Archive for connor graham

Trade Deadline Prospects Ranked, Part 3

At the expiration of the Major League Baseball trading deadline, 35 prospects had changed hands (beginning July 19 with Milwaukee’s acquisition of Felipe Lopez). Over the next week, FanGraphs will take a look at each prospect, while also ranking them individually in value from 35 down to one. Players such as Justin Masterson, Clayton Richard, Kevin Hart, and Jeff Clement were not considered in this list because they have expired their rookie eligibility. However, they can still technically be considered “prospects” because they are young and have yet to establish themselves at the MLB level.

On Monday, we looked at the players ranked 35-29. On Tuesday, we looked at the prospects ranked 28-22.

  • 21. Argenis Diaz, SS
    From Boston to Pittsburgh

    A slick fielder, Diaz does not currently project to hit enough to play every day in the Majors. Prior to the trade, the 22-year-old shortstop was hitting .253/.309/.310 in 277 double-A at-bats. The Pirates organization immediately promoted him to triple-A after the trade but he’s hitting below .200 in his first 10 games. With Brian Friday and Jordy Mercer looking like MLB utility players, the Pirates have no clear cut future regular at shortstop.

  • 20. Jason Donald, SS
    From Philadelphia to Cleveland

    Donald, 24, has followed up his offensive-breakout campaign in 2008 with an injury-filled ’09 season. An average fielder at shortstop, Donald will likely have to move to second base in the Majors, although the hot corner is an option if he develops more power (which is not expected to happen). He hasn’t looked overly sharp since coming back from his injury.

  • 19. Aaron Pribanic
    From Seattle to Pittsburgh

    Pribanic was the Mariners’ 2008 third-round draft pick. The right-hander does not strike out many batters (5.59 K/9 in ’09) but he induces a ton of ground balls (63.5 GB%). He’s also allowed just one home run this season. Pribanic has good bloodlines as his grandfather Jim Coates was an MLB all-star who played parts of nine seasons in the Majors. Pribanic works in the low 90s with his fastball and also has a curveball, slider and splitter.

  • 18. Dexter Carter RHP
    From Chicago AL to San Diego

    Despite leading the league in strikeouts (143 in 118 IP), Carter was left in low-A for the entire season to work on his secondary pitches. The 22-year-old was a 13th-round pick in the 2008 amateur draft by the White Sox. With a good fastball and a 6’6” 195 lbs frame, Carter could develop into a dominating closer if his breaking ball and changeup do not show enough improvements. His numbers are impressive in ’09 but he’s old for the league.

  • 17. Mauricio Robles, LHP
    From Detroit to Seattle

    The key to the Jarrod Washburn trade, Robles had been flying under the radar in a weak Detroit system. The 20-year-old southpaw will face a stiff challenge in High Desert, which is a great hitter’s park. In Detroit’s system prior to the trade, Robles allowed 79 hits in 91.1 innings, along with 111 Ks and 41 walks. Control is an issue for the left-hander, who could also stand to work down in the zone more consistently. His fastball can touch 94 mph when he’s on. Robles also flashes a curveball and a changeup.

  • 16. Connor Graham, RHP
    From Colorado to Cleveland

    Graham, 23, is a hard-throwing, right-handed pitcher who is probably better suited for set-up or closer chores than he is for starting. He has a good slider and a fastball that can touch 95 mph. Prior to the trade, the 6’6” former fifth-round draft pick allowed 68 hits in 80.1 innings of work, along with 41 walks and 87 Ks. The 4.59 BB/9 rate is worrisome but Cleveland immediately promoted Graham to double-A after the trade.

  • 15. Shane Peterson, OF
    From St. Louis to Oakland

    A 2008 second-round pick out of Long Beach State, Peterson has shown the ability to hit .280-.300 but he lacks the power for a corner outfield spot and the range to play center field on a regular basis. The left-handed hitter also has not walked much in 2009. Peterson has the ability to steal 10-15 bases a season, while hitting 10-12 homers. He could develop into a solid regular, but he’ll likely never be a star.

    Check back Thursday for prospects 14 to eight.


  • Betancourt Shipped Out for Graham

    The Cleveland Indians organization continued its dismantling of the disappointing 2009 squad by shipping veteran reliever Rafael Betancourt to the Colorado Rockies for minor league pitcher Connor Graham. The Indians’ bullpen has received a huge face-lift since the beginning of the season; new faces include Chris Perez, Jose Veras, Winston Abreu, and Mike Gosling. The club has shed numerous veteran pitchers like Matt Herges, Luis Vizcaino, Vinnie Chulk, and Betancourt.

    Betancourt, 34, spent parts of seven seasons in the Majors with Cleveland and was a reliable mainstay in the bullpen for six. He was originally signed by the Boston Red Sox in 1993 and even spent a little bit of time in Japan. The Indians signed him as a minor league free agent in 2003. On the final year of a two-year contract (with a $5.4 million option for 2010) that was paying him $3.4 million, Betancourt was poised to enter the free agent market at season’s end.

    It was a good time for Cleveland to shed Betancourt (and it allows him to enter a playoff race). The right-hander was having a respectable season, but his workload was down a bit as he began to show signs of fragility. His control was also slipping as his walk rate went from ranging between 1.02-2.43 BB/9 during his prime years to 3.17 in ’08 and 4.40 in ’09. Betancourt’s strikeout rate, though, remained strong at 9.39 K/9 and he was allowing fewer than one hit per nine innings. His 30.9 GB% should make things interesting in Colorado.

    The Indians organization has certainly seen a jump in the quality of its minor-league arms (T.J. House, Hector Rondon, Alexander Perez, Jeanmar Gomez) and the addition of Graham adds another promising power arm to the system. Graham at 6’6” 235 lbs is a behemoth with a low-to-mid-90s fastball and good slider. He was a reliever at the University of Miami (Ohio), but he’s been getting added pitching experience by working out of the starting rotation in pro ball. Most scouts believe, though, that his MLB future lies back in the bullpen, where he could develop into a set-up man or closer.

    This season in high-A ball, Graham allowed 68 hits in 80.1 innings, while posting a walk rate of 4.59 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 9.75 K/9. It’s his control that will dictate whether or not he gets handed the ball in the ninth inning. He’s done a nice job of keeping the ball in the park in his career, and he allowed just two homers this season in Modesto.

    If Cleveland wants a return on its investment sooner rather than later, it will assign Graham to double-A and shifted him to the bullpen. If that were to occur, he could be ready for the Majors by mid-2010. He turns 24 in December, so there is no reason to keep the kid gloves on.

    All things considered, it’s a smart move by both organizations.


    High-A Leader Boards: The Pitchers

    This week we’re taking a look at some of the leader boards in double-A and high-A ball. Today, we’ll take a look at the leaders in Strikeouts Per 9 Innings (K/9) and Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) among the three high-A leagues: the California League, the Carolina League and the Florida State League.

    As with the high-A hitters, I want to add a caution with this league. The California League, is an extreme hitter’s league, so many of the pitchers’ numbers are more impressive than they appear. The Carolina League is also a difficult league to pitch in, although not quite as bad as the Cal League. The Florida State League is widely considered a pitcher’s league.

    The California League

    Strikeouts Per 9 IP (K/9)

    11.20- Chris Withrow, RHP, Los Angeles NL

    Elbow soreness limited this former first-round pick to just four innings in 2008. His control has been off in 2009 (4.93 BB/9) but Withrow is still racking up the Ks. The 20-year-old has a 4.82 ERA, but his FIP is just 3.03. In 80.1 innings, he’s allowed 73 hits and just three homers.

    10.24- Corey Kluber, RHP, San Diego

    Kluber, 23, had a rough introduction to high-A in 2008 when he posted a 6.01 ERA (4.08 FIP) with 93 hits allowed in 85.1 innings of work. The right-hander was still a little too hittable in 2009 at the same level when he allowed 110 hits in 109 innings. Kluber did, though, post a strikeout rate of 10.24 K/9, as well as a walk rate of 2.97 BB/9. He’s now pitching in double-A, where he’s made just one start.

    9.75- Connor Graham, RHP, Colorado

    Graham has posted some good ERAs (and FIPs) in his first three minor-league seasons but his control has been less than impressive (5.07 BB/9 in ’08, 4.59 in ’09). This season he’s allowed just 68 hits in 80.1 innings of work, while also posting a strikeout rate of 9.75 K/9. With a mid-90s fastball and good slider (and not much else), Graham is probably a late-game reliever in the long run (a role he held in college).

    Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP)

    2.58- Cory Luebke, LHP, San Diego

    Luebke joins teammate Kluber on this list. Whereas Kluber was borderline old for the league, Luebke was certainly an over-ager at 24. The left-hander also struggled during his first taste of the California League in 2008 with a 6.84 ERA (3.93 FIP) and 97 hits allowed in 72.1 innings of work. This year, he allowed 73 hits in 88.1 innings, while also posting a walk rate of 1.73 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 8.15 K/9. He’s now pitching in double-A with Kluber and has made three starts.

    2.84- Jake Wild, RHP, Seattle

    A senior sign out of college in 2007, Wild will be 25 in August so he’s definitely old for the league. He’s bounced between the starting rotation and the bullpen in 2009, while showing good control (2.23 BB/9) and modest strikeout numbers (7.92 K/9). He’s been hittable with 104 hits allowed in 88.2 innings of work.

    2.96- Joshua Collmenter, RHP, Arizona

    The Diamondbacks organization really needs some prospects, so Arizona has to be encouraged with Collmenter’s season, even if he is 23 and pitching in high-A. The right-hander has allowed 87 hits in 104.1 innings, while also posting a walk rate of 2.85 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 9.06 K/9. The 6’4” 235 pound Collmenter has a big, strong pitcher’s frame and he has an outside shot of developing into a No. 4 starter.

    The Carolina League

    Strikeouts Per 9 IP (K/9)

    9.92- Eammon Portice, RHP, Boston

    The Boston organization is flush with prospects and Portice is one name that does not get a ton of attention, in part because he’s pitching in high-A at the age of 24. The right-hander has made 17 starts but he projects as a reliever in the Majors due to a his violent delivery and lack of a third reliable pitch. Portice has shown improved control and he induces a lot of groundballs when he’s sharp.

    8.70- Danny Duffy, LHP, Kansas City

    One of the most promising pitchers in the entire league, Duffy is just 20 years old. He’s allowed 83 hits in 90 innings, while posting a walk rate of 2.90 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 8.70 K/9. On the downside, his K rate has dropped each year of his three-year pro career, while his ERA (and FIP) has risen each season.

    8.53- Zach Britton, LHP, Baltimore

    Like Boston, Baltimore is another organization that is rich in pitching depth and Britton often gets lost behind the likes of Chris Tillman, Brian Matusz, and Jake Arrieta. The southpaw, though, is extremely talented and has allowed just 87 hits in 101.1 innings of work. The 21-year-old hurler has allowed four homers. He has, though, struggled with his control a little bit (3.74 BB/9).

    Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP)

    2.72- Bradley Meyers, RHP, Washington

    Meyers was considered a possible supplemental first-round draft pick (in both high school and college) before his poor showing in his draft year of college. The Nationals got him in the fifth round and it’s taken him a little while to get acclimatized to professional baseball. Things have clicked for Meyers, 23, in 2009, and he allowed 71 hits in 88.1 innings, while also posting a walk rate of 2.14 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 6.62 K/9. He also had a 1.43 ERA (but 2.72 FIP) before his promotion to double-A, where he’s made just one start. He has a fastball that can touch 93 mph, a slider, and a changeup.

    2.96- Danny Duffy, LHP, Kansas City

    See Above.

    3.06- Eammon Portice, RHP, Boston

    See Above.

    The Florida State League

    Strikeouts Per 9 IP (K/9)

    8.87- Evan Anundsen, RHP, Milwaukee

    Anundsen has had one of the biggest jumps in value among any pitcher in high-A ball in 2009. The right-hander has seen his K rate jump by about 2 Ks per nine innings over his career norm, while also maintaining a solid walk rate (2.60). He’s also allowed just 67 hits in 93.1 innings of work. The right-hander is just 21 years of age.

    8.75- David Newmann, LHP, Tampa Bay

    Newmann was a fourth round pick coming out of college, but he did not get into game action after signing in 2007 and then he blew out his knee in the spring of 2008 and missed the entire season. As a result, the southpaw made his pro debut in 2009 at high-A ball. Considering the amount of time that he’s missed, you have to be impressed with his numbers, including his control at 3.67 K/9.

    8.50- Darin Downs, LHP, Tampa Bay

    A former Cubs prospect, Downs has seen his walk rate improve significantly (1.77 BB/9) over his 2008 season, when he posted a rate of 6.17 BB/9 in 22 double-A games. The left-hander has been too hittable with 104 hits allowed in 101.2 innings and he’s also 24 years old.

    Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP)

    2.39- Evan Anundsen, RHP, Milwaukee

    See Above.

    2.57- Jose Rosario, RHP, Florida

    Rosario is 23 years of age and he’s having his first successful season in pro ball since coming over to North America from the Dominican Republic. The right-hander has shown excellent control with a walk rate of 1.59 BB/9. He also has a strikeout rate of 7.75 K/9 and has allowed just two homers on the year. Rosario, though, is an extreme fly-ball pitcher who has been aided by the big parks.

    2.76- Lance Pendleton, RHP, New York AL

    Pendleton was a fourth round pick out of Rice University in 2005, but he missed almost all of the 2006 and 2007 seasons with injuries (surprise, surprise). The right-hander has looked good this season, but he’s also turning 26 in September. He has walk rate of 2.76 BB/9 and a strikeout rate of 7.65 K/9. At best, he profiles as a middle reliever in the Majors.