This Is How It Has to Work

On Tuesday morning, Major League Baseball announced the suspension of five players for violating Rule 21, the prohibition on betting on baseball. Minor leaguers Jay Groome of the Padres, José Rodríguez of the Phillies, Michael Kelly of the Athletics, and Andrew Saalfrank of the Diamondbacks were all suspended for one season.
But the headline figure in the announcement is Padres utilityman Tucupita Marcano, who has been declared permanently ineligible after betting some $150,000 on baseball games — a mix of MLB and international contests — through legal sportsbooks. Marcano placed 25 bets on games involving the Pirates last summer while he was on Pittsburgh’s injured list and receiving treatment at PNC Park. While all five players placed bets on their parent clubs, the key distinction is that Marcano did so while assigned to the major league team. For that, he became the first player to receive a lifetime sanction for this offense since Pete Rose 35 years ago.
This looks like just another domino in a series of gambling scandals to hit baseball in the past 13 months: First the Alabama baseball scandal, which involved a suspicious wager placed at the sportsbook at Great American Ball Park. Then, most notoriously, Shohei Ohtani’s right-hand man, Ippei Mizuhara, washed up in a federal law enforcement dragnet after stealing millions of dollars from Ohtani to finance wagers with illegal bookie Matthew Bowyer. More recently, the Bowyer investigation has ensnared longtime big league infielder David Fletcher, Ohtani’s former teammate. And because when it rains it pours, Mizuhara pleaded guilty to fraud charges in a hearing just hours after MLB officially banned Marcano. MLB followed up shortly thereafter by officially closing the Ohtani affair.
Discussion of the Bowyer case in particular has been long on innuendo and short on details; federal investigations often are, and arguably should be. The goal of such an enterprise is to reach conclusions that could deprive people of liberty and property; agents ought to follow the evidence wherever it goes, no matter how long it takes and what the rumor mill churns up in the investigators’ wake.
That’s left MLB, and especially Ohtani, in an awkward position. Not only was the game’s biggest star tainted by association — even after he was cleared of wrongdoing — MLB just narrowly avoided a situation in which Ohtani could plausibly have been blackmailed into throwing games.
These cases could hardly have been more different. The betting at issue in today’s suspensions came through legal sportsbooks, including MLB’s commercial partners, who have a regulatory duty to disclose suspicious betting patterns — this is how Alabama coach Brad Bohannon and his Coen Brothers goon of a co-conspirator got caught — and to monitor wagering by MLB players and staff.
We know exactly how much Marcano and the others bet, and when, and on which contests. The press release detailing these five suspensions ran four pages and included summaries of each player’s betting behaviors.
This produced some darkly funny details, such as the fact that Groome won only two of the MLB bets he placed and lost more than 95% of the money he wagered. Marcano won only 4.3% of his MLB-related bets, while Saalfrank lost $1.80 on a single college baseball bet among the few hundred dollars he wagered on MLB action.
It almost feels cruel to kick a man while he’s down like that, as if the league said, “Hey, not only are we imperiling or ending your career, we’re going to broadcast to the world that you spent your free time losing Uncut Gems-level multi-leg parlays on your phone!”
But that level of detail is necessary in order for anyone to believe the last line of all five case summaries. The wording is the same in every instance, apart from the player’s name: “There is no evidence to suggest — and [PLAYER] denies — that any outcomes in the baseball games on which he placed bets were compromised, influenced, or manipulated in any way.”
In general, I keep a default position of skepticism when it comes to Major League Baseball as a corporate entity. That includes the league’s internal investigations, which routinely disgraced the league, its players, and the sport during the peak of PED hysteria 10 to 15 years ago. It also encompasses its attempt to balance its interest in legal gambling with a zero-tolerance policy for betting on baseball or making bets with illegal bookies.
So brace yourselves, I’m about to give MLB some unreserved praise.
In my writeup of the Ohtani scandal, I made the following conclusion: “Is it possible for this legal and highly profitable gambling center to exist in the world of professional baseball alongside its shadowy and illicit cousin? Perhaps. But to embrace one while abjuring the other requires specificity and discipline bordering on cognitive dissonance.”
Specificity and discipline.
When MLB engages in commercial partnerships with casinos and sportsbooks on one hand and bans ballplayers from gambling with the other, the juxtaposition is certainly awkward. From a moral perspective, it’s hard not to find the puritanical response to player gambling hypocritical. But MLB is not and has never been a moral actor, and while there are considerable practical hurdles to stamping out illegal gambling within the sport, the legal position of the league is as clear as it’s been for 100 years.
There are two big red-letter no-nos if you work for MLB or a team: You can’t bet on baseball, and you can’t wager with unlicensed bookmakers. Betting on other sports through legal means is in bounds. Whether this position is morally consistent or socially healthy is entirely beside the point. These are the rules, and if players (or coaches or trainers or whoever) break them, the entire credibility of the sport crumbles rapidly.
By banning players for betting on baseball, MLB is not contradicting its own position on gambling — it’s merely enforcing a boundary that’s necessary to protect the welfare of the sport and its players. I don’t remember anyone having trouble holding both of these ideas in their heads at the same time when beer companies sponsored NASCAR teams. We could all see the difference between enjoying a can of Miller Lite in the grandstands and chugging a six-pack before hopping in the car to do 200 mph at Talladega. Gambling is no different.
Commissioner Rob Manfred made this point in his statement that accompanied the suspension announcement: “We have been clear that the privilege of playing in baseball comes with a responsibility to refrain from engaging in certain types of behavior that are legal for other people.”
I also think it’s worth reiterating just how clear the league has been. The announcement concludes with a summary of the anti-gambling education rules each team undergoes every season: In-person classes, literature in English and Spanish. I’ve been in dozens of major league clubhouses and every single one has had an anti-gambling notice posted on its bulletin board. If you’re a player who doesn’t know Rule 21, or thinks it’s more of a guideline than a line in the sand, you’re not paying attention.
Marcano, having already lost a non-trivial portion of his major league earnings gambling, is completely done with affiliated baseball at age 24. Four minor leaguers will lose a year of their careers for betting relatively trivial sums — none of the four bet more than $750, and Kelly wagered only $99.32. That’s a shame, and a life-altering tragedy for all five players, but I have only limited sympathy for their plight. There’s indisputable evidence these players broke the Prime Directive, and MLB would be negligent not to throw the book at them.
The only way to send a clearer message would be to take a bank of lockers in every clubhouse and stencil “PLEASE DON’T BET ON BASEBALL, DUDE” on the wall in foot-high red letters, then repeat the message underneath in Spanish, Korean, Japanese, and Papiamento. Bet on your own team as a major leaguer? Banned for life. Bet on baseball in general? Banned for a season. Even if you didn’t throw games. Even if you didn’t use insider information. Even if you lost your bet, or only wagered a few bucks. It doesn’t matter. Back in the 18th Century, colonial authorities would gibbet pirates as a warning; by banning Marcano for life, Manfred has done the same. It’s harsh, maybe even draconian. But if legal gambling and baseball are going to exist, it had to be done.
Michael is a writer at FanGraphs. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Ringer and D1Baseball, and his work has appeared at Grantland, Baseball Prospectus, The Atlantic, ESPN.com, and various ill-remembered Phillies blogs. Follow him on Twitter, if you must, @MichaelBaumann.
I’ve been pretty critical of your work in the past, but this is absolutely spot on, and well-written. This is how it has to work, or else it won’t work. It’s their own fault for doing these things.
I don’t disagree, but is there a groundswell of support for *allowing* players to bet? Is there an argument posted somewhere contrary to this position that elicited such strong prose? Even most of Rose’s supporters are dead or lack the credibility themselves to advocate for anyone.
So I ask in earnest, and also with a raised eyebrow, as I don’t think you can let MLB off the hook as easily as Baumann has here when they’re encouraging everyone who *isn’t* a player to bet. Big Tobacco was complicit in the death of its customers (I’m old enough to remember candy cigarettes); aren’t MLB and its gambling partners complicit in the consequences of its product, as well?
Tobacco harms every user. Gambling does not. Both are addictive, but only one is per se toxic.
Tobacco harms people who aren’t users (which was one of the primary motivators for banning it indoor facilities); it doesn’t take many moves to demonstrate how gambling does the same (sure, Ohtani can afford to be robbed by his translator…).
I’m not arguing for Congress to do something (cmon, now), but I don’t think you can profit from gambling and dissuade people from doing it at the same time with any kind of logical or ethical credibility
Gambling harms gamblers’ families, and the population in general, does it not?
I don’t think Baumann is letting MLB off for their partnership with gambling, he’s only commentating on rule 21.
FIFY
According to mlb he only won just over 4 percent of his bets so he must’ve blindly bet on his team a lot who were the Pirates at the time.
Far more likely they were a bunch of parlays. Twitter is full of folks parading their 5-leg parlay wins (and never posting their losses). And if all 5 legs are coinflips you would only expect to win 3.125% of the time.
That’s what I don’t get! I have a hard enough time picking one bet correctly – the odds that I’m going to stack 4 or 5 together? SO UNLIKELY!!
(Hell just bet them individually – that way if you get 3/4 correct you can end up with a positive payout rather than $0 since you didn’t go 4/4…)
I just dont get the logic behind these guys betting. Like, Marcano probably would have never been a star or anything but even as a fringe MLB player he is still making very good money, his current contract is $750k for 2 years, and he probably could have made that type of money for a decade as a utilityman type (or gone to japan if MLB fizzled or wherever). Yet he is risking that lucrative career to potentially* win a few bucks on draft kings or whatever? Why?
*or win nothing because apparently he sucks at gambling
The only thing in the back of my head is to acknowledge that gambling addiction is a legitimate thing. I don’t know if that’s the case here, and quite frankly, I’m hesitant to extend the courtesy of shadow of a doubt to what may just be a 24 year old making incredibly stupid decisions.
These are almost all incredibly competative people. Gambling is (for most people) about the rush you get when you “win”, and almost any MLB player is addicted to winning, they want to win, putting some money on a game is another chance to win.
It’s also insanely stupid, but I can understand why they do it.
Sure, but there are basically infinite things you can bet on chasing that rush that wont cost you your incredibly lucrative baseball career. He bet on the ONE thing that would.
Exactly not to mention You can do all sorts of things nowadays with Bitcoin or any of the cryptos. Pretty much allowing you to be in action 24/7
The apps make it INCREDIBLY easy to just slide over to another sport or event or whatever.
The weird thing is the betting on baseball, IMO. The gambling addiction part is fine and makes sense that it doesn’t matter that he was in ok financial shape (look at Phil Mickelson and Michael Jordan, right?). But he could very much get his gambling rocks off on a near infinite range of sports, without touching the baseball third rail. Sad all around.
I mean, jai alai was RIGHT THERE!! I’m expecting big things from Hormaetxea & Urbieta this year, but I would keep an eye on the Goixerri & Aratz team also…
(These are all real people)
SEE YOUR FAVORITE STARS LIKE ARRIAGA!
ARRIAGA II!
BARRIAGA!
ARUGLIA!
AND PIZZOZA!!
“These are incredibly competitive people” always gets trotted out, but I’m very much leaning towards “these are 24 year olds making incredibly stupid decisions.”
Two things, and all that.
Most of us have been guys under the age of 25. We know how dumb you could be easily! Testosterone can make you do real dumb stuff!
Wow, you were really optimistic about Marcano’s career.
Nicky Lopez has been downright awful for pretty much his whole career. Career wRC+ of 73 and thats with a 104 wRC+ in 2021. Take out that one season and its closer to 60. Which is “worst hitter in MLB territory”. But he can basically play every IF position so he has played in nearly 600 career games and is making $4.3 million this year with the White Sox.
Its not at all unrealistic to think Marcano could have bounced around until he was 30ish and made several millions of dollars as a bench/utilityman (he has already made $1.6 million according to spotrac).
Agreed. All it would have taken was one lucky year where his wRC+ was close to 100 & he probably would have made a couple of million $$ per year for at least 2 years.
Plus if you’re going to bet on sports, why in the world would you bet on individual baseball games? There’s a reason why most gamblers stick to football and basketball.
There have been signs posted locker rooms about gambling since at least the 1980s. I worked one summer that decade at a minor league stadium, about as far from the big leagues as you could possibly get, and signage about not gambling was prominent even then.
The bigger question after today’s events is how many more dominoes are there to fall? These guys are getting suspended in 2024 for bets made in 2020 and 2021. I’m sure the Ohtani-Ippei situation will have scared off some folks who might have otherwise been doing in it 2024. But how many dudes placed bets in 2022 and 2023 that just haven’t been caught yet? This could be quite a slow-moving avalanche for the sport.
What I find wild is that those minor league guys were even caught in the first place. Like, the one guy bet less than $100. That shouldn’t raise any red flags anywhere unless he literally bet under his own name. In which case he is a colossal idiot.
It seems that yes, they did. Or at the very least they were so bad at covering their tracks that they were easily identifiable. I can only assume that they were naive enough to think that legitimate sports books who are partners with major league baseball would not be proactive in notifying their employers. Possibly even that small enough bets, not associated with their own teams, would just be shrugged off
They WERE shrugged off – it’s been three years – you think the bean counters are just catching up? But when MLB was forced to face player behavior, the players took the fall. Sound familiar?
I guess one good thing about this gambling partnership with MLB is that it makes it easier to catch some these guys.
Statistics on this are understandably both-to-find and unreliable, but it’s reasonable to assume that for every person caught committing a certain illegal/illicit act, at least 20 people did it and did not get caught.
If we take that premise to be true, it’s almost certain there are active major league ballplayers that have bet on MLB games, and also players that have bet on their own team.
Have bets been made against their own team? Unknown. Has anyone changed their behavior in a game because of bets they have made or been involved in? Also unknown.
Can’t believe that the push to get all sports fans into gambling on sports has led to people in that demographic who happen to play sports betting on sports. Very shocking turn of events that the leagues themselves are not at all responsible for.
*This comment has been sponsored by FanKings, Deposit $50 today and get 50 risk free comments*
It’s actually very simple:
Fans gambling good, players gambling bad
It’s a very easy rule to follow. Lots of people have rules about trading stocks at their jobs, are those rules hard to follow?
Apparently it’s pretty difficult! Maybe the lifetime bans will be enough of a deterrent but the constant drumbeat of gambling pushed by the leagues obviously contributes to the number of people who are gambling. Some % of those people will be professional athletes, as they are in the prime age targeted by the sportsbooks to be new bettors
edit:
I would also not agree that fans gambling is good. I would say fans gambling is at best neutral and probably negative in the aggregate because of the prevalence of gambling addicts. That is not saying that we should make it illegal again, but a recognition that there are tradeoffs to everything,
There’s no such thing as 100% deterrent. There will always be a handful of people who think that they are too smart to get caught, too addicted to the rush to say no, or for one reason or another dumb enough to think that even if they get caught it will be shrugged off
In fact, if nobody ever got caught, that might lead one to believe that players were gambling and getting away with it.
And as much as these guys are mostly nobodies, it does set an example to any somebodies who might be tempted to risk their $50 contract on such foolishness
Not sure if using trading stocks as an example is the right one…
Not congresspeople!
Players gambling is fine too…so long as it’s not the sport the sport they play.
For over 100 years everyone has known about the Blacksox. It’s a cultural touchstone. There is absolutely no excuse.
The thing is they can gamble on sports. They just cant do so in a way that impacts their job. I interned at an industrial brewery one summer but I wasn’t allowed to show up to work drunk.
The man is always trying to keep you down…
Were you at least allowed to drink on the job since you couldn’t go in drunk?
It’s not about betting on sports though it’s about betting on the sport that you’re involved in that’s the problem…. I don’t think anybody has an issue if he wants to bet money on NBA games, heck I guarantee you they have and see a tournament fools and probably some NFL stuff between the players going on all the time not to mention college football wagers between alma maters. Bottom line though you can’t bet on the sport that you’re involved in
If you’re betting most days and don’t have great self control, what do you do when the NFL or NBA aren’t in season? You bet on the sport in season.
There is always another sport to bet on.
Rugby, soccer, cricket.
Or non-sport events.
Vegas accepts bets on lots of things.
And there are the casinos all over.
If you must, you can.
But unless you follow the sport in question the rush of winning and wanting to do it repeatedly isn’t as appealing
Do you think they can bet on the number of baseball players banned for betting this year?
Thanks for posting this! Sports betting is part of the broadcasts now, and it’s awful. Instead of learning something interesting about baseball I have to hear what the current line is in the 8th inning.
I’m less worried about athletes’ behavior and more the children watching games and learning that sports and betting go hand in hand. Betting should be left to the apps and other outlets and kept from the in-game broadcasting.
Instead of betting, the players should open up their own, just like the league. They have to do what the owners are doing. So getting money from sports betting should be fine as long as they don’t bet themselves, right MLB?
This is magnificent, and I love it.
I pretty much agree with all of this, but I also notice that MLB came down hard on a bunch of nobodies and is still waving their hands and saying “please don’t look to hard at the Dodger’s DH,” while taking as much money as they can get from the gambling industry.
Sooner or later, somebody who matters is going to do something that matters and I don’t trust MLB to handle it well.
I mean, the FBI and federal prosecutors reached the same conclusion MLB did.
The FBI went through nearly 10 000 pages of text messages without finding a single text where Ohtani talks about or alludes to gambling. If you’re being cynical, and believe that MLB were content to bury their heads in the sand over this – the FBI absolutely have no incentive not to do a full investigation.
Also, Ohtani is known to not really care about money. How many tens of millions did he give up by coming to MLB at 23 instead of 25? It was known at the time that he was giving up massive amounts of money to get into MLB sooner and it’s not like he was starving in Japan.
I’m told he’s also almost totally ignorant about money and basically on an allowance as he does not handle his own accounts or salary.
With most people, if you tell me their “friend” took that kind of money out of their accounts without their knowledge I’ll look at you strangely, But Ohtani, sure, I’ll believe it, it was known even before he even had that money that he didn’t actually care about that money.
Are we sure those FBI agents don’t have their own DraftKings accounts?
We need to stop using terms like “no incentive” when it’s pretty easy to make up an incentive.
Sure, the agent’s horoscope could have said “you will today cover up a betting scandal as Venus rises”. Its easy to make up incentives – its quite hard to come up with a credible incentive why a team of federal agents will all decide to commit a conspiracy to send the wrong man to jail – risking their careers and own freedom.
For the sake of argument, the fed with Ohtani in the office fantasy baseball league might not want Ohtani to be guilty. That though does give the rest of the office an incentive to see Ohtani guilty…
Someone like Pete Rose?
I have yet to have one of you conspiracy nutjobs explain why the FBI would protect Ohtani.
I don’t exactly see a lot to convince me of the Ippei the Fall Guy narrative but people’s willingness to assume that the FBI and federal prosecutors are beyond reproach is a fascinating development amongst a certain segment of the population
Who said they’re beyond reproach?
The conflation of “contrarian” with “critical thinker” is a disheartening development I’ve seen among a certain segment of the population.
Oh I see. You think I’m saying one thing but you misunderstood. No problem
“beyond reproach” and “probably are not actively participating in a objectively stupid coverup that serves no benefit to them” are not even close to the same thing.
In fact, wouldn’t it BENEFIT them to have Ohtani be guilty? Imagine the press/media attention the FBI agents & the prosecutors vwould get by nailing the most well known MLB player & forcing MLB to give him a lifetime ban..the 1st one since Pete Rose at the time it went down.
Certainly a lot more than just getting his interpreter & having conspiracy theorists think they’re covering it up, even though they have no incentive to do so.
I’m under no impression the FBI/DOJ/federal prosecutors are a bunch of saints, but, in this case, they would clearly be better off with Ohtani being guilty, not some guy no one had heard of until the news broke.
The FBI and the feds are more likely to trample over someone they think is guilty rather than clear someone who isn’t. They’re police, after all.
This is actually a normal response to what I said
Major League Baseball almost lost the store back in 1920, over the Black Sox Scandal, but had teams tearing themselves apart for the previous two decades, with Hal Chase and others recruiting players to play poorly on behalf of bettors.
So, the rationale is rock solid. Betting against your team, getting involved in gambling is destructive to your team and possibly the league.
Knowing all this, the proliferation of gambling content and partners for MLB and their teams is astounding. In game lines on broadcasts? In stadium sports books?
It’s insanity, no matter how brightly you draw the line. The league is taking money from gambling concerns.
I’m reminded of the Jerry Tarkanian quote about college basketball recruiting violations, “The NCAA got so mad at Kentucky, they gave Cleveland State two more years probation.”
If fans don’t think it is basically a certainty that there is honest competition, then they might as well just fire up a Fast and Furious movie and call it a day.
This is a business decision. It does, though, reasonably call into question whether some other business decisions are penny wise and pound foolish.
Maybe before games, the umpire should say, “Don’t Bet on Baseball!” instead of “Play Ball!”
MLB was so mad at Shohei they banned Tucupita for life
The bright red line does create consistency, That’s a start. It doesn’t address compulsive gambling on other sports which may create vulnerabilities. And it doesn’t address the moral ambiguity of Owners profiting immensely from gambling-related dollars while forbidding it to players. The only way you deal with the moral ambiguity is to be up-front with it “Guys, those gambling dollars are raising salaries and building ballparks, and that’s why we are treating it differently–we make more, and you get some of it). But, intellectual constructs aside, it only takes one big incident that involves something at the game level to blow up credibility. And it defines rationality to assume that something like that cannot/will not happen.
It could happen with or without MLB’s association with gambling. Arnold Rothstein was not running a legal business. Pete Rose was not gambling legally. It’s not about legality. It’s about ubiquity. If gambling is commonplace, compromising competitive integrity is a risk.
They aren’t forbidding it (gambling) to players. MLB isn’t saying they can’t bet. MLB is saying they can’t bet on baseball or more importantly, their own teams.
Do you see the difference?
I referenced that in my second sentence. “It doesn’t address compulsive gambling on other sports which may create vulnerabilities.”
The point is that you a) don’t want the player to bet on his own team and possibly alter what goes on the filed, and b) don’t want the player to descend into compulsivity while betting on other sports and become beholden to whomever he is betting on. Then the player becomes more vulnerable to suggestions that he influence a baseball game. We want the game as played on the field untainted.
This is 100% correct.
It’s seems as though the ‘No Gambling’ signs in clubhouses are read about as much as the Workers Rights/Minimum Wage material on anyone’s work bulletin board. Or the No Gambling signs in the baseball stands back in the day. Or the No Pepper near the dugouts they used to have
The No Gambling signs are probably used as a target in a high stakes game of wet napkin darts to kill the time.
Fun fact! The Cardinals took down the “No Pepper” sign in 1928 and didn’t put it up again until 1945 after Pepper Martin retired
Marcano has an interpreter though…
I will miss Tucupita Marcano’s 80-grade name, but nothing else about him.
playing Fantasy baseball for money is often regarded as gambling. I wonder how far MLB will go if they ban $100 guys.
Gambling is only addictive to some people. I live in Vegas. I make 2 or three sports bets a year, and play table games once or twice a year. Its not heroin. But, I know addicted people for sure.
Former Commissioner Landis would’ve done the same. If anything, he would’ve given the minor leaguers even stricter punishments.