What in the Sam Hilliard? Rockies, Braves Make Offseason’s First Trade

Sam Hilliard
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Rockies and Braves wasted little time in kicking off the offseason trade market. On Sunday, just one day after the World Series came to a thrilling conclusion, the clubs made a one-for-one swap: Sam Hilliard for Dylan Spain. And while the move’s significance paled in comparison to the the major transaction of the day, Edwin Díaz’s extension with the Mets, there is more to it than meets the eye.

For many Braves fans, their biggest concern might be how the team chooses to fill the Dansby Swanson-shaped hole at shortstop. Currently, our depth charts have rookie standout Vaughn Grissom soaking up 74% of the innings at short. But though he fared quite well with the bat in his major league audition, to the tune of a 121 wRC+, the 21-year-old graded out as a net negative at second base this year. His mark of -5 Outs Above Average (OAA) at the position, typically thought to be the easier of the middle infield spots to defend, does not portend success at short.

The larger question mark for the Braves might be in left field, though. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Michael Harris II are locked into right and center, but there is no clear choice for the club in left. As Marcell Ozuna and Eddie Rosario floundered, Atlanta’s left fielders this year cost the team 0.8 WAR, tied with the lowly Rangers for the worst mark in the league. Hilliard can play all three outfield spots but has played the most in left and grades out best there in terms of OAA, Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), and Ultimate Zone Rating (UZR). He provides the Braves with meaningful depth at their weakest position, well worth the cost of a 24-year-old relief prospect in Spain, who spent the year amassing a 5.30 ERA in High-A. Read the rest of this entry »


How Defensive Replacements Played Their Part in the Postseason

Edmundo Sosa
Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

Defensive replacements might be the most overlooked of managerial decisions. We can (and do) spend hours debating the merits of lineup construction, pitching changes, and pinch-hitters, but rarely are defensive replacements a part of those conversations. Every Phillies fan has an opinion as to whether or not Rob Thomson should have pulled Zack Wheeler in the World Series. Padres faithful were left scratching their heads when Bob Melvin didn’t bring Josh Hader in to face Bryce Harper in the deciding game of the NLCS. The phrase “Taylor Walls, Pinch-Hitter” still echoes in many a Rays fan’s head.

But how many of the 24 defensive replacements do you remember from this year’s postseason?

I’m not trying to be obtuse here. I’m well aware of why defensive replacements don’t get much attention; they’re far less likely to make a difference than almost any other managerial decision. Defensive replacements only come in for an inning or two when their team is already in the lead. There’s no guarantee they get to a make a single out, let alone a difficult play that could have significant ramifications for the outcome of the game. Yet that being so, when and how to deploy defensive replacements is still an interesting bit of strategy, and eventually, over a substantial number of games, some defensive replacements are going to make a meaningful difference. Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Philadelphia Phillies – Product Manager – Baseball Research & Development

Product Manager – Baseball Research & Development

Title: Product Manager
Department: Baseball Research & Development
Reports to: Director, Baseball Research & Development
Status: Regular Full-Time

Position Overview:
As the first full-time Research and Development (R&D) Product Manager you work within our R&D and larger Research and Information (R&I) groups to develop products that serve as differentiators in evaluating, acquiring, and developing baseball players. You are responsible for creating and maintaining a roadmap for our Software Engineering (SWE) team and tracking the use and value of products that have been built and deployed.

You will work closely with end-users across Baseball Operations, Scouting, Player Development and the Major League Coaching Staff to identify impactful tools to build, based on your knowledge of R&D research and the technology landscape.

Responsibilities:

  • Project Execution
    • Work with the SWE Team and the Manager, SWE to develop detailed requirements and project plans for each upcoming feature / epic
    • Collaborate with stakeholders and engineers to test the finished product and ensure that the potential impact is realized
  • Vision and Roadmap
    • Work closely with Baseball Operation stakeholders and the SWE team to develop a roadmap of features and capabilities that will provide maximum impact to the Phillies
    • Manage and communicate any changes to the roadmap, periodically updating and reviewing the plan. Maintain a best-estimate schedule at all times
    • Stay engaged with stakeholder needs and new and ongoing research from the Quantitative Analysis team to proactively raise ideas for new features and capabilities
  • Product Evaluation
    • Develop key metrics and measures that will be used to evaluate the success of our products and features
    • Advocate for usage of our products and features, collect feedback, and continuously re-evaluate their design and implementation

Required Qualifications:

  • 1-3+ years prior experience in product management
  • Excellent written and verbal communication skills; able to run efficient meetings, create compelling presentations, and have productive conversations with people from a variety of backgrounds
  • Ability to identify and prioritize user stories and turn them into actionable technical requirements
  • Insatiable curiosity to learn more about the intersection of baseball, technology, and data science and constantly ask ‘why’
  • Proven willingness to both teach others and learn new techniques
  • Proven leadership and self-direction

Preferred Qualifications:

  • BS or higher degree in Computer Science, similar technical field of study or equivalent practical experience
  • Software development experience in one or more general purpose programming languages (including but not limited to: Python, Javascript/Typescript, Go, Rust, Swift, Objective C, C/C++, or Java
  • Experience working in baseball or other sports
  • Spanish fluency would be a plus

Interested applicants should submit both their resume and an answer to the following question:
In 500 words or less, please tell us why you are interested in Product Management role in a Baseball Research & Development department.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Philadelphia Phillies.


Job Posting: Philadelphia Phillies – Lead Quantitative Analyst, Quantitative Analyst

Lead Quantitative Analyst

Title: Lead Quantitative Analyst
Department: Baseball Research & Development
Reports to: Director, Baseball Research & Development
Status: Regular Full-Time
Location: Philadelphia, PA; also open to Remote

Position Overview:
As a Lead Quantitative Analyst (QA), you help shape the Phillies Baseball Operations strategies by processing, analyzing, and interpreting large and complex data, while providing guidance and feedback to other quantitative analysts as they do the same. You do more than just crunch the numbers; you carefully plan the design of your own studies by asking and answering the right questions, while also working collaboratively with other analysts and software engineers to lead larger projects.

Using analytical rigor, you work with your team as you mine through data and see opportunities for the Phillies to improve. After communicating the results of your studies and experiments to the GM and executive staff, you collaborate with front office executives, scouts, coaches, and trainers to incorporate your findings into Phillies practices. Identifying the challenge is only half the job; you also work to figure out and implement the solution.

Responsibilities:

  • Conduct and oversee statistical research projects and manage the integration of their outputs into our proprietary tools and applications (e.g., performance projections, player valuations, draft assessments, injury analyses, etc.)
  • Ensure projects conform to best practices for implementing, maintaining, and improving predictive models throughout their life cycles
  • Communicate with front office executives, scouts, coaches, and medical staff to design and interpret statistical studies
  • Assist and mentor other members of the QA team with their projects by providing guidance and feedback on your areas of expertise within baseball, statistics, data visualization, and programming
  • Manage other analysts and their projects to ensure that QA work meets technical standards and aligns with the needs of stakeholders
  • Continually enhance your and your colleagues knowledge of baseball and data science through reading, research, and discussion with your teammates and the rest of the front office
  • Provide input in architecting the storage of baseball data

Required Qualifications:

  • 3-5+ years of relevant work experience and some familiarity with baseball, sabermetrics, or sports analytics in general, or an ability to show meaningful completed projects in this space
  • Deep understanding of statistics, including supervised and unsupervised learning, regularization, model assessment and selection, model inference and averaging, ensemble methods, time series modeling, forecasting, etc.
  • Proficiency with scripting languages such as Python, statistical software (R, S-Plus, SAS, or similar), and databases (SQL)
  • Demonstrated experience designing, constructing, implementing, and leading technical research projects for use by non-technical stakeholders
  • Proven willingness to both teach others and learn new techniques
  • Willingness to work as part of a team on complex projects
  • Proven leadership and self-direction

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Possess or are pursuing a BS, MS or PhD in Statistics or related (e.g., mathematics, physics, or ops research) or equivalent practical experience
  • Familiarity with best practices in machine learning operations (Git, Docker, MLFlow or the equivalent)
  • Experience managing or overseeing the work of other data scientists or analysts
  • Experience with a probabilistic programming language (Stan, PyMC, etc.)

Interested applicants should submit both their resume and an answer to the following question:

The R&D department has been asked to provide a recommendation to promote or not promote a position player/hitting prospect from AA to AAA. What information would you consider in formulating your recommendation? (250 word limit)

Tip: There’s no defined right or wrong answer. Responses are used to get some insight into how you approach problem solving and baseball in general.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Quantitative Analyst

Title: Quantitative Analyst
Department: Baseball Research & Development
Reports to: Director, Baseball Research & Development
Status: Regular Full-Time
Location: Philadelphia, PA; also open to Remote

Position Overview:
As a Quantitative Analyst (QA), you help shape The Phillies Baseball Operations strategies by processing, analyzing, and interpreting large and complex data. You do more than just crunch the numbers; you carefully plan the design of your own studies by asking and answering the right questions, while also working collaboratively with other analysts and software engineers on larger projects.

Using analytical rigor, you work with your team as you mine through data and see opportunities for The Phillies to improve. After communicating the results of your studies and experiments to the GM and executive staff, you collaborate with front office executives, scouts, coaches, and trainers to incorporate your findings into Phillies practices. Identifying the challenge is only half the job; you also work to figure out and implement the solution.

Responsibilities:

  • Conduct statistical research projects and manage the integration of their outputs into our proprietary tools and applications (e.g., performance projections, player valuations, draft assessments, injury analyses, e)
  • Communicate with front office executives, scouts, coaches, and medical staff to design and interpret statistical studies
  • Assist the rest of the QA team with their projects by providing guidance and feedback on your areas of expertise within baseball, statistics, data visualization, and programming
  • Continually enhance your knowledge of baseball and data science through reading, research, and discussion with your teammates and the rest of the front office
  • Provide input in architecting the storage of baseball data

Required Qualifications:

  • 0-3+ years of relevant work experience
  • Deep understanding of statistics, including supervised and unsupervised learning, regularization, model assessment and selection, model inference and averaging, ensemble methods,
  • Ability to demonstrate some baseball knowledge and how quantitative analytics can provide value to a baseball organization
  • Meaningful work experience with statistical software (R, S-Plus, SAS, or similar), databases, and scripting languages such as Python
  • Proven willingness to both teach others and learn new techniques
  • Willingness to work as part of a team on complex projects
  • Proven leadership and self-direction

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Possess or are pursuing a BS, MS or PhD in Statistics or related (e.g., mathematics, physics, or ops research) or equivalent practical experience
  • Experience drawing conclusions from data, communicating those conclusions to decision makers, and recommending actions

Interested applicants should submit both their resume and an answer to the following question:

The R&D department has been asked to provide a recommendation to promote or not promote a pitching prospect from AA to AAA. What information would you consider in formulating your recommendation? (250 word limit)

Tip: There’s no defined right or wrong answer. Responses are used to get some insight into how you approach problem solving and baseball in general.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Philadelphia Phillies.


Job Posting: Los Angeles Angels – Multiple Openings

Baseball Operations Pitching Analyst

Description:
The Los Angeles Angels are seeking an Analyst with a focus on pitching to join our Baseball Operations department. This position will support the Baseball Operations group’s efforts to analyze and provide pitching data, statistics and other pitching-related information. The ideal candidate combines a strong background of technical skills with an understanding of baseball research concepts and modern pitching technologies, information and strategies.

Responsibilities:

  • Develop tools and visualizations for disseminating statistical concepts.
  • Conduct research projects and player analysis for the Baseball Operations group.
  • Help build database and reporting infrastructure to support advance scouting and coaching staff needs.
  • Opportunities for other ad-hoc contributions to the pitching development process.

Qualifications:

  • Strong foundation in the application of statistical concepts to baseball data and the translation of data into actionable baseball recommendations.
  • Understanding of modern pitching philosophies, technologies and applications.
  • Advanced level capabilities in R or Python.
  • Proficiency in or clear ability to learn SQL.
  • Preferred: Demonstrable experience analyzing and/or implementing pitch design.
  • Preferred: Demonstrable independent baseball research.
  • Preferred: Demonstrable experience creating effective data visualizations.
  • Preferred: Some web development experience.
  • Ability to work flexible hours including evenings, weekends and holidays

Physical Demands:

  • Ability to frequently sit for extended periods of time
  • Ability to occasionally work in inclement weather (when in stadium)
  • Ability to traverse from office to stadium frequently
  • Ability to occasionally lift up to 20 lbs.

The above statements are intended to describe the general nature and level of work being performed by individuals assigned to this position. They are not intended to be an exhaustive list of all duties, responsibilities, and skills required of personnel so classified.

Please note that any job offer is contingent upon your providing verification that you have been fully vaccinated (at least 14 days have passed since receiving final dose of vaccine) against COVID-19. Job offers will be withdrawn (regardless of whether you have already signed) if this condition is not satisfied. Unless and until this step has been completed, you should not resign your current employment, otherwise alter your employment status, or alter any personal circumstances in reliance on a conditional offer. Angels Baseball is committed to providing equal opportunity, and does not discriminate on the basis of any characteristic protected by law. If there is a medical or religious reason you believe you cannot comply with this requirement, please discuss with Human Resources if/when you are offered a position.

The Angels believe that diversity contributes to a more enriched collective perspective and a better decision-making process. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by law.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Baseball Administration and Operations Assitant

Description:
The Los Angeles Angels are seeking a Baseball Administration and Operations Assistant to support the departments in their day to day tasks. The ideal candidate will have outstanding organization skills with a strong attention to detail along with an understanding of baseball data, technologies and information.

Responsibilities:

  • Assist with Budget reviews throughout year and in yearly budget preparation process
  • Assist with visa, expense report and vendor processes
  • Coordinate various Internal and MLB lists, surveys and reporting
  • Assist with on-boarding new baseball operations employee processes
  • Assist with advance scouting including depth charts, daily and period reviews
  • Support baseball operations, scouting and player development on ad hoc projects as needed

Qualifications:

  • Knowledge of Microsoft Office software, including Word, Excel and Outlook.
  • Ability to communicate clearly and solve practical problems.
  • Self-starter who is able to work individually and also be a team player
  • Demonstrate attention to detail in all work, including writing, editing and presentation.
  • Understanding of baseball data, research and technologies
  • Proficiency in or clear ability to learn SQL and some coding (R or Python).
  • Preferred: Demonstrable independent baseball research.
  • Preferred: Demonstrable experience creating effective data visualizations.
  • Preferred: Spanish language fluency
  • Ability to work flexible hours including evenings, weekends and holidays

Physical Demands:

  • Ability to frequently sit for extended periods of time
  • Ability to occasionally work in inclement weather (when in stadium)
  • Ability to traverse from office to stadium frequently
  • Ability to occasionally lift up to 20 lbs.

The above statements are intended to describe the general nature and level of work being performed by individuals assigned to this position. They are not intended to be an exhaustive list of all duties, responsibilities, and skills required of personnel so classified.

Please note that any job offer is contingent upon your providing verification that you have been fully vaccinated (at least 14 days have passed since receiving final dose of vaccine) against COVID-19. Job offers will be withdrawn (regardless of whether you have already signed) if this condition is not satisfied. Unless and until this step has been completed, you should not resign your current employment, otherwise alter your employment status, or alter any personal circumstances in reliance on a conditional offer. Angels Baseball is committed to providing equal opportunity, and does not discriminate on the basis of any characteristic protected by law. If there is a medical or religious reason you believe you cannot comply with this requirement, please discuss with Human Resources if/when you are offered a position.

The Angels believe that diversity contributes to a more enriched collective perspective and a better decision-making process. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by law.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Los Angeles Angels.


Effectively Wild Episode 1927: The Living Legend of Willie Mays

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley share their impressions of HBO’s new feature-length documentary about Willie Mays, Say Hey, Willie Mays!, and reflect on Mays’s career, then (29:23) talk to director Nelson George about the making of the movie, what didn’t make the movie, his interactions with Mays and other legends, and much more, followed (1:04:59) by a postscript and a Past Blast from 1927.

Audio intro: The Baseball Project, “Sometimes I Dream of Willie Mays
Audio interstitial: Michael Franti & Spearhead, “Say Hey (I Love You)
Audio outro: Gallagher and Lyle, “Willie

Link to Say Hey website
Link to Say Hey trailer
Link to story about banning Mays
Link to story about basket catch
Link to Mays on Bewitched
Link to Mays response to Robinson
Link to Alvin Dark controversy
Link to Bill Greason’s SABR bio
Link to MLBTR on Baker and Click
Link to Michael Mountain’s cLI data
Link to 1927 story source
Link to Jacob Pomrenke’s website
Link to Jacob Pomrenke on Twitter

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 Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com


Job Posting: Atlanta Braves – Player Development Video & Information Trainee

Player Development Video & Information Trainee

Reports To: Manager, Player Development Video & Technology
Department: Player Development

Position Overview:
The Player Development Video and Information Trainee will provide a service to an Atlanta Braves affiliate through charting live baseball games and providing video and information to Braves coaches, coordinators, and front office personnel. This role manages all aspects of the assigned affiliate’s video, technology, and advance scouting operation and aims to provide an experience that prepares the ideal candidate for a future role in the baseball industry.

Responsibilities:

  • Capture and chart video for each game of the full minor league schedule of an assigned affiliate (home games and team travel to road games, postseason included)
  • Manage a network of cameras set up to collect high-quality video from multiple angles
  • Attach, edit, and upload video following each game daily
  • Assist in the deployment and utilization of all Braves technology equipment at assigned affiliate
  • Support the coaching staff/players with ad-hoc video/technology requests as assigned
  • Participate in the affiliate’s advance scouting process and produce associated materials for the coaching staff
  • Attend Braves’ Spring Training camp in Venice, FL to undergo training of all video, technology, and advance applications
  • Participate in periodic calls with the Baseball Operations group in Atlanta
  • Other duties as assigned

Required Qualifications:

  • Prior baseball coaching/playing experience (High School, College, or Professional preferred)
  • Knowledge of baseball rules, scoring, and statistics
  • Exceptional verbal communication skills and computer skills
  • Proactive, organized, and detail-oriented person who can prioritize their workload and follow-through with minimal supervision
  • Ability to work independently and as part of a team
  • Willing to relocate to a Braves minor league affiliate from Mid-March through Mid-September
  • The ability to safely lift and transport equipment weighing 25 lbs. or more
  • The ability to climb ladders and successfully place equipment from variable positions and heights
  • Flexible schedule: able to work nights, weekends, and holidays
  • Bachelor’s degree
  • Able to successfully complete a background check

The Atlanta Braves are an Equal Opportunity Employer.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Atlanta Braves.


Effectively Wild Episode 1926: Open Offseason

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley, and FanGraphs writer Ben Clemens banter about Game 6 of the World Series, the Series and the playoffs as a whole, Phillies manager Rob Thomson’s decision to pull Zack Wheeler in favor of José Alvarado, Yordan Alvarez’s titanic dinger, the Astros’ bullpen performance, and Kyle Schwarber’s bunt attempt, before discussing the Astros’ legacy, the 2022 team vs. the 2017 team, and the “dynasty” debate. Then (45:29) they cover Edwin Díaz’s extension with the Mets, what the Phillies have to teach teams about spending, and Other Ben’s ranking of the best free agents (1:01:15), touching on the strengths of the class, their expectations for the pace of the offseason, the contracts Aaron Judge and Jacob deGrom could get, the premium shortstops available, the best and worst values on the market, and more, plus a Past Blast (1:30:33) from 1926.

Audio intro: Frazey Ford, “Season After Season
Audio outro: Ben Gibbard, “Star Sign

Link to Justin Choi on the Astros
Link to Ben Lindbergh on the Astros
Link to Zach Kram on the Astros
Link to Jayson Stark on the Astros
Link to The Onion on the Astros
Link to Alvarez homer video
Link to story about Alvarez’s hands
Link to reliever familiarity research
Link to Wheeler fatigue article
Link to Eno on Cash and Snell
Link to Devan Fink on Cash and Snell
Link to story about Schwarber’s bunt
Link to tweet about Astros’ bullpen
Link to Baker’s Cosby comment
Link to Dan Szymborski on Díaz
Link to Ben C.’s free-agent ranking
Link to Hamm’s Turner video
Link to 1926 story source
Link to SABR on the Grier game
Link to SABR on Negro Leagues no-nos
Link to Jacob Pomrenke’s website
Link to Jacob Pomrenke on Twitter
Link to Minasian’s comments

 Sponsor Us on Patreon
Subscribe to Stathead (Code: WILD20)
 Facebook Group
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 Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com


Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat – 11/7/22

Read the rest of this entry »


Edwin Díaz Signs Record Contract To Stay With Mets

Edwin Diaz
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

One of this winter’s top free agents crossed himself off the list over the weekend, as Edwin Díaz signed a five-year, $102 million contract to remain the Mets’ closer. Díaz was absolutely dominant this season, striking out nearly two batters an inning, resulting in a FIP under 1.00, and avoiding any of the walk or home run flurries that occasionally have marred his résumé. While I’m not particularly a fan of the save stat or the conclusions drawn as a result, him only blowing three saves in 2022 accurately reflects his dominance; he only allowed multiple runs in a single appearance all year, and all three of his blown saves occurred with one-run leads. The deal comes with a $12 million signing bonus, a team option at $20 million for a sixth season, a no-trade provision, and an opt-out after 2025.

Generally speaking, when a pitcher has a microscopic ERA, there’s some measure of luck involved; nobody’s long-term baseline expectation is an ERA of 1.31. So it naturally amuses me that Díaz arguably underperformed his peripherals this season. How often does a pitcher with an ERA that excellent actually have a FIP nearly half a run lower? Not very.

Best ERAs for FIP Underperformers (min. 40 IP)
Player Year IP ERA FIP FIP-ERA
Craig Kimbrel 2012 62.7 1.01 0.78 -0.23
Eric Gagne 2003 82.3 1.20 0.86 -0.34
Edwin Díaz 2022 62.0 1.31 0.90 -0.41
Kenley Jansen 2017 68.3 1.32 1.31 -0.01
Walter Johnson 1910 370.0 1.36 1.28 -0.08
Ed Walsh 1908 464.0 1.42 1.36 -0.06
Christy Mathewson 1908 390.7 1.43 1.26 -0.17
Craig Kimbrel 2017 69.0 1.43 1.42 -0.01
Sergio Romo 2011 48.0 1.50 0.96 -0.54
Aroldis Chapman 2016 58.0 1.55 1.42 -0.13
Rube Waddell 1904 383.0 1.62 1.48 -0.14
Walter Johnson 1908 256.3 1.65 1.47 -0.18
Dave Smith 1987 60.0 1.65 1.54 -0.11
Chief Bender 1909 250.0 1.66 1.52 -0.14
Rob Dibble 1990 98.0 1.74 1.50 -0.24
Chief Bender 1908 138.7 1.75 1.42 -0.33
Red Ames 1908 114.3 1.81 1.39 -0.42
Cy Young 1905 320.7 1.82 1.61 -0.21
Francisco Rodriguez 2004 84.0 1.82 1.64 -0.18
Chad Green 2017 69.0 1.83 1.75 -0.08

Going back to the start of 1901, there have been only 35 player-seasons in which a pitcher had an ERA under 2.00 and had a FIP lower than their ERA (out of 796 possible player-seasons). Only Gagne and Kimbrel had lower ERAs in seasons during which they failed to match their FIP; the average FIP for a pitcher with an ERA between 1.01 and 1.51 is 2.30. Read the rest of this entry »