NERD Game Scores for Thursday, September 17, 2015

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by viscount of the internet Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game. Read more about the components of and formulae for NERD scores here.

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Most Highly Rated Game
Houston at Texas | 20:05 ET
McCullers (101.2 IP, 89 xFIP-) vs. Lewis (184.0 IP, 115 xFIP-)
It’s very possible that Houston both was and also remains a more talented ball club than division rival Texas. What they’ve done over the first three games of this series, however, is lose all of them. The result: a serious decline in the probability of winning that division, as illustrated by the following table.

AL West Division Odds, 2015
Club Before Series Now Diff
Texas 22.0% 58.1% +36.1%
Houston 73.7% 39.2% -34.5%

The lesson: talent — and even talent applied earnestly — isn’t sufficient for success. Whether this is reassuring for the reader or disappointing reveals the camp with which he or she most clearly identifies.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Texas Radio.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features Baltimore at Tampa Bay, starts at 19:10 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and very sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and also the rest of the internet. Note that the calculations both for team and game NERD scores have changed recently to better integrate playoff odds into same. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Image 4

Away   SP Tm. Gm. Tm. SP   Home Time
Kyle Hendricks CHN 8 5 6 6 6 PIT Charlie Morton 12:35
Sean Nolin OAK 0 4 4 4 6 CHA Jose Quintana 14:10
Jarred Cosart MIA 4 4 4 4 3 WAS Tanner Roark 19:05
Chris Tillman BAL 4 4 4 4 1 TB Matt Moore 19:10
Yo. Ventura KC 9 4 6 5 10 CLE Corey Kluber 19:10
Marco Estrada TOR 2 8 5 4 4 ATL Matt Wisler 19:10
Lance McCullers HOU 8 10 8 9 3 TEX Colby Lewis 20:05
Hector Santiago LAA 2 5 5 7 4 MIN Tommy Milone 20:10
John Lackey STL 5 6 5 4 5 MIL Jimmy Nelson 20:10

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of very handsome author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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MikeS
7 years ago

Sort of surprised at Sean Nolin’s goose egg NERD score. He is only 25 with 14 career IP. Seems like the discretion of the very handsome author is usually more generous to guys like that.