The Nationals Are Poor at Run Prevention

Although it wasn’t the entire reason, Manny Acta was fired in part because of the atrocious defense played by the Nationals. The collection of gloves is the worst in the league, with a -27.2 combined UZR. Not only is that nearly three wins thrown away by poor leather, but also nearly 10 runs worst than the Marlins, who rank 29th. Giving Acta a DH to shuffle around multiple outfield positions and one too many talented corner outfielders with one too few talented centerfielders was a recipe for defensive inadequacy.

It seems like a mistake to play an outfield that features Dunn, Elijah Dukes, and Corey Patterson and have Patterson play right, but that’s what Acta did on Sunday. Maybe he didn’t care anymore; after all, rumors of his termination were already well spread by Saturday night. Critics of Acta’s are going to write that he was fired because his rotation has a 5.19 ERA. In reality their 4.82 FIP isn’t fantastic, but is lower than the Rangers rotation. The difference is defense.

Amongst the Nationals problems this year:

First baseman Nick Johnson is usually a solid defender but has taken his lumps in 2009. His Range Runs are in the negative as are his Error Runs. Johnson’s range has been trending down for three consecutive seasons, yet it still seems like a safe bet to expect that to move closer to 0 rather than towards -5 as the season continues. The low point of his season may have been on Friday night, when he dropped a foul ball and Gabe Kapler homered on the next pitch.

Willie Harris is statistically the Nationals worst fielder. Harris is usually a solid defender. As with Johnson, I don’t buy that his skills have decayed in the matter of one off-season. Even the increased time in center shouldn’t have this affect on him.

Adam Dunn is … well …. Adam Dunn.

Obviously Acta isn’t without blame, but he should take this as a learning experience. Much like how Terry Francona did.

You Aren't a FanGraphs Member
It looks like you aren't yet a FanGraphs Member (or aren't logged in). We aren't mad, just disappointed. We get it. You want to read this article. But before we let you get back to it, we'd like to point out a few of the good reasons why you should become a Member. 1. Ad Free viewing! We won't bug you with this ad, or any other. 2. Unlimited articles! Non-Members only get to read 10 free articles a month. Members never get cut off. 3. Dark mode and Classic mode! 4. Custom player page dashboards! Choose the player cards you want, in the order you want them. 5. One-click data exports! Export our projections and leaderboards for your personal projects. 6. Remove the photos on the home page! (Honestly, this doesn't sound so great to us, but some people wanted it, and we like to give our Members what they want.) 7. Even more Steamer projections! We have handedness, percentile, and context neutral projections available for Members only. 8. Get FanGraphs Walk-Off, a customized year end review! Find out exactly how you used FanGraphs this year, and how that compares to other Members. Don't be a victim of FOMO. 9. A weekly mailbag column, exclusively for Members. 10. Help support FanGraphs and our entire staff! Our Members provide us with critical resources to improve the site and deliver new features! We hope you'll consider a Membership today, for yourself or as a gift! And we realize this has been an awfully long sales pitch, so we've also removed all the other ads in this article. We didn't want to overdo it. In case you didn't read all that, here's the short version. Membership includes:
✓Ad-free browsing
✓Unlimited FanGraphs & RotoGraphs articles
✓Historical & platoon projections
✓Leaderboard & player-page stat heatmaps
✓One-click data exports
✓Customizable player-page dashboards
✓Dark & Classic site modes
✓Weekly Members-only mailbag
✓FanGraphs Walk-Off, your year in review
✓Optional homepage photo removal
✓Gift articles to non-members




21 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Preston
17 years ago

While I’m sure he will be before too long, you’re jumping the gun a bit here – Manny Acta has not yet been fired. Might want to edit that part of your article for the time being.

Jason T
17 years ago

He got the always loved ‘vote of confidence’. He’s done.

Nice piece, RJ. I think you should do a whole series this season called, ‘the Nationals are poor at [fill in blank]’.

WillClark4HOF
17 years ago

While Acta may very well be fired soon, he hasn’t been axed as of now (9:30 am).

Big Oil
17 years ago
Reply to  WillClark4HOF

Still nothing as of 11:00…

Joe R
17 years ago

Got to love a sport where a competant manager can get the axe so quickly, while Jerry Manuel and Ozzie Guillen can continue to ruin their teams offensive production.

KG
17 years ago
Reply to  Joe R

I’m not sure how Ozzie Guillen is ruining his team’s offensive production, more than the roster not being constructed appropriately by Ken Williams? Dewayne Wise playing at all is the only thing that comes to mind, but the way the lineup is constructed when Wise is not playing seems to be the best they can do.

In this case, it seems clear the onus is on the players – it’s not the manager’s fault they were like 5-50 with RISP in the past series, etc. I do blame Greg Walker, the hitting coach, for continual underachievement, but I also don’t think the hitting coach has that much influence on most players.

Ozzie is also great with the SP, though his bullpen management needs tweaking. More often than not in tie/close games, he refuses to use Jenks, and loses the game with a lesser reliever. If I had one critique, bullpen usage would be the main one.

johnny_blaze
17 years ago

Dukes was in center/Patterson was in right because of hecklers in RF. If you recall, Dukes was a former TB player and has had a history of legal and family troubles while he was playing for them (just do a quick search on the internet and you will see what I am talking about). It is a lot better than the the Dunn-Dukes-Willingham OF we threw out there a few days ago. Not trying to defend Manny, just saying that is why it was that way.

Big Oil
17 years ago
Reply to  johnny_blaze

If Acta is going to allow another teams’ fans (the Rays fans, nonetheless) to dictate 2/3 of his outfield defense, he deserves to get the can.

Rob
17 years ago
Reply to  Big Oil

Real mangers put their players in a position to fail!

Big Oil
17 years ago
Reply to  Big Oil

@ Rob: I can’t tell if that is sarcasim or not.

johnny_blaze
17 years ago
Reply to  Big Oil

I believe it was at the request of Dukes himself who played in RF the night before. In theory, no manager should allow fans to dictate position changes, but I this was obviously a special situation formed by Dukes former tenure in TB and his his less than rosy past in that city.

Bill
17 years ago

It’s not like Rays fans are going to throw batteries at Dukes or anything…

Ezra
17 years ago

In September 1998 I was at the Brewers/Cardinals series at County Stadium. Besides Mark McGwire being in the 60s, the big storyline was JD Drew finally debuting (after he had held out the year before and was redrafted). He was booed so mercilessly by the Brewers faithful that Drew requested to be removed from the game around the 5th inning.

Chris
17 years ago
Reply to  Ezra

Philly fans threw batteries at Drew when he first played there.

BillG
17 years ago
Reply to  Chris

I saw a game at the Vet where Drew’s bat “slipped” out of his hands and flew into the stands. Maybe subconciously he wanted it to?

SharksRog
17 years ago

If the Nationals don’t want Manny Acta as their manager, I would take him for my team.

Mayre
17 years ago

He hasn’t been fired yet. Pretty unprofessional of you, RJ.

Andy
17 years ago

While there are good points in this article, the whole thing is tarished by your opening statement, which is completely incorrect and is one of the most simple things to verify. Not cool. Makes me wonder if I should start second guessing more ‘facts’ on this site.

Eric
17 years ago

Elijah Dukes gift wrapped the Yankees two runs in the bottom of the 7th tonight.

Big Oil
17 years ago
Reply to  Eric

He forgot what hand his glove was on

JJO
17 years ago

Seriously, can’t you at least edit that first sentence?