The Least Competitive Game in Recent Memory

In Steph Curry’s junior season, his Davidson Wildcats played a non-conference game against Loyola Maryland. Curry led the nation in scoring at the time, and as expected, Davidson rolled that night. But Curry himself didn’t score a point. Loyola’s coach, Jimmy Patsos, instructed his players to double-team Curry up and down the court. So, Curry stood in the corner with two Greyhounds next to him as his teammates played 4-on-3 and won by 30.

After the game, Patsos more or less copped to the farce. Defending his tactics, he asked: “Anybody else ever hold him scoreless? I’m a history major. [Are people] going to remember that we held him scoreless or we lost by 30?”

Whether all that makes Patsos infamous, cynical, or pathetic is up to your interpretation. Regardless, he’s right about one thing: you can generate attention in defeat, even humiliating defeat, so long as you lose in notable fashion.

It’s a lesson the Seattle Mariners reinforced over the weekend. On the surface, Sunday’s matchup between Seattle and Houston looked as lopsided on paper as a major league game can. The Astros are perhaps baseball’s best team; the Mariners may lose 100 games. Cy Young contender Gerrit Cole was on the mound for Houston, opposed by former Cy Young winner but current-6.00-ERA-holder Félix Hernández. The Astros had already defeated Seattle 15 times in 16 tries. Vegas handicappers set one of the highest lines I can ever remember seeing for a major league contest.

This being baseball, anything can happen on any given day, and as it turned out, 35,000 Houstonians saw a pretty spectacular version of “anything:” the most lopsided ballgame in recent memory.

The Astros won 21-1. After a scoreless first, a two-out error in the second led to Houston’s first two runs. A pitch later, Jake Marisnick homered to make it 4-0; the ‘Stros then rallied for nine runs in the third to put it out of reach early. The lineup rapped out 22 hits, including a franchise-record 10 doubles, while batting around twice. They accomplished all of that without Michael Brantley, Carlos Correa, or Yuli Gurriel; Alex Bregman and José Altuve also left the game early.

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For the Mariners, matters weren’t any better at the plate. Cole struck out 15 hitters in eight innings, and Chris Devenski fanned two more in a spotless ninth inning of work. If anything, the Mariners looked even more feeble than the numbers bear out. Not surprisingly, a lineup featuring Keon Broxton, Tim Lopes, and Braden Bishop appeared completely overmatched against Cole, who garnered 24 swinging strikes in 96 pitches.

Everywhere you turn, Houston dominated. The Astros hit 14 balls over 100 mph; Seattle hit just one, and had only two balls leave the bat in excess of 95 mph. Of the 20 hardest hit balls of the day, Houston spanked 19 of them.

Whether this constitutes the most spectacular blowout of all time is a matter of perspective. Texas’s 30-3 mauling of the Orioles back in 2007 is modern baseball’s largest margin of victory and the scoreline resonates for the obvious reason. Two teams have won 22-0, the largest shutouts of all time. For sheer lack of drama, it’s hard to top Brooklyn’s 19-1 win over Cincinnati in 1952, when the Dodgers plated 15 runs in the first (legend has it that starter Ewell Blackwell and his reliever, Bud Byerly, listened to the end of the inning together in a bar across the street).

Of course, any team can lose spectacularly or run into a great pitcher with his best stuff. One-hitters, 17-strikeout games, and 20-run margins of victory are all unusual, but not history-making events. Together though, the combination is unprecedented.

Per Baseball Reference’s incomparable Play Index, there have been 187 games where a team struck out at least 17 hitters in nine innings or fewer. They’ve become more frequent in recent years — this population of games has a few doozies in it, including Toronto’s BABIP nightmare from earlier this season, when the Jays struck out 17 but allowed 16 hits and lost 10-9 to Tampa Bay — but are still relatively uncommon. In 11 of those games, the opposing team managed one hit or fewer. Prior to Sunday, the largest margin of victory in those games was six, when Nolan Ryan no-hit the Tigers 6-0 in 1973. One imagines that the new record will last for quite a while. Simply put, we’ve just never seen this level of dominance on both sides of the ball in a big league game at the same time.

Seattle’s lone hit bears a special mention as well. With one out in the top of the fourth, Shed Long lined an elevated fastball down the left field line and just over the yellow line into the first rows of the Crawford Boxes. It didn’t really look like a homer in real time; based on his reaction, Long seemed to think it was a foul ball initially. The ball left the bat at 95.2 mph, and per Statcast, Minute Maid Park is the only stadium in baseball where it could have cleared the fence.

Would it have been an out elsewhere? Perhaps. There’s not much reason for a left fielder to play Long all that deep, or particularly close to the line, where his homer landed. But Statcast estimates the hit probability on Long’s drive was just .250. As it is, it’s quite possible that a juiced ball creeping into the shortest part of the Crawford Boxes was the only thing separating Houston from a 21-0 victory and a perfect game to boot.





Brendan covers prospects and the minor leagues for FanGraphs. Previously he worked as a Pro Scout for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

24 Comments
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Spitball McPhee
6 years ago

then 15-0 the A’s the following day

Sleepy
6 years ago

And, unlike the Mariners, the A’s are legit good.

LHPSU
6 years ago

The Orioles are 2-4 against the Astros, and two of the losses were by 1 run.

emh1969
6 years ago

I guess the A’s read this article and were pissed. Currently up 17-2, heading to the bottom of the 4th.

Yirmiyahu
6 years ago

And they followed it up with a 15-0 win against the A’s.

MikeSMember since 2020
6 years ago

It wasn’t much better for the A’s last night against the Astros. No runs, 3 hits, 10 K’s, 1 BB. Their Win Expectancy hit 99% before they had made 4 outs.

Astros hitters over the last two games: 36R, 39H, 9HR, 9BB, 10K. And that’s in 16 Innings since they were at home.

Astros pitchers over the last two games: 1R, 4H, 1HR, 1BB, 27K.

WARrior
6 years ago

The Angels’s 13-0 win over (who else?) the Ms with. a combined no-hitter was pretty lop-sided. The game was played as a memorial to Skaggs, and it was the first combined no-hitter in California since the very day Skaggs was born.

fordfestival
6 years ago

One of the best things about that 30-3 whipping of the Orioles is that it was the first game of a double header. I can’t imagine they were too fired up about playing another one, but at least they kept it close.

ILoveRainbowDashMember since 2024
6 years ago
Reply to  fordfestival

I thought the most remarkable thing about the 30-3 game was that the Rangers were held scoreless through the fourth inning, and Baltimore had a 3-0 lead after three.

radivel
6 years ago

The reliever who finished the game pitched 3 innings, so he got The Almighty Save… in a 27 run victory. 😀

JoserMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  radivel

Yes, while it’s not the best of the (many) Reasons the Save Stat is Dumb, it’s always one of the key examples I use in arguments because it is just so absurd.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
6 years ago
Reply to  fordfestival

I must have missed that game at the time because I can’t imagine I would ever forget it if I had known about it then. Amazingly, the Rangers only hit six home runs that game, which seems like about the average number of home runs the Orioles give up these days.

emh1969
6 years ago

As an Indians fan, two games stand out for me (both against the Yankees!).

1) August 31st, 2004, the Indians went into New York and won 22-0, tying the record for the largest shutout win and handing the Yankees the largest loss in team history. This, despite the fact that the Yankees were the far superior team (101 wins vs 80).

2) April 18, 2009. Indians won 22-4 in the 3rd ever game at the new Yankee stadium. Yanks jumped out to a 2-0 lead but the Indians put up a 14 spot in the 2nd inning (worst inning ever by the Yankees). Yanks were again the far superior team (103 vs 65 wins) but the Indians had their number that evening.

HappyFunBallMember since 2019
6 years ago

Surely there’s a reasonably objective way to measure a game’s competitiveness? Perhaps some combination of the respective team’s initially projected chance of winning and the ultimate fact of how many PAs occurred at or below some arbitrary leverage threshold? e.g. a heavy favorite who goes up big early and coasts? Or maybe we don’t care about the projection … only the game with the lowest average leverage index per play?

bareznickMember since 2018
6 years ago

One quantitative way to determine how competitive a game is would be to sum the absolute values of the WPA changes for each batter on both teams, over the course of the game. The theoretical minimum is .5, and would probably occur if the first ten batters in the top of the first inning got on base and scored. Has this sort of computation been done?

DKH
6 years ago
Reply to  bareznick

kenpom has done something like this for college basketball games, using the win probability graph. Your proposed metric probably corresponds to “excitement”, while I think Mr. Gawlowski would be looking for a metric like “dominance”.

https://kenpom.com/blog/site-updates/

Vic Romano
6 years ago

Jake Arrieta’s 2nd no-hitter and the Cubs’ 16-0 beatdown of the Reds a few years back is among my favorites for this kind of category.

CC AFCMember since 2016
6 years ago

Nihilist baseball guys says:

Truly, the least competitive game is that which we are playing is against our inescapable hurtling to the vast expanse of nothingness

JoserMember since 2021
6 years ago
Reply to  CC AFC

As a Mariners fan I can say: that is indeed exactly how we feel.

MsFanCPMember since 2018
6 years ago

Considering the Astros have all but locked up the AL West and the Mariners singular (albeit noble) goal seems to be helping guys qualify for MLB pensions, this game also had to have some of the lowest stakes possible.

catzdogz
6 years ago

Have we already forgotten the 23-2 shellacking Baltimore absorbed just weeks ago?
Sure, it’s not 22-1 but certainly it should have at least been part of the conversation

fjtorres
6 years ago
Reply to  catzdogz

It’s not polite to bring up Orioles losses.
Respect for the dead.

OrangeJoos
6 years ago

Baseball has short term memory, night after put 21 past the Astros. Something is up in Houston right now, light air but these games are not that great.

Matt GreeneMember since 2025
6 years ago

#6Org