Top 29 Prospects: San Francisco Giants
Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the San Francisco Giants. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.
All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. That can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joey Bart | 22.4 | A+ | C | 2020 | 55 |
| 2 | Heliot Ramos | 19.7 | A+ | CF | 2023 | 45+ |
| 3 | Marco Luciano | 17.6 | R | SS | 2023 | 45+ |
| 4 | Alexander Canario | 19.0 | R | RF | 2023 | 45 |
| 5 | Gregory Santos | 19.7 | A | RHP | 2021 | 45 |
| 6 | Sean Hjelle | 22.0 | A | RHP | 2021 | 40+ |
| 7 | Melvin Adon | 24.9 | AA | RHP | 2020 | 40+ |
| 8 | Shaun Anderson | 24.5 | MLB | RHP | 2019 | 40+ |
| 9 | Logan Webb | 22.5 | AA | RHP | 2021 | 40+ |
| 10 | Patrick Hilson | 18.7 | R | CF | 2024 | 40+ |
| 11 | Camilo Doval | 21.9 | A+ | RHP | 2021 | 40+ |
| 12 | Seth Corry | 20.5 | A | LHP | 2023 | 40 |
| 13 | Tyler Beede | 26.0 | MLB | RHP | 2019 | 40 |
| 14 | Luis Toribio | 18.6 | R | 3B | 2024 | 40 |
| 15 | Mike Gerber | 26.9 | MLB | RF | 2019 | 40 |
| 16 | Jairo Pomares | 18.8 | R | CF | 2023 | 40 |
| 17 | Ray Black | 28.9 | MLB | RHP | 2019 | 40 |
| 18 | Ricardo Genoves | 20.0 | A- | C | 2022 | 40 |
| 19 | Blake Rivera | 21.4 | A | RHP | 2023 | 40 |
| 20 | Jake Wong | 22.7 | A | RHP | 2022 | 40 |
| 21 | Chris Shaw | 25.6 | MLB | 1B | 2019 | 40 |
| 22 | Jalen Miller | 22.4 | AA | 2B | 2020 | 40 |
| 23 | Jacob Gonzalez | 20.9 | A | 3B | 2023 | 35+ |
| 24 | Abiatal Avelino | 24.3 | MLB | 2B | 2020 | 35+ |
| 25 | George Bell | 21.0 | R | OF | 2022 | 35+ |
| 26 | Jandel Gustave | 26.6 | MLB | RHP | 2019 | 35+ |
| 27 | Raffi Vizcaino | 23.5 | AA | RHP | 2020 | 35+ |
| 28 | Sam Wolff | 28.1 | AAA | RHP | 2019 | 35+ |
| 29 | Jose Marte | 22.9 | A+ | RHP | 2020 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Power Bats
Diego Rincones, OF
Zach Green, 3B/1B
Sandro Fabian, OF
Jacob Heyward, OF
Kwan Adkins, OF
Rincones, 19, is a plump corner outfielder with quick, strong hands. He’s posted two consecutive years of strong offensive statistics (AZL and NWL) and has plus raw power, but he’s a corner-only guy with a high-maintenance build, so he’ll need to keep doing that. Green was a minor league free agent who had an average exit velo of about 95 mph through this season’s first month. He has plus-plus power and barely hits the ball on the ground (25% GB%). Fabian looked like a potential contact/power corner outfielder but his approach is just too aggressive and he’s posted sub-.300 OBPs for two years. Heyward, 23, is a bit older than most prospects at Double-A but he has plus raw power and athleticism. He needs to keep walking a lot to balance the strikeouts. Adkins was a two-sport athlete at Northwestern State (he played wide receiver as a junior) who didn’t have statistical success in college, but has so far flashed all-fields power against younger pro pitching.
Relief Potential
Sam Coonrod, RHP
Garrett Williams, LHP
Franklin Van Gurp, RHP
Kervin Castro, RHP
Coonrod touches 99 and has a pretty good cutter and curveball. Williams is a low-90s lefty with a plus curveball but he’s quite wild. Van Gurp could be a traditional sinker/slider reliever if he develops above-average command. Castro is a projectionless 20-year-old who throws hard (93-96 this spring) with flat, up-in-the-zone plane that’s suited for missing bats. His secondaries are raw, but he missed most of the last two years with injury.
Younger Sleepers
Ismael Munguia, OF
Ghordy Santos, INF
Andrew Caraballo, INF
Izzy Munguia is a tiny corner outfield prospect with great feel to hit. His power is limited. He’ll likely need to be a 7 bat to profile. Santos and Caraballo are each built like Jorge Polanco. Santos has plus bat speed and some low-ball ability. Caraballo has plus infield hands and actions and Eric thought he saw him breaking in a catcher’s mitt on the backfields.
System Overview
This rebuild could take a while. There’s probably a dominant, homegrown bullpen in this system but most of the pitchers who’ll be part of it are already in their mid or late-20s. There’s a huge timeline gap between that group and the more exciting, potentially impactful group of teenagers (mostly bats) who are, by and large, currently in rookie and A-ball. Parlaying current big leaguers and upper-level prospects into long-term assets will be an important part of accelerating a return to competitiveness. That means nailing a seemingly imminent Madison Bumgarner trade. Scouts from opposing clubs are already deviating from their normal coverage to get extra looks at the left-hander so their teams have as much info as possible as we approach June and July.
Now that the org is under new leadership, the way talent is acquired and developed will change, but we’re not yet sure exactly how. It seems as if early priorities involve throwing fringe roster guys like Connor Joe, Aaron Altherr, and Breyvic Valera at the wall to see who sticks. Expect the Giants to try to find diamonds in the rough on the waiver wire who they’ll likely look to flip for long-term help rather than keep around.
We’ve seen Giants personnel at amateur games with the same model camera we’re using to take high-speed video, so they’re proactively entering that space. It’s likely their new Ops leader, Farhan Zaidi, will bring Dodger player dev concepts with him to San Francisco because the Dodgers have been so good at improving their players, but some of LA’s more prominent scouting tendencies (injured arms, toolsy college hitters with contact red flags, talent from Mexico) will be harder to replicate effectively because the Dodgers still exist in those spaces, too.
Thank you McDongenhagen, very cool!
This is an interesting group, but two things stand out to me about this list:
1) RAY BLACK. I find this type of player endlessly entertaining–the guys who throw so hard and so wild that they’re completely unhittable. They pretty much never become big league pitchers for any length of time because the walks are crazy, but Black is pretty much the archetype of his class. If he keeps the walks under control he’s going to be incredibly good, but if he doesn’t, he’s still going to be fun in a “where is the ball going” kind of way.
2) George Bell’s children. George Bell, has not two, but three children named George Bell. This sounds…complicated. I understand George Foreman named all five of his sons George Edward Foreman, but he had taken a number of blows to the head so I chalk it up to that. And George Bell also given some of his other sons names like Christopher and Randy, so it’s not like that was his motivation. Of course, Raul Mondesi also named a couple of his kids after himself (one goes by Adalberto now), so maybe this is a Dominican thing.
Black came up for quite a bit last year, I wouldn’t consider him a prospect at this point.
It should be noted that while not listed, the Giants have a prospect named Wander Franco who is the lesser Wander Franco compared the Tampa Bay Rays one, who is the lesser Wander compared to generational superstar talent Wander Javier of the Minnesota Twins.
It should be noted that, although it is not mentioned, it is likely that the giants will be called a doll, which is free in relation to city rays, in Jupiter less than a generation. talent for wandering talents in Gemini.
This made my Friday. Thanks (whoever you are).
This made my Friday. Thanks (whoever you are).
The other that stands out to me about this list and the current roster…
It’s gonna suck to be Joey Bart in 2021, when he’s stuck with the declining Posey, Belt, Cueto, Crawford, and Longoria. The only guys who seem like they have any shot to stick around and are relatively young are Duggar, Blach, Shaun Anderson, and some relievers–maybe Chris Shaw if they can shoehorn him into left field . Hjelle and Santos look like they could come after that, if you’re feeling optimistic. But the bigger picture is not just the time gap between Bart and everyone else, but that virtually the entire Giants’ roster is older. If Bart hits for the kind of power Eric and Kiley suggest, we’re going to be talking about how the Giants are wasting his prime.
The question is, what do the Giants do now? Do they go into full rebuild mode at the trade deadline? They’ve got some pretty big contracts with several under performing players (Posey, Longoria, Cueto) all signed through 2021 or 2022 with a $3-5 penalty for buying out an additional year. If they want to trade off these players and get any significant prospects back in return, they’re going to need to eat a large chunk of cash. If they stay the course, they’ve got a lot of money tied up in payroll through 2021. They could probably make a free agent signing or two, but this team is much more than 1-2 players away from competing. No matter how you cut it, the future looks bleak in San Fran. Even if they did decide to sell on the players mentioned above, they would be selling low in most cases. Perhaps Posey bounces back and regains some value. You’ll need till wait for the ASB of next year before Cueto regains any value. It’s just ugly all the way around.
We’ve been over that a few times, and the real problem is that those guys all have no-trade clauses. Check it out: Belt, Posey, Samardzija, Crawford, and Melancon all have at least partial no-trades. Cueto doesn’t but he’s hurt, and Longoria doesn’t, but he’s also not playing very well. Oh, and Posey and Crawford are both underachieving (Posey is at least playable).
They’re going to have eat so much of the contract on those guys, even to get an FV40 in return, I’m not sure if it’s worth it. If they can, great, but the guys they need to be working on trading are Will Smith, Tyler Austin, Bumgarner, Panik, Dyson, Watson, probably Trevor Gott too. Keep the old guys unless they hit a hot streak and you can get something back for them; at least the fans recognize the names on the back of the jersey.
This is the upside of doubling down on kids in their 30’s. You get to have recognizable names on their jerseys.
That, and also creating a roster bad enough for a Jeff Francouer comeback opportunity.
Good point. So basically it’s even worse than I thought, and I thought it was really bad. They might be in the worst situation of any team in baseball over the next 5+ years. The Orioles, Tigers and Marlins also have the awesome combination of a terrible MLB team and farm system but at least none of them have much on the books past 2019. I would hate to be a Giants fan right now.
Well hey at least I can smoke weed wherever I want without anyone giving a damn. But yeah following the Giants day in and day out kind of sucks.
I had similar thoughts about Casey Mize the other day, but I’d have to say Bart is in a much worse no-man’s land in a few years.
I thought that at first too, but Matt Manning looks like he might be pretty good too. Plus Cameron and Paredes, and Castro and and Candelario and Stewart, and Turnbull, and Boyd is under control through 2022. I think they might be in surprisingly good shape.
How is a Mike Napoli comp for Bart?
Maybe for the bat, but Bart’s glove looks to be better.
I’d go with the Rambling Wreck lazy comp of somewhere between Matt Wieters and Jason Varitek.
If we’re splitting it up, the best case scenario is probably something like Gary Sanchez at the plate and Russell Martin behind it.
Realistically, I think Varitek is probably more likely.
I think the giants need a full tank job. The dodgers are not going away and maybe the Padres are getting good too.
Their farm is improved but it is still not a top15 system with only really two top100 guys and the big club is old and expensive so there is not much they can do.
They need to trade anyone they can, possibly add some money to do so and suck the next 3 years, maybe then their farm system and payroll space will allow to attack the dodgers again. But now with their high payroll and mediocre farm there just isnt any room to improve and the aging core is only getting worse.