NERD Game Scores for May 31, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Milwaukee at New York NL | 19:10 ET
Guerra (8.2 IP, 98 xFIP-) vs. deGrom (64.0 IP, 68 xFIP-)
Because the author himself wasn’t aware, it’s possible that at least one reader isn’t currently aware of how good Jacob deGrom has been so far this season — in particular at missing bats. Among the league’s 92 qualified pitchers, he’s recorded the second-lowest contact rate (68.1%), the fourth-highest swinging-strike rate (15.3%), and the third-highest overall strikeout rate (32.2%). There’s obviously quite a lot of interaction between those metrics; in each case, however, one is forced to reach the conclusion that Jacob deGrom is missing a lot of bats.

By what means is he doing it? Largely by recording much higher whiff rates on every pitch. Regard, deGrom’s repertoire from 2016 versus the current season (data care of Brooks Baseball):

Jacob deGrom’s Whiff Rate by Pitch, 2016 vs. -17
Pitch Type 2016 Count 2016 Wiffs 2017 Count 2017 Whiffs Whiff Diff
Fourseam 989 12.3% 444 18.2% 5.9%
Sinker 412 5.6% 151 11.9% 6.3%
Change 261 21.8% 93 20.4% -1.4%
Slider 434 12.9% 268 16.4% 3.5%
Curve 254 10.6% 84 14.3% 3.7%
SOURCE: Brooks Baseball

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio or New York NL TV.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game hadn’t been announced as of press time. That said, it can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text when available.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for May 31, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Zack Godley AZ 8 9 7 3 6 PIT Chad Kuhl 12:35
Tim Adleman CIN 4 8 4 4 0 TOR Mike Bolsinger 12:37
David Paulino* HOU 6 6 5 6 1 MIN Hector Santiago 13:10
Aaron Nola PHI 7 4 5 4 5 MIA Dan Straily 13:10
Jake Arrieta CHN 7 6 7 4 10 SD Luis Perdomo 15:40
Sean Manaea OAK 7 6 6 6 6 CLE Mike Clevinger 18:10
Masahiro Tanaka NYA 7 8 6 3 4 BAL Kevin Gausman 19:05
Junior Guerra* MIL 8 7 8 5 10 NYN Jacob deGrom 19:10
Chris Archer TB 8 7 6 5 5 TEX Austin Bibens-Dirkx* 20:05
Drew Pomeranz BOS 7 4 4 5 0 CHA Mike Pelfrey 20:10
Matt Boyd DET 3 3 2 3 1 KC Ian Kennedy 20:15
Hyun-Jin Ryu LAN 5 7 7 4 10 STL Carlos Martinez 20:15
Jaime Garcia ATL 3 2 3 4 4 LAA Jesse Chavez 22:07
Antonio Senzatela COL 5 7 6 2 10 SEA James Paxton 22:10
Max Scherzer WAS 8 6 4 2 1 SF Matt Cain 22:15
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Brian Reinhart
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Member

Just noticed the author has gone from “very handsome” to “doomed” in this year’s footnoted cautions.

DookieHowserMD
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DookieHowserMD

Age catches up with us all…

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