San Francisco Giants Top 50 Prospects

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the San Francisco Giants. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the sixth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.
A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.
All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bryce Eldridge | 21.6 | MLB | 1B | 2026 | 55 |
| 2 | Josuar Gonzalez | 18.6 | R | SS | 2031 | 50 |
| 3 | Jhonny Level | 19.2 | A+ | 2B | 2030 | 50 |
| 4 | Luis Hernández | 17.5 | R | SS | 2032 | 50 |
| 5 | Keyner Martinez | 21.8 | A | SP | 2028 | 50 |
| 6 | Carson Whisenhunt | 25.6 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 45+ |
| 7 | Blade Tidwell | 25.0 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 45 |
| 8 | Jesus Rodriguez | 24.1 | MLB | C | 2026 | 45 |
| 9 | Parks Harber | 24.7 | AA | 3B | 2027 | 45 |
| 10 | Bo Davidson | 23.9 | AA | CF | 2028 | 45 |
| 11 | Gavin Kilen | 22.2 | A+ | SS | 2027 | 45 |
| 12 | Trevor McDonald | 25.3 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 45 |
| 13 | Joe Whitman | 24.7 | AA | SP | 2027 | 45 |
| 14 | Matt Wilkinson | 23.5 | AAA | SP | 2027 | 45 |
| 15 | Jonah Cox | 24.8 | MLB | CF | 2027 | 40+ |
| 16 | Caleb Kilian | 29.0 | MLB | SIRP | 2026 | 40+ |
| 17 | Drew Cavanaugh | 24.4 | AAA | C | 2026 | 40+ |
| 18 | Dakota Jordan | 23.1 | A+ | CF | 2028 | 40+ |
| 19 | Jacob Bresnahan | 20.9 | A+ | SP | 2028 | 40+ |
| 20 | Yunior Marte | 22.7 | AA | SP | 2027 | 40+ |
| 21 | Daniel Susac | 25.1 | MLB | C | 2027 | 40 |
| 22 | Argenis Cayama | 19.7 | A | SP | 2029 | 40 |
| 23 | Luis De La Torre | 22.7 | A+ | MIRP | 2027 | 40 |
| 24 | Trevor Cohen | 22.6 | A+ | CF | 2028 | 40 |
| 25 | Hunter Dryden | 24.0 | A+ | SIRP | 2028 | 40 |
| 26 | Jancel Villarroel | 21.4 | A+ | C | 2028 | 40 |
| 27 | Trent Harris | 27.4 | AAA | SIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 28 | Nate Furman | 24.9 | AAA | 2B | 2026 | 40 |
| 29 | Reggie Crawford | 25.5 | AAA | SIRP | 2027 | 40 |
| 30 | Josh Bostick | 24.6 | A+ | SIRP | 2028 | 40 |
| 31 | Drake George | 24.7 | A | MIRP | 2028 | 40 |
| 32 | Diego Velasquez | 22.7 | AA | SS | 2027 | 35+ |
| 33 | Carlos Gutierrez | 21.8 | A+ | LF | 2029 | 35+ |
| 34 | Charlie Szykowny | 25.9 | AA | 3B | 2027 | 35+ |
| 35 | Sabin Ceballos | 23.8 | AA | 3B | 2026 | 35+ |
| 36 | Dylan Smith | 26.0 | MLB | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 37 | Scott Bandura | 24.8 | AAA | LF | 2027 | 35+ |
| 38 | Niko Mazza | 24.3 | A+ | SIRP | 2028 | 35+ |
| 39 | Wilkin Ramos | 25.6 | MLB | SIRP | 2025 | 35+ |
| 40 | Marques Johnson | 25.9 | AAA | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 41 | Logan Martin | 24.9 | AA | MIRP | 2027 | 35+ |
| 42 | Cody Delvecchio | 22.4 | A | SIRP | 2029 | 35+ |
| 43 | Aeverson Arteaga | 23.2 | AAA | SS | 2027 | 35+ |
| 44 | Maui Ahuna | 24.2 | AA | SS | 2027 | 35+ |
| 45 | Alexander Fuentes | 21.4 | R | SIRP | 2030 | 35+ |
| 46 | Liam Simon | 25.6 | A+ | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 47 | Gerelmi Maldonado | 22.5 | A+ | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 48 | Alberto Laroche | 20.5 | R | SP | 2031 | 35+ |
| 49 | Braxton Roxby | 27.2 | AAA | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 50 | Brayan Narvaez | 21.6 | R | SP | 2029 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Bench Bats
Victor Bericoto, OF
Zander Darby, INF
Lisbel Diaz, OF
Dayson Croes, 2B
Adrián Sugastey, C
Turner Hill, OF
Bericoto was called up to the big club earlier this year and recently hit his first homer. He’s a corner outfielder with plus raw power, but he’s a fairly low-launch guy, and he has a history of swing and miss issues. He could be a platoon bat. Darby can’t play short but has featured at the other three infield positions. He has power and could play his way into a Jack-of-all-trades reserve role. A right-right corner bat with a long swing and fringy power, Diaz has carried a tweener projection for a few years now. High contact rates have helped keep his profile alive and so it’s a little concerning that he’s now swinging and missing 30% of the time, with a big drop in his zone contact alongside. Croes is a fun one. He mashed at a Division II school and then tore up the American Association for two seasons before he got his first shot in affiliated ball. He hit over .300 at Richmond last year and again in a two-week call-up at Sacramento. Back in Double-A, he’s sporting a .316 average. Still, he has no power, isn’t especially fast, and doesn’t play short, which makes him a tricky roster fit. Sugastey makes contact, but his conservative swing renders him a singles hitter. His glove could get him to the big leagues in a reserve capacity. Hill gets the bat on everything (89% contact rate this year) and can play center, but he has 20 game power.
Good Gloves
Rod Barajas Jr., C
Lorenzo Meola, SS
Zane Zielinski, SS
Anthony Marquez, INF
Barajas’ dad caught 14 years in the big leagues. Barajas the younger is a little light on tools but strong on intangibles and skills, things like arm strength, receiving quality, and approach at the plate. He could be an up-down catcher. Meola was the 2025 ASUN Defensive Player of the Year at Stetson, which keyed his fourth-round selection last summer. His preparation, instincts, and actions are excellent, and he has a big league utility chance if he can just hit .200 with a little juice. Zielinski is among the best shortstop defenders in the minor leagues. Marquez is a slick fielder with 20 power. He makes contact and has a utility ceiling, but the lack of thump is worrisome for a complex leaguer who is already nearly 20.
Low-Level Hitters
Dario Reynoso, 3B
Cam Maldonado, OF
Jeremiah Jenkins, 1B
Hayden Jatczak, IF
Yohendry Sanchez, C
Yulian Barreto, 2B
Djean Macares, CF
Angel Guzman, 1B
Rayner Arias, OF
Reynoso has plus power, above-average wheels, and probably some of the highest upside on this section of the list. I thought long and hard about ranking him, particularly given his strong start in the Cal League, but he has an immature approach and might have a 20 bat, and I didn’t like his glove. Maldonado was the club’s seventh-rounder last year and is off to a fast start in the Cal League. Sources have described him as a player with crude actions, but they like how hard he plays. He could be an extra outfielder. Jenkins has a scary bat path, but some scouts see a way to game power. Jatczak has one of the highest hard-hit rates in the system. He’s nearly 25 and still in A-ball, though his two-way and small school backgrounds are both late-blooming indicators on his resume. Sanchez is raking (.412 average) and walking (11 free passes vs. three strikeouts in 46 plate appearances) in the ACL. He’s maxed out and old for the level, though, so he’s more in the “keep the profile alive” bucket than anything else at this point.
Barreto signed for $1.1 million in the 2025 international class. He can hit a little bit, but isn’t especially athletic or projectable and is trending towards second base. Macares is a native of Aruba, a contact specialist who walked more than he struck out in the DSL last year. He needs to get stronger and is repeating the level. Guzman has plus power but hasn’t brought it into games on the complex yet. I was supposed to submit a report on Arias last summer for my last gig but couldn’t because he was serving a suspension for his part in a brawl. He’s toolsy and has been on the main section in prior years, but he’s running a strikeout rate near 40% on the complex, which gives the remainder of his season a last chance saloon sort of feel.
Spot Starters
Cesar Perdomo, LHP
Tyler Switalski, LHP
Charlie McDaniel, LHP
Braydon Risley, LHP
Perdomo is a smoke-and-mirrors lefty with above-average control and a nice changeup, a spot starter’s skill set. Switalski and McDaniel are High-A flavors of the type, Risley the Low-A version.
Reliever Bay
Jack Choate, LHP
Esmerlin Vinicio, LHP
Elkyns Villarreal, RHP
Ryan Vanderhei, RHP
Carlos De La Rosa, LHP
Iverson Paulino, RHP
Leandro Rodriguez, LHP
Jose T. Perez, RHP
Choate has a plus change and a decent slider, but also 20 arm strength right now, and his control has backed up at Double-A. It’s not impossible to get to the big leagues as a reliever throwing 88 mph, but even accounting for deception — seven feet of extension, low release — you can count the guys doing it on one hand. Vinicio is one of the thinnest players in pro ball. More relevant, he can really spin a curve and flashes a 55 changeup. He gets less than five feet of extension, and counter intuitively, I sort of wonder if that helps him. It gives the ball more time to break, and lefties especially can’t hit it. He’s an interesting relief flier with a few outlier traits. Villarreal is a lean Panamanian with an easy operation and shapely secondaries. More velocity is the path to the main section of this list.
Vanderhei has a bowling ball sinker and a slider that has missed a bunch of bats at the A-ball levels. They don’t tunnel well, though, in part because he doesn’t command either all that well. De La Rosa is a young and at least somewhat projectable lefty on the Arizona complex. He’s up to 96 with decent feel to spin it. He’s a little underdeveloped physically and has an extremely long and deep arm stroke. Paulino touches the mid-90s and has a starter’s frame. He isn’t especially loose, and his secondaries need a fair bit of refining. I’m a little surprised he wasn’t promoted to the ACL this year. Rodriguez is a lefty with a good arm and not a whole lot of projection. At times last year, Perez looked like an intriguing relief prospect. He has a plus fastball and has flashed an above-average slider and a usable change. He was all over the place at Low-A this year, though, and was sent back to the complex to try to get right again.
The Shelf
Reid Worley, RHP
Hayden Wynja, LHP
Worley signed for just shy of $750,000 as an overslot ninth-rounder last year. He hasn’t pitched in games yet and is out for the year after having Tommy John surgery in April. Wynja has a good slider and a chance to be a team’s second or third lefty reliever. His career has been beset by injuries — including a torn patellar tendon and most recently a torn UCL — and he hasn’t thrown in a game since 2024. He’s back throwing bullpens and could return to the main section if he’s able to get right.
System Overview
It gives me no pleasure to say, but Buster Posey’s San Francisco Giants are not playing well. He’s made a fair number of big-dollar signings and major trades in his tenure, and while I admire his aggressive approach and even liked some of the moves at the time, the objective reality is that his biggest acquisitions have mostly struggled. Alongside, two of the players he’s dealt away, Kyle Harrison and James Tibbs III, have each seen their stock rise significantly since leaving the org. The Giants now have an aging roster and the second-worst record in the National League, an unenviable combination to say the least.
Inevitably, Posey’s style and performance will be compared and contrasted with that of his predecessor, Farhan Zaidi, and that extends to the farm. The early returns are mixed — the 2025 draft class doesn’t stand out, for instance — but broadly speaking, this system is in pretty good shape. There are five Top 100 guys here, and the big (literally) guy at the top seems to be blossoming at the plate before our eyes. A few guys who have been here for a while, like Jonah Cox and Drew Cavanaugh, have broken out in recent seasons. Posey also deserves credit for quickly rebuilding the team’s pro scouting department — a number of longtime scouts were let go over the course of Zaidi’s tenure, including right at the end — and it’s a group that helped pull off a pretty good trade deadline last year: Parks Harber, Jesus Rodriguez, and Yunior Marte are all arrow-up prospects.
Internationally, the Giants are firing on all cylinders and have fielded some of the most interesting rosters on the complexes over the last two summers. Spending big on premier talent is a risky business, but the Giants have struck gold in three consecutive seasons with Jhonny Level, Josuar Gonzalez, and Luis Hernández. It seems almost unfair that the international group also appears to have a knack for finding talent in the small-dollar pool. Keyner Martinez, Luis De La Torre, and Brayan Narvaez were all $10,000 signings, and there are a few other minor signings on the main section as well.
Somewhat oddly, this trend extends to the domestic space. I referenced it in the blurbs, but it’s worth highlighting again that Harber and Bo Davidson are two of the best undrafted prospects we’ve ranked this cycle, and San Francisco somehow landed both of them. The amateur group does a great job identifying talent below the Division I level. Davidson and Josh Bostick were JUCO signings, and Hunter Dryden, Drake George, Trent Harris, and Drew Cavanaugh all hail from smaller colleges; among that group, only George landed a six-figure bonus. There’s a weird disparity at play in how the club’s top farmhands were viewed as amateurs: Of the top 11 players in this system, seven were seven-figure (or high six-figure) signings and the other four got $60,000 combined. I don’t know if that means anything, but it’s too bizarre not to mention.
If there’s a concern here, it’s that a lot of this system’s value is tied up in three smaller players with limited physical projection, all of whom are multiple levels from San Francisco. Gonzalez, Level, and Hernández are all great prospects who we like a lot, but teenagers in A-ball and on the complex are a high-risk demographic, and these aren’t guys with jaw-dropping upside. Every system has its risks. Here, the Giants and their fans will have to hope that the physically mature young guys with hit tools and good gloves don’t stall as they encounter bigger and stronger peers.
Brendan covers prospects and the minor leagues for FanGraphs. Previously he worked as a Pro Scout for the Pittsburgh Pirates.


To be fair to Posey, Tibbs and Harrison have really seen their stock rise significantly since leaving the Red Sox org.
I don’t think that anyone can ding the Giants for Tibbs. He was hitting great for the Giants when he was traded to the Red Sox. He looked bad in this really short amount of time with the Red Sox, when he was adjusting to a new organization and to AA. And then he got traded to the Dodgers two months later? And he suddenly looked exactly like the guy the Giants traded away. That doesn’t seem like the Giants’ fault.
I’m less sure about the Harrison situation, but so far it seems like the Red Sox got Harrison and Priester halfway there and then the Brewers got them the other half of the way. It’s not like the Giants or Pirates had bad pitching development, and they both needed two additional teams to work with them to get them to where they ended up.
If you want to ding anyone for Tibbs and Harrison, it should be the Red Sox. Pick whichever story you think is more likely: Either their development isn’t good enough to get guys to where they need to go, or it is good enough and they gave up on them too soon.
I don’t see why both teams can’t be dinged. On Tibbs he was doing decently with the Giants but had a groundball issue and a low babip (a sign of poor contact quality).
On Harrison they should get the brunt of the blame. Giants had harrison in their organization for near 5 years, he looked like a back of rotation guy without a true bat missing pitch. In 1 offseason Brewers were able to have him develop an elite changeup and greatly improve his command. That is a very bad look for Giants development.
Of course, the other element to this is that the Brewers are arguably the best organization at developing pitchers, and Harrison might have been the kind of pitcher that only they and a few other teams could have made this good.
Stock is a lagging indicator of talent and it’s on Posey’s posse to evaluate the latter, not make decisions based on the former.
Harrison always had an elite fastball, Tibbs had elite K/BB ratios and a 30 HR pace in high A.
I’m in RVA and have seen a lot of these guys play. The Flying Squirrels, at one point this year, had the best winning % in organized baseball I’m pretty sure. Cox has been killing it this year. Bo Davidson looks like a dude and made a hell of a play in CF last night.
Big fan of Croes. He hits everything and hustles his a$$ off. Don’t know if it’ll translate to the bigs in the slightest. Parks Harbor is also a dude, and needs to be traded to the Boston Red Sox ASAP due to his 10/10 baseball name.
Very stoked to see guys like Josuar and Level later in the year or in 2027. GO SQUIRRELS!
His full name is Thomsd Parks Harber. Love to hear that in Boston.
Tawmahs Pawks Hahwbah
This is an exciting system. Eldridge isn’t even 22 yet, and he’s projected for 80 raw. That’s the kind of left-handed hitter you need in the SFG park. There are three middle infielders who likely will all debut around 2031 who have surprisingly high floors for guys who are still teenagers. And there is a ton of depth that is already in the majors or will be here soon. I’m not even convinced that Keyner Martinez should be higher than a 45, but he could also be part of their future.
I think it’s time for the Giants to reboot around Eldridge and target 2031 as the moment when they’re going to open a window of contention. It’s time to open extension discussions with Eldridge–the Giants should try and sign him through 2038 if they can. He’s also the future at first base, so he should be playing there every day. And they’re in a space where they can target lots of high-ceiling prospects in the lower minors to move along with the Gonzalez / Level / Hernandez trio.
Not that these teams are all looking like buyers at the moment, but they should absolutely be trying to get guys like Kendry Chourio, David Shields, Cam Caminiti, Diego Tornes, Edward Florentino, Johan De Los Santos, Jojo Parker, Johnny King, Josiah Hartshorn, Kaleb Wing, Enddy Azocar, Robert Arias, etc. Contending teams don’t usually like trading away guys in AA or AAA because they want to win now. This makes them a great match for rebooting the team around Eldridge and whichever of their three exciting middle infielders make it through.
They’re not going to totally bottom out because Chapman, Adames, and Devers are probably untradeable and they’re also certainly going to play better than this. And they have a huge wave of guys who either recently debuted or will soon.
That means they will probably be mediocre going forward rather than bad.
But it’s time to extract maximum value for Logan Webb, and Luis Arraez and Jung Hoo Lee are playing great.
They don’t necessarily have any urgency to move Heliot Ramos, Casey Schmitt, Landen Roupp, Trevor McDonald, or Keaton Winn, but they could if someone blew them away.
And anyone who will be a free agent over the next 2-3 years probably should be traded. Maybe they wait until next year’s deadline if they’re under-performing like Adrian Houser or Harrison Bader, but there’s really no reason why Houser, Bader, Robbie Ray, or Tyler Mahle should be playing for this team except that they are already there. It’s time to see what Joe Whitman, Blade Tidwell, Matt Wilkinson, and Carson Whisenhunt can do.
“looks at current roster” I don’t see why they can’t bottom out. That rotation is quite bad and even Webb/Ray have regressed (ray may very well be traded tho). And guys like Adames/Chapman are not better than average regulars at this point (and that is kind). Their young players save for Eldridge aren’t good.
Yeah, they could. Lots of teams get old fast, and prospects bust. But Adames and Chapman combined for 7.7 fWAR last year and projection systems largely see them as being worth 2 fWAR over about 400 PAs for the rest of this year. Devers is only a bit under that, mostly because his defense is a mess (and he really should be DHing now anyway).
I guess I’m thinking that even if they trade away their young guys and / or they all regress that they’re going to get something out of the guys on this list. So let’s assume that for one reason or another guys like Heliot Ramos, Casey Schmitt, Trevor McDonald, and Landon Roupp are not options. Just as a hypothetical.
Starting around 2028, I think Kilen is going to be a 2+ win player, Davidson and Jordan could form an effective CF platoon, and Harber is going to be something (I don’t know what). Jesus Rodriguez is probably an infielder, but I think he can give them a league-average bat.
I’m not high on Cox or Gilbert–maybe they could platoon in a corner or something? They’re probably not going to be anything, but they could. Susac could maybe be a primary catcher. I don’t think all of Whitman, Whisenhunt, Wilkinson, and Tidwell are going to make it as effective MLB starters but I think a couple will.
I think it’s likely that if the declines for Adames, Chapman, and Devers get bad it will be by 2028 and not 2027. And by 2028 I think they will have a functional player at every spot in the infield and at DH. Kilen, Harber, and Rodriguez can all play a couple different spots, which gives some insurance against the others busting plus the possible declines of Chapman, Adames, and Devers. And I think Eldridge will be a really good TTO left-handed masher.
They will have some maybe-options in the outfield and in the rotation. And they probably will have at least two holes in the outfield and at least two in the rotation. But they also have a ton of money which they like to use on bringing in veterans on short term deals. There are a ton of outfielders and starters that are going to be available over the next couple of offseasons, enough that some are going to fall through the cracks. Guys like Ramon Laureano and Nick Martinez aren’t exciting but they keep your team from being bad.
I think they’re going to be a low-to-mid 70s win team for a while, regardless of whether they trade the guys they can.
They are the Chicago Bulls of baseball. Baseball hell.
They’re in a weird spot for sure.
I still believe Chapman, Adames, and Devers have enough talent to help you win in the present over at least the next 1-2 years, but each is owed a lot of money deep into their 30s. Nobody will touch those contracts. I don’t know what you do with that in terms of where the team is at right now.
As you mention, they have some other useful, but not exactly star, position players who aren’t that young but aren’t that old either.
The lack of OBP and general offensive struggles have drawn a lot of attention, but more quietly their pitching has been pretty bad. This year they are are 27th in pitching fWAR and 23rd in ERA.
Maybe having a professional Major League Baseball manager is a good idea? Bob Melvin wasn’t the greatest manager of all time but he was probably above average.
The “director of ML pitching” is also from the college ranks.
I dunno. The Padres seemed flat and undisciplined at the end of Melvin’s tenure, and then the Giants were flat and undisciplined under him also. Now the Giants are undisciplined and perhaps slight more rah-rah under Vitello, but certainly not very good. We want to feel that the right manager could perhaps pull the veterans out of their funk, but they seem pretty impervious to whoever’s in charge, unfortunately.
Yeah, the whole Vitello hire, his effect on the organization, and more broadly what that hire signaled about the organization would be an article unto itself, but I’m largely in agreement with you that this didn’t seem like the move for a team with mostly veteran players built to win now.
I think an entire article was written about this by Baumann, but I didn’t read it because I am trying to exercise discipline and not read something if I think I am going to hate it.
lol ownership is not gonna sign off on a 5-year rebuild
I think you are right.
The Padres are going to tear down and return to contention before the Giants even make the playoffs.
I hope no team is planning their contention window for 5 years out. Planning to compete that far out means you plan to not be competitive for even longer than that as aligning the stars development wise won’t work out and they need to rebuild again.
Teams can turn it around quite quickly especially if they spend money and the Giants are able to do that. Take risk on fliers and hope your development staff can do Brewers like things with pitchers. They should still be acquiring prospects, but I would trade for guys a little closer and who compliment the roster.
“Hope you are as good at running a team as the Brewers” is not a plan.
No, but I also think the “burn it to the ground for five years” road is fraught with potholes. Sure it worked…a decade ago for the Astros and Cubs. Recent examples like the Orioles and Pirates don’t look so hot.
I think there are three different things here, and you can do two without the third.
The first one is targeting guys with longer timelines in order to get guys with higher ceilings. That is what I would advocate for.
The second is trading established major leaguers who are getting older and whose value probably is going down from here like Jung Hoo Lee and Logan Webb. And others who will be a free agent this offseason, like Arraez.
The third one is trading everyone with team control that expires before the 2030 season. And I don’t necessarily think they should do that now. They *could* if the return package was good enough. But teams that want to win now are usually only valuing guys a couple years in the future. I don’t think the return for Helios Ramos would be that different a year from now vs what it is currently.
Now if the White Sox rolled up and offered Caleb Bonemer as the headliner in a deal for Landen Roupp they would definitely take it. I don’t think there’s any real reason to prioritize keeping most guys who are on the roster right now, but they don’t have to trade them either.
They don’t have to be as good as the Brewers at developing pitchers since they can spend more money to get some top talent. They just need to get some development wins for mid rotation guys and preferably develop a quality home grown pen. The pen can come from reclamation projects as well if you can target things to improve on a pitcher.
I know it is linked to 40-man calendar, but I’ve never felt older than seeing “2032” for Luis Hernandez’s ETA.
The cayama/keyner grades surprise me as i thought they would have same grade if not cayama a grade higher. Keyner does have top 100 stuff, but his command is so far off he wouldn’t even be in consideration for 50 fv for me.
I’m a Cayama fan, but this assessment seems fair. It’s command over stuff at this point, which allows him to shred low minors batting orders. I’m counting on him adding strength and figuring out how to get more shape on his FB; I’m not optimistic that SF is good at that last part, so it may come somewhere else à la Harrison. I need to go back and look, but there’s a Franklin Perez vibe here?
I’ve been on the fence with Keyner Martinez. Drafted him based on Brendan’s advocacy and then dropped him as I started doubting the long term command profile. I need to take a longer look at him.
This is with eldridge, and without susac/macdonald/killian. Without eldridge they fall to 188.5
MIL: 287.5
WSH: 242
LAD: 242
SEA: 241
DET: 236
SFG: 234.5
STL: 227
BOS: 212.5
CLE: 200
Pitt: 199
CHWS: 197
Tex: 192.5
TOR: 179.5
BAL: 169
NYM: 167.5
AZ: 167
Col: 154.5
A’s: 145
NYY: 142.5
KCR: 139
CHC: 138
CIN: 123.5
LAA: 121
PHI: 116.5
ATL: 114.5
SDP: 68.5
Hou: 60
Does this include other graduates for team lists earlier in the process? For example, De Lauter and Cleveland. Or will that be something to do once all the lists are released and post draft?
It includes the brunt of graduations. I did the graduations 1/2 weeks ago. When all the lists are done i am sure the fangraphs farm system rankings page will be running and they should be able to take out all graduates
I’m not sure I can get on board with giving Keyner Martinez a 50. I get the intrigue but it seems like a 50 is closer to his ceiling than median outcome. Giving a 50 to an unheralded 21 (nearly 22) year old that is repeating A ball that with relatively poor numbers is very aggressive.
Posey’s return for Doval was solid, and I suppose others like Tidwell/Wilkinson more than I do, but this rebuilt farm system is overwhelmingly Farhan Zaidi’s doing. He took unfair heat for that during his tenure. Rebuilding takes time, especially when you inherit the total mess the Giants had in 2019.
I think this is usually what happens. The real stars of this system are the international guys, and the agreements for those guys all happened years ago.
But they also really botched their draft a lot at the beginning of his tenure.They did way better in some years than others, with Tibbs, Eldridge, Whisenhunt, Whitman, Jordan, and Birdsong all coming in between 2022 and 2024. But 2019 and 2021 they basically only got one guy each year out of their draft classes, and that’s Landen Roupp and Trevor McDonald (the latter of whom is only okay). And those are two of the draft classes that were expected to make up the backbone of the team as of 2025, when they had already been a roughly .500 team for about three or four years.
The Doval trade was an absolute heist — they got two dudes who look useful (and are nor far from consistent MLB time) plus fliers for a pitcher who seems eminently broken. The package the Yanks gave up here is, in my eyes, strictly better than what they gave up to get Bednar, and I don’t know who that reflects more poorly on.
The Yankees overvalued the tantalizing promise that is “team control for good relievers” when many don’t remain good over the length of that team control
The Pirates. It reflects badly on the Pirates.
Think the Pirates could use Bednar right now? Not only did they get fleeced in the trade but the left hand doesn’t know what the right hand is doing.
Keyner Martinez a 50? No. I don’t believe that for a second.
My favorite day of the year!
There’s a lot of variance in evaluations of some of these players. Keith Law loves Kilen and BA is super high on Bo Davidson, but I think I align most closely with this list.
As bad as the Zaidi tenure was, he should get a lot of credit for drafting Eldridge and singing Gonzalez, Level and (probably) Hernandez. He also got some crazy value in smaller trades like Jonah Cox for Ross Stripling’s corpse and Jacob Bresnahan/Nate Furman for Alex Cobb’s…..well, corpse.
The more I watch Parks Harber the more I think he’s really going to hit. There are some oddities in the performance. His 75% contact rate seems low based on prolonged viewing, as does the K rate living in the low 20s. As long as this is his floor in both regards he’s probably fine.
This report ignores some of the things that stand out to me as positive developments this year. He’s sustaining a 29%-31% line drive rate year over year, which plays to his strengths and doesn’t seem detrimental; his GB rate has stayed low-30s and a rise there would be more concerning. He’s also shifted his spray pattern dramatically, reducing his oppo% from 38.8% to 20.8% and trading it for a commensurate boost in pull% (31.8% to 45.5%). He still seems to hit a lot of his homers to CF, but it’s the starting point to turning that raw into more game power.
SF seems to believe in him strongly, and it wouldn’t be surprising if he got a look later this year. Haven’t seen his glove much, and the report is heartening on that front.