodon together do you think they'd be injured more or less frequently

not sure, but theyd make a great circus act

BAAANG

Oh my goodness, the way Mesa watched that ball.

Hey Boone should’ve pulled Fried

That was awesome

God I hate being a better manager on my couch than that numbskull

Did something happen between Mesa and Wells bc that was aggressive

I thought he was looking at his bench

I uh don't think that's where Fried wanted that sweeper.

I uh don’t think that the mound in the sixth inning in a win-or-go-home game is where I wanted Fried

i remember him melting down in the atl/sdp wild card in… '24? i think it was yom kippur as well; idk if he's observing still

my friend's cat bernie is not impressed.

Victor Mesa is a very fun Rays Magic story.

I have rarely been so shocked by a HR. Might be the worst pitch I've ever seen Max Fried throw. I wonder if the Caminero hot shot back at him messed him up

Good hitter third time through the order

Not better than Aranda or Diaz. And not a better hitter than Fried is a pitcher. And Fried was cruising until the the liner at his face

“He was cruising”? Are we in pre-SABR times?

The first 2 batters of the inning were sat down easy. And the previous inning was 1-2-3 with two nasty strikeouts

good guy fried wanted to make sure he could be home for his new kid

Is Fried really that bad of an option there? He's a top 10-15 starting pitcher in the game and he had the platoon advantage over Mesa. I love to rail on Boone as much as the next guy but this one wasn't an obviously bad call

clearly, because he gave up a homer /s

I didn't think it was obvious, but I'm generally skeptical of the 3rd-time-through orthodoxy (and I wanted Gray to be left in, so it would be hypocritical to say Fried clearly shouldn't have been).

It’s the third time through the order, against the top of the order, in a tied win-or-go-home game, with a fully rested bullpen. Inexcusable

Oh, and Fried has been on the IL twice this season and hasn’t regularly gone deep into games

Wasn't Jax going to start tomorrow? If there's a game 4, who starts?

I guess we’ll never know

it aint over til, uh, what was it?

Mr. wheelhouse the odds of max fried giving up a left on left homer to victor mesa are like 0.1%. This series is just hell

Fist LvL home run Fried's given up this year I think.

Put the ball girl at third

actually kill me

Go Rays! defeat the evil empire!

you're all invited to my funeral

Nice challenge by Hicks

evil empire you're stuck in the 90s brotha

AHHHHHHHH|

I love it when the ball girl makes a nice catch. It's one of my favorite bits of baseball mundanity

wow

ANTNEE

oh my

Volpe, of course.

Where the heck did that ball go? Live, it didn't look like the fans got it either

Hit the roof

Mesa had an odd reaction there

If this gets overturned I'm excited to watch Boone get tossed

bout to def wasn't over

i cant wait for it to get overturned plz

I think that's a double

If they can split the difference there

Definitely not a homer

Jeffrey Maier is looking old

Yea no way where does Lombard go

It looked good head on but the guy in the jacket was clearly way over.

I’d call him out.

if its a double Lombard definitely would have score no?

I’d call him out.*

Over/under on items thrown on the field when this is overturned?

Two beverages, a container of popcorn and counting.

they will always be the evil empire to me! Although now the dodgers also qualify.

Right call, imo

Really just out of spite for the fan that reached into the field of play.

Literally everything is going against us today. I hate this

Boone asking for an explanation for a perfect call in which the run scored is interesting

Eyewash

We might need a poll for that

Maybe he wants Volpe on third?

Also, come on, we're at least another 75 years from the Yankees not being the Evil Empire

Being a yankee fan who wasn't alive for the dynasties is odd

I feel ya. It's got to be unsettling to be the Nebraska football of baseball

Go Rays!!! Tampa needs some love!

holy changeup Jesus

They've been a normal big-market team for at least 15 or 20 years now but the metaphysical inertia they built up from 1920 to ~2009 is the size of a planet

For Twins fans it continued into 2010, 2017, 2019. I will never not despise the Yankees

As someone born in 2000, I do remember 2009. But fans of other teams really underestimate the sense of how fans of my age feel just like any other team. We genuinely feel we have seen barely any success. Yes we appreciate being good every year. But a lot of other teams are good every year (or most, we are abnormally consisten). But at some point we want WS titles, and we just feel like we consistently fail in the playoffs. Because we don't remember the 90's. It not relevant

No we have it so much better than most. The bad thing about the past few years is how uniquely humiliating the losses have been.

Try living through one losing season then we'll talk

Exactly we got it good but the laugh factor of the recent losses sucks a lil

As I am also a fan of sports teams that miss the playoffs I can say id rather them miss the playoffs than lose to a huge rival because they make 5 errors in a game with the cy young winner on the mound

You get to pitch Cy Young pitchers and see home run champions every year. Have the Yankees ever traded away at the deadline?

They were very stupid not to in 2023

They got Gleyber Torres from the Cubs for Aroldis Chapman in 2016

They did not know it was an option probably

hey you kids get off my lawn! /snark

The Yanks definitely aren't the same Evil Empire to the rest of the league anymore, but respectfully, a Pirates fan born in 2000 has seen 6 playoff games in their lifetime and they lost 4 of them… there's levels to it is what I'm saying

Thank you Michael I am stealing metaphysical inertia. this is why I subscribe to this service

Manny Machado did WHAT

At minimum the consequence needs to be that they confiscate the ball, right?

(he bunted for a hit)

I know a few METS fan who still think the Yankees are evil. They will always be evil. Baseball is more fun when you hate or love the Yankees.

Now imagine if that third run had been to take the lead, instead of not being enough to make up for Mesa’s HR

I take it personally that the Red Sox were denied an opportunity for another World Series because John McGraw refused to play them in 1904. A few mildly underachieving years for the Yankees are not going to change how I feel about them.

Okay Boston sports fan experiencing literally the most sports success ever of all time and still complaining

Not being a football fan changes things a bit, but point taken.

Fair fair

The Red Sox have completely dominated the Yankees for most of my living memory

Didn't the Yankees just obliterate them last week in a playoff "series"

That was AI

Even as a Red Sox fan it kind of feels that way with what so often happens to the Yankees right after they beat the Red Sox soundly (in the regular season just as much as the playoffs, it feels like)

Can we get a flair for team entropy? I just want every series to go to the last game. Maximum baseball.

What would it be? ΔS?

Ω_max(Baseball)

ΔS is really good i appreciate this (currently in thermodynamics)

Yeah, I was wondering if you got your homework done when I wrote that.

Does Yankee Stadium even have parking lots?

for once!

That was a nice last Yankee AB for Jazz

Well we got to see Jazz Chisholm

He was in there to homer or walk and took a good aggressive homer swing just missed it

The Yankee fans seem nice.

Would you be

TBF the Dodger fans would have left already to beat traffic

Now a nice last Yankee AB for Grisham, and Bednar’s warming up for his last Yankee innings, right after Blackburn’s last Yankee inning+. Considerate of Boone to get everyone in the game so we can all say goodbye. Maybe he’s not so bad of a manager after all

Yankees fans booing their own team is so Yankees fans

idiot fans

I have always felt Jazz Chisholm was a great name.

its a one run game stop booing

So true

Could’ve been a one run game the other way if Boone had pulled Fried when he should’ve

Brother if you want to play the odds game the odds of mesa hitting that homer are so slim. if Diaz or caminero hit it id get it but he mowed down Diaz and Aranda to start the inning

At worst, it should’ve been batter-to-batter with a reliever ready as soon as one reached base.

If its batter to batter you're absolutely leaving him in against a lefty with a runner on first

damn Jax so nasty

Jax is nasty. Can't be too upset at Grisham or Rice

Curveball averaged 86 w -16 tn

I love that MLB doesn't stretch out the playoffs games ridiculously like the NBA does, but is it too much to ask to avoid overlapping games?

I love the overlapping games. Feels like March madness

I went to a night dodger game at the end of a spring break road trip and we were in the parking lot until midnight and then had to drive all night up I-5 to the Bay

It is honestly the worst postgame experience

public transit >>

In full agreement that public transit is the way to go to a ballgame

there's this song called "LAX" by vulfpeck. the hook goes "i love my baby, she's the best / she picks me up at LAX". it sounds like a love song, and it is, but even more it's a condemnation of lax as a feat of extreme endurance

I haven't been to a Dodger game, but have spent enough time in LA to say I don't think you want to take public transportation there.

Car dependency + NIMBYs = awful everything

I believe Tampa Rays are the best run team in sports. Go Rays!

Them and MIL. Rays strategy of getting a bunch of scrappy guys and elite pitching seems to get them a legit run every 5 or so years. Can't ask for much more when you don't spend

Only one 90 loss season since 2008. In the last 10 years they haven't had a 90 loss season or finished last. So they do this without long periods of high draft picks…in the AL East

Victor Mesa Jr. had reverse splits this year btw, just fwiw. 146 wRC+ vs. LHP

Yeah but it's max fried who famously does not give up home runs. I get taking him out but its not like leaving him in is bringing in Nestor cortes to face Freddie freeman

Bringing in Nestor there was more defensible than leaving Fried out there here

Victor Victor Mesa Mesa

victor "victor mesa" mesa

vick table

I'll bet the Marlins miss Mesa

Clean shaven gerrit Cole jumpscare

i wish for a midwest funfest world series

If that happens, we are going to have so many Midwest themed polls in here.

I hope its finally the brewers year

I hope your right, but the dodgers exist!

He wasn’t hit there

Weird one because it sounded like it did but didn't look like it

That won’t be overturned and Boone should get himself tossed

Aranda's elbow guard didn't move and the spin of the ball didn't change. Don't like that call.

If he doesn’t he’s quiet quitting

That's terrible. Pretty clearly didn't touch him

Junior is so scary

Not a HBP

i am somewhere within a day's round trip of the twin cities, so i went to kramarczuk last time i was down there. good soup. excellent soup.

Looked like the ball changed direction slightly

I wonder whether Bednar gets the QO. Velo was down from his peak all year

between bednar and r. iglesias who do you figure is the better true talent closer

it'll be interesting to see. velo down but splitter took a huge step forward. doubt they give a reliever that money

I'd guess Bednar

Bednar but they’re both in the great, not elite tier

i think they are very similar. one could even say close.

can Adrian Morejon close as well as them?

I think they either trade for a brand name who hasn’t hit FA and gotten paid yet (there was so much noise around Miller), or sign someone who’s gotten saves for someone to go into a competition with the likes of Headrick and Lagrange for the spot

in my mind, based on exactly 0 data, morejon feels like a better closer candidate than either

Morejon will also get paid as much or more than either

My gut feels the same

I believe that was Volpe’s first-ever putout at 3B in the majors

Red Sox legend Cam Booser

That story on him on mlb.com was really cool

RARE RAYS DEFENSIVE MISCUE

a win for team entropy

Not an awesome throw but Aranda's got to pick that. Caminero did a pirouette for God's sake

They called it an E5?

everyone knows that the more you spin the more obligated the 1b is to pick it

I would not have, obviously

i think TΔS works maybe? being part of the thermodynamic identity if you swap d for delta

Lombard actually swinging at a first pitch fastball strike for once in his entire career. He missed it

Great time for an ad break

Hated it

Makes me mad

you know I just really wish it was a gambling ad

They are prediction markets

u right u right my bad

Nice for Stanton to get one last AB as a Yankee.

lighten up, Francis

I said it’s nice

Hope he doesn’t strike out

Whelp

It was still Nice

0.7^3 is a shockingly small number, and i wish people who bet on parlays understood that better

What are we talking about here

sorry i meant to reply to the thing about gambling ads. parlays preying on a "near miss" fallacy etc. the more legs to a parlay, no matter how good the chances of an individual leg hitting, the worse the chances get, invariably.

Stanton up. This is cinema. Does a HR here materially effect his HOF chances?

giancarlo "notnats" stanton

legendary social media presence

i was trying to show my friends photos of his batting stance and came across his nude photoshoot. that was an interesting day

Interesting…. but not bad

He should lay down a bunt

Hold on doing a parlay on that

Dang we both lost money

Thanks for nothing G

the cleveland series was legendary though. i wish he could have kept hitting nukes forever

g. stanton > 0.5 bunts, g. stanton > 0.5 hrs, g. stanton > 3 Ks. surely that'll hit

Ugh. A HR would have been so crazy. Wasted chance

kelly was a brutal matchup. no homer off those bowling balls

7, 8, and 9 in the order up in the ninth against Baker

they yankees have them right where they want them

Rays would have been so flummoxed by the bunt attempt that they'd throw it away. Yes I am available to manage the Yankees, if only they'd ask

Would you have pulled Fried prior to the sixth? If so you’re disqualified for knowing too much ball

I would not have cause I only learned about the reverse splits after the fact when the announcers mentioned it

Can I get a fact check on there having been no new options for motion sickness in the last 40 years

I mean, I know they had Dramamine in 1986 so….

i wasn't aware i even had options! i've just been carrying my plastic-lined bag around in case…

Phoebe Bridgers is new as of the past 40 years

tbf so am i

Fried couldn't have done THAT??? 😔

muk frid

mac feed

You're tellin me a Max fried this rice??

srimp

Oh Tatis Tater to tie it up, nice

word?? I gotta turn that game on

Are Singles Tater Tots?

infield hit has to be, like, a single shred from hash brown

So Kelly finished the inning and can now be removed from the game. If he comes out next inning can he be removed after facing a second batter if he's previously finished an inning? Or does he then have to face a third hitter?

Three batter minimum is only waived to start an inning

I.e. the latter

If that’s the last we see of Bednar I would like to congratulate him on having been A Good Yankee. Rare these days

Not that rare. Hit-and-miss for big trade acquisitions maybe.

Love Bednar. Though going to commercial with him on the mound and coming back with Baker on the mound made me think the aspect ratio on my TV had gone off

2

Baker does not look unbeatable tonight, which is a start

Throw strikes

Can we get a Yankee GIDP to end it all

So close

Jones should steal here

Babe Ruth 1926 World Series Game 7 caught stealing would ruin me rn

i concede

Future Pirate Jazz Chisholm Jr

Ooooooh almost

1

Another rotating Rays infielder, another botched pick by Aranda

Ah thought that was it

Are all you Yankees fans gonna come back the rest of the playoffs after tonight?

Which would you prefer

Absolutely not

probably gonna have to use tomorrow to weep

Whoever said a spin should oblige the first baseman to catch better, I don't care if you were being sarcastic: It should

more spins more better was my thesis. i am unprepared to defend it

Oh, it’s over

WOOOOOO

I’m less upset than I was after game 2 by far

Congratulations to the St. Petersburgians!

Go Tampa!

I take it Junior Caminero doesn't use a broom very much in his day-to-day life.

Is that what he was doing?? I thought he was golfing for some reason

Ninety-nine percent sure it was a sweep, but yeah, he shouldn't take up miming.

the children yearn for the mimes

Is the roof the series MVP?

Maybe the turf?

Boone “shaking up the lineup” meant that Grisham took that AB instead of, you know, Ben Rice btw

tactical genius Aaron Boone

Should have just slapped a fake mustache on Judge and sent him up. "Yea I uhhh had a growth spurt"

People really think it’s yankee fan overreaction to say he’s terrible at the job. I don’t see one thing he’s good at

What a terrible at bat from Grisham and Jazz after a game full of them. Mind boggling that Boone thought putting Trent first instead of Rice was a good idea. Imagine Rice taking that at bat instead…

what happened to grish even

Oh, this one’s easy: they bit hard on an outlier year and ignored concerning trends w.r.t. his defense and general athleticism, and then sunk-cost fallacy meant they kept playing him

There's a little more to this one. He looked great, then he strained a hammy and didn't hit as well afterward. And some of the advanced numbers say he just got unlucky even after the injury.

i know last year was kind of an outlier but he just totally cratered

The Rays' radio guy is suddenly complaining that the Rays don't get enough love from the "national writers." Is that true? I thought everyone agreed that the Rays are the most efficient franchise in baseball?

I would assume they're talking more about ESPN/FS1 types not Fangraphs.

I can't speak about the media. But I can say TBR didn't receive as much love from the bettors. Going into the season, even though the Rays had won more games than NYY and had home-field advantage, more money was put on NYY than on TBR.

That’s because bettors bet for their team and there are more Yankees fans than Rays fans in the country. That’s all that is

And that is how smarter bettors make money.

Sure, but dumb bettors are not a demographic whose respect I’d care about

I dislike the implication that I'm obligated to "love" anyone

It's why I don't have a dog

they are a bit tricky to root for tbf. churn etc

so Yankees fans hate dogs?

How long do you have if you want to get to the bottom of what Yankees fans do and do not hate

yanks HATE bark @ the park

My son Is a rays fan. Keeps needing new jerseys bc all the players get traded

hopefully caminero is around for a long time

just get him a Wade Boggs devil Rays Jersey. He is in the hall of fame.

That's like buying a Pete Rose Expos jersey!

zobrist? longoria?

He’s off the payroll he buys his own jerseys now. But in 2020 we went to the WS together in TX and it was great. ( for me the Dodger fan)

I know

Erasmo Ramírez

Will Boone be back?

no comment on his game iq but i personally find him a bit unpleasant

Yes

Chat, I have an important update from Matt Martell: The Yankees made zero errors and I, unfortunately, ate zero cookies.

Boone made several errors on their behalf

davy, i used to work at a place known for its purportedly unlimited cookies. i'll invite you someday somehow

There are few things I wouldn't do for cookies.

funnily enough i am not a very good baker of cookies. i mostly made bread.

You still have my attention.

Obviously the Yankees have a ton of faith in Boone, and I would imagine this isn't quite what it takes to break it, but it does seem at some point you'd have to give another manager a shot to win a WS in the Judge era.

Talking about winning a WS in the Judge era is approaching the same meaning as saying the Nationals won the WS in the Ryan Zimmerman era.

Is it Boone, who was, I read, credited with completely outmanaging Tracy in the previous series, or does it start with Cashman? Do the Rays outplay the Yankees because they have better players, or are the players better prepared?

Yeah, you're right it's more a general staleness. Not sure what the solution is or if it's enough of a problem to need a solution. But most teams do eventually make change even if just to make it.

Bradgley Rodriguez is an early contender for this year's postseason Louis Varland. Will he pitch in every single game? I'm leaning yes.

This is the 4th time in 5 years that a rival team has celebrated eliminating the Yankees from the playoffs on the field at Yankee Stadium. The only respite was missing the playoffs entirely

Like it’s getting boring

congrats on being bored of watching your team in the playoffs?

So you would prefer to lose

Would you have found that series enjoyable

They just lost

Yeah, I just watched it, it wasn't a very good series. Not worse than watching your team suck all year.

I'll feel sorry for you if you go through 7 consecutive 95 loss seasons and sell at all 7 deadlines.

Eh, it sucks to lose, regular season or playoffs. I get it.

then you finally get a winning team and they sell at the deadline!

You guys, Junior Caminero just did the Vladdy "Theeeeee Yankees lose!" thing in the clubhouse.

Oh no. Cursed 2027 season incoming for Junior.

Sterling will live to be mocked, forever.

Checking in late night to celebrate the Yankees being swept away!

And to watch the best series

If Miller and Morejon are healthy and available, why are they not getting these next 12 outs?

asking miller to get 6 outs didnt go well last time, not sure stammen is going to try that again

Seems like the Padres using their high leverage arms in every game in this series is finally coming back to bite them

Do not abuse Morejon! i want him to be a healthy National next season.

Man, I’m sorry but Wainwright adds absolutely nothing to this broadcast. Pierzynski is annoying and has a terrible voice, but at least he sounds like he’s got more than two synapses to rub together. Continues to be the worst booth in this postseason.

It's a shame. Nobody was better at following Molina's commands.

the FOX booths both suck despite basically fine play by play. would be happy to see Peacock expand it's playoff portfolio when the rights all get renegotiated.

Best way to avoid an underwhelming booth? Watch the game from a bar loud enough to drown it out.

The name checks out.

Yankees lineup in 2027 is probably:
1. Rice DH
2. Judge RF
3. Garcia 1B
4. Bellinger LF
5. Lombard SS
6. Jones CF
7. Volpe 2B
8. Wells C
9. McMahon (lol maybe it’ll be Caballero) 3B

That sucks

Yeah woof. Probably only top 3 in runs scored. With a top tier pitching staff. Tough times

5 down is terrible

You mean like Yankees fans that complain about have two of the best power hitters in baseball leading off and batting second followed by a guy that will slug over 500 against rhp?

Whoa. Boo birds are out in San Diego. Who do they think they are, Yankee fans??

Yankees must upgrade at third, but there aren't many options out there

They need two infielders

I'm sure you could get my Nats to trade you YoYo Morales 1b/3b. We are planning on giving him hundreds of at bats next year.

i know it's mo-re-hon but i keep reading it as "more jon"

There are so many ways in which I cannot relate to professional athletes, but watching Mason Miller pitch here with a baby whose age can be measured in hours really makes the comparison stark.

I took zero time off 22 years ago when my daughter was born. Not because I wanted too.

If he’s anything like I was after my first kid was born he’s probably seeing three catcher’s mitts while he’s standing up there.

my sincere condolences. parental leave should be a guaranteed right.

i seen dansby swanson throw frisbees as part of his hitting coaching thing. i seen pitchers throw footballs, javelins, etc for their warmups. do you think pitchers should throw frisbees

Baseball has a lot of food-related slang – cookie, meatball, can of corn, cheese, cup of coffee, oppo taco, grand salami, ribeye… as someone who doesn't watch a lot of other sports, does this also exist in them? Or is it a baseball-only thing?

Uber Eats had that commercial last year with food terminology in football

Tom Brady just added meatball sub to the football lexicon this year. In hockey the puck can be referred to as a biscuit, flowing hair is lettuce, teeth are chiclets as in spittin' chiclets. I think humans are just pretty food focused.

ben rice

Every time they cut to a closeup of Miller, I think, "Now there's an exhausted facial expression I definitely made in the first 24 hours of my daughter's life."

i've been asked "baby now or baby never" more times than i can count of recent. i love kids but at this stage of my life i think i would actually perish if i had to take care of a small child in addition to full-time studenthood

a crash course in thermodynamics as your life melts down before your very eyes

Just become the best reliever in MLB and apparently someone else will take care of them for you?

unfortunately that someone else is almost always "wife" and she's almost always stretched way too thin

Those wives are better paid than mine was

True, I guess you need to hit FA first and get that guaranteed contract.

similar to more-john, i always read it as brajlee and not brad-gley

Well i do not think i can stay up late enough for the game to end. As long as the dodgers lose, I'm fine with whoever they play. Goodnight!

i must take my leave as well. i have to be in class at 7:30 tomorrow (not thermo this time). goodnight all

Has there been any thought about a live score tracker on Fangraphs? Or do you have to pay MLB to license that?

This might be a question for earlier in the night tomorrow. I'm sure Sean will have an answer.

Back-to-back curveballs is super gutty

I loved it.

Moments like that I really miss Vin's "Like a house by the side of the road."

And with that, I've got to head to bed as well. Goodnight, all!

This game makes me wonder how Ashby didn't stick as a starter.

Sadly, my two favorite teams both lost today, the Braves and Not the Dodgers. Thank goodness for Not the Yankees!

So everybody asleep? Is this when we get the good liquor out?

We can talk about the 2027 yankees’ dearth of bullpen options

Cubs are also in that bucket. I think Morejon is a free agent, and if so I think he’s going to get paiiiiid.

The yankees don’t pay relievers anymore

AJ just said Chourio's "gonna be" a star. Who wants to tell him?

That's like all the years Smoltz called Kyle Tucker underrated

Stammen isn't thinking of bringing King back out for the 9th right?

I'm pretty sure most teams go into the offseason with an incomplete bullpen

Contreras so mad.

That might be the first mound visit I've seen by a catcher who wants to cool down himself instead of his pitcher.

Contreras is mad he wasn't able to lose two more challenges

Machado thought it was gone

OHHHHH MY GOD

Missed it by that much

YOINK

I somehow didn't know there is a chat.. This series has been VERY enjoyable

We only started doing this very recently! Outside of the normal game chats of course.

Sean made this from scratch, unlike our Jotcast chats, so it should be more flexible and we can do more of these.

Morejon looks rough.

Does he have the flu?

I feel like he looks like he does.

Just your run of the mill shoulder "stickiness". Evidently.

I'm glad I didn't know there is a chat before Yankees lost – I might have started ranting uncontrollably

You wouldn't have been alone.

There was plenty of that here. It was amusing

It briefly turned into group therapy in here, which was clashing with the early innings of the late game.

Man I don't want this series to end

One more game, please??

Get Buffalo Wild Wings to rig the game

Yeah, was just wishing this was a 7 game series.

I feel like managers get their aces throwing in situations like this just to troll us

The Miz coming in would become the most memorable moment of the postseason

Just not sure why they would do that when Megill exists

Being lazy here – did anyone bring up the definition of insanity and Boone in a sentence?

Just you!

Thanks – As I said, I am glad I didn't know there is a chat until that abomination of a series is over

These two bullpens are nutty. Just a cornucopia of lab-grown mutants throwing 101 with breaking balls that make hitters regret their life choices.

Sounds like a quote from Bull Durham

Megill always amazes me. How he can throw such darts while his delivery makes it look like he's falling backwards always messes with my brain.

And now it comes down to a less-than 100% Holy Sheets. The run may be over.

I feel like AJ is flirting dangerously with Joe Morgan logic right now

ARod logic even

NO

Brewers-Dodgers should be fun!

MLB doing re-runs now?

IMHO with that ball hitting the roof in game 1 and Machado's ball today, Padres can be excused for feeling like they were robbed. – good night everyone!

I don’t watch the Brewers often, but my impression after watching this series is that there is a magical vortex that surrounds them that forces everyone to play “good fundamental baseball.” None of this walking and home run hitting. You might beat them at their game, but you are forced to play it.

Crap, ARod agreeing with me on this point is not a good sign,

I wanted a Padres-Dodgers NLCS for the higher likelihood of tempers and shenanigans but the Brewers deserved it. Helluva team.


Members Only Game Thread: NLDS – Oct 6, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the NLDS Game 3. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Dodgers at the Braves and the Brewers at the Padres. Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

We are going to open the chat up at 5:30 PM ET.

What's the difference between a chat and a game thread? Is a game thread a no-moderation-queue chat?

Correct, this is just an open game thread. So more casual. People can interact with each other rather than having staff facilitate everything. Less friction.

The MVP Yeti arrived last week. Looks great! Thank you and keep up the good work!

Welcome everyone!

Wishing all a happy "hope the dodgers lose" day!

This is such a juicy pitching matchup! Feels like a game 1

I gotta get some polls up!

The pitching matchup is so good that this game will definitely end 11-6

Thoughts on Ohtani batting 5th?

Yeah, is that a “he’s not himself” thing or a “he’s not a good matchup with Sale” thing?

All the Sale discourse has people underrating the heck outta Yamamoto today

I voted for him to get pulled early….but thats more a hope than thinking he's not amazing. As a Jays fan i know all to well how he can take over a game

Don't expect it to change to much, but maybe he'll benefit from seeing a few batters worth of pitches before he goes to bat

Before checking just now I had no idea when this game started, or when the next one did, and these two start times would not have been in my top ten guesses. Definitely not staying up for the late game.

MLB's reluctance to have multiple playoff games on at once is annoying

I don't get why CLE game started at 5PM yesterday and today's is 6PM. Dodgers being a West Coast team vs midwest teams? 🤷‍♂️

I think both games being pacific time is the difference

Hi everyone!

I still haven't put the 👋 emoji in yet!

Hi Jon!

Oh wait this is in Atlanta lol

If Sale were a wide receiver, he would've gotten his foot down on the bag for the first out

Also, hi

Hi Matt!

Sean hasn't added the 👋 emoji yet

Someone submitted 4 PRs today that I need to review.

Kim paying homage to the Yankees defense

Sure would rather have Jorge Mateo…

Lets say the Rays and Dodgers ended up meeting in a 2020 rematch. Could the Rays style of play (lots of contact, small ball, etc) end up being a bad matchup for the Dodgers pitching (swing and miss stuff), or more of a repeat of how last year's WS turned out?

A factor here is that the Dodgers' fielding is generally much better than, to pick a random team, the Yankees'.

I thought the same thing since the Dodgers IF ranked well in OAA this year, but so did the Yankees and then last night happened 😂

Ohtani is certainly capable of taking ugly swings but goodness that was especially ugly

Yes, I think, especially if Ohtani is broken

That Sale arm angle and slider movement will break a man

Camera angle won't do hitters any favors tonight

Looks beautiful in Atlanta and it is in fact 25 degrees colder there than it was in LA for Game 1, so everything is weird about this series so far

This has to be the best matchup, pitcher wise, in any Game 3 ever played.

Good mailbag question. Could be investigated with career WAR or same-year WAR, maybe.

It's been DAYS since Matt asked me to do a mailbag question, I may have to look into this for this week

@ me next time

If you submit this as a question to mailbag@fangraphs.com, we'll answer it this week!

That is a very emotional challenge from Acuña

Has anybody ever seen a left-handed hitter who was a good matchup for Sale? 6'6" from deep down. I would pull a Kruk and just head back to the dugout.

Eric Hosmer absolutely owned him somehow, .346/.370/.538

Because Hosmer didn't use "analytics," Jon!

Just cannot burn that with nobody on and one out in the first

Acuna is awful at challenging.

Not a good challenge there

What a ridiculous challenge!

Bad challenge

Do we think Smith's glove movement could've impacted Acuña challenging there?

I will attempt to put together a coherent question.

Great pitching matchups that come to mind for me in the last 25 or so years- Clemens vs Schilling, Beckett vs Pettite was pretty tight in 03, Lee vs Sabathia in 2009, Lincecum vs Lee a couple games, Lester vs Wainwright had a good duel if I remember correctly

Randy Johnson faced Greg Maddux in 2001

oh thats right Ronald, forgot about that

Please identify that breaking pitch that Sale throws. It has been called a slider for years but doesn't look like any slider, short quick break, that I have ever seen.

I dunno what to call it besides "filthy" (okay, maybe a slurve)

That fastball under the hands to righties is pretty tough to hit as well.

Pedro-Roger in the 99 ALCS was a game 3, now that think of it

Great catch! That does beat this and by quite a bit.

Why just casually toss it over to first the second time given the rules?

Sale has the Goods tonight

These are the insights your Membership fees pay for, folks

Credit to the Dodgers for at least running up the pitch count

What makes this particular game 3 matchup crazier for me is that it's the first series for the Dodgers. They're set up and Yamamoto is still only their third most trusted guy. Their rotation is absurd!

The greatest miracle in sports is whenever anybody gets a hit off Chris Sale

I am beginning to think that when Sale's arm is attached he could be similar to the God of Arms, Nolan Ryan. Sale might pitch into his 40's.

Just take away his bicycle.

Pumping 99 at that arm angle at 37 is just incredible.

He did miss quite a bit of time in his 30s. But this Atlanta chapter has been impressive

Smoltz: "That was a true sacrifice"

That was a sweet play by Yamamoto there. I mean, totally unnecessary and no added value. But man, fun to watch

How can he even get close to first with that setup? impressive

Harris had that stolen standing up, wow

The chats haven't mentioned the explosion in offensive bunting. I am of the opinion that as pitching continues to get tougher to hit we are going to see more and more attempts, but hopefully not pure sacrifices with a man on 1st

Bunting for a hit has always been a relatively smart gamble if the pitching is good enough. Sacrifices…not so much, and I think these playoffs have generally demonstrated that teams agree

I imagine the run expectancy proposition from straight up sacrificing (runner on first, none out -> runner on second, one out) would get even worse as pitchers get better, right

Nice play by Dubon

Dubon is my choice for the most underappreciated player in the game today.

I wish they wouldn't cut the ump cam in the middle of a pitch like that.

That was a super fun play by Dubon and I am really divided about how tough it was. Like, pretty tough! But surely not the best catch we've seen these playoffs. That low wall makes it hard for my brain. Because I'm like what a robbery

but actually the really hard part was getting there and absorbing the contact, not like he had to leap super high

This postseason has had more catcher's interference than expected

Anyone else spot Baldy on Baldwin's chest protector? Not sure I'd love that nickname if I was him

I think it’s a rule that every catcher’s nickname is just the first syllable of their first or last name plus a “y”

They must be taking lessons from Jacoby Ellsbury on how to induce catcher's interference.

If memory serves, Ohtani last reached on catcher's interference in game 5 of the '24 World Series

How many pitches does Weiss give Sale? Lots of stress so far

I'm super interested in this!

I've had Sale on my mind a lot, what with writing about him and all. Feels like there are not a ton of moving parts to atlanta's strategy, but 'what do we do with Sale' is a massive and variable question

I feel like Weiss will push Sale a bit too far, whenever that is

I feel like Sale will push himself further than Weiss will.

Provided he doesnt start getting knocked around, I think you could see 110-115

After the Freeman & Hernandez flyouts, kinda looks like they got the juiced ball in this one

That splitter is filthy

I feel like this is the sickest pitching matchup I have watched all year.

It's so rare that a highly billed on really lives up to the billing. But damn.

These quick Yamamoto innings gotta be making Sale's stressful innings even worse right? No breaks

Definitely but Sale is also a sicko

He hasn't really been hit all that well which is encouraging. 3 infield hits

Does Dubon make these plays at SS?

I don't really understand what they're hoping to get out of Kim. What does he provide that someone like Jarvis doesn't other than standing in the right handed batters box

I have a very warm spot in my heart for Enrique Hernandez. His 2021 season with the Red Sox was something special and since I have no rooting interest I will enjoy his moment.

I guess we're doing October Enrique Hernandez again

Yamamoto is just DEALING. Was looking at Savant and this stat is kinda wild. He has 9 whiffs in 17 swings. Sale has 8 whiffs in 31 swings

And like, Sale looks sharp too!

worrisome stat for Sale, though: he's allowed 5 hard-hit balls so far, which is how many he allowed in his whole last start. Yamamoto has allowed zero, because jeez

er, six….

Can't rob that one!

I must not have been paying attention in previous Freeman visits to Atlanta but man, lot of booing!

Oh, this is new!

ah, well that explains it

Did he say something? It’s weird. But at the same time this is the playoffs not the regular season.

Hello, friends. How is playoff Erique possible? How is it possible?

I wonder if someone told him every day in the regular season that it's a playoff game if he'd be a Hall of Famer

like I guess I kind of remember it? But in my head it was kind of a mixed reaction, not this

Freeman was in quite a power outage before the playoffs. Seems to be back to normal now

This feels insurmountable

Well I think there's less curiosity on how deep Sale lasts now…

Davy, your article today has me looking to see if infielders are smelling the ball. I hope you're happy.

This makes me deeply happy. Honestly, that was some of the most fun writing I've done in a while and I stand by the idea one million percent.

Tough inning here for Sale, Weiss needs to start thinking about what to do. Last six hitters all put the ball in play:

103 mph grounder single xBA .380
94 mph liner out xBA .730
107 mph homer xBA .870
98 mph groundout xBA .230
103 mph homer xBA .580
108 mph lineout xBA .880

Ben, how are you doing?

I'm good. Getting all amped up for tonight's recap

You get amped? I get stressed.

This has very quickly devolved from “alpha pitching duel” into “Sale is probably going to be out of the game after five innings trailing by multiple runs.” Gonna see a lot of The Raptor (Brent Suter) today, methinks

Hey Becker! I almost asked for your help coming up with puns for my article this morning. Did I blow it?

I thought you did great 🙂

Oh, I just meant is that a particular skill of yours. Seems like it would be.

We can wave now.

Becker is FanGraphs' leading Pun-dit!

Baumann doesn't count – there is no word to describe what he does

I'm sure this is not a popular opinion, and I'm sure it's colored by anti-Dodgers sentiment, but I really don't like watching Yamamoto pitch. Something about these weak contact/BABIP merchant pitchers just grinds my gears. And his windup is weird too.

As a neutral fan I completely disagree

He says right before he blows a high 97 mph fastball by Albie's for his 7th K of the game.

I am the antithesis of you. I grew up watching Mel Parnell and Whitey Ford do exactly that and prefer that to today's TTO game.

I mean yeah he's very good of course

Yeah I'm with you, @lzfreak. Yamamoto is one of my favorit pitchers to watch

In the same way that I love watching Soto hit

like probably my least favorite pitcher to watch, relative to skill, is Blake Snell

I used to be on the anti-Snell-watching train but last year's playoffs won me over. Felt like he was attacking the zone better and working quickly and effectively

as a Padres fan, the year he won the Cy Young with us, it was frustrating whenever he pitched, not enjoyable to watch.

and Yamamoto is kind of reverse Snell

I still can’t really fathom how he can spin a curveball that beautiful from that arm slot

With the infield hits, catchers interference, quick Yamamoto innings, all stressing Sale it's not a surprise he got hit hard.

Was exhausting just watching those innings

how much longer does Kiké do this before we grudgingly admit that clutch *may* be a thing for *some* players?

Or is he incredibly un-clutch the rest of the time?

fwiw, Kiké has discussed how his ADHD does negatively affect his focus during the regular season but helps him during the playoffs. Take that for what you will.

this may be a tomayto – tomahto situation tbh

I wonder if there's an inefficiency in sports psychology or something where a team could try to unlock value by getting guys to focus/perform at peak more often. Not sure what that looks like

I think it's well established that there is such a thing as clutch–it's just not predictive. Just because it's not predictive doesn't mean it doesn't exist.

Yeah personally I really enjoy pitchers like Snell. Guys who look like they're launching grenades rather than pea-shooting, if that makes any sense. Just a random person-to-person thing I guess

100%. personal preference is why baseball is fun. if we all liked the same stuff, the sport would not grab me the same way

Man Shohei frequently gets spooked on the inside corner like that

Hate to say it, but I agree with Smoltz there — bad challenge by Ohtani. Don't challenge in a 3-0 count with nobody on and your team up 3-0. Clearly an emotional challenge there

I think he's pressing a bit because he's not hitting up to his standard. Same reason why Acuna challenged his IMO

Ohtani and Acuna both made bad challenges on essentially the same pitch.

Shohei's plate knowledge up, down, and out are very good. Inside, it's very poor.

Best inning of the game for Sale. The Dodgers need to knock him out in the 6th and put that Braves' bullpen to work.

I will be curious to see the evolution of challenging pitches if it stays around for very long at all. The other night there was a pitch clock violation and, it happens so rarely now, I had nearly forgotten it was a thing.

Nice game by Dubon, stellar catch and now a leadoff single.

I haven't adjusted my emotional priors enough from 2021-2023. Austin Riley still terrifies me as an opponent.

I really like Snitker using the Rowdy card here, Yamamoto has reverse splits but ultimately is great against everyone and Rowdy has a better chance of running into one

Apologies to Walt Weiss, who is the actual manager of the Braves

Rowdy Tellez looks like the bad guy Mets hitter from Rookie of the Year

Dubon for Nick Allen was a great trade for the Braves, huh? They basically won on both ends

Losing Nick Allen is never a good thing.

like, they got Allen's best year, then moved him at the high point

selling high =/= selling tall

If you're pinch-hitting HSK with a guy who has 11 PAs this year, why start him at all?

Man, really had that rowdy stinger locked and loaded.

I love that Rowdy ended the year with a .506 xwOBA.

I missed the Braves moving Dom Smith for Rowdy Tellez.

Of all people to walk

Surprised that wasn’t a double play.

So Yamamoto can speak more English now. The interpreter stayed in the dugout for that mound conference.

It would be funny if they weren’t talking and it was just stalling/rest move.

Maybe the pitching coach learned Japanese

Acuna left his playoff hits on the field for Venezuela during this year's Classic.

A 3-1 perfectly placed splitter is just diabolical

Weird how diabolical is so much better a word than devilish.

One of my playoff resolutions was to be less annoyed by Smoltz. And for the most part, I think I've done it well. But I've been spiraling since he compared Ozzie Albies to Chipper Jones

Look, we know you don't know many players that aren't Braves. But can he be Terry Pendleton or something?

Mark Lemke with power

i mean, perfect

Chipper is 6'4"

One thing I haven't seen mentioned with all the Sale discourse: might he be in play for a potential game 5? It would be somewhat similar to the game 3 wildcard series move, but an inning or two from him in that scenario could be huge for the Braves

He'd definitely be available for this, yeah.

I think the WC series is the plan moving forward. Start on 5 days rest and use his throwing day to put him in relief

I love how these chats feel like we're just running amok in the FanGraphs work Slack.

Our Slack isn't typically this interesting.

The most exciting our Slack gets is when Meg accidentally sends the main channel that she’s getting lunch and then she’ll get to Baumann’s piece, so we all get to ask what’s for lunch. Riveting stuff

Asking what's for lunch is a time-honored FanGraphs tradition.

I got the chicken and the veggies cut up for the between games stir fry and I will rejoin this very interesting chat.

I got my dan dan noodle prep done before first pitch. Hope your dinner is tasty!

dan dan noodle? tell me more

I use the recipe from kenji Lopez alt “the wok” but sub peanut butter for tahini becuase of a sesame allergy. Super fast and easy. They also suggest using capers instead of pickled mustard root and it works!

If the Dodger's have the lead in the 9th who will get the save opportunity, Diaz or "shaky lately" Tanner Scott?

Darkhorse option of Evan Phillips

This NLDS features two of the game's best organists.

I think I'd even be willing to say 'the game's best two organists'

Having been to all 30 parks, this was my take as well

I envy you. I have been to 67 ball parks with my passion for minor league ball.

Roberts is going to have some VERY interesting bullpen decisions coming up

Let Yamamoto go 9!

I upvote that!

Wow, no challenge.

Is Matt Olson the highest-waisted player in baseball?

Sean Hjelle

Sean Hjelle is long-limbed all the way round. Olson combines long legs with a (comparatively) short torso and short arms.

how about Carl Edwards Jr? or is his an optical illusion based on being so slender?

watching players do ABS calculus in real time is such a fun new aspect of baseball strategy

How good are we at measuring the impact of challenges? Olson probably challenges that high strike and wins if Acuna hadn't wasted one

Very cool ump cam curveball

Do the umpires get told during the game about calls they missed that did not get challenged?

id imagine they get some kind of game report afterward breaking down all the calls rather than anything mid game

Yeah, postgame report. Also, you might recall that last year the league tightened up the buffer zone around the edge of the plate, which resulted in more strike calls.

I’ve never seen a switch hitter change sides against the same pitcher in all my life.

Freeman could have had 3 HRs this game as hard as he's hit them

I was just thinking of that line from Moneyball, when David Justice would come back to the dugout after hitting one as hard as he could and watching it die on the warning track: "That used to be gone."

If you could add 20 minutes of that movie to cover Hudson/Zito/Mulder, who do you cast?

This is a Matt question if I've ever heard oe, so I'll just say Andy Serkis for all three.

I like the idea of casting one person as all three, because they were so inconsequential to the season that they might as well all be the same person — in the eyes of the filmmakers anyway

They also ignored Chavez and Tejada… So their 5 best players. And Lidle by WAR

Back to FanGraphs Slack for a moment… Here's a real thing Baumann asked me two weeks ago: "Do you think you and I talk about Bulworth more than any two coworkers in the world, or do we just talk about Bulworth more than any two people in the BBWAA?"

I have never seen that movie, but in ninth grade, when the JV basketball team went to preseason camp, my friend Justin and I roomed together and he brought the soundtrack. He played Ghetto Superstar on repeat for the entire week.

Great news, Davy – I just bought the DVD on eBay. Come over and watch it during the offseason

Is it…good? Isn't there a part where Warren Beatty raps? Am I thinking of the right movie?

Slightly late to this. We had Sale at 5.65 for innings pitch…so 5.2 IP in our written convent. And he pitched 5.0 IP.

Median 6 IP. The 5.65 was the average.

Smart chat.

You are thinking of the right movie. And it is good! It's absolutely bonkers, but good!

I know they set this up for the CS but Yama as your number 3 is just downright disgusting. This guy is an ace of all aces.

I feel like there is a legitimate argument to be made that he is the most important player to them during this run of back to back titles and the attempt for the third.

Oh yeah they definitely don't win it without him last year

And if I recall he struggled early on in his first year? What a massive payoff for him to be this strong.

Hi guys, heard you were talking about Bulworth

I just laughed so hard.

If you command+F "Bulworth" in my Slack messages with Baumann, you get 14 hits

I'm shocked it's not five times as many

Yamamoto starts the 8th to deal with the nine hole pinch hitter and Vesia comes in for Baldwin.

Guys… Bulworth features an original score by Ennio Morricone!!!

Guess not with all the hand slapping in the dugout.

Gotta run. I just took out a hit on myself so my daughter can collect on my life insurance policy.

I figured with your article titles you were already living a life unencumbered by focus groups and handlers. I'm excited to see where it all goes from here!

Well done

Organist honoring Mii-guel Rojas 🙂

^This is a Bulworth reference for those of you who haven't had the pleasure of seeing it yet

My (disingenuous) pet theory on Ohtani's poor second half is that he had a second kid in June and is just not sleeping well at all with the adjustment. Ask me how I know.

Has anybody on staff seen The Rock 150 times or so? Would be nice to have someone to talk to about that particular movie.

It is the best Bruckheimer movie. Honorable mention to Con Air of course.

Put some respect on THIEF

Oh, I have been meaning to see that!

I also own Thief! We can do a Bulworth/Thief double feature!

Guess I've got an addition to my watch list!

This sounds fun, but the whiskey taste test has to come first. Also, I have been informed by an interested party that it needs to be at your apartment.

Whiskey taste test DURING the Thief/Bulworth double feature!

No way. The taste test is a serious work assignment.

Which we should probably get on the calendar, actually.

Wow this has really turned into FG Slack

I just saw Longenhagen's piece about restricting outfield positioning in the AFL. Sounds very fishy to me (I don't mean Eric's reporting, I mean the idea reported on). Might not teams want outfielders to work on their defense, inckuding pre-pitch positioning, in Arizona?

Teams might want to, but MLB views the AFL as a low stakes place to try stuff out. That is more important to the powers that be than whether minor league outfielders can correctly read a card telling them where to play.

This is probably why they are only doing it in one stadium (this year). It's 14 games unless I counted wrong. The Salt River guys will get a little less "normal" outfield work, though.

Yeah. But then I also wonder whether that's enough games to see if it has an effect. But I guess it's nore of a heck, why not move than a carefully developed experiment.

Davy I make a decent number of The Rock references. But my wife has somehow not seen it even though we live in SF. It's a travesty

My wife fell asleep while watching it, and it hurt my soul.

She also fell asleep during Raiders of the Lost Ark, and I have an amazing cell phone video of her snoozing peacefully on the couch while John Williams' thrilling Indiana Jones score blares in the background.

I know he has played in four MLB seasons, but I refuse to believe Brewer Hicklen is a real player

Don't let Hicklen on, 70 speed.

I mainly remember Hicklen because when we did the crowdsourced OOTP Brewers in 2020, I traded for everyone with Brewer in their name: Brewer Hicklen and Colten Brewer

I just realized Hicklen was in fact a Brewer. . . for 5 PAs in 2024.

Who faces the Olson-Albies-Harris corridor in the ninth? Ideally that'd be Scott so I'm surprised he's being deployed here. Edit: meant to submit this at the start of the inning.

We getting Diaz in the 9th?

Why can't position players just stand where they wanna stand, Manfred?

For those unaware, Mason Miller was just placed on the paternity list

His Padres play an elimination game in half an hour

I know why teams put in their best relievers when losing a close game, but at what point is letting a team see that reliever over and over in a series a hindrance?

There's a name for this but I can't remember what it is

Familiarity penalty, I guess. Discussed in an Effectively Wild episode, looks like (and which I vaguely remember).

Yeah, there have been some SABR Research Journal articles about it as well.

Should have challenged that one right?

Down 0-2 in the count, with one challenge left, you have to be DAMN sure you're right

But if the game went extra innings the Dodgers would get another challenge so he should have used it.

The Braves' pen owns the Dodgers.

Austin Wells would have stretched that into a triple.

Not dead yet.

Maybe Ozzie Albies actually is Chipper Jones!

Diaz has been good (okay?) recently but I see this a risky move by Roberts.

How do the Dodgers always spend like 9 figures on the bullpen and come October nobody is trustworthy

I choose to watch (and love) the Moneyball movie as a piece of narrative art, not a documentary

I would trust Yamamoto in this spot.

Wonder if Kershaw is available for a token high leverage relief inning

Glasnow vs Mahle tomorrow!

The wok is hot and I will be back for the Brewers-Padres.

I ran off for a bit to set up for the next game. And to keep with my bit of criticizing the bad television personalities, did everyone else hear Derek Jeter bragging about how he 'told everyone about Yamamoto'? Oh, you mean the freaking world series MVP and one of the best pitchers in the world?

I like pizza. I don't go around yelling "I told you about pizza, don't act like I didn't" to people. Because, like, yeah.

I have a friend who brags about their skill at finding pizza.

like, a specific pizza place? Because I think I'd accept 'i told you about yamamoto's ability to land a split for a strike' or something similar

Hey Jack!

or like, just their incredible food knowledge that pizza is good?

that said – hey, being compared to Derek Jeter isn't the worst thing in the world

Not something specific. Though it tends to be Neapolitan/wood fire type pizza. Not like hole-in-the-wall finds.

I had another friend that wanted to go to all the VPN-certified pizzerias she could find. One was near me. I went it and it was delightful.

VPN-certified?

Googled it, that seems like a good way to find new spots

Hey Jack! (This time in the right place.)

Haha hey Davy!

Lunch tomorrow with my friend of 56 years will be at our favorite pizzaria. Great thin crust after a bowl of the best pasta fagioli I have found in my extensive travels.

I should have added the pizza emoji too.

Everybody in this booth looks like their mom combed their hair for them on picture day.

Freddie Freeman just sealed his future as a studio analyst….helluva postgame interview.

Excited for Playoff Piv feel like he'll come out chucking

So how should the Padres approach the lack of Miller here? Lean extra hard on Morejon and Rodriguez? Get weird with a starter in relief?

I get the paternity list thing, but now? Your team is facing elimination…tough decision, for sure.

Easy decision. Only decision.

Is anyone else bothered by how Amin pronounces "Contreras?" Sounds like he's saying "Contrerez"

Ok, yeah, I hear that.

Pivetta always frustrated me during his 5 years with the Red Sox. He always looked like he would do what he has shown with the Padres.

Yeah, how many Positional Power Rankings talked about his stuff versus his results?

Exciting Jackson play

That did not feel like it was going to get caught wow

I thought that was going to drop. He almost overran that too!

Can't believe he held onto it given where it hit his glove.

Bauers isn't a contender for Comeback of the Year because he never was anything but he is a contender for biggest surprise of the year.

Does Bryan Baker win AL Surprise of the Year?

He is on the ballot.

William Contreras being 28 and in the league for 7 seasons is shocking. Equally shocking is his 18.1 career bWAR. Quietly a top 5 catcher in the league consistently

He was #1 on the MLB position rankings at least once. I know I would like him to join his brother on the Red Sox.

On the “bad broadcasters” topic: this booth. Pierzynski and Wainwright make me wish I wasn’t a baseball fan. Absolute tire fire.

Oh wow the Padres are batting an actual good major league hitter second in their lineup!

Is it just me or does Dustin May look leaner than the last time I saw him?

Who is surprised that the Brewers chose May over Harrison?

Hopping back in quickly to say that’s the worst challenge of the year I think

Now back to my snack of saltines, which are genuinely good even when not sick. No further questions

I finished the Saltines last night.

Though I was slathering them in sweetened hazelnut butter.

This is definitely the correct take

The Nabisco mini-saltines are wonderful. Like un-cheesed Cheez-its.

“I’m here to chew bubblegum and make terrible ABS challenges, and I’m fresh out of bubblegum.” — William Contreras

Dustin May 100!!!!

Must have killed Contreras not to challenge that one.

Someone reminded him that the dugout is full of bubblegum. Literally littered with it.

It has been discussed so many times but what are these players thinking with these meaningless challenges. Are the coaches to blame?

I suspect there's a real concern about getting them too in their heads here. You want them to be aggressive, and you don't want them thinking about challenges when they're supposed to be hitting or catching. It's important, but not as important as driving the baseball or calling a good game!

Does Ty France Comeback Player of the Year count if he was coming back from mid?

The definition of a comeback should be the new controversy to replace the definition of a breakout. How good do you once have to have been to have a comeback?

Man, Pivetta’s throwing some real wiffleball curves.

Brewers doing a great job working the count. Bauers and Turang both struck out but on 9+ pitches each. What’s Pivetta’s expected pitch count? can’t imagine it’s high given coming back from injury.

He hit 87 in the start before last, so it might be fairly high if he's dealing.

Another challenge in a low leverage situation. ????? What is going on with these guys?

What a bummer that pitching coach Chris Hook never gets to be the one to take out the pitcher.

My favorite was when Craig Counsell was the Brewers manager. You'd have Hook out to give council then Counsell would come with the hook.

God willing he’ll aspire to managing, and then score one for nominative determinism

Which contract is a worse albatross, Bogaerts or Riley?

Depends on which owner is more spending averse.

ZIPS 3 yr projections still like Riley… or at least don’t factor in this year. Think Bogaerts contract is worse. More money, more years remaining, bogaerts is older, and decline to sub 2 WAR projected pretty quickly.

Murphy with the hilarious sound bite there

🤣🤣🤣

Just have Murphy call the game

This is why he's manager of the year every year.

Is he gonna win it a third straight year? I'm not sure who else you'd give it to

Every now and then we get rewarded for having the sound on.

Nothing against this booth, which I like, I just think they'd rather he call the game too

Playoff game in Petco going on my bucket list

atmosphere is so consistently fantastic

I guess the bunt paid off? I still don't like it.

It isn't luck that the Brewers and Guardians exceed their projections every year and often by a large amount. Vogt and Murphy haven't missed the playoffs yet. Why these teams mystify all the projection systems is impossible to quantify and it has to come down to something these managers understand that only a few have ever figured out.

This would be a good place to mention Jarrett Seidler's recent front office rankings, because he has a lot to say about how those two teams keep running out successful teams.
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/110449/2026-…

This is historically where May starts tilting. But he seems like he has kept his cool a little better this year than years past

May just jumped about eight feet in the air

He for sure thought it was gone off the bat.

was going to say may must have a 50 inch vertical haha

Already down to 37 here in central CT. Time to bid adieu to my tomatoes. I will NOT waste my hard earned money on those red baseballs sold in a store.

Looked like Salas tried to fake him out inside, set up away, then the pitch hung inside

Can only throw 92 down the pipe so many times Pivetta.

This is dumb, right? I can’t be the only one who thinks this is dumb.

Davy, I dumped Prospectus when I found Fangraphs so the article is hidden to me. The system must be more important than the people or the Mets wouldn't be the laughingstocks they were this year with David Stearns, who got all the credit, at the helm. I strongly believe there are managers who instinctively know when and where to put the players in the best spots to maximize their production much more efficiently than computers. The Red Sox players, in their postmortem, appeared to almost have a mutiny over what they saw as the excessive use of computers in decision making.

Whoa that was ballsy

Exciting stuff!

Wow

Sending the runner on such a short fly ball is just what I was saying and is part of the reason the Brewers win. I don't think many 3rd base coaches would have sent Pratt. As a group 3rd base coaches are afraid of being seen as the man who sent the runner if he was thrown out

Is PetCo the best of the corporate-named ballparks?

By name I mean

The problem with "best" is that there's a certain pleasure to be taken in the confusion of a bad one. In this regard the newly renamed Fifth Third Field (edit: it's actually Fifth Third Park) in Detroit should be a lot of fun, since it does not remotely sound like a meaningful three-word sequence.

Used to love Safeco and Miller, Petco up there with Busch and Citizen's bank maybe?

Coors is good, plus the corporations who happened to be named pleasant sounding ballpark names like American Family Field and Great American Ballpark

Wrigley 😜

I was disappointed to realize that Great American is insurance. For some reason I was absolutely sure it was a hot dog brand, which would be much better and funnier.

OFs playing deep stealing doubles

Reminds me of Ben's barrels article from the summer, wonder if that's even more true in the yoffs

Joining now, what I've seen of the last couple innings has been a fun, tense game

This whole series has been like that.

We need 5 games of this series

Absolutely

No one likes a parade of pitching changes, but they're more tolerable when both teams have a lot of electric guys coming in

reading the chat well behind, but I think the best corporate ballpark name was the original Arizona one. I think it was Bank One Ballpark and we got to just call it "the Bob"

Yeah, the local nicknames are where it's at. I thought "The Juice Box" was great in Houston.

Not just a local nickname, I called it the Bob as a Bay Area Giants fan

Also jokingly called the Coliseum "the Virus" in the years that McAfee had the naming rights

I spend a lot of time in Chicago for work–no one I know there bothers to learn the ever-changing name of the ballpark on the South Side. "Sox Park" is common (which also reflects the CTA's abbreviation for maps and schedules, which is just "Sox"), as is, naturally, "Comiskey."

I just read Eric's new article and now I'm thinking how that batted ball would be a boring routine out

Do you think that Cooper Pratt paid to have someone do that to his hair?

Does PetCo have a local nickname?

I lived in San Diego for 8 years in college and after and I never heard one from other residents or at a couple of games a season

the radio announcer would often say "from the gaslamp quarter" but that's the neighborhood not the ballpark and obviously he's required to use the corporate name

Chisholm should learn from Turang there

If we could all learn second base defense from Turang, the world would be a better place

Michael king in the game to close it down is fun

Why is King so likeable

That looked like a swing to me

We know Miller not being available hurts the Padres chance of winning. We know he did a thing about 9 months ago. Knowing those 2 things, what's the negative WPA of that thing he did 9 months ago?

Would be hilarious for the Padres to lose because of their closer's daddy issue.

I like how wild these chats get after midnight.

Yankees fan sad career of King traded for one year of Soto. Although if we would've won the dance, would've felt a BIT differently. Hindsight

Why King used though? no tomorrow. Maybe treating it like a bullpen session. Would still be available for game X?

my king, Mike King

I think King will pitch in Game 5 on short rest if they get that far

Is Lara running?

Yes

Wowowowow

So that's what defense should be like

A great series

ray and musgrove piggybacking tomorrow?

What a great ballgame! And series. Hope we get a game 5

What was the velocity on that last hit from Yelich?

107


Members Only Game Thread- Phillies vs Braves

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the Phillies-Braves Wild Card Game 3. Chat with fellow readers as we watch to see who will advance to take on the Dodgers in the NLDS! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual game chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Hello Everyone!

Hi!

Which of these teams has a better shot against the Dodgers?

I'll say the Braves because I think they were just better this year. The Phillies do have the "built better for the playoffs" thing since they're so top heavy. I think the Dodgers would be heavily favored either way of course.

JT Realmuto implies the existence of a TJ Fakemuto

I appreciate this even if no one else does

This gambit is pop on toast

I've got Steelers on the TV and baseball on laptop. So much PA.

Aaron Nola feels like a bad idea, but sometimes bad ideas work out hilariously well in the playoffs.

Short leash presumably

How many outs do we think Nola and Holmes get combined? 15?

Hard to see both of them pitching that well for me

I can make that poll. At least an O/U poll. Set at 15?

14.5

As I said in chat, I'm interested in seeing if they try to keep Kerr in there through second time Harper/Schwarber instead of start burning Dylans

They give him quite a few three inning stints

I thought this bar didn’t have the game on and now it’s on and now I’m here everyone!

If Kerr allows Schwarber or Harper to get on, that'd be pop on toast

Guessing he'll walk at least one of them

I'm going to continue to use pop on toast from chat

Oppo schwaboo makes me feel like it'll be a big night for him

Good piece of hitting ™ by Schwarber

Oof

How much does the 1pm start times theyve had negate the home field advantage? Smaller and quieter crowds

I've never actually looked at day vs. night home field

Or attendance based.

Certainly a different atmosphere

that's an interesting question

Maybe I'll add to that the to do list for Things to Write About in a Very Long Offseason

Can this be a mailbag submission?

If you were a doordasher and saw a note that said "Only buy the Chessmen cookies if they have the chess shapes, I don't want to eat the limited edition shapes like those stupid gardening theme they had in the spring" would you swipe by, assuming I'm a psychopath?

We don't need to assume, Dan.

I don’t really have anything to add right now, but hey, members only!

Not a gambling gal myself, but I would be interested in a "more liberty biberty ads than hits" line

Take the over, only because we're watching Aaron Nola vs. Ray Kerr

Oh, hey Doug! You already knew I was a psychopath because of the Boyardee note.

We still love ya buddy!

I think they would write your name in on election day

Hey everybody! I'm working on my Yanks-Rays preview right now, but I'll try to keep an eye on the chat as well.

Hello again, Jack.

And I'm here until Davy finishes his Yanks-Rays preview — then I'll have to edit it

Dan, is this the first time you've participated in two chats in the same day? It's kind like pitching in both games of a double-header.

One thing fun about these chats is that sometimes Sean updates the software in real time

I'm in Zanzibar

Howdy Davy

I once did eight hours of a chat in one day for one of these playoff megachats. And that was when ESPN was paying me!

JU, the country or the club in New Jersey?

Actually, I do have something. What’s it going to take to get an Atlanta fans to stop doing performative caricatures of indigenous human beings? It’s the 21st century and people shouldn’t suck this much.

hell freezing over. they have stuff at their park about how "it's actually totally fine and indigenous people actually like it"

At what point does it just become a "sports" thing? Chiefs, Florida State, and Im guessing other college schools do it too. I wish it wasnt a thing, but intent has to be factored right?

I edited this piece from Stephanie Apstein during the 2021 World Series at SI, and it got a lot of ppl talking about it for a bit, but then nothing happened https://www.si.com/mlb/2021/10/28/atlanta-braves-tomahawk-ch…

Dammit. I'm in Zanzibar. It's 3:30 AM I'm supposed to go away (to another part of the island) for the weekend with someone I met here tomorrow. If I don't go to sleep soon I'm going to be very tired tomorrow. Should I go to bed or watch baseball?

Might be the wrong crowd to pose the question too, JU!

As a Cubs fan, I guess I root for the Phillies solely for Schwarber.

My lost son, how we miss you so.

Our collective Large Adult Son.

aaron nola in a playoff game is a wild time

Or the right one

If Nola walks Harris, they should probably pull him

wait until you hear what happened

looks like they keep him in

Mattingly should let him die out there. none of that whimpy reliever BS

If you see Bert Lahr's Christopher Columbus Lay's commercial, the Tomahawk Chop chant seems tame by comparison https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-R139Gf-Xf4

That was quick

Didn't walk him

Well…

Nola feels like a bad idea

Boom

that pitch was in the dirt lol

Well this was fun.

Zach Wheeler seems like he might've been a better choice to start the game

hell, i'd take zack on two hours of rest

huge shout out to the announcers for just shutting up and letting the crowd go nuts

Aaron Nola's pitching like someone who knows he's like 30 minutes away from having diarrhea and he needs to get out of the game quickly

I don't think 3 will be enough tonight. But it's a good start

Grant Holmes will give up some, but how many?

Nola' s pitching like he accidentally ate some pop on toast

That pitch was two inches below the zone. That's a gutsy swing after two straight walks.

Wasn’t even a strike

If the Phils lose, can Kruk just rove and be in a DS booth?

They showed Dubon making a face like I do when I hear about free tacos

Nola may already have tickets to NOLA

that pitch was absolutely tipped

Hi Meg!

These chats are absolutely fantastic y'all, a tremendous perk to being a member!

Hi Matt!

Hello, Meg!

It's funny how this seems to be the most FG writer-dense chat, more than the ones actually designed to be

Hi Davy!

As a Dodgers fan (yeah, yeah) I'm just rooting for this to stay close so the winner exhausts their pen.

I figured I'd pop in and say hi since I wasn't able to yesterday.

What do you even do here if you're Mattingly? Too early to put in Wheeler, you can't keep Nola in, non-Duran pen stinks.

Chopped meat vs tomahawk chop. No easy answer..,

Philly has some GREAT pizza. Easy choice.

I prefer the Phillies’ pretzel game

Anyone else get a little bit sad watching end-stage Aaron Nola?

Yes. He’s done well with what he has and sometimes it’s still enough. Not today tho…

No, 46, I find the inevitable decay that awaits us all quite enjoyable.

Feature idea @Sean, reaction flags! Such as an "!!" for Anonymous' message

Definitely a good idea.

I love that Harris is just on the iPad watching himself rock that pitch again.

Davy, I saw an interview with Roger Federer where they asked if he watched film of his matches. He said 'Yes I do, but to be honest, it's mainly for my own enjoyment.' Really stuck with me

Justin Morneau on Twins broadcasts often talks about how before a game/AB he'd watch video of himself hitting homeruns to identify what he was doing mechanically well. Apparently teammates made fun of him for it a lot.

Yeah. They should change the [Enter] as submit function.

We can possibly change that, but Enter to submit and shift + enter for a new line is somewhat standard. Maybe we can make that an option.

Are people on mobile devices really using shift+enter?

How many people are on mobile vs computer?

This is such an odd series. Neither team feels “good” in the old playoff sense.
And then I remember that’s what wildcards are!

I really don't get how the braves won 94 games

My brother is in his lucky chair with his lucky hat ans 2 backup hats. So if the Braves lose, it's his fault.

I'm so happy that there's not a Line of Fire commercial every single break

"I'm a little teapot, short and stout" for Stott is great

If there's such thing as a wipeout cutter this might be it

Is there hope still that Kruk says "slutter"?

what do y'all think: is nola coming back out for round two?

No one was even warming in the first, so yes

I was gonna say it chews scenery

Surprised to see Sosa. He looked like he came up lame in Game 1

Do they make Liberty Biberty pinatas?

WHY DOES IT HAVE TEETH

Meg, your comment says it's awaiting review, and I wonder who gets to review it.

I do.

It didn't like that I was yelling

but also, why does it have teeth!?

TESTING THE YELLING

I appreciate MH2 just admitting "I was trying to homer there" haha

It doesn't have a digestive system, does it? Why does it need to chew?

It eats up airtime, Meg!

It’s giving Sonic The Hedgehog teeth

thankfully I don't think most mascots have teeth right?

which would be most horrifying with teeth

i mean, it has to be the phanatic, right?

eww yep

Hi Sean!

Gritty and the Phanatic don't

How do we think Votto has been in this “on the field” role?

I've been digging it.

Yeah I've liked Votto

Does your comment have to await review if you talk about BUTTS? (Just checking.)

Extremely uncertain as to why Mattingly has a low leverage lefty up if not for Smith, this is perplexing

Mattingly making perplexing pitching decisions? More at 11.

5/6 balls in play off of Nola have been hard hit

Hi, Jon!

I'm going to say hi to everyone.

Once the Phillies season is over, remember they have the incredibly awkward dynamic of Don Mattingly's son deciding if his dad should keep his job

Did Ryan Dempster pioneer the glove shake mid windup?

Meg saw the commercial and wondered why the mascot had teeth. I saw it and started wondering how Liberty got from a commercial of a struggling actor flubbing his lines and saying "Liberty Biberty" to now having a Biberty mascot.

They too seem to be doing a weird version of throwing **** at the wall. They’ve got that whole other set of ads with the cheesy 80s cop and the emu. Is this maybe just the game in advertising these days? They’re trying to find something that’ll go viral and they got some focus group data that a mascot from Critters 2: The Main Course tested well.

Don Smith looks a lot sadder than he actually is

Man, what a weird season for Nola..

Liberty Biberty? Jason Benetti’s interviewee?

Well, I guess Dom doesn’t exist as a name and I’ve spent no time in New Jersey

The phanatic but with the mouth of a sea lamprey

I am never recovering from this visual

I'm fascinated by the decision to start Nola

If Wheeler is available tonight, why didn't the Phillies just start him?

well why would you not want 1.2 high-quality innings from prime aaron nola?

It just kinda felt like this was the inevitable conclusion to starting Nola- trailing by multiple runs before your best pitchers even get a chance to throw, and still having to go to the pen early

Great, now there’s ANOTHER word in that stupid Liberty song…

They had to have known Nola wouldn't last line. Baffling

Mattingly’s reasoning was that they think Wheeler profiles better out of the bullpen, which may well be true, but it’s gonna matter a helluva lot less down three than tied

Was there a case to start someone like Bowlan? Feels like a much likelier clean 6 outs.

If I'm Philly, I want Wheeler and Duran getting the maximum # of outs possible, then praying that your line up gives you enough that you feel comfortable piecing together the end of the game

Yes, Wheeler profiles better as a reliever than Nola, but he also profiles as a better starter

Do you think the Phillies considered Mayza opening for Nola? Feel like it would have made plenty of sense with the top of the Braves order being quite LHH heavy.

Yeah, my feeling was that if they were only going to use Wheeling for an inning or two, it makes sense to strategize where you deploy him. If you're willing to use him for four innings, I think you just start him

Why not start Duran, have him go 2, then Wheeler?

Heck, why not start 2008 Joe Blanton?

Do….. do you have a time machine and you aren't sharing it with the rest of us?

I used it to introduce Liberty Biberty into this timeline

Oh no

Has Bowlan pitched at all this series?

No but he warmed up multiple times in game 1

There should be a limit on political TV ads. Like only within 4 weeks of an election. Or none

We started getting them in AZ in July lol.

Isn't bowlan out with a groin injury?
edit: i am wrong

I gotta say, the incessant promoting makes me want to watch The Traitors even less than I did, which was zero

My only guess is that they thought Nola’s been good enough of late that they could get at least once through the order with him.

Well that was fun

I can't believe I am saying this, but I miss the days of Big Bang Theory promos

Phillies IF doesnt make that play.

Was just thinking this. That was an incredible play.

I dont remember which jabroni wrote the series preview for this, but they didnt mention defense at all. Its been a story all series though.

Check this pun out: Dubie Thursday

The brothers would be proud

Mauricio Dubon is fantastic

As a Dodgers fanatic, I'm thrilled with the Harris homer. Respectfully, of course.

Interesting. I'm a Dodgers fan and I'd much rather face Philly!

Yeah, I'm probably misremembering the season. The Braves probably smoked us. But I'm thinking that, after Sale, the Braves starters aren't particularly scary…

Sean, we need to get upvotes in here so my humor can be feted

I'm leaning toward emoji reacts or something. So you can get 😂 instead.

Maybe this is Ray Kerr’s moment before he goes back to groundskeeping

Please don't tell me that just anybody can play 1st. Olsen is as valuable a defender as there is on the team.

Do we know if first base defense ages well? I love the idea of Matt Olson being an elite defender into his 40s

Looked like Ray Kerr said he wants to keep going as he walked into the dugout, love that

Goldy's defense is still good.

Does Kerr get Schwarber and Harper in the 4th now?

He's got to

Ray Kerr goes 5 and gets the win.

The warning that it's from the *commissioner* of baseball really makes me want to broadcast the transmission without expressed written consent

That guy just implies EVERYTHING

THIS Dodger fan thinks the Phillies are a slightly bigger risk than Atlanta. Because pitching

I love how TV show commercials tend to discourage me from watching the advertised TV show

I remember when Arrested Development debut way back. The commercials for it were *awful* and made it seem like a schlocky sitcom.

I didn't watch it until several episodes in and only then by accident

Braves defense makes that play.

Oh hey another defensive play not made by Philadelphia

In his defense, they hit the ball RIGHT at him. Must be scary.

It's been awhile since Mattingly has managed; I hope he's not saving Wheeler so he can be fresh for Game 4…

Hey hey, party people!

Turner is turning into Story, heaven forbid.

Hi Jay!

yo jay

Hi, Jay!

So, if Mattingly Jr. has to whack Mattingly Sr., does that f-up Thanksgiving?

Oh Jay is here! I was just about to ask the chat if we think Acuna is on a Hall of Fame trajectory? Feels like it could go either way at this point, and health could be the most important factor

Dubon gets my vote for most underrated player. He is just so valuable.

Did the Phillies need Nola at all tonight? Not completely tracking their bullpen usage minus Painter and Duran

Zack Wheeler's gray beard makes me feel very old.

These two pitching staffs feel so thin I could read a newspaper through them

What an image

Haven't we as a society progressed beyond the need to make a Scrooge movie starring Johnny Depp in 2026?

Haven't we progressed past the need for Johnny Depp at all?

Acuña got a great start to a HOF trajectory but he's totaled 5.0 bWAR since his MVP season — that's 3 years worth. He's still got a decent shot if he can get back on track but his bat has rarely been special lately, his defense has deteriorated, and he can't stay on the field.

I'm sorry but the rationale being that "Wheeler is a better relief option than Nola" is still so confounding to me!

"Why are you eating garbage?"
"Because I thought food would be a better dessert than garbage."

I think the problem is they didn't really have any good options if Wheeler can't throw 5 innings.

I'll be honest I had never heard of Ray Kerr before today. And I follow baseball very closely. Could probably name 500-600 current major league players. But not him

Samsies

I had barely heard of Kerr either.

One thing about covering Yankees-Red Sox WCS with those 8 pm games is that you really don't get to watch much of any of the other series, particularly not with sound because you're just catching glimpses of it during stray moments.

If there's one player you could read a newspaper through, it's Kerr.

he's a Giacometti sculptue on the mound

Ray Kerr may just be Cristopher Sanchez

Halloween isn't for 30 days, Jack!

Haha good point

As an expert at the obvious. I don't think Weiss expected to get 3 1/3 from Kerr.

Do we think the booth makes a Kenny Powers reference?

The only good progressive commercial these days is the one where she warns college kids about how they’ll have to decide what to have every night for dinner for the rest of their lives

Fun play there by Holmes

That play was sick

Grant Holmes arriving late because he spent a million dollars on two chicks at the same time.

that fan new exactly how to make an out call

Does that go down as 1-1-1-1-3?

We need that laugh react

I was waiting for Holmes to throw up his hands because the ball got lost inside his hair.

Bohm being slow has helped the Braves twice tonight

I need to assign Baumann a mailbag question about a hypothetical rule for when a ball gets lost in a player's hair

His hair looks like it’s attached to his hat

So someone step up and submit one!

My brother's late wife's sister is a hairdresser in Conway, SC. I wonder if she did Holmes hair when he was in high school?

I know that game was much closer but this feels like 2011 all over again for the Phillies. I hope it goes differently

How are we still talking about "rest vs rust" on these broadcasts? Like why would you want to have to play an entire extra series where you can lose?

the discourse about whether it's good to play in a wildcard series is infuriatingly stupid

<broad gesture at everything>

Hear, hear. But just to be clear, I'm not deleting that paragraph from my Rays-Yanks preview.

Both those teams will be pretty rested

This isn’t the Wheeler I remember from Taxi

if you win, is the momentum worth not being able to rest your pitchers? Maybe, probably not, but you can also lose

welp

Joey "The Braves aren't going to score any more runs" Votto

Uh oh

This might not be an electric finish

I think if Ozzie Albies is hitting dongs against you in 2026, might not be your series…

Listening to the Atlanta radio broadcast. They are a bit worked up. "Ascend into the heavens. . ."

This one feels like it's over

is this what a window slamming shut sounds like?

Surely you know what that sounds like.

I'm usually fairly gentle with my windows

he's more of a Dorfman than a window guy

Votto really should give up on doing Romo predictions during the broadcast

Ozzie Albies may be only four feet tall but he can hit the ball a long way once in awhile.

He hit that 104.75 Albies (if he were actually four feet tall)

Ouch…

Nice swing from Ounce-Pound

OZ LB, for those raising their eyebrows

Harris catches that

I'll not have you impugn the Phillies defense!
<checks notes>
Ok, I'll allow it.

Im going to harp on it until Dan apologizes for not covering defense at all in the series preview

Umpire cam on these homers during WC has been great

Now I miss How Many Altuves

I've always wondered what will happen to Albies' fish if he ever gets traded.

Isn't he finally a free agent in a month?

their own wing in the Georgia Aquarium

Braves have a 7m option for next year

option's cheap, they'll pick it up

A dedicated moving truck with full garbage cans full of water?

Just read the Ray Kerr wiki page and wow what a story he's got

It's really amazing – night of that dude's life.

there's already a paragraph for this start, those editors are on the ball

I googled "aquarium movers." Apparently there's a company called Tank Me Later LLC. Of course.

Do they list the Rockies as a part owner?

I wonder what positions his fish would play on the diamond? Potential mailbag or offseason EW question

Oooooo, other than them being labeled as vaguely "exotic," do we know what sort of fish?

he's got a youtube channel dedicated to the fish: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClRj8Cp2HHjXrqRIdy6SvYw/vid…

How am I just learning about this now?!

He lists a lot in here too: https://richeisenshow.com/read/exotic-fish-expert-braves-2b-…

Saltwater?

Or freshwater not actually sure

"Fish."

Confident in that at least

Can I repeal my opinion that I want the Braves to play the Dogs? Forgot about the tomahawk chop crap.

The lack of frizz on Grant Holmes' curls is so impressive to me.

I Holmes related to Weird Al?

Anyone else watching the CBS reality lineup on a different screen?

Have Thursday Night Football on the small TV, and boy is it a throwback bad Thursday game…

I forgot there’s football too! We’re TV rich tonight it seems

I was just thinking of Weird Al too

That Realmuto contract is lookin pretty bad

Man the bottom of this Phillies line up is brutal

That might have been the Phillies last gasp.

Before they enter Ozzie's fish tank?

Alright, time for dinner. Back later!

It's going to take a lot of Schwarber and Harper solo home runs to pull this one out. A third hitter would be helpful

I don't mind the Traitors commercials as much as the Line of Fire commercials since you don't hear the same song over and over again

With Ohtani leaving stage left, a case could be made for Harris to be second to PCA in the MVP voting.

Elly De La Cruz was 2 wins better and went 30-30, he's a much more plausible runner-up to PCA than Harris

Grant Holmes looks so much like Rod Beck from the back, and that makes me nostalgic.

Where do you think Miz finishes in MVP voting?

I'd put him behind Turang but I'm biased against pitchers for mvp in most circumstances

I forgot the Reds were still in the league.

Some days I wish they weren't. But then I remember that I have bills to pay.

There's the Kenny Powers!

The O/U is final, at 12 combined outs from Holmes and Nola

This was closer than I thought. 68.18% of those who responded to the poll were right!

This game is really the Phils philsing as hard as they can phils.

Anticlimactic double

I feel like Schwarber had a shot at home if he’s really booking it? Idk feel like they need the run there

Feels like you need these 2 here to have a chance

Not a ton of urgency from Schwarber on the bases

Dylan Dodd to face those two looking like a missed opportunity

Kyle Schwarber was running the bases there like I was running after knee surgery.

Does anyone else think the sound mixing is off? Seems like the stadium noise and organ are so loud you can’t hear the commentary

Bohm rolling over one to kill the rally feels apropos

I certainly expected to see Dodd.

Haven't heard from Juicy Drop Pop in a while

I hope the screen unfreezes before the game starts again.

I realize that the sequencing is unlikely to be in alignment, but if we're moving on to a Braves-Dodgers NLDS, who would you rather have as a SP: Sale or Yamamoto? I would say the latter, but it could be a generally fun series for fans who enjoy ace-watching.

Sale's got the better numbers since Yamamoto came over, but the 2 CGs in the playoffs last year were crazy. I'm biased but give me Sale and the Ks

To me, Sale has raw dominance (better in topline stats this season) and Yamamoto has consistency (most QS in MLB). I like Yamamoto, because he gives you the best distributed probability of a G1 W. I can understand the other viewpoint, though

Not to beat a dead horse but…how do you not start Wheeler?!

When you have the opportunity to start a guy with one of the highest HR/9 in the league in a win or go home game, you simply have to take it

Mattingly implied that he favored Nola's rest over Wheeler's potential output. I understand that rationale, but you would think that they could have skipped a rest day or two in the past month to ensure that the timing was aligned

They had him lined up to start game 1, but then they had to run him out in game 162 cause they failed to lock a playoff spot before that. Oops!

The rest thing is crazy to me though. Did he not watch Yamamoto in the World Series last year?? This is the playoffs, dawg, there is no tomorrow. Leave it all out there.

Exactly, Dan! Give him a 70- or 80-pitch limit and the start

I'd argue neither will even be the best pitcher in the series

Ray Kerr >>

Justin Wrobleski!

Mr. Regression to the FIP

Wheeler throwing 70 pitches , at least, makes the Phillies decision to start Nola very suspect.

Ray Kerr's name is wasted on a pitcher

When I was a kid I didnt think Kruk was an actual major leaguer. I thought he was an actor like the mean guy in Rookie of the Year. Still not sure

The Wheeler situation shows what a huge disadvantage it is to be in a race that comes down to the last day.

that's part of the penalty of getting in via the Wild Card. You may not be able to set up your pitching and you have almost no margin for error.

I just realized you can edit your typos now! Don't think Sean is here but someone please praise him for that.

Oh I'm here! I'm just working on mobile app integration. And making sure everything else is working.

Why would you throw Chris Sale in a four-run game here?!

If Schwarber/Harper come up this inning, it'd be huge. But next inning? I dont know why. Maybe just 15 pitches?

I just knew Sale would play a role.

Sean did an incredible job with this

Sale is throwing up 4 runs with 8 outs to get…?

This is such an added bonus. I can't thank everyone involved enough.

I dunno how you would justify Sale unless the game was closer maybe even then.

Dodger fan here: thank you, Mr. Weiss, for foolishly warming Sale!

You have to play the long game if you're the Braves. Assume that you don't need Sale today, and keep him ready for the Dodgers. Long way to go, esp on the NL side

Right now, you'd just burn him to be a mopup. I don't like the idea. It's too cute

Are they Alcantara-ing Sale?

Except that it is not his throw day.

Gotta have other arms they trust besides Sale

Is there a remote chance that Sale in the bullpen is a decoy? Has he done his throwing session yet today?

I certainly hope this is just weird 3D chess and not a real plan

If Weiss sees ShwArper as such a threat, just pitch Iglesias?

I feel like the Braves could really use Strider and Schwellenbach

Ya' think.

even if they don't want Lee, which is probably wise, you've got Suter and Dodd who haven't thrown this series. If 2 reach, you go to Iggy

Great play by Bowlan there

really important to scratch a couple across here with the top of the lineup agaisnt Bowlan, if only to keep Sale in the pen

Ask and you shall receive.

hit it in the pen too so you could see Dodd warming. what a guy

Sit down, Sale

That'll do it

The guy who kept giving up hrs so frequently that he was effectively shelved, gave up a hr. I, for one, am shocked.

But seriously, why not Duran and McFarlane? There is nothing to lose.

It's an interesting question

Dubon tried something there

I don't see how Mattingly can survive this game

Mattingly manager or Mattingly general manager?

Do you prefer "Gone-y Baseball" or "Done-y Baseball"?

I can't wait for the Phillies to come back here and have the Dubón kicked ball be the turning point

that'd be fantastic

Not great by Acuna there

Does the wind swirl extra in RF there?

Does Harris catch that? /s

In his hip pocket.

Yes

Sale up again

Is this really necessary

Wtf why

Needlessly cute

This is a bit ridiculous

this makes no sense

Why

No way

There is nobody else who can get 4 outs before giving up 4 runs???

Memories of 2018.

Here he comes! For some reason!!

I’d think they want him for Saturday more than now

I do love watching Sale pitch but come on

Up four with two out, nobody on in the eighth inning — why?

One of many problems with this is the 3-batter minimum. If Sale doesn't get him he could throw many more pitches than is probably planned.

so dumb

Dodgers day thankx.

I guess the idea is this just pushes his start from game 2 to game 3 of the DS? But, maybe even game 4?

Does this do anything at all to the psyche of the other bullpen arms?

Bringing Sale in here is cool as hell and also wildly unnecessary

Did he just insist, Scherzer-style? And no one can say no?

haha might be that actually

Sale? Wow that's a choice

I would think it’s for the one out/three hitters but what if that takes 20 pitches? I would’ve just left Dodd in for Harper and gone to Raisel after

Well, he looks sharp at least

maybe he's just in to face Harper? Would make more sense, he just has to get him out

That's poor by Harper

Not great, Bryce

If Harper was awake Sale would have had to throw more pitches.

All right Chris great work, your day should be done now

Now I'M the one saying, "BOOOO-urns"

Just watched Spencer Jones reach off Crochet that way last night. I'm sure Harper not running will go over well in Philly

He didn't even run hard when he did get goin lol

The pitching decisions this game have been baffling

I mean if this were the Nationals, Phillies would have like a 60% win probability down 4 with 3 outs to go.

Does Weiss know that if Sale starts game 2 of the LDS then he can also start game 5?

Can someone explain to me Brandon Marsh's hair? Does he fill it with some kind of slime before each game? I have long hair, my head sweats plenty when I exercise, my hair has never looked like his

He pours water all over it constantly

Jake Mintz wrote about it back in 2022! https://www.foxsports.com/stories/mlb/why-brandon-marshs-wet…

I believe Marsh just dumps water on himself

Does he do this when it's cold out too? Sounds miserable in a cold weather October game

Well, I guess I'm pleased it's just dumb not gross

I don’t love using Sale for the 9th, if that’s the plan. When you ask guys to do stuff they don’t normally do, it’s always a risk. But Iglesias for a third day in a row is also risky.

If Sale somehow blows this there will be a narrative

Even if he doesnt, if he cant pitch until game 3 thats a story. If he gets hit hard in game 2 thats a story.

Grady Little would get off the hook.

Just dumb

The managerial decision making in this series has been… interesting. You can't say that often anymore with the homogenized modern strategy.

Don Mattingly brings the juice!

Sale was throwing a sweeper before anyone knew what a sweeper was.

And that is that

Sale didn't need many pitches

cyall for the next ones

Can't believe we gotta wait til Saturday for more baseball

Thanks for doing this, guys.

Been a pleasure, everyone

excited for the DS!

Great to watch with y'all

See you everybody!

We know you have many choices when you watch baseball; we are glad you chose to spend it with us!


We’ve Updated Our Custom Teams Feature

Site customization has become an increasingly important part of our development strategy here at FanGraphs; it’s also one of the core benefits of becoming a Member. Today, we’re introducing our revamped Custom Teams feature, a tool popular with fantasy baseball managers as they track the statistics and projections of the players on their roster.

This tool shouldn’t be confused with the Custom Reports you can create in our leaderboards. Custom Teams are collections of players that can be accessed across different FanGraphs tools; Custom Reports are a collection of specific stat fields and players that can only be accessed in the leaderboards.

What’s new?

We’ve rebuilt the Custom Teams interface from the ground up to utilize our current player search functionality, while also introducing additional improvements to make the tool more useful:

  • We now have three different types of teams: Manual, Ottoneu, and Legacy.
  • Manual teams are the default team type, where you enter player names to create your team. We’ve updated the player search so that it performs the same as the main search bar on the site:
  • We’ve also added a “Paste names” section to the interface. You can now copy and paste player names to import many players at once, including a column of player names from Excel or Google Sheets. The name and spelling has to be an exact match to what’s in our database (though it doesn’t require the use of diacritical marks), and you must have one player per line with a return separating them:
  • Ottoneu integration means you can now import your teams directly from Ottoneu. This automatically connects if you are logged in with your FanGraphs/Ottoneu account. You can then preview your roster and select a sync mode:
  • The Ottoneu sync mode has three options:
    • Auto Sync – This mode will reload your teams every time it is used (in the Custom Teams interface, loading a leaderboard, etc.), so it will pick up any changes you’ve made to your team.
    • User-Controlled Sync – This mode gives you more control over when your team updates.
    • One-Time Import – This mode effectively makes your team a manual team, but it keeps the reference to your team intact, just in case you want to change the update mode.
    • Please note, if you are using Auto/User-Controlled Sync, you cannot edit your team in this interface; you can only do that in one-time import mode. Any updates will need to made on the Ottoneu side.
  • Legacy teams are the temporary bridge between the current tool and the new one. All the teams that you’ve created on the legacy myteams.aspx page are accessible here, but you still need to use the old page to modify them:

The Legacy myteams.aspx Page

What will happen to the legacy myteams.aspx page?

  • We are phasing it out. We do not want to disrupt people’s use of the tool during the season, so the legacy page will remain available through the end of the 2026 season. It will be removed after the conclusion of the World Series.

What will happen to my old teams?

  • Before we remove the legacy page, you will only be able to modify your team through the old interface. You can view or use your team through the new interface, but the team information only flows in one direction.
  • Once we remove the legacy page, whatever legacy custom teams you have will be migrated to manual custom teams in the new tool.

Who can access the new Custom Teams tool?

  • We developed this tool for FanGraphs Members, so you’ll need to be a Member to access all of its features. Non-Members can try it out, however. They will be able to create teams with a maximum of 10 players, and are limited to manually created teams only. The legacy tool doesn’t have any Membership restrictions, but as noted above, it is being phased out.
  • After we phase out the legacy tool, you will still be able to access your old teams regardless of team size. However, non-Members won’t be able to add or change players if their team already has 10 players.

FanGraphs Changelog: Prospects Are Now in the App and RosterResource Additions

Welcome to the latest installment of FanGraphs Changelog, where we update you on some of the recent improvements we’ve made to the site as we work to build a better FanGraphs.

First, a few things you might know about already:

App Updates!

We’ve added The Board to the FanGraphs mobile app, which can be download here: App Store (iOS) or Play Store (Android).

In adding prospects to the app, we’ve outgrown the bottom tab bar, so you can now select between a few preset tab bar configurations; Members can fully customize the tab bar. To customize the tabs, go to the More Menu and select “Customize Tabs.” As a reminder, all features in the app can be found within the More Menu.

We’ve also implemented a new Member feature that allows users to set their default player page view options, while also allowing for temporary changes:

One of the challenges of fitting a data-intensive website into a mobile app is figuring out how to allow users to view the ever-growing number of tables they want to see. For example, I might have default tables that I typically look at for a given player (in the image above, it’s the Standard table), but today I need to see that player’s wRC+, WAR and Win Probably Added to settle a debate with a friend. Using the Temporary view option, I can temporarily enable the tables to see those stats. The next time I use the app, however, it will reset to the default view that I’m used to.

We’ve also implemented push notifications for both Android and iOS. After enabling notifications at the OS level, you can find the main controls for the notifications in the More Menu under “Notifications.” There you can choose to follow updates based on a scoring change in a selected team’s game, see when that team’s game goes final, or both:

If you are using iOS, you can enable Live Activities within the Scores tab to follow a live updating Win Expectancy Graph on your lock screen. Note that iOS limits Live Activities to five at a time:

You can also get a notification when we publish a new article, or follow a writer by tapping the subscribe (bell) button on their byline. Note that co- and tri-bylines are considered distinct from individual authors:

You can also now submit feedback directly in the app to report a bug or request new features:

RosterResource Contracts on Player Pages

Last month, Jon Becker added player contract details to the RosterResource Payroll pages. We’ve now integrated that feature into the player pages. If you go to a player page, find the RosterResource section on the side bar, and click Contract History, you can find the contract history for the player contracts we have tracked since 2020, when we integrated RosterResource into FanGraphs:

We’ve also upgraded the Closer Depth Charts to include more information about a given appearance, including how many innings the pitcher pitched, which innings they pitched, the number of batters they faced, and the leverage when they entered the game:

Legacy Team Usage Lineup/Def

We’ve moved the two player usage tools — Batting Lineups and Defensive Lineups — from the team pages into RosterResource:

These offer different views than the Lineup Tracker, showing the batting and defensive lineups vertically. The “row banding” allows you to see usage streaks more easily.

Flair

We’ve continued expanding our customization options for Members. We wanted to do a black header to go with our Dark Mode, which might have been inspired by some of the recent City Connect uniforms. But unlike the City Connects, the header and theme is totally up to you, the FanGraphs Member!

If you have any questions, please leave them in the comments below, and if you have any suggestions for site features, please be sure to let us know. And lastly, a thank you to our Members! Membership is the best way to support our staff, and ensure that we can continue to grow and improve the site. We couldn’t do any of this without you!