Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Miami Marlins. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.
**Editor’s Note: Sixto Sanchez and Will Stewart were added to this list on 2/7/2019, after they were acquired from Philadelphia for J.T. Realmuto.**
All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. That can be found here.
|6||Victor Victor Mesa||22.5||R||CF||2020||45+|
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.Young Position Players
Ynmanol Marinez, SS
Albert Guaimaro, RF
Sean Reynolds, 1B
Keegan Fish, C
Victor Mesa, Jr., RF
Marinez was a $1.5 million signee in 2017 as a projectable infielder with some feel to hit. He didn’t have a great summer and wasn’t invited to the states for instructional league. Guaimaro is a curvaceous 19-year-old outfielder with average tools. He was young for the Penn League but physically looked like he belonged. Scouts wanted to see him catch as an amateur and Miami briefly tried it, but Guaimaro hasn’t done it for a few years now. Reynolds is a huge, 6-foot-7 first base prospect with big raw power and very little chance of hitting due to lever length. He also pitched in high school, so perhaps the contact comes late. Fish is a Midwest developmental project with modest physical tools and plus makeup. Mesa got a $1 million bonus, but has fourth outfielder tools.
Soto and Encarnacion each have big power but may not make enough contact to profile in a corner outfield spot. The amateur side of the industry was split on Mahan’s defensive future, with some thinking he’d be okay at second and others thinking he’d move to left field. That second group is correct so far, so Mahan needs to hit. Hernandez has fourth outfielder tools and has had issues staying healthy.
Keller’s stuff got better last year and he was 93-96 with an above-average breaking ball in the fall league. Smith also threw really hard in the AFL, up to 99, but his breaking ball is closer to average. Kinley was Rule 5’d by Minnesota last year but returned to Miami mid-season. He sits in the mid-90s and has a hard, upper-80s slider. Eveld has a four-pitch mix. He’ll touch 95 and his secondaries are average.
Palacios, who is still just 18, was Miami’s DSL pitcher of the year after posting a 62-to-4 strikeout-to-walk ratio. He sits 86-92 with good breaking ball feel. Bennett’s fastball currently resides in the mid-80s but his curveball spin rate is plus. Wolf, 21, is another spin rate/deception sleeper who stands just 5-foot-8.
The Marlins’ current regime has been able to install new leadership across their departments and had stronger internal processes in place for at least part of the 2018 season. That doesn’t mean one shouldn’t judge what has happened in their rebuild up until now. But with turnover in the front office, and an increase in overall staffing levels, there should be fewer excuses for underperformance now than there would have been a year ago. Some rebuilds come with front office and tech system overhauls; some demand big transactions right away, as Miami’s did. Others, like those of San Francisco, Baltimore, and Atlanta, can best be described as wait-and-see situations, with a front office that can get a few things working in their favor before the situation calls for significant action.
The Marlins’ main story right now is the continued presence of franchise catcher J.T. Realmuto, but his situation will likely be resolved this winter. The Marlins need a good result there, so you can see why they’re hesitant to make a move until an obviously good deal comes along, especially after the mixed-at-best early returns on the Giancarlo Stanton and Christian Yelich trades. While the team’s young core isn’t fully formed, the 2019 big league team will be almost certainly bad matched up against a division that features four competitive clubs. There are some nice pieces that will be in the majors next year, but it isn’t clear what the next Marlins playoff team will look like. Forward momentum on the personnel front is what’s needed, and Miami has their front office ducks in a row now, so this winter marks the start of a key next year or two of asset collection and development.