Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.
Most Highly Rated Game
Kansas City at Detroit | 19:10 ET
Duffy (169.2 IP, 87 xFIP-) vs. Fulmer (148.2 IP, 94 xFIP-)
For as bananas as the National League’s wild-card picture has become — featuring three clubs in a sometimes virtual, sometimes actual real tie — the American League’s version has become roughly that same number of bananas. As of this morning, five clubs continue to possess at least a 10% probability of qualifying for a berth according to this site’s methodology:
Second-place Detroit has never possessed playoff odds much above 60% this year. A victory tonight would likely allow them to cross that particular threshold. Helping them in that endeavor is young right-hander Michael Fulmer, who either should win the Rookie of the Year or shouldn’t per Jeff Sullivan.
Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.
One Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Arizona at Baltimore, starts at 19:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.
|Mike Leake||STL||7||8||6||4||6||CHN||Jake Arrieta||14:20|
|Shelby Miller||AZ||3||4||5||9||1||BAL||Yovani Gallardo||19:05|
|Gio Gonzalez||WAS||6||4||5||5||9||PIT||Jameson Taillon||19:05|
|Bryan Mitchell||NYA||5||4||5||7||5||TOR||Francisco Liriano||19:07|
|Matt Wisler||ATL||5||4||4||4||4||MIA||Andrew Cashner||19:10|
|Drew Pomeranz||BOS||6||5||5||4||9||TB||Chris Archer||19:10|
|Miguel Gonzalez||CHA||3||4||4||4||6||CLE||Trevor Bauer||19:10|
|Danny Duffy||KC||8||4||6||7||8||DET||Michael Fulmer||19:10|
|Jeremy Hellickson||PHI||5||4||6||8||6||NYN||Gabriel Ynoa*||19:10|
|Anthony DeSclafani||CIN||7||4||5||4||6||MIL||Zach Davies||20:10|
|Alex Meyer||LAA||3||4||5||7||2||HOU||Doug Fister||20:10|
|James Paxton||SEA||10||5||5||4||4||MIN||Kyle Gibson||20:10|
|Cole Hamels||TEX||7||4||5||4||5||OAK||Kendall Graveman||21:35|
|Jon Gray||COL||9||4||5||4||5||LAN||Scott Kazmir||22:10|
|Albert Suarez||SF||4||7||5||4||1||SD||Edwin Jackson||22:40|
Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.