NERD Game Scores for September 23, 2016

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric nobleman Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Kansas City at Detroit | 19:10 ET
Duffy (169.2 IP, 87 xFIP-) vs. Fulmer (148.2 IP, 94 xFIP-)
For as bananas as the National League’s wild-card picture has become — featuring three clubs in a sometimes virtual, sometimes actual real tie — the American League’s version has become roughly that same number of bananas. As of this morning, five clubs continue to possess at least a 10% probability of qualifying for a berth according to this site’s methodology:

American League Wild-Card Odds, Bananas
Team W L W% GB EXPW EXPL rosW% WC
Blue Jays 83 69 .546 1.0 88.4 73.6 .537 75.9%
Tigers 82 70 .539 0.0 87.4 74.6 .543 57.6%
Orioles 82 71 .536 -0.5 86.6 75.4 .513 33.9%
Astros 81 72 .529 -1.5 85.8 76.2 .532 16.6%
Mariners 80 72 .526 -2.0 85.5 76.5 .547 12.9%

Second-place Detroit has never possessed playoff odds much above 60% this year. A victory tonight would likely allow them to cross that particular threshold. Helping them in that endeavor is young right-hander Michael Fulmer, who either should win the Rookie of the Year or shouldn’t per Jeff Sullivan.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Detroit Radio.

One Other Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Arizona at Baltimore, starts at 19:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for September 23, 2016
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Mike Leake STL 7 8 6 4 6 CHN Jake Arrieta 14:20
Shelby Miller AZ 3 4 5 9 1 BAL Yovani Gallardo 19:05
Gio Gonzalez WAS 6 4 5 5 9 PIT Jameson Taillon 19:05
Bryan Mitchell NYA 5 4 5 7 5 TOR Francisco Liriano 19:07
Matt Wisler ATL 5 4 4 4 4 MIA Andrew Cashner 19:10
Drew Pomeranz BOS 6 5 5 4 9 TB Chris Archer 19:10
Miguel Gonzalez CHA 3 4 4 4 6 CLE Trevor Bauer 19:10
Danny Duffy KC 8 4 6 7 8 DET Michael Fulmer 19:10
Jeremy Hellickson PHI 5 4 6 8 6 NYN Gabriel Ynoa* 19:10
Anthony DeSclafani CIN 7 4 5 4 6 MIL Zach Davies 20:10
Alex Meyer LAA 3 4 5 7 2 HOU Doug Fister 20:10
James Paxton SEA 10 5 5 4 4 MIN Kyle Gibson 20:10
Cole Hamels TEX 7 4 5 4 5 OAK Kendall Graveman 21:35
Jon Gray COL 9 4 5 4 5 LAN Scott Kazmir 22:10
Albert Suarez SF 4 7 5 4 1 SD Edwin Jackson 22:40
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of clueless author.

We hoped you liked reading NERD Game Scores for September 23, 2016 by Carson Cistulli!

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Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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Doug Davis
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Doug Davis

Vin Scully broke NERD again