The Worst Called Ball of the Season
The playoffs are over, and as balls and strikes go, the tournament wasn’t overly controversial. There were some misses, sure. There was that called strike against Ben Revere at nearly the worst possible time. That wasn’t great, and I’m sure there are some Blue Jays fans who are still fuming. Shortly before that, there was a similar called strike against Dioner Navarro. Rough inning. As for called balls, the Royals didn’t love that one called for Jose Bautista in a full count. There are always going to be arguments, since non-lasered humans are expected to call the strike zone with laser-like precision, but these playoffs could’ve been worse. The controversial calls were at least close to the borders. The calls were forgivable.
The controversial calls aren’t always close to the borders. Sometimes the calls are just bad. Like, take this called ball — according to PITCHf/x, this was 1.3 inches from the center of the strike zone at the front of home plate. Imagine if this had taken place in the playoffs, and led to a rally?
1.3 inches. That means part of the baseball passed through the very center of the zone. Doesn’t seem like a ball like that should ever take place. And this wasn’t even the worst called ball of the season. No, that one was thrown by Jeff Samardzija, literally one day later, on August 19. Samardzija’s called ball was measured at 1.2 inches from the center of the strike zone.
I know that PITCHf/x isn’t quite that accurate. A difference of a tenth of an inch might as well be no difference at all, but I have to rank these things somehow. So from what I’ve done, it certainly appears like this is the worst called ball of 2015, playoffs included:
There’s a lot happening here. And it’s fun if you continue to watch, instead of cutting off and looping. Sometimes announcers try to read a player’s body language. This is usually a bad idea. In this case it would’ve been a fine idea, because in this case, it was pretty obvious from Samardzija’s body language that he knew perfectly well what the umpire seemingly didn’t. And there was not a single thing to be done about it. It’s like if Samardzija said to someone his name is Jeff, and the person said, no, your name is Tom, and so Jeff just had to go by Tom. Here’s Tom Samardzija, coming to terms:
Everybody you see here messed up. Probably even each of the fans, at some point having driven drunk or lied to a loved one. But all the baseball people made mistakes at once. It’s not very often you get to say that. This is one of the upsides of examining an extraordinary event. Extraordinary events are selective for extraordinary actions.
Start with Samardzija. How did Samardzija mess up? This was an 0-and-2 pitch. This is where Tyler Flowers wanted it:
Down and away. Well down and away. Samardzija had shaken off a splitter, and he’d shaken off an inside fastball, to get to this outside fastball. This is where you see a lot of 0-and-2 pitches to lefties go. This is where Samardzija’s pitch went:
In a sense, that’s a really bad mistake. The intent wasn’t to throw a waste pitch, but it was definitely to throw a ball. What actually happened is that Samardzija grooved a fastball to a dangerous hitter in a swinging count. Maybe this can help explain why Samardzija finished with an ERA just under 5. But, oh, that’s only one individual. Go to Kole Calhoun. How did Calhoun mess up? This was an 0-and-2 pitch. A hitter is supposed to protect. You’re taught to fight off potential strikes, so you shouldn’t even need to be told anything about the obvious strikes, literally right down the middle. Calhoun watched the pitch go by. Somehow, it was the only pitch he watched go by, and it was the only pitch clearly in the zone, and it was the only ball:
And Calhoun still didn’t strike out. He took an 0-and-2 fastball over the middle, at the thigh, and he stayed alive. Consider Tyler Flowers. Flowers was rated one of the premier pitch-receivers in the game this season. How did Flowers mess up? You saw his target. Here’s where his glove was when the pitch was already on the way:
That fastball is coming in north of 90 miles per hour, and as you see it above, Flowers’ glove is on the ground. There’s no way that’s going to be caught cleanly. It makes me think Flowers was in some way crossed up — like he was expecting a splitter down, something to smother. This isn’t the position of someone looking to catch a baseball on the fly. But, I watched the signs. I watched Samardzija. I’m almost certain an outside fastball was called and agreed to. Maybe I’m wrong, I don’t know, but Samardzija was with me, at least. And this ball ultimately sailed right by:
It went between the legs of home-plate umpire Dana DeMuth. DeMuth was to be the judge of this pitch. In theory, the only thing that should matter is the location of the baseball as it’s passing over the plate. In theory, it shouldn’t matter to DeMuth whether a target was hit, or whether a pitch was caught cleanly. How did DeMuth mess up? He was the umpire for an 0-and-2 fastball right down the pipe, and the fastball was taken, and DeMuth called it a ball. That’s the whole reason this post is being written in the first place.
Remember, it’s not even like DeMuth had his line of sight obscured. Flowers was so far over to the side DeMuth practically had a clear lane all the way to the mound:
You don’t really see the catcher with the umpire behind him. The umpire is behind, sure, but visually this looks like Calhoun, then the umpire, then the catcher, from left to right. There was nothing in front of most of DeMuth’s body. Maybe that’s most of what actually caused the mistake — maybe DeMuth recognized the pitch was going really fast, and there wasn’t anything between him and the ball. Survival instinct might take priority over zone determination. But DeMuth didn’t even move. He didn’t physically panic. It could’ve been all in his head. A split-second of going blank, anticipating impact. Ball one.
Samardzija missed his target. Calhoun didn’t pull the trigger. Flowers didn’t catch the ball. DeMuth might as well have not seen the ball. Four actors, all making mistakes within a fraction of a second. As I was watching this, I realized: hey, it’s the White Sox! I switched over to the White Sox broadcast, figuring Hawk Harrelson would surely have something to say about the team being robbed of a strikeout. Transcript:
Harrelson: (laughter)
Harrelson: between the — Tyler, please put some leather on that thing, man.
TV: /shows slow-motion replay
Harrelson: (laughter)
Harrelson: between the wickets!
The slow-motion replay came with a bonus image:
Harrelson didn’t say a word about it. Right down the middle. (laughter)
I then checked with White Sox radio. This was that call. It’s worse.
Two-strike pitch on the ground to home plate; one ball, two strikes.
Harrelson at least didn’t lie. The pitch did split the wickets, and he’s talking over TV, so the viewers can all see what’s going on. When you’re doing radio, you carry a greater burden. You’re supposed to paint a more detailed picture, and in this instance, the picture is one of a two-strike pitch thrown in the dirt. The listener would probably think, okay, just a splitter Samardzija probably spiked. The listener would not think 0-and-2 fastball almost as close to the middle of the strike zone as possible.
Maybe that’s better.
The Angels radio broadcast? Angels radio nailed it:
I don’t know if that’s another cross-up, this — actually, I thought this was a strike. It looked like it catches the inner half of the plate, but Flowers — it skirts right off his glove and right to the backstop. It’s hard for an umpire to raise that right hand when the ball’s going to the backstop. And it’s right there, belt-high.
They had their own chuckles. They knew what the Angels got away with. The White Sox guys either didn’t know, or they didn’t want the public to know. Which is the opposite of their job. But within seconds, it didn’t matter, because Calhoun grounded out weakly on the next pitch. Everything was forgotten, until now. Now it’s preserved forever, assuming the Internet never dies.
Credit to Samardzija for just shaking it off:
That’s an image of a pitcher who just threw what would be the worst called ball of a whole year. It cost that pitcher a strikeout. But, why complain? Why complain, if it won’t make any difference? Smile — none of it’s going to matter, and we all end up equally dead.
Jeff made Lookout Landing a thing, but he does not still write there about the Mariners. He does write here, sometimes about the Mariners, but usually not.









Samardzija missed his spot, Flowers missed the catch. And if the umpire hadn’t missed the call, Calhoun takes first on a dropped third strike. Not many occasions where the umpire missing strike three benefits the pitching team, but this was it.
And not many occasions where the batter takes first on a dropped *called* third strike.
I’d be fascinated to hear an umpires reasoning for why they don’t call strikes on pitches that don’t come close to the catchers target. Any chance you can send this to DeMuth for comment?
Man, if I were DeMuth my comment would be “That call was explicitly to punish Flowers for almost allowing my entire groin area to be utterly destroyed.”
Maybe that’s unprofessional, but even if I were a Sox fan I think I’d understand.
They judge the catcher catching the ball, not the actual pitch. Think about the perspective of the umpire.
I umpire 10 year olds and it’s obviously much different in the MLB, but sometimes you have no idea and have to guess. A catcher dropping the pitch or having to reach far away from his target can be enough for you to guess that it’s a ball.
What are the odds the umpire sees the ball coming right towards him with no catcher in the way and closes his eyes in anticipation of getting drilled? He never flinched as the ball went right through his legs, and I know I wouldn’t have stayed that still in that situation.
You had me until the last sentence. A bit dark for my tastes.
We’re all waiting for something, my friend.
Are you kidding, that was phenomenal!
No one is going to make it out of here alive!
We will live on in the FanGraphs archive forever!
Wasn’t the worst called ball of 2014 also a samardzija pitch? I know it was thrown by a cub against Yadier Molina
I pitched way back when and in one game I missed a pitch out sign from the catcher. I threw a fastball right down the middle that still got called a strike even though the catcher was standing behind the other batters box and missed catching the pitch by two feet. Strike one, runner now on second.
Did you hit the umpire/
Similar situation in high school. Manning CF I had a perfect view. Coach had been ejected on a really crummy call. Next pitch catcher steps out for the pitch out, 85MPH fastball drills the ump in the chest.
Not a happy ending as the pitcher and catcher were both tossed for what was a very flagrant bush league move by my team. Pretty cool to watch from CF though. Unfortunately, the strike zone seemed to expand whenever myself or a team mate stepped into the batter box. We ended up getting crushed.
I can’t believe the umpire had the gall to throw them out with the zero rules in the book that they broke.
Enjoy Arbys
Well constructed and argued post and we’re all going to be dust except for the bones which take years or centuries to disintegrate but eventually they will.
1. Baseball
2. Inevitable doom
That second one is mostly just the domain of Sullivan… and Cistulli’s readers / listeners
Thinking about the fangraphs+nihilism connection makes me really miss Dayn Perry.
This seems like a NotGraphs article. IS IT COMING BACK?
Maybe Calhoun was aware that the catcher was set up for a pitch way outside the box, and had no intention of swinging at the pitch as a result. If you had a reliable enough catcher, this would be a good way to ambush a hitter.
I wonder what Eno would say about Tyler Flowers’ butt as it relates to the crossed up point? The gif makes it seem like he’s sitting up on his haunches a little bit, anticipating a breaking ball/splitter as you said.
But also: maybe not! I could also see an argument that he was poised to frame a potential borderline pitch. idk. I’m just here for the grim fatalism.
Does anybody know why the umpire stands behind the plate to call ball/strikes instead of somewhere else like behind the pitcher? I find it hard to believe that the umpire is currently in the optimal spot for calling pitches.
The only reason I can come up with is so the umpire can also make fair/foul calls. This makes sense at lower levels and perhaps 1800’s baseball where only one or two umpires are used. But when you have a first and third umpire, that reason goes out the door.
I suppose theoretically it’s easier for them to judge where exactly the ball crosses the plate if they’re standing in close proximity to it. Depth perception n’ stuff
When the ball is coming in a 90+mph, I don’t think they can actually see where the ball crosses the plate. If they could, I don’t think catcher framing would matter as much as it seems to.
If he was standing right on the pitcher’s mound (or even better, somewhere directly in the path of the ball from the pitcher to the plate) then that would probably be the best place (i.e. not off to the side of the pitcher which of course he would, as he is not a ghost).
Since by necessity he can’t be right in line with the pitch, then being as close as possible to the plate gives the least “distortion” due to his misalignment.
Just my guess. Sorry if I can’t word it exactly right without diagrams.
Here’s a video of an umpire moving behind the pitcher during a spring training game.
http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/umpire-calls-pitches-behind-mound-134958238–mlb.html
According to the article, they were positioned behind the mound in the 19th century, but moved behind home to avoid interferring with balls up the middle.
I vote for underneath the pitchers mound with a periscope
I can tell you why the White Sox booths didn’t pick it up: I live in Chicago, and I can tell you they are the worst in baseball. Harrelson in particular is just awful…
I feel like I’m in a Geico ad. “Everybody knows that”
Has anyone done the worst called game of the season?
I would like to see that.
The definitional question has to be resolved first of course…
How many dropped called third strikes have occurred in baseball history in which the batter made first base?
Why does MLB continue to employ such goddamned useless humans?
As we have already learned from newly-promoted minor league umps, MLB umpires could be much much worse. MLB umps aren’t bad at their jobs; it’s just that the job is really hard.
Humans simply be 100% focused and 100% accurate for 300 pitches a game. Robots can.
As a still fuming Jays fan, did you really just make the revere and Estrada calls seem equivalent to the Bautista one?
Tha latter was the very definition of a borderline call – called a strike 47% of the time (30% for breaking balls) and impossible to definitely say if it’s a strike even with every angle and piece of pitch tracking technology available.
The former two were egregiously bad calls, with the tying and go ahead runs at 3rd and 2nd respectively in the 9th inning of a win or go home game, at vital counts with one of the best relievers in baseball on the mound
Should be Navarro not Estrada obviously…