The Giants Opened the Season By Making Some Ugly History

Darren Yamashita-Imagn Images

On Saturday, in the third inning of their game against the Yankees at Oracle Park, the Giants scored a run. Normally, this wouldn’t rate as particularly noteworthy, but that was one more run than they’d scored in the previous 20 innings while dropping their first two games of the 2026 season. As far as their season-opening series went, it was a one-shot deal, as they didn’t score again.

Indeed, the Giants were utterly stifled by the Yankees over those three games. On Wednesday night, when the two teams had the stage to themselves for a nationally televised game on Netflix (don’t get me started about that production), Max Fried and three relievers held the Giants to three hits, all singles, in a 7-0 loss; the Giants reached base just four other times in that one via two walks, a hit-by-pitch, and an error by shortstop Jose Caballero. On Friday afternoon, following a day off, Cam Schlittler and four relievers limited the Giants to one hit in a 3-0 defeat, a second-inning double by Heliot Ramos; in that one, the Giants additionally reached base only twice, on walks in the seventh and ninth innings.

With that, the Giants and Yankees made some history. Those double zeroes marked the first time in the Giants’ 144-year history that they were shut out in their first two games of the season. It had happened just once to any other team within the past decade, the 2023 Royals (at the hands of the Twins). For the Yankees, it was the first time since their 1903 inception that they shut out opponents over their first two games. What’s more, according to the Associated Press it was the first time that any team was shut out and held to a combined total of five hits or fewer over a season’s first two games.

By those standards, Saturday’s game constituted an absolute onslaught by the Giants. They collected nine hits against starter Will Warren and four relievers, and drew three walks as well, but the only time they were able to put a run on the board was in the third inning, when Jung Hoo Lee led off with a double and then scored two pitches later on Matt Chapman’s dribbler up the middle. The Giants had been 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position to that point:

The Giants actually collected another hit with runners in scoring position in the sixth inning, when Ramos hit a seeing-eye single to left field following Rafael Devers’ leadoff double. Devers, already limited to DH duty while playing through left hamstring tightness, had no chance to score. He ended up stranded on third base following a strikeout and a double play ball, one of four the Giants hit into for the day:

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All told, the Giants became the ninth team since 1901 to score just one run in their first three games. One other team, the 2016 Padres, is the only club not to score at all over those three games:

Fewest Runs Through First Three Games of the Season
Team Season R PA H HR AVG OBP SLG
Padres 2016 0 94 11 0 .120 .138 .130
Braves 1933 1 106 14 0 .147 .206 .189
Braves 1937 1 98 11 0 .121 .175 .132
Mets 1963 1 93 12 1 .133 .161 .178
Dodgers 1968 1 98 14 1 .161 .247 .230
Astros 1969 1 101 10 0 .110 .198 .143
Braves 1979 1 96 12 0 .133 .188 .133
Orioles 1988 1 95 13 0 .143 .179 .176
Marlins 2013 1 98 15 1 .167 .227 .222
Twins 2015 1 96 14 0 .151 .177 .172
Giants 2026 1 99 13 0 .143 .212 .176
Source: Baseball-Reference
Since 1901.

That isn’t a fun group to be in. Three of those teams lost at least 100 games, led by the 1988 Orioles, who started the season 0-21. Two others lost at least 94 games, and only three teams finished above .500 — the two 1930s Braves squads and the 2015 Twins.

While the Giants may yet climb above .500, this is not how anyone envisioned the Tony Vitello era starting off in San Francisco. Even before Saturday’s one-run effort, the new manager — the first to jump directly from the college ranks to a major league managerial position since Dick Howser in 1980 — took the blame for the Giants being shut out in their first two games. From The Athletic’s Andrew Baggarly:

“I’d kind of put it on me a little bit,” Vitello said. “I got all fire and brimstone a few days ago and I think some good words were shared, but I also think as of right now it’s a little emotional in there and there are a lot of try-hards… Maybe it stems from that conversation prior to the season or maybe it stems from all the Opening Day fanfare, being the home team, but regardless, everybody wants it to change.”

…“But there’s also a pressing need in there for some feel-good and also to want to perform for the fans,” Vitello said. “I saw it on our guys’ faces and also in their hands when they’re squeezing the bat. So to be honest with you, I’d blame myself. Maybe it’s time to do what I can to maybe ease any tension in there so guys can be free and go out there and play. Because everybody on the field or in the stands know those guys can play that were in that lineup.”

…“If anything, they’ve been in fifth gear and riding hot, maybe too much,” Vitello said. “Whether that weight falls on me or it’s more of a group effort, I think a relaxed version of this group probably makes the score and the outcome more competitive.

Leaving aside whether Vitello’s approach will translate from the University of Tennessee to the majors, there’s reason to be at least somewhat concerned about the Giants’ offense. The unit ranked 17th in the majors last year in both scoring (4.35 runs per game) and wRC+ (97). A full season of Devers — who was acquired last June 15 — and the additions of Luis Arraez and Harrison Bader should help, raising the bar considerably at the offense’s dead spots. With Devers playing just 28 games at first base last year as he learned the position on the fly, the 77 wRC+ the Giants received from the position ranked a godawful 29th in the majors; meanwhile, they were 27th at second base (73), and 28th in right field (78). The team signed Arraez with the promise that he’d return to second base, and the addition of Bader bumped Lee from center to right, upgrading the defense as well. But despite those upgrades, our Projected Standings forecast the Giants to score just 4.28 runs per game, the majors’ fourth-lowest mark ahead of only the Marlins, Nationals, and White Sox. Right now that sounds like a Murderer’s Row-caliber output compared to their one measly run.

Checking out their Statcast numbers, you won’t be surprised to find that the Giants have underperformed relative to how hard they hit the ball, but they still haven’t hit the ball well enough to do much damage. Their 89.8 mph average exit velocity ranks 13th in the majors though Sunday, but their 8.4 degree launch angle and 1.6% barrel rate both rank 28th, and their 34.4% hard-hit rate 26th. Their 54.7% groundball rate is the majors’ highest, and from among their 22 hard-hit balls thus far, 10 have had launch angles of zero degrees or less, turning them into grounders. Taken together, the Giants’ hard-hit balls — that is, those with exit velocities of 95 mph or higher, regardless of launch angle — have been less productive than those of just about any other team:

Giants’ Hard-Hit Balls in First 3 Games of 2026 Season
Group BBE H HR EV LA Brl% AVG xBA SLG xSLG wOBA xwOBA
Giants 2025 1,580 745 168 101.5 14 19.6% .478 .467 .933 .936 .587 .585
Giants 2026 22 4 0 101.4 5 4.5% .182 .395 .227 .557 .179 .412
MLB 2025 51,089 24,307 5,558 101.9 13 21.0% .481 .472 .942 .957 .593 .598
MLB 2026 900 412 102 101.7 13 21.9% .462 .481 .912 .955 .601 .605
Source: Baseball Savant
Includes results only on batted balls of 95 mph or higher.

I’ve included the major league averages for last year and this one, so you can get an idea of the baselines; even though they include some low launch-angle balls, hard-hit balls as a group produce slugging percentages well above .900 and wOBAs approaching .600. The current Giants aren’t even close to those numbers, ranking last in the majors in all of those categories save for their average exit velo on hard-hit balls (18th), because when they’ve hit the ball hard, too often they’ve beaten it into the ground, as noted above.

Just four of their batted balls have been hit at least 100 mph and traveled at least 300 feet on the fly, and all they have to show for it is Devers’ double. Devers has five hard-hit balls, two of which became hits, but even so, his overall expected slugging percentage is just .360. Lee (.374), Arraez (.310) and Patrick Bailey (.305) — the last of whom is the owner of the team’s lone barrel, a 376-foot warning-track fly ball to center field in the eighth inning on Wednesday — are the only Giants with an xSLG above .300. If you want some comparatively good news, the Giants aren’t uniformly dead last in the majors when it comes to their expected stats:

Giants Offense Statcast Profile
Team EV LA Brl% HH% AVG xBA SLG xSLG wOBA xwOBA
Giants 89.8 8.4 1.6% 34.4% .143 .207 .176 .266 .189 .245
MLB Rank 13 28 28 26 30 24 30 29 30 29

We are of course in small-sample theater, and will be for the next several weeks. The Giants had the misfortune of catching a couple of excellent pitchers at the wrong time in Fried and Schlittler, but they had their chances against Warren and company and just didn’t get the job done. On the other side of the ball, they surrendered 13 runs to the Yankees, which wasn’t terrible, and the only three homers they surrendered were to the pair of sluggers who have combined for over 800 in their career, Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. Judge hit a two-run shot off Robbie Ray in the sixth inning of Friday’s game, which had been scoreless to that point, and added a solo shot off reliever Ryan Borucki in the fifth inning on Saturday, turning a 2-1 Yankee lead into a 3-1 one. Stanton clubbed a solo homer off reliever José Buttó after he replaced Ray. Those homers accounted for four of the six Yankee runs on those two days.

The Giants’ only real dud of a start was Logan Webb’s five-inning, seven-run (six earned) outing on Wednesday night, and even that wasn’t entirely his fault. He struck out seven, walked one, and kept the ball in the park, but was BABIP’d to death at a .529 clip. Eight of the nine hits he surrendered were singles; four of them, plus Trent Grisham’s two-run triple, occurred within a six-batter span in the second inning, exacerbated by a hit-by-pitch and some sloppy throws by the Giants’ outfielders. On KNBR’s broadcast, analyst Mike Krukow suggested that the 29-year-old righty was tipping his pitches, but didn’t explain how.

In the end, one start is just one start, and one series just one series, however much history is made and regardless of when in the season it occurs. Still, both the Giants’ 2026 season and the Tony Vitello era are off to an unsettling beginning.





Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.

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sadtromboneMember since 2020
51 minutes ago

This looked like an upgraded offense? Really?

I guess I don’t see how swapping in Luis Arrraez and his 104 wRC+ from last year is that different than Casey Schmitt and his 98 wRC+ (or, since he’s playing first base at the moment, Dominic Smith and Wilmer Flores’s batting lines last year). And while they traded Yastrzemski at the deadline, he and Bader are a neutral swap on the offensive side as well.

If this is how the Giants upgrade I would hate to see what a neutral offseason looks like. To me this looks like basically the same team as last year’s middle of the road lineup, just with more outfield defense and less infield defense.